Biographical

Portrait of Todd Frazier

Todd Frazier 3BReds

Reds Player Cards | Reds Team Audit | Reds Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 28)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
4 .254 0 0 1 0 .277 0.0
Birth Date2-12-1986
Height6' 3"
Weight220 lbs
Age28 years, 8 months, 11 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
0.72011
2.52012
1.92013
4.52014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2011 CIN 25 41 121 112 17 26 5 0 6 49 7 27 2 0 0 15 1 0 .232 .289 .438 .273 7.7 -1.0 0.7
2012 CIN 26 128 465 422 55 115 26 6 19 210 36 103 3 4 0 67 3 2 .273 .331 .498 .291 25.7 -1.6 2.5
2013 CIN 27 150 600 531 63 124 29 3 19 216 50 125 14 3 2 73 6 5 .234 .314 .407 .260 19.6 -2.3 1.9
2014 CIN 28 157 660 597 88 163 22 1 29 274 52 139 7 4 0 80 20 8 .273 .336 .459 .299 45.8 -4.8 4.5
Career47618461662223428821073749145394261122353015.258.325.451.28398.9-9.79.7

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2007 DYT A 6 24 .379 .267 .333 .393 .262 .312 100 4.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 -0.3 6.2 0.6 6.2 0.6
2007 BIL Rk 41 186 .313 .276 .345 .424 .270 .346 107 11.3 5.8 1.7 -1.9 1.0 18.1 1.5 18.1 1.5
2008 DYT A 30 127 .366 .251 .322 .370 .260 .377 100 14.1 3.7 0.2 2.0 0.0 18.4 2.1 18.4 2.1
2008 SAR A+ 100 414 .281 .258 .329 .379 .253 .337 100 9.7 12.3 1.2 2.5 1.2 25.3 2.8 25.3 2.8
2009 CAR AA 119 500 .304 .253 .327 .372 .262 .316 94 23.2 14.1 -3.6 0.2 -0.3 39.9 4.2 39.9 4.2
2009 LOU AAA 16 69 .267 .253 .317 .391 .239 .347 115 0.7 2.7 -0.2 1.1 0.3 2.8 0.4 2.8 0.4
2010 LOU AAA 130 538 .266 .267 .335 .422 .257 .318 98 3.7 16.7 -3.4 6.6 2.6 17.7 2.3 17.7 2.3
2011 CIN MLB 41 121 .273 .258 .320 .408 .265 .253 104 1.6 3.3 0.2 -1.0 1.3 7.7 0.7 7.7 0.7
2011 LOU AAA 90 359 .287 .260 .328 .406 .255 .302 95 11.5 11.1 -2.3 2.9 1.5 22.1 2.4 22.1 2.4
2012 CIN MLB 128 465 .291 .257 .318 .409 .263 .316 101 14.4 12.7 -1.8 -1.6 0.1 25.7 2.5 25.7 2.5
2012 LOU AAA 10 41 .226 .262 .327 .403 .255 .296 105 -1.6 1.2 0 -0.1 0.2 -0.4 -0.1 -0.4 -0.1
2013 CIN MLB 150 600 .260 .254 .316 .390 .258 .269 103 -0.2 15.8 2.1 -2.3 1.7 19.6 1.9 19.6 1.9
2014 CIN MLB 157 660 .299 .249 .309 .382 .260 .309 98 24.3 17.0 -0.8 -4.8 3.2 45.8 4.5 45.8 4.5

