Biographical

Portrait of Danny Duffy

Danny Duffy PRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
31.7 4.05 1.30 27 2 2 0 0.2
Birth Date12-21-1988
Height6' 3"
Weight205 lbs
Age27 years, 8 months, 5 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
-0.22012
-0.12013
-0.42014
-0.12015
3.72016
+proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP
2011 KCA MLB 20 20 105.3 4 8 0 119 51 87 15 .265 108 10.2 4.4 1.3 7.4 40% .329 .293 1.61 4.86 5.64 111 4.68 0.5
2012 KCA MLB 6 6 27.7 2 2 0 26 18 28 2 .265 101 8.5 5.9 0.7 9.1 33% .329 .270 1.59 3.91 3.90 111 5.83 -0.2
2013 KCA MLB 5 5 24.3 2 0 0 19 14 22 0 .269 102 7.0 5.2 0.0 8.1 31% .284 .233 1.36 3.12 1.85 114 5.37 -0.1
2014 KCA MLB 31 25 149.3 9 12 0 113 53 113 12 .260 105 6.8 3.2 0.7 6.8 38% .239 .234 1.11 3.86 2.53 113 5.06 -0.4
2015 KCA MLB 30 24 136.7 7 8 1 137 53 102 15 .262 101 9.0 3.5 1.0 6.7 41% .298 .267 1.39 4.40 4.08 112 5.08 -0.1
2016 KCA MLB 35 19 138.7 11 1 0 111 29 147 15 .265 99 7.2 1.9 1.0 9.5 36% .275 .227 1.01 3.17 2.66 89 3.18 3.5
CareerMLB12799582.03531152521849959.2631038.13.40.97.738%.285.2541.283.973.531074.603.1

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2007 ROY Rk 11 9 37.3 2 3 0 24 17 63 0 .262 102 5.8 4.1 0.0 15.2 45% .324 .204 1.10 2.50 1.45
2008 BUR A 17 17 81.7 8 4 0 56 25 102 4 .264 96 6.2 2.8 0.4 11.2 37% .274 .209 0.99 2.47 2.20
2009 WIL A+ 24 24 126.7 9 3 0 108 41 125 6 .260 92 7.7 2.9 0.4 8.9 46% .294 .234 1.18 3.00 2.98
2010 WIL A+ 3 3 14.0 0 0 0 8 7 18 2 .257 104 5.1 4.5 1.3 11.6 43% .214 .219 1.07 4.41 2.57
2010 NWA AA 7 7 39.7 5 2 0 38 9 41 3 .262 116 8.6 2.0 0.7 9.3 47% .353 .239 1.18 2.77 2.95
2010 IDA Rk 2 2 6.0 0 1 0 4 0 6 0 .271 123 6.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 56% .250 .136 0.67 2.48 1.50
2010 ROY Rk 2 2 2.7 0 0 0 2 1 4 0 .288 87 6.7 3.3 0.0 13.3 60% .400 .208 1.11 2.40 3.33
2010 gcr Wnt 7 3 15.7 1 1 1 17 9 18 3 .000 9.7 5.2 1.7 10.3 0% .311 .000 1.66 6.46 8.03
2011 KCA MLB 20 20 105.3 4 8 0 119 51 87 15 .265 108 10.2 4.4 1.3 7.4 40% .329 .293 1.61 4.86 5.64
2011 OMA AAA 8 8 42.0 3 1 0 37 10 48 5 .266 110 7.9 2.1 1.1 10.3 41% .305 .211 1.12 3.97 3.43
2012 KCA MLB 6 6 27.7 2 2 0 26 18 28 2 .265 101 8.5 5.9 0.7 9.1 33% .329 .270 1.59 3.91 3.90
2013 KCA MLB 5 5 24.3 2 0 0 19 14 22 0 .269 102 7.0 5.2 0.0 8.1 31% .284 .233 1.36 3.12 1.85
2013 NWA AA 4 4 16.0 0 2 0 16 5 28 3 .265 100 9.0 2.8 1.7 15.8 38% .448 .280 1.31 3.49 3.94
2013 OMA AAA 12 10 53.0 3 0 0 50 25 59 4 .268 89 8.5 4.2 0.7 10.0 38% .329 .265 1.42 3.85 4.08
2014 KCA MLB 31 25 149.3 9 12 0 113 53 113 12 .260 105 6.8 3.2 0.7 6.8 38% .239 .234 1.11 3.86 2.53
2014 OMA AAA 1 1 6.0 1 0 0 5 1 4 1 .258 99 7.5 1.5 1.5 6.0 35% .250 .221 1.00 5.03 3.00
2015 KCA MLB 30 24 136.7 7 8 1 137 53 102 15 .262 101 9.0 3.5 1.0 6.7 41% .298 .267 1.39 4.40 4.08
2015 OMA AAA 3 3 8.0 0 0 0 5 1 10 1 .271 99 5.6 1.1 1.1 11.2 50% .211 .248 0.75 3.47 2.25
2016 KCA MLB 35 19 138.7 11 1 0 111 29 147 15 .265 99 7.2 1.9 1.0 9.5 36% .275 .227 1.01 3.17 2.66

