Biographical

Portrait of Tanner Roark

Tanner Roark PNationals

Nationals Player Cards | Nationals Team Audit | Nationals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
126.3 4.35 1.34 91 8 6 1 0.3
Birth Date10-5-1986
Height6' 2"
Weight230 lbs
Age28 years, 0 months, 21 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
1.12013
1.62014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2013 WAS 26 14 5 53.7 31.0 22.7 7 1 0 3 4 0 205 38 11 9 1 43 11 11 0 40 1.51 2.39 3.04 10.0 1.1
2014 WAS 27 31 31 198.7 198.7 0.0 15 10 0 0 21 1 798 178 64 63 16 262 39 38 6 138 2.85 3.44 4.15 10.8 1.3
Career4536252.3229.722.72211032511003216757217305504961782.573.223.9220.82.3

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2008 BAK A+ 12 2 30.0 4.54 105 .274 .272 .347 .409 .273 .301 97 2.3 0.2 2.3 0.2
2008 RNG Rk 7 0 12.3 4.50 118 .220 .265 .364 .396 .272 .273 103 2.1 0.2 2.1 0.2
2009 BAK A+ 29 9 86.7 4.79 97 .236 .268 .343 .415 .271 .288 100 16.7 1.7 16.7 1.7
2009 FRI AA 5 4 17.7 5.54 93 .236 .275 .345 .408 .249 .281 114 1.3 0.1 1.3 0.1
2010 FRI AA 22 17 105.0 5.19 78 .272 .263 .340 .390 .265 .318 95 1.1 0.1 1.1 0.1
2010 HAR AA 6 6 36.0 5.93 74 .270 .261 .331 .400 .263 .295 104 1.3 0.1 1.1 0.1
2011 HAR AA 21 21 117.0 5.08 76 .278 .253 .317 .379 .264 .322 86 -4.2 -0.4 -2.9 -0.3
2012 SYR AAA 28 26 147.7 5.03 91 .267 .255 .322 .384 .250 .332 99 6.2 0.6 5.0 0.7
2012 MAR Wnt 6 6 30.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .320 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 WAS MLB 14 5 53.7 3.04 126 .191 .247 .307 .370 .249 .243 101 9.4 1.0 10.0 1.1
2013 SYR AAA 33 11 105.7 4.28 105 .210 .250 .317 .377 .247 .255 100 11.1 1.1 13.2 1.7
2014 WAS MLB 31 31 198.7 4.15 93 .237 .239 .299 .366 .254 .270 97 9.7 1.1 10.8 1.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2008 RNG Rk 2 1 0 7 0 12.3 9 3 11 0 45% .273 6.6 2.2 0.0 8.0 0.98 0.73 2.1 0.2
2008 BAK A+ 1 3 1 12 2 30.0 27 13 37 5 46% .301 8.1 3.9 1.5 11.1 1.33 3.60 2.3 0.2
2009 FRI AA 1 1 0 5 4 17.7 17 7 9 1 43% .281 8.6 3.6 0.5 4.6 1.36 4.58 1.3 0.1
2009 BAK A+ 10 0 0 29 9 86.7 68 27 91 5 46% .288 7.1 2.8 0.5 9.4 1.10 2.70 16.7 1.7
2010 FRI AA 10 5 0 22 17 105.0 113 33 75 8 45% .318 9.7 2.8 0.7 6.4 1.39 4.20 1.1 0.1
2010 HAR AA 1 1 0 6 6 36.0 35 9 33 5 42% .295 8.8 2.2 1.2 8.2 1.22 2.50 1.1 0.1
2011 HAR AA 9 9 0 21 21 117.0 125 39 92 10 49% .322 9.6 3.0 0.8 7.1 1.40 4.69 -2.9 -0.3
2012 SYR AAA 6 17 0 28 26 147.7 161 47 130 14 45% .332 9.8 2.9 0.9 7.9 1.41 4.39 5.0 0.7
2012 MAR Wnt 1 1 0 6 6 30.0 35 11 20 3 0% .320 10.5 3.3 0.9 6.0 1.53 3.60 0.0 0.0
2013 SYR AAA 9 3 2 33 11 105.7 85 20 84 6 47% .255 7.2 1.7 0.5 7.2 0.99 3.15 13.2 1.7
2013 WAS MLB 7 1 0 14 5 53.7 38 11 40 1 50% .243 6.4 1.8 0.2 6.7 0.91 1.51 10.0 1.1
2014 WAS MLB 15 10 0 31 31 198.7 178 39 138 16 42% .270 8.1 1.8 0.7 6.3 1.09 2.85 10.8 1.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2013 756 0.5437 0.4471 0.8580 0.5791 0.2899 0.9412 0.6600 0.1391
2014 2989 0.5192 0.4625 0.8184 0.6231 0.2888 0.8811 0.6723 0.1802
Career37450.52410.45940.82640.61420.2890.89320.66980.1719