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2007 DYT A 24 4 7 3 0 2 5 2 4 0 0 .318 .375 .727 .409 .379 6.2 0.1 0.6
2007 BIL Rk 186 29 51 6 5 5 25 18 22 3 3 .319 .411 .512 .194 .313 18.1 -1.9 1.5
2008 SAR A+ 414 62 103 20 3 12 54 41 84 8 4 .281 .360 .451 .169 .281 25.3 2.5 2.8
2008 DYT A 127 25 36 10 0 7 20 15 28 4 2 .321 .402 .598 .277 .366 18.4 2.0 2.1
2009 CAR AA 500 59 131 40 2 14 68 42 67 7 8 .290 .354 .481 .191 .304 39.9 0.2 4.2
2009 LOU AAA 69 9 19 5 0 2 9 6 12 2 0 .302 .362 .476 .175 .267 2.8 1.1 0.4
2010 LOU AAA 538 71 124 32 4 17 66 45 127 14 4 .258 .334 .448 .190 .266 17.7 6.6 2.3
2011 CIN MLB 121 17 26 5 0 6 15 7 27 1 0 .232 .289 .438 .205 .273 7.7 -1.0 0.7
2011 LOU AAA 359 47 82 18 1 15 46 34 82 17 4 .260 .340 .467 .206 .287 22.1 2.9 2.4
2012 CIN MLB 465 55 115 26 6 19 67 36 103 3 2 .273 .331 .498 .225 .291 25.7 -1.6 2.5
2012 LOU AAA 41 4 9 2 0 1 7 2 11 3 0 .231 .268 .359 .128 .226 -0.4 -0.1 -0.1
2013 CIN MLB 600 63 124 29 3 19 73 50 125 6 5 .234 .314 .407 .173 .260 19.6 -2.3 1.9
2014 CIN MLB 660 88 163 22 1 29 80 52 139 20 8 .273 .336 .459 .186 .299 45.8 -4.8 4.5

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2011 462 0.4654 0.4805 0.7342 0.6791 0.3077 0.7877 0.6316 0.2613
2012 1805 0.4560 0.4992 0.7481 0.6683 0.3574 0.7982 0.6695 0.2519
2013 2293 0.4562 0.4932 0.7622 0.6616 0.3520 0.8367 0.6446 0.2361
2014 2537 0.4533 0.4812 0.7473 0.6617 0.3302 0.8121 0.6397 0.2518
Career70970.45570.48960.75150.66450.34270.81490.64830.2474

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-08-15 2014-08-18 DTD 3 3 - Low Back Strain -
2014-04-26 2014-04-27 DTD 1 1 Left Lower Leg Tightness Calf - -
2013-02-27 2013-02-28 Camp 1 0 Left Lower Leg Strain Calf - -
2012-06-17 2012-06-18 DTD 1 1 - General Medical Illness - -
2011-09-23 2011-09-23 DTD 0 0 Left Hand Contusion HBP - -
2010-03-05 2010-03-06 Camp 1 0 Left Knee Contusion Quadriceps -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 CIN $600,000
2013 CIN $527,500
2012 CIN $
2011 CIN $
YearsDescriptionSalary
1 yrPrevious$527,500
2011Current$600,000
2 yrPvs + Cur$1,127,500
2 yrTotal$1,127,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
2 y 71 dBrodie Van Wagenen1 year/$0.6M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.6M (2014). Re-signed by Cincinnati 3/14.
  • 1 year/$0.5275M (2013). Re-signed by Cincinnati 3/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Re-signed by Cincinnati 2/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Contract purchased by Cincinnati 11/19/10.
  • Drafted by Cincinnati 2007 (1s-34) (Rutgers). Signed 7/7/07, $0.825M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 567 75 139 30 3 24 81 50 122 10 4 .275 .349 .487 .302 37.8 3B -3 3.8
80o 550 70 130 28 3 22 76 47 121 9 4 .264 .337 .468 .292 31.1 3B -3 3.1
70o 539 67 124 27 3 21 73 45 120 9 4 .256 .328 .455 .284 26.5 3B -3 2.6
60o 528 65 117 25 2 20 70 43 119 9 4 .250 .321 .443 .278 22.8 3B -3 2.2
50o 519 62 113 24 2 20 68 41 118 8 3 .244 .314 .433 .272 19.3 3B -3 1.8
40o 510 60 110 24 2 19 65 40 117 8 3 .238 .307 .422 .266 16.0 3B -3 1.4
30o 499 57 104 22 2 18 63 38 116 8 3 .232 .299 .411 .259 12.6 3B -3 1.1
20o 488 54 98 21 2 17 60 36 115 7 3 .224 .290 .397 .252 8.7 3B -3 0.7
10o 471 51 92 20 2 16 56 33 113 7 3 .214 .278 .379 .241 3.7 3B -3 0.1
Weighted Mean5216311525220684211883.245.315.434.27319.93B -31.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
1% 44% 6% 11% 95%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201529537671102522068461268.231.309.417.2671.819.91.0-0.214.94.1-3.2
201630601751262622174531408.236.312.409.2661.718.91.0-0.414.93.3-3.5
201731630761272522174541428.225.301.388.2571.113.61.0-0.614.9-1.7-3.7
201832629751282632074511447.226.298.390.2550.912.11.0-0.814.9-3.1-3.7
201933615731232432172481385.220.290.385.2500.69.31.0-0.914.9-5.7-3.6
202034628761282422275511414.226.296.392.2540.811.31.0-1.114.9-3.5-3.7
202135616691192321867451443.214.281.360.239-0.22.21.0-1.314.9-12.5-3.6
202236633731262322072461432.221.287.376.2460.36.21.1-1.514.9-8.3-3.7
202337640711242321969431501.214.276.358.235-0.4-0.01.4-1.714.9-14.7-3.8

