Biographical

Portrait of Adam Morgan

Adam Morgan PPhillies

Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
82.0 4.56 1.36 66 4 6 0 0.1
Birth Date2-27-1990
Height6' 1"
Weight195 lbs
Age24 years, 7 months, 25 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2010
2011
2012
2013
0.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2011 WPT A- 11 11 53.7 4.23 104 .230 .251 .329 .352 .260 .250 94 5.2 0.5 5.2 0.5
2012 CLR A+ 21 20 123.0 3.60 129 .211 .249 .322 .363 .247 .307 107 27.5 2.7 27.5 2.7
2012 REA AA 6 6 35.7 3.93 115 .230 .260 .329 .391 .261 .317 103 5.2 0.6 5.2 0.6
2013 LEH AAA 16 16 71.3 5.12 89 .288 .255 .320 .387 .252 .320 101 3.7 0.4 3.9 0.4
2013 PHL Rk 2 2 7.0 1.84 163 .196 .248 .316 .342 .246 .333 102 3.0 0.3 3.0 0.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2011 WPT A- 3 3 0 11 11 53.7 42 14 43 2 51% .250 7.0 2.3 0.3 7.2 1.04 2.01 5.2 0.5
2012 CLR A+ 4 10 0 21 20 123.0 103 28 140 7 45% .307 7.5 2.0 0.5 10.2 1.07 3.29 27.5 2.7
2012 REA AA 4 1 0 6 6 35.7 34 11 29 2 38% .317 8.6 2.8 0.5 7.3 1.26 3.53 5.2 0.6
2013 LEH AAA 2 7 0 16 16 71.3 84 26 49 10 39% .320 10.6 3.3 1.3 6.2 1.54 4.04 3.9 0.4
2013 PHL Rk 0 1 0 2 2 7.0 6 0 8 0 44% .333 7.7 0.0 0.0 10.3 0.86 2.57 3.0 0.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-03-30 2014-04-02 Minors 3 0 Right Shoulder Recovery for Surgery Small Partial Rotator Cuff Tear 2014-01-08 -
2014-01-08 2014-01-08 Minors 0 0 Right Shoulder Surgery Small Partial Rotator Cuff Tear 2014-01-08 -
2013-05-16 2013-07-22 Minors 67 0 Right Shoulder Strain Small Partial Rotator Cuff Tear - -
2012-06-07 2012-06-22 Minors 15 11 - Not Disclosed - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 6.4 6 0 20 20 103.3 85 28 83 11 .271 1.10 3.34 3.63 18.0 1.8
80o 5.7 5.9 0 18 18 95.7 85 28 77 11 .286 1.18 3.75 4.08 11.4 1.2
70o 5.2 5.9 0 17 17 90.4 85 28 73 11 .298 1.25 4.06 4.41 7.2 0.7
60o 4.8 5.8 0 17 17 86.0 84 28 69 11 .307 1.31 4.32 4.69 4.1 0.4
50o 4.4 5.8 0 16 16 81.9 83 28 66 11 .316 1.36 4.57 4.97 1.4 0.1
40o 4.1 5.7 0 15 15 77.9 83 28 63 11 .325 1.42 4.82 5.24 -1.0 -0.1
30o 3.7 5.6 0 14 14 73.7 82 27 59 11 .335 1.48 5.10 5.54 -3.2 -0.3
20o 3.3 5.5 0 13 13 68.9 80 27 56 11 .347 1.55 5.43 5.9 -5.5 -0.6
10o 2.8 5.3 0 12 12 62.4 78 26 50 10 .363 1.66 5.90 6.41 -8.1 -0.8
Weighted Mean4.45.70161681.282276511.3141.354.534.931.70.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201525101003131201192581782842.3091.254.064.418.62.68.01.31.3
2016269902828172165461542242.3131.233.924.268.72.48.11.21.5
2017277802424142144391241942.3241.294.314.689.12.57.91.20.5
2018287702222129129351111642.3211.274.184.549.02.47.81.10.7
2019296702020119116331031542.3161.264.074.438.82.57.81.10.8
2020306602020116111301041542.3121.223.904.238.62.38.11.21.1
2021316602020118113311041542.3121.223.864.198.62.48.01.11.1
202232660181810610328901342.3131.243.974.318.72.47.61.10.9
2023335501717999726831342.3131.254.004.358.82.47.61.20.8

