Biographical

Portrait of Luke Hochevar

Luke Hochevar PRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 32)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
54.3 3.72 1.21 52 3 1 0 0.5
Birth Date9-15-1983
Height6' 5"
Weight225 lbs
Age33 years, 0 months, 14 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
1.92012
1.72013
2014
0.12015
0.62016
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP
2007 KCA MLB 4 1 12.7 0 1 0 11 4 5 1 .253 105 7.8 2.8 0.7 3.6 64% .244 .253 1.18 5.21 2.13 105 4.90 0.1
2008 KCA MLB 22 22 129.0 6 12 0 143 47 72 12 .266 103 10.0 3.3 0.8 5.0 52% .305 .264 1.47 4.46 5.51 104 4.41 1.6
2009 KCA MLB 25 25 143.0 7 13 0 167 46 106 23 .260 105 10.5 2.9 1.4 6.7 48% .321 .285 1.49 4.88 6.55 97 4.36 1.9
2010 KCA MLB 18 17 103.0 6 6 0 110 37 76 9 .258 112 9.6 3.2 0.8 6.6 46% .312 .258 1.43 3.90 4.81 97 4.67 0.7
2011 KCA MLB 31 31 198.0 11 11 0 192 62 128 23 .261 109 8.7 2.8 1.0 5.8 51% .275 .253 1.28 4.32 4.68 98 4.04 2.4
2012 KCA MLB 32 32 185.3 8 16 0 202 61 144 27 .263 103 9.8 3.0 1.3 7.0 44% .315 .283 1.42 4.58 5.73 100 4.31 1.9
2013 KCA MLB 58 0 70.3 5 2 2 41 17 82 8 .265 100 5.2 2.2 1.0 10.5 36% .214 .198 0.82 2.99 1.92 77 2.64 1.7
2015 KCA MLB 49 0 50.7 1 1 1 49 16 49 7 .258 100 8.7 2.8 1.2 8.7 38% .298 .262 1.28 3.97 3.73 104 4.49 0.1
2016 KCA MLB 40 0 37.3 2 3 0 31 9 40 6 .258 103 7.5 2.2 1.4 9.6 38% .269 .250 1.07 4.02 3.86 94 3.58 0.6
CareerMLB279128929.346653946299702116.2611059.22.91.16.847%.296.2631.344.314.98984.1811.0

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA
2006 BUR A 4 4 15.0 0 1 0 8 2 16 2 .240 86 4.8 1.2 1.2 9.6 39% .167 .195 0.67 3.50 1.20 0 0.00
2007 KCA MLB 4 1 12.7 0 1 0 11 4 5 1 .253 105 7.8 2.8 0.7 3.6 64% .244 .253 1.18 5.21 2.13 105 4.90
2007 WIC AA 17 16 94.0 3 6 0 110 26 94 13 .263 105 10.5 2.5 1.2 9.0 40% .348 .271 1.45 4.01 4.69 87 4.10
2007 OMA AAA 10 10 58.0 1 3 0 53 21 44 11 .259 106 8.2 3.3 1.7 6.8 41% .253 .255 1.28 5.72 5.12 105 4.60
2008 KCA MLB 22 22 129.0 6 12 0 143 47 72 12 .266 103 10.0 3.3 0.8 5.0 52% .305 .264 1.47 4.46 5.51 104 4.41
2008 OMA AAA 3 3 17.3 1 1 0 11 6 12 2 .249 101 5.7 3.1 1.0 6.2 70% .188 .198 0.98 4.65 2.60 86 3.31
2009 KCA MLB 25 25 143.0 7 13 0 167 46 106 23 .260 105 10.5 2.9 1.4 6.7 48% .321 .285 1.49 4.88 6.55 97 4.36
2009 OMA AAA 8 8 48.0 5 1 0 41 12 36 2 .278 86 7.7 2.2 0.4 6.8 63% .285 .228 1.10 3.25 1.50 79 2.61
2010 KCA MLB 18 17 103.0 6 6 0 110 37 76 9 .258 112 9.6 3.2 0.8 6.6 46% .312 .258 1.43 3.90 4.81 97 4.67
2010 OMA AAA 2 2 5.0 0 0 0 3 1 4 0 .270 92 5.4 1.8 0.0 7.2 43% .214 .157 0.80 3.18 1.80 0 0.00
2011 KCA MLB 31 31 198.0 11 11 0 192 62 128 23 .261 109 8.7 2.8 1.0 5.8 51% .275 .253 1.28 4.32 4.68 98 4.04
2012 KCA MLB 32 32 185.3 8 16 0 202 61 144 27 .263 103 9.8 3.0 1.3 7.0 44% .315 .283 1.42 4.58 5.73 100 4.31
2013 KCA MLB 58 0 70.3 5 2 2 41 17 82 8 .265 100 5.2 2.2 1.0 10.5 36% .214 .198 0.82 2.99 1.92 77 2.64
2015 KCA MLB 49 0 50.7 1 1 1 49 16 49 7 .258 100 8.7 2.8 1.2 8.7 38% .298 .262 1.28 3.97 3.73 104 4.49
2015 OMA AAA 9 4 10.3 0 1 0 16 8 10 2 .268 104 13.9 7.0 1.7 8.7 47% .438 .330 2.32 6.50 7.84 0 0.00
2016 KCA MLB 40 0 37.3 2 3 0 31 9 40 6 .258 103 7.5 2.2 1.4 9.6 38% .269 .250 1.07 4.02 3.86 94 3.58

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 2043 0.4846 0.4430 0.8331 0.6374 0.2602 0.9097 0.6569 0.1669
2009 2317 0.4812 0.4614 0.7905 0.6161 0.3178 0.8763 0.6361 0.2095
2010 1628 0.5117 0.4527 0.7707 0.6182 0.2792 0.8505 0.5856 0.2293
2011 3068 0.5042 0.4443 0.7953 0.5979 0.2880 0.8692 0.6393 0.2047
2012 2989 0.5062 0.4416 0.7856 0.6239 0.2547 0.8591 0.6011 0.2144
2013 1041 0.5062 0.4870 0.7081 0.6395 0.3307 0.8012 0.5235 0.2919
2015 870 0.5161 0.4851 0.7654 0.6659 0.2922 0.8395 0.5854 0.2346
2016 583 0.4940 0.4854 0.6996 0.6528 0.3220 0.8138 0.4737 0.3004
Career145390.49950.45440.78320.62320.28570.8630.60920.2168

