Biographical

Portrait of John Lannan

John Lannan PRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 31)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
115.3 4.71 1.49 54 6 8 0 -0.1
Birth Date9-27-1984
Height6' 4"
Weight235 lbs
Age31 years, 9 months, 2 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
-0.42012
-0.42013
-0.02014
2015
-0.12016
+proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA. (For previous card version with FAIR_RA, click here.)
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP
2007 WAS MLB 6 6 34.7 36 17 10 3 .255 98 9.3 4.4 0.8 2.6 52% .273 .274 1.53 5.37 4.15 0 0.00 0.0
2008 WAS MLB 31 31 182.0 172 72 117 23 .262 96 8.5 3.6 1.1 5.8 56% .266 .260 1.34 4.76 3.91 112 6.02 -1.0
2009 WAS MLB 33 33 206.3 210 68 89 22 .259 95 9.2 3.0 1.0 3.9 54% .272 .262 1.35 4.66 3.88 113 5.67 -0.2
2010 WAS MLB 25 25 143.3 175 49 71 14 .262 92 11.0 3.1 0.9 4.5 51% .319 .296 1.56 4.49 4.65 117 7.72 -4.1
2011 WAS MLB 33 33 184.7 194 76 106 15 .255 96 9.5 3.7 0.7 5.2 57% .296 .275 1.46 4.25 3.70 118 6.17 -2.4
2012 WAS MLB 6 6 32.7 33 14 17 0 .259 100 9.1 3.9 0.0 4.7 59% .303 .253 1.44 3.75 4.13 116 6.21 -0.4
2013 PHI MLB 14 14 74.3 86 27 38 6 .251 105 10.4 3.3 0.7 4.6 55% .312 .289 1.52 4.34 5.33 115 5.40 -0.4
2014 NYN MLB 5 0 4.0 7 2 2 3 .255 93 15.8 4.5 6.8 4.5 47% .286 .522 2.25 13.35 15.75 113 5.42 -0.0
CareerMLB153148862.091332545086.258969.53.40.94.755%.289.2741.444.574.181105.96-8.5

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2005 VER A- 14 11 63.3 74 31 41 5 .263 102 10.5 4.4 0.7 5.8 49% .321 .291 1.66 4.83 5.26
2006 SAV A 27 25 138.1 149 54 114 11 .259 71 9.7 3.5 0.7 7.4 52% .316 .265 1.47 4.00 4.76
2007 WAS MLB 6 6 34.7 36 17 10 3 .255 98 9.3 4.4 0.8 2.6 52% .273 .274 1.53 5.37 4.15
2007 POT A+ 8 8 50.7 31 15 35 3 .254 104 5.5 2.7 0.5 6.2 62% .206 .193 0.91 3.54 2.13
2007 HAR AA 6 5 36.0 31 15 20 2 .255 114 7.8 3.8 0.5 5.0 58% .261 .227 1.28 4.21 3.25
2007 COH AAA 7 6 38.0 30 12 19 1 .251 94 7.1 2.8 0.2 4.5 48% .238 .204 1.11 3.63 1.66
2008 WAS MLB 31 31 182.0 172 72 117 23 .262 96 8.5 3.6 1.1 5.8 56% .266 .260 1.34 4.76 3.91
2009 WAS MLB 33 33 206.3 210 68 89 22 .259 95 9.2 3.0 1.0 3.9 54% .272 .262 1.35 4.66 3.88
2010 WAS MLB 25 25 143.3 175 49 71 14 .262 92 11.0 3.1 0.9 4.5 51% .319 .296 1.56 4.49 4.65
2010 HAR AA 7 7 40.7 49 10 28 3 .260 110 10.8 2.2 0.7 6.2 54% .346 .263 1.45 3.97 4.20
2011 WAS MLB 33 33 184.7 194 76 106 15 .255 96 9.5 3.7 0.7 5.2 57% .296 .275 1.46 4.25 3.70
2012 WAS MLB 6 6 32.7 33 14 17 0 .259 100 9.1 3.9 0.0 4.7 59% .303 .253 1.44 3.75 4.13
2012 SYR AAA 24 24 148.7 164 50 86 16 .251 100 9.9 3.0 1.0 5.2 57% .303 .256 1.44 4.43 4.30
2013 PHI MLB 14 14 74.3 86 27 38 6 .251 105 10.4 3.3 0.7 4.6 55% .312 .289 1.52 4.34 5.33
2013 CLR A+ 1 1 4.0 6 1 5 0 .280 103 13.5 2.2 0.0 11.2 77% .462 .310 1.75 2.24 2.25
2013 REA AA 1 1 7.0 7 1 1 0 .286 105 9.0 1.3 0.0 1.3 75% .292 .177 1.14 3.47 2.57
2014 NYN MLB 5 0 4.0 7 2 2 3 .255 93 15.8 4.5 6.8 4.5 47% .286 .522 2.25 13.35 15.75
2014 SLU A+ 6 6 21.3 30 7 11 2 .255 104 12.7 3.0 0.8 4.6 61% .337 .313 1.73 4.56 6.75
2014 LVG AAA 8 6 34.7 51 14 19 6 .267 98 13.2 3.6 1.6 4.9 57% .357 .318 1.88 6.15 6.75
2015 ABQ AAA 26 25 152.0 209 40 83 11 .262 115 12.4 2.4 0.7 4.9 53% .355 .281 1.64 4.26 5.39
2016 OMA AAA 16 14 88.0 108 27 34 11 .269 95 11.0 2.8 1.1 3.5 52% .309 .305 1.53 5.56 5.01

