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2013 Projections (seasonal age 26) - Rest of Season Projections
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Standard
| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | TB | BB | SO | HBP | SF | SH | RBI | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | TAv | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | DET | 23 | 151 | 675 | 618 | 103 | 181 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 247 | 47 | 170 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 27 | 6 | .293 | .345 | .400 | .271 | 30.9 | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| 2011 | DET | 24 | 153 | 668 | 591 | 90 | 147 | 22 | 11 | 10 | 221 | 56 | 181 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 45 | 22 | 5 | .249 | .317 | .374 | .250 | 12.0 | 5.6 | 1.9 |
| 2012 | DET | 25 | 137 | 617 | 543 | 103 | 163 | 29 | 10 | 16 | 260 | 67 | 134 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 66 | 12 | 9 | .300 | .377 | .479 | .307 | 46.0 | 8.6 | 5.8 |
| 2013 | DET | 26 | 38 | 183 | 167 | 38 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 66 | 15 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 0 | .287 | .346 | .395 | .279 | 12.6 | -2.0 | 1.1 |
| Career | 479 | 2143 | 1919 | 334 | 539 | 92 | 32 | 33 | 794 | 185 | 518 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 166 | 67 | 20 | .281 | .346 | .414 | .275 | 101.5 | 15.0 | 12.4 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | PA | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | BPF | BRAA | repLVL | POS_ADJ | FRAA | BRR | BVORP | BWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | CSC | A | 134 | 611 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .351 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2007 | CSC | A | 60 | 266 | .277 | .264 | .331 | .397 | .000 | .333 | 90 | 4.9 | 7.5 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | TAM | A+ | 67 | 284 | .304 | .266 | .331 | .401 | .000 | .395 | 102 | 14.3 | 8.1 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | SWB | AAA | 1 | 5 | .424 | .268 | .335 | .423 | .000 | 1.000 | 96 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | TRN | AA | 131 | 584 | .292 | .268 | .339 | .409 | .000 | .347 | 91 | 21.9 | 17.3 | -0.1 | -9.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | SWB | AAA | 132 | 557 | .279 | .267 | .331 | .401 | .000 | .389 | 93 | 12.2 | 16.5 | -0.1 | -10.2 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | DET | MLB | 151 | 675 | .271 | .260 | .320 | .407 | .000 | .396 | 102 | 7.7 | 19.1 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 4.7 | 30.9 | 3.5 | 30.9 | 3.5 |
| 2011 | DET | MLB | 153 | 668 | .250 | .260 | .318 | .404 | .000 | .340 | 102 | -6.8 | 12.0 | 1.6 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 12.0 | 1.9 | 12.0 | 1.9 |
| 2012 | DET | MLB | 137 | 617 | .307 | .259 | .319 | .418 | .000 | .371 | 103 | 28.3 | 11.1 | 1.5 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 46.0 | 5.8 | 46.0 | 5.8 |
| 2012 | TOL | AAA | 2 | 9 | .132 | .200 | .267 | .325 | .000 | .167 | 102 | -1.4 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.2 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2013 | DET | MLB | 38 | 183 | .279 | .267 | .319 | .421 | .266 | .344 | 98 | 3.4 | 5.0 | 0.5 | -2.0 | 3.4 | 12.6 | 1.1 | 12.6 | 1.1 |
| 2013 | TOL | AAA | 3 | 14 | .189 | .298 | .367 | .427 | .293 | .375 | 91 | -1.1 | 0.4 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -1.2 | -0.1 | -1.2 | -0.1 |
