Biographical

Portrait of Xavier Avery

Xavier Avery CFMariners

Mariners Player Cards | Mariners Team Audit | Mariners Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .231 3 29 17 11 .230 -0.4
Birth Date1-1-1990
Height6' 0"
Weight190 lbs
Age24 years, 9 months, 22 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2010
2011
-0.02012
2013
-0.42014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2012 BAL 22 32 107 94 14 21 6 1 1 32 11 23 0 0 2 6 6 3 .223 .305 .340 .232 -0.8 0.5 -0.0
Career32107941421611321123002663.223.305.340.232-0.80.5-0.0

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2008 ORI Rk 47 192 .257 .255 .321 .352 .253 .386 89 -0.7 6.1 0.1 -3.0 -0.8 6.1 0.3 6.1 0.3
2009 DEL A 129 509 .259 .253 .327 .367 .263 .336 87 -0.7 14.5 1.1 -5.8 0.5 14.5 0.9 14.5 0.9
2010 FRD A+ 109 498 .255 .261 .330 .384 .250 .347 106 -2.7 15.0 -0.6 -9.4 4.4 15.3 0.6 15.3 0.6
2010 BOW AA 27 120 .244 .256 .336 .393 .264 .306 101 -2 3.4 0.3 1.5 1.1 2.0 0.4 2.0 0.4
2011 BOW AA 138 626 .258 .260 .326 .393 .271 .352 83 -1.1 18.4 1.7 -13.5 2.3 19.1 0.6 19.1 0.6
2012 BAL MLB 32 107 .232 .249 .316 .404 .260 .286 102 -3 2.9 -0.7 0.5 0.6 -0.8 -0.0 -0.8 -0.0
2012 NOR AAA 102 458 .245 .258 .329 .391 .253 .301 95 -7.8 13.6 0.1 -10.3 3.5 7.8 -0.2 7.8 -0.2
2013 BOW AA 39 186 .302 .262 .329 .401 .273 .409 101 7.8 5.1 0 -0.1 2.3 14.7 1.6 14.7 1.6
2013 NOR AAA 81 333 .230 .251 .323 .374 .250 .306 98 -10.6 9.4 -0.9 -4.2 0.1 -2.6 -0.7 -2.6 -0.7
2013 TAC AAA 3 14 .480 .272 .320 .450 .272 .500 85 3.3 0.4 -0.1 -0.0 -0.6 3.0 0.3 3.0 0.3
2014 TAC AAA 120 447 .274 .281 .349 .453 .272 .332 93 7.2 13.2 -2.2 0.3 2.5 19.8 2.0 19.8 2.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2008 ORI Rk 192 27 49 8 1 0 7 10 51 13 3 .280 .328 .337 .057 .257 6.1 -3.0 0.3
2009 DEL A 509 55 124 15 8 2 36 27 111 30 10 .262 .306 .340 .078 .259 14.5 -5.8 0.9
2010 FRD A+ 498 73 125 25 6 4 48 42 96 28 14 .280 .348 .389 .110 .255 15.3 -9.4 0.6
2010 BOW AA 120 10 25 6 0 3 18 7 34 10 0 .234 .288 .374 .140 .244 2.0 1.5 0.4
2011 BOW AA 626 72 144 31 2 4 26 49 156 36 14 .259 .324 .343 .084 .258 19.1 -13.5 0.6
2012 NOR AAA 458 57 92 13 5 8 34 51 106 22 7 .236 .330 .356 .121 .245 7.8 -10.3 -0.2
2012 BAL MLB 107 14 21 6 1 1 6 11 23 6 3 .223 .305 .340 .117 .232 -0.8 0.5 -0.0
2013 BOW AA 186 34 48 10 2 1 12 23 44 12 3 .300 .391 .406 .106 .302 14.7 -0.1 1.6
2013 NOR AAA 333 36 70 12 2 2 23 31 73 17 5 .237 .312 .312 .075 .230 -2.6 -4.2 -0.7
2013 TAC AAA 14 5 6 1 0 1 3 1 1 1 0 .500 .538 .833 .333 .480 3.0 -0.0 0.3
2014 TAC AAA 447 70 110 21 2 10 38 42 91 31 8 .275 .344 .412 .138 .274 19.8 0.3 2.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2012 422 0.5427 0.4692 0.7222 0.6288 0.2798 0.7847 0.5556 0.2677
Career4220.54270.46920.72220.62880.27980.78470.55560.2677