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
42.334.133.336.521.221.7167.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 78)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 94 Chase Headley 2012 .320
2 87 Ian Stewart 2013 .000 DNP
3 86 Jayson Nix 2011 .203
4 86 Wilson Betemit 2010 .298
5 84 Kevin Kouzmanoff 2010 .242
6 83 Chase Utley 2007 .321
7 83 Chris Johnson 2013 .283
8 82 Edwin Encarnacion 2011 .271
9 82 Jhonny Peralta 2010 .253
10 82 Casey McGehee 2011 .224
11 82 Scott Sizemore 2013 .168
12 82 Jeremy Hermida 2012 .253
13 82 Michael Cuddyer 2007 .281
14 82 Garrett Atkins 2008 .262
15 81 Mark Teahen 2010 .237
16 81 Bobby Thomson 1952 .305
17 81 Scott Rolen 2003 .307
18 80 Chad Tracy 2008 .242
19 80 Adrian Beltre 2007 .274
20 80 Ben Francisco 2010 .268
21 79 Hank Thompson 1954 .310
22 79 Chipper Jones 2000 .318
23 79 Dave Hollins 1994 .237
24 79 Richie Hebner 1976 .260
25 79 Ryan Garko 2009 .266
26 79 Bobby Crosby 2008 .229
27 79 Jose Bautista 2009 .261
28 79 Khalil Greene 2008 .226
29 79 Sean Rodriguez 2013 .272
30 79 Xavier Nady 2007 .266
31 78 Alex Gordon 2012 .285
32 78 Brad Hawpe 2007 .295
33 78 Curtis Granderson 2009 .267
34 78 Al Rosen 1952 .341
35 77 Ron Santo 1968 .293
36 77 Adam Lind 2012 .256
37 77 Danny Valencia 2013 .307
38 77 Bill Melton 1974 .273
39 77 Nick Hundley 2012 .173
40 77 Morgan Ensberg 2004 .260
41 77 Jed Lowrie 2012 .283
42 77 Shin-Soo Choo 2011 .268
43 76 Juan Rivera 2007 .234
44 76 Ryan Zimmerman 2013 .284
45 76 Matt LaPorta 2013 .000 DNP
46 76 David Murphy 2010 .280
47 76 Eddie Mathews 1960 .344
48 76 Chris Iannetta 2011 .271
49 76 Jason Kubel 2010 .255
50 76 Doug Decinces 1979 .265
51 76 Ron Cey 1976 .322
52 76 Chris Snyder 2009 .248
53 76 Franklin Gutierrez 2011 .199
54 75 Rocco Baldelli 2010 .190
55 75 Darrell Evans 1975 .284
56 75 Seth Smith 2011 .281
57 75 Scott Hairston 2008 .295
58 75 Chris Duncan 2009 .249
59 75 Kelly Johnson 2010 .310
60 75 Kendrys Morales 2011 .000 DNP
61 75 Bob Bailey 1971 .287
62 75 David Freese 2011 .280
63 75 Chris Heisey 2013 .245
64 75 Travis Ishikawa 2012 .249
65 75 Austin Kearns 2008 .230
66 75 Sal Bando 1972 .281
67 75 Allen Craig 2013 .297
68 75 Stephen Drew 2011 .262
69 75 Dan Uggla 2008 .306
70 75 Hank Blalock 2009 .251
71 75 Glenn Davis 1989 .312
72 75 Jim Ray Hart 1970 .291
73 75 Bill Hall 2008 .242
74 74 Howard Johnson 1989 .337
75 74 Brennan Boesch 2013 .273
76 74 Chris Young 2012 .261
77 74 Fred Lewis 2009 .275
78 74 Alex Rios 2009 .240
79 74 Brendan Harris 2009 .244
80 74 Corey Hart 2010 .307
81 74 Chris Shelton 2008 .222
82 74 Geovany Soto 2011 .254
83 74 Robin Ventura 1996 .296
84 74 Brandon Phillips 2009 .265
85 74 Bob Horner 1986 .289
86 74 Billy Williams 1966 .297
87 74 Josh Fields 2011 .000 DNP
88 74 Pete Ward 1966 .245
89 74 Ryan Doumit 2009 .244
90 74 Roger Maris 1963 .339
91 74 Rico Carty 1968 .000 DNP
92 74 Dave Winfield 1980 .295
93 74 Will Venable 2011 .277
94 74 Tony Perez 1970 .341
95 73 Leon Durham 1986 .272
96 73 Gabe Gross 2008 .262
97 73 Moises Alou 1995 .280
98 73 Fred Lynn 1980 .300
99 73 Andy Marte 2012 .000 DNP
100 73 Ryan Church 2007 .283