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-03-21 - 60-DL - - Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2014-03-18 -
2014-03-05 2014-03-21 Camp 16 0 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2014-03-18 -
2012-07-06 2012-07-14 DTD 8 4 Right Ankle Sprain - -
2012-04-14 2012-04-20 DTD 6 5 Left Ankle Contusion Batted Ball - -
2011-07-03 2011-07-03 DTD 0 0 Low Back Soreness -
2010-06-12 2010-09-03 60-DL 83 71 Right Elbow Strain -
2010-04-02 2010-04-02 Camp 0 0 Left Ankle Contusion Batted Ball -
2008-08-20 2008-09-28 60-DL 39 36 Right Trunk Contusion Rib Cage -
2006-10-26 2006-10-26 WIN 0 0 Right Shoulder Strain -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2017 KCA $500,000
2016 KCA $5,500,000
2015 KCA $4,000,000
2014 KCA $5,210,000
2013 KCA $4,560,000
2012 KCA $3,510,000
2011 KCA $1,760,000
2010 KCA $1,760,000
2009 KCA $1,725,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
7 yrPrevious$22,525,000
2011Current$5,500,000
8 yrPvs + Cur$28,025,000
1 yrFuture$500,000
9 yrTotal$28,525,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
7 y 151 dScott Boras2 years/$10M (2015-16)

Details
  • 2 years/$10M (2015-16). Re-signed by Kansas City as a free agent 12/3/14. 15:$4M, 16:$5.5M, 17:$7M mutual option, $0.5M buyout. 2016 salary may increase by $1M to $6.5M with 23 games started or 150 innings pitched. Performance bonuses: $0.5M as reliever (non-closer). $0.5M as closer. $2M as starting pitcher.
  • 1 year/$5.21M (2014). Re-signed by Kansas City 1/17/14 (avoided arbitration). May earn additional $0.4M in performance bonuses.
  • 1 year/$4.56M (2013). Re-signed by Kansas City 1/18/13 (avoided arbitration). Performance bonuses.
  • 1 year/$3.51M (2012). Re-signed by Kansas City 1/17/12 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$1.76M (2011). Re-signed by Kansas City 1/12/11 (avoided arbitration). Award bonus: $50,000 for All-Star selection.
  • 1 year/$1.76M (2010). Re-signed by Kansas City 3/2/10 (maximum 20% cut from 2009 earnings of $2.2M, or $1.325M plus $0.875M pro-rated signing bonus).
  • 4 years/$5.3M (2006-09). Signed Major League contract with Kansas City 8/06. $3.5M signing bonus. Total value may increase to $7M based on making 25-man roster. 06:$0.4M (est.), 07:$0.575M (est), 08:$1.2M, 09:$1.325M. Optioned to Double-A 3/07, recalled 9/3/07. Optioned to Triple-A 3/23/08, recalled 4/20/08. Optioned to Triple-A 3/31/09, recalled 5/10/09, optioned to Triple-A 5/24/09, recalled 6/6/09.
  • Drafted by Kansas City 2006 (1-1) (Fort Worth independent league).
  • Drafted by LA Dodgers 2005 (1s-40) (University of Tennessee). Did not sign.

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 2.8 1.3 0 49 0 68.7 48 20 68 5 .245 0.98 2.21 2.41 13.9 1.5
80o 2.7 1.3 0 49 0 62.9 47 19 63 5 .258 1.05 2.55 2.77 11.8 1.3
70o 2.7 1.2 0 49 0 58.8 46 19 58 5 .267 1.10 2.80 3.04 10.2 1.1
60o 2.7 1.2 0 49 0 55.4 45 19 55 5 .275 1.15 3.01 3.27 8.8 1.0
50o 2.6 1.1 0 49 0 52.2 44 18 52 5 .283 1.19 3.21 3.49 7.6 0.8
40o 2.6 1.1 0 49 0 49.1 43 18 49 5 .290 1.24 3.42 3.71 6.3 0.7
30o 2.6 1.1 0 49 0 45.9 42 17 46 5 .298 1.29 3.64 3.95 4.9 0.5
20o 2.5 1 0 49 0 42.1 40 17 42 4 .307 1.35 3.90 4.24 3.2 0.3
10o 2.5 0.9 0 49 0 37.1 38 16 37 4 .321 1.43 4.27 4.64 0.9 0.1
Weighted Mean2.61.1049051.64318515.2811.183.193.477.70.8

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 9/28/2016 11:59 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 3 2.8 0.6 29 7 61.2 45 16 57 5 .246 0.99 2.79 3.04 8.4 0.9
80o 2.7 2.6 0.5 26 6 55.6 43 16 52 5 .259 1.07 3.12 3.41 5.4 0.6
70o 2.4 2.5 0.4 24 6 51.6 42 15 48 5 .268 1.12 3.36 3.68 3.5 0.4
60o 2.2 2.4 0.4 23 6 48.3 41 15 45 5 .276 1.17 3.57 3.91 2.0 0.2
50o 2.1 2.3 0.4 21 5 45.2 40 15 42 5 .284 1.21 3.77 4.13 0.8 0.1
40o 1.9 2.2 0.3 20 5 42.3 39 14 40 5 .291 1.26 3.97 4.36 -0.3 -0.0
30o 1.7 2.1 0.3 18 4 39.1 38 14 37 5 .300 1.31 4.19 4.6 -1.3 -0.1
20o 1.5 1.9 0.3 17 4 35.6 36 13 33 4 .309 1.37 4.45 4.89 -2.3 -0.2
10o 1.3 1.7 0.2 14 4 30.7 33 12 29 4 .322 1.46 4.81 5.3 -3.3 -0.4
Weighted Mean22.30.421544.73914425.2821.203.754.110.90.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
19% 55% 19% 6% 91%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20173331154057481956638.2761.173.453.837.53.08.80.90.6
20183431156059492057638.2741.163.473.857.43.08.60.90.6
20193531154057481955538.2791.183.443.827.63.08.70.80.6
20203621144047401745538.2801.213.573.967.73.38.61.00.4
20213721142045391543438.2881.213.503.897.93.08.70.80.4
20223821140042371540438.2881.233.543.937.93.28.50.90.4
20233921130032291130338.2861.243.624.028.13.18.40.80.3
2024401002202320821238.2841.243.674.087.93.28.30.80.2
20254121132033301231338.2871.263.714.128.13.28.40.80.2

