Biographical

Portrait of Rick Porcello

Rick Porcello PTigers

Tigers Player Cards | Tigers Team Audit | Tigers Depth Chart

Career Summary
Years IP W L SV SO ERA WARP
6 1073.3 76 63 0 655 4.30 7.1
Birth Date12-27-1988
Height6' 5"
Weight200 lbs
BatsR
ThrowsR
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2009 DET 20 31 31 170.7 170.7 0.0 14 9 0 0 11 0 720 176 81 75 23 274 52 52 3 89 3.96 4.82 5.78 4.0 0.4
2010 DET 21 27 27 162.7 162.7 0.0 10 12 0 0 13 1 700 188 96 89 18 273 38 36 7 84 4.92 4.28 5.19 10.5 0.8
2011 DET 22 31 31 182.0 182.0 0.0 14 9 0 0 19 0 784 210 103 96 18 313 46 45 8 104 4.75 4.09 4.60 18.4 1.7
2012 DET 23 31 31 176.3 176.3 0.0 10 12 0 0 13 0 783 226 101 90 16 331 44 41 6 107 4.59 3.86 4.76 13.8 1.6
2013 DET 24 32 29 177.0 172.7 4.3 13 8 0 0 18 0 736 185 87 85 18 270 42 38 3 142 4.32 3.56 4.76 10.4 1.0
2014 DET 25 32 31 204.7 202.7 2.0 15 13 0 0 21 0 840 211 89 78 18 320 41 37 4 129 3.43 3.70 4.36 16.6 1.5
Career1841801073.31067.06.3766300951456311965575131111781263249316554.304.044.8873.77.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2008 LAK A+ 24 24 125.0 5.18 93 .235 .260 .333 .387 .256 .270 106 2.2 0.2 2.2 0.2
2009 DET MLB 31 31 170.7 5.78 82 .250 .267 .335 .420 .261 .277 102 3.5 0.4 4.0 0.4
2010 DET MLB 27 27 162.7 5.19 96 .253 .260 .324 .402 .254 .307 112 10.4 1.1 10.5 0.8
2010 TOL AAA 4 4 28.0 4.60 101 .223 .275 .347 .420 .260 .296 98 1.2 0.1 1.2 0.1
2011 DET MLB 31 31 182.0 4.60 103 .266 .257 .317 .395 .257 .316 106 17.8 1.9 18.4 1.7
2012 DET MLB 31 31 176.3 4.76 98 .278 .259 .321 .411 .262 .344 105 13.9 1.5 13.8 1.6
2013 DET MLB 32 29 177.0 4.76 90 .252 .250 .313 .395 .262 .315 101 10.3 1.1 10.4 1.0
2014 DET MLB 32 31 204.7 4.36 101 .252 .254 .314 .389 .261 .298 106 16.5 1.8 16.6 1.5

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2008 LAK A+ 8 6 0 24 24 125.0 116 33 72 7 66% .270 8.4 2.4 0.5 5.2 1.19 2.66 2.2 0.2
2009 DET MLB 14 9 0 31 31 170.7 176 52 89 23 55% .277 9.3 2.7 1.2 4.7 1.34 3.96 4.0 0.4
2010 TOL AAA 1 2 0 4 4 28.0 24 10 19 0 65% .296 7.7 3.2 0.0 6.1 1.21 3.21 1.2 0.1
2010 DET MLB 10 12 0 27 27 162.7 188 38 84 18 51% .307 10.4 2.1 1.0 4.6 1.39 4.92 10.5 0.8
2011 DET MLB 14 9 0 31 31 182.0 210 46 104 18 54% .316 10.4 2.3 0.9 5.1 1.41 4.75 18.4 1.7
2012 DET MLB 10 12 0 31 31 176.3 226 44 107 16 54% .344 11.5 2.2 0.8 5.5 1.53 4.59 13.8 1.6
2013 DET MLB 13 8 0 32 29 177.0 185 42 142 18 56% .315 9.4 2.1 0.9 7.2 1.28 4.32 10.4 1.0
2014 DET MLB 15 13 0 32 31 204.7 211 41 129 18 51% .298 9.3 1.8 0.8 5.7 1.23 3.43 16.6 1.5

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2009 2699 0.5269 0.4461 0.8470 0.6041 0.2694 0.9069 0.6977 0.1513
2010 2467 0.5537 0.4430 0.8626 0.5952 0.2534 0.9151 0.7097 0.1374
2011 2856 0.4884 0.4536 0.8564 0.6237 0.2909 0.9126 0.7412 0.1429
2012 2816 0.4972 0.4741 0.8366 0.6214 0.3277 0.9103 0.6983 0.1612
2013 2821 0.4920 0.4591 0.8077 0.6037 0.3189 0.8938 0.6499 0.1907
2014 3038 0.5148 0.4768 0.8384 0.6023 0.3433 0.9055 0.7134 0.1588
Career166970.51120.45940.8410.60870.30240.90720.70180.1575