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 2779 0.4825 0.4315 0.8173 0.6003 0.2740 0.8994 0.6497 0.1827
2009 3083 0.5456 0.4450 0.8790 0.6029 0.2555 0.9162 0.7737 0.1210
2010 2342 0.5218 0.4342 0.8604 0.5966 0.2571 0.9232 0.7014 0.1396
2011 2927 0.4896 0.4305 0.8119 0.5932 0.2744 0.9012 0.6268 0.1881
2012 502 0.4323 0.4163 0.8373 0.5622 0.3053 0.9426 0.6897 0.1627
2013 1225 0.4824 0.4294 0.8156 0.5956 0.2744 0.9119 0.6207 0.1844
2014 92 0.4783 0.4022 0.8649 0.5455 0.2708 0.9167 0.7692 0.1351
Career129500.50420.4340.83950.59630.26790.91110.68310.1605

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-08-14 2013-09-30 60-DL 47 43 Left Knee Tendonitis Patellar Tendon - -
2013-04-18 2013-06-16 15-DL 59 54 Left Thigh Strain Quadriceps Tendon - -
2011-08-14 2011-08-20 DTD 6 4 Left Knee Soreness Fielding - -
2010-05-03 2010-05-13 DTD 10 9 Left Elbow Soreness -
2010-01-31 2010-01-31 Off 0 0 Face Surgery LASIK 2010-01-31
2008-06-22 2008-06-22 DTD 0 0 Left Wrist Contusion Batted Ball -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 KCA $
2015 COL $
2014 NYN $1,500,000
2013 PHI $2,500,000
2012 WAS $5,000,000
2011 WAS $2,750,000
2010 WAS $458,000
2009 WAS $424,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
6 yrPrevious$12,632,000
6 yrTotal$12,632,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
5 y 64 dBrodie Van Wagenen1 year (2016)

