Biographical

Portrait of Sam Selman

Sam Selman PRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 25)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
56.7 4.81 1.58 48 3 4 1 -0.1
Birth Date11-14-1990
Height6' 3"
Weight190 lbs
Age25 years, 7 months, 11 days
BatsR
ThrowsL
2012
2013
2014
2015
-0.12016
+proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA. (For previous card version with FAIR_RA, click here.)
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2012 IDA Rk 13 12 60.3 45 22 89 1 .275 109 6.7 3.3 0.1 13.3 69% .331 .204 1.11 2.79 2.09
2013 WIL A+ 27 27 125.3 88 85 128 3 .254 97 6.3 6.1 0.2 9.2 47% .262 .250 1.38 3.99 3.38
2014 NWA AA 28 16 93.0 81 49 87 7 .265 97 7.8 4.7 0.7 8.4 48% .287 .270 1.40 4.03 3.87
2014 OMA AAA 5 0 4.0 7 7 7 0 .259 95 15.8 15.8 0.0 15.8 33% .583 .357 3.50 5.45 13.50
2015 NWA AA 41 0 56.3 56 42 69 3 .256 102 8.9 6.7 0.5 11.0 53% .361 .285 1.74 4.10 5.27
2016 NWA AA 6 0 5.3 11 5 5 3 .246 18.6 8.4 5.1 8.4 46% .381 .421 3.00 11.29 15.19
2016 ROY Rk 1 0 1.3 1 1 2 0 .243 6.8 6.8 0.0 13.5 75% .250 .313 1.50 6.99 0.00

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 4 4.1 0.6 25 12 74.9 61 34 64 7 .259 1.27 3.78 4.11 9.7 1.0
80o 3.5 4 0.5 23 11 68.4 60 34 58 7 .273 1.37 4.23 4.6 5.3 0.6
70o 3.1 3.9 0.5 21 10 63.8 59 33 54 7 .284 1.45 4.57 4.96 2.5 0.3
60o 2.9 3.8 0.4 20 10 60.0 58 33 51 7 .293 1.51 4.86 5.28 0.5 0.1
50o 2.6 3.7 0.4 19 9 56.5 57 32 48 7 .302 1.58 5.13 5.58 -1.2 -0.1
40o 2.4 3.6 0.3 18 9 53.2 56 31 45 6 .310 1.64 5.41 5.88 -2.7 -0.3
30o 2.1 3.5 0.3 17 8 49.6 55 31 42 6 .320 1.72 5.72 6.22 -4.1 -0.4
20o 1.8 3.3 0.3 15 7 45.6 53 30 39 6 .330 1.81 6.09 6.62 -5.4 -0.6
10o 1.5 3.1 0.2 13 6 40.2 50 28 34 6 .346 1.93 6.62 7.19 -6.8 -0.7
Weighted Mean2.63.60.419955.95631486.3001.565.095.53-0.9-0.1

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 6/25/2016 12:09 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 4.1 4 0.6 25 12 74.9 61 34 63 7 .258 1.28 3.58 3.92 8.6 0.9
80o 3.6 3.8 0.5 23 11 68.4 60 34 57 7 .273 1.38 3.98 4.35 4.6 0.5
70o 3.2 3.7 0.5 21 10 63.8 59 33 54 7 .283 1.45 4.27 4.68 2.0 0.2
60o 3 3.6 0.4 20 10 60.0 58 33 50 7 .292 1.52 4.52 4.96 0.1 0.0
50o 2.7 3.5 0.4 19 9 56.5 57 32 48 7 .301 1.58 4.76 5.22 -1.5 -0.2
40o 2.5 3.4 0.4 18 9 53.2 56 31 45 6 .309 1.64 5.01 5.5 -3.0 -0.3
30o 2.2 3.3 0.3 17 8 49.6 55 31 42 6 .318 1.72 5.28 5.79 -4.4 -0.5
20o 2 3.2 0.3 15 7 45.6 53 29 38 6 .329 1.80 5.60 6.14 -5.7 -0.6
10o 1.6 2.9 0.2 13 6 40.2 50 28 34 6 .344 1.93 6.05 6.65 -7.3 -0.8
Weighted Mean2.73.50.419955.95631476.2991.564.735.19-1.3-0.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
10% 16% 6% 23% 27%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2017266714218140139851301846.3031.604.885.309.05.58.41.2-0.4
2018275613916127130771191746.3081.634.895.319.25.58.41.2-0.4
2019285513314109111671011546.3051.634.945.369.15.58.31.2-0.4
2020294512812919458841246.3081.664.995.419.35.78.31.2-0.4
2021304412812919354841246.3071.624.915.339.25.48.31.2-0.3
2022314412712909153841246.3061.614.855.269.15.38.41.2-0.2
2023323412410808247731146.3071.624.945.369.35.38.21.2-0.3
2024333412410798146731146.3071.614.905.329.25.28.31.3-0.2
2025343412310767844701146.3071.604.905.329.25.28.31.3-0.2