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 WAS $506,100
2013 WAS $
YearsDescriptionSalary
2011Current$506,100
1 yrTotal$506,100

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 55 d1 year/$0.5061M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.5061M (2014). Re-signed by Washington 2/26/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Contract selected by Washington 8/6/13.
  • Acquired by Washington in trade from Texas 7/30/10 (Cristian Guzman deal).
  • Drafted by Texas 2008 (25-753) (Illinois).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 3.5 2 0 48 3 80.6 71 21 58 8 .281 1.15 3.42 3.72 8.1 0.8
80o 3.4 2 0 48 3 75.5 71 21 54 8 .293 1.21 3.76 4.09 5.1 0.5
70o 3.4 2 0 48 3 71.8 70 21 52 8 .302 1.26 4.02 4.37 2.9 0.3
60o 3.3 2 0 48 3 68.7 69 21 50 8 .309 1.31 4.24 4.6 1.1 0.1
50o 3.3 2 0 48 3 65.9 68 20 48 8 .316 1.35 4.44 4.83 -0.7 -0.1
40o 3.2 2 0 48 3 63.1 68 20 46 8 .323 1.39 4.65 5.05 -2.3 -0.2
30o 3.2 2 0 48 3 60.2 67 20 44 8 .330 1.44 4.88 5.3 -4.2 -0.4
20o 3.1 2 0 48 3 56.8 65 19 41 7 .339 1.49 5.14 5.59 -6.4 -0.7
10o 3 2 0 48 3 52.3 63 19 38 7 .351 1.57 5.52 6 -9.4 -1.0
Weighted Mean3.32048365.76820478.3141.344.424.81-0.5-0.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
15% 22% 8% 15% 36%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201528530704969227751145.3031.243.974.318.62.57.01.00.7
20162942059481792361945.3081.264.054.408.82.66.81.00.5
201730420614838422631045.3131.284.254.629.12.46.91.10.3
201831420584798021591045.3121.284.194.569.22.46.81.10.4
20193232046363641748745.3131.284.174.549.12.46.81.00.3
20203332044361611646745.3131.274.084.449.02.46.81.00.4
20213432041356581441745.3151.294.214.579.32.26.61.10.2
20223532038252541237645.3141.284.194.559.42.16.41.00.2
20233621035248501134645.3131.264.174.539.32.06.31.10.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
0.25.82.3out of baseball3.52.611.8

