Biographical

Portrait of Vincent Velasquez

Vincent Velasquez P  

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Astros Player Cards | Astros Team Audit | Astros Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 22)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
87.7 5.18 1.57 72 3 7 0 -0.5
Birth Date6-7-1992
Height6' 3"
Weight203 lbs
Age22 years, 4 months, 18 days
BatsB
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.52014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2012 TCV A- 9 9 45.7 3.87 108 .245 .244 .311 .338 .261 .299 95 5.8 0.6 5.8 0.6
2013 QUD A 25 16 110.0 4.24 109 .229 .259 .330 .381 .262 .292 102 17.3 1.8 17.3 1.8
2013 LNC A+ 3 3 14.7 5.75 88 .285 .253 .318 .405 .259 .353 104 1.4 0.1 1.4 0.1
2014 LNC A+ 15 10 55.3 3.75 132 .243 .271 .331 .423 .269 .312 113 15.8 1.6 15.8 1.6
2014 AST Rk 3 3 8.7 1.57 166 .172 .247 .338 .352 .269 .400 93 4.4 0.4 4.4 0.4

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2012 TCV A- 4 1 0 9 9 45.7 37 17 51 2 44% .299 7.3 3.4 0.4 10.1 1.18 3.35 5.8 0.6
2013 QUD A 9 4 3 25 16 110.0 90 33 123 7 52% .292 7.4 2.7 0.6 10.1 1.12 3.19 17.3 1.8
2013 LNC A+ 0 2 0 3 3 14.7 14 8 19 2 33% .353 8.6 4.9 1.2 11.7 1.50 6.14 1.4 0.1
2014 AST Rk 0 1 0 3 3 8.7 5 2 19 0 80% .400 5.2 2.1 0.0 19.7 0.81 2.08 4.4 0.4
2014 LNC A+ 7 4 0 15 10 55.3 45 23 72 6 40% .312 7.3 3.7 1.0 11.7 1.23 3.74 15.8 1.6

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-05-10 2014-07-28 Minors 79 0 - Not Disclosed - -
2010-08-25 2010-09-01 Minors 7 0 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2010-09-22

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 5.1 6.8 0.3 25 19 110.3 92 45 91 12 .259 1.24 3.74 4.07 13.3 1.4
80o 4.5 6.7 0.2 23 17 102.2 93 45 84 12 .275 1.35 4.22 4.58 6.5 0.7
70o 4 6.6 0.2 22 16 96.5 93 45 80 12 .287 1.43 4.57 4.96 2.2 0.2
60o 3.7 6.6 0.2 21 16 91.8 93 45 76 12 .297 1.50 4.87 5.3 -1.1 -0.1
50o 3.3 6.5 0.2 20 15 87.5 93 45 72 12 .306 1.57 5.17 5.62 -3.9 -0.4
40o 3 6.4 0.2 19 14 83.2 92 45 69 12 .316 1.64 5.47 5.94 -6.3 -0.6
30o 2.7 6.3 0.2 18 13 78.8 91 44 65 12 .326 1.72 5.79 6.3 -8.7 -0.9
20o 2.3 6.2 0.1 17 13 73.8 90 44 61 11 .338 1.82 6.19 6.72 -11.0 -1.1
10o 1.9 6 0.1 15 11 67.0 88 43 55 11 .355 1.96 6.75 7.34 -13.6 -1.4
Weighted Mean3.46.40.2201587.091447211.3041.555.125.56-3.4-0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2015237803123159161711272244.2931.464.855.279.14.07.21.2-0.4
2016247803122158158691402144.3001.444.675.089.03.98.01.2-0.0
2017257803123159155661392144.2931.394.374.758.83.77.91.20.6
2018266602619130125501111644.2891.354.154.518.73.57.71.10.8
2019276602518125123491071544.2931.374.254.628.83.57.71.10.6
2020286602418123120471061544.2931.364.214.588.83.47.81.10.7
2021296602417122118461061544.2931.354.154.528.73.47.81.10.8
2022305602417120117431031544.2931.344.104.468.83.27.71.10.8
2023315502317118113421021444.2911.324.014.368.63.27.81.11.0

