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2013 Projections (seasonal age 28) - Rest of Season Projections
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| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | TB | BB | SO | HBP | SF | SH | RBI | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | TAv | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | NYA | 20 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .211 | .211 | .211 | .147 | -1.6 | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| 2006 | NYA | 21 | 130 | 524 | 460 | 75 | 129 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 180 | 56 | 59 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 50 | 12 | 5 | .280 | .360 | .391 | .267 | 18.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| 2007 | NYA | 22 | 150 | 612 | 545 | 66 | 149 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 213 | 43 | 68 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 73 | 13 | 5 | .273 | .327 | .391 | .244 | 6.0 | 10.1 | 1.6 |
| 2008 | NYA | 23 | 129 | 453 | 414 | 42 | 103 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 141 | 29 | 58 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 9 | 2 | .249 | .301 | .341 | .224 | -6.4 | -1.9 | -0.8 |
| 2009 | NYA | 24 | 154 | 540 | 485 | 66 | 133 | 28 | 1 | 13 | 202 | 43 | 59 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 68 | 10 | 2 | .274 | .336 | .416 | .256 | 12.2 | -2.0 | 1.0 |
| 2010 | ATL | 25 | 147 | 509 | 458 | 50 | 117 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 162 | 42 | 64 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 7 | 1 | .255 | .317 | .354 | .242 | 1.6 | -2.5 | -0.1 |
| 2011 | KCA | 26 | 155 | 706 | 658 | 102 | 201 | 44 | 5 | 18 | 309 | 35 | 94 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 87 | 20 | 10 | .305 | .339 | .470 | .287 | 42.7 | -17.5 | 2.7 |
| 2012 | SFN | 27 | 113 | 501 | 459 | 84 | 159 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 237 | 36 | 63 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 60 | 13 | 5 | .346 | .390 | .516 | .332 | 47.3 | 3.6 | 5.4 |
| 2013 | TOR | 28 | 47 | 200 | 185 | 19 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 69 | 12 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 2 | .281 | .322 | .373 | .262 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Career | 1031 | 4064 | 3683 | 505 | 1047 | 196 | 32 | 70 | 1517 | 296 | 498 | 16 | 32 | 37 | 432 | 86 | 32 | .284 | .337 | .412 | .265 | 123.2 | -8.7 | 11.8 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | PA | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | BPF | BRAA | repLVL | POS_ADJ | FRAA | BRR | BVORP | BWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | STA | A- | 67 | 311 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .314 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2004 | BCR | A | 42 | 188 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .385 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2004 | TAM | A+ | 85 | 364 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .331 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2005 | NYA | MLB | 6 | 19 | .147 | .263 | .308 | .414 | .000 | .235 | 104 | -2.3 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.6 | 0.2 | -1.6 | -0.2 | -1.6 | -0.2 |
| 2005 | TRN | AA | 106 | 464 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .310 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2005 | COH | AAA | 26 | 112 | .235 | .267 | .335 | .424 | .000 | .259 | 93 | -2.2 | 2.0 | -0.3 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | NYA | MLB | 130 | 524 | .267 | .272 | .331 | .436 | .000 | .309 | 100 | 3.9 | 14.4 | -3.7 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 18.1 | 1.9 | 18.1 | 1.9 |
| 2006 | COH | AAA | 31 | 135 | .318 | .254 | .322 | .391 | .000 | .394 | 100 | 8 | 3.5 | 0.1 | -1.6 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | NYA | MLB | 150 | 612 | .244 | .266 | .328 | .415 | .000 | .295 | 103 | -10.9 | 17.6 | 0.7 | 10.1 | -1.7 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 6.0 | 1.6 |
| 2008 | NYA | MLB | 129 | 453 | .224 | .263 | .325 | .415 | .000 | .271 | 102 | -17.4 | 12.9 | 1 | -1.9 | -1.8 | -6.4 | -0.8 | -6.4 | -0.8 |
| 2008 | SWB | AAA | 15 | 66 | .270 | .267 | .330 | .410 | .000 | .396 | 96 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0.2 | -0.6 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | NYA | MLB | 154 | 540 | .256 | .265 | .326 | .425 | .000 | .288 | 104 | -2.2 | 15.6 | -0.3 | -2.0 | 0.9 | 12.2 | 1.0 | 12.2 | 1.0 |
| 2010 | ATL | MLB | 147 | 509 | .242 | .259 | .319 | .401 | .000 | .288 | 100 | -9.5 | 14.3 | -1.9 | -2.5 | -2.4 | 1.6 | -0.1 | 1.6 | -0.1 |