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-05-13 2014-05-17 DTD 4 3 - Trunk Soreness Ribcage - -
2009-03-17 2009-03-21 Camp 4 0 Right Fingers Laceration Fingernail -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2015 BOS $
2014 DET $8,500,000
2013 DET $5,100,000
2012 DET $3,100,000
2011 DET $1,536,000
2010 DET $1,987,500
2009 DET $2,162,500
2008 DET $1,100,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
6 yrPrevious$14,986,000
2011Current$8,500,000
7 yrPvs + Cur$23,486,000
7 yrTotal$23,486,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
5 y 170 dExcel Sports1 year/$8.5M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$8.5M (2014). Re-signed by Detroit 1/17/14 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by Boston in trade from Detroit 12/11/14.
  • 1 year/$5.1M (2013). Re-signed by Detroit 1/18/13 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$3.1M (2012). Re-signed by Detroit 1/16/12 (avoided arbitration).
  • 4 years/$7.285M (2007-10), plus 2011-12 club options. Signed Major League contract with Detroit 8/14/07. $3.85M signing bonus. 07:$0.38M, 08:$1.1M, 09:$1.2M, 10:$1.025M, 11:$1.536M club option, 12:$1.344M club option. Optioned to A 3/12/08. Recalled 2009. Optioned to Triple-A 6/20/10. Recalled 7/17/10.
  • Represented by Scott Boras for first pro contract.
  • Drafted by Detroit 2007 (1-27) (Seton Hall Prep, West Orange, N.J.).