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
0.3out of baseball1.60.71.728.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 90)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 96 Sean Watson 2008 0.00 DNP
2 95 David Bromberg 2010 0.00 DNP
3 95 Austin Wright 2012 0.00 DNP
4 95 Sean Nolin 2012 0.00 DNP
5 94 Duane Below 2008 0.00 DNP
6 94 Kyle Lotzkar 2012 0.00 DNP
7 94 Ben Snyder 2008 0.00 DNP
8 94 Dan Straily 2011 0.00 DNP
9 93 Cody Hebner 2013 0.00 DNP
10 93 Tanner Peters 2013 0.00 DNP
11 93 Henry Sosa 2008 0.00 DNP
12 93 Simon Castro 2010 0.00 DNP
13 93 James Adkins 2008 0.00 DNP
14 92 Charlie Furbush 2008 0.00 DNP
15 92 Aaron Miller 2010 0.00 DNP
16 92 Jeff Ferrell 2013 0.00 DNP
17 91 Jake Odorizzi 2012 4.91
18 91 Nick Martinez 2013 0.00 DNP
19 91 Chris Devenski 2013 0.00 DNP
20 91 Adam Wilk 2010 0.00 DNP
21 91 Roman Mendez 2013 0.00 DNP
22 91 Josh Lindblom 2009 0.00 DNP
23 91 Matt Magill 2012 0.00 DNP
24 91 Kyle Drabek 2010 4.76
25 91 Adam Ottavino 2008 0.00 DNP
26 90 Brandon Erbe 2010 0.00 DNP
27 90 Sean Gilmartin 2012 0.00 DNP
28 90 Yordano Ventura 2013 3.52
29 90 Drake Britton 2011 0.00 DNP
30 90 Kelvin De La Cruz 2011 0.00 DNP
31 90 Jose Dominguez 2013 3.24
32 90 Ryan Chaffee 2010 0.00 DNP
33 90 Juan Jaime 2010 0.00 DNP
34 90 Ramon Garcia 2007 0.00 DNP
35 89 Bryan Mitchell 2013 0.00 DNP
36 89 Deryk Hooker 2011 0.00 DNP
37 89 Alex Colome 2011 0.00 DNP
38 89 Josue Carreno 2013 0.00 DNP
39 89 Casey Crosby 2011 0.00 DNP
40 89 Jeff Ames 2013 0.00 DNP
41 89 Michael Stutes 2009 0.00 DNP
42 89 Shooter Hunt 2009 0.00 DNP
43 89 Ethan Martin 2011 0.00 DNP
44 89 Yao-Lin Wang 2013 0.00 DNP
45 89 Kasey Kiker 2010 0.00 DNP
46 89 Dellin Betances 2010 0.00 DNP
47 89 Eric Hurley 2008 5.47
48 89 Nik Turley 2012 0.00 DNP
49 89 Pedro Guerra 2012 0.00 DNP
50 89 Scott Barnes 2010 0.00 DNP
51 88 Bruce Pugh 2011 0.00 DNP
52 88 Aaron King 2011 0.00 DNP
53 88 Jose A. Ramirez 2012 0.00 DNP
54 88 Angel Baez 2013 0.00 DNP
55 88 Brooks Pounders 2013 0.00 DNP
56 88 Jeanmar Gomez 2010 5.62
57 88 Jo-Jo Reyes 2007 6.93
58 88 Tyler Herron 2009 0.00 DNP
59 88 Rudy Owens 2010 0.00 DNP
60 88 Trevor Rosenthal 2012 2.78
61 88 Brett Wallach 2011 0.00 DNP
62 88 Michael Blazek 2011 0.00 DNP
63 88 Brett Lorin 2009 0.00 DNP
64 88 Nicholas Bucci 2013 0.00 DNP
65 88 Carlos Pimentel 2012 0.00 DNP
66 88 Lucas Luetge 2009 0.00 DNP
67 88 Tony Cingrani 2012 1.80
68 88 Matt Thompson 2012 0.00 DNP
69 88 Christian Friedrich 2010 0.00 DNP
70 87 Antonio Bastardo 2008 0.00 DNP
71 87 Miguel Pena 2013 0.00 DNP
72 87 Lisalverto Bonilla 2012 0.00 DNP
73 87 Manuel Rivera 2012 0.00 DNP
74 87 Eric Jokisch 2012 0.00 DNP
75 87 Keith Couch 2012 0.00 DNP
76 87 Dylan Owen 2009 0.00 DNP
77 87 Javier Avendano 2013 0.00 DNP
78 87 Eric Beaulac 2009 0.00 DNP
79 87 Greg Billo 2013 0.00 DNP
80 87 Edgar Osuna 2010 0.00 DNP
81 87 Hector Rondon 2010 0.00 DNP
82 87 Tim Berry 2013 0.00 DNP
83 87 Rainy Lara 2013 0.00 DNP
84 87 Timothy Melville 2012 0.00 DNP
85 87 Boone Whiting 2012 0.00 DNP
86 87 Justin Wilson 2010 0.00 DNP
87 86 Mike Wright 2012 0.00 DNP
88 86 Neil Ramirez 2011 0.00 DNP
89 86 Steve Johnson 2010 0.00 DNP
90 86 Tommy Hanson 2009 2.96
91 86 Alexander Smit 2008 0.00 DNP
92 86 Eric Surkamp 2010 0.00 DNP
93 86 Robert Bundy 2012 0.00 DNP
94 86 Daniel Renken 2012 0.00 DNP
95 86 Thomas Collier 2012 0.00 DNP
96 86 Nicholas Carr 2009 0.00 DNP
97 86 Will Lamb 2013 0.00 DNP
98 86 Elisaul Pimentel 2011 0.00 DNP
99 86 Tyler Robertson 2010 0.00 DNP
100 86 Matthew Andriese 2012 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Power righty Vincent Velasquez took the standard 18 month "vacation" for Tommy John surgery, and the return was about as positive as possible, as he showed full arm strength, both breaking pitches intact, and none of the wobbly control often accompanying injury returnees.
2011 Vincent Velasquez, the Astros' second-round pick last year, made a strong professional debut before undergoing September Tommy John surgery that will keep him out of action in 2011.