| Career | MLB | 2143 | .275 | .260 | .319 | .411 | .263 | .367 | 102 | 32.3 | 55.9 | 5.3 | 14.5 | 11.7 | 102.8 | 12.4 | 102.8 | 12.4 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | PA | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | ISO | TAv | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | CSC | A | 611 | 90 | 139 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 61 | 151 | 37 | 12 | .260 | .339 | .346 | .086 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | CSC | A | 266 | 33 | 61 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 24 | 59 | 19 | 6 | .260 | .337 | .374 | .115 | .277 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | TAM | A+ | 284 | 53 | 89 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 22 | 48 | 13 | 5 | .345 | .401 | .566 | .221 | .304 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | SWB | AAA | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .333 | .600 | .667 | .333 | .424 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | TRN | AA | 584 | 75 | 148 | 33 | 5 | 9 | 69 | 56 | 113 | 19 | 6 | .285 | .355 | .419 | .135 | .292 | 0.0 | -9.2 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | SWB | AAA | 557 | 67 | 151 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 40 | 123 | 24 | 4 | .300 | .358 | .405 | .105 | .279 | 0.0 | -10.2 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | DET | MLB | 675 | 103 | 181 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 41 | 47 | 170 | 27 | 6 | .293 | .345 | .400 | .107 | .271 | 30.9 | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| 2011 | DET | MLB | 668 | 90 | 147 | 22 | 11 | 10 | 45 | 56 | 181 | 22 | 5 | .249 | .317 | .374 | .125 | .250 | 12.0 | 5.6 | 1.9 |
| 2012 | DET | MLB | 617 | 103 | 163 | 29 | 10 | 16 | 66 | 67 | 134 | 12 | 9 | .300 | .377 | .479 | .179 | .307 | 46.0 | 8.6 | 5.8 |
| 2012 | TOL | AAA | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .125 | .222 | .125 | .000 | .132 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2013 | DET | MLB | 183 | 38 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 33 | 6 | 0 | .287 | .346 | .395 | .108 | .279 | 12.6 | -2.0 | 1.1 |
| 2013 | TOL | AAA | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .286 | .231 | .000 | .189 | -1.2 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-05-12 | 2013-06-14 | 15-DL | 33 | 30 | Right | Thigh | Strain | Hamstring | - | - |
| 2012-09-16 | 2012-09-17 | DTD | 1 | 1 | Left | Ankle | Soreness | Crashed Into Wall | - | - |
| 2012-05-17 | 2012-06-09 | 15-DL | 23 | 21 | - | Abdomen | Strain | - | - | |
| 2011-08-18 | 2011-08-19 | DTD | 1 | 0 | - | Soreness | Sliding | - | - | |
| 2011-07-11 | 2011-07-19 | DTD | 8 | 3 | Left | Wrist | Soreness | - | ||
| 2011-07-09 | 2011-07-10 | DTD | 1 | 1 | Left | Wrist | Soreness | - | ||
| 2011-07-07 | 2011-07-07 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Left | Wrist | Soreness | - | - | |
| 2010-06-14 | 2010-06-20 | DTD | 6 | 5 | Low Back | Strain | - | |||
| 2010-05-23 | 2010-05-25 | DTD | 2 | 1 | Head | Concussion | HBP | - | ||
| 2009-04-16 | 2009-04-21 | Minors | 5 | 0 | Left | Elbow | Contusion | - | ||
| 2007-04-18 | 2007-04-28 | Minors | 10 | 0 | Right | Hip | Strain | - |
Compensation
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BP Articles
Austin Jackson is referenced in the following articles.
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2011-03-09 13:00:00 | Austin Jackson: have we seen his best season or is he going to improve? (Jonathan from LA) | Austin Jackson is undoubtedly going to improve. He still may never have a better season than he did last year. It's not just luck in the sense that balls were finding holes, but it's luck in the sense that he outperformed his true talent level. I don't think he's as good a hitter or as good a defender as he showed. (Jeremy Greenhouse) |
| 2011-03-09 13:00:00 | RE: Austin Jackson. I understand saying he might have played "beyond his talent level" at the plate.......ya know, hr got some luck. But defensively? How does one play above their talent level defensively? Did the other team hit some lucky gappers that happened to be JUST in his reach? (singledigit from San Diego, Ca) | There is performance variation in all aspects of life. Good days, bad days, good years, bad years. We're trained to understand that with baseball hitters, batting averages will fluctuate. It works the same in every facet of the game. (Jeremy Greenhouse) |
| 2011-03-09 13:00:00 | I ain't letting go........lol.
.384 BABIP at AAA in 2009, a .396 BABIP last year, and has a .412 BABIP so far in spring training.
I see a trend. At what point for Austin Jackson does it stop being "luck"?