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BP Articles

Rick Porcello is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
Daisy Cutter: The Value of Five-Plus PlayersSahadev Sharma2014-12-17
The Week in Quotes: December 8-14, 2014Nick Bacarella2014-12-15
The Week in Quotes: December 8-14, 2014Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-12-15
The Week in Quotes: December 8-14, 2014Chris Mosch2014-12-15
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Sixty Percent of a Red Sox RotationAndrew Koo2014-12-15
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: All the Fantasy AnglesMike Gianella2014-12-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: All the Fantasy AnglesBen Carsley2014-12-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: All the Fantasy AnglesJ.P. Breen2014-12-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: All the Fantasy AnglesWilson Karaman2014-12-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: All the Fantasy AnglesNick Shlain2014-12-12
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Remember James Shields? Daniel Rathman2014-12-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Pitchers the Reds ShedR.J. Anderson2014-12-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Pitchers the Reds ShedJordan Gorosh2014-12-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Pitchers the Reds ShedZachary Levine2014-12-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Detroit TigersNick Shlain2014-11-24
This article requires BP Premium accessPitching Backward: The Guy Who Makes Scherzer (Slightly More) ExpendableJeff Long2014-11-20
The Lineup Card: Nine of the Worst Postseason Managerial DecisionsBaseball Prospectus2014-10-09
BP Unfiltered: IBA Update: October 6Craig Goldstein2014-10-05
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: ALDS Game One Recap: Detroit Shock CityR.J. Anderson2014-10-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Orioles vs. TigersR.J. Anderson2014-10-02
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: All Games Are Equal Except For TheseZachary Levine2014-09-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 29, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 26Wilson Karaman2014-09-19
In A Pickle: How To Lose Lots of One-Run GamesJason Wojciechowski2014-09-15
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 11, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 10, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-10
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 26, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 22Wilson Karaman2014-08-22
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 21, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-21
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 15, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-15
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 11, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 11, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 8, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 8, 2014Morris Greenberg2014-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 8, 2014Sam Miller2014-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 8, 2014Andrew Koo2014-08-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 20Wilson Karaman2014-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 4, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Useful Non-Closer RelieversJ.P. Breen2014-07-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 17Wilson Karaman2014-07-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Rick Porcello: Buy or Sell?Craig Goldstein2014-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The A's Get Rick-RolledChris Mosch2014-07-02
The Week in Quotes: June 23-29Nick Bacarella2014-06-30
The Week in Quotes: June 23-29Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-06-30
The Week in Quotes: June 23-29Morris Greenberg2014-06-30
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Killer CsChris Mosch2014-06-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 14Wilson Karaman2014-06-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 13Bret Sayre2014-06-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 13Mike Gianella2014-06-26
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: The Players PECOTA Has MissedBen Lindbergh2014-06-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 11Wilson Karaman2014-06-06
BP Unfiltered: This Week's New Pitching Lines, 5/30Sam Miller2014-05-30
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 5/27Daniel Rathman2014-05-27
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The Week in Quotes: May 13-19Nick Bacarella2014-05-19
The Week in Quotes: May 13-19Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-05-19
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This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Bullish on DozierR.J. Anderson2014-05-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneCraig Goldstein2014-05-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneBen Carsley2014-05-13
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: AL Central U25 ListsBen Carsley2014-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: How Service Time Dictates Top Prospect PromotionsZachary Levine2014-04-18
Daily League Strategy: Sticking With Your GuysPaul Sporer2014-04-11
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFive to Watch: American League Starting PitchersCraig Goldstein2014-03-12
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Over the Radar 2.0Doug Thorburn2014-03-07
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersJared Weiss2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2014-02-27
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessState of the Position: Starting PitchersMike Gianella2014-02-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessMock Auction Analysis: AL- and NL-Only Mike Gianella2014-02-20
Fantasy Experts Mock Draft: Recap and AnalysisPaul Sporer2014-02-10
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Smyly AnticipatedR.J. Anderson2014-01-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: What is a Minor League Pick Worth?Mike Gianella2014-01-06
The Lineup Card: Seven Trade Ideas for the Winter MeetingsBaseball Prospectus2013-12-05
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Detroit TigersPaul Sporer2013-12-03
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: AFL First Pitch Forums Draft, Part TwoPaul Sporer2013-11-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The Fantasy Fallout of the Fielder-Kinsler SwapBret Sayre2013-11-21
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This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: ALDS Game One Preview: Tigers vs. AthleticsPaul Sporer2013-10-04
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: A Wild Final WeekendChris Mosch2013-09-30
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: A Wild Final WeekendAndrew Koo2013-09-30
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: A Wild Final WeekendSatchel Price2013-09-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: What's Gotten Into Rick Porcello?Craig Goldstein2013-09-23
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 22, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFive to Watch: The Save RushCraig Goldstein2013-09-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 25Paul Sporer2013-09-13
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 11, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-11
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 21Paul Sporer2013-08-16
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessSporer Report: Seven Starting Pitchers on the RisePaul Sporer2013-08-07
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 5, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Mailbag: Looking AheadBP Fantasy Staff2013-08-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 18Bret Sayre2013-08-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 18Mike Gianella2013-08-01
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 29, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-29
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 12, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-12
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 15Bret Sayre2013-07-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 15Mike Gianella2013-07-11
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 12Mike Gianella2013-06-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 12Bret Sayre2013-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 20, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-20
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This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: Bayes and the Hit By PitchZachary Levine2013-06-13
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 9, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFive to Watch: Checking in on the Holy TrinityBret Sayre2013-06-07
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 3, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Bronx is BurningDaniel Rathman2013-05-31
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Up in Their GrilliDaniel Rathman2013-05-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Halo EffectDaniel Rathman2013-05-28
Fantasy Beat: Weekly #streameroftheday UpdateBret Sayre2013-05-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week NinePaul Sporer2013-05-24
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 24, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-24
Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 5/18Ben Lindbergh2013-05-18
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 18th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: The Bad Teams With a PlanBret Sayre2013-05-15
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 13, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Dumping Targets, a Look BackMike Gianella2013-05-13
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Fantasy Beat: Weekly #streameroftheday UpdateBret Sayre2013-05-03
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Seeing What You Want to SeeBret Sayre2013-04-29
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 28, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-28
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Muscle and BraunDaniel Rathman2013-04-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: First EditionBret Sayre2013-04-22
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 15, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-15
Fantasy Beat: Down Goes DonaldsonPaul Sporer2013-04-15
Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 4/12Ben Lindbergh2013-04-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week ThreePaul Sporer2013-04-12
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 11, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Should We Start Pitchers Making Their Major-League Debuts?Bret Sayre2013-04-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: My American League PortfolioPaul Sporer2013-04-10
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: A Whiff of TroubleDaniel Rathman2013-04-10
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 5, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-04-05
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 5, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-05
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The Call-Up: Jose Fernandez Jason Parks2013-03-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Expert-League Auction ComparisonJason Collette2013-03-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tier Rankings: American League Starting PitchersPaul Sporer2013-03-26
Prospectus Preview: These Questions Three: The FavoritesR.J. Anderson2013-03-25
Prospectus Preview: These Questions Three: The FavoritesNick J. Faleris2013-03-25
The BP Wayback Machine: Q&A: Rick PorcelloDavid Laurila2013-03-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFive to Watch: The Top Prospect EditionBret Sayre2013-03-18
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: The Battle for the KeystoneDaniel Rathman2013-03-11
On the Beat: Fighting for BĂ©isbol ProminenceJohn Perrotto2013-03-07
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Not Run Down on RondonDaniel Rathman2013-03-05
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Over the RadarDoug Thorburn2013-03-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: CBS AL-Only Expert Auction ResultsMike Gianella2013-03-01
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Count to 300R.J. Anderson2013-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFive to Watch: National League HittersBret Sayre2013-02-22
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: A Rocky RotationDaniel Rathman2013-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFive to Watch: American League HittersBret Sayre2013-02-15
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Spring Position Battles, American LeagueBen Lindbergh2013-02-11
This article requires BP Premium accessArbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Max ScherzerLarry Granillo2013-02-07
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Detroit Tigers Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-02-05
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Monday, February 4Daniel Rathman2013-02-04
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: All the Young MovesBen Lindbergh2013-01-29
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Friday, January 25Daniel Rathman2013-01-25
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Buy Low, PorcelloR.J. Anderson2013-01-21
Rumor Roundup: Friday, January 18Daniel Rathman2013-01-18
The BP Wayback Machine: Projecting the Top of the CropNate Silver2013-01-18
In A Pickle: The Disunited States of AmericaJason Wojciechowski2013-01-17
Rumor Roundup: Monday, January 14Daniel Rathman2013-01-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Value Round-UpDerek Carty2013-01-07
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Friday, December 21Daniel Rathman2012-12-21
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-11-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)I am having a tough time reading Rick Porcello's year. On one hand he is only 26 and coming off big improvements in ERA and ERA+. On the other hand, he has had six full seasons where he is averaging 5.5 k/9. Was 2014 real improvement or an outlier, and should we expect a league average pitcher going forward or for him to build on those improvements?
(John from Chicago)
I think there is some legitimacy to the improvement, John, but don't see Porcello ever emerging as a frontline arm. He's a very solid pitcher in spite of the low strikeout rate, and I'd expect around a 3.75 ERA, splitting the difference between his past two years, but leaning toward 2014 as the Tigers continue to improve defensively with the addition of Gose. He's better than league average (which I'd put around a fourth starter), and more of a middle-to-low-end no. 3 starter for me. (Daniel Rathman)
2014-10-14 18:00:00 (link to chat)What's your take on Rick Porcello's season? Is he a top 20 pitcher going forward? Is the low ERA still likely with less than 6 k/9?
(Perry from Detroit)
Top 20, no. But he's been such a lightning rod of criticism in the Tigers community for Not Being Justin Verlander, and now he had the year Verlander wished he'd had. It all fell into place and jeez he'll still be just 26 next year. I think he can get better. (Matt Sussman)
2014-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think of Rick Porcello's value over the next few years?
(Rick from Detroit)
He's starting to look like a solid #2 arm. A high teens earnings peak is not unreasonable, with the possibility that he exceeds that once or maybe twice. (Mike Gianella)
2014-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is this the real Rick Porcello? Do you think he can pitch at this level for the next few years?
(Ja from Columbus)
I think this is real, he's an example of a young guy who matured on a big league mound. It happens and I think he's going to stick around with his command/sinker/cutter profile. (Harry Pavlidis)
2014-07-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of prospect package would a pitcher like Rick Porcello net the tigers in a trade today?
(Rick from Detroit)
I've been driving the train that says Porcello is criminally underrated by Tigers fans for the last few years. He's not flashy and he has not reached the lofty expectations established for him during his minor league career, but he is a quality arm that logs plenty of innings and typically performs to a roughly league average level. That is an incredibly valuable asset.

