Biographical

Portrait of Jay Payton

Jay Payton CFMets

Mets Player Cards | Mets Team Audit | Mets Depth Chart

Career Summary
Years PA AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP
12 4489 .279 .323 .425 .256 17.7
Birth Date11-22-1972
Height5' 10"
Weight185 lbs
BatsR
ThrowsR
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
1998 NYN 25 15 23 22 2 7 1 0 0 8 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 .318 .348 .364 .257 0.6 -0.1 0.1
1999 NYN 26 13 9 8 1 2 1 0 0 3 0 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 .250 .333 .375 .222 -0.6 0.0 -0.1
2000 NYN 27 149 529 488 63 142 23 1 17 218 30 60 3 8 0 62 5 11 .291 .331 .447 .269 24.9 2.2 2.5
2001 NYN 28 104 386 361 44 92 16 1 8 134 18 52 5 2 0 34 4 3 .255 .298 .371 .229 -2.3 0.6 -0.2
2002 COL 29 47 181 170 36 57 14 4 8 103 8 20 3 0 0 28 3 3 .335 .376 .606 .296 12.9 1.3 1.4
2002 NYN 29 87 300 275 33 78 6 3 8 114 21 34 1 1 2 31 4 1 .284 .336 .415 .276 17.7 -3.7 1.4
2003 COL 30 157 658 600 93 181 32 5 28 307 43 77 7 3 5 89 6 4 .302 .354 .512 .274 20.4 14.5 3.5
2004 SDN 31 143 511 458 57 119 17 4 8 168 43 56 4 4 2 55 2 0 .260 .326 .367 .243 12.5 12.2 2.4
2005 BOS 32 55 144 133 24 35 7 0 5 57 10 14 0 1 0 21 0 0 .263 .312 .429 .258 4.2 1.3 0.6
2005 OAK 32 69 291 275 38 74 9 1 13 124 14 33 0 2 0 42 0 1 .269 .302 .451 .261 8.8 4.5 1.3
2006 OAK 33 142 588 557 78 165 32 3 10 233 22 52 4 5 0 59 8 4 .296 .325 .418 .265 24.4 2.4 2.6
2007 BAL 34 131 470 434 48 111 21 5 7 163 22 42 3 6 5 58 5 2 .256 .292 .376 .242 -0.6 13.2 1.2
2008 BAL 35 127 363 338 41 82 10 2 7 117 22 53 1 0 2 41 8 1 .243 .291 .346 .216 -4.3 13.3 0.9
2010 COL 37 20 36 35 3 12 4 1 0 18 1 4 0 0 0 1 1 0 .343 .361 .514 .287 0.3 -0.1 0.0
Career12594489415456111571933011917672555033232165224732.279.323.425.256119.061.417.7

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
1994 PTS A- 58 255 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .389 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1994 BIN AA 8 28 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .318 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1995 BIN AA 85 390 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .350 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1995 NOR AAA 50 215 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .247 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1996 SLU A+ 9 30 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .381 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1996 BIN AA 4 14 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .250 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1996 NOR AAA 55 168 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .336 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 NYN MLB 15 23 .257 .236 .313 .349 .235 .389 95 -0.1 0.6 -0.1 -0.1 -0.4 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.1
1998 SLU A+ 0 10 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .167 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 NOR AAA 0 349 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .288 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 NYN MLB 13 9 .222 .267 .348 .434 .258 .333 105 -0.4 0.2 0 0.0 -0.3 -0.6 -0.1 -0.6 -0.1
1999 SLU A+ 0 30 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .429 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 NOR AAA 0 157 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .390 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 NYN MLB 149 529 .269 .265 .337 .427 .258 .298 94 5.5 14.6 1.5 2.2 1.1 24.9 2.5 24.9 2.5
2001 NYN MLB 104 386 .229 .260 .325 .413 .256 .277 93 -13 10.4 1 0.6 0.7 -2.3 -0.2 -2.3 -0.2
2001 SLU A+ 4 20 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .400 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 COL MLB 47 181 .296 .254 .321 .399 .254 .345 114 6.9 4.6 -0.6 1.3 1.5 12.9 1.4 12.9 1.4
2002 NYN MLB 87 300 .276 .258 .325 .404 .256 .299 94 5.1 7.6 0.7 -3.7 2.3 17.7 1.4 17.7 1.4
2003 COL MLB 157 658 .274 .261 .329 .418 .260 .307 112 10.1 17.3 -4.3 14.5 -2.5 20.4 3.5 20.4 3.5
2004 SDN MLB 143 511 .243 .266 .334 .429 .262 .279 93 -9.6 15.2 1.1 12.2 0.3 12.5 2.4 12.5 2.4
2005 BOS MLB 55 144 .258 .261 .325 .418 .262 .261 106 -0.2 4.1 -0.9 1.3 0.5 4.2 0.6 4.2 0.6
2005 OAK MLB 69 291 .261 .261 .322 .413 .258 .264 99 0.3 8.4 -1.1 4.5 0.0 8.8 1.3 8.8 1.3
2006 OAK MLB 142 588 .265 .271 .335 .433 .258 .310 99 3.6 17.7 -3.2 2.4 3.1 24.4 2.6 24.4 2.6
2007 BAL MLB 131 470 .242 .265 .327 .415 .258 .266 101 -9.5 13.9 -2.8 13.2 -2.0 -0.6 1.2 -0.6 1.2
2007 NOR AAA 2 9 .406 .277 .360 .396 .280 .286 76 1.5 0.3 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 1.6 0.1 1.6 0.1
2008 BAL MLB 127 363 .216 .259 .326 .406 .254 .270 106 -17.1 10.5 -1 13.3 1.9 -4.3 0.9 -4.3 0.9
2010 COL MLB 20 36 .287 .258 .317 .405 .268 .387 102 1 1.0 -0.2 -0.1 -1.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0
2010 CSP AAA 116 470 .258 .278 .349 .433 .270 .351 111 -1.3 14.4 -3.6 -5.2 2.7 11.0 0.6 11.0 0.6

