Biographical

Portrait of A.J. Griffin

A.J. Griffin PAthletics

Athletics Player Cards | Athletics Team Audit | Athletics Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 26)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
168.3 3.43 1.17 137 11 8 0 2.0
Birth Date1-28-1988
Height6' 5"
Weight230 lbs
Age26 years, 8 months, 26 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
0.92012
-0.52013
2.02014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2012 OAK 24 15 15 82.3 82.3 0.0 7 1 0 0 9 0 336 74 29 28 10 110 19 19 1 64 3.06 3.80 4.11 8.9 0.9
2013 OAK 25 32 32 200.0 200.0 0.0 14 10 0 0 15 1 823 171 91 85 36 309 54 52 4 171 3.83 4.58 5.06 -2.7 -0.5
Career4747282.3282.30.0211100241115924512011346419737152353.604.354.786.20.4

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2010 VAN A- 20 0 21.3 3.54 116 .201 .250 .323 .353 .253 .286 99 2.8 0.3 2.8 0.3
2010 ATH Rk 4 0 5.0 3.37 123 .032 .281 .327 .463 .322 .000 90 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.1
2011 BUR A 8 8 52.0 3.49 119 .211 .240 .307 .346 .253 .231 93 7.7 0.8 7.7 0.8
2011 STO A+ 12 12 70.7 3.64 127 .236 .277 .343 .432 .276 .316 99 21.8 2.2 21.9 2.3
2011 MID AA 6 6 32.0 6.52 76 .292 .267 .335 .404 .258 .308 109 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
2011 SAC AAA 1 1 6.0 3.82 111 .263 .290 .371 .448 .280 .385 82 1.0 0.1 1.0 0.1
2012 OAK MLB 15 15 82.3 4.11 102 .240 .262 .325 .420 .269 .264 95 8.9 0.9 8.9 0.9
2012 MID AA 7 7 43.3 4.06 106 .197 .251 .329 .387 .266 .250 97 5.2 0.5 5.2 0.5
2012 SAC AAA 10 10 58.7 3.80 122 .216 .281 .341 .436 .270 .260 98 12.8 1.3 12.8 1.3
2013 OAK MLB 32 32 200.0 5.06 76 .262 .256 .319 .406 .267 .242 94 -3.0 -0.3 -2.7 -0.5

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2010 VAN A- 1 1 15 20 0 21.3 14 7 27 0 45% .286 5.9 3.0 0.0 11.4 0.99 2.96 2.8 0.3
2010 ATH Rk 0 0 0 4 0 5.0 1 0 6 0 71% .000 1.8 0.0 0.0 10.8 0.20 0.00 0.8 0.1
2011 SAC AAA 0 1 0 1 1 6.0 6 2 8 1 36% .385 9.0 3.0 1.5 12.0 1.33 3.00 1.0 0.1
2011 MID AA 2 3 0 6 6 32.0 39 11 20 6 40% .308 11.0 3.1 1.7 5.6 1.56 6.47 0.1 0.0
2011 STO A+ 5 3 0 12 12 70.7 64 14 82 8 42% .316 8.2 1.8 1.0 10.4 1.10 3.57 21.9 2.3
2011 BUR A 4 0 0 8 8 52.0 36 5 46 2 47% .231 6.2 0.9 0.3 8.0 0.79 1.56 7.7 0.8
2012 MID AA 3 1 0 7 7 43.3 31 7 44 4 44% .250 6.4 1.5 0.8 9.1 0.88 2.49 5.2 0.5
2012 OAK MLB 7 1 0 15 15 82.3 74 19 64 10 38% .264 8.1 2.1 1.1 7.0 1.13 3.06 8.9 0.9
2012 SAC AAA 4 2 0 10 10 58.7 48 11 47 3 41% .260 7.4 1.7 0.5 7.2 1.01 3.07 12.8 1.3
2013 OAK MLB 14 10 0 32 32 200.0 171 54 171 36 33% .242 7.7 2.4 1.6 7.7 1.12 3.83 -2.7 -0.5

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2012 1421 0.4954 0.4697 0.8096 0.6449 0.2971 0.8789 0.6620 0.1889
2013 3206 0.5137 0.4464 0.8064 0.6017 0.2822 0.8557 0.6955 0.1936
Career46270.50810.45360.80740.6150.28680.86280.68520.1922