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20173331053056471758738.2731.143.754.167.52.79.31.10.4
20183431059063531863838.2711.133.784.207.62.69.01.10.4
20193531049052451554738.2741.153.774.197.72.69.31.20.3
20203621032034291134538.2771.193.944.377.82.99.11.30.1
20213721034036311136538.2821.183.814.237.82.89.11.30.2
20223821042044391344638.2831.183.844.268.02.79.01.20.2
20233921032034321134538.2901.254.064.518.42.98.91.30.1
20244021033035311234538.2771.234.114.568.03.18.71.30.1
20254121033035321134538.2851.234.044.488.22.88.71.30.1

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
32.643.23239.939.911.9187.6

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
201532.643.23239.939.911.9187.6

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 84)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Steve Carlton 1977 3.15
2 91 Mickey Lolich 1973 4.17
3 91 Ted Lilly 2008 4.22
4 91 Tom Gorzelanny 2015 6.64
5 90 Randy Wolf 2009 3.40
6 90 Ervin Santana 2015 4.17
7 89 Jim Bunning 1964 3.13
8 89 Jason Hammel 2015 4.17
9 89 Mark Langston 1993 3.48
10 89 Bert Blyleven 1983 4.26
11 89 Rodrigo Lopez 2008 0.00 DNP
12 88 Grant Jackson 1975 3.17 DNP
13 88 James Shields 2014 3.77
14 87 Bob Patterson 1991 4.66
15 87 Dave Giusti 1972 2.17
16 87 Mike Cuellar 1969 2.91
17 87 Mike Scott 1987 3.42
18 87 Jerry Koosman 1975 3.98 DNP
19 86 Pete Richert 1972 3.12
20 86 Frank Tanana 1986 4.54
21 86 Pascual Perez 1989 3.86
22 86 Glendon Rusch 2007 0.00 DNP
23 86 Brian Duensing 2015 4.44
24 86 Aaron Harang 2010 5.72
25 86 Nate Robertson 2010 6.75
26 86 Don Drysdale 1969 4.74
27 86 Moe Drabowsky 1968 2.49
28 85 Gil Meche 2011 0.00 DNP
29 85 Pedro Astacio 2001 5.36
30 85 Hisashi Iwakuma 2013 2.83
31 85 Joe Blanton 2013 6.51
32 85 Bruce Hurst 1990 3.42
33 85 Gavin Floyd 2015 2.70
34 85 Stan Williams 1969 4.34
35 85 Jason Vargas 2015 4.19
36 84 Alfredo Simon 2013 3.18
37 84 Mike Remlinger 1998 5.26
38 84 Steve Farr 1989 4.97
39 84 Diego Segui 1970 3.00
40 84 Esteban Loaiza 2004 6.10
41 84 Woody Main 1954 0.00 DNP
42 84 Jamie Moyer 1995 5.45
43 84 Joe Nuxhall 1961 5.70
44 83 Ken Johnson 1965 3.76
45 83 John Lackey 2011 6.69
46 83 Scott Baker 2014 5.47
47 83 Luis Arroyo 1959 7.24
48 83 Mike Boddicker 1990 3.59
49 83 Bob Bruce 1965 4.19
50 83 Pat Dobson 1974 3.56
51 83 Mike Williams 2001 3.94
52 83 Freddy Garcia 2009 4.34
53 83 Claudio Vargas 2010 7.32
54 83 Gene Conley 1963 6.86
55 83 Billy Pierce 1959 3.94
56 83 Bob Welch 1989 3.52
57 82 Earl Wilson 1967 3.48
58 82 Luis Tiant 1973 3.47
59 82 Harvey Haddix 1958 3.86
60 82 Gary Peters 1969 4.86
61 82 Steve Renko 1977 4.73
62 82 Chris Capuano 2011 4.79
63 82 Max Surkont 1954 5.31
64 82 Brett Myers 2013 8.02
65 82 Odalis Perez 2010 0.00 DNP
66 82 Dave Stewart 1989 3.63
67 82 Floyd Bannister 1987 3.94
68 82 Fred Norman 1975 4.02 DNP
69 82 Todd Stottlemyre 1997 4.28
70 81 Joel Pineiro 2011 5.50
71 81 Buddy Carlyle 2010 0.00 DNP
72 81 Kevin Gross 1993 4.89
73 81 Jorge De La Rosa 2013 3.76
74 81 Dennis Eckersley 1987 3.19
75 81 Wandy Rodriguez 2011 3.82
76 81 Dan Spillner 1984 5.53
77 81 Javier Vazquez 2009 3.08
78 81 Colby Lewis 2012 4.11
79 81 Dan Haren 2013 4.88
80 81 Ben Sheets 2011 0.00 DNP
81 80 John Candelaria 1986 2.95
82 80 Greg Harris 1988 2.86
83 80 Tim Leary 1991 6.64
84 80 Jason Jennings 2011 0.00 DNP
85 80 Paul Abbott 2000 4.47
86 80 Kyle Lohse 2011 3.82
87 80 Mark Gubicza 1995 4.09
88 80 Sid Fernandez 1995 4.95
89 80 Vicente Padilla 2010 4.36
90 80 David Wells 1995 3.90
91 80 Manny Parra 2015 4.18
92 80 Saul Rogovin 1956 5.48
93 80 Bobby Shantz 1958 3.71
94 80 Chuck Finley 1995 4.70
95 80 Mark Leiter 1995 4.19
96 80 Jason Johnson 2006 6.73
97 80 Stu Miller 1960 4.25
98 80 Bronson Arroyo 2009 4.13
99 80 Larry Jansen 1953 4.55
100 79 Sonny Siebert 1969 4.92

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .264 .324 .441 .272
11 vs R (Multi) .232 .293 .403 .243
18 Split (Multi) .032 .031 .039 .029
19 LgAvg (Multi) .009 .023 .019 .016
30 vs L (2015) .263 .310 .438 .273
31 vs R (2015) .241 .307 .422 .255
38 Split (2015) .021 .003 .015 .018
39 LgAvg (2015) .009 .024 .022 .017

