Biographical

Portrait of Jake Arrieta

Jake Arrieta PCubs

Cubs Player Cards | Cubs Team Audit | Cubs Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 30)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date3-6-1986
Height6' 4"
Weight225 lbs
Age30 years, 6 months, 22 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
1.72012
-0.22013
4.62014
6.02015
3.22016
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP
2010 BAL MLB 18 18 100.3 6 6 0 106 48 52 9 .260 112 9.5 4.3 0.8 4.7 44% .289 .267 1.53 4.73 4.66 122 6.60 -1.6
2011 BAL MLB 22 22 119.3 10 8 0 115 59 93 21 .264 106 8.7 4.4 1.6 7.0 48% .272 .277 1.46 5.37 5.05 111 5.08 -0.0
2012 BAL MLB 24 18 114.7 3 9 0 122 35 109 16 .268 104 9.6 2.7 1.3 8.6 46% .320 .266 1.37 4.01 6.20 90 3.86 1.7
2013 BAL 0 5 5 23.7 1 2 0 25 17 23 2 .274 101 9.5 6.5 0.8 8.7 33% .343 .310 1.77 4.64 7.23 0 0.00 0.0
2013 CHN 0 9 9 51.7 4 2 0 34 24 37 7 .255 105 5.9 4.2 1.2 6.4 46% .190 .236 1.12 4.92 3.66 0 0.00 0.0
2014 CHN MLB 25 25 156.7 10 5 0 114 41 167 5 .254 100 6.5 2.4 0.3 9.6 51% .272 .199 0.99 2.23 2.53 74 2.42 4.6
2015 CHN MLB 33 33 229.0 22 6 0 150 48 236 10 .256 97 5.9 1.9 0.4 9.3 58% .246 .187 0.86 2.38 1.77 72 2.89 6.0
2016 CHN MLB 30 30 192.3 18 7 0 128 74 186 15 .265 91 6.0 3.5 0.7 8.7 54% .232 .215 1.05 3.49 2.85 93 3.91 3.2
2013 TOT MLB 14 14 75.3 5 4 0 59 41 60 9 .262 104 7.0 4.9 1.1 7.2 42% .239 .261 1.33 4.83 4.78 119 5.18 -0.2
CareerMLB166160987.77445079434690385.2611007.23.20.88.250%.264.2301.153.553.54933.9413.7

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA
2007 PDD Wnt 14 0 16.0 1 0 0 8 7 16 0 .000 4.5 3.9 0.0 9.0 0% .222 .000 0.94 2.84 0.00 0 0.00
2008 FRD A+ 20 20 113.0 6 5 0 80 51 120 7 .268 105 6.4 4.1 0.6 9.6 50% .262 .222 1.16 3.65 2.87 90 2.70
2009 BOW AA 11 11 59.0 6 3 0 45 23 70 4 .270 95 6.9 3.5 0.6 10.7 38% .287 .235 1.15 3.02 2.59 76 1.93
2009 NOR AAA 17 17 91.7 5 8 0 97 33 78 9 .250 103 9.5 3.2 0.9 7.7 43% .324 .256 1.42 4.10 3.93 101 4.90
2010 BAL MLB 18 18 100.3 6 6 0 106 48 52 9 .260 112 9.5 4.3 0.8 4.7 44% .289 .267 1.53 4.73 4.66 122 6.60
2010 NOR AAA 12 11 73.0 6 2 0 48 34 64 3 .250 99 5.9 4.2 0.4 7.9 52% .237 .200 1.12 3.55 1.85 0 0.00
2011 BAL MLB 22 22 119.3 10 8 0 115 59 93 21 .264 106 8.7 4.4 1.6 7.0 48% .272 .277 1.46 5.37 5.05 111 5.08
2012 BAL MLB 24 18 114.7 3 9 0 122 35 109 16 .268 104 9.6 2.7 1.3 8.6 46% .320 .266 1.37 4.01 6.20 90 3.86
2012 NOR AAA 10 10 56.0 5 4 0 46 28 54 3 .255 94 7.4 4.5 0.5 8.7 48% .287 .240 1.32 3.64 4.02 96 4.12
2013 BAL MLB 5 5 23.7 1 2 0 25 17 23 2 .274 101 9.5 6.5 0.8 8.7 33% .343 .310 1.77 4.64 7.23 119 5.79
2013 CHN MLB 9 9 51.7 4 2 0 34 24 37 7 .255 105 5.9 4.2 1.2 6.4 46% .190 .236 1.12 4.92 3.66 119 4.90
2013 IOW AAA 7 7 30.3 2 2 0 32 16 39 2 .255 90 9.5 4.7 0.6 11.6 51% .390 .278 1.58 3.64 3.56 85 4.04
2013 NOR AAA 9 8 49.0 5 3 0 45 14 38 4 .254 97 8.3 2.6 0.7 7.0 52% .285 .230 1.20 3.63 4.41 99 4.58
2014 CHN MLB 25 25 156.7 10 5 0 114 41 167 5 .254 100 6.5 2.4 0.3 9.6 51% .272 .199 0.99 2.23 2.53 74 2.42
2014 DAY A+ 1 1 5.7 0 0 0 5 2 7 3 .224 98 7.9 3.2 4.8 11.1 60% .167 .318 1.24 8.86 4.76 91 3.49
2014 TEN AA 4 4 14.3 1 1 0 8 5 11 0 .241 99 5.0 3.1 0.0 6.9 62% .200 .181 0.91 2.70 1.26 92 3.83
2015 CHN MLB 33 33 229.0 22 6 0 150 48 236 10 .256 97 5.9 1.9 0.4 9.3 58% .246 .187 0.86 2.38 1.77 72 2.89
2016 CHN MLB 30 30 192.3 18 7 0 128 74 186 15 .265 91 6.0 3.5 0.7 8.7 54% .232 .215 1.05 3.49 2.85 93 3.91