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2011 1953 0.5269 0.4368 0.7984 0.5986 0.2565 0.8506 0.6624 0.2016
2012 523 0.5086 0.4455 0.7639 0.6165 0.2685 0.8476 0.5652 0.2361
2013 467 0.4839 0.4475 0.7512 0.6770 0.2324 0.7974 0.6250 0.2488
2014 2300 0.5352 0.4700 0.8279 0.6596 0.2516 0.8818 0.6654 0.1721
2015 2358 0.5216 0.4712 0.7984 0.6512 0.2748 0.8414 0.6871 0.2016
2016 2010 0.5249 0.5134 0.7180 0.6957 0.3120 0.7779 0.5705 0.2820
Career96110.52410.47020.78450.65120.27090.83790.64290.2155

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-09-07 - DTD - - Left Shoulder Inflammation Rotator Cuff -
2013-09-08 2013-09-30 15-DL 22 20 Left Elbow Strain Flexor Strain - -
2013-03-22 2013-06-25 60-DL 95 73 Left Elbow Recovery From Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2012-06-13 -
2012-05-14 2012-10-04 60-DL 143 129 Left Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2012-06-13 -
2012-04-23 2012-05-03 DTD 10 8 Left Elbow Inflammation - -
2011-06-19 2011-06-19 DTD 0 0 Left Lower Leg Cramp Calf -
2010-04-08 2010-08-02 Minors 116 0 Left Elbow Sprain Ulnar Collateral Ligament - -
2010-03-07 2010-03-11 Camp 4 0 Left Elbow Soreness -
2009-07-29 2009-08-15 Minors 17 0 - Not Disclosed - -
2009-07-08 2009-07-18 Minors 10 0 - Not Disclosed - -
2008-08-19 2008-09-11 Minors 23 0 - Not Disclosed - -
2008-04-03 2008-05-19 Minors 46 0 Left Elbow Strain - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2017 KCA $
2016 KCA $4,225,000
2015 KCA $2,425,000
2014 KCA $
2013 KCA $505,125
2012 KCA $487,750
YearsDescriptionSalary
4 yrPrevious$3,417,875
2011Current$4,225,000
5 yrPvs + Cur$7,642,875
5 yrTotal$7,642,875

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
4 y 85 dLevinsons, ACES1 year/$4.225M (2016)

Details
  • 1 year/$4.225M (2016). Re-signed by Kansas City 1/15/16 (avoided arbitration). Award bonus: $50,000 for All-Star.
  • 1 year/$2.425M (2015). Re-signed by Kansas City 2/6/15 (avoided arbitration, $3M-$1.75M). Performance bonuses: $10,000 for 20 starts. $15,000 for 25 starts. Award bonus: $50,000 for All Star.
  • 1 year/$0.526M (2014). Re-signed by Kansas City 3/1/14.
  • 1 year/$505,125 (2013). Re-signed by Kansas City 2/20/13.
  • 1 year/$487,750 (2012). Re-signed by Kansas City 2/28/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Contract purchased by Kansas City 5/18/11.
  • Drafted by Kansas City 2007 (3-96) (Cabrillo HS, Calif.). Signed 6/28/07, $0.365M signing bonus.