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 “There can be no life without change, and to be afraid of what is different or unfamiliar is to be afraid of life.” From top overall draft pick to rotation washout to bullpen phoenix to Tommy John survivor, Hochevar seems to have taken Teddy Roosevelt's words to heart as he reinvents himself for the next phase of his checkered career. The jump in his fastball and the bite on his cutter survived the knife, and when Hochevar's command returned in late June he proved to be a quality bullpen arm. To cherry-pick a random turning point, batters torched him at a .349/.370/.605 rate through the middle of June, but posted a .222/.292/.379 line the rest of the way. Hochevar's three-pitch mix looks pedestrian next to the jaw-dropping arsenals of his fellow bullpen mates, but it appears more than capable of holding its own in the seventh inning.
2015 No sooner did Luke Hochevar resurrect his career in the bullpen than the fickle gods of baseball saw fit to release gremlins in his elbow; he'll be back from Tommy John surgery later this summer, and anyone with a soul should hope he makes it all the way back.
2014 Strange what a change of role can do for a pitcher. A former 1:1 draft pick turned below-average starter, Hochevar moved to the bullpen and may have salvaged his career. The stuff that was inconsistent in the rotation did extremely well in small doses. Velocity on his fastball was up three miles, his swinging strike rate nearly doubled and his command improved with all pitches. At the end of 2012, Royals pitching coach Dave Eiland said his pupil threw too many different pitches. Coming out of the 'pen, he ditched his slider and his change and went fastball, curve and cutter. Cant argue with the results. The Royals might be tempted to shift him back to the rotation. Those who don't learn from history are doomed to finish in third place.
2013 The inside joke in Kansas City is Hochevar is this close to turning the corner. Right. The Royals have been slow to admit that the only overall number-one draft pick in franchise history was a bust. Hochevar has become the poster boy for the organizations inability to develop starting pitching. Pitching coach Dave Eiland thinks he has too many pitches in his repertoire and should eliminate his cut fastball. Would it surprise you to learn that was his best pitch last season? To put his horribleness in historical terms, Hochevar has the third-worst ERA of all time among starters who have thrown at least 750 innings in their career. That corner he's going to turn? It leads to either the bullpen or Triple-A. The sooner the Royals decide to move on, the better.
2012 Often, it just takes a little time before things click and fall into place. For Hochevar, the epiphany came at the All-Star Break when he decided to lean more on his best pitchhis sliderthan before. At the same time, he adjusted the delivery of that pitch, slightly dropping his arm angle, which resulted in a tighter spin and a more effective pitch than previous incarnations. Now his slider release point mimics the release point of his sinker, making it difficult for opposing hitters to guess: will it dip or will it slide? Hochevar rode that deception to his finest stretch of starts as a professional, with a 3.52 ERA and 7.7 SO/9 over the seasons second half. The Royals will count on the former number one overall draft pick to replicate that success over a full year.
2011 Outside of allowing fewer long balls, Hochevar was basically the same pitcher he had been in 2009, but this time around his ERA came closer to reflecting his underlying performance. A right-elbow strain paused his season from mid-June until September, which qualified as a blow to the Royals' rotation given Hochevar's status as their second-best starter. Outside of designated ace Zack Greinke, he is the lone member of the rotation who can aspire to having an average day, which is why Ned Yost let Hochevar work through his struggles in innings where Trey Hillman might have yanked him. The most positive indicator from Hochevar's 2010 was a spike in velocity to nearly 93 mphthat extra gas may be just what he needs to help keep the ball in the park.
2010 As with Bannister, Hochevar went into exile at the end of spring training so the Royals could have their dalliance with Sir Sidney Ponson; Hochevar pitched well in the sticks and was back in mid-May. Getting a fix on the 2006 first overall draft pick remains difficult. He had some terrific starts, including an 80-pitch complete-game three-hitter against the Reds and a 13-strikeout, no-walk game against the Rangers. He also had just too many games where his line was destroyed by a single big inning: in his wins, Hochevar had an ERA of 2.49, against 10.88 in his losses, a larger-than-normal disparity. His ERA rose by the month, climaxing with a 9.38 for six September starts, but even amidst the devestation he pulled off a three-hit shutout of the White Sox. It should be said in Hochevar's defense that the Royals' indifferent fielding doesn't do his ground ball-oriented approach any favors, but that's small consolation given the 2006 first-rounders the Royals could have picked: Evan Longoria (#3), Clayton Kershaw (#7), Tim Lincecum (#10), Max Scherzer (#11), and so on.
2009 The first full major league season for the top pick in the 2006 draft was something of a dud. Still, it looked worse than it was: before suffering a rib-cage contusion in late August that ended his season, Hochevar reduced his home-run rate, and his overall numbers would have been better if not for poor timingopponents hit .338 with runners in scoring position, as compared to .245 with nobody on. It wasn't a good enough performance to guarantee a 2009 rotation berth, as he'll have to battle Horacio Ramirez for the fifth spot.
2008 A first-round pick really shouldn't be written off as a bust after striking out nearly three times as many hitters as he walked in the high minors and making his major league debut in his first full professional season. Unfortunately, Hochevar is criticized not for who he is, but for who he isn't. The Royals drafted Hochevar when they could (and should, as people said at the time) have drafted Andrew Miller or Tim Lincecum, to say nothing of Joba Chamberlain or even high schooler Clayton Kershaw. Hochevar should settle in as a consistent, if homer-prone, number-three starter. The Royals could have done worse, but they should have done better.
2007 Most scouts felt that Andrew Miller was a better prospect than Hochevar on draft day, although Hochevar was a clear number-two to most draft experts. You have to hope the Royals weren`t lying when they claimed they drafted Hochevar based purely on merit rather than his signability, given that Miller (drafted sixth overall by the Tigers) signed literally the day after Hochevar, and for about two percent more money. Hochevar dominated the Midwest League, then made two starts in the Texas League playoffs, one good, one bad. He threw eight ineffective innings in the AFL before his season ended with a minor shoulder strain. Despite his much-publicized draft drama from 2005, Hochevar gets high marks for his work ethic and dedication to the game. It will be a disappointment to the Royals if he doesn`t crack their rotation at some point this year.