That said, that asset is incredibly valuable to the team that posseses him, not necessarily on the trade market at mid-season. I think the Tigers could get a solid package for him, but nothing overwhelming and certainly nothing that would necessitate them dropping everything to work out the deal tomorrow. (Mark Anderson)
2014-05-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)How are you valuing Rick Porcello in dynasty leagues moving forward? Is this a break out year and is more improvement to be expected in the next couple seasons? Thanks!
(Steve from Los Angeles)
I've long believed that he has frontline capability (more of a #2/#3 than an ace). I think we will continue to see him evolve and incrementally develop into a stud. (Paul Sporer)
2014-03-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Rick Porcello takes another step forward this year?
(Dave from Boston)
I still believe. Yes. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will Rick Porcello follow up on his successful season with a major breakout.
(Big Jim from Gators Creek, Georgia)
I think so, yes. The revamped IF defense of Detroit is going to be huge for him (Paul Sporer)
2014-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you have a favorite sleeper project who you predict will breakout this year?
(Rick from Cleveland)
Really high on AJ Griffin & Rick Porcello. The former has the stuff to curb those HRs and really surge. The latter has star-potential and now an IF defense to turn his elite GB into many outs (Paul Sporer)
2014-02-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)What could the tigers get for Rick Porcello in a trade? 1 top 100 prospect and more?
(Jason from Ohio)
Considering they didn't get one for Doug Fister, I doubt it. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who has the best chance to increase their K% and their Swinging Strike % in the upcoming year?Can you rank them? Dan Straily, Jarrod Parker, Ivan Nova, Kris Medlen, Garrett Richards, Dillon Gee, and finally Rick Porcello.
(allangustafson from Fun Diego )
I'll rank based on who I like the most, as I'm not sure on the potential % increases in either category: Parker, Nova, Medlen, Gee, Porcello, Richards. I think Parker is the clear #1 in this grouping, and I'm a big fan of Nova in 2014. (Craig Goldstein)
2013-12-10 18:00:00 (link to chat)I was lucky enough to hit on all of Ryu, Colon, Porcello, and Kazmir last year. Would you rank them in that order for 2014? (18 team league, points roughly akin to linear weights, wins essentially not important.)
(justarobert from Santa Clara)
Hi Justarobert (if that is your real name!)