(singledigit from San Diego, Ca) | I think Jackson's BABIP talent level may well be above .360. My opinions of him were partially formed before he reached the Majors, and that's the main reason that I think he's playing above his head and has overperformed. It doesn't have as much to do with his high BABIP. He's a fast line-drive hitter who should have a high BABIP. (Jeremy Greenhouse) |
| 2010-12-20 13:00:00 | Austin Jackson in '11....big regression, more of the same, or show some progression w/a bit more power? (lemppi from Ankeny, IA) | I think he loses a lot of the BABIP-infused line, but DOES develop a bit more power. He hit .293/.345/.400 in 2010. I'll go with .276/.328/.430 in 2011. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-08-17 14:45:00 | Top 5 CFs in baseball for the next 5 years: CarGo, Rasmus, Austin Jackson, Adam Jones, Bourjos. (Joe Jackson from Foot Locker) | The first two for sure -- the latter three, I'm not even in the vicinity of sold yet. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-07-23 13:00:00 | Jay- so the Yankees have a history of playing up their prospects/youngsters only to trade them. Do you think this is intentional do increase their trade value? I can see that work with the media, but why would that work with these other clubs who have their own scouts? (DanDaMan from Sea Cliff) | I think they tend to hype them a bit, yes, though maybe less so than in the past. But I also think it's true that there's been more to their prospects, particularly the hitters, than what we've seen on the page, numbers-wise. Robbie Cano's minor league translations certainly didn't portend this kind of success, and likewise thus far with Brett Gardner and Austin Jackson.
I do think we in the stathead community have gotten a bit too comfortable with the idea that you can devalue scouting information in favor of translations or whatever. It's clear that that's generally a bad idea, and that you'll get a much better picture of a prospect if you can combine reliable scouting information with good stats and projection systems. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2010-08-04 13:00:00 | With the addition of Kearns the Granderson trade is now complete. How Bad a deal was it? (Frank Leja from Washington, DC) | Kearns doesn't really help... He's one of those rare righties that can't hit lefties. The theory, I guess, is that he will be better than Granderson, who is mostly helpless, but since April he's hit .225/.303/.338 against them. In a world in which most every right-handed hitter is at an advantage against lefties, the Yankees found the one guy who can't, but I suppose when you narrow the choices to "right-hand-hitting outfielders who are also decent gloves" the list gets fairly short -- otherwise they could have just stuck with Marcus Thames. As for the deal, Austin Jackson has had a good year, but a weird one. His BABIP is well over .400. His line-drive rate supports that, I guess, but it's hard to believe he won't see some regression. If/when that happens, his peripherals don't support real production. This is a long-winded way of saying I think it's premature to judge the deal--we're looking at Jackson at his unrealistic best and Granderson at his unrealistic worst. Perhaps spared from striking out against lefties every few games, the latter will find some consistency. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2010-08-04 13:00:00 | Steve, who are your best bets for ROY in each league? Seems kind of wide open. Thanks,
Dan (DanDaMan from Sea Cliff) | Sorry for the slight delay there, but Alex Rodriguez finally, finally hit #600. Not that I care that much, but maybe the Yankees can go back to winning now that one of their key players isn't constipated. Of course, it's already been one at-bat and he hasn't hit #601. Annnnyway, before he got blowed up yesterday, I would have said Jaime Garcia in the NL. I guess I'll stick with him, though (how do the Astros keep winning with that lineup? There has got to be a correction coming, right?). In the AL... the aforementioned Austin Jackson? The NL has a million candidates this year, the AL not so much. My pal Cliff Corcoran tracks the major award races in a weekly column at SI.com, so check that out for more. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2010-06-18 14:00:00 | Who would you rather have for the next five years: Austin Jackson or Brennan Boesch? (Oden from Motown) | Jackson -- even when the BABIP gods smite him, he still has speed and looks to have solid range in CF. Boesch has never been a high OBP guy and even this year's mark is infused by the .340+ BA. I'd love to have both in some capacity but Jackson was rated higher for specific reasons. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-05-14 13:00:00 | ETA of Austin Jackson coming back to earth? K'ing in 35% of your ABs, with a .500 BABIP is a recipe for regression. How does he end up the season? .270/.340/.410? (dianagramr from NYC) | Hey Diana. I think the correction has already begun, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him end up with a batting average maybe 10-20 points higher, with the other two rates about right (remember, he's not walking all that much. Let's say .285/.340/.410. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2010-05-05 13:00:00 | True or false: By season's end, Mark Teixeira will have a higher batting average than Austin Jackson? (small sample alert question of the moment) (dianagramr from NYC) | Actually a pretty good question. I have much more faith in Jackson keeping his batting average around .290-.300 than I do his power sustaining itself (at least in 2010). I'll say Teix gets it back up, just because I know if I don't he'll hit .370 in the second half instead of .330. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-03-26 13:00:00 | Will the Yanks regret dealing Austin Jackson? If not this year, then ever? (dianagramr from NYC) | Hey, Diana! A lot of it depends upon how well Curtis Granderson takes to New York. Do the contact lenses help? Can he restore his ability against lefties? Can the Yankees keep one of the two playoff spots that will inevitably come out of the AL East? If the answers to those are yes, not just this year but over the next few ones, I suspect they'll sleep OK no matter how Jackson does in Detroit. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2010-03-23 16:30:00 | I'm in a 10 team, 5x5 mixed league roto, no keepers. I currently have Colby Rasmus, Austin Jackson, and Chris Young on my team as possibles for my 5th outfield spot. Steals are my weakest point offensively (project to finish in the bottom 3), so I'm also looking at Lastings Milledge and Scott Podsednik on the waiver wire. Who should I be starting to begin the season, and should I drop one of my OFs to pick up Milledge or Podsednik? (Matt from California) | I'm not a fantasy baseball player actually, so it's tough to answer a question like this. I'll comment on the players rather than on their fantasy value. I will point out, though, that the question is not whether you are in bottom three in steals, but where the MARGINAL gains are. Are you particularly close to the 4th and 5th worst? Or are you in better striking distance of the better HR teams? As for Rasmus, I'm pretty bullish on his BABIP. He hits the ball hard and well. I'll have that up later this week. Similarly, I'm down on Chris Young's BABIP. I'm not sure he'll match his PECOTA projection unless he stops popping up so much. Milledge is always a question mark, and may not start. I see Podsednik being more likely to keep getting chances to steal. If Milledge stinks, the Pirates might not play him. (Matt Swartz) |
| 2010-02-26 13:00:00 | What's the most surprising comment you've heard about a prospect this year? (Joel from San Francisco) | Hmmm….good question. Maybe that Aroldis Chapman has a chance to break camp with the Reds? I don’t see it happening, but the speculation is out there. I’m surprised that Jim Leyland is talking about hitting Austin Jackson in the lead-off spot. My incliclation would be to let the kid ease in a little more slowly, perhaps as “the second lead-off hitter” in the nine hole.
And while it isn’t a comment, per se, I’m intrigued by a conversation I had recently with Alex Hassan, a 2009 Red Sox draft pick out of Duke. Hassan was a two-way player in college and the Red Sox drafted him as a pitcher. Rather than sign right away, Hassan opted for the Cape Cod League where he continued to both pitch and play the outfield. He hit the hell out of the ball, so the Red Sox came back to him with a better offer -- to sign as an outfielder, which he did. What interests me is the fact that scouts -- for the same team -- either disagreed or changed their mind based on this. Hassan isn’t a Casey Kelly-level prospect, certainly, but he has tools. (David Laurila) |
| 2010-02-23 13:00:00 | Could you give a quick snapshot of your thoughts on the near future performances of Curtis Granderson, Austin Jackson, and Johnny Damon? Thanks. (lemppi from Ankeny, IA) | If there was an offer from the White Sox, Johnny should have taken it, because he had a much better chance of continuing his park-generated power surge in Chicago than at Comerica, which really castrated left-handers last year. Granderson should benefit from making the opposite change of environment, though I don't expect him to be a 40-HR guy suddenly. Let's say consistency plus five to ten percent. Finally, I'm skeptical on Austin, who hasn't yet shown any power and who really slid off in the second half last year. He's interesting, but as we said in the book there's no evidence of his being an impact player right now. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2010-01-19 15:30:00 | Trade Stephen Drew, Austin Jackson and Budd Norris for David Freese, Scott Downs and CJ Wilson? In a dynasty league and have no relief pitching (Jquinton82 from NY) | I don't usually answer fantasy questions, but you do know that the Rangers are going to try Wilson in the rotation this spring, right? Even if he does go back to the pen, seems to me you're overpaying. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2010-01-26 14:00:00 | Who will be the top 5 NL players who will make their major league debut in 2010? (chaneyhey from stlouis) | Hmm, that's a toughie because it involves two variables that discount a player's expected value: likelihood of getting to the majors and expected production. We'll go with Heyward, Austin Jackson, Buster Posey, Jason Castro, and Madison Bumgarner. But that's basically an educated guess. (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2010-01-26 14:00:00 | And Austin Jackson isn't in the NL (Adam from Seaside) | Okay, no more lists. Pedro Alvarez (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2010-01-04 14:00:00 | Would the Tigers be crazy to start the season with Austin Jackson in CF, or can they get better production right now from an in house option? (Kevin from MI) | Am I the only guy left who kinda likes Austin Jackson? Not in some impact way, but definitely in a solid every day guy kind of way. He should start opening day. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2009-12-11 13:00:00 | Do you think the depth of OF, esp. in CF Heathcott, Duran, Sosa, etc. made A.Jackson expendable? Or was the bigger factor that he wouldn't be ready this year? What is your view of Granderson vs. Jackson? (jbk from ny) | The fact that the Yankees could get Curtis Granderson made Austin Jackson expendable. Jackson is ready right now, and will likely start for Detroit. I think Granderson is a better overall player, but not by a ton. At the same time, I also think Granderson is the perfect fit for the Yankees. That was a strange trade where I think both the Yankees and Tigers did great -- the D-Backs . . . not so much. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2009-12-11 13:00:00 | Since Austin Jackson was traded in the time between top 11s, is there any chance that we could get the report that was going to appear on the Yankees' list? Thanks Kevin. (Jeff from Pittsburgh) | I'll address it briefly in the end section for you. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2009-12-11 13:00:00 | Joe Sheehan, in his article and chat earlier this week, pretty confidently stated that Austin Jackson cannot be an average big league CF defensively, the only stated evidence being that he put in some time at corner OF in AAA last year. He sort of poo-pooed the trade (from a detroit perspective) based on his opinion that Jackson in a corner is 4th OF. Are you at all concerned that Jackson wont' stick in center throughout his 20s at least? (don from lansing, MI) | I think Jackson will be just fine in center. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2009-12-09 13:00:00 | Is Granderson really that much of a better option than Mike Cameron for a year plus Austin Jackson's pre-arb years? (wgobetz from jersey city, nj) | Austin Jackson isn't that good. Not enough glove to play CF, not enough bat to play a corner. Melky without the defense, if you prefer. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-09-29 13:00:00 | Hi Steve, what do you think the Yankees should do for DH next year? Lots of folks are saying they need to keep it open as a revolving door for the older players (specifically Posada), but isn't that a dangerous thing to do? Don't they need to acquire an actual hitter for that spot? If those older players are really going to play so much DH, that means lots of plate appearances will go to inferior bench players. I don't like that at all.
Maybe a trade for Adam Dunn makes sense? If not, how about Matsui or Thome on a one-year deal? (Ralphus from Connecticut) | Keeping it open for Posada would be a swell idea if they had an equivalent bat to put behind the plate. If you're just opening up a spot for someone like Cervelli to be a regular, you're just hurting yourself. Now, say the Yankees traded for a youngish catcher with pop, someone like Chris Ianetta (alright, Ianetta hit .166 on the road this year, but bear with me) who, IIRC, will be arb-eligible this year. Then it makes sense to do that with Jorge, along the lines of the Yankees pushing Yogi Berra to LF from time to time to make room for Ellie Howard. I'd love to see Dunn as a Yankee, but don't think it will happen. In any case, my preference would be a solution along the lines I just suggested -- a DH rotation is fine provided you're not using it as a way to get an inferior bat in the lineup. If it gets a kid catcher in (one who will develop offensively) great. If it gets Austin Jackson in the lineup and Austin can contribute more than his translations suggest, great. If it gives Montero a place to play, great. Those things would all be better than giving another contract to a 35-40 year-old. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2009-08-13 13:00:00 | If you were Brian Cashman, what would you offer Johnny Damon to re-sign? 2 years for ?? million? (Pete from Bronx) | It seems like the assumption now is that Damon should be brought back. Given that the Yankees don't have great alternatives (Austin Jackson's MLE doesn't inspire confidence)and the free agent class is not bursting with possibilities, maybe it's a reasonable assumption. I do worry about Damon being a product of Friendly YS II (or III, really), with only .273/.346/.459 rates on the road and declining defense. Two years would be my upper limit... I really wonder if Damon is going to last long enough to get 3,000 hits and wind up as a totally unexpected HOFer. It could happen. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2009-07-31 14:00:00 | Jerry Hairston? Did they miss Angel Berrora?? (Eli from Brooklyn) | Actually, he's a very good bench player, a nice addition for a team that usually has lousy benches.
