Biographical

Portrait of Sam Selman

Sam Selman PRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 23)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
92.7 5.30 1.67 74 6 6 0 -0.5
Birth Date11-14-1990
Height6' 3"
Weight195 lbs
Age23 years, 11 months, 8 days
BatsR
ThrowsL
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.52014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2012 IDA Rk 13 12 60.3 3.26 144 .204 .280 .357 .417 .275 .331 109 26.6 2.6 26.6 2.6
2013 WIL A+ 27 27 125.3 4.88 95 .250 .256 .332 .385 .254 .262 97 10.7 1.1 10.7 1.1
2014 NWA AA 28 16 93.0 4.86 92 .263 .256 .321 .379 .259 .287 103 6.0 0.6 6.0 0.6
2014 OMA AAA 5 0 4.0 1.68 166 .356 .277 .337 .409 .257 .583 96 2.6 0.3 2.6 0.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2012 IDA Rk 5 4 0 13 12 60.3 45 22 89 1 69% .331 6.7 3.3 0.1 13.3 1.11 2.09 26.6 2.6
2013 WIL A+ 11 9 0 27 27 125.3 88 85 128 3 47% .262 6.3 6.1 0.2 9.2 1.38 3.38 10.7 1.1
2014 OMA AAA 0 0 0 5 0 4.0 7 7 7 0 33% .583 15.8 15.8 0.0 15.8 3.50 13.50 2.6 0.3
2014 NWA AA 4 6 0 28 16 93.0 81 49 87 7 48% .287 7.8 4.7 0.7 8.4 1.40 3.87 6.0 0.6

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 7.6 6.8 0 24 24 115.4 95 57 91 9 .258 1.32 3.86 4.2 14.2 1.5
80o 6.8 6.9 0 23 23 107.3 96 58 85 10 .274 1.44 4.34 4.72 6.8 0.7
70o 6.2 6.9 0 22 22 101.7 96 58 81 10 .285 1.52 4.69 5.1 2.2 0.2
60o 5.7 6.9 0 21 21 97.0 97 58 77 10 .295 1.60 5.00 5.44 -1.4 -0.1
50o 5.3 6.9 0 20 20 92.6 97 58 73 10 .304 1.67 5.30 5.76 -4.4 -0.4
40o 4.9 6.9 0 19 19 88.4 96 58 70 10 .314 1.75 5.60 6.09 -7.1 -0.7
30o 4.4 6.9 0 18 18 84.0 96 58 67 10 .324 1.83 5.93 6.45 -9.7 -1.0
20o 4 6.8 0 17 17 78.9 95 58 63 10 .336 1.94 6.33 6.88 -12.2 -1.2
10o 3.3 6.8 0 15 15 72.2 94 57 57 9 .353 2.09 6.90 7.5 -15.1 -1.5
Weighted Mean5.36.80202092.39557739.3021.655.255.7-3.8-0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152471002828174176931351951.2951.554.895.329.14.87.01.0-0.4
2016256702222131131651131351.3021.504.574.979.04.57.80.90.2
201726570191911311562941251.3031.574.915.349.24.97.51.0-0.3
201827560191911111058951151.3021.524.655.058.94.77.70.90.1
201928560181810510651871151.3011.504.615.019.14.47.50.90.1
202029560181810410550861151.3021.504.655.059.14.37.51.00.1
202130560181810410450881151.3021.484.514.909.04.37.61.00.3
2022314501616959546801051.3011.494.554.959.04.47.61.00.2
202332450151590904177951.3011.464.434.819.04.17.70.90.3

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
0.40.82out of baseball00.63.9

