Biographical

Portrait of Chris Dwyer

Chris Dwyer PRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 26)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
130.0 5.10 1.55 88 8 7 0 -0.6
Birth Date4-10-1988
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lbs
Age26 years, 6 months, 12 days
BatsR
ThrowsL
2010
2011
2012
0.12013
-0.62014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2013 KCA 25 2 0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 2 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 2 0.00 2.74 0.16 1.2 0.1
Career203.00.03.0000000112000211020.002.740.161.20.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2009 IDA Rk 4 4 8.7 3.97 126 .313 .291 .365 .430 .280 .524 109 3.4 0.3 3.4 0.3
2010 WIL A+ 15 15 84.3 3.48 127 .243 .253 .324 .377 .249 .328 106 15.3 1.5 15.3 1.5
2010 NWA AA 4 4 17.7 5.10 100 .219 .251 .325 .384 .253 .220 114 2.7 0.3 2.7 0.3
2011 NWA AA 27 27 141.3 5.88 91 .250 .268 .335 .424 .259 .283 111 11.0 1.1 11.0 1.1
2012 NWA AA 17 16 85.7 6.87 44 .287 .254 .321 .385 .264 .269 99 -6.4 -0.7 -6.4 -0.7
2012 OMA AAA 9 9 50.3 6.69 65 .327 .281 .344 .427 .272 .366 100 -2.4 -0.2 -2.4 -0.2
2013 KCA MLB 2 0 3.0 0.16 196 .149 .245 .312 .401 .271 .250 92 1.2 0.1 1.2 0.1
2013 OMA AAA 29 28 159.7 5.24 82 .254 .267 .337 .410 .268 .262 94 4.6 0.5 4.6 0.5
2014 OMA AAA 28 5 66.0 6.08 80 .276 .270 .336 .421 .267 .308 101 3.6 0.4 3.6 0.4

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2009 IDA Rk 0 0 0 4 4 8.7 12 8 15 1 32% .524 12.4 8.3 1.0 15.5 2.30 4.14 3.4 0.3
2010 WIL A+ 6 3 0 15 15 84.3 79 33 93 3 47% .328 8.4 3.5 0.3 9.9 1.33 2.99 15.3 1.5
2010 NWA AA 2 1 0 4 4 17.7 11 10 20 2 37% .220 5.6 5.1 1.0 10.2 1.19 3.05 2.7 0.3
2011 NWA AA 8 10 0 27 27 141.3 124 78 126 14 43% .283 7.9 5.0 0.9 8.0 1.43 5.60 11.0 1.1
2012 OMA AAA 3 4 0 9 9 50.3 73 24 33 10 45% .366 13.1 4.3 1.8 5.9 1.93 6.97 -2.4 -0.2
2012 NWA AA 5 8 0 17 16 85.7 79 44 71 13 40% .269 8.3 4.6 1.4 7.5 1.44 5.25 -6.4 -0.7
2013 KCA MLB 0 0 0 2 0 3.0 2 1 2 0 50% .250 6.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 1.00 0.00 1.2 0.1
2013 OMA AAA 10 11 0 29 28 159.7 140 72 112 15 39% .262 7.9 4.1 0.8 6.3 1.33 3.55 4.6 0.5
2014 OMA AAA 4 4 2 28 5 66.0 64 39 65 8 39% .308 8.7 5.3 1.1 8.9 1.56 5.59 3.6 0.4

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2013 46 0.3696 0.4348 0.8500 0.6471 0.3103 1.0000 0.6667 0.1500
Career460.36960.43480.850.64710.310310.66670.15

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-04-26 2014-06-01 Minors 36 0 Right Lower Leg Strain Calf - -
2014-04-10 2014-04-20 Minors 10 0 - Not Disclosed - -
2010-07-25 2010-09-19 Minors 56 0 Low Back Soreness -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 12 dJack Toffey1 year/$0.5005M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.5005M (2014). Re-signed by Kansas City 2/27/13. DFA by Kansas City 9/1/14. Sent outright to Triple-A 9/11/14.
  • 1 year/$0.49M (2013). Contract purchased by Kansas City 11/20/12. Re-signed by Kansas City 2/15/13.
  • Drafted by Kansas City 2009 (4-122) (Clemson). $1.45M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 0 0 0 0 0 52.1 48 22 35 6 .263 1.33 4.08 4.44 0.0 0.0
80o 0 0 0 0 0 47.4 46 21 32 6 .274 1.41 4.46 4.85 0.0 0.0
70o 0 0 0 0 0 44.2 45 20 30 6 .282 1.47 4.74 5.15 0.0 0.0
60o 0 0 0 0 0 41.4 43 20 28 5 .289 1.52 4.98 5.41 0.0 0.0
50o 0 0 0 0 0 38.9 42 19 26 5 .295 1.57 5.21 5.66 0.0 0.0
40o 0 0 0 0 0 36.4 40 18 24 5 .302 1.62 5.44 5.91 0.0 0.0
30o 0 0 0 0 0 33.8 39 18 23 5 .309 1.67 5.69 6.18 0.0 0.0
20o 0 0 0 0 0 30.9 37 17 21 5 .317 1.74 5.99 6.51 0.0 0.0
10o 0 0 0 0 0 26.9 34 15 18 4 .328 1.83 6.41 6.96 0.0 0.0
Weighted Mean0000038.74119265.2941.565.185.640.00.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
12% 26% 3% 23% 31%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152721042044462032640.2911.494.805.219.34.16.51.2-0.1
20162821038040401830540.2911.454.534.929.04.06.81.10.0
20172921032034351625440.2951.504.825.249.34.26.61.1-0.1
20183021032034351524440.2981.494.865.299.44.06.41.1-0.1
20193111031033341423440.2931.474.675.089.43.96.31.1-0.0
20203211029031321322440.2931.474.645.049.43.86.51.2-0.0
20213310027029301220340.2931.454.625.039.33.76.20.9-0.0
20223410026027291119340.2941.464.675.079.53.66.31.0-0.0
20233510024026271118340.2941.484.655.069.53.96.31.1-0.0

