Biographical

Portrait of Vincent Velasquez

Vincent Velasquez P  

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Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 24)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
51.3 3.84 1.26 54 3 4 0 0.6
Birth Date6-7-1992
Height6' 3"
Weight205 lbs
Age24 years, 1 months, 19 days
BatsB
ThrowsR
2012
2013
2014
0.32015
1.72016
+proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA. (For previous card version with FAIR_RA, click here.)
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP
2015 HOU MLB 19 7 55.7 50 21 58 5 .258 104 8.1 3.4 0.8 9.4 31% .310 .251 1.28 3.43 4.37 106 4.47 0.3
2016 PHI MLB 17 17 91.7 84 34 103 11 .264 100 8.2 3.3 1.1 10.1 39% .317 .251 1.29 3.61 3.34 96 4.28 1.1
CareerMLB3624147.31345516116.2621018.23.41.09.836%.315.2511.283.553.73984.241.7

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2012 TCV A- 9 9 45.7 37 17 51 2 .261 95 7.3 3.4 0.4 10.1 44% .299 .245 1.18 2.98 3.35
2013 QUD A 25 16 110.0 90 33 123 7 .262 102 7.4 2.7 0.6 10.1 52% .292 .229 1.12 2.99 3.19
2013 LNC A+ 3 3 14.7 14 8 19 2 .259 104 8.6 4.9 1.2 11.7 33% .353 .285 1.50 5.00 6.14
2014 LNC A+ 15 10 55.3 45 23 72 6 .268 110 7.3 3.7 1.0 11.7 44% .243 .211 1.23 3.96 3.74
2014 AST Rk 3 3 8.7 5 2 19 0 .000 5.2 2.1 0.0 19.7 0% .455 .000 0.81 0.85 2.08
2015 HOU MLB 19 7 55.7 50 21 58 5 .258 104 8.1 3.4 0.8 9.4 31% .310 .251 1.28 3.43 4.37
2015 CCH AA 9 5 33.0 20 13 45 2 .266 106 5.5 3.5 0.5 12.3 35% .246 .183 1.00 2.63 1.91
2016 PHI MLB 17 17 91.7 84 34 103 11 .264 100 8.2 3.3 1.1 10.1 39% .317 .251 1.29 3.61 3.34
2016 REA AA 1 1 5.0 2 1 3 1 .261 112 3.6 1.8 1.8 5.4 43% .077 .229 0.60 5.38 1.80

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2015 976 0.4836 0.4877 0.7668 0.6949 0.2937 0.8445 0.5946 0.2332
2016 1510 0.5086 0.4642 0.7190 0.6029 0.3208 0.7754 0.6092 0.2810
Career24860.49880.47340.73780.6390.31020.80250.60350.2622

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-05-10 2014-07-28 Minors 79 0 - Not Disclosed - -
2010-08-25 2010-09-01 Minors 7 0 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2010-09-22

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 PHI $516,000
2015 HOU $
YearsDescriptionSalary
2011Current$516,000
1 yrTotal$516,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 86 dBoras Corp.1 year/$0.516M (2016)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.516M (2016). Re-signed by Philadelphia 3/16.
  • 1 year (2015). Contract selected by Houston 11/20/14. Re-signed by Houston 3/15. Acquired by Philadelphia in trade from Houston 12/9/15.
  • Drafted by Houston 2010 (2-58) (Garey HS, Pomona, Calif.). $655,830 signing bonus.