Details
  • 1 year (2016). Signed by Kansas City as a free agent 12/14/15 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year (2015). Signed by Colorado as a free agent 11/18/14 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year (2014). Signed by NY Mets as a free agent 1/20/14 (minor-league contract). Salary of $1.5M in majors. Performance bonuses: $0.1M each for 20, 23, 26, 29, 32 starts. $0.2M each for 150, 160, 170, 180, 190 innings. $0.25M each for 200, 210 innings. Contract selected by NY Mets 3/27/14. Sent outright to Triple-A by NY Mets 4/16/14. Refused assignment by NY Mets 10/6/14.
  • 1 year/$2.5M (2013). Signed by Philadelphia as a free agent 12/15/12. Performance bonuses: $0.2M each for 150, 160, 170, 180, 190 innings pitched. $0.25M each for 200, 210 IP. $0.25M each for 31, 32, 33, 34 games started. Refused outright assignment by Philadelphia 10/17/13.
  • 1 year/$5M (2012). Lost arbitration with Washington 2/2/12. Non-tendered by Washington 11/30/12.
  • 1 year/$2.75M (2011). Re-signed by Washington 1/17/11 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.458M (2010). Re-signed by Washington 2/10.
  • 1 year/$0.424M (2009). Re-signed by Washington 2/14/09.
  • 1 year (2008). Re-signed by Washington 1/11/08. Recalled 4/4/08.
  • 1 year/$0.38M (2007). Contract purchased by Washington 7/26/07. Optioned to Triple-A 8/27/07.
  • Drafted by Washington 2005 (11-324) (Siena).

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 7.4 8.5 0 24 24 132.7 134 34 62 13 .273 1.27 4.07 4.42 13.2 1.4
80o 6.8 8.6 0 22 22 126.6 135 35 59 13 .284 1.34 4.42 4.8 7.5 0.8
70o 6.3 8.6 0 22 22 122.3 136 35 57 13 .292 1.40 4.67 5.08 3.8 0.4
60o 6 8.6 0 21 21 118.6 136 35 55 13 .299 1.44 4.90 5.32 0.9 0.1
50o 5.6 8.6 0 20 20 115.3 137 35 54 13 .306 1.49 5.11 5.55 -1.7 -0.2
40o 5.3 8.6 0 20 20 112.0 137 35 52 13 .312 1.54 5.32 5.78 -4.1 -0.4
30o 5 8.6 0 19 19 108.5 137 35 50 13 .319 1.59 5.55 6.03 -6.5 -0.7
20o 4.6 8.6 0 19 19 104.4 137 35 49 13 .327 1.65 5.82 6.33 -9.0 -1.0
10o 4.1 8.5 0 18 18 99.0 137 35 46 13 .339 1.74 6.20 6.74 -12.0 -1.3
Weighted Mean5.78.602020115.2136355413.3041.485.095.53-1.5-0.2

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 6/29/2016 09:39 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 7.6 8.2 0 24 24 132.7 134 34 60 13 .272 1.27 3.76 4.16 13.2 1.4
80o 7 8.2 0 22 22 126.6 135 35 58 13 .283 1.34 4.07 4.51 7.7 0.8
70o 6.6 8.2 0 22 22 122.3 136 35 56 13 .291 1.40 4.29 4.76 4.1 0.4
60o 6.2 8.2 0 21 21 118.6 136 35 54 13 .298 1.44 4.49 4.97 1.3 0.1
50o 5.9 8.2 0 20 20 115.3 137 35 52 13 .305 1.49 4.67 5.17 -1.3 -0.1
40o 5.6 8.2 0 20 20 112.0 137 35 51 13 .311 1.54 4.85 5.38 -3.8 -0.4
30o 5.3 8.1 0 19 19 108.5 137 35 49 13 .318 1.59 5.05 5.6 -6.3 -0.7
20o 4.9 8.1 0 19 19 104.5 137 35 47 13 .326 1.65 5.29 5.86 -9.1 -1.0
10o 4.4 8 0 18 18 99.0 137 35 45 13 .337 1.74 5.62 6.23 -12.6 -1.4
Weighted Mean5.98.202020115.2136355213.3041.484.655.16-1.2-0.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
14% 17% 10% 15% 41%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201732340111165812132952.3141.574.925.4011.22.94.41.2-0.2
201833340101059731929952.3101.554.965.4411.12.94.41.4-0.2
2019343409955691727852.3121.554.955.4311.22.84.41.3-0.2
2020353309952641625852.3131.554.995.4811.12.84.41.4-0.2
2021362308848601523752.3121.565.005.4911.22.84.31.3-0.2
2022372308845561422752.3141.574.995.4811.32.84.41.4-0.2
2023382307743541421652.3121.575.015.5011.22.94.41.2-0.2
2024392307743531320652.3121.555.005.4911.22.74.21.3-0.2
2025402308844561421752.3121.585.045.5311.42.84.31.4-0.2