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2010 1705 0.4891 0.4235 0.8463 0.5767 0.2767 0.8981 0.7427 0.1537
2011 2087 0.4763 0.4207 0.8064 0.5634 0.2909 0.8679 0.6981 0.1936
2012 1948 0.4933 0.4097 0.7857 0.5723 0.2513 0.8527 0.6371 0.2143
2013 1261 0.5052 0.4330 0.8260 0.5824 0.2804 0.8868 0.6971 0.1740
2014 2403 0.4744 0.4519 0.7495 0.5921 0.3254 0.8504 0.5839 0.2505
2015 3425 0.4829 0.4654 0.7440 0.6191 0.3219 0.8438 0.5649 0.2560
2016 3014 0.4672 0.4512 0.7471 0.6286 0.2958 0.8452 0.5642 0.2529
Career158430.48150.44080.77630.59620.29650.85860.62370.2237

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-03-21 2014-05-03 15-DL 43 27 Right Shoulder Recovery From Previous Injury Inflammation - -
2014-02-13 2014-03-21 Camp 36 0 Right Shoulder Inflammation - -
2013-04-01 2013-04-05 DTD 4 3 Right Fingers Blister Middle Finger - -
2011-08-01 2011-09-29 60-DL 59 57 Right Elbow Surgery Bone Spurs and Fibrous Mass 2011-08-12 -
2011-07-26 2011-07-26 DTD 0 0 Right Foot Contusion Batted Ball - -
2010-09-15 2010-10-04 DTD 19 17 Right Elbow Bone Spur -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 CHN $10,700,000
2015 CHN $3,630,000
2014 CHN $544,500
2013 BAL $516,500
2012 BAL $488,500
2011 BAL $419,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
5 yrPrevious$5,598,500
2011Current$10,700,000
6 yrPvs + Cur$16,298,500
6 yrTotal$16,298,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
4 y 145 dBoras Corp.1 year/$10.7M (2016)

Details
  • 1 year/$10.7M (2016). Re-signed by Chicago Cubs 2/6/16 (avoided arbitration, $13M-$7.5M).
  • 1 year/$3.63M (2015). Re-signed by Chicago Cubs 1/16/15 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.5445M (2014). Re-signed by Chicago Cubs 3/3/14.
  • 1 year/$0.5165M (2013). Re-signed by Baltimore 3/8/13. Acquired by Chicago Cubs in trade from Baltimore 7/2/13.
  • 1 year/$0.4885M (2012). Re-signed by Baltimore 3/10/12.
  • 1 year/$0.419M (2011). Re-signed by Baltimore 2/11.
  • Drafted by Baltimore 2007 (5-159) (TCU). $1.1M signing bonus.

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Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .180 .250 .272 .193
11 vs R (Multi) .211 .258 .309 .207
18 Split (Multi) -.031 -.009 -.037 -.014
19 LgAvg (Multi) .009 .023 .019 .016
30 vs L (2015) .159 .221 .228 .167
31 vs R (2015) .207 .248 .309 .205
38 Split (2015) -.048 -.027 -.081 -.038
39 LgAvg (2015) .009 .024 .022 .017

