Biographical

Portrait of John Stilson

John Stilson PBlue Jays

Blue Jays Player Cards | Blue Jays Team Audit | Blue Jays Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 23)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
48.3 4.70 1.46 40 2 2 1 0.0
Birth Date7-28-1990
Height6' 3"
Weight205 lbs
Age24 years, 2 months, 23 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
0.02014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2012 DUN A+ 13 13 54.3 4.33 117 .232 .263 .325 .381 .248 .331 110 9.7 1.0 9.7 1.0
2012 NHP AA 17 9 50.0 5.10 88 .289 .262 .330 .396 .263 .322 103 1.2 0.1 1.2 0.1
2013 NHP AA 2 0 2.3 -0.08 202 .255 .248 .329 .404 .272 .750 112 1.8 0.2 1.8 0.2
2013 BUF AAA 33 0 47.3 3.65 118 .208 .255 .325 .382 .253 .268 102 7.6 0.8 7.6 0.8
2014 BUF AAA 25 0 34.0 4.81 93 .260 .259 .329 .388 .250 .337 100 1.4 0.1 1.4 0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2012 DUN A+ 3 0 0 13 13 54.3 56 19 47 2 52% .331 9.3 3.1 0.3 7.8 1.38 2.82 9.7 1.0
2012 NHP AA 2 4 1 17 9 50.0 54 23 44 6 41% .322 9.7 4.1 1.1 7.9 1.54 5.04 1.2 0.1
2013 BUF AAA 6 2 4 33 0 47.3 36 15 47 3 53% .268 6.8 2.9 0.6 8.9 1.08 2.09 7.6 0.8
2013 NHP AA 0 0 1 2 0 2.3 3 0 6 0 50% .750 11.6 0.0 0.0 23.1 1.29 3.86 1.8 0.2
2014 BUF AAA 2 0 1 25 0 34.0 37 18 32 2 45% .337 9.8 4.8 0.5 8.5 1.62 3.18 1.4 0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-06-26 - Minors - - Right Shoulder Surgery Labrum -
2014-05-30 2014-06-10 Minors 11 0 - Not Disclosed -
2013-04-05 2013-05-14 Minors 39 0 - Not Disclosed - -
2012-07-28 2012-08-15 Minors 18 0 Right Shoulder Impingement - -
2011-04-01 2011-04-01 Coll 0 0 Right Shoulder Tear Labrum - Dates Are Estimated -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 3.6 3 0.9 28 9 68.0 55 23 56 7 .254 1.15 3.37 3.67 12.1 1.2
80o 3.1 2.8 0.8 25 8 61.0 54 22 50 7 .270 1.25 3.82 4.15 7.5 0.8
70o 2.8 2.7 0.7 23 8 56.1 53 22 46 7 .282 1.33 4.14 4.5 4.7 0.5
60o 2.5 2.6 0.6 22 7 52.1 51 21 43 7 .292 1.39 4.43 4.82 2.5 0.3
50o 2.3 2.5 0.5 20 7 48.4 50 21 40 6 .301 1.46 4.70 5.11 0.9 0.1
40o 2.1 2.4 0.5 19 6 44.8 48 20 37 6 .310 1.53 4.98 5.41 -0.6 -0.1
30o 1.8 2.3 0.4 17 6 41.0 46 19 34 6 .321 1.60 5.28 5.74 -2.0 -0.2
20o 1.6 2.1 0.4 15 5 36.8 44 18 30 6 .332 1.69 5.65 6.14 -3.3 -0.3
10o 1.2 1.9 0.3 13 4 31.1 40 17 26 5 .349 1.82 6.17 6.7 -4.5 -0.5
Weighted Mean2.32.50.520747.64820396.2991.444.665.061.10.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152444139101019833941146.3021.303.844.178.72.98.41.01.1
2016255524913130125421211746.2971.294.014.368.72.98.41.21.1
2017266525314138139451211846.3031.344.154.519.12.97.91.21.0
2018275414412115110371051446.2961.273.834.168.62.98.21.11.3
2019285414312113109351031446.2981.273.814.148.72.88.21.11.3
2020295414312113110341021446.2981.283.864.198.82.78.11.11.2
202130541411110910633971446.2981.283.874.218.82.78.01.21.1
202231441401110510231921346.2981.273.884.228.82.77.91.11.1
2023325414111108103311011346.2971.243.653.978.62.68.41.11.4

