Biographical

Portrait of Michael Fulmer

Michael Fulmer P  

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Mets Player Cards | Mets Team Audit | Mets Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 21)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
49.0 4.83 1.48 37 2 4 0 -0.3
Birth Date3-15-1993
Height6' 3"
Weight200 lbs
Age21 years, 7 months, 9 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.32014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2011 MTS Rk 4 3 5.3 3.48 139 .340 .245 .327 .333 .243 .562 109 2.7 0.3 2.7 0.3
2012 SAV A 21 21 108.3 3.49 120 .248 .256 .327 .379 .258 .284 90 23.1 2.3 23.1 2.3
2013 SLU A+ 7 7 34.0 4.56 99 .233 .256 .322 .367 .253 .245 97 1.6 0.2 1.6 0.2
2013 MTS Rk 2 2 12.0 3.82 124 .196 .235 .300 .312 .232 .281 102 1.9 0.2 1.9 0.2
2014 SLU A+ 19 19 95.3 4.48 106 .271 .258 .322 .367 .254 .347 103 10.2 1.0 10.2 1.0
2014 BIN AA 1 1 3.3 10.22 -14 .380 .274 .327 .420 .263 .357 108 -1.3 -0.1 -1.3 -0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2011 MTS Rk 0 1 0 4 3 5.3 9 4 10 0 56% .562 15.2 6.8 0.0 16.9 2.44 10.12 2.7 0.3
2012 SAV A 7 6 0 21 21 108.3 92 38 101 6 42% .284 7.6 3.2 0.5 8.4 1.20 2.74 23.1 2.3
2013 MTS Rk 1 1 0 2 2 12.0 9 1 13 0 59% .281 6.8 0.8 0.0 9.8 0.83 3.00 1.9 0.2
2013 SLU A+ 2 2 0 7 7 34.0 24 18 29 1 38% .245 6.4 4.8 0.3 7.7 1.24 3.44 1.6 0.2
2014 SLU A+ 6 10 0 19 19 95.3 112 31 86 7 50% .347 10.6 2.9 0.7 8.1 1.50 3.97 10.2 1.0
2014 BIN AA 0 1 0 1 1 3.3 6 3 1 1 40% .357 16.2 8.1 2.7 2.7 2.70 16.20 -1.3 -0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-09-23 2014-09-23 Minors 0 0 Right Elbow Surgery Bone Spur 2014-09-23
2014-08-20 2014-09-05 Minors 16 0 Right Elbow Inflammation -
2013-03-12 2013-06-25 Minors 105 0 - Knee Surgery Meniscus 2013-03-12 -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 3.8 4.9 0 15 15 70.1 55 27 53 7 .257 1.17 3.50 3.8 7.9 0.8
80o 3.2 4.6 0 13 13 62.5 53 26 47 6 .273 1.27 3.93 4.27 3.4 0.3
70o 2.8 4.4 0 12 12 57.3 51 26 43 6 .286 1.35 4.26 4.63 0.7 0.1
60o 2.5 4.3 0 11 11 52.9 50 25 40 6 .296 1.41 4.54 4.93 -1.2 -0.1
50o 2.2 4.1 0 10 10 48.9 48 24 37 6 .306 1.48 4.81 5.23 -2.7 -0.3
40o 2 3.9 0 9 9 45.1 46 23 34 6 .316 1.55 5.08 5.52 -3.9 -0.4
30o 1.7 3.7 0 9 9 41.0 44 22 31 5 .326 1.62 5.38 5.85 -5.0 -0.5
20o 1.4 3.4 0 8 8 36.4 42 21 28 5 .339 1.71 5.74 6.24 -5.8 -0.6
10o 1.1 3.1 0 6 6 30.3 37 19 23 4 .356 1.84 6.25 6.8 -6.5 -0.7
Weighted Mean2.240101048.04723366.3031.464.765.18-2.4-0.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152291003131195177871712041.3001.354.114.468.24.07.90.90.2
2016238902929177157881541741.2991.384.174.538.04.57.80.90.0
2017248802626153139661271641.2971.344.094.458.23.97.50.90.2
2018258802626156141641331641.2991.323.984.328.23.77.70.90.5
2019268802626151140631301741.3021.344.134.498.33.77.71.00.2
2020278802626154140581331641.2991.283.844.188.23.47.80.90.7
2021288702525145130541251441.2991.273.714.038.13.37.70.91.0
2022297802525146132531251541.2991.273.804.138.23.37.70.90.8
2023307702525145132511231541.2991.263.804.138.23.27.60.90.8