Since we're here, it's interesting to note that what we start with isn't always what we end up with, which is why I wait for final confirmation before discussing these deals. The Hairston deal was first reported as Austin Jackson for him. Yonder Alonso was initially mentioned in the Rolen deal--he's not. I really, truly hate analyzing rumors. It's a half-step up, maybe not that, from writing fiction. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-07-13 14:00:00 | You're the Cleveland GM. I offer you Austin Jackson, Wilkin de la Rosa, David Robertson, and Edwar Ramirez for Cliff Lee. You take it? (Robert O from NY) | I think I can do better. Just two prospects there. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-05-12 13:00:00 | Austin Jackson, is he the type of player that we can count on to make an appearance this season? (Mike from NJ) | He's played well enough that he should be on the short list as soon as there's another injury to an outfield. Actually, there is no short list. He IS the list. It would be nice if he hit a HR or two, but he hasn't done anything to hurt his cause that I can see. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2009-03-13 13:00:00 | Thanks for chatting Steve. Any chance Austin Jackson gets a chance in CF this year for the Yanks if, A) he's showing progress and having a good year in AAA and B)Gardner and Melky dont pan out? (Norm from Cheers) | Lots of Yankees questions today, stands to reason with me here... Given the situation that you posit, it would seem logical, though the Yankees being the Yankees, I'd expect them to pursue a veteran solution first... Keep in mind, re Jackson, to expect solid, not spectacular. There isn't really the suggestion of coming star in what he's done so far. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2009-02-16 14:00:00 | What do you think the odds are that Austin Jackson could, in a mid-season callup, out-perform Brett Melkner? ;)
Also, do you think such a callup would be bad for his development? (Rob from CT) | I think he'll easily be better than either Gardner or Melky. As far as being bad for his development, that would depend on how things are going at the time, but I'd generally say it'd be fine. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-12-23 14:00:00 | Now that the Yankees have Tex, what do you think of their offeason? It seems pretty good, albeit insanely expensive. What would their ideal lineup be, with the Matsui/Damon/Melky/Swisher/Nady outfield mess? (Eli from Brooklyn) | I like it, and I like that mess--Nady gets used as a platoon player, as he should be, Damon and Matsui DH a lot, and you mark time in center until Austin Jackson's ready. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2008-11-14 13:00:00 | Hi Steve; Will Phil Coke be a starter or reliever in NY or Scranton? Will Brett Gardner really be the opening day starting centerfielder? (Eric from Manorville) | My own sense of Coke's development is that the bullpen would be a better fit, but the Yankees seem to be ambivalent at this point. I don't see the harm of giving him a year in the pen and putting off the decision for awhile (it worked for Kenny Rogers, sort of) either way. As for Gardner, my sense is they're looking for alternatives. It's actually a difficult choice, as success or failure on Gardner's part is a question of ten singles falling in or getting caught. I don't think he's an impact player either way, but he could certainly hold down the position for a bridge year or half a year until Austin Jackson shows he can be more of a producer in center. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2008-11-19 13:00:00 | If the Yankees don't end up with Teixeira, and Swisher ends up at first, doesn't signing Jim Edmonds make sense as a placeholder until Austin Jackson can come up? (Charlie from Bethesda, MD) | Is it Edmonds in San Diego or Chicago? And would someone please tell me what changed when he switched teams?
To answer the question, no, I don't think so. (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-11-03 13:30:00 | OK, same question I ask everyone at these chats: who mans CF for the Yanks next year? Another year of Melky, hoping he pans out? Hope Damon holds down the fort for a year, and pray that Austin Jackson is the answer? Someone else? Can Milton Bradley play center anymore? (shamah from NYC) | I think the question describes how far standards for center-field play have fallen in New York, thanks to the downslope of Bernie Williams' career. Bradley? No. Damon? No. Melky... if this wasn't a win-now kind of club, sure, but the Yankees have their ambitions, and the clock's ticking on how much longer you can contend with the Jeter/A-Rod combo. In the absence of great options on the market, and in light of Jeter's problems afield, I'd suggest they move the Captain to center now, while anticipating that eventually Jackson's the answer. Then, decide if you want to put A-Rod at short is still feasible, or dip into a market that has some veteran shortstops who can play or do the Pirates a favor and take on Jack Wilson's contract.