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-03-21 - 60-DL - - Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2014-04-30 -
2014-03-14 2014-03-21 Camp 7 0 Right Elbow Inflammation Flexors - -
2013-09-25 2013-10-11 DTD 16 4 Right Elbow Inflammation - -
2012-08-05 2012-09-01 15-DL 27 24 Right Shoulder Strain - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 OAK $505,000
2013 OAK $492,500
2012 OAK $
YearsDescriptionSalary
1 yrPrevious$492,500
2011Current$505,000
2 yrPvs + Cur$997,500
2 yrTotal$997,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
1 y 102 d1 year/$0.505M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.505M (2014). Re-signed by Oakland 3/14.
  • 1 year/$0.4925M (2013). Re-signed by Oakland 3/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Contract purchased by Oakland 6/24/12.
  • Drafted by Oakland 2010 (13-395) (University of San Diego).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 12.5 8.2 0 31 31 204.5 159 43 165 23 .238 0.99 2.45 2.66 49.8 5.1
80o 12.2 8.7 0 31 31 198.0 162 44 160 23 .248 1.04 2.74 2.98 41.6 4.2
70o 12 9.1 0 31 31 193.5 165 44 156 23 .255 1.08 2.96 3.21 35.9 3.7
60o 11.8 9.4 0 31 31 189.6 167 45 153 24 .261 1.12 3.14 3.41 31.0 3.2
50o 11.6 9.7 0 31 31 186.0 168 45 150 24 .267 1.15 3.31 3.6 26.4 2.7
40o 11.5 10 0 31 31 182.5 170 46 147 24 .272 1.18 3.48 3.79 21.9 2.2
30o 11.3 10.3 0 31 31 178.7 172 46 144 24 .278 1.22 3.67 3.99 17.3 1.8
20o 11 10.7 0 31 31 174.3 174 47 141 25 .285 1.26 3.89 4.23 11.9 1.2
10o 10.7 11.2 0 31 31 168.4 176 47 136 25 .295 1.33 4.20 4.57 4.5 0.5
Weighted Mean11.79.703131186.11684515024.2651.143.303.5826.92.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
39% 66% 13% 17% 94%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152710802626154135361291938.2641.113.143.417.92.17.61.12.6
2016289702323135121311131838.2661.133.203.488.12.17.61.22.2
2017298602121123107261021638.2611.083.073.337.81.97.51.22.2
2018308602020118102241021438.2631.072.893.147.81.87.81.12.4
20193176018181089725861538.2631.133.263.548.12.17.21.31.7
20203275018181059422871438.2661.103.153.428.11.97.51.21.8
2021336501616958620791338.2661.113.163.448.11.97.51.21.6
2022346401515867818711238.2671.113.173.458.11.97.41.31.4
2023355401313756915611038.2681.123.243.528.31.87.31.21.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
5430.417.719.112.512133.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 81)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 91 Scott Baker 2008 3.45
2 90 Jordan Zimmermann 2012 3.17
3 87 Travis Wood 2013 3.29
4 87 Homer Bailey 2012 4.20
5 87 J.P. Howell 2009 2.97
6 86 Gavin Floyd 2009 4.34
7 86 Ivan Nova 2013 3.17
8 85 Kris Medlen 2012 1.70
9 85 Jeff Francis 2007 4.30
10 85 Wade Davis 2012 2.56
11 85 Brett Cecil 2013 2.97
12 85 Jeremy Hellickson 2013 5.33
13 84 Glen Perkins 2009 5.98
14 84 Noah Lowry 2007 4.38
15 84 Micah Owings 2009 5.64
16 84 Lance Lynn 2013 4.11
17 84 Tommy Hunter 2013 2.92
18 83 Daniel Hudson 2013 0.00 DNP
19 83 Garrett Olson 2010 4.78
20 83 Kevin Slowey 2010 4.63
21 83 Dillon Gee 2012 4.60
22 83 Joe Blanton 2007 4.15
23 83 Taylor Buchholz 2008 3.12
24 83 Charlie Morton 2010 8.92
25 83 Jake Arrieta 2012 6.44
26 83 Dan Haren 2007 3.68
27 83 Ryan Madson 2007 3.05
28 82 James Shields 2008 3.93
29 82 Edinson Volquez 2010 4.31
30 82 Brad Bergesen 2012 4.25
31 82 Luke Hochevar 2010 5.33
32 82 Dustin McGowan 2008 4.85
33 81 Sean Gallagher 2012 0.00 DNP
34 81 Tommy Milone 2013 4.78
35 81 Wil Ledezma 2007 6.37
36 81 Aaron Crow 2013 3.56
37 81 Brandon Beachy 2013 5.10
38 81 Marc Rzepczynski 2012 4.24
39 81 Ricky Romero 2011 3.40
40 81 Juan Nicasio 2013 5.54
41 81 David Huff 2011 6.22
42 80 Tommy Hanson 2013 5.67
43 80 Jon Niese 2013 4.28
44 80 Manny Parra 2009 6.94
45 80 Billy Buckner 2010 11.77
46 80 Justin Germano 2009 0.00 DNP
47 80 Ian Kennedy 2011 2.96
48 80 Francisco Liriano 2010 3.62
49 80 Dana Eveland 2010 7.29
50 79 Gio Gonzalez 2012 3.12
51 79 James McDonald 2011 4.53
52 79 Greg Smith 2010 6.46
53 79 Blake Wood 2012 0.00 DNP
54 79 Jered Weaver 2009 3.88
55 79 Carlos Carrasco 2013 6.94
56 79 Ricky Nolasco 2009 5.40
57 79 Trevor Bell 2013 0.00 DNP
58 79 Kameron Loe 2008 5.58
59 78 Andy Sonnanstine 2009 7.68
60 78 Anthony Swarzak 2012 5.31
61 78 Tom Gorzelanny 2009 5.74
62 78 Tyson Ross 2013 3.53
63 78 Bud Norris 2011 4.50
64 78 Sean Marshall 2009 4.54
65 78 Chris Ray 2008 0.00 DNP
66 78 Jesse Litsch 2011 4.80
67 78 Wade Miley 2013 3.91
68 78 David Phelps 2013 5.19
69 78 Brian Matusz 2013 3.71
70 78 Jeremy Sowers 2009 5.33
71 78 Felipe Paulino 2010 6.19
72 78 Max Scherzer 2011 4.62
73 77 Matt Albers 2009 5.91
74 77 Matt Garza 2010 4.13
75 77 Derek Holland 2013 3.80
76 77 Jake McGee 2013 4.02
77 77 John Danks 2011 4.70
78 77 Jerome Williams 2008 0.00 DNP
79 77 Johnny Cueto 2012 3.03
80 77 Alfredo Aceves 2009 3.86
81 77 Scott Lewis 2010 0.00 DNP
82 77 Andrew Miller 2011 5.95
83 77 Tyler Clippard 2011 1.83
84 77 Ian Snell 2008 5.86
85 77 Ramon Ramirez 2008 2.89
86 77 Jason Hammel 2009 4.79
87 77 Jason Hirsh 2008 10.38
88 77 Antonio Bastardo 2012 4.50
89 77 Zach Duke 2009 4.27
90 76 Carlos Villanueva 2010 4.61
91 76 Zack Greinke 2010 4.66
92 76 Jason Berken 2010 3.47
93 76 Michael Bowden 2013 4.30
94 76 Ryan Webb 2012 4.48
95 76 Denny Bautista 2009 5.27
96 76 Ervin Santana 2009 5.35
97 76 Tom Seaver 1971 1.92
98 76 Matt Harrison 2012 3.46
99 76 Vin Mazzaro 2013 2.81
100 76 Jensen Lewis 2010 2.97