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
1.253.81.25.24.722.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 89)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 96 Dan Cortes 2008 0.00 DNP
2 95 Carlos Carrasco 2008 0.00 DNP
3 95 Alexander Perez 2011 0.00 DNP
4 95 Michael Pineda 2010 0.00 DNP
5 94 Jeremy Hellickson 2008 0.00 DNP
6 94 Jesse Biddle 2013 0.00 DNP
7 93 Zach Phillips 2008 0.00 DNP
8 93 Tyler Chatwood 2011 5.20
9 93 Trevor Reckling 2010 0.00 DNP
10 93 Alex Burgos 2012 0.00 DNP
11 93 Brandon Maurer 2012 0.00 DNP
12 93 Clayton Cook 2012 0.00 DNP
13 92 Jeurys Familia 2011 0.00 DNP
14 92 Ryan Tucker 2008 8.27
15 92 Colton Cain 2012 0.00 DNP
16 91 Robbie Ray 2013 0.00 DNP
17 91 Matt Lollis 2012 0.00 DNP
18 91 Tim Berry 2012 0.00 DNP
19 91 Garrett Gould 2013 0.00 DNP
20 91 Jarred Cosart 2011 0.00 DNP
21 90 Domingo Tapia 2013 0.00 DNP
22 90 Patrick Corbin 2011 0.00 DNP
23 90 Jose A. Ramirez 2011 0.00 DNP
24 90 T.J. House 2011 0.00 DNP
25 90 Chaz Roe 2008 0.00 DNP
26 89 Wilmer Font 2011 0.00 DNP
27 89 Giovanni Soto 2012 0.00 DNP
28 89 Greg Billo 2012 0.00 DNP
29 89 Timothy Melville 2011 0.00 DNP
30 89 David Baker 2012 0.00 DNP
31 89 Mauricio Robles 2010 0.00 DNP
32 89 Will Lamb 2012 0.00 DNP
33 89 Ian Krol 2012 0.00 DNP
34 89 Allen Webster 2011 0.00 DNP
35 89 Erasmo Ramirez 2011 0.00 DNP
36 89 Shairon Martis 2008 6.10
37 89 Jarrod Parker 2010 0.00 DNP
38 89 Alex Sanabia 2010 3.98
39 89 Stephen Landazuri 2013 0.00 DNP
40 88 Elvis Araujo 2013 0.00 DNP
41 88 Adys Portillo 2013 0.00 DNP
42 88 Zack Wheeler 2011 0.00 DNP
43 88 Jake Odorizzi 2011 0.00 DNP
44 88 Ruben Alaniz 2012 0.00 DNP
45 88 Nicholas Bucci 2012 0.00 DNP
46 88 Jordan Walden 2009 0.00 DNP
47 88 Nick Kingham 2013 0.00 DNP
48 88 Casey Crosby 2010 0.00 DNP
49 88 Jon Niese 2008 7.07
50 88 Vance Worley 2009 0.00 DNP
51 88 Jorge Bucardo 2011 0.00 DNP
52 88 Kelvin De La Cruz 2010 0.00 DNP
53 87 Juan Minaya 2012 0.00 DNP
54 87 Danny Duffy 2010 0.00 DNP
55 87 Edgar Olmos 2011 0.00 DNP
56 87 Nicholas Struck 2011 0.00 DNP
57 87 Omar Poveda 2009 0.00 DNP
58 87 Chuck Lofgren 2007 0.00 DNP
59 87 Michael Bowden 2008 3.60
60 87 Jhoulys Chacin 2009 4.91
61 87 Jason Adam 2013 0.00 DNP
62 87 Vin Mazzaro 2008 0.00 DNP
63 87 J.C. Ramirez 2010 0.00 DNP
64 87 Matt Magill 2011 0.00 DNP
65 87 Albert Campos 2012 0.00 DNP
66 87 Chris Archer 2010 0.00 DNP
67 87 Homer Bailey 2007 6.35
68 87 Zach McAllister 2009 0.00 DNP
69 87 Oswaldo Sosa 2007 0.00 DNP
70 86 Deolis Guerra 2010 0.00 DNP
71 86 Nick Additon 2009 0.00 DNP
72 86 Chris Withrow 2010 0.00 DNP
73 86 Justin Nicolino 2013 0.00 DNP
74 86 Brett Marshall 2011 0.00 DNP
75 86 Jose Urena 2013 0.00 DNP
76 86 Clayton Tanner 2009 0.00 DNP
77 86 John Lamb 2012 0.00 DNP
78 86 Felipe Rivero 2013 0.00 DNP
79 86 Josue Carreno 2012 0.00 DNP
80 86 Chris Tillman 2009 5.54
81 86 Tyler Robertson 2009 0.00 DNP
82 86 Hector Rondon 2009 0.00 DNP
83 86 Joe Wieland 2011 0.00 DNP
84 86 Anthony Swarzak 2007 0.00 DNP
85 85 Arquimedes Nieto 2010 0.00 DNP
86 85 Scott Barnes 2009 0.00 DNP
87 85 Kelvin Herrera 2011 13.50
88 85 Ethan Martin 2010 0.00 DNP
89 85 Paul Demny 2011 0.00 DNP
90 85 Eswarlin Jimenez 2013 0.00 DNP
91 85 Ezequiel Infante 2010 0.00 DNP
92 85 Johnny Cueto 2007 0.00 DNP
93 85 Tyler Matzek 2012 0.00 DNP
94 85 Wilfredo Boscan 2011 0.00 DNP
95 85 Keyvius Sampson 2012 0.00 DNP
96 85 Daniel Corcino 2012 0.00 DNP
97 85 Trey McNutt 2011 0.00 DNP
98 84 Brett Oberholtzer 2011 0.00 DNP
99 84 Dimasther Delgado 2010 0.00 DNP
100 84 Kyle Ryan 2013 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Fulmer, a 2011 sandwich pick, was the third-youngest pitcher in the South Atlantic League, but he owes his excellent results more to a fastball that overmatched the competition than to his overall pitching profile. The slider and change both need work, in other words. The Mets were well aware of that, however, and put Fulmer at Savannah specifically so he could work with pitching coach Frank Viola and join a rotation that featured three college-drafted starters. He's smart and coachable, so if his body can master the secondary pitches, Fulmer is a good bet to make the adjustments necessary to succeed at higher levels.
2012 Supplemental first-round pick Michael Fulmer showed impressive arm strength in high school, and now needs to transition from thrower to pitcher.

