Biographical

Portrait of Philip Humber

Philip Humber PAthletics

Athletics Player Cards | Athletics Team Audit | Athletics Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 31)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
98.0 4.52 1.39 67 5 5 1 -0.2
Birth Date12-21-1982
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lbs
Age31 years, 10 months, 4 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
0.52010
2.52011
-0.12012
-0.42013
-0.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2006 NYN 23 2 0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 0.00 2.61 2.58 0.5 0.0
2007 NYN 24 3 1 7.0 4.0 3.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 32 9 6 6 1 17 2 2 0 2 7.71 5.32 6.27 -0.3 -0.0
2008 MIN 25 5 0 11.7 0.0 11.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 11 6 6 4 24 5 5 1 6 4.63 8.13 8.32 -2.9 -0.3
2009 MIN 26 8 0 9.0 0.0 9.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 17 8 8 1 20 9 7 0 9 8.00 5.59 5.21 0.8 0.1
2010 KCA 27 8 1 21.7 5.7 16.0 2 1 0 2 0 0 94 22 10 10 1 27 7 5 1 16 4.15 3.28 3.55 5.2 0.5
2011 CHA 28 28 26 163.0 161.0 2.0 9 9 0 0 15 2 676 151 71 68 14 222 41 39 6 116 3.75 3.62 3.86 25.3 2.5
2012 CHA 29 26 16 102.0 88.0 14.0 5 5 0 0 7 0 462 113 74 73 23 203 44 43 4 85 6.44 5.72 6.00 0.3 -0.1
2013 HOU 30 17 7 54.7 33.7 21.0 0 8 0 3 2 0 259 75 48 48 9 134 20 19 1 36 7.90 5.05 5.76 -3.5 -0.4
Career9751371.0292.378.7162305242163039822321953647129121132725.314.614.9325.52.3

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2005 SLU A+ 14 14 70.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.701 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 BIN AA 1 1 4.0 4.31 92 .285 .243 .316 .358 .257 .286 87 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.0
2006 NYN MLB 2 0 2.0 2.58 141 .075 .271 .317 .395 .251 .000 89 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0
2006 SLU A+ 7 7 38.1 4.05 110 .175 .237 .312 .351 .249 .196 92 5.6 0.6 5.6 0.6
2006 BIN AA 6 6 34.0 4.03 84 .234 .240 .311 .335 .252 .231 75 2.7 0.3 2.2 0.2
2006 MTS Rk 1 1 4.2 1.51 174 .299 .297 .367 .390 .289 .636 122 2.6 0.3 2.6 0.3
2007 NYN MLB 3 1 7.0 6.27 66 .302 .264 .325 .407 .253 .296 98 -0.3 -0.0 -0.3 -0.0
2007 NWO AAA 25 25 139.0 5.41 89 .247 .273 .339 .433 .259 .276 100 10.0 1.0 11.0 1.0
2008 MIN MLB 5 0 11.7 8.32 27 .290 .273 .336 .437 .267 .206 102 -2.9 -0.3 -2.9 -0.3
2008 ROC AAA 31 23 136.3 5.40 76 .274 .261 .333 .397 .263 .295 91 -5.1 -0.5 -5.1 -0.5
2009 MIN MLB 8 0 9.0 5.21 99 .333 .257 .320 .418 .251 .516 107 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.1
2009 ROC AAA 23 22 119.7 5.23 95 .267 .261 .334 .395 .251 .312 111 6.5 0.6 6.5 0.6
2009 PON Wnt 4 3 16.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .333 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 KCA MLB 8 1 21.7 3.55 130 .228 .269 .329 .410 .255 .304 113 5.2 0.5 5.2 0.5
2010 OMA AAA 21 20 118.7 5.91 78 .262 .286 .354 .446 .269 .297 97 1.3 0.1 1.3 0.1
2011 CHA MLB 28 26 163.0 3.86 117 .233 .253 .319 .399 .259 .275 104 25.3 2.7 25.3 2.5
2011 CHR AAA 1 1 5.0 4.74 92 .297 .246 .324 .374 .250 .375 91 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0
2012 CHA MLB 26 16 102.0 6.00 70 .290 .252 .316 .398 .257 .294 104 0.1 0.0 0.3 -0.1
2012 BIR AA 1 1 6.0 3.51 106 .110 .265 .350 .428 .279 .133 84 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.1
2012 CHR AAA 2 2 6.3 5.49 82 .296 .263 .329 .401 .256 .333 100 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
2013 HOU MLB 17 7 54.7 5.76 63 .340 .258 .323 .411 .272 .342 98 -3.5 -0.4 -3.5 -0.4
2013 OKL AAA 20 7 50.0 6.16 67 .304 .261 .330 .404 .265 .318 97 -1.9 -0.2 -1.9 -0.2
2014 SAC AAA 44 3 69.0 5.20 85 .274 .279 .345 .431 .268 .303 88 6.3 0.6 6.3 0.6