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .256 .319 .489 .277
11 vs R (Multi) .239 .318 .409 .258
18 Split (Multi) -.017 -.001 -.080 -.019
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.013 -.023 -.037 -.020
30 vs L (2013) .236 .311 .471 .270
31 vs R (2013) .233 .316 .380 .249
38 Split (2013) -.003 .005 -.092 -.021
39 LgAvg (2013) -.011 -.021 -.036 -.019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 A supersub we compared to Scott Brosius and Michael Cuddyer in last year's book, Frazier covered third base for an injured Scott Rolen in May and June, and first base for an injured Joey Votto in July and August. Frazier was consistent at the plate all season before fading in September, which may have cost him the NL Rookie of the Year award. He isn't young and he doesn't have a position, but the ability to hit and play all four corners makes him useful in a supporting roleósort of a baseball version of Bruno Kirby.
2012 You get the sense the Reds are not really any closer to knowing what Todd Frazier is than they were when they drafted him with the 34th overall pick in 2007. They've achieved some sense of what he isn'tóa middle infielderóbut if he's just bumping around the corners, opportunities are going to be harder to come by. Guys have managed to put together careers despite this sort of positional ambiguity: Scott Brosius went through it in the '90s and Michael Cuddyer more recently wandered from shortstop to second to third and the outfield corners. He's ready right now to help a winning team at all four corners.
2011 Frazierís frenzied game of musical positions didnít miss a beat in his fourth professional season, but his bat finally got lost in all the excitement. The righty had never been regarded as a fit for a premium defensive position, but he appeared to offer enough offense to carry second or third. That rosy vision of the future wavered in his first full season at Triple-A, where he spent the majority of his time as a left fielder, but hit more like a utilityman thanks to a dramatically inflated strikeout rate. His patience and power survived the promotion, so if his contact talents return with additional seasoning, he could still make his way to the majors at the end of Jonny Gomesí tenure, if not sooner. A 947 OPS in 144 August and September at-bats bodes well.
2010 Drafted as a shortstop in the first supplemental round in 2007, New Jersey native and Rutgers product Todd Frazier has been a true utility man in his first two full seasons of pro ball, appearing at all four infield positions and in left field. Wherever he has played, he has hit, compiling a .296/.367/.491 career line and capping his 2009 season with a strong showing in Triple-A, where he was primarily used as a second baseman. Not strong enough defensively to stick at short, Frazier remained at the keystone in an instructional league and will enter camp at the position. Itís a good fit given his offensive profile, which isnít enough to carry a corner in the major leagues but would make him a valuable second sacker. Heíll be blocked by Brandon Phillips there, of course, but itís quite possible that the Reds will trade Phillips to suppress payroll, thus handing the position to Frazier.
2009 A former Little League world champion, Todd Frazier has been regarded as something of a tweener as a professional: not quick enough afield to stay at shortstop, but not strong enough at the plate to carry his bat at the other end of the defensive spectrum. Third base, the eternal refuge of the tweener, is a stacked position in the Reds system; he'll have to keep pounding the ball to be considered at the outfield corners.
2008 Scouts spend too much time finding stuff not to like about Frazier. Sure, the Reds' supplemental first-round pick out of Rutgers last June isn't really a shortstop. Sure everything he does, from fielding to throwing to swinging a bat, just looks a little...abnormal. What they ignore is that he's been getting the job done as an amateur for what seems like forever; he played his first nationally televised game almost a decade ago when he led his team to the Little League World Series. Frazier could end up an offensive force and should have no problem carrying third or second base (though the former is more likely).