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
10.56.11.515.3out of baseball24.4

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
201510.56.11.515.3out of baseball24.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 76)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 83 David Pauley 2014 0.00 DNP
2 81 Dana Eveland 2015 5.40
3 81 Travis Blackley 2014 0.00 DNP
4 81 Pat Misch 2013 0.00 DNP
5 81 Luis Mendoza 2015 0.00 DNP
6 81 Brian Bass 2013 0.00 DNP
7 81 Kirk Saarloos 2010 0.00 DNP
8 80 Edgar Gonzalez 2014 0.00 DNP
9 80 Lenny DiNardo 2011 0.00 DNP
10 79 Jimmy Anderson 2007 0.00 DNP
11 79 Eddie Bonine 2012 0.00 DNP
12 79 Pete Munro 2006 0.00 DNP
13 79 Joe Martinez 2014 0.00 DNP
14 79 Jerome Williams 2013 4.94
15 79 Doug Mathis 2014 0.00 DNP
16 79 Justin Germano 2014 11.81
17 79 Eric Hacker 2014 0.00 DNP
18 78 Ryan Drese 2007 0.00 DNP
19 78 Scott Downs 2007 2.33
20 78 Shane Loux 2011 0.00 DNP
21 77 Jason Stanford 2008 0.00 DNP
22 77 Jason Grilli 2008 3.12
23 77 Ryan Rowland-Smith 2014 6.14
24 77 D.J. Carrasco 2008 3.72
25 77 Runelvys Hernandez 2009 0.00 DNP
26 77 Luke Hudson 2008 0.00 DNP
27 77 Chris Sampson 2009 5.69
28 76 Sam Narron 2013 0.00 DNP
29 76 Sean White 2012 0.00 DNP
30 76 Daniel McCutchen 2014 11.57
31 76 Randy Wells 2014 0.00 DNP
32 76 Philip Humber 2014 0.00 DNP
33 76 Eric Stults 2011 6.00
34 76 Matt Palmer 2010 5.35
35 76 Roberto Hernandez 2012 9.42
36 76 Dave Williams 2010 0.00 DNP
37 76 Charlie Morton 2015 5.37
38 76 Chris George 2011 0.00 DNP
39 76 Dontrelle Willis 2013 0.00 DNP
40 76 Billy Buckner 2015 0.00 DNP
41 76 Kyle Snyder 2009 0.00 DNP
42 76 Sergio Mitre 2012 0.00 DNP
43 76 Chris Jakubauskas 2010 27.00
44 75 Rick Bauer 2008 13.50
45 75 Justin Thomas 2015 0.00 DNP
46 75 Zach Duke 2014 3.07
47 75 David Purcey 2013 2.49
48 75 Zane Smith 1992 3.57
49 75 Willard Nixon 1959 0.00 DNP
50 75 Dusty Hughes 2013 0.00 DNP
51 75 Anthony Reyes 2013 0.00 DNP
52 75 Tom Cochran 2014 0.00 DNP
53 75 Bryan Bullington 2012 0.00 DNP
54 74 R.A. Dickey 2006 18.90
55 74 Matt Buschmann 2015 0.00 DNP
56 74 Jarrett Grube 2013 0.00 DNP
57 74 Justin Lehr 2009 5.37
58 74 Tommy John 1974 3.00
59 74 Zach Jackson 2014 0.00 DNP
60 74 Billy Traber 2011 0.00 DNP
61 74 Yunesky Maya 2013 54.00
62 74 Boof Bonser 2013 0.00 DNP
63 74 Ryan Ketchner 2013 0.00 DNP
64 74 Eric DuBose 2007 0.00 DNP
65 74 Bobby Cramer 2011 1.08
66 74 Clay Condrey 2007 5.40
67 74 Ruddy Lugo 2011 0.00 DNP
68 74 Dennis Lamp 1984 5.82
69 74 Bob Shaw 1964 4.24
70 74 Greg Smith 2015 0.00 DNP
71 74 Brian Burres 2012 0.00 DNP
72 74 Guillermo Moscoso 2015 0.00 DNP
73 73 Jerry Reuss 1980 2.90
74 73 Andy Pettitte 2003 4.71
75 73 Randy Keisler 2007 6.23
76 73 Chris Narveson 2013 0.00
77 73 Scott Erickson 1999 4.96
78 73 Henry Bonilla 2010 0.00 DNP
79 73 Angel Castro 2014 0.00 DNP
80 73 Tom Candiotti 1989 3.50
81 73 Everett Teaford 2015 1.59
82 73 Dustin Moseley 2013 0.00 DNP
83 73 Jason Bergmann 2013 0.00 DNP
84 73 Joe Bisenius 2014 0.00 DNP
85 73 Jorge Campillo 2010 0.00 DNP
86 73 John Denny 1984 3.09
87 73 Eric Junge 2008 0.00 DNP
88 73 Curt Simmons 1960 3.35
89 73 Brian Mazone 2008 0.00 DNP
90 73 Brad Thomas 2009 0.00 DNP
91 73 Tim Stauffer 2013 3.75
92 73 Doug Davis 2007 4.67
93 73 Michael Tejera 2008 0.00 DNP
94 72 Dock Ellis 1976 3.53
95 72 Kenny Baugh 2010 0.00 DNP
96 72 Horacio Ramirez 2011 7.00
97 72 Willie Collazo 2011 0.00 DNP
98 72 Kyle Davies 2015 0.00
99 72 Russ Meyer 1955 5.67
100 72 Mike Smith 2009 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Lannan was one of many small-scale signings the Phillies made that couldn't have gone worse. The lefty finished with the worst ERA of his career and needed two stints on the disabled list (strained left quad, patellar tendinitis in his left knee). The silver lining is that it gave the team a great opportunity to test Jonathan Pettibone at the major-league level, but the roster spot was infected; Pettibone eventually caught the injury bug, too. Lannan's control and groundball skills aren't all that notable, so he is even more reliant on his defense than most low-strikeout hurlers.