I would probably rank them Ryu, Colon, Kazmir and Porcello. I know some people are really high on Rick Porcello and point to his 2 horrific outings as killing his stats, but I'm just not a big believer. I think he'll be OK mind you, but I like Scott Kazmir's upside, particularly in that park. Depending on where Bartolo Colon lands, I might even put Kazmir ahead of Colon. (Mike Gianella)
2013-11-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are there any players who you had seen multiple times and felt you had a great read on either good or bad, then completely surprised you by going in the opposite direction?
(petelunchbox from Handsome City)
This happens all the time. It is an unfortunate side effect of the business we are in. I was locked down, convinced Rick Porcello was a future #2 starter. I saw Marcus Stroman repeatedly in college and was convinced beyond a shadow of a doubt that he wouldn't last as a starter in the minor leagues. Like I said...it happens a lot, and I'm not ashamed to admit when it does. (Mark Anderson)
2013-10-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Harry, Would like your take on the upside of Rick Porcello going forward?
(vampires from michigan)
mid-rotation guy. I think his improvements in getting more strike outs and ground outs could be lasting. He made a change (more curves, fewer sliders) that may give this year's performance a little more weight than normal, relative to the recent past. If he's not with Detroit, he could fetch something nice in a trade. Think of him like Edwin Jackson, although a very different style. He'll eat a ton of innings, occasionally look awesome, sometimes awful, but mostly alright. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Gerrit Cole or Rick Porcello? 12 team mixed 5x5 league.
(jrcolwell from Minneapolis)
That's really tough, especially since we haven't seen the Ks from Cole yet. I'd lean Cole for the upside, park, and league. If he doesn't work out, there'll likely be a Porcello-esque asset available on the wire to replace him. I've always been a Porcello fan and remain a huge one, but Cole has legit #1 upside and while it's unlikely to come this year, it could. (Paul Sporer)
2013-06-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Agree or Diasgree- Rick Porcello seems to have turned a corner. And if he has, that Detroit rotation is just unfair...
(Shawn from Client's Conference Room)
He has for these last few starts, but we have to see it more consistently to say he's DEFINITELY turned the corner. (Paul Sporer)
2013-04-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)There was a lot of "blah blah blah" about Rick Porcello this spring (out with slider, in with curve, lots of K's, etc.), but the results look pretty familiar to the untrained eye. Has your trained eye had a chance to see him? Any reason for optimism?
(Jim H from Sphinx Park, CO)
Lots of Porcello questions. His hype is fueled by his rare combination of youth + experience, along with an overall trend of increasing velocity that inspires optimism. But the velo this season is still short of previously established levels, and the early returns look similar to the past. I am optimistic, but realistically I will have him on my fantasy bench until I see concrete evidence of improvement.