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 85)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 94 Joe Gardner 2011 0.00 DNP
2 90 Alex Torres 2011 4.50
3 89 Jake Arrieta 2009 0.00 DNP
4 89 Connor Graham 2009 0.00 DNP
5 89 Zach Phillips 2010 0.00 DNP
6 89 Chris Archer 2012 5.22
7 89 Ariel Pena 2012 0.00 DNP
8 89 Aaron Northcraft 2013 0.00 DNP
9 88 Kyle Weiland 2010 0.00 DNP
10 88 Ubaldo Jimenez 2007 5.05
11 88 Brooks Brown 2008 0.00 DNP
12 88 Nick Barnese 2012 0.00 DNP
13 87 Chorye Spoone 2009 0.00 DNP
14 87 Chris Dwyer 2011 0.00 DNP
15 87 Justin Wilson 2011 0.00 DNP
16 87 Casey Crosby 2012 9.49
17 87 Aaron Miller 2011 0.00 DNP
18 87 Tyler Thornburg 2012 4.50
19 87 Sean West 2009 5.23
20 87 D.J. Mitchell 2010 0.00 DNP
21 87 Scott Snodgress 2013 0.00 DNP
22 86 Charles Brewer 2011 0.00 DNP
23 86 Dan Cortes 2010 5.06
24 86 Blake Wood 2009 0.00 DNP
25 86 Charlie Haeger 2007 8.74
26 86 Adam Warren 2011 0.00 DNP
27 86 Allen Webster 2013 8.90
28 86 Wade Davis 2009 4.71
29 85 Tyson Ross 2010 5.49
30 85 Jeremy Jeffress 2011 4.70
31 85 Erik Johnson 2013 5.20
32 85 Justin Grimm 2012 9.00
33 85 Greg Miller 2008 0.00 DNP
34 85 Jonny Venters 2008 0.00 DNP
35 85 Graham Stoneburner 2011 0.00 DNP
36 85 Simon Castro 2011 0.00 DNP
37 85 Jose Cisnero 2012 0.00 DNP
38 85 Matthew Andriese 2013 0.00 DNP
39 85 Jeurys Familia 2013 4.22
40 84 Jordan Zimmermann 2009 5.03
41 84 Gregory Infante 2011 0.00 DNP
42 84 Carlos Hernandez 2010 0.00 DNP
43 84 Adam Conley 2013 0.00 DNP
44 84 Lance Lynn 2010 0.00 DNP
45 84 Max Scherzer 2008 3.86
46 84 Jordan Walden 2011 3.28
47 84 Andres Santiago 2013 0.00 DNP
48 84 Chad Bettis 2012 0.00 DNP
49 84 Deryk Hooker 2012 0.00 DNP
50 84 P.J. Walters 2008 0.00 DNP
51 84 Antonio Bastardo 2009 6.85
52 83 Nick Maronde 2013 10.12
53 83 Mark Cohoon 2011 0.00 DNP
54 83 Robbie Ross 2012 2.77
55 83 Rafael Dolis 2011 0.00
56 83 Jess Todd 2009 7.66
57 83 AJ Schugel 2012 0.00 DNP
58 83 Wily Peralta 2012 2.48
59 83 Alex Cobb 2011 3.59
60 83 Kevin Siegrist 2013 0.45
61 83 Chris Reed 2013 0.00 DNP
62 83 Brett Marshall 2013 4.50
63 83 Zack Wheeler 2013 3.78
64 83 Jarrod Parker 2012 3.52
65 82 Aaron Poreda 2010 0.00 DNP
66 82 J.R. Graham 2013 0.00 DNP
67 82 Marc Rzepczynski 2009 3.96
68 82 Andrew Cashner 2010 5.13
69 82 Jake McGee 2010 1.80
70 82 Anthony Ferrara 2013 0.00 DNP
71 82 Anthony Ranaudo 2013 0.00 DNP
72 82 Frank Garces 2013 0.00 DNP
73 82 Alex Colome 2012 0.00 DNP
74 82 Boone Whiting 2013 0.00 DNP
75 82 Jose Quintana 2012 4.09
76 82 Fabian Williamson 2012 0.00 DNP
77 82 Travis Wood 2010 3.94
78 82 Anthony Fernandez 2013 0.00 DNP
79 82 Matt Magill 2013 8.13
80 82 Justin Masterson 2008 3.16
81 82 Adam Harben 2007 0.00 DNP
82 82 Evan Anundsen 2011 0.00 DNP
83 82 Trevor Rosenthal 2013 2.99
84 82 Kasey Kiker 2011 0.00 DNP
85 82 Gregory Peavey 2012 0.00 DNP
86 82 Oswaldo Sosa 2009 0.00 DNP
87 81 Michael O'Brien 2013 0.00 DNP
88 81 Andrew Chafin 2013 0.00 DNP
89 81 Donnie Veal 2008 0.00 DNP
90 81 Ryan Buch 2011 0.00 DNP
91 81 Kyle Cofield 2010 0.00 DNP
92 81 Kelvin De La Cruz 2012 0.00 DNP
93 81 Dillon Gee 2009 0.00 DNP
94 81 Matt Packer 2011 0.00 DNP
95 81 Scott Elbert 2009 5.03
96 81 T.J. House 2013 0.00 DNP
97 81 Wade LeBlanc 2008 8.02
98 81 Josh Outman 2008 4.91
99 81 Joshua Slaats 2012 0.00 DNP
100 81 Franklin Morales 2009 4.95

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Sam Selman was the Royals' second-round pick in 2012, and his mid-90s fastball and developing slider got him the Pioneer League Pitcher of the Year title, though the Royals would rather he got a better changeup.

BP Articles

Sam Selman is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, June 17Jeff Moore2014-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, May 21Jeff Moore2014-05-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, May 15Jeff Moore2014-05-16
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 2-4Jeff Moore2014-05-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, April 23Jeff Moore2014-04-24
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, April 16Jeff Moore2014-04-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Fool's Gold: American League Starting PitchersBen Carsley2013-09-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 29Zach Mortimer2013-08-30
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of August 23-25Zach Mortimer2013-08-26
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, August 19Zach Mortimer2013-08-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Sunday, July 28Zach Mortimer2013-07-29
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, July 8Zach Mortimer2013-07-09
This article requires BP Premium accessEyewitness Accounts: June 13, 2013BP Prospect Staff2013-06-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, April 22Zach Mortimer2013-04-23
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Backfields Notes: The Final ReportJason Parks2013-04-03
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2012-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Raising Draft StockKevin Goldstein2012-08-22


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-07-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)How strong is the Royals crop of young arms including Kyle Zimmer, Miguel Almonte, Jason Adam, Christian Binford, Sam Selman, and new acquisitions Brandon Finnegan and Foster Griffin? BTW, what can you tell me about Selman as he doesn't seem to get as much press as the others? Cheers
(LoyalRoyal from Kansas)
it's very strong. I really like Almonte and believe Adam will continue to progress. I like Finnegan quite a bit too. if Zimmer could prove healthy, then the crop would be even stronger. Given the control problems, I am not convinced Selman is a starter long term, and that's the biggest reason you don't hear more about him nationally. (Mark Anderson)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Sam Selman has thrown 74 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system in 2014, all of them occuring in Fall/Winter Ball. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (91mph) and Slider (81mph), also mixing in a Curve (75mph).