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 3.5 2.6 0 33 6 82.5 56 25 84 7 .259 0.98 2.53 2.75 16.5 1.8
80o 3.4 2.7 0 33 6 75.6 56 24 77 7 .275 1.06 2.92 3.18 13.3 1.4
70o 3.3 2.7 0 33 6 70.8 55 24 72 7 .286 1.12 3.21 3.49 11.1 1.2
60o 3.2 2.8 0 33 6 66.8 55 24 68 7 .296 1.17 3.46 3.76 9.2 1.0
50o 3.2 2.8 0 33 6 63.1 54 24 64 7 .305 1.23 3.69 4.01 7.4 0.8
40o 3.1 2.9 0 33 6 59.5 53 23 61 7 .314 1.28 3.93 4.27 5.6 0.6
30o 3 3 0 33 6 55.7 52 23 57 7 .324 1.33 4.19 4.55 3.7 0.4
20o 2.9 3 0 33 6 51.4 50 22 52 6 .335 1.40 4.50 4.89 1.4 0.2
10o 2.8 3.1 0 33 6 45.6 48 21 46 6 .351 1.50 4.94 5.36 -1.7 -0.2
Weighted Mean3.22.8033662.45323647.3031.213.663.977.70.8

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 7/26/2016 10:18 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 2.9 3 0 9 9 70.2 50 20 74 7 .251 1.01 2.76 2.9 11.8 1.3
80o 2.8 3.2 0 9 9 63.5 49 20 67 7 .266 1.09 3.13 3.29 9.6 1.0
70o 2.7 3.3 0 9 9 58.8 48 20 62 7 .277 1.15 3.39 3.58 8.0 0.9
60o 2.7 3.4 0 9 9 54.9 47 19 58 6 .286 1.21 3.63 3.82 6.6 0.7
50o 2.6 3.6 0 9 9 51.3 46 19 54 6 .295 1.26 3.84 4.06 5.3 0.6
40o 2.5 3.7 0 9 9 47.8 45 18 50 6 .304 1.31 4.07 4.3 3.9 0.4
30o 2.5 3.8 0 9 9 44.1 43 18 46 6 .313 1.37 4.31 4.56 2.5 0.3
20o 2.4 4 0 9 9 39.9 41 17 42 6 .324 1.44 4.60 4.87 0.7 0.1
10o 2.2 4.2 0 9 9 34.3 38 15 36 5 .339 1.55 5.00 5.3 -1.7 -0.2
Weighted Mean2.63.509950.64518536.2931.253.814.035.40.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
19% 46% 14% 14% 81%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20172543041778662981934.3051.223.894.357.63.49.41.00.7
2018265405199880351031134.2971.183.774.217.43.29.51.01.0
2019277506411122101441261434.3001.193.814.267.53.39.31.01.1
2020285405099579341001034.3041.193.734.177.53.29.51.01.0
20212964054910387361071234.3071.203.804.247.63.29.41.11.0
20223054052910084351031134.3041.193.804.257.63.29.31.00.9
2023315405199781341001134.3021.193.834.287.53.29.31.00.9
202432430448837129861034.3041.203.854.307.73.19.31.10.7
20253343040776652778934.3041.213.874.327.73.29.21.10.7

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201725101002929183152632012234.3071.173.704.137.53.19.91.12.2
20182610902929183147592012234.2991.133.594.017.22.99.91.12.4
201927111003333212175682312534.3051.143.563.987.42.99.81.12.8
2020289802525150122511701734.3091.163.473.887.33.110.21.02.3
2021299902626157131511711934.3091.163.654.087.52.99.81.12.1
20223010902929178152601932234.3141.193.714.147.73.09.81.12.2
2023318702222131106431431834.2981.143.834.287.33.09.81.21.5
2024325501515887428971134.3101.153.604.027.52.99.91.11.2
2025335501414847027931134.3071.153.644.077.52.910.01.21.1