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2005 SLU A+ 2 6 0 14 14 70.3 74 18 65 6 0% -.701 9.5 2.3 0.8 8.3 1.31 4.99 0.0 0.0
2005 BIN AA 0 1 0 1 1 4.0 4 2 2 0 50% .286 9.0 4.5 0.0 4.5 1.50 6.75 0.4 0.0
2006 BIN AA 2 2 0 6 6 34.0 25 10 36 4 49% .231 6.6 2.6 1.1 9.5 1.03 2.91 2.2 0.2
2006 MTS Rk 0 0 0 1 1 4.2 7 1 7 0 45% .636 15.0 2.1 0.0 15.0 1.90 6.43 2.6 0.3
2006 SLU A+ 3 1 0 7 7 38.1 24 9 36 4 55% .196 5.7 2.1 0.9 8.5 0.87 2.36 5.6 0.6
2006 NYN MLB 0 0 0 2 0 2.0 0 1 2 0 25% .000 0.0 4.5 0.0 9.0 0.50 0.00 0.5 0.0
2007 NWO AAA 11 9 0 25 25 139.0 129 44 120 21 42% .276 8.4 2.8 1.4 7.8 1.24 4.27 11.0 1.0
2007 NYN MLB 0 0 0 3 1 7.0 9 2 2 1 29% .296 11.6 2.6 1.3 2.6 1.57 7.71 -0.3 -0.0
2008 ROC AAA 10 8 0 31 23 136.3 145 49 106 21 38% .295 9.6 3.2 1.4 7.0 1.42 4.56 -5.1 -0.5
2008 MIN MLB 0 0 0 5 0 11.7 11 5 6 4 50% .206 8.5 3.9 3.1 4.6 1.37 4.63 -2.9 -0.3
2009 ROC AAA 7 9 0 23 22 119.7 135 45 87 15 39% .312 10.2 3.4 1.1 6.5 1.50 5.34 6.5 0.6
2009 MIN MLB 0 0 0 8 0 9.0 17 9 9 1 50% .516 17.0 9.0 1.0 9.0 2.89 8.00 0.8 0.1
2009 PON Wnt 1 1 0 4 3 16.0 17 6 18 2 0% .333 9.6 3.4 1.1 10.1 1.44 4.50 0.0 0.0
2010 OMA AAA 5 6 0 21 20 118.7 131 20 80 17 48% .297 9.9 1.5 1.3 6.1 1.27 4.47 1.3 0.1
2010 KCA MLB 2 1 0 8 1 21.7 22 7 16 1 44% .304 9.1 2.9 0.4 6.6 1.34 4.15 5.2 0.5
2011 CHR AAA 0 0 0 1 1 5.0 7 1 5 1 35% .375 12.6 1.8 1.8 9.0 1.60 7.20 -0.1 -0.0
2011 CHA MLB 9 9 0 28 26 163.0 151 41 116 14 48% .275 8.3 2.3 0.8 6.4 1.18 3.75 25.3 2.5
2012 CHA MLB 5 5 0 26 16 102.0 113 44 85 23 36% .294 10.0 3.9 2.0 7.5 1.54 6.44 0.3 -0.1
2012 BIR AA 1 0 0 1 1 6.0 2 0 5 0 40% .133 3.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 0.33 1.50 0.5 0.1
2012 CHR AAA 0 1 0 2 2 6.3 8 4 4 1 36% .333 11.4 5.7 1.4 5.7 1.89 5.68 0.1 0.0
2013 OKL AAA 2 4 0 20 7 50.0 57 18 38 7 39% .318 10.3 3.2 1.3 6.8 1.50 4.68 -1.9 -0.2
2013 HOU MLB 0 8 0 17 7 54.7 75 20 36 9 47% .342 12.3 3.3 1.5 5.9 1.74 7.90 -3.5 -0.4
2014 SAC AAA 6 4 1 44 3 69.0 67 26 68 8 37% .303 8.7 3.4 1.0 8.9 1.35 3.65 6.3 0.6