On the jukebox: Long Beach Dub All Stars, "Rosarito" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-03-20 11:00:00 (link to chat)in a 20teams 5SP slots league where QS is a factor, am I shaky going into season w/ Homer Bailey, Matt Harvey, Kris Medlen, Andy Pettitte and Rick Porcello as rotation?
(Jim from Seattle)
Yes. (Cory Schwartz)
2013-01-29 14:00:00 (link to chat)where is Rick Porcello headed and for whom?
(tweezer from utah)
It's hard to say at this point, tweezer, but we seem to get at least a couple of rumors involving Porcello every week. I do think he'll be traded, but could only speculate about the destination. To mention a couple of teams, the Mariners and Padres might make sense. (Daniel Rathman)
2013-01-16 13:30:00 (link to chat)Why the hurry to trade Rick Porcello? Wouldn't they be better off keeping him in the 5 hole of the rotation and Smyly in Toledo until the inevitable injury? Failing that, what is little Ricky worth in prospects?
(DetroitDale from Florida (eternal spring training))
I don't see the rush to trade Porcello, personally. I think he's worth more to the Tigers on the roster than he is in trade. If the Tigers are overwhelmed by an offer, then I think it makes sense to move him. Otherwise, it makes sense for the Tigers to hold onto him seeing as they have precious little depth at starting pitcher. (Mark Anderson)
2012-12-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Rick Porcello the breakout candidate that his upwardly trending peripherals suggest that he is? And is Detroit really willing to move him for an RP?
(Xolo from Sudamerica)
Yes and no. Or at least I desperately the latter is a no. I saw the Porcello/Hanrahan stuff being floated and never really bought it. The Porcello/Bourjos talk is much more viable (and as a Tigers fan, I'd LOVE it).

I'm a big fan of Porcello and think he has has star potential, though not with this infield defense behind him. It just doesn't suit his game so they might as well parlay him for a big return. (Paul Sporer)
2012-02-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)What is Jacob Turner's ceiling.......a poor man's Justin Verlander or a rich man's Rick Porcello?
(Rooney from King of Prussa)
He's actually not like either of this pitchers. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-12-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)In your opinion, do you think Jacob Turner is the real deal, or Rick Porcello 2.0?
(Anello from Chicago)
Rick Porcello 2.0 isn't exactly a bad thing, but I get the point. I think Turner's the real deal. (Jason Parks)
2011-09-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)Would Rick Porcello, at age 22, fall into the same category that you just put Jeremy Hellickson in? I.E. with his stuff he needs time to learn, even after 3 seasons? Thanks.
(lemppi from Iowa)
That's a fascinating way to look at things, and while I'm not totally convinced, I think it's possible to think you are onto something. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-06-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Just recently made a trade in one of my fantasy leagues. I get Mark Melancon and Brandon Lyon, but I give up Rick Porcello. I plan to have Melancon and Lyon replace Matt Guerrier and Phil Coke, and I will replace Porcello with James McDonald. Thoughts?
(Big Bob from Cleveland)
My first thought is that the Yankees might like to have Melancon right about now. Sounds like a plan to me, though I know the fantasy cognoscenti always say it's easy to find saves. (Ben Lindbergh)
2010-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Cahill put up some gaudy stats last season, but his peripherals weren't strong. I think he had 118 Ks. How does he become a true front-line starter instead of a guy who performs well because of the stadium he pitches in?
(Tom from Madison)
WAYYYY too early to tell. Some pitchers are able to succeed in spite of poorer peripherals. Others aren't. It's easy to think that poor peripherals means he will be less effective next season, but very rarely do people consider that he could improve those peripherals. Rick Porcello hasn't. Maybe Cahill will. (Eric Seidman)
2010-12-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)How Concerned should Tigers fans be about Rick Porcello's drop in K's last year? He's probably not the next Justin Vernlander after all, but is he the next Jeremy Bonderman?
(DetroitDale from Tallahassee, FL)
He ought to be more durable, but Porcello has to prove he's more than a one-trick pony, otherwise nobody's going to be swinging and missing. A great sinker is a thing of beauty, but if everyone knows it's coming... (Christina Kahrl)
2010-12-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)A half decade from today, who's had the better 5 seasons? Zach Greinke, or Rick Porcello?
(singledigit from San Diego)
This is the sort of question that might very well come back to haunt someone, especially given the possibility of injury. Right now, though, I'd say Greinke, and it's not particularly close. I'm really worried about Porcello's inability to miss bats, and while the groundballs are nice, he needs to strike more guys out to be much more than a third starter. He struck out more after his stint in the minors last year, but not enough to allay my concerns unless it was the first step of a major trend. (Ken Funck)
2010-11-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)By the time they both hit about 32-yrs old....who has had the better career, Max Scherzer or Rick Porcello?
(lemppi from Ankeny, IA)
Scherzer. He's already shown that he can strike out major league hitters, and that is the best predictor of future success. There's no doubt that Porcello has crazy upside but he's not getting whiffs yet, and so I have to play the odds and say Scherzer. (Matt Swartz)
2010-11-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Rick Porcello -- can he become a third ace in the Tigers rotation, or does the last two years lower his ceiling somewhat?
(Jim Osterberg from Detroit Rock City)
I have to be careful here. I was once assaulted with a barrage of mean-spirited questions when I said that I thought Kershaw would become an ace and Porcello would disappoint about two years ago I think. In short, no, I don't think he will become a third ace. I think he could be a really good #4-type pitcher with his current repertoire and "stuff" but he doesn't strike anyone out, and I haven't seen enough to indicate that is going to change moving forward. This doesn't mean I think he is bad, or that he couldn't become better, but that I still just do not see it yet. The same thing happened with Gavin Floyd, though, who looked a bit lost before turning it on. Maybe Porcello follows a similar path. (Eric Seidman)
2010-09-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Did Rick Porcello's career effectively end as a potential ace last year when he was worked like a rented mule?
(RhubarbOrDeath from Portland)
I think his decision to stick with this two-seamer is holding him back a lot more than that. (Marc Normandin)
2010-06-07 18:30:00 (link to chat)Rank these big name, big time HS Righthand Pitchers: Josh Beckett, Rick Porcello, Gerrit Cole, Jameson Taillon.
(Cult of Basebaal from Pasadena of Los Angeles)
Beckett, Taillon, Porcello, Cole. Love them all. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-05-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you do with young Tigers' pitcher Max Scherzer and Rick Porcello going forward?
(nschaef from CT)
I wasn't high on Porcello this year to begin with, though I don't mean he doesn't have a bright future. I just mean that I figured there would be some struggles this year (for reference, when asked about this before, I felt Brett Anderson was much further along in his development). He's going to be great, but I don't think that word applies to 2010.