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 84)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 Daryl Thompson 2013 0.00 DNP
2 93 Esmailin Caridad 2011 0.00 DNP
3 92 Chris Lambert 2010 0.00 DNP
4 91 Chad Reineke 2009 7.20
5 90 Alfredo Figaro 2012 0.00 DNP
6 89 Marco Estrada 2011 4.37
7 89 Daniel McCutchen 2010 6.38
8 89 Travis Banwart 2013 0.00 DNP
9 89 Chris Seddon 2011 0.00 DNP
10 89 Mike Parisi 2010 0.00 DNP
11 88 Sam LeCure 2011 3.82
12 88 John Stephens 2007 0.00 DNP
13 88 Bruce Billings 2013 0.00 DNP
14 88 Ramon A. Ramirez 2010 0.00 DNP
15 88 Brandon Hynick 2012 0.00 DNP
16 87 John Ely 2013 0.00 DNP
17 87 Austin Bibens-Dirkx 2012 0.00 DNP
18 86 Ben Snyder 2013 0.00 DNP
19 86 Blake Hawksworth 2010 5.58
20 86 Steven Shell 2010 0.00 DNP
21 86 Jeremy Hefner 2013 5.17
22 86 Dan Meyer 2009 3.70
23 86 Terry Doyle 2013 0.00 DNP
24 86 Fabio Castro 2012 0.00 DNP
25 85 Shane Komine 2008 0.00 DNP
26 85 Robert Ray 2011 0.00 DNP
27 85 Brad Mills 2012 0.00
28 85 Tom Koehler 2013 4.53
29 85 Pat Misch 2009 4.48
30 85 Drew Naylor 2013 0.00 DNP
31 85 Patrick Stanley 2010 0.00 DNP
32 84 Cesar Valdez 2012 0.00 DNP
33 84 Daniel Barone 2010 0.00 DNP
34 84 Carlos Torres 2010 8.56
35 84 Chris Cody 2011 0.00 DNP
36 84 Jason Jones 2010 0.00 DNP
37 84 Kevin Pucetas 2012 0.00 DNP
38 84 Matt Wright 2009 0.00 DNP
39 84 Ryohei Tanaka 2010 0.00 DNP
40 84 Francisco Cruceta 2009 0.00 DNP
41 84 Chris Narveson 2009 4.21
42 84 Andrew Albers 2013 5.10
43 84 Cha Seung Baek 2007 5.52
44 83 John Ennis 2007 8.22
45 83 Yohan Flande 2013 0.00 DNP
46 83 Timothy Bascom 2012 0.00 DNP
47 83 Andrew Baldwin 2010 0.00 DNP
48 83 Mike Ekstrom 2011 0.00
49 83 Enrique Gonzalez 2010 3.81
50 83 Dustin Moseley 2009 4.91
51 83 Josh Hall 2008 0.00 DNP
52 83 Adam Ottavino 2013 3.10
53 83 Cory Luebke 2012 2.90
54 83 Brian Stokes 2007 6.93
55 83 Eric Hurley 2013 0.00 DNP
56 83 Steven Register 2010 0.00 DNP
57 83 Tony Barnette 2011 0.00 DNP
58 83 Yohan Pino 2011 0.00 DNP
59 83 Neal Musser 2008 0.00
60 82 Dylan Axelrod 2013 6.24
61 82 Nate Jones 2013 4.62
62 82 Luke French 2013 0.00 DNP
63 82 Dustin Nippert 2008 6.53
64 82 J.D. Durbin 2009 0.00 DNP
65 82 Blake Johnson 2012 0.00 DNP
66 82 Brad Meyers 2013 0.00 DNP
67 82 Matt Belisle 2007 5.62
68 82 Yorman Bazardo 2012 0.00 DNP
69 82 Brad Lincoln 2012 3.78
70 82 Garrett Mock 2010 5.40
71 82 Joe Savery 2013 4.95
72 82 Charles Shirek 2013 0.00 DNP
73 82 Paul Oseguera 2011 0.00 DNP
74 82 Cory Riordan 2013 0.00 DNP
75 82 Tom Cochran 2010 0.00 DNP
76 82 Justin Mallett 2009 0.00 DNP
77 82 Jeff Mandel 2012 0.00 DNP
78 82 Philip Humber 2010 4.15
79 82 Brandon Dickson 2012 9.95
80 82 Adrian Alaniz 2011 0.00 DNP
81 82 Jason Hirsh 2009 0.00 DNP
82 82 Heath Rollins 2012 0.00 DNP
83 82 Adam Bass 2009 0.00 DNP
84 82 Graham Godfrey 2012 7.71
85 82 Lance Broadway 2011 0.00 DNP
86 81 Eric Hacker 2010 0.00 DNP
87 81 Ryan Edell 2011 0.00 DNP
88 81 Arnie Munoz 2009 0.00 DNP
89 81 Josh Geer 2010 0.00 DNP
90 81 Henry Sosa 2013 0.00 DNP
91 81 David Pauley 2010 4.37
92 81 Guillermo Moscoso 2011 4.15
93 81 Nick Pereira 2010 0.00 DNP
94 81 Eddie Gamboa 2012 0.00 DNP
95 81 Eric Berger 2013 0.00 DNP
96 81 Duane Below 2013 10.12
97 81 Jeremy Horst 2013 6.58
98 81 Josh Tomlin 2012 6.45
99 81 Travis Blackley 2010 0.00 DNP
100 81 Travis Chick 2011 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .263 .322 .312 .244
11 vs R (Multi) .157 .191 .167 .148
18 Split (Multi) .105 .131 .146 .096
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .263 .322 .312 .244
31 vs R (2013) .157 .191 .167 .148
38 Split (2013) .105 .131 .146 .096
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Tanner Roark held his own for Triple-A Syracuse in 2012, after needing two years to solve Double-A, and he’ll be among the top candidates for a promotion to the big club if the injury bug bites Washington’s pitching staff this year.
2011 Part of the payoff for sending Cristian Guzman to Texas, Tanner Roark has little going for him beyond command of low-temp heat, all the better to cook slowly with.