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .229 .286 .374 .249
11 vs R (Multi) .226 .272 .427 .262
18 Split (Multi) .003 .015 -.053 -.012
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .226 .288 .379 .252
31 vs R (2013) .226 .270 .443 .264
38 Split (2013) -.000 .018 -.065 -.012
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Griffin is a classic counterexample to the theory that downhill plane is the instigator of groundballs. The tall right-hander with a high arm slot and a steep curveball has a glaring tendency to surrender hits in the air. He was one of a handful of quick climbers in the Oakland pitching corps in 2012, soaring from Double-A to the majors by midsummer, and his stat line maintained its brilliance after the big-league promotion. Griffin kept runners off the bases with pinpoint command and a little help from the gloves behind him on batted balls, elements that will have to hold if his 90-mph fastball is to continue to play on the big stage.

BP Articles

A.J. Griffin is referenced in the following articles.

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-04-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)A few injured pitchers are going to be coming off the DL in the coming months (ERA WHIP K SAVES WINS) A.J. Griffin or Joulys Chacin are the injuries serious enough to avoid the pickup and who's the better of the two?
(Nathan Eovaldi from The high 90s)
Nice to see you off to a good start, Nate. If either guy makes it back healthy you can pick him up, but I strongly prefer Griffin, given Chacin's contextual factors. (Ben Carsley)
2013-04-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)I was wondering what you think about Oakland so far this season? They seem to be able to win the close games and have a young pitching staff that remains somewhat under the radar(Griffin and Milone are both off to good starts).
(Drew Balen from Edmonton)
Hey Drew, good to hear from you. Hope to catch you at the AFL again this year. I like what I've seen so far from the A's. I'm a huge A.J. Griffin fan, mostly because he went to my alma mater but also because he's a better pitcher than a lot of people may have thought. The offense has been great. Oakland fans should be excited. (Geoff Young)
2013-03-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who are a few of your favorite players this season? (MLB or minor)
(Batpoet from San Diego)
Hi Batpoet, always good to see my Twitter friends here; glad you could join us! At the big-league level, I have a fondness for guys who attended my alma mater or who I saw play a lot in the minors. That would include A.J. Griffin, Oliver Perez, Kyle Blanks, Headley. Current minor leaguers? Austin Hedges, who I look forward to watching at Lake Elsinore. And of course, Billy Hamilton, who is just so disruptive. I doubt I'll ever get tired of watching him play. (Geoff Young)
2012-10-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which new team did you find yourself gravitating towards the most as you couldn't watch the Padres from the comfort of your own home?
(Bryant from San Diego)
I watched mainly Angels and A's games. I gravitated more toward the A's over the final two months because they were fun to watch. They weren't supposed to be winning like that. Cespedes is awesome, and the whole "Weekend at Bernie's" thing amused me to no end. Plus A.J. Griffin went to my alma mater and I watched him pitch in college. Go Toreros! (Geoff Young)


BP Roundtables

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, A.J. Griffin threw 4,717 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2012 and 2013, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Spring Training. In 2013, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (90mph), also mixing in a Curve (69mph), Change (82mph) and Cutter (82mph).