| 2011 | KCA | MLB | 155 | 706 | .287 | .259 | .317 | .405 | .000 | .332 | 103 | 18.7 | 12.7 | 1.2 | -17.5 | 4.2 | 42.7 | 2.7 | 42.7 | 2.7 |
| 2012 | SFN | MLB | 113 | 501 | .332 | .256 | .312 | .403 | .000 | .379 | 93 | 35.6 | 8.6 | -3.4 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 47.3 | 5.4 | 47.3 | 5.4 |
| 2013 | TOR | MLB | 47 | 200 | .262 | .242 | .305 | .389 | .250 | .329 | 104 | 0.3 | 5.5 | -1.6 | 0.5 | -0.7 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 0.4 |
| Career | MLB | 4064 | .264 | .262 | .321 | .413 | .259 | .310 | 101 | 13.8 | 108.4 | -8 | -11.8 | 2.6 | 121.1 | 11.3 | 121.1 | 11.3 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | PA | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | ISO | TAv | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | STA | A- | 311 | 34 | 79 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 36 | 13 | 5 | .283 | .342 | .355 | .072 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2004 | BCR | A | 188 | 35 | 57 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 15 | 23 | 7 | 2 | .333 | .387 | .462 | .129 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2004 | TAM | A+ | 364 | 48 | 96 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 23 | 59 | 3 | 1 | .288 | .343 | .438 | .150 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | NYA | MLB | 19 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .211 | .211 | .211 | .000 | .147 | -1.6 | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| 2005 | TRN | AA | 464 | 57 | 117 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 60 | 28 | 72 | 11 | 2 | .275 | .325 | .411 | .136 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | COH | AAA | 112 | 15 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 15 | 2 | 0 | .248 | .304 | .366 | .119 | .235 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | NYA | MLB | 524 | 75 | 129 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 50 | 56 | 59 | 12 | 5 | .280 | .360 | .391 | .111 | .267 | 18.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| 2006 | COH | AAA | 135 | 19 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | .385 | .436 | .566 | .180 | .318 | 0.0 | -1.6 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | NYA | MLB | 612 | 66 | 149 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 73 | 43 | 68 | 13 | 5 | .273 | .327 | .391 | .117 | .244 | 6.0 | 10.1 | 1.6 |
| 2008 | NYA | MLB | 453 | 42 | 103 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 58 | 9 | 2 | .249 | .301 | .341 | .092 | .224 | -6.4 | -1.9 | -0.8 |
| 2008 | SWB | AAA | 66 | 8 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 3 | .333 | .415 | .368 | .035 | .270 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | NYA | MLB | 540 | 66 | 133 | 28 | 1 | 13 | 68 | 43 | 59 | 10 | 2 | .274 | .336 | .416 | .142 | .256 | 12.2 | -2.0 | 1.0 |
| 2010 | ATL | MLB | 509 | 50 | 117 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 42 | 64 | 7 | 1 | .255 | .317 | .354 | .098 | .242 | 1.6 | -2.5 | -0.1 |
| 2011 | KCA | MLB | 706 | 102 | 201 | 44 | 5 | 18 | 87 | 35 | 94 | 20 | 10 | .305 | .339 | .470 | .164 | .287 | 42.7 | -17.5 | 2.7 |
| 2012 | SFN | MLB | 501 | 84 | 159 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 60 | 36 | 63 | 13 | 5 | .346 | .390 | .516 | .170 | .332 | 47.3 | 3.6 | 5.4 |
| 2013 | TOR | MLB | 200 | 19 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 31 | 2 | 2 | .281 | .322 | .373 | .092 | .262 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-05-15 | 2013-05-15 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Left | Thigh | Strain | Hamstring | - | - |
| 2012-06-08 | 2012-06-12 | DTD | 4 | 0 | - | Thigh | Tightness | Hamstring | - | - |
| 2012-05-16 | 2012-05-16 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Left | Soreness | - | - | ||
| 2011-08-05 | 2011-08-05 | DTD | 0 | 0 | - | Ankle | Sprain | and Foul Ball | - | - |
| 2011-07-21 | 2011-07-22 | DTD | 1 | 0 | - | General Medical | Gastrointestinal | Stomach | - | - |
| 2009-11-02 | 2009-11-05 | DTD | 3 | 0 | Left | Thigh | Strain | Hamstring | - | |
| 2009-06-25 | 2009-06-25 | DTD | 0 | 0 | General Medical | Respiratory | Flu | - | ||
| 2009-05-27 | 2009-06-01 | DTD | 5 | 4 | Right | Shoulder | Strain | - | ||
| 2007-07-20 | 2007-07-20 | DTD | 0 | 0 | General Medical | Gastrointestinal | Stomach | - | ||
| 2007-07-14 | 2007-07-14 | DTD | 0 | 0 | General Medical | Respiratory | Flu | - | ||
| 2006-08-28 | 2006-08-30 | DTD | 2 | 0 | Face | Surgery | Root Canal | 2006-08-28 | ||
| 2006-06-22 | 2006-06-23 | DTD | 1 | 0 | Right | Ankle | Contusion | Foul Ball | - |
Compensation
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Platoon
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BP Articles
Melky Cabrera is referenced in the following articles.