BP Articles

Todd Frazier is referenced in the following articles.

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-08-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Matthew, Todd Frazier: Real Deal or Regression Candidate in 2015?
(Cal Guy from Cal)
The funny thing is he's had this season before, in 2012 but the offensive environment was a bit different and the value of that season is higher now. He's not a huge star but he's a good power source and a valuable player for the Reds. I haven't done exhaustive analysis but there's nothing here that screams regression. (Matthew Kory)
2014-03-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)12-team keeper league. OBP, SLG, and NSB (SB-CS) replacing AVG and SB. Would you rather have Todd Frazier or Olt? Both would be bench players, backing up Longoria. Thanks!
(Joe from NY)
Frazier is safer. Olt has more upside. I'd probably go with Frazier myself, since you're not looking to homer here, but Olt could have more value as a trade chip. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-12-10 18:00:00 (link to chat)Joey Votto's paucity of RBI was a topic of big discussion last year. What should we expect on the RBI front in 2014 and how would you rank him among 1B in a standard 5x5?
(RMR from Cincinnati)
Hey RMR.

All of this depends on whether or not the Reds put someone decent in front of him in the lineup. Votto was virtually the same as he ever was but suffered through Todd Frazier's miserable OPS and a wounded Brandon Phillips most of the year. If Billy Hamilton can get on base at a semi-decent clip/stick, then Votto's RBI opportunities instantly go up. I'm an unashamed, unapologetic Votto lover. In my mixed valuations last year, only Paul Goldschmidt, Chris Davis, and Michael Cuddyer ranked higher at 1B (not including any non-OF who were 1B eligible). If Miguel Cabrera isn't 1B eligible in your league on Opening Day, Votto's 3rd behind Goldy and Davis. Some of this is just the weakness of the position, some of it is that runs count - and Votto's walks lead to runs - but some of it is that I like valuing skills over stats, particularly since even in a "down" year Votto was still a Top 25 mixed league hitter. I might even put Votto ahead of Davis when I actually sit down and rank these guys in February. (Mike Gianella)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Best to worst short term NL only keeper (2014-15)... Todd Frazier, Marcell Ozuna, Jedd Gyorko?
(Broken Arrow from Texas)
I think I'd flip the order. Jerk & Ozuna have the upside. Frazier is a WYSIWYG which is fine, but I'd rather gamble on the bigger payoff. (Paul Sporer)
2013-04-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)Tie ballgame last night in the 7th between CIN/PHI. Runners on 2nd and 3rd with nobody out, and Jay Bruce up. Do you walk him and pitch to Todd Frazier with the force outs, or take your chances with Bruce? Win Expectancy gives a 3% improvement to pitching to the batter, which to me would be negated by the downgrade in hitter from Bruce to Frazier.
(swarmee from Niceville, FL)
With one out, probably. Not with none. (Bret Sayre)
2013-03-20 11:00:00 (link to chat)Since Hanley is questionable for opening day, who would you pick up between Todd Frazier, Matt Carpenter, Gyorko or Arenado? Thank you.
(Motivation03 from Dallas)
Frazier. I think he's very undervalued this year... not a star, but if things break right and he hits .260 with 25 HR while eligible at both corners, that's pretty good stuff. (Cory Schwartz)
2013-03-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat! Could you rank these following players on chances of a breakout season: Kyle Seager, Brandon Belt, Todd Frazier, Ben Revere, Matt Harvey, and Mike Moustakas?
(Derek from Kansas City)
Harvey
Belt
Moustakas
Revere
Seager
Frazier (Zachary Levine)
2013-03-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Dan,with Hanley out 8-10 weeks how far will he drop in drafts and who do you like to move up at SS or 3b in the top 30.Thanks