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 SEA $
2013 BAL $
2012 BAL $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 65 dExcel Sports1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Re-signed by Seattle 2/25/14. DFA by Seattle 3/28/14. Sent outright to Triple-A 4/2/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Re-signed by Baltimore 3/8/13. Acquired by Seattle in trade from Baltimore 8/30/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Contract purchased by Baltimore 5/13/12.
  • Drafted by Baltimore 2008 (2-50) (Cedar Grove HS, Ga.). Signed 6/08, $0.9M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 311 37 75 14 2 4 28 28 74 16 5 .275 .338 .390 .269 10.6 LF -1, RF 0 0.8
80o 290 33 67 13 2 3 25 25 71 14 4 .260 .322 .367 .255 6.2 LF -1, RF 0 0.4
70o 275 31 61 12 2 3 22 23 69 13 4 .249 .309 .352 .246 3.3 LF -1, RF 0 0.1
60o 262 28 56 11 1 3 21 21 66 12 4 .240 .299 .338 .237 1.0 LF -1, RF 0 -0.2
50o 250 26 52 10 1 3 19 19 64 11 3 .231 .289 .326 .230 -0.9 LF -1, RF 0 -0.4
40o 238 25 47 9 1 2 18 18 62 10 3 .223 .280 .313 .222 -2.6 LF -1, RF 0 -0.5
30o 225 23 43 8 1 2 16 16 60 9 3 .214 .269 .300 .214 -4.2 LF -1, RF 0 -0.7
20o 210 20 38 7 1 2 15 15 56 8 3 .204 .257 .285 .204 -5.9 LF 0, RF 0 -0.9
10o 189 17 33 6 1 2 12 12 52 7 2 .189 .240 .264 .191 -7.8 LF 0, RF 0 -1.0
Weighted Mean25527531013202065114.235.294.331.2330.0LF -1, RF 0-0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
10% 19% 1% 12% 27%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
2015252502651111423196510.227.290.337.226-0.7-4.20.9-0.612.5-17.0-2.4
2016262782956112426237312.227.296.339.231-0.5-1.91.1-0.814.9-17.1-2.7
201727625651302439565116127.233.299.335.229-1.0-3.12.1-1.914.9-18.2-6.1
20182845146911826403611518.227.292.329.226-1.1-5.41.3-1.514.9-20.1-4.4
2019296376813326310595515526.237.306.347.237-0.7-0.11.2-2.314.9-13.9-6.2
2020306226713025311595315324.235.303.350.237-0.7-0.40.8-2.414.9-13.7-6.1
2021316376813426211605315523.237.304.348.236-0.9-1.60.4-2.714.9-14.3-6.2
2022326036513025210574914321.244.308.353.239-0.7-0.3-0.0-2.714.9-12.5-5.9
202333621651282729565114820.232.298.338.231-1.3-5.6-0.3-3.014.9-17.3-6.1