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2011-12-20 13:00:00 | Will the real Melky Cabrera please stand up ? What’s your opinion of the Melkman coming off what is widely considered to have been a career year ? (Spirou from Somewhere near the Big O) | Somewhere in the past decade, this country forgot how to love average players. All the Michael Cuddyers and Aaron Harangs and Jason Kubels of the world are just terrible punchlines now, and any team that signs them has to, like, apologize for it. Poor Melky. Melky is basically a league-average player. PECOTA sees him putting up basically his career slash stats in 2012. That seems right. (Sam Miller) |
| 2011-09-27 13:00:00 | Is the new Melky Cabrera for real or an illusion? (Steve N from Delaware) | As good as he's been, I just can't buy into him, at least not completely. I think the BA settles in around .275-.280 while the power drops off to 15 or so over a full season (though it should be noted that he was hitting his homers farther this year than he did last year--when his power was basically non-existant--and more like what he was doing in 2009 with the Yankees when he had a similar HR/FB).
I don't think I'm buying him as a 20 SB guy either. Tango's Fan Scouting Report says that his foot speed has fell off dramatically over the past two seasons to below average levels. Still, he stole 7 last year under Fredi Gonzalez, who is one of the worst managers for letting his players run. I think 12-15 SB sounds about right. That makes him a fairly valuable player capable of contributing a bit in all five categories without doing anything extremely well. Those kinds of guys tend to be undervalued, anecdotally speaking, especially if they've had a reputation for being bad and come out of nowhere to post a good season. (Derek Carty) |
| 2011-07-07 13:00:00 | Steven, please stop running down Melky Cabrera. You know he isn't any good, I know he isn't any good, but the Royals need to pass him off to somebody who doesn't for something worthwhile. lol On that note, what can the Royals expect to get for guys like Melky, Frenchie, Betemit? What would a bigger get like Soria bring? Thanks... (LoyalRoyal from Perfect World) | He has actually been decent this year. I just expect that he has some resemblance to a pumpkin at some point. A rational GM wouldn't pay much for anyone but Soria, and although Soria has been very good since the end of May (15 innings, one run), what preceded that would make me nervous. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2011-06-20 14:00:00 | With all the hitting coaches being fired, when will Larry Parrish be shown the door by the Braves?
He's taken one of the best offenses from last season, had Melky Cabrera withdrawn and Dan Uggla added, and has turned them into one of the worst this season. (Nick Carter from London) | It's never clear how much impact a hitting or pitching coach can have on a team, so it's very tough to lay their problems at the feet of one, not that they don't as a means of scapegoating somebody when things get rough. Did Parrish tell Uggla to start swinging with his eyes closed? Did he trade Yunel Escobar for the hacktastic Alex Gonzalez? Did he drive Nate McLouth's career off a cliff? Cause Jason Heyward's injury woes? Force anyone to play Jordan Schafer?
