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2013 Projections (seasonal age 33) - Rest of Season Projections
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| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | GS | IP | IP-SP | IP-RP | W | L | SV | BS | QS | BQS | PA | H | R | ER | HR | TB | BB | UBB | HBP | SO | ERA | FIP | FRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | TEX | 22 | 15 | 4 | 34.3 | 21.7 | 12.7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 168 | 42 | 26 | 24 | 4 | 62 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 28 | 6.29 | 5.39 | 5.83 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| 2003 | TEX | 23 | 26 | 26 | 127.0 | 127.0 | 0.0 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 594 | 163 | 104 | 103 | 23 | 283 | 70 | 69 | 5 | 88 | 7.30 | 5.83 | 6.17 | 6.6 | 0.5 |
| 2004 | TEX | 24 | 3 | 3 | 15.3 | 15.3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 4.11 | 5.31 | 6.25 | -0.1 | -0.0 |
| 2006 | DET | 26 | 2 | 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3.00 | 5.19 | 5.17 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | OAK | 27 | 26 | 1 | 37.7 | 3.3 | 34.3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 44 | 28 | 27 | 7 | 76 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 23 | 6.45 | 5.86 | 6.35 | -2.9 | -0.3 |
| 2010 | TEX | 30 | 32 | 32 | 201.0 | 201.0 | 0.0 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 844 | 174 | 90 | 83 | 21 | 282 | 65 | 65 | 6 | 196 | 3.72 | 3.51 | 3.56 | 40.0 | 3.9 |
| 2011 | TEX | 31 | 32 | 32 | 200.3 | 200.3 | 0.0 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 839 | 187 | 103 | 98 | 35 | 337 | 56 | 55 | 6 | 169 | 4.40 | 4.57 | 5.21 | 9.0 | 0.8 |
| 2012 | TEX | 32 | 16 | 16 | 105.0 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 427 | 99 | 48 | 40 | 16 | 176 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 93 | 3.43 | 3.83 | 4.14 | 17.3 | 1.8 |
| Career | 152 | 114 | 723.7 | 673.7 | 50.0 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 3 | 58 | 5 | 3131 | 730 | 407 | 383 | 108 | 1248 | 259 | 252 | 29 | 613 | 4.76 | 4.52 | 4.88 | 71.3 | 6.8 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | FRA | FRA+ | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | PPF | PVORP | PWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 | PUL | Rk | 14 | 11 | 64.7 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | -.377 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2000 | PCH | A+ | 28 | 27 | 163.7 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | -.756 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2001 | PCH | A+ | 1 | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2001 | TUL | AA | 25 | 25 | 156.0 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | -.560 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2002 | TEX | MLB | 15 | 4 | 34.3 | 5.83 | 88 | .295 | .276 | .345 | .439 | .280 | .352 | 107 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| 2002 | OKL | AAA | 20 | 20 | 106.7 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .310 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2003 | TEX | MLB | 26 | 26 | 127.0 | 6.17 | 85 | .301 | .276 | .346 | .446 | .274 | .343 | 109 | 7.1 | 0.7 | 6.6 | 0.5 |
| 2003 | OKL | AAA | 7 | 7 | 47.7 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .236 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2004 | TEX | MLB | 3 | 3 | 15.3 | 6.25 | 75 | .252 | .283 | .348 | .427 | .271 | .267 | 99 | -0.1 | -0.0 | -0.1 | -0.0 |
| 2006 | DET | MLB | 2 | 0 | 3.0 | 5.17 | 95 | .414 | .291 | .337 | .479 | .269 | .636 | 99 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | TOL | AAA | 24 | 24 | 147.2 | 4.23 | 102 | .251 | .265 | .333 | .397 | .255 | .305 | 96 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | OAK | MLB | 26 | 1 | 37.7 | 6.35 | 63 | .305 | .275 | .339 | .433 | .267 | .301 | 95 | -2.9 | -0.3 | -2.9 | -0.3 |