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Jake Arrieta is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
What You Need to Know: Dee Gordon and the Marlins Honor Jose FernandezDaniel Rathman2016-09-27
Liner Notes: Self-Sabotage StarsBryan Grosnick2016-09-27
Pebble Hunting: The Great Big 'Beat PECOTA' WrapSam Miller2016-09-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: 2016 In-Season Valuations: Third EditionMike Gianella2016-09-02
What You Need to Know: Werth Is Back, For the Thousandth TimeDaniel Rathman2016-08-30
Prospectus Feature: Baseball Player HumanTrevor Strunk2016-08-29
What You Need to Know: Everything Is Gary SanchezAshley Varela2016-08-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 21Scooter Hotz2016-08-26
Prospectus Feature: Pujols, Verlander, and Modern Baseball Trevor Strunk2016-08-17
Two-Strike Approach: Buy High, Shel LowCat Garcia2016-08-04
Transaction Analysis: Richer Get RichSam Miller2016-08-02
Transaction Analysis: Richer Get RichPatrick Dubuque2016-08-02
Transaction Analysis: Richer Get RichWilson Karaman2016-08-02
Transaction Analysis: Richer Get RichChristopher Crawford2016-08-02
Transaction Analysis: Richer Get RichCraig Goldstein2016-08-02
Cold Takes: Stuck With HimPatrick Dubuque2016-07-27
What You Need to Know: Just For the RecordAshley Varela2016-07-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 16Greg Wellemeyer2016-07-22
Transaction Analysis: The Legend of Vogelbach, Now In SeattleBrendan Gawlowski2016-07-21
Transaction Analysis: The Legend of Vogelbach, Now In SeattleRian Watt2016-07-21
Transaction Analysis: The Legend of Vogelbach, Now In SeattleChristopher Crawford2016-07-21
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Fret No MoreDaniel Rathman2016-07-20
What You Need to Know: J-Fer EffortEmma Baccellieri2016-07-19
Raising Aces: Passing of the CyDoug Thorburn2016-07-16
Banjo Hitter: The Out-of-Nowhere All-StarsAaron Gleeman2016-07-12
What You Need to Know: And Then It Got WeirdAshley Varela2016-07-11
Raising Aces: Fastballs Are SecondaryDoug Thorburn2016-07-09
Prospectus Feature: The Nightmare of Becoming a Fun Fact MachineAaron Gleeman2016-07-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Buyer's Guide: Junior GuerraJ.P. Breen2016-07-05
Prospectus Feature: But What If It Did Count?Rian Watt2016-07-03
Prospectus Feature: But What If It Did Count?Sam Miller2016-07-03
Prospectus Feature: But What If It Did Count?Meg Rowley2016-07-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 14George Bissell2016-07-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessIn-Season Fantasy Valuations: Second Edition, 2016Mike Gianella2016-07-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 14J.J. Jansons2016-07-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 14Greg Wellemeyer2016-07-01
What You Need to Know: Giolito vs. Harvey vs. RainEmma Baccellieri2016-06-29
What You Need to Know: A Five-Hit Night Unlike Any OtherDaniel Rathman2016-06-28
What You Need to Know: Sometimes You Win, Sometimes You Hit Seven Homers and LoseAshley Varela2016-06-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Bargains and Busts, Midseason EditionMike Gianella2016-06-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 13Greg Wellemeyer2016-06-24
What You Need to Know: How Could They Be So Bartless?Emma Baccellieri2016-06-22
What You Need to Know: Big Time Timmy Jim Is Back, Big TimeAshley Varela2016-06-20
What You Need to Know: The Improbable Frequently Fails To HappenEmma Baccellieri2016-06-17
What You Need to Know: 4,257*Demetrius Bell2016-06-16
Prospectus Feature: Groundball Pitchers: Nothin' To Do With Them?Rob Mains2016-06-13
What You Need to Know: Nothing Left to Do But WinAshley Varela2016-06-13
Prospectus Feature: From a Cesspool, SuccessAaron Gleeman2016-06-07
What You Need to Know: It Won't Always Be Like ThisAshley Varela2016-06-06
Raising Aces: Instant GratificationDoug Thorburn2016-06-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessIn-Season Fantasy Valuations: First Edition, 2016Mike Gianella2016-06-03
What You Need to Know: Baseball EasyDemetrius Bell2016-06-02
What You Need to Know: The Catcher Who Threw 96 In A BlowoutEmma Baccellieri2016-06-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week NineGreg Wellemeyer2016-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week NineJ.J. Jansons2016-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Draft Rankings: The Updated Top 300Bret Sayre2016-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week NineGeorge Bissell2016-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Draft Rankings: The Updated Top 300Mike Gianella2016-05-27
What You Need to Know: Jake Arrieta, ImperfectDemetrius Bell2016-05-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Fantasy Verdict: Gattis and Catcher EligibilityJ.P. Breen2016-05-26
What You Need to Know: Chris Sale, ImperfectEmma Baccellieri2016-05-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessUpdating the Tiers: Starting PitchersMike Gianella2016-05-25
What You Need to Know: About That Kershaw Walk...Nicolas Stellini2016-05-24
Expert FAAB Review: Week EightMike Gianella2016-05-24
Players Prefer Presentation: The Analytics of Jake Arrieta BobbleheadsMeg Rowley2016-05-20
What You Need to Know: Papi EndingsAshley Varela2016-05-16
Prospectus Feature: Failing To Find A Better WayTrevor Strunk2016-05-15
This article requires BP Premium accessThe View From Behind The Backstop: We Do Write About 3s (A Lot)Jeffrey Paternostro2016-05-09
DRA 2016: DRA Returns!Jonathan Judge2016-05-06
DRA 2016: The Arrieta ProblemJonathan Judge2016-05-06
BP Unfiltered: April's Vogelsong AwardsRob Mains2016-05-04
Rubbing Mud: Stop What You're Doing And Consider The Cubs' Incredible DefenseMatthew Trueblood2016-05-03
Prospectus Feature: I Come to Praise Quality Starts, Not to Bury ThemRob Mains2016-05-02
What You Need to Know: Meet the PhilliesNicolas Stellini2016-04-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week FiveGreg Wellemeyer2016-04-29
What You Need to Know: David Price is a True Red SoxEmma Baccellieri2016-04-27
Expert FAAB Review: Week FourMike Gianella2016-04-26
Life at the Margins: The Best Pitcher Right NowRian Watt2016-04-25
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 868: Jake Arrieta is ReaganingSam Miller2016-04-22
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 868: Jake Arrieta is ReaganingBen Lindbergh2016-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Arrieta's Masterpiece, Kershaw's AccidentNicolas Stellini2016-04-22
What You Need to Know: Raisel Iglesias' Deus Ex MachinaDemetrius Bell2016-04-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Things We Believe: A Cy Young Repeat and a Sophomore SlumpBret Sayre2016-04-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Things We Believe: A Cy Young Repeat and a Sophomore SlumpMike Gianella2016-04-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Things We Believe: Scary Sliders and Young StudsJ.J. Jansons2016-04-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Things We Believe: Scary Sliders and Young StudsGeorge Bissell2016-04-18
What You Need to Know: Psst: Jake Arrieta Has A 0.91 ERA Over His Past 169 InningsAshley Varela2016-04-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Picking Up Where They Left OffDaniel Rathman2016-04-05
What You Need to Know: The Race is Long, And in the End It's Only With YourselfAshley Varela2016-04-04
Prospectus Feature: Pre-Season Staff PredictionsBP Staff2016-04-04
TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 67: AvocadosBen Carsley2016-04-02
TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 67: AvocadosJeff Quinton2016-04-02
TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 67: AvocadosGeorge Bissell2016-04-02
TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 67: AvocadosCraig Goldstein2016-04-02
Winter Is Leaving: San Francisco GiantsCraig Goldstein2016-03-31
Fantasy Staff Picks: Breakouts, Busts, and Bold PredictionsBP Fantasy Staff2016-03-30
Life at the Margins: Greatness, NearbyRian Watt2016-03-21
Expert League Auction Recap: Tout Wars MixedBret Sayre2016-03-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Draft Rankings: The Top 300Bret Sayre2016-03-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Draft Rankings: The Top 300Mike Gianella2016-03-17
Rumor Roundup: Sorry, Missed JacksonDaniel Rathman2016-03-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2016-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessEarly ADP Analysis: Starting PitchersGeorge Bissell2016-02-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Three-Year Projections: Top 50 Starting PitchersJ.J. Jansons2016-02-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tiered Rankings: Starting Pitchers, Part One: 1-55Mike Gianella2016-02-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe -Only League Landscape: National League Starting PitchersScooter Hotz2016-02-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessState of the Position: Starting PitchersJ.P. Breen2016-02-24
Expert League Draft Recap: LABR Mixed 2016Mike Gianella2016-02-19
Expert League Draft Recap: LABR Mixed 2016Bret Sayre2016-02-19
Prospectus Feature: The Way-Too-Early Baseball Awards BreakdownBryan Grosnick2016-02-17
The Lineup Card: Our Favorite PECOTA ProjectionsBaseball Prospectus2016-02-17
This article requires BP Premium accessPitching Backward: A Refresher on ChangeupsJeff Long2016-01-22
Internet Baseball Awards: FinSam Miller2016-01-18
This article requires BP Premium accessRubbing Mud: Cubs Do It DifferentlyMatthew Trueblood2016-01-07
Best of BP 2015: Touring the Local SitesSahadev Sharma2015-12-31
Best of BP 2015: DRA: An In-Depth DiscussionBP Stats Team2015-12-29
Best of BP 2015: DRA: An In-Depth DiscussionJonathan Judge2015-12-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Categorical Breakdowns: WHIP: The General LandscapeWilson Karaman2015-12-11
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Free Agent Roulette: Zack Greinke and John LackeyDoug Thorburn2015-12-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Explaining the PieMike Gianella2015-12-08
This article requires BP Premium accessAn Agent's Take: The Good Part of Being TradedJoshua Kusnick2015-12-07
Transaction Analysis: Snake BittenBret Sayre2015-12-05
Transaction Analysis: Snake BittenMatthew Trueblood2015-12-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessRetrospective Player Valuation: Mixed League PitchersMike Gianella2015-12-03
Transaction Analysis: Oh, Hello DavidJ.J. Jansons2015-12-02
Transaction Analysis: Oh, Hello DavidBen Carsley2015-12-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Categorical Breakdowns: ERA: A Deeper DiveGeorge Bissell2015-11-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Categorical Breakdowns: ERA: Over/UnderachieversJ.P. Breen2015-11-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Categorical Breakdowns: ERA: The General LandscapeWilson Karaman2015-11-20
Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 70: Sorry KojiBret Sayre2015-11-19
Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 70: Sorry KojiGeorge Bissell2015-11-19
Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 70: Sorry KojiMike Gianella2015-11-19
This article requires BP Premium accessRubbing Mud: Overlooking TroutMatthew Trueblood2015-11-19
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: A.J. Preller the ... Seller?R.J. Anderson2015-11-13
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: A.J. Preller the ... Seller?Christopher Crawford2015-11-13
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: A.J. Preller the ... Seller?George Bissell2015-11-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessRetrospective Player Valuation: NL PitchersMike Gianella2015-11-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Strikeouts: The General LandscapeGreg Wellemeyer2015-11-12
Rumor Roundup: Wait 'Til Next YearDaniel Rathman2015-11-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Player Valuation: A Practical ApplicationMike Gianella2015-11-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Buyer's Guide: Francisco RodriguezJ.P. Breen2015-11-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Players to Target and Avoid: A Look BackBret Sayre2015-10-30
Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 69: Freddie Freeman DiseaseGeorge Bissell2015-10-29
Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 69: Freddie Freeman DiseaseMike Gianella2015-10-29
Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 69: Freddie Freeman DiseaseBret Sayre2015-10-29
Playoff Prospectus: Assessing the Managers' Moves In Game 2Matthew Trueblood2015-10-29
BP Unfiltered: A Little More on Cubs' Issues Holding RunnersSahadev Sharma2015-10-21
Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and LCS Previews for WednesdayRian Watt2015-10-21
Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and LCS Previews for WednesdayMatthew Trueblood2015-10-21
Playoff Prospectus: Mets Win, Take 2-1 Series Lead: NLCS Game 2Sam Miller2015-10-19
Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Game 2 Preview and PECOTA OddsRian Watt2015-10-18
Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Preview: Cubs vs. MetsSahadev Sharma2015-10-17
Playoff Prospectus: Party Time in Wrigleyville: NLDS Game 4Sahadev Sharma2015-10-14
Playoff Prospectus: Homers, Homers, Homers, Homers: NLDS Game 3Mike Gianella2015-10-13
This article requires BP Premium accessBaseball Therapy: Do We Still Need Divisions?Russell A. Carleton2015-10-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The Next Bartolo ColonGeorge Bissell2015-10-13
Prospectus Feature: DRA and Linear Weights. And Justin Verlander.Jonathan Judge2015-10-12
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLDS Game 3 PreviewsSahadev Sharma2015-10-12
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLDS Game 3 PreviewsChris Mosch2015-10-12
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: The Cubs Do Simple Better: NLDS Game 2Rian Watt2015-10-11
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLDS Game 2 PreviewsJeffrey Paternostro2015-10-10
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLDS Game 2 PreviewsMike Gianella2015-10-10
Limited Range Podcast: Episode 24: Enjoying the MomentSahadev Sharma2015-10-09
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Cubs vs. CardinalsSahadev Sharma2015-10-09
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Mets vs. DodgersJeffrey Paternostro2015-10-09
Playoff Prospectus: Wild Card Recap: Casually CruelSam Miller2015-10-08
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Jake Arrieta vs. Gerrit ColeDoug Thorburn2015-10-07
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: WC Recap: A Game of Hinch'sR.J. Anderson2015-10-07
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Cubs vs. PiratesSahadev Sharma2015-10-07
This article requires BP Premium accessRubbing Mud: Jake Arrieta Isn't Wearing A CapeMatthew Trueblood2015-10-07
Expert League Recap: LABR MixedBret Sayre2015-10-06
Expert League Recap: LABR MixedMike Gianella2015-10-06
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: FinDaniel Rathman2015-10-05
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: FinIan Frazer2015-10-05
Transaction Analysis: How The Wild Card Winners Were BuiltBP Staff2015-10-05
Everything You Could Have Learned This Week: Sept. 28-Oct. 2Ian Frazer2015-10-04
BP Wrigleyville: Maddon Reaches into the Unknown as Arrieta Reaches New HeightsSahadev Sharma2015-10-02
Fantasy Rounders: Paint the Bankroll BlackDoug Thorburn2015-10-02
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Wild!Chris Mosch2015-10-02
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Cardinals Clinch; Cardinals Are Doomed?Daniel Rathman2015-10-01
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Chaos ChaseDaniel Rathman2015-09-30
The BP Wayback Machine: Young Birds Taking WingKevin Goldstein2015-09-30
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 734: The Most Important Player on Every Postseason TeamBen Lindbergh2015-09-29
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 734: The Most Important Player on Every Postseason TeamSam Miller2015-09-29
This article requires BP Premium accessPitching Backward: TINSTAABOPPJeff Long2015-09-29
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaisy Cutter: Joe Maddon, And The Cubs, Have ArrivedSahadev Sharma2014-11-05
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The Column to Be Named Later: Birds of a FeatherMarc Normandin2011-02-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Starting PitchersBill Baer2011-01-28
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Baltimore Orioles Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2010-11-17
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This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: A Strain is a TearWill Carroll2010-09-21
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Concussion Problem WorsensWill Carroll2010-09-20
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: AL: The Wheat from The ChaffJay Jaffe2010-09-17
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This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Baltimore OriolesESPN Insider2010-09-14
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Baltimore OriolesKevin Goldstein2010-09-14
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Breaking It OpenJohn Perrotto2010-09-13
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Dog Days: The YankeesJay Jaffe2010-08-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #19Craig Brown2010-08-06
This article requires BP Premium accessYou Could Look It Up: The Showalter GambitSteven Goldman2010-08-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Rotation PromotionsBill Baer2010-07-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #16Craig Brown2010-07-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #14Craig Brown2010-07-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Starting PitchersBill Baer2010-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessExpanded Horizons: Is It Next Year Yet?Tommy Bennett2010-06-29
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: Streaks and SwoonsJay Jaffe2010-06-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Starting PitchersBill Baer2010-06-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Starting PitchersBill Baer2010-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Weekend OmnibusChristina Kahrl2010-06-11
BP Unfiltered: The Paper Trail of June 11John Perrotto2010-06-11
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: Beasts of the EastJay Jaffe2010-06-11
Minor Issues: Safety and Comportment, with Jake ArrietaDavid Laurila2010-06-06
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: A Knack for Getting KnackeredChristina Kahrl2010-06-01
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 31Kevin Goldstein2010-06-01
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This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Org Watch: Orioles, Astros, MarinersKevin Goldstein2010-05-19
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Still A BelieverJohn Perrotto2010-05-14
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Not Least, the AL EastChristina Kahrl2010-05-04
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of April 28Kevin Goldstein2010-04-29
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: An AL QuartetChristina Kahrl2010-04-26
Fixing Problems: Finding Alternative Solutions to Roster QuandariesChristina Kahrl2010-04-21
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of April 14Kevin Goldstein2010-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Wednesday UpdateJohn Perrotto2010-04-14
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: The Top 101 Prospects Update, Part 2Kevin Goldstein2010-04-08
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Future Top Dogs, ALKevin Goldstein2010-03-14
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Top 101 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2010-03-03
Camp Battles: AL EastChristina Kahrl2010-02-16
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: AL ActionChristina Kahrl2009-12-13
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Orioles Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2009-11-09
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Midweek UpdateJohn Perrotto2009-09-16
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: August 25Kevin Goldstein2009-08-25
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Assorted AL AdditionsChristina Kahrl2009-08-09
Prospectus Q&A: Matt WietersDavid Laurila2009-08-09
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This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Mid-Season SnapshotJohn Perrotto2009-07-12
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Young Birds Taking WingKevin Goldstein2009-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: AL RoundupChristina Kahrl2009-07-04
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Report from Camden YardsJoe Sheehan2009-05-11
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Setbacks on the Eastern FrontJohn Perrotto2009-04-26
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This article requires BP Premium accessWait 'Til Next Year: Split LineupsBryan Smith2009-04-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Orioles Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2009-01-26