The bottom line is that I'm very skeptical the Braves' offensive woes owe much to Parrish, though I suspect they'll make an example of him anyway if their fortunes don't turn. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2010-12-20 13:00:00 | Does it make sense to evaluate this weekend's trade as Dayton Moore's first step in trying to configure the talent at hand into a major league roster for 2012/13, or should KC still be in the talent gathering phase? (BL from Bozeman, MT) | Maybe. Though if Greinke asked for a trade his hand would have been forced. We'll have to see how things go during spring training. I mean, he signed Francoeur and then Melky Cabrera, the only player I like LESS than Francoeur. Is he really going to cut them? Really? I doubt it. This would be the perfect year to infuse the major league roster with the developing talent, but in the back of my head I just don't see it happening, obviously to the detriment of the team. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-05-14 13:00:00 | Which of the following is most likely to turn it around this year
a. Dodgers
b. Braves
c. Javier Vazquez (mikeel from Escondido, CA) | I don't think any of those turning it around is an outrageous proposition. The Dodgers have begun taking steps in that direction over the past five days, and Vazquez had a strong start even in defeat. As for the Braves, there's a lot of talent there, but their overreliance on Melky Cabrera as an everyday player is killing them, and I think this may be the year that Chipper Jones' body says no, so I'm less optimistic. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2010-02-23 13:00:00 | What to make of Jordan Schafer? The severe contact problems indicate he wasn't ready last year. Or is it more than that? Is his porspect status fading fast at 23? (rogero from philly) | He wasn't ready and he was also hurt, trying to play through a wrist problem, which as we discussed earlier probably isn't the wisest thing to do. His future is still an open question, and if you can't outplay Melky Cabrera you really don't deserve a job. He's going to have to go back to Triple-A and show what he can do when healthy before he gets the chance to even try... (Steven Goldman) |
| 2009-08-28 13:00:00 | What's your own take on Jose Tabata, is he going to be nothing more than a Melky Cabrera or could he be a batting champion. (Mike from Utica,NY) | I'm not 100 percent sold on him yet. I'd say Melky Cabrera at this point. (John Perrotto) |
| 2009-07-07 13:00:00 | What are your thoughts on Girardi and Cashman's work this year? Overall I like the duo, but watching Jeter bunt in the 5th inning or Cody Ransom remaining on this team is not very encouraging... (Eli from Brooklyn) | While I've been a big supporter in the past, Cashman's roster work at protecting A-Rod borders upon total f-ing incompetence. Anybody who rosters Angel Berroa for more than 48 hours deserves to be the GM of the Nationals, and anyone who can't come up with a better alternative than Cody Ransom in the two months since he went on the DL deserves to be the GM of the Astros.
Girardi's done a decent job with the hand he's been dealt. He's finally got a functional bullpen thanks to the work of Hughes and Aceves, he's gotten productive stretches from both Brett Gardner and Melky Cabrera, and his failure to rest Rodriguez adequately can be seen as a response to the craptastic options Cashman's provided him with. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2009-06-24 13:00:00 | Damon, Matsui, Cashman, Girardi --- how would you rank order the likelihood of their returning to the Bronx in 2010? (frank leja from DC) | Frank Leja??? Now there's an obscurity for you. And a deceased one. I say Damon and Matsui no, Cashman and Girardi yes. I don't think Girardi has done a bad job. He's sometimes a little too enamored of the small ball, and his usage of the bullpen isn't always what I want it to be, but he's been more aggressive in trying to work out relief problems on a staff-wide basis than Joe Torre ever was. He also favored Brett Gardner over Melky Cabrera (or did) which earns points with me, has Joba in the rotation, and has tried batting Nick Swisher second. He's also a lot more candid with the public than he was last year. I'm not sure why he should take the fall if this club doesn't win. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2009-05-21 14:00:00 | Melky Cabrera's comps in BP 2009 including Bernie Williams and three guys you'd never want to be associated with. His 2009 season so far indicates he may be Bernie Williams. Small sample size or true ability? (John from NYC) | I was talking about him at the game Sunday with Derek, and one of the things I said was that Cabrera may be like Williams in that he'll be a better player than he looks. I don't know that Cabrera will match Williams, but there are some surface similarities, and since I am the guy who said that Cabrera would someday knock 80 XBH in a season, I'm inclined to see "true ability" in his first six weeks. He has got to get the ball in the air more; he hits far too many groundballs for a player without great speed. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-05-12 13:00:00 | I seem to remember a spirited debate taking place a few years ago over whether Melky Cabrera was a better prospect than Nick Markakis, with more than a few people taking up Melky's case. Was there ever a legitimate reason for differing opinions? Yankees fans have been known to overvalue their players from time to time... (tim from jersey city, nj) | No, it was never legitimate. That was me looking at some early statistical similarities when they first came up, but their paths quickly diverged. It was my way of rooting for Melky to be more than what he was in a kind of tongue in cheek way. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2009-02-06 13:00:00 | Steve, I caught you on the YES hot stove show last night. Your point about the team's biggest flaws last year--Posada's injury, Melky Cabrera's poor offense and Robbie Cano's poor everything--and how they haven't changed this year is well taken. But how good could the team be if all three players improve from their 2008 seasons? (AlexBelth from Bronx, NY) | Let me get another member of the Bronxbanterblog.com team. You can catch said appearance at www.pinstripedbible.com. Please disregard my unpleasant face and inability to form coherent sentences. Brother Alex, I think you're positing a best-case scenario. Obviously the Yankees would be in good shape to overcome their other weaknesses, which could include very weak production from the outfield corners, and be very tough to beat assuming consistency around the field. As for whether that will happen or not, I don't have high hopes for Melky and am hoping that Brett Gardner overcomes his mostly weak projections. I feel good that Joe Girardi joins me in that wish. I expect a significant bounceback for Cano. I'm very worried that Posada won't be ready for opening day. One out of three ain't bad? (Steven Goldman) |
| 2009-02-03 13:00:00 | As its currently constructed, the Yankees roster seems to have too many OF/DH types to let everyone play everyday. Who loses out here on everyday player status?