| 2007 | SAC | AAA | 15 | 15 | 95.7 | 3.76 | 109 | .208 | .285 | .351 | .444 | .274 | .252 | 92 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | HRO | npb | 26 | 26 | 178.0 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .293 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2009 | HRO | npb | 29 | 28 | 176.3 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .296 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2010 | TEX | MLB | 32 | 32 | 201.0 | 3.56 | 122 | .242 | .264 | .330 | .408 | .269 | .275 | 102 | 40.7 | 4.3 | 40.0 | 3.9 |
| 2011 | TEX | MLB | 32 | 32 | 200.3 | 5.21 | 89 | .257 | .263 | .327 | .414 | .271 | .266 | 105 | 8.8 | 0.9 | 9.0 | 0.8 |
| 2012 | TEX | MLB | 16 | 16 | 105.0 | 4.14 | 115 | .246 | .261 | .326 | .422 | .270 | .279 | 110 | 16.2 | 1.7 | 17.3 | 1.8 |
| 2013 | ROU | AAA | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 8.41 | 53 | .394 | .265 | .357 | .417 | .266 | .429 | 115 | -0.1 | -0.0 | -0.1 | -0.0 |
| 2013 | FRI | aax | 1 | 1 | 2.3 | 5.71 | 66 | .385 | .279 | .352 | .402 | .285 | .429 | 95 | -0.1 | -0.0 | -0.1 | -0.0 |
| Career | MLB | 114 | 723.7 | 5.00 | 97 | .266 | .267 | .333 | .422 | .271 | .293 | 89 | 55.0 | 5.8 | 54.0 | 5.0 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | GB% | BABIP | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | WHIP | ERA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 | PUL | Rk | 7 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 11 | 64.7 | 46 | 27 | 84 | 3 | 0% | -.377 | 6.4 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 11.7 | 1.13 | 1.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2000 | PCH | A+ | 11 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 27 | 163.7 | 169 | 45 | 153 | 11 | 0% | -.756 | 9.3 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 8.4 | 1.31 | 4.07 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2001 | TUL | AA | 10 | 10 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 156.0 | 150 | 62 | 162 | 15 | 0% | -.560 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 9.3 | 1.36 | 4.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2001 | PCH | A+ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0% | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.7 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2002 | TEX | MLB | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 34.3 | 42 | 26 | 28 | 4 | 56% | .352 | 11.0 | 6.8 | 1.0 | 7.3 | 1.98 | 6.29 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| 2002 | OKL | AAA | 5 | 6 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 106.7 | 100 | 28 | 99 | 4 | 0% | .310 | 8.4 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 8.4 | 1.20 | 3.63 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2003 | TEX | MLB | 10 | 9 | 0 | 26 | 26 | 127.0 | 163 | 70 | 88 | 23 | 43% | .343 | 11.6 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 6.2 | 1.83 | 7.30 | 6.6 | 0.5 |
| 2003 | OKL | AAA | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 47.7 | 36 | 19 | 43 | 6 | 0% | .236 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 8.1 | 1.15 | 3.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2004 | TEX | MLB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15.3 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 37% | .267 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 0.6 | 6.5 | 1.70 | 4.11 | -0.1 | -0.0 |
| 2006 | DET | MLB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3.0 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 58% | .636 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | TOL | AAA | 6 | 7 | 0 | 24 | 24 | 147.2 | 154 | 36 | 104 | 13 | 47% | .305 | 9.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 6.4 | 1.29 | 3.97 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | OAK | MLB | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 37.7 | 44 | 14 | 23 | 7 | 38% | .301 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 5.5 | 1.54 | 6.45 | -2.9 | -0.3 |