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseball0.232out of baseball0.95.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 89)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 96 James Houser 2011 0.00 DNP
2 94 Sam LeCure 2010 4.50
3 94 Scott Gorgen 2013 0.00 DNP
4 93 Anthony Capra 2013 0.00 DNP
5 93 Nick Pereira 2009 0.00 DNP
6 93 Francisco Cruceta 2008 6.17
7 92 Chris Narveson 2008 0.00 DNP
8 92 Michael Madsen 2009 0.00 DNP
9 91 Chris Seddon 2010 5.64
10 91 Travis Chick 2010 0.00 DNP
11 91 Chuck Lofgren 2012 0.00 DNP
12 91 Tom Koehler 2012 5.40
13 91 Sean Smith 2010 0.00 DNP
14 91 David Purcey 2008 5.68
15 91 Austin Adams 2013 0.00 DNP
16 90 Chaz Roe 2013 4.03
17 90 Steven Hensley 2013 0.00 DNP
18 90 Armando Galarraga 2008 4.18
19 90 Duane Below 2012 4.86
20 90 Jeremy Bleich 2013 0.00 DNP
21 90 Mark Holliman 2010 0.00 DNP
22 90 Joe Savery 2012 6.12
23 90 Jason Windsor 2009 0.00 DNP
24 90 Jeremy Hefner 2012 5.19
25 89 Marco Estrada 2010 10.32
26 89 Donnie Veal 2011 0.00 DNP
27 89 Travis Banwart 2012 0.00 DNP
28 89 Ryan Mattheus 2010 0.00 DNP
29 89 Hector Ambriz 2010 5.77
30 89 Chance Douglass 2010 0.00 DNP
31 89 Eric Niesen 2012 0.00 DNP
32 89 Joel Hanrahan 2008 4.38
33 89 Alan Horne 2009 0.00 DNP
34 89 Erik Cordier 2012 0.00 DNP
35 89 Philip Humber 2009 8.00
36 89 Graham Godfrey 2011 5.04
37 89 Fernando Rodriguez 2010 0.00 DNP
38 89 Jose Rosario 2012 0.00 DNP
39 89 Kevin Pucetas 2011 0.00 DNP
40 88 Clayton Mortensen 2011 4.63
41 88 Tobi Stoner 2011 0.00 DNP
42 88 Andrew Brackman 2012 0.00 DNP
43 88 Jesse English 2011 0.00 DNP
44 88 Justin Thomas 2010 6.23
45 88 Yohan Pino 2010 0.00 DNP
46 88 Cesar Valdez 2011 0.00 DNP
47 88 Adam Ottavino 2012 4.78
48 88 Ryne Reynoso 2011 0.00 DNP
49 88 Matt Buschmann 2010 0.00 DNP
50 88 Heath Rollins 2011 0.00 DNP
51 88 Dan Meyer 2008 9.11
52 88 Alex Wilson 2013 5.20
53 87 Brett Smith 2010 0.00 DNP
54 87 Drew Naylor 2012 0.00 DNP
55 87 Henry Sosa 2012 0.00 DNP
56 87 David Kopp 2012 0.00 DNP
57 87 Brad Mills 2011 9.82
58 87 Justin Jones 2011 0.00 DNP
59 87 Brad Meyers 2012 0.00 DNP
60 87 Deunte Heath 2012 4.50
61 87 Adrian Alaniz 2010 0.00 DNP
62 87 Matt Wright 2008 0.00 DNP
63 87 Mike Parisi 2009 0.00 DNP
64 87 Matt Klinker 2011 0.00 DNP
65 87 Collin McHugh 2013 10.04
66 87 Chris Lambert 2009 10.22
67 87 Bruce Billings 2012 0.00 DNP
68 87 Ben Snyder 2012 0.00 DNP
69 87 James Simmons 2013 0.00 DNP
70 87 Polin Trinidad 2011 0.00 DNP
71 87 Phil Irwin 2013 9.64
72 86 Kris Johnson 2011 0.00 DNP
73 86 Garrett Mock 2009 6.41
74 86 Blake Hawksworth 2009 2.25
75 86 Nick Schmidt 2012 0.00 DNP
76 86 Paul Oseguera 2010 0.00 DNP
77 86 Thomas Diamond 2009 0.00 DNP
78 86 Tanner Roark 2013 1.84
79 86 Daniel Haigwood 2010 0.00 DNP
80 86 Matt Shoemaker 2013 0.00
81 86 Matthew Green 2008 0.00 DNP
82 86 Amalio Diaz 2013 0.00 DNP
83 86 Erik Davis 2013 3.12
84 86 Bradley Holt 2013 0.00 DNP
85 86 Brandon Dickson 2011 3.24
86 86 Cory Luebke 2011 3.48
87 86 Eduardo Paulino 2012 0.00 DNP
88 86 Bryan Morris 2013 3.46
89 86 Eric Berger 2012 0.00 DNP
90 86 Jose Sanchez 2010 0.00 DNP
91 86 Eric Hurley 2012 0.00 DNP
92 86 Josh Wall 2013 18.00
93 86 Richard Zagone 2013 0.00 DNP
94 86 Randy Boone 2011 0.00 DNP
95 86 Shane Komine 2007 4.70
96 86 David Pauley 2009 0.00 DNP
97 86 Will Inman 2013 0.00 DNP
98 86 P.J. Walters 2011 7.20
99 86 Steven Wright 2011 0.00 DNP
100 86 Daryl Thompson 2012 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .000 .000 .000 -.030
11 vs R (Multi) .333 .429 .333 .271
18 Split (Multi) -.333 -.429 -.333 -.301
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.026 -.032 -.063 -.030
30 vs L (2013) .000 .000 .000 -.030
31 vs R (2013) .333 .429 .333 .271
38 Split (2013) -.333 -.429 -.333 -.301
39 LgAvg (2013) -.025 -.031 -.062 -.029