(Chesty from New Bern,NC)
I'm hesitant to bank on any hitters coming off of serious hand/wrist/finger injuries, so I'd probably ding Ramirez more than others might. My 3B sleepers are Josh Donaldson and Todd Frazier, but as Bret Sayre pointed out in his tiered rankings column (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=19939) today, the pressure to get one early is mounting. (Daniel Rathman)
2013-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who is this years Wade Miley? Todd Frazier?
(Tony from Iowa)
Robbie Erlin, Josh Vitters (Paul Sporer)
2013-02-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat! Pick your breakout candidate this year out of the following: Todd Frazier, Brandon Belt, Mike Moustakas, and Kyle Seager.
(Derek from KC)
I like this question. I feel like Frazier and Belt are closest to their ceilings; Belt, especially, has some fundamental mechanical stuff to address if he ever wants to reach his power ceiling. I like the little power boost Seager displayed last year, but I can't help but feel like Moose is the only superstar in the bunch. Yeah, he's scuffled some the past two years, but he's going to be 24 for the entire '13 season. He's still CRAZY young. Gotta go with him. And even if he doesn't figure it out this year, he'll definitely be the guy over the long haul. (Ian Miller)
2013-01-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat! In my keeper league I kept Mike Moustakas, Todd Frazier, Brandon Belt, and Kyle Seager. Smart move?
(Derek from Kansas City)
Derek, it depends on the opportunity cost. I can see reasons for keeping all four of those players in a vacuum, but we both know that's not how this thing works. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-01-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat. How about the Reds this season? Will Votto's power be back and can the young 3 - Zack Cozart, Todd Frazier, and Devin Mesoraco be counted on for much?
(Rockford from Flowmont)
I like the Reds a lot. I'm guessing Votto will be fully healthy and not the guy who went 170 or so plate appearances without a home run after late June last season. As for the three young players, Mesoraco is the only one who hasn't already had a pretty productive season in the majors, and he could still get there. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-12-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think Todd Frazier's numbers will be? Good ballpark + good lineup = exceeding $10 value in a 4x4 NL only league?
(Rockford from Holding pattern)
Easily. I love Frazier. (Paul Sporer)
2012-11-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see the Reds doing anything on the offensive side this offseason? I expect Todd Frazier to be the 3b, but what happens at SS, CF, and LF?
(Rockford from Flowmont)
Thanks for stopping by, Rockford. After watching GABP help Ryan Ludwick to turn back into a serviceable everyday player, I think the Reds will go with a low-cost option in left, and possibly just bring back Ludwick if his price tag doesn't bloat too much. I also wouldn't expect them to give up on Zack Cozart so quickly, especially because he did amass 1.4 WARP last year, even with a .288 OBP. Given the depth of the outfield market, there might be a center fielder who fits the Reds' budget, so that's the position I think Jocketty will be most tempted to address. If Angel Pagan, B.J. Upton, and Michael Bourn all price themselves out of the Reds' range, Shane Victorino might be an intriguing option. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-11-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Great chat. I am curious for a little insight on the Reds. What potential do you see out of Todd Frazier over a full year? Will Billy Hamilton make it up this year and if so, is the Drew Stubbs era over?
(Tommy from Queen City)
Hey Tommy, thanks for the kind words. I certainly want to see Billy Hamilton in the bigs, but he's probably going to need a lot more reps in the OF before he plays at the major league level.