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
1994 BIN AA 28 3 7 1 0 0 1 2 3 1 1 .280 .357 .320 .040 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1994 PTS A- 255 47 80 16 2 3 37 23 18 10 2 .365 .446 .498 .132 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1995 NOR AAA 215 33 47 11 4 4 30 11 22 11 3 .240 .282 .398 .158 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1995 BIN AA 390 59 123 20 3 14 54 29 32 16 7 .345 .397 .535 .190 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1996 NOR AAA 168 30 47 6 3 6 26 11 25 10 1 .307 .365 .503 .196 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1996 SLU A+ 30 4 8 2 0 0 1 4 5 2 1 .308 .400 .385 .077 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1996 BIN AA 14 0 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 0 1 .200 .333 .200 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 NOR AAA 349 45 84 14 4 8 30 26 50 12 7 .261 .318 .404 .143 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 SLU A+ 10 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 .143 .400 .143 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 NYN MLB 23 2 7 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 .318 .348 .364 .045 .257 0.6 -0.1 0.1
1999 NOR AAA 157 27 56 13 2 8 35 12 13 2 2 .389 .439 .674 .285 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 SLU A+ 30 3 9 1 1 0 3 4 5 0 1 .346 .433 .462 .115 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 NYN MLB 9 1 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 2 .250 .333 .375 .125 .222 -0.6 0.0 -0.1
2000 NYN MLB 529 63 142 23 1 17 62 30 60 5 11 .291 .331 .447 .156 .269 24.9 2.2 2.5
2001 SLU A+ 20 7 6 3 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 .375 .500 .562 .188 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 NYN MLB 386 44 92 16 1 8 34 18 52 4 3 .255 .298 .371 .116 .229 -2.3 0.6 -0.2
2002 COL MLB 181 36 57 14 4 8 28 8 20 3 3 .335 .376 .606 .271 .296 12.9 1.3 1.4
2002 NYN MLB 300 33 78 6 3 8 31 21 34 4 1 .284 .336 .415 .131 .276 17.7 -3.7 1.4
2003 COL MLB 658 93 181 32 5 28 89 43 77 6 4 .302 .354 .512 .210 .274 20.4 14.5 3.5
2004 SDN MLB 511 57 119 17 4 8 55 43 56 2 0 .260 .326 .367 .107 .243 12.5 12.2 2.4
2005 BOS MLB 144 24 35 7 0 5 21 10 14 0 0 .263 .312 .429 .165 .258 4.2 1.3 0.6
2005 OAK MLB 291 38 74 9 1 13 42 14 33 0 1 .269 .302 .451 .182 .261 8.8 4.5 1.3
2006 OAK MLB 588 78 165 32 3 10 59 22 52 8 4 .296 .325 .418 .122 .265 24.4 2.4 2.6
2007 NOR AAA 9 3 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 .250 .333 .375 .125 .406 1.6 -0.1 0.1
2007 BAL MLB 470 48 111 21 5 7 58 22 42 5 2 .256 .292 .376 .120 .242 -0.6 13.2 1.2
2008 BAL MLB 363 41 82 10 2 7 41 22 53 8 1 .243 .291 .346 .104 .216 -4.3 13.3 0.9
2010 CSP AAA 470 62 142 36 5 6 74 25 47 13 3 .323 .365 .469 .146 .258 11.0 -5.2 0.6
2010 COL MLB 36 3 12 4 1 0 1 1 4 1 0 .343 .361 .514 .171 .287 0.3 -0.1 0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 1213 0.5326 0.5202 0.8508 0.6687 0.3492 0.9097 0.7222 0.1444
2010 114 0.5702 0.4561 0.9423 0.6000 0.2653 0.9487 0.9231 0.0577
Career13270.53580.51470.85870.66280.3420.91310.73950.137