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
0.61.2out of baseballout of baseballout of baseball0.11.9

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
20150.61.2out of baseballout of baseballout of baseball0.11.9

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 86)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Chris Balcom-Miller 2014 0.00 DNP
2 90 David Purcey 2007 0.00 DNP
3 90 Chris Reed 2015 4.50
4 90 Matt DeSalvo 2006 0.00 DNP
5 89 Connor Graham 2011 0.00 DNP
6 89 Jose Oyervidez 2007 0.00 DNP
7 89 Tim Atherton 2015 0.00 DNP
8 88 Mitch Talbot 2009 0.00 DNP
9 88 Ariel Pena 2014 0.00 DNP
10 88 Bradley Holt 2012 0.00 DNP
11 88 Lucas Harrell 2010 6.75
12 88 Zachary Ward 2009 0.00 DNP
13 87 Kyle Parker 2010 0.00 DNP
14 87 Dan Smith 2009 0.00 DNP
15 87 Matt Loosen 2014 0.00 DNP
16 87 Tom Mastny 2006 5.51
17 87 Craig Italiano 2012 0.00 DNP
18 87 Jonny Venters 2010 3.25
19 87 James Adkins 2011 0.00 DNP
20 87 Patrick Overholt 2009 0.00 DNP
21 87 Michael Dennhardt 2015 0.00 DNP
22 86 Andrew Taylor 2012 11.57
23 86 Douglas Arguello 2010 0.00 DNP
24 86 John Mariotti 2010 0.00 DNP
25 86 Chris Lamb 2015 0.00 DNP
26 86 Donnie Veal 2010 0.00 DNP
27 86 Scott Snodgress 2015 0.00 DNP
28 86 Wynn Pelzer 2011 0.00 DNP
29 86 Chase Huchingson 2014 0.00 DNP
30 86 Aaron Northcraft 2015 0.00 DNP
31 86 Jimmy Barthmaier 2009 0.00 DNP
32 86 Cody Wheeler 2015 0.00 DNP
33 86 Glenn Woolard 2006 0.00 DNP
34 86 Eric Berger 2011 0.00 DNP
35 86 Luis Perez 2010 0.00 DNP
36 86 Tyler Pelland 2009 0.00 DNP
37 85 Daniel Moskos 2011 4.44
38 85 Andrew Brackman 2011 0.00
39 85 Frankie De La Cruz 2009 5.40
40 85 Nick Hagadone 2011 4.91
41 85 Ben Jukich 2008 0.00 DNP
42 85 Clint Nageotte 2006 27.00
43 85 Phil Dumatrait 2007 15.00
44 85 Fabian Williamson 2014 0.00 DNP
45 85 Jordan Norberto 2012 2.94
46 85 Josh Ravin 2013 0.00 DNP
47 85 Drake Britton 2014 0.00
48 85 Daniel Renken 2015 0.00 DNP
49 85 Casey Crosby 2014 0.00 DNP
50 85 Nik Turley 2015 0.00 DNP
51 85 Warwick Saupold 2015 0.00 DNP
52 85 Anthony Varvaro 2010 11.25
53 85 Camilo Vazquez 2009 0.00 DNP
54 85 Carlos Gutierrez 2012 0.00 DNP
55 85 Sean Thompson 2008 0.00 DNP
56 85 Matt Magill 2015 0.00 DNP
57 85 Matthew Tracy 2014 0.00 DNP
58 85 Jason Rice 2011 0.00 DNP
59 84 Maikel Cleto 2014 5.52
60 84 Aaron Miller 2013 0.00 DNP
61 84 Alfredo Simon 2006 0.00 DNP
62 84 Nathan Baker 2013 0.00 DNP
63 84 Bryan Morris 2012 3.60
64 84 Daniel Haigwood 2009 0.00 DNP
65 84 Jared Hughes 2011 4.09
66 84 Ryan Tatusko 2010 0.00 DNP
67 84 Dustin Nippert 2006 11.70
68 84 Mike Hauschild 2015 0.00 DNP
69 84 Craig Westcott 2011 0.00 DNP
70 84 Brad Peacock 2013 5.51
71 84 Chris Hernandez 2014 0.00 DNP
72 84 Matthew Murray 2015 0.00 DNP
73 84 Xavier Cedeno 2012 4.35
74 84 Kris Johnson 2010 0.00 DNP
75 84 Kyle Cofield 2012 0.00 DNP
76 84 Benjamin Fritz 2006 0.00 DNP
77 84 Michael Devaney 2008 0.00 DNP
78 84 Neal Musser 2006 0.00 DNP
79 84 Carlos Fisher 2008 0.00 DNP
80 84 Tim Crabbe 2013 0.00 DNP
81 84 Cole Kimball 2011 1.93
82 84 Eric Niesen 2011 0.00 DNP
83 84 Ryan McKeller 2009 0.00 DNP
84 84 Juan Oramas 2015 0.00 DNP
85 84 Drew Granier 2014 0.00 DNP
86 84 Brett Marshall 2015 0.00 DNP
87 84 Amaury Rivas 2011 0.00 DNP
88 83 Erik Goeddel 2014 2.70
89 83 Justin Jones 2010 0.00 DNP
90 83 Francisco Rosario 2006 6.26
91 83 Adrian Alaniz 2009 0.00 DNP
92 83 Kennil Gomez 2013 0.00 DNP
93 83 Clayton Mortensen 2010 6.00
94 83 Chris Bassitt 2014 3.94
95 83 Henry Sosa 2011 5.23
96 83 Fredy Deza 2008 0.00 DNP
97 83 Samuel Deduno 2009 0.00 DNP
98 83 Ryan Mullins 2009 0.00 DNP
99 83 Blake King 2012 0.00 DNP
100 83 Chorye Spoone 2011 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 Disney Pixar is producing an animated feature called Stop And Go featuring anthropomorphic traffic signals that set aside their differences to help guide a young man home; Sam Selman spent last summer auditioning for the part of “Walk.”
2015 Poor control has long plagued lefty Sam Selman, but a midseason move to the bullpen has him back on the prospect trail; he still issues too many walks, but with his fastball/slider combo playing up in short bursts, he now whiffs enough batters to make up for it.
2014 While his fastball is above average and his slider is projectable, lack of command of all pitches will conspire to keep Sam Selman in the bullpen if he ever does make the majors.
2013 Sam Selman was the Royals' second-round pick in 2012, and his mid-90s fastball and developing slider got him the Pioneer League Pitcher of the Year title, though the Royals would rather he got a better changeup.