Not sure what to make of Drew Stubbs, frankly. I think he's a much better player than what we saw this year. So I think we see a little bounceback from Stubbs but, if he continues to struggle, maybe Hamilton is ready to come up mid-year? Wild guess. (Ian Miller)
2012-10-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Scott Rolen looking to play another yeat? It seems like he retirement announcement was imminent, but nothing happened. What should the Reds expect from Todd Frazier next year?
(Tommy from Flowmont)
I don't know, but I hope not. I drafted Rolen in a Scoresheet league when he was in A-ball, so I have fond memories of him coming up with the Phillies back in the day. It's tough to see his career crumble at the end. Same with Todd Helton. Or Brian Giles a few years ago. As for Frazier, he'll be as good as Dusty Baker lets him be. (Geoff Young)
2012-08-30 13:30:00 (link to chat)is Bryce Harper a lock for NL ROY? Will Wilin Rosario get a serious look? His home-road splits show no Coors advantage.
(gerrybraun from sandiego)
I don't think Harper is a lock. Until his two-homer game, Harper had been hitting poorly for some time. If he has a month-long hot streak, the award will probably be his to lose, but if he limps to the finish line, it won't be. As of today, the NL's most valuable position player has been Todd Frazier, who I wrote about in an article that went up on the site during this chat. (That's some impressive multi-tasking.) If Frazier keeps hitting, and more importantly, keeps playing after Votto's return, I think he'd have my vote. Rosario will get some consideration, but I don't think he'll win it. The power is impressive (as Jason Wojciechowski--yeah, I spelled that without looking it up--pointed out today, offense is up all over at catcher), but a sub-.300 OBP at Coors might, and probably should, hold him back a bit. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-08-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)With the prospects of Votto returning before the end of the season, do you expect Todd Frazier be the everyday 3B in Cincy? Dusty likes his veterans, but Frazier has quietly had a very good rookie season.
(Reggie from Uptown)
Frazier has been hitting, but you know what is weird? Scott Rolen, since July 1st has hit .338/.442/.521 in 23 games, 86 plate appearances. My guess is Dusty will give his vets every chance to fail and Rolen isn't failing, at least not right now. (Matthew Kory)
2012-05-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Miguel Cairo comes off the DL for the Reds today. Fans are pessimistically expecting them to send Todd Frazier down instead of DFAing Willie Harris. Cause for concern?
(Hobart from Washington, DC)
Iíd buy it if the stat lines were reversed. As is, I think Frazier stays. Everyone can joke about Dusty Bakerís love of veterans, but heíll play young players if they produce, and Frazier is doing just that right now. (R.J. Anderson)
2011-03-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Many of the local Reds bloggers are infatuated with SS Paul Janish. Sure, he's following the Over the Hill Gang (O. Cabrera, A. Gonzalez, R. Clayton etc)but can his glove carry hit bat? What line to you project at the dish for Paulie?
(Willie from Cincinnati)
Offensively, he's a non-option outside of deep NL-only fantasy leagues. Whether or not his glove can overcome his bat in "real baseball" is up to Dusty Baker, and to be fair, they do have a good enough offensive core that they can probably live with him hitting 8th. I'd love to see Todd Frazier get a shot, though, before they just give in and accept Janish. (Cory Schwartz)
2011-02-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can Todd Frazier rediscover the hitting magic? And, what's the over/under on the # of times you say "actualize" next podcast?
(Reds Fan from Wishing it was Goodyear)
I was never sold on his bat, so I don't think so. I will say "Actualize" at least 10 times on the next podcast, and possibly more if I start nipping at the moonshine. (Jason Parks)
2011-01-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)(A) Todd Frazier (B) Brandon Allen (C) Kila Kaiuaahuehuahuehuhauheuhauheuhe
(DanChaparian from NYC)
B. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-11-09 14:00:00 (link to chat)How should we view Todd Frazier after the year he had? He's playing a position with low value, even though he can handle the infield (well, not SS really anymore). He sucked at the beginning of the year, but then caught fire and hit over .320 for awhile. Is he still a top prospect, or doomed to be a utilityman?
(Bobby from Cincinnati)
Probably more B. than A. unfortunately. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-08-20 15:30:00 (link to chat)Any chance the Reds' AAA affiliate could beat the Pirates in a 7 game series? They're trotting out a lineup of Dave Sappelt, Chris Valaika, Yonder Alonso, Todd Frazier, Juan Francisco, Danny Dorn, and Devin Mesoraco, with Sam LeCure, Matt Maloney, Aaron Harang, and Aroldis Chapman among their pitchers.