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 184 0.4674 0.4022 0.8649 0.6628 0.1735 0.9298 0.6471 0.1216
2009 216 0.4861 0.4028 0.8161 0.6381 0.1802 0.8657 0.6500 0.1839
2010 348 0.5144 0.4626 0.8758 0.6201 0.2959 0.9279 0.7600 0.1180
2011 2487 0.5420 0.4665 0.7993 0.6217 0.2792 0.8795 0.5881 0.1998
2012 1762 0.5369 0.4403 0.8142 0.6184 0.2328 0.8889 0.5842 0.1845
2013 911 0.5335 0.4774 0.8088 0.6379 0.2918 0.8839 0.6210 0.1912
Career59080.53320.45580.81240.6250.26140.88690.60620.1861

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2012-06-17 2012-07-17 15-DL 30 24 Right Elbow Strain Flexor Pronator Mass - -
2012-03-16 2012-03-16 Camp 0 0 Right Thumb Laceration - -
2011-08-19 2011-09-03 15-DL 15 12 - Face Contusion Batted Ball - -
2010-06-11 2010-06-18 Minors 7 0 - Head Concussion Batted Ball - -
2010-04-25 2010-05-03 Minors 8 0 Right Elbow Inflammation -
2008-06-07 2008-06-21 Minors 14 0 Right Elbow Inflammation - -
2007-07-27 2007-08-06 Minors 10 0 - General Medical Illness Food Poisoning - -
2006-10-25 2006-10-25 WIN 0 0 Right Shoulder Inflammation Tendonitis and Humeral Contusion -
2006-04-06 2006-06-28 Minors 83 0 Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2005-07-19
2005-07-12 2005-09-06 Minors 56 56 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2005-07-19