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
0.22.75.30.10.10.58.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 85)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 91 Daryl Jones 2011 .000 DNP
2 91 Clete Thomas 2008 .269
3 90 Steve Moss 2008 .000 DNP
4 89 Austin Krum 2010 .000 DNP
5 89 Juan Valdes 2009 .000 DNP
6 89 Abraham Almonte 2013 .262
7 89 James Jones 2013 .000 DNP
8 89 Xavier Paul 2009 .315
9 89 Chad Oberacker 2013 .000 DNP
10 89 Adron Chambers 2011 .355
11 88 Mike Daniel 2009 .000 DNP
12 88 Brad McElroy 2010 .000 DNP
13 88 Shaun Cumberland 2009 .000 DNP
14 88 Travis Witherspoon 2013 .000 DNP
15 88 Ryan LaMarre 2013 .000 DNP
16 88 Tim Fedroff 2011 .000 DNP
17 88 Lorenzo Cain 2010 .293
18 88 Damon Sublett 2010 .000 DNP
19 88 Ryan Strausborger 2012 .000 DNP
20 88 Clay Fuller 2011 .000 DNP
21 88 Blake Tekotte 2011 .204
22 87 Roger Bernadina 2008 .202
23 87 D'Marcus Ingram 2012 .000 DNP
24 87 Drew Stubbs 2009 .274
25 87 Jack Rye 2010 .000 DNP
26 87 Michael Bourn 2007 .251
27 87 Dustin Martin 2008 .000 DNP
28 86 Kevin Mattison 2010 .000 DNP
29 86 Tyson Gillies 2013 .000 DNP
30 86 Brandon Boggs 2007 .000 DNP
31 86 Yohan Silva 2009 .000 DNP
32 86 Jordan Danks 2011 .000 DNP
33 85 Adam Calderone 2008 .000 DNP
34 85 Jon Jay 2009 .000 DNP
35 85 Brett Gardner 2008 .216
36 85 Franklin Gutierrez 2007 .270
37 85 Logan Schafer 2011 .291
38 85 Isaias Velasquez 2012 .000 DNP
39 85 Trevor Crowe 2008 .000 DNP
40 85 Jordan Schafer 2011 .238
41 85 Jermaine Mitchell 2009 .000 DNP
42 85 Brandon Guyer 2010 .000 DNP
43 85 Edgardo Baez 2010 .000 DNP
44 84 Tony Gwynn 2007 .228
45 84 Francisco Plasencia 2008 .000 DNP
46 84 Andy Workman 2013 .000 DNP
47 84 Seth Fortenberry 2008 .000 DNP
48 84 Evan Frey 2010 .000 DNP
49 84 Sean Shoffit 2009 .000 DNP
50 84 Joshua Flores 2010 .000 DNP
51 84 Darin Mastroianni 2010 .000 DNP
52 83 Charlie Blackmon 2011 .191
53 83 Eric Fryer 2010 .000 DNP
54 83 Adam Melker 2012 .000 DNP
55 83 Tyler Holt 2013 .000 DNP
56 83 Jason Pridie 2008 .139
57 83 John Shelby 2010 .000 DNP
58 83 Jared Hoying 2013 .000 DNP
59 83 Bronson Sardinha 2007 .252
60 83 Ollie Linton 2010 .000 DNP
61 83 John Raynor 2008 .000 DNP
62 83 Gorkys Hernandez 2012 .210
63 83 Jordan Parraz 2009 .000 DNP
64 83 Anthony Gallas 2012 .000 DNP
65 83 Arturo Rivas 2008 .000 DNP
66 83 Craig Cooper 2009 .000 DNP
67 82 Kentrail Davis 2012 .000 DNP
68 82 Deik Scram 2008 .000 DNP
69 82 Rainel Rosario 2013 .000 DNP
70 82 Thomas Pham 2012 .000 DNP
71 82 Colin Curtis 2009 .000 DNP
72 82 Matt Den Dekker 2012 .000 DNP
73 82 Rob Segedin 2013 .000 DNP
74 82 Felix Pie 2009 .252
75 82 Archie Gilbert 2008 .000 DNP
76 82 Chris Pettit 2009 .161
77 82 Tim Smith 2010 .000 DNP
78 82 Jeffrey Corsaletti 2007 .000 DNP
79 82 Jose Duarte 2009 .000 DNP
80 82 Dan Grovatt 2013 .000 DNP
81 82 Ty Wright 2009 .000 DNP
82 82 Chris Edmondson 2012 .000 DNP
83 81 Matt Long 2011 .000 DNP
84 81 A.J. Pollock 2012 .253
85 81 Justin Jackson 2013 .000 DNP
86 81 Joe Holden 2008 .000 DNP
87 81 Matt Young 2007 .000 DNP
88 81 Kyle Day 2011 .000 DNP
89 81 Jonathan Goncalves 2013 .000 DNP
90 81 Lino Garcia 2008 .000 DNP
91 81 Bryan Petersen 2010 .088
92 81 Collin Cowgill 2010 .000 DNP
93 81 Cody Rogers 2013 .000 DNP
94 81 Ben Guez 2011 .000 DNP
95 81 Danny Payne 2010 .000 DNP
96 81 Rafael Fernandez 2013 .000 DNP
97 81 Shane Peterson 2012 .000 DNP
98 81 Matt Miller 2007 .000 DNP
99 81 Denard Span 2008 .294
100 81 Casey Craig 2009 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2013 Avery, one of the most athletic players in Baltimore's organization, made his debut as an injury replacement for the big boys last season. While he has good speed and defensive skills, his approach at the plate is suspect and reviews of his bat are mixed. The hit tool is what will ultimately determine whether he becomes a starter or a fourth outfielder, and signs point to the latter. He doesn't make hard contact, and there are doubts about his ability to handle breaking pitches. And while he's been improving of late, he's had a sketchy work ethic in the past.
2012 Avery is the type of prospect scouts love to dream about: a multi-sport star in high school, the best athlete in Baltimore's system, loaded with potential. He passed up a football scholarship for pro ball, and was scouted out of the same rural Georgia baseball program that produced Nick Markakis and (Avery's workout partner) Jason Heyward. He is still quite raw, and his stats reflect it, but Avery has begun to spin his tools into on-field production, raising his walk rate and lowering his strikeout rate this season. He doesn't have much power projection, but he hits the ball hard, projects as an excellent defender, and, on the 20-80 scouting scale, he has 70 speed. While few project Avery as a superstar, most feel he'll be an everyday center fielder and leadoff man.
2011 Sometimes, when one asks why a particular player is considered a top prospect despite mediocre results, the scouty types will answer with a question: “Have you ever seen him naked?” This is their clever way of indicating that the player in question has incredible physical gifts that make him worth waiting for. They also may be propositioning you, but put that aside. Avery is a “seen him naked” guy, a toolsy athlete who would have been playing college football had the Orioles not showed him the green in 2008. The results have been equivocal: Avery made it to Double-A at 20, and although he began to look more like a ballplayer than a tourist in 2010, there is still a way to go. He has plus speed, but its application is unrefined, and most important of all, he just hasn’t hit yet. Avery’s tools remain blunt objects awaiting refinement into precision instruments. Sometimes players with this skill set eventually blossom into regulars; more often, they fill out the ranks of America's proud fourth and fifth outfielders.
2010 The Orioles drafted Xavier Avery in 2008's second round as a pure tools bet, hoping he'd be able to translate some of them into baseball skills. One year later, they're still hoping.