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2010-07-25 2010-08-10 Minors 16 0 Left Trunk Contusion Ribs -
2009-01-01 2009-01-01 FA 0 0 Right Shoulder Surgery Labrum - Date Is Estimated 2009-01-01
2007-03-27 2007-04-20 15-DL 24 15 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring -
2001-05-08 2001-06-26 15-DL 49 46 Right Thigh Strain Hamstring -
1999-04-05 1999-06-08 60-DL 64 57 Left Shoulder Recovery From Surgery Labrum and Instability 1999-01-06 -
1999-01-06 1999-01-06 Off 0 0 Left Shoulder Surgery Labrum and Instability 1999-01-06 -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2008 BAL $5,000,000
2007 BAL $4,500,000
2006 OAK $4,000,000
2005 BOS, OAK $3,500,000
2004 SDN $1,500,000
2003 COL $1,850,000
2002 NYN $362,500
2002 COL $362,500
2001 NYN $290,000
2000 NYN $215,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
9 yrPrevious$21,580,000
9 yrTotal$21,580,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
9 y 128 dCraig Landis

Details
  • signed as a free agent from BAL 1/21/10 (minor-league contract)
  • signed as a free agent from OAK 12/06, 2 year/$9.5M (07-08), 07:$4.5M, 08:$5M
  • $0.25M 1-time assignment bonus
  • awards: $50K All-Star ($25K All-Star select), $0.1M MVP, WS MVP, $50K Gold Glove, LCS MVP, $25K SS
  • club exercised $4M 06 option 10/05
  • acquired in trade from BOS 7/05 designated for assignment 7/05 acquired in trade from SD 12/04
  • signed as a free agent from COL 1/04, 2 year/$5.5M (04-05)+4M 06 club option, 04:$1.5M, 05:$3.5M, 06:$4M club option $0.5M buyout
  • avoided arbitration 1/03, 1 year/$1.85M (03)
  • acquired in trade from NYM 7/02 signed 3/02 1 year/$362,500 (02) 94 1-29

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
Weighted Mean???????????.000.000.000.0000.0?0.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball

Comparable Players (Similarity Index )