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 OAK $
2013 HOU $800,000
2012 CHA $530,000
2011 CHA $500,000
2009 MIN $1,150,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
4 yrPrevious$2,980,000
4 yrTotal$2,980,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
3 y 93 dMichael Moye1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Signed by Oakland 10/29/13 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year/$0.85M (2013), plus 2014 club option. Signed by Houston 11/30/12 (avoided arbitration). 13:$0.8M, 14:$3M club option, $50,000 buyout. DFA by Houston 5/12/13. Sent outright to Triple-A 5/14/13. Contract selected by Houston 8/13/13. Sent outright to Triple-A by Houston 10/2/13. Elected free agency 10/13.
  • 1 year/$0.53M (2012). Re-signed by Chicago White Sox 3/4/12. Claimed by Houston off waivers from Chicago White Sox 11/30/12.
  • 1 year/$0.5M (2011). Claimed by Chicago White Sox off waivers from Oakland 1/18/11. Signed 2/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Signed by Kansas City as a free agent 12/09 (minor-league contract). Contract purchased by Kansas City 8/5/10. Claimed by Oakland off waivers after being DFA by Kansas City 12/15/10.
  • 5 years/$4.2M (2005-09). Signed Major League contract with NY Mets 1/05. $3M signing bonus. Performance bonuses to $5.116M. Recalled 9/06. Optioned to Triple-A 3/07. Acquired by Minnesota in trade from NY Mets 2/1/08 (Santana deal). Optioned to Triple-A 3/24/08. DFA 4/17/09, sent outright to Triple-A 4/21/09. Contract purchased 8/18/09.
  • Drafted by NY Mets 2004 (1-3) (Rice). $3M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 6.7 5.6 0.5 27 18 115.2 103 32 79 13 .260 1.17 3.46 3.76 14.1 1.4
80o 6.2 5.6 0.4 26 17 109.1 104 32 75 13 .272 1.24 3.82 4.15 8.2 0.8
70o 5.8 5.6 0.4 25 16 104.9 104 32 72 13 .280 1.30 4.08 4.43 4.4 0.4
60o 5.5 5.6 0.4 24 16 101.3 104 32 70 13 .287 1.35 4.30 4.67 1.5 0.1
50o 5.2 5.6 0.4 23 15 98.0 104 32 67 13 .294 1.39 4.51 4.9 -1.1 -0.1
40o 4.9 5.6 0.3 22 15 94.7 104 32 65 13 .301 1.44 4.73 5.14 -3.5 -0.4
30o 4.6 5.6 0.3 22 14 91.3 104 32 63 13 .308 1.49 4.96 5.39 -5.8 -0.6
20o 4.2 5.6 0.3 21 13 87.4 103 32 60 13 .317 1.55 5.23 5.69 -8.3 -0.8
10o 3.8 5.5 0.3 19 13 82.0 103 31 56 12 .329 1.63 5.62 6.11 -11.2 -1.1
Weighted Mean5.25.60.4231597.7103326713.2931.384.494.88-0.9-0.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
16% 26% 9% 13% 41%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201532660251611111834721442.2911.374.374.749.62.85.91.10.1
20163355022149810930631342.3001.424.695.1010.02.85.81.2-0.3
20173455021139210130601342.2951.424.705.109.82.95.81.3-0.3
2018354501912849126551142.2941.394.564.969.82.85.91.2-0.1
2019364401811788424501042.2941.394.534.939.72.85.81.2-0.1
202037440171173792247942.2941.394.484.879.82.75.81.1-0.0
202138340151068742143942.2941.404.514.909.82.85.71.2-0.1
20223933015964702041842.2941.404.494.889.82.85.71.1-0.0
20234034015965702141842.2931.404.474.859.72.95.71.1-0.0

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
2.71.931.5out of baseballout of baseball9.1