Scherzer's velocity seems to be down a bit, but it's early so I'm having a hard time getting too worked up about it. I'm sticking with him in my AL-only league (though I may have to deal him for an outfielder given my previously referenced situation. Le sigh). (Marc Normandin)
2010-01-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)My last slot in a deep keeper league looks like it's coming down to Dexter Fowler and Rick Porcello. I usually prefer the position player, but Porcello could be special. At the same time, both might have another year or two of development before they really get going. Preference for 2010? Long-term?
(Rob from Alaska)
I would normally prefer the position player too, but Porcello's last two months were pretty impressive. I just wish his strikeouts would jump up, but it will happen with time. He could be a beast in the second half of 2010... (Marc Normandin)
2010-01-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who is the better bet for a long and effective career?: Rick Porcello, Brett Anderson or Tommy Hanson.
(Scott from New Jersey)
Tommy Hanson. I really think he has dominant, No. 1-ace stuff, though Porcello and Anderson both have good chances of enjoying outstanding careers, too. (John Perrotto)
2009-12-29 15:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat. Here's the order in which I rank the following young SPs in projected career value - Tommy Hanson, Rick Porcello, Brett Anderson, Neftali Feliz, Chris Tillman, Mat Latos, Madson Bumgarner. I realize that guessing at career value for young SPs is a crapshoot but do you violently disagree with any aspect of this order?
(KerryFam4 from Atlanta, GA)
I'd have Feliz higher, and I'm not totally convinced the last two belong in this discussion. Porcello might be best, too. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-10-23 16:00:00 (link to chat)Did Porcello start in Minny impress u-I know u think he is chopped liver compared to Brett.
(JOESAV from ny)
Let me try and put an end to this. I don't dislike Rick Porcello. At all. There is a definitive middle ground between thinking someone will be a star and thinking someone will be a bust. I personally think Porcello is and will be a very good major league pitcher but I just did not get the same feeling watching him that I did watching Kershaw last year or Anderson this year. That doesn't mean I dislike him. I'm just not as high on him as others and not convinced that he is going to turn into a perennial all star or Cy Young Award candidate. That's it. End of story. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong, but I don't have anything against the guy. (Eric Seidman)
2009-10-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)I asked Kevin and he demured, I'll try you: Rick Porcello or Tommy Hanson?
(SC from Minneapolis)
Kevin's wise to demur; I'm not, so I'll go with Hanson, having already tipped my hand here. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-10-06 13:30:00 (link to chat)Tigers fan here. Talk me down from the ledge... please?
(David from Winston Salem)
I'd love to but I can't do it in good faith. I think it's going to be awfully hard to win in the Metrodome, though I did have a chance to visit with Rick Porcello earlier this year and came away very impressed with the poise and maturity he shows for such a young guy. (John Perrotto)
2009-10-06 13:30:00 (link to chat)Your pick for today? Your 4 picks in this round? I'm going to say Twins then Yanks, Angels, Cardinals, and Rockies.
(GrinnellSteve from Iowa)
I'm going against all logic and laws of momentum today and picking the Tigers. I have a lot of faith in Rick Porcello. As far as my first-round picks, I'll go Yankees, Red Sox, Rockies and Dodgers. (John Perrotto)
2009-09-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)porcello walks too many? and joba doesn't? you can really make a straight faced arguement that joba is a better pitcher right now? just looked at the numbers, and the 20 year old kid looks better
(ct tiger from ct)
Rick Porcello is currently striking out 4.97 batter per nine innings, a rate that Paul Byrd would even laugh at. Walking 2.94 per nine is nice, but not by comparison to the strikeout rates. He has a 56% GB rate meaning he is very dependent on the team's defense. Joba is not in the same boat, and I feel that it is more likely Joba decreases his walks than Porcello increases the whiffs. (Eric Seidman)
2009-07-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)Most believe the Tigers need a bat. Does one bat solve enough of their issues? Or does getting a rotation piece help fortify the formula of pitching/defense that has worked so far? Thanks.
(lemppi from Ankeny, IA)
That may depend on what they can get from Rick Porcello the rest of the way. Do they have three starters now or two? And is last year's Armando Galarraga anywhere to be found? On the flip side, how much would a healthy Carlos Guillen change the mix? Finally, what do they have to trade? Throw it all in a hat, and I think they'll be pretty quiet. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-05-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are you in the camp of "Make Joba a reliever" or "Keep him as a starter"? It seems that right now, he's just not making it through five innings with out a lot of unnecessary difficulty.
(Tim from Tampa, FL)
Then again, he's leading Yankees starters in ERA. There is some difficulty right now, but until he shows he can't worth through it, he's a starter. Besides, with Hughes in the majors, Wang wounded, and Ian Kennedy having an aneurysm cut out of his armpit, who should take over for Joba? Red Ruffing?