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-09-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Harry, What do we make of Jake Arrieta's slider usage going down from 30% in 2015% to 17% this year? Do you think it's intentional in order to sustain health? Or, evident by his low wSL/C, do you think it's because he just doesn't have a feel for it. Thanks, Brendan
(Brendan from LA)
Interesting. Guesses of possible influences, in no particular order: pitching behind more; strategic decision to hide it more; maybe part of a fatigue avoidance plan, but doubtful; matchups; catcher preference. (Harry Pavlidis)
2016-06-07 12:00:00 (link to chat)I kn ew Jake Arrieta was a fraud. The guy is terrible. He sucks. Every Cardinals pitcher is way better
(Jim from St Louis)
Best chats in baseball (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2016-05-16 23:00:00 (link to chat)Few Cubs questions for you sir. Will Jorge Soler ever mentally figure it out? We all know the huge potential thats there. What is Javier Baez's best long term position? If the Cubs and Jake Arrieta cant workout a deal by next trade deadline and they decide to deal him, what kind of haul could he return?
(BC from Urbandale)
Soler just turned 24 and has a bunch of work to do in ironing out his approach. I can't speak to his mental fortitude, but with guys who reach the major leagues I tend to assume it's a relative strength. Better question is whether effort to evolve his approach wins the day ultimately or not. Hasn't shown much progress this spring. Baez seems to be just fine in a utility capacity, I wouldn't go out of my way to settle him into one spot. And re: Arrieta, I can't see the Cubs being in the market of selling a dude like Arrieta given their competitive window. If he leaves, he leaves, but have to assume he'd do so after pitching post-season ball in Cub pinstripes. (Wilson Karaman)
2016-05-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)What player(s) has surprised you the most at the 1/4 mark of the season at the MILB levels and the MLB level?
(fightingmoose from Manitoba)
Jackie Bradley Jr., Jake Arrieta, Mark Trumbo, and Nick Castellanos (Jim Walsh)
2016-05-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)A recent episode of EW inspired my Crazy Idea of the Week. The discussion about how teams aren't necessarily incentivized to create juggernaut teams, but rather to win the division and roll the dice in the postseason got me thinking. Should the Cubs, who have the makings of a juggernaut on their hands, switch to a 6 man rotation to preserve the health of their arms until October? Hammel has had consistent struggles in the second half and Arrieta has said that he felt worn down in the playoffs in 2015. If the Cubs manage to continue this pace through the end of May, should they consider adding Adam Warren to their rotation and focus on maximizing their chances in the postseason?
(Will from Gainesville)
Well, yes. They probably should. I haven't seen (or don't remember) a great study on how much the fatigue of a long season affects pitching in October, but it seems very intuitive that every inning you've thrown makes you a little bit worse by the 230th or 250th. So I support this idea, with two possible exceptions:

1) If the Cubs have some chance at doing something heroic (like winning 117 games; pretty much just that. Maybe a winning streak, maybe personal achievements), they should. I've been unable to convince any of my Bay Area friends that the Warriors winning 73 was a much bigger deal than them potentially winning this year's title, but I feel that way, and if the Cubs can chase 117 without doing any real damage to their playoff chances I'd say they should; 2) if the Cubs have some reason to believe that costing Jake Arrieta a Cy Young award, or Jon Lester 20 wins, or something along those lines, would lead to great unhappiness, it'd be worth listening to those guys. But I wouldn't just assume either of those things would lead to great unhappiness, even if we're all excessively paranoid about unhappy athletes. (Sam Miller)
2016-05-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Other than the Cubs, does any team have a brighter future beyond 2016 than the Phillies?
(Steven from Indiana)
Hey, on this same topic... I have the Phillies winning the NL East in 2019, one win shy of the Cubs' win total and tied for the sixth-best record in baseball that year. (And, hey, I think these are as absurd as I hope you do!) The Phillies have a lot of the things that the Cubs had (buy-in on full rebuild, great farm system, big budget going unused) and we don't have any reason to be doubtful of this front office, other than that they had to rebuild an infrastructure that was a decade behind a lot of other teams. That said: The Cubs aren't this good because they followed a model for other teams to follow; they're this good because they followed that model and made *every right move along the way*. You can't look at the Cubs and say "let's do that" without answering the question of who the terrible pitcher you're going to turn into Jake Arrieta is. (Sam Miller)
2016-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)What more/ how long does Jake Arrieta have to keep this up for it to become the most dominant run in baseball history?
(BC from Urbandale)
I'd like to see more strikeouts, if I'm gonna put him next to Pedro or Maddux or Kershaw. He seems to be exceptionally skilled at creating soft contact, but the Cubs have also just been a marvelous defensive team throughout this stretch of dominance. If Arrieta keeps up just this way all season, I'll buy that he's just that unique, and that the team effect is minimal, in which case he gets really close to Pedro. (Matthew Trueblood)
2016-01-14 20:00:00 (link to chat)Are you a big believer in fan graphs accuracy? How close do you think they are with the Cubs at 97 wins? Also, are the Cubs done, or is another back of the rotation guy still a possibility?
(BC from Urbandale)
I know this is a cop out, but projections and predictions aren't the same thing. Their model is likely fairly accurate but individual results are always going to skew things.