BP Articles

Luke Hochevar is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
Pitching Backward: What We Know About Spin RateJeff Long2016-09-27
Pebble Hunting: We're Boring About Ace Relief PerformancesSam Miller2016-08-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessExpert FAAB Review: Week 12Mike Gianella2016-06-21
Baseball Therapy: Let's Figure Out What a Scouting Department's Entire Product is WorthRussell A. Carleton2016-01-19
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Feature: Repeat After Me: HDDGeorge Bissell2015-11-05
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: World Series Preview: Mets vs RoyalsJeffrey Paternostro2015-10-27
Playoff Prospectus: The Royal Wheeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!: ALCS Game 4R.J. Anderson2015-10-21
Playoff Prospectus: ALCS Preview: Royals vs. Blue JaysR.J. Anderson2015-10-16
This article requires BP Premium accessPitching Backward: Some Signatures Are ForgeriesJeff Long2015-10-15
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Astros vs. RoyalsSam Miller2015-10-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessCloser Report: Week 26Matt Collins2015-09-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessCloser Report: Week 25Matt Collins2015-09-15
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 25, 2015Chris Mosch2015-08-25
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 12, 2015Chris Mosch2015-08-12
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 13, 2015Ian Frazer2015-07-13
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: June 11, 2015Ian Frazer2015-06-11
Expert FAAB Review: Week SixMike Gianella2015-05-12
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Smoked!Daniel Rathman2015-05-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Silence!Daniel Rathman2015-04-30
This article requires BP Premium accessPitching Backward: Do the Bullpens that Stay Together Parade Together?Jeff Long2015-04-03
Every Team's Moneyball: Washington Nationals: On a Draft HighChristopher Crawford2015-03-23
Every Team's Moneyball: Kansas City Royals: Failure is an OptionIan Frazer2015-03-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Categories to Keep in MindBen Murphy2015-03-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Categories to Keep in MindIan Lefkowitz2015-03-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Categories to Keep in MindJared Weiss2015-03-13
Kershaw Day: Why Clayton Kershaw is a Dodger, and Tyler Colvin Isn'tSahadev Sharma2015-03-09
Rubbing Mud: A Solution Does Not ExistMatthew Trueblood2015-03-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe -Only League Landscape: American League Relief PitchersNick Shlain2015-03-04
The Lineup Card: Nine Spring Training Job Battles to WatchBaseball Prospectus2015-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The First Zaidi-Friedman Eyebrow-RaiserR.J. Anderson2014-12-04
Painting the Black: The Free Agent 50R.J. Anderson2014-11-04
Playoff Prospectus: A Decade of Planning an Overnight SuccessMiles Wray2014-10-24
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 9, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-09
The Lineup Card: Seven Unsigned Top Draft PicksBaseball Prospectus2014-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessBaseball Therapy: Can Draft Lightning Be Bottled?Russell A. Carleton2014-06-10
The Lineup Card: 11 Draft Day What-IfsBaseball Prospectus2014-06-04
The Lineup Card: 11 Spring Training Performances We Sort of Believe InBaseball Prospectus2014-03-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessMock Auction Analysis: AL- and NL-Only Mike Gianella2014-02-20
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Importance of Top Prospect TrajectoriesSam Miller2014-02-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Kansas City RoyalsPaul Sporer2013-11-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Kansas City RoyalsCraig Goldstein2013-11-25
The Week in Quotes: November 11-17Satchel Price2013-11-18
The Week in Quotes: November 11-17Nick Bacarella2013-11-18
The Week in Quotes: November 11-17Chris Mosch2013-11-18
The Week in Quotes: November 11-17Andrew Koo2013-11-18
Baseball ProGUESTus: Pitch Types and the Times Through the Order PenaltyMitchel Lichtman2013-11-15
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Nothing Quiet on the Wild Card FrontDaniel Rathman2013-09-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Almost PerfectDaniel Rathman2013-09-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessBullpen Report: Looking AheadMike Gianella2013-09-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessBullpen Report: Examining TrendsMike Gianella2013-09-05
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 29, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: An Ugly Outing for FelixDaniel Rathman2013-08-29
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 26, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessBullpen Report: Farquhar Rises to the TopMike Gianella2013-08-22
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: My Book Report on a Video of the Longest Home Runs HitSam Miller2013-08-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessBullpen Report: Mo Moves DownMike Gianella2013-08-15
The Lineup Card: Nine of Our Favorite Pitcher ConversionsBaseball Prospectus2013-08-14
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 9, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessBullpen Report: Meeting the CriteriaMike Gianella2013-08-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessBullpen Report: Deadline FalloutMike Gianella2013-08-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessBullpen Report: Trade Winds BlowingMike Gianella2013-07-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessBullpen Report: Going DownhillMike Gianella2013-07-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 50 Fantasy Prospects: Midseason UpdateBret Sayre2013-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: Searching for Baseball's Brandon JenningsZachary Levine2013-06-27
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: The Most Surprising Team Performances So FarBen Lindbergh2013-06-18
Baseball ProGUESTus: Does Declining to Sign Pay Off for Draftees?Dustin Palmateer2013-06-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFive to Watch: Checking in on the Holy TrinityBret Sayre2013-06-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessBullpen Report: Diamondbacks Settle on BellMike Gianella2013-05-16
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 14th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-14
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Evaluating Early-Season ExperimentsBen Lindbergh2013-05-07
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: So You Want to Buy a 2014-15 Free Agent?Ben Lindbergh2013-04-04
BP Unfiltered: The Velocity Gainers and Losers of Spring 2013Harry Pavlidis2013-04-01
Fantasy Mailbag: Much Ado About PitchingBP Fantasy Staff2013-03-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessRaising Aces: Pulling the PinDoug Thorburn2013-03-22
The BP Wayback Machine: Do Spring Speeds Matter?Mike Fast2013-03-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: 4x4 Versus 5x5Mike Gianella2013-03-15
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Royally FlushedDaniel Rathman2013-03-14
BP Unfiltered: Hochevar Heads to the BullpenR.J. Anderson2013-03-13
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Wednesday, February 6Daniel Rathman2013-02-06
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: The Sunk Costs of 2013Zachary Levine2013-01-30
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: All the Young MovesBen Lindbergh2013-01-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Keeper Reaper: Starting Pitching for 1/10/13Paul Sporer2013-01-10
On the Beat: Moore ProblemsJohn Perrotto2012-12-13
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Thursday, November 29Daniel Rathman2012-11-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitching ReviewPaul Sporer2012-10-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: The 2012 Fantasy Fantasy AwardsDerek Carty2012-10-01