(Joe from Cincy)
I was going to rip you and talk about how massive the different is between Triple-A and the big leagues is, but they might have a chance. I'll still favor the Pirates though. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-01-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hi CK - Love it! Any prospects that you have unexplained affinities for?
(iorg34 from Minny)
Todd Frazier, because the bat will play. I find myself hoping Zack Cozart gets taken seriously, given that Paul Janish isn't really a solution, and I'm interested in how Tommy Manzella pans out. It's hard not to like Scott Sizemore and Alex Avila for the Tigers. I'm interested in seeing how Jose Ceda's comeback goes. I think this is the year for Brandon Wood, or at least I hope so. I root for Hank Conger. I'm more fond of Ian Desmond and Shairon Martis than probably makes sense. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-11-17 14:00:00 (link to chat)Any word on what position Todd Frazier will ultimately play? Also, are Klaw's concerns about his arm bar swing shared by others or can he be a #5/6 hitter in a decent lineup despite an unorthodox approach (a la Hunter Pence perhaps)?
(Mario66 from Toronto)
I think he might finally have found a home at second. I like your Pence analogy in the sense that it's more than a bit funky, but I think he's proven it works for him. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-09-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Christina...Love your work, it always brightens my day. Quick question on my beloved Reds. The Reds haven't had a legit SS since Barry Larkin retired and they have no real prospects lined up at the position (particularly with Chris Valaika struggling mightily in AAA). What do the Reds do for 2010 if they can't bring in a FA or trade acquisition? Could they move Brandon Phillips back to SS or is he too valuable at this point at 2b? It just seems like the franchise has a number of guys who would be better fits at 2b. Would love to hear your thoughts.
(JoshC77 from Columbus)
Hi Josh, thank you for the kind words. I've been suggesting Phillips as their best-possible answer at short for a couple of seasons now, especially given that they play in a bandbox and can't really afford to wind up with some slick-fielding offensive non-entity when they're already shy of star players in the lineup. An infield with Votto and Rolen at the corners, Phillips at short, and Todd Frazier at second might not be enough to carry that outfield, but it's a start in the right direction. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-08-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)Would this offseason be a good time for the Reds to trade Brandon Phillips, what with Todd Frazier coming down the line and their whole payroll going to about four players? It seems like they could get something real pretty in return.
(Charles from Detroit)
It's worth considering, because after Mark DeRosa and Orlando Hudson in the free-agent pool, you've got Placido Polanco. The problem will be Phillips' back-loaded contract and whether the Reds will eat any of it, because otherwise the number of teams willing to trade for a guy due to make $11 million in 2011 are few and far between. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-04-08 15:00:00 (link to chat)Does the Reds' decision to move Todd Frazier to LF this spring totally destroy his value as a prospect? He'll never be a regular now, right?
(Greasetruck Teddy from New Brunswick, NJ)
It doesn't help, but it doesn't really destroy him either. Guy can hit, but expectations change quite a bit certainly. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is there any hope for Todd Frazier to stick at SS? If not, where does he fit into the Reds plans for the future?
(Thompson from Great Falls)
Very little hope. The HOPE is that he can stick at third base, but he still might end up just as a LF. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-05-05 12:30:00 (link to chat)Will Reese Havens be drafted as a SS, 2B, or 3B? About where does he currently rank? About where does Conor Gillaspie currently rank?
(Jacque Gamahouche from Byto)
Last year it surely would have been as a third baseman, but I'm not so sure anymore. Look, if Todd Frazier can get drafted as a shortstop and not get moved right away, I think you'll see Havens follow the same treatment. I think he and Beckham end up at second, though, to be honest. Gillaspie is a tick below Havens for me -- I love the plate discipline, but a little less athletic and a lot less powerful. If he works at second base he's interesting in an Antonelli fashion, however. (Bryan Smith)
2008-04-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Chances of Todd Frazier staying at SS? Will he hit enough to be an everyday corner infielder?
(John from Burlington, Ky)
Chances are slim!; Chances are good! (Kevin Goldstein)


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