BP Articles

Sam Selman is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsNick J. Faleris2015-01-26
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2015-01-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Kansas City RoyalsBen Carsley2014-11-19
Minor League Update: Games of October 24th-25th, 2014Jeff Moore2014-10-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, June 17Jeff Moore2014-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, May 21Jeff Moore2014-05-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, May 15Jeff Moore2014-05-16
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 2-4Jeff Moore2014-05-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, April 23Jeff Moore2014-04-24
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, April 16Jeff Moore2014-04-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Fool's Gold: American League Starting PitchersBen Carsley2013-09-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 29Zach Mortimer2013-08-30
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of August 23-25Zach Mortimer2013-08-26
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, August 19Zach Mortimer2013-08-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Sunday, July 28Zach Mortimer2013-07-29
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, July 8Zach Mortimer2013-07-09
This article requires BP Premium accessEyewitness Accounts: June 13, 2013BP Prospect Staff2013-06-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, April 22Zach Mortimer2013-04-23
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Backfields Notes: The Final ReportJason Parks2013-04-03
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2012-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Raising Draft StockKevin Goldstein2012-08-22


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-07-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)How strong is the Royals crop of young arms including Kyle Zimmer, Miguel Almonte, Jason Adam, Christian Binford, Sam Selman, and new acquisitions Brandon Finnegan and Foster Griffin? BTW, what can you tell me about Selman as he doesn't seem to get as much press as the others? Cheers
(LoyalRoyal from Kansas)
it's very strong. I really like Almonte and believe Adam will continue to progress. I like Finnegan quite a bit too. if Zimmer could prove healthy, then the crop would be even stronger. Given the control problems, I am not convinced Selman is a starter long term, and that's the biggest reason you don't hear more about him nationally. (Mark Anderson)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Sam Selman has thrown 173 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2014 and 2016, including pitches thrown in Spring Training and Fall/Winter Ball. In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (92mph) and Slider (79mph).