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2011 An ill-timed workout injury kept veteran outfielder Jay Payton out of action in 2009, but the year off seemed to do him nothing but good as he tore through the Pacific Coast League and his September call-up in 2010.
2009 Yes, Payton does a great job in the outfield; a marginal center fielder will tend to do very well in left, as you can see by looking at Payton, or David DeJesus, or Johnny Damon. Payton has become a strictly leather player, unable to swing with any authority, particularly against right-handed pitchers, against whom he "slugged" .288 last year, extending a four-year downward trend in that stat. He retains some pop against lefties, but with a .287 OBP against them he's really not helping much against anybody. A free agent at this writing, he shouldn't and won't attract a great deal of interest.
2008 Payton didn't hit as well as the Orioles thought he would when they signed him for two years of starter money. Kevin Millar notwithstanding, most players experience significant declines in their mid 30s, and Payton wasn't an All-Star to begin with. He's a good fourth outfielder, as he can handle center and is a plus defender in left, but what you see is what you get from him at the plate. The only thing that changed in Payton's production in 2007 was that his BABIP snapped back to his normal level (.268), from a fluke high of .312 in 2006.
2007 Most of the writers in this book have something of a man-crush on Billy Beane. That`s probably no secret. Simultaneously, most of us can`t figure out what Beane saw in Jay Payton. In July 2005, the A`s received Payton and cash when they sent Chad Bradford to the Red Sox. Payton did hit 13 homers in 69 games with the A`s, balancing (somewhat) his .302 on-base percentage. With his speed and his decent defense, Payton`s not a bad fourth outfielder, but he`s not good enough to play in 142 games for a good team. With Bradley and Kotsay frequently unavailable, that`s just what he did last year for the A`s. Payton signed with the Orioles in November, which is just so Orioles-ish, isn`t it?
2006 Payton is penciled into the Oakland lineup as of this writing, but like Kielty, he`s not someone that a bigger budget team would stand to play every day, especially since his defense has drifted toward left-field average. The A`s elected to pick up his $4 million option, a borderline call.
2005 This is what happens when you're not willing to go that extra buck. The Padres were hot after Mike Cameron following the 2003 season, envisioning a graceful center fielder who could cover Petco Park's vast expanses and rope line drives off the Western Metal building in left. When the Mets beat them out with an affordable three-year, $19.5 million deal, the Pads settled for Payton. Ignore Payton's defensive numbers, a function largely of covering for Ryan Klesko in left; Payton's an average defensive center fielder at best who was so bad at bat Terrence Long became the more palatable alternative. Part of the package traded to Boston for Dave Roberts.
2003 At the time, the John Thomson trade was, as Ned Flanders might say, a real noodle-scratcher. Thomson had a history of injury and off-field problems, his success in 2001 was exaggerated by late-season starts against weak lineups, and his one-year deal was going to expire after the season. So ODowd traded him at high value. Going from Coors to Shea, Thomson was expected to flourish but he flopped, and the Mets chose not to bring him back for 2003. Meanwhile, Payton hit .335 for the Rockies. Hes at peak value now, so dealing him between now and the end of July to some AL near-contender with a weak outfield would make sense.
2002 Payton is running out of chances. Injuries wiped out almost half of his 2001 season, and his play the rest of the year was a disappointment after a somewhat promising rookie season. Poor pitch selection is his biggest problem at the plate; hes constantly swinging at pitches that he can hit but cant drive. His hold on a job is tenuous, as the Mets will use Roger Cedeno in center field if they acquire a corner outfielder.
2001 It really all depends on what organization you call home. The Giants' Calvin Murray is a similar player to Jay Payton: both guys hit left-handers well and can play a good center field (although Payton can't throw). Because the Mets had no other options, Payton played every day and got some Rookie of the Year votes. Murray was Marvin Benard's Legs. Payton is stretched as a regular but would make a fantastic fourth outfielder.
2000 His brief time in Norfolk indicated that he can still hit, but the injuries have pushed him out of the Mets plans. If he can stay healthy, the team will be happy to give him a chance as their fifth outfielder. At this point, Paytons arms are barely held together and don't seem capable of enduring a season. He must find a way, by trade or free agency, to get to the AL and the relative safety of the DH.
1999 I would love to be wrong, but I don't believe Payton is ever going to be truly healthy. He rips his elbow up on basic things like hard swings or routine throws, and his offensive performance this year indicates he hadn't really recovered. The Mets should take anything they get from Payton at this point as a bonus.
1997 Hes really a center fielder, but after having the medial collateral ligament in his throwing elbow repaired following the 95 season, followed by bone chip removal in the spring, he was kept away from having to throw the ball. He could still hit it, and continued in his high-average, moderate power, steal some bases way. Hes fully recovered from the injuries and will be back in the outfield in 97.
1996  Tore up the Eastern League for most of the summer before faltering badly upon a promotion to AAA. He's only 23 and is considered the top hitting prospect in the organization. He will probably debut sometime during the season. Payton may not be the phenom that the Mets think he is. His late season flop in Triple-A is reminiscent of Cliff Floyd in 1993, although Payton is two years older and hit for less power. If the trend continues, he'll have a promising '96 season, then break 8 bones in a freak accident in 1997. Be careful, Jay.