BP Articles

Vincent Velasquez is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of September 12-14Jeff Moore2014-09-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of September 5-7Jeff Moore2014-09-08
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, August 20Jeff Moore2014-08-21
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 14Jeff Moore2014-08-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, July 22Jeff Moore2014-07-23
Eyewitness Accounts: July 17, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-07-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneBen Carsley2014-05-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneCraig Goldstein2014-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: April 29, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-04-29
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Weekend Games of April 18-20Jeff Moore2014-04-21
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 7, 2014Jeff Moore2014-04-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 101 Fantasy Prospects of 2014: Part Two: 51-101Bret Sayre2014-03-04
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersJared Weiss2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2014-02-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-26
BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft: Rounds 8-10Bret Sayre2014-02-05
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Houston Astros Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-11-04
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 28-30Zach Mortimer2013-07-01
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, June 25Zach Mortimer2013-06-26
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 25-26Zach Mortimer2013-04-27
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2013 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2013-03-29


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-01-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)I'm a bit surprised not to see both Vincent Velasquez and Lance McCullers off this list? Both had pretty good years and are expected to get better. Domingo Santana also should have a case as well. What made you not have them on the list?
(YP from Houston)
Other players offered a more convincing case. (Jason Parks on the Top 101 Prospects)
2014-01-29 19:00:00 (link to chat)Could you rank these pitchers in term of future fantasy value: C.J. Edwards, Miguel Almonte, Vincent Velasquez, Sean Manaea, and Alexander Reyes Thanks!
(Adam from Toronto )
Manaea, Almonte, Edwards, Reyes, Velasquez. (Ben Carsley)
2014-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)I hear mixed opinions on Vincent Velasquez. Is he a 2 starter or more of a back end guy for you?
(Matt473 from Austin)
I never got a#2 vibe from him when I saw him pitch in the NYPL, and the reports I've received from scouts that saw him in the MWL all considered him more of a #3/4 type. (Mark Anderson)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Vincent Velasquez has thrown 36 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system in 2014, all of them occuring in Fall/Winter Ball. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (95mph), also mixing in a Curve (82mph) and Change (85mph).