2013 Assigned the unenviable task of supplanting Stephen Strasburg in the Nationals rotation last September, Lannan responded by allowing two or fewer runs in three of his four starts. The lefty walks too many and strikes out too few to be a dependable starter for a contender, but his ability to induce grounders makes him a decent swingman for a good defensive team—which the 2012 Nationals were but the 2013 Phillies don't figure to be.
2012 Atypical junkballing lefty groundball starter. Atypical because he's held onto a starting job and not been horrific despite having only a show fastball. Lannan will start the season in the rotation, and he'll live on the edge, using everything in his arsenal to keep his infielders busy and trying to limit the free passes to those hitters who can routinely go deep. He has demonstrated the ability to take the mound and get guys out. If there's a clear path to improvement for him, it might be in the direction of an even more extreme groundball tendency.
2011 It's important to distinguish between ground balls being a good unto themselves and grounders leading to a never-ending drumbeat of base hits. Long the risk Lannan was willing to run, last year he ran it less well, but he was handicapped by elbow inflammation and command problems early, which seemed to contribute to his lowering his arm angle and flattening out his sinker. By the middle of June, he was allowing up almost two baserunners per inning, which led the Nats to grant him a mid-season demotion to get reacquainted with all of the good things he used to do. After his recall, he was the worm-killer of old, giving up 71 hits and just 14 walks in 68 1/3 IP and winning six of 11 starts while logging seven quality starts. Most importantly, his strikeout rate after his return was over 16 percent, which would be a career high if he could keep it up. The elbow seems sound, so if the new infield gels behind him, he makes a fine Comeback Player of the Year candidate.
2010 Because somebody has to be best, even on the Nationals, Lannan bore the burden of being the team's nominal ace. Groundballers can get away with lower strikeout rates, but his 4.8 K/9 since 2008 is much too low relative to his 3.1 UBB/9, both of which are more appropriate for a pitcher competing for the final spot in a rotation, not its top starter. While his .519 SNWP has led all Nationals over the last two seasons, it ranks a 62nd out of the 140 hurlers to make 30 or more starts in the same span. Lannan might be a pitcher whose worth can be artificially inflated by virtue of his modest status in an attempt to extract a great return in a trade, because as he gets closer to arbitration, it isn't best practice to pay big money to a fourth starter whose upside is that he'll remain a fourth starter.
2009 Lannan built off of a shocking 2007 ascent with a solid 2008 that was both better and worse than his record made it appear. He was the fifth-unluckiest pitcher in the majors last year, differencing his actual and expected won/loss record (12-9 would have been more like it), but he also benefited from a +14 defense, as Guzman gobbled up the steady stream of groundballs he induced toward short. He's the only pitcher from their '08 rotation who comes in as a sure thing for '09.
2008 Another product of Dana Brown's canny drafting, Lannan came to the organization as an 11th-round pick in 2005. A storky lefty with velocity that's developed since he was picked, he still doesn't hit the low 90s with regularity, but he's got some useful off-speed stuff. His promotions might seem as aggressive as Michael O'Connor's were in 2006, but Lannan tore through one challenge after another, getting hitters to pound pitches into the dirt, and earning a call-up. His promotion was premature, and he should be allowed to regroup in the minors and gear up for his next shot.