I know, it isn't going to happen, but you'd think that if the Captain would agree to play somewhere else--and have some value as a hitter--a marquee position like center would work for him. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2008-09-16 13:00:00 | I think John might have mixed up Little Big League for Rookie of the Year, which Stern actually directed. And no Daniel Stern list is complete without that great piece of cinematic glory, "Celtic Pride."
Any thoughts on the Yanks CF situation? Are you in the camp that thinks they need to go outside of the organization to fill that need? (Tim from Sonoma, CA) | It depends on how soon Austin Jackson will be coming along. I have a lot of questions about Austin here, about whether he should be playing right now or not. I believe he has some minor physical problems, so I guess not. Also, as bad as Brett Gardner has been, and he's been mighty bad - -7.8 VORP in 99 plate appearances is special - it's almost as bad as what Jose Molina has been able to do in a whole season...
Steve pauses to address technical problems as his mouse refuses to mouse to where it's supposed to... Trenton is a tough place to hit, and Jackson batted .311/.388/.496 on the road, so he's a bit further along than he looked. Say the physical problems resolve and he plays some good lookin' winter ball (can't recall if he's slated or not), or even if he just comes to spring training and looks good, he could be ready right quickly. I think the Yankees can kite along with Gardner and a fourth outfielder type to be signed later (heck, maybe that's Melky, who can at least field) until Jackson earns his chance. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2008-09-16 13:00:00 | Do the Yankees decide to sign Pettitte to a 1-year deal during the offseason considering how he has pitched of late, or do they just try to sign Moose to a 1-year? The Yankees have to try to sign one of them to help with stability in the rotation...
As for Austin Jackson, he does have a slight back problem (he's in New York for an MRI) and will be playing in the AFL... (Steph from California) | Hi there, Steph. I'm kind of ambivalent about Pettitte. My sense is that it's time to move on, but I don't want to overreact to what could just be a kind of slump and some bad defensive play behind him. I also feel like the Yankees should not be overly discouraged by Phil Hughes, Ian Kennedy, et al and should keep some slots open for the young, because they have to get younger. I know they're going to turn their back on them for every Tom, Dick, and Pavano out there, but that's my feeling... If Jackson is healthy, I think he'll put up very good numbers in the AFL. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2008-09-12 13:00:00 | What do you think of DeJesus going to the Yankees? He's probably relatively cheap, they can play Nady in RF, Damon in LF, Matsui at DH, and let Austin Jackson spend more time in the minors. Seems like a great stopgap solution to me. (Charlie from Bethesda, MD) | Just judging from the number of calls to draft/steal/acquire David DeJesus, there seems to be a lot of sentiment in favor of getting him in this chat room, but I guess like you I wonder if this doesn't just reproduce the problem with getting Damon in the first place--if the guy can't really help you as a center fielder, he's going to have to do some extraordinary hitting to help you otherwise. The talk of moving Damon to first is interesting, however... with DeJesus, sure, it would be a patch, but I think Jackson's the eventual answer, and if they stick with Melky and Brett Turner in the meantime, that beats doing something like repeating the exercise of giving Terrence Long a last stop. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2008-09-09 13:30:00 | So who should the Yanks start as CF next season? Does Melky get another chance? Just stick Damon out there to keep it warm for Austin Jackson for antoher season? What's Plan C: Brett Gardner? (shamah from NYC) | It can't be Damon. It just can't. I'd run Cabrera, who's still just 24 next year, out there one more time, and if it failed, go outside the organization in-season. That said, I have no credibility when it comes to Cabrera. I don't see an obvious external answer on the FA market. There are some contracts you might be able to buy--Wells, perhaps. Rowand? Matthews is terrible. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2008-09-08 13:00:00 | What do the Yankees do with Melky in the offseason? This season was a disaster! Do they keep Damon there next year to keep it warm for Austin Jackson? Give Melky anoter chance? (shamah from NYC) | I suspect Melky gets another chance. Damon already talks about how much he'd like to remain a DH, and his play in center seems to bear that out. (Derek Jacques) |