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 79)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 Brian Burres 2012 0.00 DNP
2 92 Runelvys Hernandez 2009 0.00 DNP
3 91 Dave Williams 2010 0.00 DNP
4 89 Rob Bell 2008 0.00 DNP
5 88 Dustin Moseley 2013 0.00 DNP
6 87 Jerome Williams 2013 4.94
7 87 Sun-Woo Kim 2009 0.00 DNP
8 87 Buddy Carlyle 2009 9.70
9 86 Jason Bergmann 2013 0.00 DNP
10 86 Tim Redding 2009 5.40
11 85 Boof Bonser 2013 0.00 DNP
12 85 Alfredo Simon 2012 3.25
13 85 Gary Knotts 2008 0.00 DNP
14 84 Josh Towers 2008 0.00 DNP
15 84 Kyle Snyder 2009 0.00 DNP
16 83 Lenny DiNardo 2011 0.00 DNP
17 82 Victor Santos 2008 0.00 DNP
18 82 Brad Hennessey 2011 0.00 DNP
19 82 Eric Stults 2011 6.00
20 81 Scott Downs 2007 2.33
21 81 Chris Narveson 2013 0.00
22 81 Scott Richmond 2011 0.00
23 80 Oliver Perez 2013 3.91
24 80 Armando Galarraga 2013 0.00 DNP
25 80 Billy Traber 2011 0.00 DNP
26 80 Chad Durbin 2009 4.91
27 80 Jae Weong Seo 2008 0.00 DNP
28 79 Colby Lewis 2011 4.63
29 79 Matt Kinney 2008 0.00 DNP
30 78 Mark Mulder 2009 0.00 DNP
31 78 Brian Stokes 2011 0.00 DNP
32 78 Chris Jakubauskas 2010 27.00
33 78 Tony Armas 2009 0.00 DNP
34 78 Kirk Saarloos 2010 0.00 DNP
35 78 Pascual Perez 1988 2.82
36 78 Luke Hudson 2008 0.00 DNP
37 78 Jorge Sosa 2009 6.85
38 78 Randy Wolf 2008 4.73
39 77 Brandon Backe 2009 10.38
40 77 Scott Elarton 2007 10.70
41 77 Mike Flanagan 1983 3.81
42 77 Pat Dobson 1973 4.72
43 77 Gene Conley 1962 4.32 DNP
44 77 Mike Burns 2010 0.00 DNP
45 77 John Tudor 1985 2.23
46 77 Carl Erskine 1958 5.58
47 77 Vida Blue 1981 2.89
48 77 Bruce Kison 1981 3.68
49 77 Bob Welch 1988 3.94
50 77 Anthony Reyes 2013 0.00 DNP
51 77 Jorge Campillo 2010 0.00 DNP
52 77 Mike Bacsik 2009 0.00 DNP
53 77 Mike Maroth 2009 0.00 DNP
54 77 Dave Bush 2011 6.51
55 77 Don Drysdale 1968 2.38
56 77 Kenny Rogers 1996 4.88
57 77 Jimmy Anderson 2007 0.00 DNP
58 77 Rick Wise 1977 4.77
59 77 Sonny Siebert 1968 3.33
60 77 Ryan Jensen 2007 0.00 DNP
61 77 Nate Robertson 2009 6.16
62 77 Odalis Perez 2009 0.00 DNP
63 77 D.J. Carrasco 2008 3.72
64 77 Frank Tanana 1985 4.65
65 77 Jack Taschner 2009 5.52
66 76 Saul Rogovin 1955 4.40
67 76 Matt Ginter 2009 0.00 DNP
68 76 David Wells 1994 4.37
69 76 Ray Herbert 1961 5.04
70 76 Adam Bernero 2008 0.00 DNP
71 76 Pat Misch 2013 0.00 DNP
72 76 Todd Stottlemyre 1996 4.03
73 76 Adam Eaton 2009 8.08
74 76 Rodrigo Lopez 2007 4.88
75 76 Kevin Correia 2012 4.68
76 76 Vicente Padilla 2009 4.64
77 76 Ron Reed 1974 3.63
78 76 Mike Smithson 1986 5.55
79 76 Tyler Walker 2007 1.26
80 76 Steve Carlton 1976 3.35
81 76 Chris Short 1969 7.20
82 76 Hal Newhouser 1952 4.76
83 76 Ray Sadecki 1972 3.81
84 76 Casey Fossum 2009 2.25
85 76 Bill Wegman 1994 4.98
86 76 Max Surkont 1953 4.10
87 76 Doug Rau 1980 0.00 DNP
88 76 Alex Fernandez 2001 0.00 DNP
89 76 Grant Jackson 1974 2.43
90 76 Lee Stange 1968 4.72
91 76 Brian Bass 2013 0.00 DNP
92 75 Jack Kralick 1966 3.82
93 75 Andy Benes 1999 5.31
94 75 Mark Clark 1999 8.84
95 75 John Burkett 1996 4.73
96 75 Todd Wellemeyer 2010 5.68
97 75 Mark Gubicza 1994 5.12
98 75 Nelson Briles 1975 4.74 DNP
99 75 Ray Washburn 1969 4.01
100 75 Mickey Lolich 1972 2.75