BP Articles

John Lannan is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
The NRI Watch: American LeagueR.J. Anderson2016-02-10
The Lineup Card: 11 Spring Training Performances We Sort of Believe InBaseball Prospectus2014-03-19
Overthinking It: The Big Questions from the 2014 SABR Analytics ConferenceBen Lindbergh2014-03-18
This article requires BP Premium accessFive to Watch: National League ProspectsBret Sayre2014-03-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Relief PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-03-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Relief PitchersJared Weiss2014-03-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Relief PitchersBen Murphy2014-03-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Tout Wars in ReviewMike Gianella2013-10-01
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 21, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-21
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 17, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-17
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 16, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 21Paul Sporer2013-08-16
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 15, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-15
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 10, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-10
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-04
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 3, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-03
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 31, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 18Paul Sporer2013-07-26
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 25, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-25
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Another Bad Night for the Blue JaysDaniel Rathman2013-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 14, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-14
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 9, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-09
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: One Less Marlin, and a New NationalMark Anderson2013-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: One Less Marlin, and a New NationalBen Lindbergh2013-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: One Less Marlin, and a New NationalR.J. Anderson2013-07-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 15Paul Sporer2013-07-05
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-04
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 29, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-29
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 24, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-24
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Matt Harvey Pitching to PitchersSam Miller2013-06-24
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 18, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 14, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 7, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-07
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 30, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-30
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 23, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-23
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 19, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Seeing What You Want to SeeBret Sayre2013-04-29
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Jonathan PettiboneMark Anderson2013-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Jonathan PettiboneBret Sayre2013-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Same Old SongDaniel Rathman2013-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 19, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-19
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 18, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-18
This article requires BP Premium accessProfiles in Lack of Lineup Protection: Giancarlo Stanton So FarBen Lindbergh2013-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessProfiles in Lack of Lineup Protection: Giancarlo Stanton So FarSam Miller2013-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 13, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-13
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 7, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-04-07
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 7, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-07
The Lineup Card: 12 Least-Favorite Off-Season MovesBaseball Prospectus2013-02-27
This article requires BP Premium accessArbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Homer BaileyDoug Thorburn2013-02-12
This article requires BP Premium accessArbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Homer BaileyIan Miller2013-02-12
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-01-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)My saber oriented Philly friend is howling at Rueben Amaro's off-season moves: Mike Young, Delmon Young, John Lannan, Chad Durbin, and the artist formely known as Yuniesky. In your humble opinion, are the Phillies actually moving forward, slamming on the accelator while in reverse, or simply stuck in neutral?
(Paul from DC)
They're not moving forward, far from it. They're not slamming on the accelerator either. I think they're trying to push it out of a ditch, if I had to pick any one automotive analogy. This is what happens when you extend Ryan Howard so far before free agency and only notice the skills you want to notice. Of the moves mentioned, the Lannan move bothers me the least. Or the Yuni NRI just because it's an NRI. (Zachary Levine)
2012-12-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)What can we expect from John Lannan if he does sign with Philly?
(Reggie from dancing)
5th-starter level goodness. Far better real-life player than fantasy. Elite groundball rate mitigates risk factor tied to Citizen's Bank's home runniness (new word, Merriam-Webster added it for sure... don't fact check that). (Paul Sporer)
2012-12-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you see the Twins targeting as far starting pitchers?
(twinsfan29 from Nashville)
You're much closer to all the buzz than I am, twinsfan29!