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
0.24.24.814.76.610.541

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
20150.24.24.814.76.610.541

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 83)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 88 Gio Gonzalez 2010 3.36
2 87 Matt Harvey 2013 2.32
3 87 Zach Braddock 2012 0.00 DNP
4 86 Daniel Hudson 2011 3.97
5 86 Travis Wood 2011 4.84
6 86 Rafael Montero 2015 5.40
7 86 Clay Buchholz 2009 4.30
8 86 Yordano Ventura 2015 4.13
9 85 Scott Elbert 2010 13.50
10 85 Andrew Heaney 2015 3.49
11 85 Kris Medlen 2010 4.01
12 85 Marc Rzepczynski 2010 5.23
13 85 James McDonald 2009 4.86
14 85 Jake McGee 2011 4.50
15 85 Zack Wheeler 2014 4.08
16 85 Jess Todd 2010 7.50
17 85 Andrew Cashner 2011 1.69
18 84 Fernando Cabrera 2006 5.34
19 84 Scott Lewis 2008 3.38
20 84 Juan Oramas 2014 0.00 DNP
21 84 Vance Worley 2012 4.67
22 84 Danny Salazar 2014 4.58
23 84 Rubby De La Rosa 2013 5.56
24 84 Michael Bowden 2011 4.05
25 84 Ubaldo Jimenez 2008 4.39
26 84 David Hernandez 2009 5.42
27 83 Ernesto Frieri 2010 1.99
28 83 Carlos Carrasco 2011 4.91
29 83 Chris Ray 2006 3.00
30 83 Edinson Volquez 2008 3.77
31 83 Dan Straily 2013 4.37
32 83 Yusmeiro Petit 2009 6.22
33 83 Tyler Thornburg 2013 2.29
34 83 Matt Moore 2013 3.47
35 83 Antonio Bastardo 2010 4.34
36 82 Jeremy Hellickson 2011 3.05
37 82 Will Inman 2011 0.00 DNP
38 82 Neil Ramirez 2013 0.00 DNP
39 82 Tony Cingrani 2014 4.69
40 82 Jarrod Parker 2013 4.20
41 82 Alex Meyer 2014 0.00 DNP
42 82 Jensen Lewis 2008 3.95
43 82 Danny Hultzen 2014 0.00 DNP
44 82 Brandon Beachy 2011 3.94
45 82 Brad Boxberger 2012 3.90
46 82 Buddy Baumann 2012 0.00 DNP
47 82 Chad Bettis 2013 6.85
48 82 Justin Grimm 2013 6.43
49 82 Zach Petrick 2014 0.00 DNP
50 82 Garrett Olson 2008 6.78
51 82 Michael Kirkman 2011 7.24
52 81 Tyson Ross 2011 3.00
53 81 Jordan Walden 2012 3.46
54 81 Jake Arrieta 2010 5.11
55 81 Michael Pineda 2013 0.00 DNP
56 81 Junichi Tazawa 2010 0.00 DNP
57 81 Josh Outman 2009 4.01
58 81 Charles Brewer 2012 0.00 DNP
59 81 Joel Zumaya 2009 5.23
60 81 Anthony Reyes 2006 5.06
61 81 Andre Rienzo 2013 5.46
62 81 Chris Tillman 2012 3.98
63 81 David Price 2010 3.06
64 81 David Huff 2009 5.75
65 81 Gerrit Cole 2015 3.07
66 81 Kevin Siegrist 2014 6.82
67 81 A.J. Griffin 2012 3.17
68 81 Carlos Rosa 2009 3.38
69 80 Sonny Gray 2014 3.45
70 80 Daniel Winkler 2014 0.00 DNP
71 80 Mike Minor 2012 4.37
72 80 Yovani Gallardo 2010 4.33
73 80 Trevor Bell 2011 3.67
74 80 George Kontos 2009 0.00 DNP
75 80 Glen Perkins 2007 3.14
76 80 Josh Smith 2012 0.00 DNP
77 80 Heath Rollins 2009 0.00 DNP
78 80 Radhames Liz 2008 7.15
79 80 Boone Whiting 2014 0.00 DNP
80 80 Matt Magill 2014 0.00 DNP
81 80 Matt Boyd 2015 7.69
82 80 Brett Oberholtzer 2014 4.57
83 80 Kyle McPherson 2012 2.73
84 80 Macay McBride 2007 5.79
85 80 Shelby Miller 2015 3.59
86 80 Josh Johnson 2008 3.71
87 80 Brayan Villarreal 2011 6.75
88 80 Chuck James 2006 4.08
89 80 Trevor Bauer 2015 4.60
90 80 Michael Blazek 2013 6.23
91 80 Julio Teheran 2015 4.44
92 80 Tommy Hanson 2011 3.81
93 80 Hector Santiago 2012 3.33
94 80 Adam Miller 2009 0.00 DNP
95 79 Wily Peralta 2013 5.25
96 79 J.P. Howell 2007 7.94
97 79 Ian Snell 2006 5.03
98 79 Jay Jackson 2012 0.00 DNP
99 79 Erik Johnson 2014 6.85
100 79 Alex Burnett 2012 4.27