What You Need to Know: Monday, September 24Daniel Rathman2012-09-24
On the Beat: Trouble in Tiger TownJohn Perrotto2012-09-21
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: The Surprisingly Hard-to-Hit Pitches of 2012Ben Lindbergh2012-09-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 25Paul Sporer2012-09-14
Head Games: Mistake Swings and Forbidden StealsWill Woods2012-09-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Outfielders for 9/7/12Paul Singman2012-09-07
What You Need to Know: Thursday, September 6Daniel Rathman2012-09-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 22Derek Carty2012-08-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitching for 8/23/12Derek Carty2012-08-23
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: The Difference-MakersJohn Perrotto2012-08-23
Western Front: Pick the Collie, or Maybe the WeimaranerGeoff Young2012-08-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 18Paul Sporer2012-07-27
What You Need to Know: Wednesday, July 25Daniel Rathman2012-07-25
Western Front: Trying One's PatienceGeoff Young2012-07-10
BP Announcements: Two New Stats AddedR.J. Anderson2012-07-01
BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 10: Look At Another Spreadsheet, (expletive)Jason Collette2012-06-29
BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 10: Look At Another Spreadsheet, (expletive)Paul Sporer2012-06-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 14Paul Sporer2012-06-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitchers for 6/28/12Paul Sporer2012-06-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 13Paul Sporer2012-06-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week FivePaul Sporer2012-04-27
What You Need to Know: Wednesday, April 25Daniel Rathman2012-04-25
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: 2011 Draft ClassKevin Goldstein2012-04-18
What You Need to Know: Wednesday, April 11Daniel Rathman2012-04-11
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: It Could HappenBen Lindbergh2012-04-04
Fantasy Beat: Tout Wars and LABR AL DraftsJason Collette2012-03-27
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: AL Rotation RumbleJay Jaffe2012-03-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Tier Rankings: AL Starting PitchersDerek Carty2012-03-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: LABR Draft FalloutJason Collette2012-03-05
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: AL Central 2012 Preseason Preview, Part TwoBen Lindbergh2012-02-29
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: AL Central 2012 Preseason Preview, Part TwoSteven Goldman2012-02-29
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Can The Royals Take The Next Step?Kevin Goldstein2012-02-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Keeper Reaper: Starting Pitchers for 10/6/11Mike Petriello2011-10-06
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Kansas City RoyalsESPN Insider2011-09-16
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Kansas City RoyalsKevin Goldstein2011-09-16
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Kansas City RoyalsSteven Goldman2011-09-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitchers for 9/15/11Mike Petriello2011-09-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitchers for 8/8/11Mike Petriello2011-09-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitchers for 9/1/11Mike Petriello2011-09-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitchers for 8/25/11Mike Petriello2011-08-25
Divide and Conquer, NL West: One Man's Sludge is Kevin Towers' SluggerGeoff Young2011-07-05
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Six-Man ManiaR.J. Anderson2011-07-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #12Craig Brown2011-06-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #9Craig Brown2011-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #8Craig Brown2011-05-20
Fantasy Focus: Danny Duffy No Longer DitheringMarc Normandin2011-05-18
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: Indian SpringTommy Bennett2011-05-16
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Bad-Start Starter Six-PackJay Jaffe2011-04-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #4Craig Brown2011-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessFantasy Beat: Tout Wars FAAB FrenzyJason Collette2011-04-19
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: Cleveland RocksTommy Bennett2011-04-18
This article requires BP Premium accessExpanded Horizons: Relying on RelieversTommy Bennett2011-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Never Enough PitchingBen Lindbergh2011-04-12
BP Unfiltered: For Amusement Only 4/5John Perrotto2011-04-04
Spinning Yarn: Do Spring Speeds Matter?Mike Fast2011-03-30
Prospectus Hit List: AL Pre-Season Hit ListTommy Bennett2011-03-28
Team Injury Projection: Kansas City RoyalsMarc Normandin2011-03-22
Team Injury Projection: Kansas City RoyalsCorey Dawkins2011-03-22
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Small Samplings of Spring, AL EditionBen Lindbergh2011-03-15
Fantasy Focus: AL Starting Pitcher RankingsMarc Normandin2011-02-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Dead to MeJason Collette2011-02-04
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Royal Re-GearingChristina Kahrl2011-01-17
Transaction Analysis: Angels and Royals MovesChristina Kahrl2010-12-01
This article requires BP Premium accessContractual Matters: AL Central Arbitration ForecastJeff Euston2010-11-08
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Playing the 'What If' Game with Tim LincecumKevin Goldstein2010-11-05
Analyze This: How the Rangers Were Acquired, Part IJesse Behr2010-11-01
This article requires BP Premium accessGM for a Day: Kansas City RoyalsJohn Perrotto2010-10-14
This article requires BP Premium accessContractual Matters: Kind of a Big DealJeff Euston2010-09-20
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Kansas City RoyalsTommy Bennett2010-09-16
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Kansas City RoyalsESPN Insider2010-09-16
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Kansas City RoyalsKevin Goldstein2010-09-16
This article requires BP Premium accessContractual Matters: Opening ActJeff Euston2010-09-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #24Craig Brown2010-09-10
On the Beat: Playing from BehindJohn Perrotto2010-08-25
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Retooling on the FlyJohn Perrotto2010-08-23
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Ladies And Gents: Your 2013 Kansas City RoyalsKevin Goldstein2010-08-06
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Peavy's Unique InjuryWill Carroll2010-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: A Mixed Bag for the RockiesWill Carroll2010-06-21
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Waterloo's 195th Anniversary EditionChristina Kahrl2010-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessAhead in the Count: Production and the DraftMatt Swartz2010-06-07
One-Hoppers: Ken Griffey Jr. Bows OutJay Jaffe2010-06-02
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: With Boras, Good Often Outweighs BadKevin Goldstein2010-06-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #9Craig Brown2010-05-28
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Friday UpdateJohn Perrotto2010-05-28
BP Unfiltered: The Paper Trail of May 27John Perrotto2010-05-27
This article requires BP Premium accessChecking the Numbers: Royal PainsEric Seidman2010-05-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #5Craig Brown2010-04-30
BP Unfiltered: UPDATED AL Projected Opening Day RostersJohn Perrotto2010-04-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: American LeagueChristina Kahrl2010-03-19
This article requires BP Premium accessCircling The Bases: Cleaning Up the (Run-Scoring) Environment with EPATim Kniker2010-03-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: AL Starting PitchersMarc Normandin2010-03-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTeam Health Reports: Kansas City RoyalsWill Carroll2010-03-05