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
4.71.74.13.81.72.716

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 89)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 98 Simon Castro 2012 0.00 DNP
2 95 John Ely 2010 5.67
3 94 Ryan Mullins 2008 0.00 DNP
4 94 Brad Peacock 2012 0.00 DNP
5 93 Jose Ortegano 2012 0.00 DNP
6 93 James Gillheeney 2012 0.00 DNP
7 93 Paul Kometani 2007 0.00 DNP
8 92 Matt Maloney 2008 0.00 DNP
9 92 J.J. Hoover 2012 2.05
10 92 Jeff Locke 2012 5.50
11 91 Christian Friedrich 2012 6.48
12 91 Aaron Crow 2011 3.05
13 91 Yoervis Medina 2013 3.04
14 91 Alex Wilson 2011 0.00 DNP
15 91 Juan Nicasio 2011 4.40
16 91 P.J. Walters 2009 10.69
17 91 Hector Noesi 2011 4.63
18 91 Steve Garrison 2011 0.00
19 91 Brandon Workman 2013 4.97
20 90 Erik Davis 2011 0.00 DNP
21 90 Yohan Flande 2010 0.00 DNP
22 90 Drew Granier 2013 0.00 DNP
23 90 Erik Goeddel 2013 0.00 DNP
24 90 Nick Tepesch 2013 5.03
25 90 Ryan Pope 2010 0.00 DNP
26 90 Tommy Milone 2011 3.81
27 90 Sam LeCure 2008 0.00 DNP
28 89 Blake Wood 2010 5.26
29 89 Bobby Parnell 2009 5.71
30 89 Felix Doubront 2012 5.31
31 89 Scott Diamond 2011 5.77
32 89 Andrew Carraway 2011 0.00 DNP
33 89 Drake Britton 2013 3.86
34 89 Omar Poveda 2012 0.00 DNP
35 89 Tyler Robertson 2012 5.40
36 89 Heath Rollins 2009 0.00 DNP
37 89 Wade LeBlanc 2009 3.69
38 89 Ariel Pena 2013 0.00 DNP
39 89 Jeff Manship 2009 5.97
40 89 Scott Barnes 2012 4.26
41 89 Brad Mills 2009 14.09
42 88 Roenis Elias 2013 0.00 DNP
43 88 Micah Owings 2007 4.78
44 88 Matt Loosen 2013 0.00 DNP
45 88 Jake Brigham 2012 0.00 DNP
46 88 Sean Murphy 2013 0.00 DNP
47 88 Brandon Erbe 2012 0.00 DNP
48 88 Kyle Kaminska 2013 0.00 DNP
49 88 Matt Shoemaker 2011 0.00 DNP
50 88 Chris Rusin 2011 0.00 DNP
51 88 Cory VanAllen 2009 0.00 DNP
52 88 Eric Niesen 2010 0.00 DNP
53 88 Rob Rasmussen 2013 0.00 DNP
54 88 Josh Smith 2012 0.00 DNP
55 88 A.J. Griffin 2012 3.17
56 87 Hung-Wen Chen 2010 0.00 DNP
57 87 Rudy Owens 2012 0.00 DNP
58 87 Andrew Liebel 2010 0.00 DNP
59 87 Dylan Owen 2011 0.00 DNP
60 87 Gregory Peavey 2013 0.00 DNP
61 87 Elisaul Pimentel 2013 0.00 DNP
62 87 Yohan Pino 2008 0.00 DNP
63 87 Bruce Billings 2010 0.00 DNP
64 87 Michael Megrew 2008 0.00 DNP
65 87 Steven Wright 2009 0.00 DNP
66 87 Pedro Hernandez 2013 6.83
67 87 J.A. Happ 2007 11.25
68 87 Deryk Hooker 2013 0.00 DNP
69 87 Maikel Cleto 2013 19.29
70 87 Charlie Furbush 2010 0.00 DNP
71 87 Tobi Stoner 2009 4.00
72 87 Nestor Molina 2013 0.00 DNP
73 87 Glen Perkins 2007 3.14
74 86 Mark Rogers 2010 1.80
75 86 Kyle Heckathorn 2012 0.00 DNP
76 86 Jason Windsor 2007 0.00 DNP
77 86 Jose Alvarez 2013 6.05
78 86 Chris Mason 2009 0.00 DNP
79 86 Matt Packer 2012 0.00 DNP
80 86 Ben Snyder 2010 0.00 DNP
81 86 Garrett Richards 2012 5.83
82 86 Gus Schlosser 2013 0.00 DNP
83 86 Kyle Hald 2013 0.00 DNP
84 86 Bradley Holt 2011 0.00 DNP
85 86 Matthew Way 2011 0.00 DNP
86 86 Tim Crabbe 2012 0.00 DNP
87 86 Scott Gorgen 2011 0.00 DNP
88 86 Kelvin De La Cruz 2013 0.00 DNP
89 86 Zachary Ward 2008 0.00 DNP
90 86 Ryan Edell 2008 0.00 DNP
91 86 Michael Cisco 2011 0.00 DNP
92 86 James Simmons 2011 0.00 DNP
93 86 Michael Bolsinger 2012 0.00 DNP
94 86 Aaron Miller 2012 0.00 DNP
95 86 Logan Darnell 2013 0.00 DNP
96 86 Wes Musick 2011 0.00 DNP
97 86 Bobby Bramhall 2010 0.00 DNP
98 86 Mark Cohoon 2012 0.00 DNP
99 86 Jason Berken 2008 0.00 DNP
100 86 Philip Humber 2007 7.71