BP Articles

Tanner Roark is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: My Personal Scorecard: Part 2 - National LeagueMike Gianella2014-10-20
Playoff Prospectus: The Sad Reliever RankingsMiles Wray2014-10-14
BP Unfiltered: IBA Update: October 8Craig Goldstein2014-10-08
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This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Zimmermann and Post-Zimmermann: The Two Games Within NLDS Game TwoMike Gianella2014-10-05
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. GiantsMike Gianella2014-10-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. GiantsDoug Thorburn2014-10-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 17, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 25Wilson Karaman2014-09-12
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 11, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 26, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 22Wilson Karaman2014-08-22
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 14, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-14
TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 26: The Voice Of GodBret Sayre2014-08-09
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 8, 2014Sam Miller2014-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 8, 2014Andrew Koo2014-08-08
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 8, 2014Morris Greenberg2014-08-08
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Looking at Values, Part 2: PitchersMike Gianella2014-06-30
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/23Daniel Rathman2014-06-23
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Can't Retire the RoyalsNick Bacarella2014-06-18
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BP Unfiltered: This Week's New Pitching Lines, 5/16Sam Miller2014-05-16
The Week in Quotes: May 5-11Morris Greenberg2014-05-12
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-10-23 14:00:00 (link to chat)I'm a sucker for the boring good pitchers (e.g. Tanner Roark). Whose bandwagon should I hop on for 2015?
(ted from Chicago)
I recommend that you watch some Jose Quintana starts on MLB.tv this winter, while you're keeping warm next to the hot stove. Boring but solid, should be right up your alley. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-10-17 12:00:00 (link to chat)If I had asked you three months ago what the Royals' offseason would look like, what would you have said? What about now?
(Justin from KC)
The biggest difference wrought by these three months, I think, is the Royals will show even more faith in Mike Moustakas. Their needs remain the same: They need an RF, a DH, another starting pitcher and some bullpen help.

Why?

Right field: Nori Aoki is a free agent, and he'll certainly play for more than $1.5 million in 2015. KC may make an attempt to retain him.