This article requires BP Premium accessChecking the Numbers: The Crystal Orb of SIERAEric Seidman2010-02-24
This article requires BP Premium accessDivision Preview: AL CentralChristina Kahrl2010-02-19
This article requires BP Premium accessCamp Battles: AL CentralChristina Kahrl2010-02-17
This article requires BP Premium accessBaseball Therapy: Will You Be My Mentor?Russell A. Carleton2009-12-20
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: AL ActionChristina Kahrl2009-12-13
On the Beat: Midweek UpdateJohn Perrotto2009-09-30
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Kansas City RoyalsBaseball Prospectus2009-09-20
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Weekend Transaction ActionChristina Kahrl2009-08-16
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Roundtable: The Problem with Young Pitchers Is...Baseball Prospectus2009-08-14
Prospectus Idol Entry: Kniker Interview TranscriptTim Kniker2009-07-05
Prospectus Idol Entry: Cartwright Interview TranscriptBrian Cartwright2009-07-05
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Moves and GroovesChristina Kahrl2009-06-23
This article requires BP Premium accessYou Could Look It Up: Inglorious BastardsSteven Goldman2009-06-19
Transaction Analysis: AL East and Central UpdatesChristina Kahrl2009-06-12
Prospectus Hit List: The RisingJay Jaffe2009-06-05
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: AL Central, PlusChristina Kahrl2009-06-02
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: Mid-May MadnessJay Jaffe2009-05-15
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: AL Central UpdateChristina Kahrl2009-05-11
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Cinco do Samplo, ALJay Jaffe2009-05-06
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Ten PackKevin Goldstein2009-05-04
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The All-A EditionChristina Kahrl2009-03-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTeam Health Reports: Kansas City RoyalsWill Carroll2009-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Getting WarmerJohn Perrotto2009-02-15
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Royals Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2009-02-12
This article requires BP Premium accessEvery Given Sunday: Seabiscuit, Salomon, and SkippersJohn Perrotto2008-11-16
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Who are the Next Rays?Kevin Goldstein2008-10-10
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: All Pedro, All of the Time--Can I Have My Law Degree Now?Kevin Goldstein2008-09-06
Fantasy Beat: Pitchers for 2009Marc Normandin2008-09-03
Future Shock: Boras vs. Baseball—A PrimerKevin Goldstein2008-08-30
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: Days of WonderJay Jaffe2008-08-29
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: West by CentralChristina Kahrl2008-08-25
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Mound MischiefWill Carroll2008-08-25
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: LimitsWill Carroll2008-08-21
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: Wednesday's Games to WatchCaleb Peiffer2008-08-13
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: Wednesday's Games to WatchCaleb Peiffer2008-08-06
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: The Two-Week WatchJohn Perrotto2008-07-17
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: AL Central Moves and IssuesChristina Kahrl2008-07-15
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: ReshuffleuppagusJay Jaffe2008-07-11
Prospectus Preview: Sunday's Games to WatchMarc Normandin2008-07-06
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: Sunday's Games to WatchMarc Normandin2008-06-22
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Top 100 Update, The Back 50Kevin Goldstein2008-06-19
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: Monday's Games to WatchCaleb Peiffer2008-06-16
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: Monday's Games to WatchCaleb Peiffer2008-06-09
Future Shock: Mock Draft 2008Kevin Goldstein2008-06-04
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: Wednesday's Games to WatchCaleb Peiffer2008-06-04
Fantasy Beat: Rooked by Rookie Pitchers?Marc Normandin2008-05-28
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: Monday's Games to WatchCaleb Peiffer2008-05-19
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: Strange TimesJay Jaffe2008-05-16
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: Thursday's Games to WatchMarc Normandin2008-05-08
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: Millstones and MilestonesJay Jaffe2008-04-25
Prospectus Preview: Sunday's Games to WatchCaleb Peiffer2008-04-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTeam Health Reports: Kansas City RoyalsWill Carroll2008-03-26
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems: AL CentralKevin Goldstein2008-03-19
This article requires BP Premium accessYou Could Look It Up: More Fun With ComparablesSteven Goldman2008-03-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Organizational Rankings, Part 1Kevin Goldstein2008-02-29
This article requires BP Premium accessEvery Given Sunday: The Bronx ChallengeJohn Perrotto2008-02-17
Every Given Sunday: Gearing Up For Pitchers and CatchersJohn Perrotto2008-02-03
Top 100 Prospects: The Best of the BestKevin Goldstein2008-01-31
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: AL Top 11 Prospects UpdateKevin Goldstein2008-01-10
Wait 'Til Next Year: Previewing the College Baseball SeasonBryan Smith2008-01-02
This article requires BP Premium accessLies, Damned Lies: Offseason Plans, AL CentralNate Silver2007-10-11
This article requires BP Premium accessEvery Given Sunday: The Upcoming MarketJohn Perrotto2007-09-09
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Two Steps Back, American LeagueKevin Goldstein2007-09-06
This article requires BP Premium accessLies, Damned Lies: Slotto Bonanzas, Part TwoNate Silver2007-08-19
This article requires BP Premium accessLies, Damned Lies: Slotto Bonanzas, Part OneNate Silver2007-08-17
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Q&A: J.P. ArencibiaDavid Laurila2007-07-22
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Risers and Fallers, American LeagueKevin Goldstein2007-07-06
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems, AL CentralKevin Goldstein2007-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessWait 'Til Next Year: The Scouting Directors, AL CentralBryan Smith2007-05-22
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Morning Ten PackKevin Goldstein2007-05-21
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Morning Ten PackKevin Goldstein2007-05-14
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Unpaid HazardsKevin Goldstein2007-05-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Early Options in the 2007 DraftKevin Goldstein2007-04-29
Lies, Damned Lies: The PECOTA Top 100Nate Silver2007-04-27
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Morning Ten PackKevin Goldstein2007-04-23
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems, AL CentralKevin Goldstein2007-04-18
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Double-A PreviewKevin Goldstein2007-04-06
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Q&A: Deric LadnierDavid Laurila2007-04-01
Hope and Faith: How the Kansas City Royals Can Win the World SeriesRany Jazayerli2007-03-28
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: March 13-18, 2007Christina Kahrl2007-03-19
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems, AL CentralKevin Goldstein2007-03-09
Future Shock: Top 100 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2007-02-21
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Organizational RankingsKevin Goldstein2007-02-14
Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Prospects, IntroductionNate Silver2007-02-01
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Kansas City Royals Top Ten ProspectsKevin Goldstein2007-01-22
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Bi-Coastal SillinessJoe Sheehan2005-11-03