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .214 .296 .348 .231
11 vs R (Multi) .271 .340 .469 .275
18 Split (Multi) -.057 -.044 -.121 -.045
19 LgAvg (Multi) .009 .023 .019 .016
30 vs L (2015) .214 .296 .348 .231
31 vs R (2015) .271 .340 .469 .275
38 Split (2015) -.057 -.044 -.121 -.045
39 LgAvg (2015) .009 .024 .022 .017

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 Velasquez is that shiny new bike you rode to work like five times, the bathroom vanity you bought that is still sitting in your garage, the stack of New Yorkers you haven't read. All of these things were brought into your life with the best of intentions, and then at some point they got pushed back and pushed back until they became shadows of the life you thought you'd lead at one time or another.

A prospect with some promise, Velasquez started seven games for the Astros until the return of Scott Feldman from injury and the trade-deadline additions of Scott Kazmir and Mike Fiers pushed him out of the rotation. Rather than sending him down, Houston let Velasquez serve as a sort of mop-up guy to finish the season, then dropped him from the postseason roster, a time when having someone who can throw in the upper 90s would seem pretty useful. Though he didn't exactly light it up as a 23-year-old rookie, there's no reason to believe he won't be given more chances to start games, especially now that he's on a team with little hope of making the playoffs. He simply got lost in the shuffle in 2015. Or maybe Houston kept him on because he's really good at cutting hair or something.

2015 Valesquez posted the highest strikeout rate among starters in the Astros system, which distinguishes him among some pretty good company. He sits in the low-to-mid-90s and shows that tantalizing ability to ramp up the velocity as he works deeper into games. The heat also sets up a plus changeup that gets swings and misses from both lefties and righties and makes his 95 look all the tougher. His curve might be average, but that's okay because he'll use it mostly as a show-me pitch. A groin injury limited his 2014 innings more effectively than the Astros' plan to piggy-back his starts, and he's been inconsistent since returning, especially in a bruising Arizona Fall League stint. He'll have to be stretched out carefully in 2015.
2014 If he makes the majors, Vincent Velasquez would be the fourth player with “V” as alliterating initials, joining Virgil Vasquez, Vince Ventura and Vito Valentinetti. “Velasquez,” a 70-grade Scrabble surname, pairs perfectly with his potential 70 change. (The alliterations and segues are out of control in this comment, huh?) Velasquez’s fastball sits in the mid-90s and sets up the changeup at 79 to 83. Solid velocity separation and similar arm speed make it a vicious pitch that contributed to 123 strikeout victims (second in the Midwest League). It was Velasquez’s first full season, and he showed no ill effects from Tommy John surgery in September 2010; according to him, it added velocity. A developing curveball completes his arsenal, one he commands effectively to merit a vault toward the upper reaches of Astros prospect lists.
2013 Power righty Vincent Velasquez took the standard 18 month "vacation" for Tommy John surgery, and the return was about as positive as possible, as he showed full arm strength, both breaking pitches intact, and none of the wobbly control often accompanying injury returnees.
2011 Vincent Velasquez, the Astros' second-round pick last year, made a strong professional debut before undergoing September Tommy John surgery that will keep him out of action in 2011.

BP Articles

Vincent Velasquez is referenced in the following articles.