| 2007 | SAC | AAA | 8 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 95.7 | 70 | 23 | 97 | 8 | 52% | .252 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 9.1 | 0.97 | 1.88 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | HRO | npb | 15 | 8 | 0 | 26 | 26 | 178.0 | 151 | 27 | 183 | 12 | 0% | .293 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 9.3 | 1.00 | 2.68 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | HRO | npb | 11 | 9 | 0 | 29 | 28 | 176.3 | 156 | 19 | 186 | 13 | 0% | .296 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9.5 | 0.99 | 2.96 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | TEX | MLB | 12 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 201.0 | 174 | 65 | 196 | 21 | 39% | .275 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 8.8 | 1.19 | 3.72 | 40.0 | 3.9 |
| 2011 | TEX | MLB | 14 | 10 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 200.3 | 187 | 56 | 169 | 35 | 35% | .266 | 8.4 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 1.21 | 4.40 | 9.0 | 0.8 |
| 2012 | TEX | MLB | 6 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 105.0 | 99 | 14 | 93 | 16 | 34% | .279 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 8.0 | 1.08 | 3.43 | 17.3 | 1.8 |
| 2013 | FRI | aax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2.3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 50% | .429 | 15.4 | 0.0 | 3.9 | 11.6 | 1.71 | 7.71 | -0.1 | -0.0 |
| 2013 | ROU | AAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 75% | .429 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 9.0 | 3.00 | 13.50 | -0.1 | -0.0 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-03-22 | - | 15-DL | - | - | Right | Elbow | Recovery From Surgery | Torn Flexor Tendon | 2012-07-27 | - |
| 2012-07-19 | 2012-10-06 | 60-DL | 79 | 0 | Right | Elbow | Surgery | Torn Flexor Tendon | 2012-07-27 | - |
| 2012-06-24 | 2012-07-18 | 15-DL | 24 | 0 | Right | Forearm | Inflammation | Tendinitis | - | - |
| 2011-06-23 | 2011-06-29 | DTD | 6 | 4 | Neck | Stiffness | - | |||
| 2005-04-04 | 2005-10-03 | 60-DL | 182 | 162 | Right | Shoulder | Surgery | Exploratory | 2005-07-01 | |
| 2004-04-18 | 2004-10-04 | 60-DL | 169 | 150 | Right | Shoulder | Surgery | Rotator Cuff | 2004-05-19 | |
| 1997-01-01 | 1997-01-01 | HS | 0 | 0 | Right | Elbow | Surgery | Tommy John Surgery | - | - |
Compensation
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BP Articles
Colby Lewis is referenced in the following articles.
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-02-02 15:00:00 | Cory, in a 20 team 4 x 4 league, would you prefer Colby Lewis for $1 in final year or EJax for $7, with 2 years left, the first of which appears to be in Wash. Same format, please rank Revere, Valencia and Reimhold. Thanks. (stewbies from Rochester, NY) | And on that note, I'd take Lewis for $1, because I'd rather commit fewer years and less dollars to #3 or #4 starters. As with Beachy over Holland, the "environment" favors E-Jax, but otherwise I think they're comparable pitchers so I'll take the value pick. And... Reimold, Revere, Valencia. I still think Reimold has some meaningful offensive upside if he can just stay healthy and get in the lineup regularly. (Cory Schwartz) |
| 2011-07-21 16:00:00 | Thank you for the chat, Jason. Please rank the folowing SPs for the rest of the season (head-to-head, standard 5x5 cats): Colby Lewis, Jeff Niemann, Carlos Carrasco, and Josh Collmenter. (Dennis from LA) | Lewis, Carrasco, Niemann, Collmenter (can't stay this lucky) (Jason Collette) |
| 2011-06-21 13:00:00 | What are your thoughts on Colby Lewis. 19 longballs allowed already. Should I be concerned and try to move him or wait this out? Thanks... (LoyalRoyal from Daddy Daycare) | I loved Lewis coming into the year, and he was on my short list to talk about this week, but I think I'll go over wins instead, as a result of Question #1 today. I don't love him as much as I did at the beginning of the year, but I still like him. The 19 HR are the result of both an unlucky HR/FB and a drop in FB%, which could be more legit. His pitch movement looks about the same, though, aside from his change-up getting a bit less vertical movement (though he only throws it 10% of the time). The FB% would be my biggest concern with him right now, and that's something that needs deeper analysis, though even if it remains the same, he's still allowing a few too many homers. A good thought for a future article.