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Dwyer was officially booted from the prospect train in 2012. He was "promoted" to Triple-A midseason when the Royals demoted foundering prospect Mike Montgomery, because there's a rule you can't have two derailed prospects pitching for the same team. Dwyer certainly didn't deserve the move to Omaha and predictably struggled when facing more accomplished hitters. He has a plus curve, but has trouble throwing it for strikes. That leads to an over-reliance on his fastball, which International League hitters feasted on. The clock is ticking.
2012 Chris Dwyer was a four-star prospect entering the 2011 season, but he struggled to find his command all year in Double-A, finishing with a 5.0 BB/9. He has a tendency to overthrow at times and has trouble spotting his fastball which leads to the inflated walk totals.
2011 Yet another success story from the Royals' amateur draft spending spree, Dwyer was awarded $1.45 million as a fourth-round pick in 2009 based solely on being a southpaw with impressive velocity. He spent his full-season debut evolving from a thrower into a pitcher by adding an impressive power curveball to his arsenal. In a system loaded with elite portsiders, Dwyer's arm strength ranks with any of them, but he falls well behind them in terms of polish, as the big radar gun readings don't come without considerable effort and occasional control issues. Dwyer needs more time in the oven than the other morsels the Double-A Northwest Arkansas rotation last year, but the end result should be just as tasty.

BP Articles

Chris Dwyer is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-11-22
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 19, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-19
The Lineup Card: 9 Breakout CandidatesBaseball Prospectus2013-02-13
The Lineup Card: 10 Picks for the 2015 World ChampsBaseball Prospectus2012-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: AL Central Prospect PreviewKevin Goldstein2012-03-26
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Notable NRI: AL CentralR.J. Anderson2012-03-15
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Top Nine High-Ceiling Prospect RotationsKevin Goldstein2012-02-21
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Can The Royals Take The Next Step?Kevin Goldstein2012-02-15
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Prospect ResolutionsKevin Goldstein2011-12-28
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Royals Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2011-11-21
Future Shock: BP's 2011 Top 101 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2011-02-28


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-05-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)I've been hearing renewed buzz about Chris Dwyer as well as Miguel Almonte. Is there legit help for the Royals pitching staff in the system past Kyle Zimmer? BTW, just read Eyewitness Accounts = GREAT STUFF. THANKS!
(LoyalRoyal from Kansas)
I might like Almonte more than any other arm in the Royals system, and I've been beating that drum since last fall when he stole my soul during instructs. Its a very easy, simple delivery; the arm works very well; the fastball pops in the 92-95 range with comfort; can touch higher; the CH is a major league quality pitch; could end up a 7 on the 2/8; great arm speed on the pitch; good deception and late action; curveball is okay; can show depth at 75-78; slider might make a case; good command profile. I like him. I think he has a shot at developing into a 2/3 type like Zimmer. (Jason Parks)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Chris Dwyer has thrown 163 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2011 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (88mph) and Curve (77mph), also mixing in a Change (81mph).