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-05-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which group of players will the Astros regret trading more? Dealing away Vincent Velasquez and Mark Appel or Brett Phillips, Domingo Santana, and Josh Hader?
(Okie from Muskogee)
The latter, which is weird to say, because I've been pretty slow to come on the Hader train. I have loved most of what Houston has done, but I think they're really going to come to regret that deal. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-04-14 20:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Scooter, what should we think about Vincent Velasquez after these 2 starts to the season?
(Jerry from Earth)
He's a great gamble, although there isn't much profit available with him because he's not exactly a secret and he hasn't been for a while. The stuff is obviously legit. His ultimate value this season will depend on his command & control and whether or not he can sustain his stuff over the course of a long season. And wins might be hard to come by in Philly, of course.

I live in Philly and most of the leagues I play in are Philly-based, so if anything, Velasquez went for a higher price or at a higher pick than he should have because everyone here watched him during spring training and fell in love with his upside. (Scooter Hotz)
2015-07-28 18:00:00 (link to chat)Could you rank these guys for future careers? Steven Matz, Carlos Rodon, Eduardo Rodriguez, Aaron Nola, Chi Chi Gonzalez, Vincent Velasquez. Any of these guys worry you and/or are they all in the same tier?
(ColeWhittier from Pasadena)
This is a tremendous and fun group of arms. Nola, Gonzalez, Rodon, Velasquez, E-Rod, Matz. The one who still scares me the most is Rodon. There's a good chance he doesn't fulfill his insane upside because of the command issues stemming from his delivery. While Matz and E-Rod are a tier below for me they are both very valuable arms that could be middle rotation stalwarts. (Mauricio Rubio)
2015-07-02 15:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Doug, could you rate these 5 Ps for future? Any stand out above the others? Joe Ross, Vincent Velasquez, Raisel Iglesias, Matt Wisler, Michael Lorenzen. Thanks!
(ColeWhittier from Pasadena)
Ross is an intriguing pitcher but his pitch selection is mirroring his brother's approach, including a high rate of SL's that simultaneously raises the injury risk and put the onus on his ability to bury the pitch. I really like Velasquez's delivery and the velo is legit. Iglesias is incredibly advanced for his age. Lorenzen has great stuff but was perhaps promoted before the command was honed, whereas Wisler holds the opposite profile of low ceiling but high floor. Long-term, give me Velasquez-Lorenzen-Wisler-Iglesias-Ross, but in the near-term I would go with Velasquez-Wisler-Ross-Iglesias-Lorenzen. Velasquez is above the others, and development will determine how the rest fall into place. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-11-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Vincent Velasquez what the ceiling on him and when can we expect to see him in the majors?
(OB1KENOBI from Tampa)
I can't go higher than a mid rotation ceiling given that the command is not likely to reach plus levels, but I think there's a decent chance he'll throw enough quality strikes to remain a starter. The stuff is quite loud and will allow him to succeed in some sort of a role if he stays healthy, even if it's not in the rotation. I think 2016 is probably the earliest we can expect to see him in the big leagues, but 2017 is more likely. More importantly for now; he looked healthy in the AFL after missing time in the middle of the season. (Todd Gold)
2014-01-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)I'm a bit surprised not to see both Vincent Velasquez and Lance McCullers off this list? Both had pretty good years and are expected to get better. Domingo Santana also should have a case as well. What made you not have them on the list?
(YP from Houston)
Other players offered a more convincing case. (Jason Parks on the Top 101 Prospects)
2014-01-29 19:00:00 (link to chat)Could you rank these pitchers in term of future fantasy value: C.J. Edwards, Miguel Almonte, Vincent Velasquez, Sean Manaea, and Alexander Reyes Thanks!
(Adam from Toronto )
Manaea, Almonte, Edwards, Reyes, Velasquez. (Ben Carsley)
2014-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)I hear mixed opinions on Vincent Velasquez. Is he a 2 starter or more of a back end guy for you?
(Matt473 from Austin)
I never got a#2 vibe from him when I saw him pitch in the NYPL, and the reports I've received from scouts that saw him in the MWL all considered him more of a #3/4 type. (Mark Anderson)


BP Roundtables

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Vincent Velasquez has thrown 2,528 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2014 and 2016, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Fall/Winter Ball. In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (95mph), also mixing in a Slider (84mph), Change (88mph), Curve (80mph) and Sinker (93mph).