BP Articles

Michael Fulmer is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, July 30Jeff Moore2014-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, July 17Jeff Moore2014-07-18
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: What Did I Miss: Brandon NimmoJason Parks2014-05-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, May 20Jeff Moore2014-05-21
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, May 14Jeff Moore2014-05-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 5, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-05-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 5, 2014Jason Parks2014-05-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, May 1Jeff Moore2014-05-02
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Backfield/Minor-League Game Notes, Part TwoBP Prospect Staff2014-04-09
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 4-6Jeff Moore2014-04-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: New York Mets Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-02-18
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Importance of Top Prospect TrajectoriesSam Miller2014-02-12
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: August 12, 2013BP Prospect Staff2013-08-12
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: August 12, 2013Jason Parks2013-08-12
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 28, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-28
BP Unfiltered: Top 101 Prospects of 2013, Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2013-02-26
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsJason Parks2013-02-25
BP Unfiltered: Daily Draft Video: Weekend Flashback (Fulmer vs Cecchini)Nick J. Faleris2012-12-22
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: New York Mets Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2012-12-18
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: New York Mets Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2012-01-10
Baseball ProGUESTus: Sunset in FlushingJonathan Bernhardt2011-12-09
Baseball ProGUESTus: Sunset in FlushingJarrett Seidler2011-12-09


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-06-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)See any of Michael Fulmer down there in the FSL?
(Howie from NYC)
Yes, here's a link to the report I wrote on him.

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_pit.php?reportid=101

He's built like a starter but his arsenal says reliever. Two-pitch pitcher with below average fastball command. I should see him again at some point this season so hopefully there's some improvement to get excited about. (Jeff Moore)
2013-04-04 11:00:00 (link to chat)Michael Fulmer: At his best he could be a ....? And at worst, not developing the way the Mets see, he could be...? He's an intruiging arm!
(MetsFaithful5 from Syracuse)
Number three starter/Up and down starter (Jason Parks)
2012-04-03 12:00:00 (link to chat)What was the reasoning behind the decision to both place Michael Fulmer on the Savannah roster and keep Brandon Nimmo back in extended spring training? Will Fulmer be on a strict innings limit? I'm guessing we will see Nimmo in Brooklyn?
(Nick from Lynbrook, NY)
A lot goes into these decisions, and I always try to remind myself that they're temporary - we can change our minds tomorrow. Furthermore, whatever decisions we make are part of a longer term plan for each individual player. So, the short answer is that these assignments in no way change our expected timetable for either player. However, there are different experiences available that may prove valuable. For instance, Fulmer has the chance to join a staff led by Frank Viola that will have three accomplished college starters in the rotation. That has the potential to be a great developmental experience for him. We have similar thoughts in Brandon's case, but because we haven't made any final decisions yet, I won't share them now...sorry. (Paul DePodesta)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.