The other thing that's a little worrisome is the drop in velocity, which I discussed at length at The Hardball Times shortly before coming to BP (http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/fantasy/article/velocity-strikeouts-and-colby-lewiss-rough-start/). His strikeout has done pretty much what I said to expect then, which is drop a little but not a lot. In his last start, Lewis had his best velocity of the season, averaging just a bit under 90 MPH, so that's even more encouraging. Lewis is a guy that's rosterable in all AL-only and most mixed leagues, but he's looking like a different pitcher than the one I expected to be a surprise staff anchor this year. (Derek Carty) |
| 2011-05-18 13:00:00 | Hey John, in my 6x6 roto league, my starting pitchers are Haren, Hanson, Hudson, Colby Lewis, Scott Baker, Morrow, Matusz, Ogando, and Drabek. I could use an additional bat and was offered Eric Hosmer for Brandon Morrow, you think I should take it? (SnakeDoctor18 from NY) | Indeed, I'd make that trade. I like Morrow but Hosmer is in a class above him. Go make that trade right now before the other guy read this. (John Perrotto) |
| 2011-04-25 13:00:00 | Hey Marc, my deep pitching staff in my current 12-team 6x6 roto league is Haren, Hanson, Hudson, Morrow, Drabek, Ogando, Colby Lewis, Matusz, and Scott Baker. Who do you think I should attempt to trade for some offense? (SnakeDoctor18 from NY) | Ogando, if someone is willing to give you something worthwhile for him. Is it a keeper league? Morrow would be another good sell in a single-year league, given the hype surrounding him versus his actual production. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2011-03-02 13:00:00 | Hi Christina, let me ask what may become an annual question- who do you think will be this year's breakout pitchers (aside from Latos). When I first asked you this question in person years ago you said you really liked a young stud named Danny Haren (worked out nice) and last year you said Anderson and Romero (not bad). For 2011...? Thanks, Dan (DanDaMan from SeaCliff) | I don't have any special Kreskin-like abilities... I guess I see those sorts of expectations as eminently reasonable and predictable. This year, if I had to say "he's turning the corner," I'd peg John Danks, Colby Lewis, and Wandy Rodriguez as people who will surpass expectations. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2010-10-14 13:00:00 | How do you think Texas will do in games 1 and 2 with CJ Wilson and Colby Lewis on the hill? (SprungOnSports from Long Island) | Huge, huge C.J. Wilson fan. I think the Rangers are going to surprise a lot of people and take down the Yankees pretty swiftly thanks to those two arms, never mind Cliff Lee. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-10-07 13:00:00 | John - Colby Lewis put together a pretty strong season. Do you think this was a mirage or something the Rangers could expect for the next couple years? (Shane from Miami) | Yes. He's always had a lot of talent and the one thing going to Japan did was teach him the value of throwing strikes. (John Perrotto) |
| 2010-10-01 13:00:00 | In my Strat-O-Matic league, Hellickson, Garcia, Bumgarner, Colby Lewis and Niese will be in next year's rookie draft along with Strasburg. Teams are allowed unlimited keepers, and next year's games are played using this year's stats. Given that, would you take any (or all) of those guys ahead of Strasburg?
(Rex Little from Big Bear, CA) | I'm afraid I don't know how Strat works well enough to answer this - does that mean that Strasburg will be limited to his actual innings pitched, or can you use him for a full season? (Colin Wyers) |
| 2010-08-26 13:00:00 | In my keeper league I'm allowed to keep 2 pitcher and 2 position players (with subsequent "raises" of $2 or $5). Who to keep out of the following, current salaries listed:
Pos: Rasmus ($2), Youklis ($4--DL waiver wire steal), Votto ($24), Tulo ($32).