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .340 .402 .567 .341
11 vs R (Multi) .213 .270 .385 .235
18 Split (Multi) .127 .132 .182 .106
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .433 .483 .764 .435
31 vs R (2013) .189 .239 .349 .210
38 Split (2013) .244 .244 .415 .226
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 It was the feel-good story of the early season when the likable former first-round pick retired 27 straight Mariners to log the 21st perfect game in history. The hangover from the good time set in immediately—nine earned runs allowed in a five-inning start—and the headache throbbed all season as Humber's slop resulted in a 7.39 ERA in 87 2/3 post-perfecto innings for the White Sox. A demotion to the bullpen didn't help, either; his ERA was 8.36 during 10 games in the pen. Optimists remember 2011, when Humber's solid peripherals supported his fine results, and point to how elbow issues landed him on the disabled list last June. But the continued struggles upon his return, the lack of follow-up surgery, and him saying his arm “feels great” suggest the stint on the disabled list may have been due to a case of inflamed ERA, rather than something that can be corrected medically. The last "sixth starter" from the White Sox to join the Astros was Harrell, and the 'stros would feel good if they have half as much success revitalizing Humber's career.
2012 Ever notice how starters who throw a variety of off-speed pitches are “junkballers” when they fail, but have a “deep repertoire” when they succeed? Case in point, Philip Humber, a former top prospect who had been branded a Triple-A junkballer by the Twins, Royals, and Athletics before the White Sox grabbed him off the scrap heap last year and plugged him in as a temporary rotation patch. Humber responded by unleashing his deep repertoire—fastball, changeup, slider, and a knee-buckling curve he can throw for strikes—on an unprepared American League, with hitters posting a .218/.275/.321 line against him through the All-Star Break. He regressed significantly in the second half once the book on him came out, but not so badly that there isn’t hope he can have a career at the back end of the rotation. He won’t be better than that, though.
2011 Humber's prospect status has dried up, but he spent most of the season as a starter for Omaha anyway. From the glass-half-full perspective, Humber could be another Kyle Davies, which his new team, the Athletics, does not need thanks to a bounty of starting pitching. On the half-empty side, he may find a home in the bullpen, which is where the Royals primarily used him in 2010. With his pitch selection, the move makes sense—he's heavy on the fastballs and curves, with an occasional changeup tossed in for effect. Leaving Humber to rot in Triple-A once more would be a waste—he has proven his adequacy (if little more) there four times already.
2010 Another failure-to-launch prospect from the Johan Santana deal, Philip Humber pitched his way out of the picture, getting picked up by the Royals off waivers at year's end.
2009 Getting this former first-rounder as part of the Santana ransom must have seemed like a good idea on paper, but Humber's curveball hadn't humped as much as it did before Tommy John surgery. Humber was hammered throughout the first half, but he righted himself in the second by going 6-1 with a 2.67 ERA in nine post-break appearances. Most significantly, both his strikeout rate and walk rates improved, jumping from 6.2 and 4.2, respectively, to 8.2 and 1.9. As with many pitchers who rely on a curve, Humber's homer rate is always going to be high, a reason why he's not meant for bullpen work, as he demonstrated in September. He's out of options, so if Humber's humper continues to hum, he could stick in the Hump Dome this year.
2008 In 2006, Humber made an impressive return from Tommy John surgery, showing good command of a three-pitch mix and leaving scouts awfully impressed. Last year, he simply wasn't as good and left those same scouts scratching their heads. It wasn't that he was awful, but he wasn't throwing as hard, his curveball and changeup both went from very good to merely good, and no one could figure out why. If anything, he should have improved as he was further removed from the surgery. Humber now projects as a back-end starter, and the Mets aren't exactly drooling over the thought of adding him to the 2008 rotation.
2007 Humber, the third overall pick in the 2004 draft, missed almost a year recovering from Tommy John surgery, but returned in June and pitched quite well. His fastball was still reaching 90 to 94 MPH, his curve still looked great, and his changeup was sharp. He had about the best recovery from surgery that one could have. The only discordant note was some shoulder tendonitis that got Humber pulled from the Arizona Fall League after two innings, but he`s expected to be ready to compete for a rotation spot in the spring. Phillip Humber`s nickname should be `Humber`; baseball needs more Nabokov references.