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-07-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)HOF-types Maddux, Glavine, Pedro, RJohnson and a few others all struggled in their first few major league seasons. How aberrant is to see the immediate success of recent young pitchers (such as Harvey, SMiller, and Fernandez this year and perhaps Kershaw, Lincecum, Felix, C.Sale and Straus in previous years)? Is it that "stuff" predominates, or the guys pick up sequencing earlier (whether on own or with team's "coaching")?
(tullythomas from (Balt Memial Stadium Bleachers))
Very good point about stuff dominating this era of high strikeout rates. That said, we're looking at a snapshot. Dwight Gooden was really good when he came up, you just don't mention him because we have the hindsight now not to include him in the HOF crop. There's a chance that at Luke Hochevar's induction, we'll say that he struggled early in his career too.

(Snark aside, I think it's probably what you said about pitchers coming up now with such good stuff.) (Zachary Levine)
2013-03-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Luke Hochevar is in the bullpen. One step closer to the stands or is he the Judd Apatow of pitching? (Only good in small doses.) Does his stuff get better or worse?
(Tyler Drenon from TheDoubleday.com)
Another Royals question for Tyler :) Pitchers usually do better in relief (see Tom Tango's Rule of 17) with the assumption they learn how to get ready for a game quickly, instead of having all sorts of time to get ready before a start. His stuff is his stuff, but he may add a couple MPH if he adapts physically to the role change (and you should expect him to). (Harry Pavlidis)
2012-11-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)What's wrong with Mike Montgomery? Do you think he will ever be able to make it in the majors as a SP?
(Nils from Stamford)
Well, we're talking about the team of Kyle Davies and Luke Hochevar here. You don't necessarily have to to be a good pitcher to be a Royals pitcher for a long time. So I'll say that he makes it in the sense that he is a major-league starter for a while, but not necessarily a good one. For that, you'll have to wait for the Royals prospect list, which will be out soon.

Since that wasn't a very satisfying answer, I'm just going to pretend you asked about Mark Montgomery instead. In which case: Nothing! Nothing is wrong with Mark Montgomery. (I really like Mark Montgomery, mostly because he reminds me of David Robertson.) (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-04-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Chances that both AL wild cards come out of the East? How long before KC has a legit shot in the Central?
(cooldude from Mpls)
I think it's certainly possible, the Red Sox slow start notwithstanding. Even so, I wouldn't count the second place team in the AL West, either the Angels or the Rangers, out of the running at all. Both teams have a good deal of talent and depth.

As for the Royals, I'd guess that 2014 is realistic. Right now, I simply don't see the starting pitching they need to compete; at best maybe Bruce Chen and Luke Hochevar (who took a step forward in the second half last year) are league average - where is the rest of that help going to come from? They'll need to sign outside free agents or make trades in order to fortify their starting five. (Jay Jaffe)
2012-03-15 12:00:00 (link to chat)What's your take on the 2012 Royals?
(Ryan Glass from The District)
It comes down to their pitching. I can see their young position players taking steps forward, but that rotation needs to carry its weight, too. If Luke Hochevar and Danny Duffy can improve and Felipe Paulino continues to pitch like he did with KC last season then that team looks a lot better than it does now. (R.J. Anderson)
2009-04-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)Sheehan's silly little Opening Day screed notwithstanding, Hillman has managed KC's bullpen fairly well the past five games. How far can a strong pen (assuming Farnsworth isn't over-extended and HoRam is moved out of the rotation) and the trio of Meche-Greinke-Davies carry that team, given that scoring 500 runs this year seems like a pipe dream some days?
(BL from Bozeman)
Forget the bullpen for a moment. Given that Ramirez and Ponson are both in the rotation to start the year while a healthy Luke Hochevar rots in Triple-A, I question Hillman's qualifications to manage a major league club. That's malpractice right there.

Needless to say, i'm a take-the-under guy when it comes to the Royals. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-03-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Whats the deal with Luke Hochevar? As a Royals fan, should I start worrying?
(Will from iowa)
I said before that the mental aspect of the game is immense for pitchers, and mutliple scouts pointed at Hochevar's condifence (or lack thereof) as one of the key components to his dissapointing 2007 season. The stuff for him to be a successfull big league starter is there, the rest might be up to him. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-01-29 16:00:00 (link to chat)Rany, is Luke Hochevar going to be a bust in relative terms to the #1 overall pick?
(ajblobaum from Lawrence, KS)
"Bust" is too strong a term. He's going to be less valuable than your typical #1 pick, simply because your average #1 pick includes the Griffeys and A-Rods of the world. I think he's going to be a #3 starter, maybe #2 in a good year. Would he go #1 if the Royals drafted today? No. But the only clearly better player the Royals passed on at the time was Andrew Miller, and even today it's not clear that Miller's the better player. Joba Chamberlain or Tim Lincecum, sure, but few people were arguing that at the time. (Although our own Kevin Goldstein thought the Royals should have taken Lincecum.) (Rany Jazayerli)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Luke Hochevar has thrown 15,717 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2016, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Spring Training. In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Cutter (89mph), Fourseam Fastball (95mph) and Curve (79mph). He also rarely throws a Change (89mph) and Sinker (93mph).