97 seems fairly close for the Cubs, assuming that Jake Arrieta doesn't take a big step back (I don't think he will). 91 seems like the win total if a lot goes wrong so 93-97 is a realistic possibility.

Barring something falling in the laps, I think the Cubs are done. Maybe a supplemental move to find a guy who could fill in innings if everything breaks right. (Mike Gianella)
2015-10-07 14:00:00 (link to chat)Any concern about a Pirates alternate game plan (using bunting more frequently) that could potentially take Arrieta off his game tonight?
(John from Springfield, MO)
Josh Harrison is talking about this right now, trying to rattle Jake with the running game or by bunting. No. You can't rattle Jake Arrieta. But it can't hurt to try and shake things up, so I guess the Pirates will do what they must. Just know this guy is extremely athletic and any suggested issues throwing to bases are not accurate, IMO (Sahadev Sharma)
2015-09-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)What does Jake Arrieta have to do his next 2 starts/ Zach Greinke not do in his next starts for Jake to bring home the Cy?
(BC from Urbandale)
Pitch well; pitch poorly? That's a horrible answer, but honestly I don't keep up with the awards stuff. Both are worthy. (R.J. Anderson)
2015-09-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who are candidates to become the Jake Arrieta of 2016??
(Rotoman from NYC)
Well, what was Arrieta? A starter whose good stuff had been sabotaged by other factors for years. If you go by that definition, then you get a candidate pool including guys like Trevor Bauer, Jarred Cosart, Willy Peralta, and so on. Are any of those guys likely to make an Arrieta-like leap? No, otherwise Arrieta wouldn't be special, but that's the class we're talking about if we stay true to the above description. (R.J. Anderson)
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)Rank these Theo Epstein trade fleecings: 1. Rangers - 2 trades (recevied Hendricks, Villanueva, Edwards, Grimm, Ramirez, and Olt for Dempster and Garza rentals (resulted in 0 WS)). 2. Orioles (received Jake Arrieta, Pedro Strop, and international bonus money for Scott Feldman and Steve Clevenger. 3. A's (received Addison Russell (!), Billy McKinney, and Dan Straily for Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel (who promptly returned to Cubs in FA)). Also, are you still a little in shock that Billy Beane traded Addison Russell?
(Mark from Bleacher Nation)
That's a fun question.