Sometimes, just to tease me, when I say to my wife, "Matt Scherzer had a good start tonight" or Rick Porcello, or Chad Billingsley, she'll say, "But he'd be more valuable in the bullpen." I have a great wife. Only people who truly love you care enough to give you that kind of grief. (Steven Goldman)
2009-02-16 14:00:00 (link to chat)Question 1: In conclusion, Kevin, which system more closely resembles the Great dust bowl: The Astros or the Tigers? Question 2: What has Engel Beltre shown to merit inclusion on the list that you haven't seen from Martin Perez?
(Or from Dallas)
1. At least the Tigers have a shining oasis in Rick Porcello. 2. Utterly ridiculous tools. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-10-09 14:00:00 (link to chat)So which prospect SPs take the place of Price, Kershaw, etc. as the next big thing?
(Jake from Dallas)
Well, I don't think we're done seeing if those guys get over the hump yet, particularly considering Price has just 14 innings under his belt.

IANKG (I am not Kevin Goldstein) but looking over his Top 100 update from earlier in the summer, Rick Porcello (Detroit), Neftali Feliz (Texas) and Chris Tillman (Baltimore) look like the highly-ranked guys who moved up without losing eligibility. Beyond that, I'm out of my league. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-06-04 16:00:00 (link to chat)Without even throwing a pitch, you had both David Price and Rick Porcello in the top 12 prospects in all of baseball. Do you see any of this years' draft picks making it into the top 10 in similar fashion?
(ericmilburn from San Francisco)
Actually, no. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-03-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Kevin, Based on your comments in today's Monday Ten Pack, does your gut tell you that Rick Porcello will outrank David Price on next year's prospect list?
(DB from New York)
Not especially. I mean it wouldn't shock me if he did, but you're looking at the opinion of one scout, and you are talking about two guys who are among the elite arms in the minors, so it's hard to see why one of them is going to suddenly drop. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2009-06-09 14:30:002009 Draft CoverageBaltimore eyed young pitching all along, but in the end, they decided that the top guys weren't worth the coin as they take Matt Hobgood, A guy most people saw as a mid-to-late first round kind of talent.

If you see the video on MLB, you can see why conditioning could end up an issue. MLB people talking about how he moved up, but there's only one reason -- when teams called him, he didn't mention the name Rick Porcello. (Kevin Goldstein)
 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Rick Porcello has thrown 16,719 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2009 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Spring Training. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (91mph) and Fourseam Fastball (92mph), also mixing in a Curve (78mph), Change (83mph) and Slider (86mph). He also rarely throws a Cutter (87mph).