(Jim Clancy from Exhibition Stadium) | Of the candidates, all with limitations, I feel that Xavier Nady is the most limited, basically a RH platoon player who happened to have a nice BABIP run for three months. The real issue is that the only CF, Melky Cabrera, has been in decline for years despite his young age. My sense is that, health permitting, the PT goes Damon, Matsui, Swisher, Nady, Cabrera, Gardner. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-01-22 13:00:00 | Who should be the Yankees opening day CF in 2009? (Snakedoctor18 from New York) | Has the ship sailed on Zombie Mickey Mantle yet?
I'm certainly not wowed by the Yankees' in-house options, a pool that nominally includes Melky Cabrera, Brett Gardner, Johnny Damon and Nick Swisher. I don't think the latter two can carry the position defensively anymore, and I'm less than wowed by the offense offered by either of the former two, unless Cabrera has spent the entire winter being beaten over the head with a fungo bat in an effort to impart the slightest modicum of common sense into his thick skull. Which means that a better solution must lie outside the organization. I'd be willing to see if Jim Edmonds has anything left given his rebound with the Cubs. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2008-12-11 14:00:00 | If the Cameron deal is dead (according to the latest reports), who is Plan B for the Yanks in CF? (Anthony from Paramus, NJ) | Melky Cabrera or perhaps Willy Taveras if he gets non-tendered tomorrow as expected. (John Perrotto) |
| 2008-09-08 13:00:00 | How would you rate the job Girardi has done so far this year? Does he get a pass due to all the injuries? Or is he not the right fit for this team regardless. Some of my Yankee friends say the team is underachieving regardless because he's just too uptight a personality for a veteran club. (arfdolph from Antioch (Calif.)) | I can't say that he's done an impressive job—his on-field decisions often leave something to be desired—but there's plenty of blame to go around, where the Yankees are concerned. I'd be less worried about Girardi being too uptight for the veteran players, than about the way youngsters like Robinson Cano and Melky Cabrera have played under him. (Derek Jacques) |
| 2008-07-29 16:00:00 | Padres trade: Adrian Gonzalez, Greg Maddux, Heath Bell
Yankees send: Austin Jackson, Phil Hughes, Ian Kennedy, Melky Cabrera, Cano and a throw-in of Kei Igawa (dcoonce from bloomington, indiana) | You've been at Nick's early, haven't you? (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-07-25 14:00:00 | Joe, You have been very bullish on Melky Cabrera. What are your thoughts on him now? (Mike from NJ) | I'm just confused by how little power he's shown. He seems to have an idea at the plate, he's not a small guy, and he's even getting the ball in the air more. It just doesn't go anywhere. I'm confused as all hell. Still optimistic/stubborn, though. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2008-07-03 13:00:00 | Austin Jackson over Jose Tabata? And when will we see them playing for the yankees? Could we see Jackson as a September call-up? What is Melky Cabrera's future? (Mike from NY) | Melky's future: 4th outfielder. Jackson looks a lot closer to being ready than Tabata, who has really regressed this season. Jackson could be an August callup, even, if Melky and/or Gardner don't produce soon. (Jeff Erickson) |
| 2008-06-24 13:00:00 | Wouldn't trading Melky Cabrera eliminate an appealling stopgap replacement for Abreu in RF next season? Especially if they sign Teixeira and can afford to carry a Gardner/Cabrera/debuting Austin Jackson/Betemit/Duncan platoon in CF and RF? (Tony from Brooklyn, NY) | I have long been on record as not believing in "carrying" a bat... And what would be the point of signing a Teixeira if it just took a problem and shifted it elsewhere. The whole point is to get better, not tread water. Cabrera would be below replacement in RF. What's the average RF hitting just now (checking)? Let's say about .272/.340/.440. I don't think you get that from Melky.