Pitcher: Niemann ($8), Hudson ($7), Buchholz ($5), Colby Lewis ($3). (Andy from Chicago) | Rasmus, Youkilis. Buchholz, Lewis. That's the best combination of talent/contracts you have. Votto's fantastic, but getting Youkilis for $20 less is huge. Tim Hudson has been having a great season, but it's not the kind you should be betting on happening again next year. Lewis will do more for you in terms of whiffs. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-06-18 14:00:00 | In fantasy, what caliber of player would you look for in return for Colby Lewis? (FalcoT from Buffalo, NY) | Lewis is, what, back-end starter in an 8-team league or so? So in that case you'd probably want to go out and get someone who specializes in something, like steals, in which case a Brett Gardner would be a good pickup. But is Lewis really that valuable? If his ERA creeps into the upper 3s/low 4s, are the strikeouts enough to get anything worthwhile in return? (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-03-24 11:00:00 | You like Justin Masterson or Colby Lewis this season? (Tom from Chicago) | Masterson. This goes back to translations, but it's just very odd to me how dominant Colby Lewis was in Japan. He lead the Central League in strikeouts the last two years with basically the same stuff he had when he was pitching (and not especially well) in the U.S. Maybe he's turned it all around, but it seems like the Japanese variable is doing more of the work. (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2010-03-24 11:00:00 | So if the qualities of Colby Lewis' pitches are nothing special, what's made him able to dominate hitters in Japan? Presumably that's a skill hitters aren't used to seeing over there, but isn't special in MLB. Identifying those specific factors could be valuable to both MLB teams and Japanese teams.
Heck, maybe Matsuzaka's struggled with the same thing -- he can throw many decent pitches but without any one that's great. (Sky from The Roc, NY) | One way to look at it is by analogy to pinpoint control guys who struggle when they hit the majors. Lewis had a (filthy) 369/49 K/BB ratio in two season in Japan. He walked 19 guys last year. That just isn't realistic in the major leagues, because if you left that many low-90s fastballs in the zone, American League hitters would eat your lunch. *Unless you're Greg Maddux, and he isn't. (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2010-03-18 14:00:00 | Do you think that projected Rangers rotation could do enough to contend in the AL West with the stronger rotations in Seattle and Anaheim? Holland, Hunter and Lewis are still question marks? (SprungOnSports from Long Island) | I think they have the potential to very good but they will need a lot of things to break right, i.e. their young guys need to improve and Colby Lewis needs to show he really did improve during his time in Japan. I think the Rangers will contend. I think any of the top three could win the division. (John Perrotto) |
| 2010-02-16 16:00:00 | What do you think about Colby Lewis? (nils707 from MN) | Not much of a fan of the whole Lewis craze. There are plenty of guys who get it done in the minors, but not at the big league level. (NPB is a fine league, but not quite MLB caliber.) Why on earth would you give one of them a two-year deal? It’s a great story line, and I may end up wrong with this one, but he’s a risk that I wouldn’t want to take on. (Russell A. Carleton) |
| 2010-01-26 14:00:00 | Are the Rangers serious about givng Colby Lewis a rotation spot? (Shane from Fort Worth) | It certainly seems like it. He had a great year at Hiroshima last year. I think it's worth a gamble. (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2009-12-15 14:00:00 | I've heard that Colby Lewis has returned from Japan. Think anyone picks him up? (Ira from North Texas) | Maybe; it's not quite like my flying to Europe and telling the Bundesliga I'm available, after all. But he's 30, and he's gotten mauled in the majors. I'd take the suggestion made by Scott Atchison's similar return, and the barely-above-minimum deal that he got from Boston. (Christina Kahrl) |
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