DH: The Royals have a $12.5 million team option on Billy Butler, and they certainly won't pick it up. He wants to stay, even after an awkward September spent sometimes on the bench. That feeling may not be mutual, but a World Series trophy could alter any potential plans to cut ties with him. Butler is a popular player with the ownership group, and his roots here are deep.

SP: James Shields is a free agent. He'll get a qualifying offer and decline it. If the Royals sign him after that, Andy Martino will cover spring training in a Speedo.

Bullpen: You always need bullpen arms. Here is the one other major difference. It appeared pretty clear throughout the season that the Royals had to make a decision about Greg Holland and Wade Davis. Their total paycheck for 2015 should land around $15 million (give or take $100,000 based on Holland's arbitration figure), and that's a high price to pay for two one-inning relievers. But, of course, this run may alter their internal calculus. Our Sam Mellinger reported the Royals believe they make at least $1 million for every playoff game they host. If they have the spare cash, they may feel its imperative to retain the ingredients of this formula.

That said, relievers are relievers are relievers, and relievers are inherently damaged pitchers. They end up as relievers because there's something wrong with them that prevents them from starting. So they can be volatile. Holland missed a good chunk of September with, essentially, a cranky arm. His triceps was tight. He has the most trade value of the duo, but between his profile as a one-inning reliever and some injury concerns of rival officials, the team won't exactly be able to trade him for a front-line hitter. One suggestion I heard - from neither a Royals official nor a Nationals official - was a fair swap would be Holland for Tanner Roark. I'm not sure the KC front office would be overwhelmed by that offer, but that's the type that could be awaiting them.

All of this is to say: Yes, Moustakas will be back in 2015, despite hitting .212/.271/.361 in 140 games this year. (Andy McCullough)
2014-09-29 14:00:00 (link to chat)Which team's surprisingly good starter is most/least likely to hold up in October? Yusmeiro Petit, Edison Volquez, Matt Shoemaker, Tanner Roark, Lance Lynn
(Christopher from Queens)
Injury notwithstanding, I like Matt Shoemaker's chances of giving the Angels a frontline performance in the playoffs. His splitter is an absolute menace. On the flipside, I would be very nervous about banking on either Petit or Volquez, excellent regular seasons notwithstanding. Which means that in two days, Volquez will two-hit the Giants over seven innings and move the Pirates into the NLDS. (Daniel Rathman)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Of Tanner Roark, Jacob deGrom, and Jesse Hann, who do you think offers the most upside the next 2-3 years?
(Brian from Mass)
Hahn has the most upside for me, but also the most risk. If I'm picking one overall, I take deGrom. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-03-19 20:00:00 (link to chat)Still trying to figure out who the better speculative add is.. Taylor Jordan or Tanner Roark for the 5th spot in National's bullpen. Thanks.
(Matt from Indianapolis)
For me it's Taylor Jordan all the way. He's a better pitcher and I think the Nationals should just let him run with it. (Bret Sayre)
2013-12-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can Tanner Roark get 60 innings in 2014? He kind of seems like the odd man out with Fister coming over.
(Tim from Springfield)
Certainly. Injuries happen. Doubleheaders happen. Whatever. Roark's best served as a sixth starter type anyway. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-09-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)What have you seen out of Tanner Roark that's made him effective so far? He appeared out of nowhere, it seemed.
(Dan Rozenson from Washington, DC)
he suddenly stopped walking guys ... well, he never had a high walk rate but he got it down under 2 per 9 IP this year in Syracuse, and it's barely over that in the majors. I suspect part of that is the partial move to the bullpen. I don't think his secondary pitches are anything much, so I think swingman is probably the longterm role for him. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Is there a MLB future for Tanner Roark?
(jharrison3 from Illinois)
Sure maybe he can get a few cups of coffee which is something about 99.9% of the population cannot say. (Zach Mortimer)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Tanner Roark has thrown 3,794 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2013 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and the MLB Postseason. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (92mph), also mixing in a Fourseam Fastball (92mph), Slider (84mph), Change (83mph) and Curve (74mph).