The Arrieta trade, the Russell trade, and the Rangers trade. I was not in shock about it (nothing Beane does is on the shock level) but I was very surprised. (Mike Gianella)
2015-02-26 20:00:00 (link to chat)Jake Arrieta and Carlos Carrasco were fantastic down the stretch. Do you think those two can finish what they started, what I mean is do you think one or both could be this year's Kluber?
(G Money from Orlando)
I think we're overstating how rarely a Kluber happens. Arrieta is much more likely to continue the success and stay healthy in 2015, but expecting a Cy Young out of either of them is a bit much. (Bret Sayre)
2015-01-28 19:00:00 (link to chat)Has Jake Arrieta become an ace? Top 15 pitcher this year?
(Walker from Houston)
Along the same vein as the Gerrit Cole question he's going to have to log 200 innings and keep the same production for him to be an ace in my mind. It wouldn't surprise me if he was top 15 but he has to go out there and prove it. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-10-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)Given the success of mediocre starters turned stud relievers (Zachary Britton, Wade Davis) combined with the KC approach of using three relievers to close out the game, do you expect more teams to attempt to take such an approach?? Thanks for the chat, I always appreciate the insights of the BP team!!
(DJ from Dallas)
I think this approach has always existed. History tends to repeat itself. That being said, in a day where pitchers are getting injured at high rates and can also wing it 95+ on a consistent basis, I think we will see more pitchers being moved into RP roles sooner rather than later.

It's a great idea to shift a player over if that is where you ultimately think they end up. I use Jake Arrieta as the example as to why you DON'T move them. Imagine if the Orioles or Cubs had moved him to the pen and given up on starting. 2014 would have never happened, and he was nasty this year. (Tucker Blair)
2014-10-23 14:00:00 (link to chat)Who are a few pitchers that you saw take a significant step forward/backward with their mechanics in 2014?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
Steps forward: Trevor Bauer with his balance and simplified delivery, Yordano Ventura with his stability, Jake Arrieta with his momentum and transition through lift-and-stride, and Carlos Carrasco with his ditching of the windup and execution from the stretch (esp repetition).

Steps back: Danny Salazar in nearly all phases but especially stability, Justin Masterson with his vertical

The number of current and former Indians on this list is purely indidental (Doug Thorburn)
2014-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jake Arrieta a top 20 pitcher going into 2015? Who would you rather have in a Dynasty League, Oscar Tavares or Joey Gallo?
(Kyle from Florida)
Maybe not top 20 in a mixed but he's close. I think the improvements are legit and we are looking at a 1b or a 2a in fantasy. If someone puts him in their top 20 I won't be shocked. I definitely want the all around player in Taveras. I see a superstar in the making with him and a $20-25 player if I'm wrong. With Gallo I see a one-trick pony who is going to hurt the average or - at best - be BA neutral. (Mike Gianella)
2014-09-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Fantasy Question: Regardless of cost, who would you rather have for the next 3 years: Danny Duffy, Jake Arrieta, or Rusney Castillo? What kind of player will Castillo be?
(Quiet Time from D.C.)
Castillo is a total wild card. The scouting reports I've read pegged him somewhere between Rajai Davis and Shane Victorino, but then it was said that he bulked up and showed unexpected power during his workouts last month. Even if he "ony" ends up as the next Shane Victorino, I'd take that over either SP. I'd take most solid everyday players over most unproven SP's. (Cory Schwartz)
2014-08-19 14:00:00 (link to chat)Does Baltimore have an issue with developing good starting pitching? Brian Matusz, Zach Britton, and Tommy Hunter are all now in the bullpen. Jake Arrieta is excelling in Chicago. Should Kevin Gausman be hoping for a trade?
(Shawn from Cubicle)
Kevin Gausman will be just fine. I don't think their player development is the greatest but that also has to do with the players' makeup and willing to make adjustments and work. (CJ Wittmann)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can Jacob Turner pitch? https://twitter.com/keithlaw/status/497798233549467648
(CubsTwitter from Wrigleyville)
He can throw a baseball towards a plate, so by the basic definition yes. I think it's a great pickup in the sense it costs them nothing and has reasonable upside, but I wouldn't bank on Turner turning into Jake Arrieta or something. With his GB tendencies, I think he can be a fine 5th starter. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-07-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)Tell me anything you'd like about Jake Arrieta. I'm a huge Cubs fan and desperately want him to become a pillar for us. How good can he end up being? P.S. Put some Kyuss on the jukebox and start the weekend ROCKING!!
(MKPJ from chicago)
I am impressed by the adjustments that Arrieta has made, with a smoother transition through the lift phase of his delivery and more consistent timing. The guy has big stuff and the 95-mph FB is a true weapon if he can command the pitch well. JP Breen wrote about it here, and I dropped my thoughts on Arrieta's mechanics: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=24037