Jerry Crasnick from ESPN heard yesterday that they're in on Joe Blanton, who would fit well at Target Field. He also mentioned the recently non-tendered Mike Pelfrey and John Lannan here: https://twitter.com/jcrasnick/status/275711755441823744. Last week, the Twins were tied to Brett Myers, who could transition back from the bullpen. If they turn to the trade market, some of the Rays starters could be in play. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-08-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's your World Series matchup as of now?
(Alex from Anaheim)
Three weeks ago, the Angels would have been strong favorites to represent the American League and now they're an afterthought. So, take this with a grain of salt, but give me Washington / Texas. I have a perverse desire to see John Lannan make a World Series start. (Bradley Ankrom)
2012-06-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think that the Nationals can keep up their winning? Or will they become just another average team?
(Luis from Richmond)
I do think they can keep up their winning, as their record is essentially in line with their peripheral factors; their actual winning percentage (.581) and Hit List Factor (.580) are both tops in the league, and right in line with each other.

That said, they're likely going to have to do something about Stephen Strasburg late in the year, whether they hew to a hardline stance regarding his innings total or play it by ear. With Chien-Ming Wang turning into a pumpkin, they'll eventually need a reinforcement for that rotation, somebody better than the farmed-out John Lannan. (Jay Jaffe)
2012-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think the Angels should do with Peter Bourjos? With Mike Trout up, he's slated to play once (maybe twice) a week, and is apparently not someone the Angels are interested in trading right now. Do you think being a 4th OF in Anaheim is any better for him (or the team) than sending him to SLC?
(riley b from a tour bus headed for San Diego)
I want to say that Vernon Wells will eventually be pushed aside, or platooned at DH with Morales, and Bourjos and Trout can play CF/LF together. But I also don't think Trumbo is super likely to stay at third, and so he'll start getting OF starts. It's not that I'm against trading Bourjos, it's just that I don't ever get the sense (from the rumors and stuff) that they would get anything close to full value for him. I mean, the Bourjos for John Lannan rumors in the offseason were nothing, they weren't tied to reality (I don't think), but the fact that people in the industry, writers, etc, though that it was even remotely realistic tells me that, yikes, it might be remotely realistic. And trading Peter Bourjos for anything close to John Lannan would be absolutely insane.