BP Articles

Jay Payton is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: The Revolving Door RankingsZachary Levine2014-04-03
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The BP Wayback Machine: Grand Ole OpryJohn Perrotto2012-12-07
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This article requires BP Premium accessWestern Front: Runs? We Don't Need No Stinkin' Runs!Geoff Young2012-02-21
Baseball ProGUESTus: Silly Goose: Mariano Rivera and the Myth of the Seven-Out SaveKevin Baker2011-10-31
This article requires BP Premium accessAhead in the Count: Battle for the BeltwayMatt Swartz2011-03-14
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Cardinals, D'backs, RockiesChristina Kahrl2010-09-25
This article requires BP Premium accessAhead in the Count: The Cost of OPPMatt Swartz2010-05-17
Fantasy Beat: Depth Chart/PFM UpdateClay Davenport2010-03-17
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This article requires BP Premium accessAhead in the Count: Slugging on Balls in PlayMatt Swartz2009-09-23
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Outside and Looking InJohn Perrotto2009-05-03
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: The DiSarsJoe Sheehan2009-04-15
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Prospectus Hit List: Week of July 17Jay Jaffe2005-07-19
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: July 8-14Christina Kahrl2005-07-15
Prospectus Notebook: Friday EditionBaseball Prospectus2005-07-08
Prospectus Notebook: Friday EditionBaseball Prospectus2005-07-01
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Reversal of FortuneJoe Sheehan2005-06-27
Prospectus Hit List: Week of June 19, 2005Jay Jaffe2005-06-21
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: The Cost of InjuriesWill Carroll2005-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: May 24-June 12, 2005Christina Kahrl2005-06-16
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Forging InjuriesWill Carroll2005-05-18
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Game of the Week: Tampa Bay Devil Rays @ Boston Red Sox, 4/17/05Jonah Keri2005-04-19
This article requires BP Premium access2005--Setting the Stage: The ChampsJohn Erhardt2005-04-03
Team Health Reports: Boston Red SoxWill Carroll2005-03-29
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Wests, etc.Christina Kahrl2005-03-25
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Matchups: The Transient All-Star TeamJim Baker2005-02-18
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Offseason - The EastsChristina Kahrl2005-02-14
Prospectus Triple Play: Boston Red Sox, Cincinnati Reds, San Diego PadresBaseball Prospectus2004-12-27
This article requires BP Premium accessCan Of Corn: More Free AgentsDayn Perry2004-11-24
National League Gold Glove Awards: What the Numbers SayClay Davenport2004-11-04
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Matchups: The Gerald Williams Mystery, and Other Strange TalesJim Baker2004-09-28
This article requires BP Premium accessTeams: A Critical Guide: Rare Dick Weik Mention EditionSteven Goldman2004-09-22
This article requires BP Premium accessTeams: A Critical Guide: In Which A Myth is ShatteredSteven Goldman2004-08-31
Prospectus Today: Letting Go in HoustonJoe Sheehan2004-08-18
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Bullet Point MondayJoe Sheehan2004-07-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTeams: A Critical Guide: National League, First-Half EditionSteven Goldman2004-07-09
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Petco PartyJoe Sheehan2004-06-21
Breaking Balls: Strength Up The MiddleDerek Zumsteg2004-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Bag ManJoe Sheehan2004-04-21
Prospectus Triple Play: Boston Red Sox, Cincinnati Reds, San Diego PadresBaseball Prospectus2004-04-14
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: NL PreviewJoe Sheehan2004-04-05
This article requires BP Premium accessTeam Health Reports: San Diego PadresWill Carroll2004-04-02
Prospectus Triple Play: Baltimore Orioles, Colorado Rockies, New York MetsBaseball Prospectus2004-03-17
Prospectus Triple Play: Boston Red Sox, Cincinnati Reds, San Diego PadresBaseball Prospectus2004-03-16
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Leave it on the TableJoe Sheehan2004-03-04
Prospectus Triple Play: Boston Red Sox, Cincinnati Reds, San Diego PadresBaseball Prospectus2004-03-02
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Over the TopJoe Sheehan2004-03-02
Prospectus Triple Play: Boston Red Sox, Cincinnati Reds, Florida Marlins, New York Yankees, Pittsburgh Pirates, San Diego PadresBaseball Prospectus2004-02-17
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: January 12-February 6, 2004Christina Kahrl2004-02-11
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Worst Free-Agent SigningsJoe Sheehan2004-01-22
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The WestsBaseball Prospectus2004-01-16
Prospectus Triple Play: Baltimore Orioles, Colorado Rockies, New York MetsBaseball Prospectus2003-09-10
Prospectus Triple Play: Baltimore Orioles, Colorado Rockies, New York MetsBaseball Prospectus2003-07-16
Analyze This: Baltimore Orioles, Colorado Rockies, New York MetsBaseball Prospectus2003-06-18
Prospectus Triple Play: Baltimore Orioles, Colorado Rockies, New York MetsBaseball Prospectus2003-05-21
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: New CausesJoe Sheehan2003-04-04
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Desert Doodles, Part IIJoe Sheehan2003-03-13
Prospectus Feature: PECOTA At Altitude: A Review of Major League Hitters in ColoradoNate Silver2003-02-21
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Transaction Analysis, The WestsChristina Kahrl2003-02-05
This article requires BP Premium accessTeam Health Reports: Team Health Report: Colorado RockiesWill Carroll2003-01-31
Prospectus Roundtable: Jeff Kent, Kevin Millwood, and Erik EstradaBaseball Prospectus2002-12-20
Internet Baseball Awards: NL Player of the YearGreg Spira2002-10-26
Transaction Analysis: August 15-18, 2002Christina Kahrl2002-08-21
Transaction Analysis: July 30-31, 2002Christina Kahrl2002-08-02
Prospectus Feature: National League PredictionsBaseball Prospectus2002-03-30
Transaction Analysis: March 6-13, 2002Christina Kahrl2002-03-18
My IBA Ballot: Our Staff Makes the CallMichael Wolverton2000-10-23