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
4.44.917.312.110.911.660

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 85)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Chris Reed 2013 0.00 DNP
2 92 Lance Lynn 2010 0.00 DNP
3 91 Zach Stewart 2010 0.00 DNP
4 91 Josh Lindblom 2010 0.00 DNP
5 91 Wily Peralta 2012 2.48
6 90 Trey McNutt 2013 0.00 DNP
7 89 James Simmons 2010 0.00 DNP
8 89 Chad Rogers 2013 0.00 DNP
9 88 Max Scherzer 2008 3.86
10 88 Matt Packer 2011 0.00 DNP
11 88 Mike Montgomery 2013 0.00 DNP
12 88 Nestor Molina 2012 0.00 DNP
13 87 Jess Todd 2009 7.66
14 87 Allen Webster 2013 8.90
15 87 Jaime Garcia 2010 3.53
16 87 Andres Santiago 2013 0.00 DNP
17 87 Jeurys Familia 2013 4.22
18 86 Tyson Ross 2010 5.49
19 86 Jon Niese 2010 5.03
20 86 Jarrod Parker 2012 3.52
21 86 Scott Barnes 2011 0.00 DNP
22 86 Justin Wilson 2011 0.00 DNP
23 86 Matt Magill 2013 8.13
24 86 Jordan Zimmermann 2009 5.03
25 86 Anthony Swarzak 2009 6.56
26 86 Jordan Walden 2011 3.28
27 86 Jake McGee 2010 1.80
28 86 Dan Cortes 2010 5.06
29 85 P.J. Walters 2008 0.00 DNP
30 85 Luis Avilan 2013 1.80
31 85 Alex Torres 2011 4.50
32 85 Aaron Miller 2011 0.00 DNP
33 85 Casey Crosby 2012 9.49
34 85 Jose Quintana 2012 4.09
35 85 Adam Conley 2013 0.00 DNP
36 85 Kyle Hendricks 2013 0.00 DNP
37 85 Erik Johnson 2013 5.20
38 85 Wade LeBlanc 2008 8.02
39 85 Chris Withrow 2012 0.00 DNP
40 85 Kris Medlen 2009 4.52
41 85 Drew Smyly 2012 4.35
42 85 Chris Dwyer 2011 0.00 DNP
43 85 Phillippe Aumont 2012 3.68
44 85 Tim Alderson 2012 0.00 DNP
45 85 Adam Warren 2011 0.00 DNP
46 84 Tanner Roark 2010 0.00 DNP
47 84 Jay Jackson 2011 0.00 DNP
48 84 Kyle Gibson 2011 0.00 DNP
49 84 Zach McAllister 2011 8.15
50 84 Luis Marte 2010 0.00 DNP
51 84 Tyler Pill 2013 0.00 DNP
52 84 Matthew Andriese 2013 0.00 DNP
53 84 Blake Wood 2009 0.00 DNP
54 84 Brett Marshall 2013 4.50
55 84 Wade Davis 2009 4.71
56 84 Donnie Veal 2008 0.00 DNP
57 84 Zach Putnam 2011 6.14
58 84 Trevor Rosenthal 2013 2.99
59 84 Jared Lansford 2010 0.00 DNP
60 84 Nick Adenhart 2010 0.00 DNP
61 84 Jake Odorizzi 2013 3.94
62 84 Nick Maronde 2013 10.12
63 84 D.J. Mitchell 2010 0.00 DNP
64 84 Alex Cobb 2011 3.59
65 84 Dallas Beeler 2012 0.00 DNP
66 84 Beau Jones 2010 0.00 DNP
67 84 Nicholas Struck 2013 0.00 DNP
68 83 Simon Castro 2011 0.00 DNP
69 83 Cody Martin 2013 0.00 DNP
70 83 Eric Jokisch 2013 0.00 DNP
71 83 Chris Mason 2008 0.00 DNP
72 83 Gregory Peavey 2012 0.00 DNP
73 83 Chuck Lofgren 2009 0.00 DNP
74 83 Casey Kelly 2013 0.00 DNP
75 83 T.J. McFarland 2012 0.00 DNP
76 83 Travis Wood 2010 3.94
77 83 Zach Phillips 2010 0.00 DNP
78 83 Anthony Ranaudo 2013 0.00 DNP
79 83 Forrest Snow 2012 0.00 DNP
80 83 Chris Archer 2012 5.22
81 83 Deck McGuire 2012 0.00 DNP
82 83 Seth Rosin 2012 0.00 DNP
83 83 David Price 2009 5.05
84 83 Trevor Bell 2010 5.16
85 83 Kyle Drabek 2011 6.18
86 83 Chad Bettis 2012 0.00 DNP
87 82 Rudy Owens 2011 0.00 DNP
88 82 Justin Grimm 2012 9.00
89 82 Kevin Slowey 2007 5.26
90 82 Tony Cingrani 2013 3.18
91 82 Jake Arrieta 2009 0.00 DNP
92 82 Lisalverto Bonilla 2013 0.00 DNP
93 82 Deryk Hooker 2012 0.00 DNP
94 82 Andrew Chafin 2013 0.00 DNP
95 82 Carlos Carrasco 2010 4.03
96 82 Greg Miller 2008 0.00 DNP
97 82 Dana Eveland 2007 14.40
98 82 Joe Gardner 2011 0.00 DNP
99 82 Graham Stoneburner 2011 0.00 DNP
100 82 Scott Diamond 2010 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 John Stilson was a potential first-round pick in 2011 before shoulder trouble knocked him down draft boards. Toronto signed him out of the third round and he reached Double-A in his debut.

BP Articles

John Stilson is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
PECOTA Takes on Prospects: Introduction: I Now Pronounce You Scout and StatAndrew Koo2014-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Spring Training Games of March 25Jeff Moore2014-03-26
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Spring Training Games of March 11Jeff Moore2014-03-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Relief Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-03-05
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Toronto Blue Jays Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-12-06
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 19, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-19
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Spring Training Scouting ReportsZach Mortimer2013-03-27
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Toronto Blue Jays Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2012-12-13
Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 23Kevin Goldstein2012-05-24
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of April 11Kevin Goldstein2012-04-12


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Former Aggies pitcher John Stilson is pitching pretty well for Buffalo AAA. When is he likely to get the call to Toronto? There seem to be conflicting reports on what his best secondary pitch is, is it his split/change or curve and how would you grade them?
(JJ from Work)
Not certain on the when, but both his breaking ball and changeup can flash plus. (Jason Cole)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, John Stilson threw 19 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system in 2013, all of them occuring in Fall/Winter Ball. In 2013, he relied primarily on his Slider (88mph), Fourseam Fastball (97mph) and Change (89mph).