I guess I'd keep him up as a fourth outfielder for now. Playing time has a way of working itself out, especially on a team with as many struggling hitters/fielders as the Angels. (Sam Miller)
2012-02-02 15:00:00 (link to chat)As best I remember, John Lannan is a pitcher who has seemed to outperform his stats. As a stats guru, you might have a lower opinion of him, but I still wonder what you think the Nats might be able to get back for him in trade. +1/2St.
(HalfStreet from Fairfax VA)
Having now signed E-Jax, and having plenty of other rotation options, my guess is the Nats will deal him for a mid- or lower-tier prospect to any team that will take his salary. He's a serviceable innings eater, and there is value in that, but there's little upside here that any team would trade a real asset to acquire. (Cory Schwartz)
2010-04-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)When looking at his peripherals, do you find Randy Wells' performance sustainable?
(Matt from Chicago)
Wells belongs to the same group as John Lannan in that guys of this ilk don't do anything that would make you think they should experience success at the big league level, but they do. I don't know if PITCHf/x is a route to take in exploring their attributes or something else, but they get batters out without blistering fastballs, oodles of movement, propensities for grounders, etc. Is Wells a sub-3.00 ERA pitcher? No, not a chance. But can he stick around with his skill-set? Of course. I could see him settling into that upper-3/lower-4 ERA area Lannan lives in and remaining a staple in the middle to back end of any rotation. (Eric Seidman)
2009-07-31 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think being able to force GIDP is a consistent skill like K's for guys like Joel Pineiro and John Lannan?
(George from Kansas)
I think it's more a function of groundball rates and runners on first base, one of which is a skill and the other an effect. I suppose you could check GB rate in DP situations versus others to see if there's an uptick, but you do have sample-size issues. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-07-31 14:00:00 (link to chat)John Lannan: Future #2 starter or Future #5 starter?
(John from Kentucky)
3.5 (Joe Sheehan)
2009-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will you admit that John Lannan is a good pitcher after he dominated your Yankees in the worst pitchers park in baseball?
(Mike from Maryland)
#4 starter. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-04-29 14:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on John Lannan? (Insert Beatles pun as needed.)
(Dan from PA)
Hey there Dan, how's it going? I typed his name into Google the other day to get one of his stat pages, and Google asked me if I meant "John Lennon". Lannan just missed KG's Top 11 for the Diamondbacks, and though I haven't asked him, I'm guessing it had something to do with his inability to put away hitters. He's still walking too many hitters, but he's upped the Ks above the average. He's intriguing, because if he adjusted, he's going to be a useful part for the Nats. He used his slider in less than one percent of the time last year, and this year has utilized it 22% of the time. Anyone have any info on the pitch? (Marc Normandin)
2008-04-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)Did I make the right decission sending John Lannan down to AAA instead of Matt Chico to start the season?
(Jim Bowden from Washington, DC)
Absolutely. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-02-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)You should take the over on the Nationals. You have them at 72, one down from last year's 73. With the upgrades in the OF (Nook/Langerhans for Lastings, Church/Snelling for Wily Mo/Dukes), Nick Johnson coming back, and an improved rotation (giving the innings that went to Jerome Williams, Joel Hanrahan, and Mike Bascik to Odalis Perez, John Patterson, John Lannan, Tyler Clippard, etc.) this team will be better.
(sbiel2 from Washington, DC)
You could be right there. One thing that PECOTA doesn't know, can't know yet, is just how all those playing time decisions will be made. Right now we have a best guess. As we see how the team sorts itself out, that prediction will be open to revision. (Steven Goldman)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener RoundtableJohn Lannan went three strong against the Phils, but can barely get anyone out the second time through. Highlighted by that massive Howard homer. Halladay with a swinging bunt to deliver career RBI #2.
(Clay Davenport)
 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


John Lannan has thrown 13,510 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2016, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (86mph) and Cutter (87mph), also mixing in a Slider (81mph), Curve (73mph), Change (82mph) and Fourseam Fastball (87mph).