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Adam Morgan doesn't have a huge ceiling beyond perhaps fifth starter, but the polished lefty from Alabama is moving quickly and putting up results.

BP Articles

Adam Morgan is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 1, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-01
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, May 15Zach Mortimer2013-05-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Seeing What You Want to SeeBret Sayre2013-04-29
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Jonathan PettiboneMark Anderson2013-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Jonathan PettiboneBret Sayre2013-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 12-14Zach Mortimer2013-04-15
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2013 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2013-03-29
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Spring Training Scouting ReportsZach Mortimer2013-03-27
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-01-11
Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of August 9Kevin Goldstein2012-08-10


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-11-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)A recent SB Nation winter meetings sim saw the mock A's trade Anderson, Choice, and $6M to the Phillies for Adam Morgan. If we leave aside the salary dump aspects of the trade, is Morgan worth such a package? How do you feel about the stuff and the shoulder?
(justarobert from Santa Clara)
I'm a fan of Choice so I don't think that works if it's just Morgan alone in the deal coming to Oakland. He's a nice prospect, but he's a max #3 for me. (Mark Anderson)
2013-04-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)Random "watch list" question. What are your thoughts on Arismendy Alcantara and Adam Morgan?
(Mitch from Iowa)
Both are good players to watch. Higher on Alcantara than Morgan, but Morgan's much closer to making a major league impact. (Bret Sayre)
2013-04-04 11:00:00 (link to chat)Adam Morgan, could he have a higher ceiling that Biddle based upon the reports from spring training?
(Mike from Utica, NY)
He might. Very good arm. Developing. I'd probably put him above Biddle at this point. (Jason Parks)
2013-04-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)Any chance that Jesse Biddle or Adam Morgan get called up this year for the Phillies?
(mrollo1 from Haddonfield, NJ)
I think both would benefit from another full year in the minors, but if one is going to debut this year, my money would definitely be on Morgan. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-08-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)How do you know what to grade a change up/breaking ball at? Is it deception, speed and movement? For example I saw Adam Morgan pitch recently. Heard buzz around him, but didn't read any grades. The Change-up looked fantastic in my opinion. 10 MPH less then his fastball, good deception. I would have to imagine that would grade 65-70, but I don't know if that is to agressive or to light.
(rgatta from PA)
I don't get to caught up in the 10 mph rule with a CH. For me, a good changeup starts with the arm action and speed, as you want it to come out of the hand like a fastball. If a pitcher can provide that deception, that half of the battle right there. The action on the pitch is important as well. I like to see movement to the arm side and/or heavy life that pushes the ball out of the hitting zone after it appears to be a fastball heading into it. You want the pitch to offer velocity separation, and anything over 7-8 mph works for me. It all starts with deception, and if you can get movement and good a good velo dip, you have the makings of a very good pitch. (Jason Parks)


BP Roundtables

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