BP Articles

Xavier Avery is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersBen Murphy2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersJared Weiss2014-02-21
Fantasy Team Preview: Seattle MarinersBret Sayre2013-11-06
Fantasy Team Preview: Seattle MarinersBen Carsley2013-11-06
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Breaking Down August's Buzzer-Beating TradesJason Cole2013-09-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Breaking Down August's Buzzer-Beating TradesChris Mellen2013-09-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Breaking Down August's Buzzer-Beating TradesBen Lindbergh2013-09-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Breaking Down August's Buzzer-Beating TradesNick J. Faleris2013-09-03
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 31, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-31
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 7, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-07
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2013 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2013-03-29
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Baltimore Orioles Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-02-15
The Lineup Card: 13 Offseason NeedsBaseball Prospectus2012-11-07
BP Unfiltered: Two Players You Haven't Seen Since 2007Ben Lindbergh2012-08-01
BP Unfiltered: Erick Aybar Takes an Extra BaseR.J. Anderson2012-07-09
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Stras WarsDoug Thorburn2012-05-25
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Yeah, But is it Gonna Fly?Jay Jaffe2012-05-18
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of April 24Kevin Goldstein2012-04-25
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of April 11Kevin Goldstein2012-04-12
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: AL East Prospect PreviewKevin Goldstein2012-03-27
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Notable NRI: AL EastR.J. Anderson2012-03-01
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Baltimore Orioles Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2011-11-15
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Positional Primacy: Center FieldJason Parks2011-08-11
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 25Kevin Goldstein2011-05-26
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Prospect Preview: AL EastKevin Goldstein2011-03-25
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Baltimore Orioles Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2010-11-17
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of July 28Kevin Goldstein2010-07-29
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of July 19Kevin Goldstein2010-07-20
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of July 1Kevin Goldstein2010-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of April 22Kevin Goldstein2010-04-23


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PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

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