On the jukebox: Kyuss, "Hurricane" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-07-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)hey Doug..Love your work here at BP. I know Jake Arrieta has been a popular topic this year and i'm coming at you from a fantasy perspective. I'm contemplating making a trade that would bring me back Arrieta. With the work Bosio has done with him would you feel comfortable calling him a solid no. 2 (fringe ace) level pitcher for the Cubs moving forward? has he shown you enough to warrant that label?
(eamuscatuli15 from Nebraska)
He is definitely a high-3, but I would have to see it for a longer stretch to give him the level-2 label. Timing can be fickle, and sometimes pitchers lose it in a hurry (or as quickly as Arrieta gained it). (Doug Thorburn)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)True or False: Over the next few years Jake Arrieta is a #1 or #2 SP in the big leagues. Thanks
(MKPJ from chicago)
There really aren't that many of those. Sure, Arietta has absolutely nasty stuff-- however, it's been 85 innings. He's never even thrown 120 innings in a season at the big league level before. #1 or #2 starters take the ball every 5th day, and most of them throw 200 innings year in and year out. It's one thing to 'project' someone to do that, but they actually have to go out and do it at the big league level before that distinction can be given.

Short answer, I think he's probably a #3 starter enjoying a very good run. It was a great find by the Cubs. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-07 11:00:00 (link to chat)Did you ever scout Jake Arrieta? Is this just a hot streak or a case of a guy reaching his full potential?
(Matt from Seattle)
I never really scouted him, although I did get to see him coming up. His breakout is real.

Sorry to do this but I need to step away for a few minutes to take a call. My brother is in the Navy and is about to deploy. I need to hear his voice for a few. Be right back. (Jason Parks on the Top 50)
2014-07-03 19:00:00 (link to chat)No Jake Arrieta questions? Will he win the Cy Young 2015-18 or no?
(tomshipley75 from Neptune)
And the MVP, you forgot about that.

Everyone wrote their "Jake Arrieta" is awesome piece. I want to see what happens when he has a bad inning. Is he still going to believe in his stuff enough to survive giving up some runs early in a game or will he deteriorate? Game is mental for him, things are going really well right now. What happens when he's bad?

Stuff was never a question. I believe in him because Bosio does, but I want to see him under duress and how he handles it. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Doug, recently got my mother a subscription to BP and told her the can't miss read is "Raising Aces". We're huge Cubs fans and have enjoyed the breakout of Jake Arrieta. I've read a lot about his upping the use of the slider/cutter. What have you seen from Arrieta and do you think he's turned the corner and set to be a lower top of rotation type/mid rotation type for the Cubs?
(eamuscatuli15 from nebraska)
Thanks for the hat-tip! Arrieta has serious velo, and I agree that his refinement of the slider is a big component of his success. He has also been working on having a more fluid timing pattern to his momentum, including less rock-n-roll and improved balance as he transitions through max leg lift. Harry Pavlidis has some great stuff coming out in the near future on Arrieta, so keep an eye out!

On the jukebox: Guns N' Roses, "Mr. Brownstone" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Jake Arrieta can sustain anything close to this level of production? Control was always his issue: do you see anything in his mechanics this season that makes you believe he may be getting past that?
(Kevin from Chicago)
See previous question about Arrieta. I think that he is making legit gains, and his focus is well-honed with respect to ironing out his mechanics. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-12-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)At best Jake Arrieta seems like s 5th starter. Seems destined to be in the bullpen even on a lousy team. Agree/Disagree?
(Will from Baltimore)
I do think he winds up in the bullpen. At the same time, I wonder if there's a physical or mental reason why the Orioles didn't move him there. Maybe he can't warm up quick enough, or can't handle the daily preparation or something. They did it with Matusz, after all. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Many talk about the Mariners lack of ability to develop their hitting prospects but couldn't you say the same about the Orioles on the pitching side? Jake Arrieta, Brian Matusz, Zach Britton along with the struggles of Kevin Gausman (SSS I know) and the injury to Dylan Bundy. Should the O's be mentioned in the same breath in regards to their lack of development skills on the mound?
(Roger Dorn from San Mateo)
I don't know if I'm ready to say that the O's do not know how to develop pitching just yet. However, I will admit a lot of their pitching prospects have had different prospect paths than I would have predicted. . (Zach Mortimer)
2013-07-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on the Feldman/Arrieta trade?
(Guancous from Silver Spring, MD)
First thought: I spelled Jake Arrieta wrong in my last answer about the deal. Still want hitting for Baltimore. Like it for the Cubs going younger and less predictable. With where they are as a team now and where their high-volatility assets lie, it's the right move to make. They have much more to do, but I really like what Chicago is building. They will have a very good end of the decade in Rosemont. (Zachary Levine)
2012-05-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keeper League...looking to move LaHair for some SP. Who would be some of your favorite mid-level starters to target right now? Points league with emphasis on ERA/quality starts. Always looking for upside but need current yr production as well.
(David from San Diego)
Maybe try Brandon Morrow, Anibal Sanchez, Jordan Zimmermann, Jake Arrieta, and Chris Sale. (Derek Carty)
2010-07-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jake Arrieta or Edinson Volquez for the rest of 2010?
(sharkey from MPLS)
Arrieta's K/BB ratio isn't inspiring much confidence, and he has to face the rest of the AL East.

Unrelated, Arrieta is 22 days older than I am, apparently. (Marc Normandin)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2009-06-09 14:30:002009 Draft CoverageKiley, I think it's weirder to see Sanchez, because he has a lot less upside. But the weirdest, to me, is that the Orioles are so worried about signability: with the successes of picks like Wieters and Jake Arrieta, you'd think the Orioles would understand more than everyone else how to benefit from other teams tight wallets. (Bryan Smith)
 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Jake Arrieta has thrown 16,165 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2008 and 2016, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and the MLB Postseason. In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (95mph), also mixing in a Slider (90mph) and Curve (81mph). He also rarely throws a Fourseam Fastball (94mph) and Change (89mph).