| 2008-09-03 14:00:00 | Austin Jackson hasn't done much in the past few weeks/months. Was last seasons breakout for real? I don't think this kid is going to be as good as a lot of people think.. (Joe Lefko from NJ) | I think he's going to be plenty good, solid starting CF, occasional all-star possibilities. That might not be a total stud, but that's still awfully good. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-08-28 13:00:00 | If the Yanks are smart, and I think Cashman is, and I think (hope) he stays - isn't the wiser move to forget 2009 and prepare for 2010, or even 2011? You don't have to say it - they never would - and its not like attendance will fall, what with the Stadium v2.0 opening . . . Doing this doesn't preclude signing CC or Tex (or both), just being realistic, even if only internally (Shaun P. from Medway, MA) | Maybe you're right, but I don't know if it will get better by then, because the position guys under contract will be going soft and moldy by then, and who are the position players in the system coming up behind Austin Jackson to replace them? Not that Austin Jackson looks like Mickey Mantle either. Jesus Montero might not be ready by then. There is very little to look forward to in that regard. The Yankees have obviously had some success drafting pitching, but the Yankees couldn't find a position player prospect even if the player had I HAVE BEEN POSSESSED BY LOU GEHRIG'S RESTLESS SOUL floating in fiery letters above his head. I could see Hughes or Kennedy or both suddenly clicking in next year and making things look a lot better, but on the whole I'm not real optimistic about the Decaying Derek Jeter Era. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2008-08-20 13:00:00 | okay given the yanks want Austin Jackson as the future CF but he's not ready, and you need someone for the (improbable / impossible) stretch race to the playoffs, what do you do then? (DanLong from WFC) | You play Gardner for now. That said, we have the Yankees with a 2.4% of making the playoffs. That's a 42-1 longshot. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-07-29 16:00:00 | Padres trade: Adrian Gonzalez, Greg Maddux, Heath Bell
Yankees send: Austin Jackson, Phil Hughes, Ian Kennedy, Melky Cabrera, Cano and a throw-in of Kei Igawa (dcoonce from bloomington, indiana) | You've been at Nick's early, haven't you? (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-07-03 13:00:00 | Any chance Girardi and Co. listen to Goldman and Brett Gardner steals Melky's job in CF? (Michael from Toronto) | Sure; but both are probably placeholders for Austin Jackson eventually. (Jeff Erickson) |
| 2008-07-03 13:00:00 | Austin Jackson over Jose Tabata? And when will we see them playing for the yankees? Could we see Jackson as a September call-up? What is Melky Cabrera's future? (Mike from NY) | Melky's future: 4th outfielder. Jackson looks a lot closer to being ready than Tabata, who has really regressed this season. Jackson could be an August callup, even, if Melky and/or Gardner don't produce soon. (Jeff Erickson) |
| 2008-06-24 13:00:00 | Wouldn't trading Melky Cabrera eliminate an appealling stopgap replacement for Abreu in RF next season? Especially if they sign Teixeira and can afford to carry a Gardner/Cabrera/debuting Austin Jackson/Betemit/Duncan platoon in CF and RF? (Tony from Brooklyn, NY) | I have long been on record as not believing in "carrying" a bat... And what would be the point of signing a Teixeira if it just took a problem and shifted it elsewhere. The whole point is to get better, not tread water. Cabrera would be below replacement in RF. What's the average RF hitting just now (checking)? Let's say about .272/.340/.440. I don't think you get that from Melky.
Dad put Mom on the phone. Definitely can't hang up on Mom, but I'm done now. What a day. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2008-06-17 15:00:00 | Wang's down, and the bullpen needs help. The Astros are now under .500. How about Valverde and Oswalt for Phil Hughes and Austin Jackson? (wilk75 from Houston) | No freakin' way. Oswalt hasn't pitched well this year while dealing with hip and/or groin problems, and while he's a very, very good pitcher at his best, and Valverde is pretty decent, it's tough to justify trading two guys who are nowhere near their arbitration eligibility for that combo. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2008-01-31 13:00:00 | I'm not sure I get the sudden love for Austin Jackson.
How does one outstanding half season transform an chronic underachiever into a top prospect? Don't you need to see more? (Tom from Palm Bay, Fl) | You need to see more, yes. But the thing is, and this is where the scouting aspect becomes very important, is that Jackson has the tools and athleticism to justify such a breakout. I don't think it's a fluke as much as him finally playing to his tools. (Kevin Goldstein) |
BP Roundtables
| Date | Roundtable Name | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-04-05 09:30:00 | Season Opener Roundtable | Austin Jackson with his first MLB hit in the inning BTW. (David Laurila) |
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