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2009-02-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is Fernando Martinez the next Jay Payton and should the Mets sign Abreu to play in the outfield?
(mwashuc06 from Utica,NY)
I'm willing to give Omar Minaya a lot of credit for holding onto Martinez, but I also think there's no need to rush him to find out if he's just Jay Payton or perhaps closer to his top comp (the ubiquitous Bobby Abreu). As a result, I think it does make sense for the Mets to go get an additional outfielder, but that's in part because I wasn't a big Ryan Church fan before his mishaps, and I'm less so now. Filling one outfield corner with "staff" is fine, but both? (Christina Kahrl)
2009-01-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think of the Orioles chances this year, with the addition of Uehara and Pie?
(murber74 from Gaithersburg, MD)
I like both acquisitions. The Orioles need starting pitchers, because the cattle call behind Jeremy Guthrie doesn't engender very much confidence that this team can finish ahead of Norfolk, and because Uehara seems to be the cream of this year's Japanese import crop. As for Pie, I applaud the team's decision to acquire a player with legitimate upside instead of going the Jay Payton route -- the functional equivalent of taking the Barney-guarding job (http://www.snpp.com/episodes/3F14.html) -- and think that he'll benefit with the change of scenery, though putting his bat in left may present problems as it raises the offensive bar a bit.

Memo to the dude who's now submitted the Omar Vizquel question for the fourth time -- I've got it, and you're not improving your chances by clogging the chat queue, you're hurting them. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-07-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Christina, thanks as always for the chats and TA's. What do you think of the O's position (or posturing) of hanging onto Roberts and Sherrill through the deadline? I realize the "magical .500" may help with the fan-base..still, not sure if their value can be much higher.
(Tim from DC)
It's always hard with family-run outfits, because while I'd normally say ".500 will come with sensible long-term management," Andy MacPhail has to be only too aware of how many interoffice assassinations litter this franchise's recent past. If they're serious about themselves, and really dominating their market, they'll hold out for the best deal possible. Roberts isn't a rental, he's already under contract for 2009, and that's worth something (just as Teixeira was last year, for the same reason). Similarly, Sherrill's under control through arbitration for two more seasons; that's worth a lot the way reliever pricing is going. So it's worth it to the Orioles to listen, but it's also worth it to them to walk away, because these two will still have value in trade this winter, next spring, or at next year's deadline. Jay Payton and Kevin Millar, not so much, so if they can find takers, they should be in a giving mood. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-01-17 14:00:00 (link to chat)What is scarier, Tike Redman in center, or moving Markakis to center and playing Gibbons in the outfield?
(TGisriel from Baltimore)
Anything that involves 500 PA for Jay Payton is scarier than any of those things. (Christina Kahrl)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2008-10-02 11:00:00Thursday Playoff GamesAs Corey Hart takes one for the team...

"Mike (Jax, FL): Corey Hart has been more like Jay Payton lately then anyone I can recall. He's awful against any slider pitcher and seems lost since mid August. Am I crazy to want him moved down in the order?"

As bad as Hart has been over the last several weeks, I'd never saddle a player with a Payton comparison. I saw Payton make mistakes as a Met worthy of a stern lecture from a Little League coach, such as the time he ran from between second and third base back to first without touching second on a fly ball that was caught and was called out. (Jay Jaffe)
 

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