BP Articles

Philip Humber is referenced in the following articles.

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Wezen-Ball: Yu Darvish Reminds Us: Technology is GreatLarry Granillo2013-04-04
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 4, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-04-04
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BP Unfiltered: An Interesting Fact Yu Darvish Reminded Me About Last NightSam Miller2013-04-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: When Yu Hot, Yu HotDaniel Rathman2013-04-03
The Lineup Card: 9 Bets on Vegas Over/Under OddsBaseball Prospectus2013-03-13
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: How to Analyze the Astros' SpendingZachary Levine2012-12-20
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: In Houston, an Unexpected SomebodyR.J. Anderson2012-08-16
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The Week in Quotes: July 23-29Andrew Koo2012-07-30
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-11-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Since baseball teams are taking away so many of BP's very fine authors, what strategies are you pursuing to push back and snag some of their talent? Is BP making offers to the Astro's amateur scouting staff? or to any free agent pitchers?
(Mark L from Henderson NV)
I like this idea. The A's topped our offer for Philip Humber, which made Sam sad. In all seriousness, while it's never fun to lose talent, losing talent to teams makes it easier to attract more. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-10-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any non-superstar/star-level players who could be non-tendered that teams should kick the tires on?
(jlarsen from chicago)
With the caveat that I did less than two seconds of research, some interesting names to me are Kyle Blanks, George Kottaras, Nyjer Morgan, Mark Reynolds, Brendan Ryan, Gaby Sanchez, Geovany Soto, Ian Stewart, Drew Stubbs, Dallas Braden, Philip Humber, Tommy Hunter, Jair Jurrjens, Mike Pelfrey, and Jerome Williams. (Geoff Young)
2011-06-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)Philip Humber, 9th in WAR for AL pitchers ... uhm ... please explain.
(Paul from DC)
He doesn't miss a ton of bats but his homer and walk rates are impressively low, and his .226 BABIP is insanely low (and unsustainable). Bet on some significant regression.

That said, Humber's working with one of the game's best pitching coaches in Don Cooper, so I don't think that he's incapable of surviving as a back-end starter. He's going to need to get more groundballs though, particularly in that ballpark. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-05-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Philip Humber for real? He was a hot prospect for the Mets and ended up in Minnesota for Johan Santana. He never distinguished himself in the minors, but he's off to a great start with the White Sox. Can he sustain this level of performance?
(tlowell5 from Alaska)
He has looked better than expected (someone in the annual threw out a Kyle Davies comp), but I'm not sold that he'll continue to have a .210 BABIP. Once that moves up, the ERA probably will too. (R.J. Anderson)
2009-12-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Who cares about this Halladay-Lee crap? Philip Humber's now a Royal! Whoopee!
(Sam Smith from Springfield, MO)
I'd question your sense of proportion, except that I'm the chucklehead who's happy to see Marcus McBeth with the A's, or R.J. Swindle with the Rays. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-02-16 14:00:00 (link to chat)So, between being a Twins fan and not really paying close attention to college baseball, I never saw the Philip Humber that was picked #3 overall in 2004. Can you spin me a yarn?
(Minneapolitan from Chicago)
A long time ago, in a magical land called, "Texas" there was a school called "Rice." And there were three little (ok, actually big) pitchers there who maybe have been that best threesome on a single team in the history of college baseball. One was Humber, one was Wade Townsend, and one was Jeff Niemann. But Rice wasn't kind to these players, working them night and day and far too much, so that when they went pro they all got hurt, and none of them lived up to their potential, and nobody lived happily ever after. The end. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Philip Humber has thrown 6,096 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (93mph), also mixing in a Curve (81mph) and Sinker (92mph). He also rarely throws a Change (87mph).