Dad put Mom on the phone. Definitely can't hang up on Mom, but I'm done now. What a day. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2008-05-28 13:00:00 | At what point do the Yankees punt the 2008 season and try to trade veterans for prospects and - given that scenario - who are your favorite trade candidates? (Precarious Jim from Cologne, Germany) | Hello, Cologne. It's a difficult question, and I say that knowing I've advocated for trades. If Giambi keeps hitting, the Yankees might actually get something for him - a no-brainer given that they're not going to pick up his option. Damon might have some value to someone soft in the outfield. With Brett Gardner playing well, you might rethink trading Melky Cabrera. None of these players are going to bring back Matt LaPorta unless someone has been drinking, but maybe you get something in the way of position players.
I like Melky, but I just don't understand his streakiness. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2008-05-28 13:00:00 | A while back I asked Joe Sheehan who he'd choose between Melky Cabrera and Jacoby Ellsbury. He said Cabrera. Who would you take? (mattymatty from Philly, PA) | I think "awhile back" I would have given the same answer Joe did, because Melky is younger and Ellsbury seemed to have been playing over his head in the majors. All the growth potential seemed to be with the Yankees guy. It's very easy to believe that, too, when Cabrera gets going on one of his hot streaks, as he did this April. After a miserable May, I'm beginning to wonder if Cabrera will ever be consistent at his best, or it will always be this mediocre summation of his good and bad days. Also, Ellsbury has been a lot more patient than I expected he would be. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2008-05-20 13:00:00 | Why do I keep reading about how much trouble the Yankees are in? Hasn't this been the story for three years running now? Slow start, fast finish. Do you see anything to make you think this year will be different from 2005-2007? (Joe from Tewksbury, MA) | Yes. Everybody in the lineup, including Alex Rodriguez and Jorge Posada is a year older, and with the exception of Melky Cabrera and Robinson Cano, they're a year further away from their statistical primes, to say nothing about the fact that Cano looks pretty lost right now. The bench is weak even for a team that's done poorly in that area in the recent past. Seriously, I'd take Chili Davis, Darryl Strawberry, Luis Sojo and Ron Coomer circa 2008 over some of the stiffs they have lying around.
There's that, plus a weak pitching staff where the back of the rotation has been a thorough disaster thus far and the bullpen situation is considered so fragile that there's actually a question about whether they'll move Joba Chamberlain to a starting role this year. Add to that the fact that the AL East has gotten tougher and I think there's no longer any guarantee that the Yankees will contend, let alone win the division. The other thing in play is the new manager. Through the early season debacles of the last few years, Torre was able to absorb the front office's slings and arrows and still give off a sense of calm confidence that things would eventually turn around. Girardi is protected from the barbs of Hank Steinbrenner at the moment -- his focus appears to be on forcing Brian Cashman out -- but Little Joe is the kind of guy who seems more likely to go Billy Martin bonkers as things get worse, and I don't think that's going to help. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2008-04-29 14:00:00 | Hey Marc! Can you explain me some fantasty baseball? In a vanilla 10 teamer, I've got Melky Cabrera, Milledge, Adam Jones, and Jeremy Hermida, but only 2 spots for them. In this format, are any of them (Melky?) cuttable? I feel like each of the other three is too good to be on my bench. Do I need to make a trade? (akachazz from DC) | If you only have the two spots, I'd sell high on Melky. You aren't going to get a lot for Milledge or Hermida while their SLG is down, and Melky isn't doing so great that he's untouchable for you. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2008-05-01 13:00:00 | Some friends and I are having the argument, who would you rather have long term, Melky Cabrera or Jacoby Ellsbury? (Joe from Tewksbury, MA) | Good one. I'll say Cabrera, who's younger, has more experience, and will hit for more power while being in a comparable OBP zone. Both are flawed CFs with one outstanding defensive skill (Cabrera's arm, Ellbury's speed). I think Cabrera eventually moves to right field, though. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2008-05-01 13:00:00 | Melky Cabrera over Jacoby? That sounds similar to Rob Neyer's manifesto that Brad Wilkerson is better than Alfonso Soriano. (sriramk1027 from SF) | Well, mine has the benefit that Cabrera has been the better player in every season of the two players' professional careers. Wilkerson had only been better than Soriano in most years at the time that comparison was made. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2008-03-05 13:00:00 | What's your take on Melky Cabrera, both for this year and the next couple years? Trying to get a feel for his value in a keeper league. (Sully from Los Angeles) | I'd say he's not worth keeping yet. He may develop some power, but for now he's an on-base guy with some speed. More useful in real life than in the fantasy world, though that could change. Keep an eye on him, but there are better options than him in a keeper league, even a deep one. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2008-03-06 13:00:00 | Hey Jay, Big fan. With the benefit of two years of hindsight, what do you make of Johnny Damon's contract with the Yankees? (mattymatty from Philly, PA) | I think it's every bit the millstone that it looked like back when he signed. Certainly, there's something to be said for the fact that it hurt the Red Sox to lose him initially, and there's also something to be said for Melky Cabrera's rather surprising development into a solid major-leaguer during the time Damon's been in pinstripes. But given that Damon can't really play center field anymore, and will have a hard time staying in the lineup, this isn't pretty. He's owed $26 million for 2008-2009, and PECOTA thinks he'll be worth about $15 million. Blech. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2008-02-29 13:00:00 | Who is the best overall baserunner on the Yankees? (Rob from Andover, CT) | In 2007 I had Johnny Damon on top at +7 runs with Alex Rodriguez next at +5.2. Derek Jeter usually does well in baserunning and was at +2.4 and Hidecki Matsui was at +2.3.
On the flip side, as usual Jorge Posada was last at -7.6 and Jason Giambi was at -3.5. Robinson Cano also did poorly at -2.2. Those three were also on the bottom in 2006 with Bernie Williams next. Melky Cabrera (+2) did well in 2006 as did Bobby Abreu (+1.5) but Damon was tops at +5.6. Based on past performance I'd have to go with Damon. (Dan Fox) |
| 2008-02-27 13:00:00 | Melky Cabrera's got a pretty interesting set of comparables: Carlos Beltran, Coco Crisp, Pete Rose, and Hal McRae. Some good-looking players but (besides Beltran) nobody with too much power. What's the outlook on him? Is he the Yankee CFer of the future? (Jim Leyritz from Florida) | It's confusing, isn't it? This is what I meant about the occasional inscrutability of the comps. If I recall correctly, at Cabrera's age, Beltran had the one bad year of his career... If Coco Crisp is your worst-case scenario, that's not bad, but the Yankees don't have a Jacoby Ellsbury to come along and rescue them... My suspicion is that Crisp is closer to the mark than Beltran or even McRae. The power just isn't there right now, might not ever be there. That leaves us with what... A player who might peak at something pretty decent without rising to the level of the All-Star game. That's not bad, you enjoy it... And then you trade Roberto Kelly for Paul O'Neill. (Steven Goldman) |
BP Roundtables
| Date | Roundtable Name | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| 2009-10-16 13:00:00 | NLCS Game Two/ALCS Game One | GhostOfTonyKubek (Haunting OYS): How much longer are you going to ride the Nady hobbyhorse? You're preaching to empty choir stalls, trying to make a point about how the Yankees almost did something you didn't like but then it turned out to be moot, but it COULD have happened! Well, it DID happen, and then Nady got hurt. I think it's important because it goes to the way the organization thinks about things, which is sort of what I'm all about, and to a large extent BP too. That the Yankees got something good out of RF is one of those "There but for the grace of God/fortune favors the foolish" moments, but that's all, and that decision can provide context to any other decision they might be faced with (they transferred some of the same incorrect thinking to Melky Cabrera). Or to put it another way, the first words Brian Cashman ever said to me, in November of 1996, were, "I don't know, Mariano Duncan did a really good job for us this year." The only hobbyhorse I'm trying to ride is the one that Bob Dylan was on when he said, "Don't follow leaders/Watch your parking meters." (Steven Goldman) |
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