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 9.8 9.3 0 29 29 185.1 155 59 147 17 .260 1.16 3.19 3.46 33.9 3.7
80o 9.5 9.9 0 29 29 178.2 158 60 142 18 .271 1.22 3.53 3.84 26.8 2.9
70o 9.3 10.3 0 29 29 173.3 160 61 138 18 .279 1.28 3.78 4.11 21.8 2.4
60o 9 10.6 0 29 29 169.1 162 62 135 18 .286 1.32 4.00 4.35 17.5 1.9
50o 8.8 10.9 0 29 29 165.3 163 62 132 18 .293 1.36 4.20 4.57 13.6 1.5
40o 8.6 11.3 0 29 29 161.5 164 63 129 18 .299 1.41 4.41 4.79 9.8 1.1
30o 8.4 11.7 0 29 29 157.5 166 63 125 19 .306 1.45 4.63 5.04 5.6 0.6
20o 8.1 12.1 0 29 29 152.9 167 64 122 19 .314 1.51 4.90 5.32 1.0 0.1
10o 7.7 12.7 0 29 29 146.6 169 64 117 19 .326 1.59 5.27 5.73 -5.4 -0.6
Weighted Mean8.910.902929165.31626213218.2911.354.184.5514.01.5

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 8/26/2016 11:16 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 2 1.8 0 6 6 44.6 36 13 37 4 .256 1.10 3.12 3.41 5.7 0.6
80o 1.9 2 0 6 6 40.1 34 12 34 4 .267 1.16 3.43 3.76 4.4 0.5
70o 1.9 2 0 6 6 36.9 33 12 31 4 .275 1.21 3.66 4.02 3.5 0.4
60o 1.8 2.1 0 6 6 34.2 32 11 29 4 .282 1.25 3.86 4.24 2.8 0.3
50o 1.8 2.2 0 6 6 31.8 30 11 27 4 .289 1.30 4.05 4.44 2.1 0.2
40o 1.7 2.2 0 6 6 29.4 29 10 25 3 .295 1.34 4.24 4.65 1.3 0.1
30o 1.7 2.3 0 6 6 26.9 27 10 23 3 .302 1.38 4.44 4.88 0.5 0.1
20o 1.6 2.4 0 6 6 24.0 25 9 20 3 .310 1.44 4.69 5.15 -0.4 -0.0
10o 1.6 2.5 0 6 6 20.1 22 8 17 3 .322 1.52 5.03 5.52 -1.7 -0.2
Weighted Mean1.82.206631.53011263.2881.294.034.422.10.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
18% 45% 25% 14% 91%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2017289902626158155581281739.2951.354.014.438.83.37.31.01.2
2018298802424140135531141639.2891.354.164.608.73.47.31.00.8
2019308802323138130501101539.2831.314.044.478.53.37.21.01.0
2020318802323135136501081639.2961.374.164.609.03.37.21.10.8
202132770202011511441921339.2931.354.144.588.93.27.21.00.7
202233670191911311341901439.2941.364.224.669.03.37.21.10.6
202334660191910910839891339.2921.344.164.608.93.27.31.10.6
202435660181810610737831339.2941.354.224.679.13.17.01.10.5
2025364501414808027621039.2931.344.224.669.03.07.01.10.4

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201728101003131198177551922339.2861.173.583.968.12.58.71.02.2
2018299902828174155491702139.2831.173.634.018.02.58.81.11.9
20193010903030188160521822139.2731.133.503.877.62.58.71.02.3
2020319802727162148461561939.2871.203.654.048.22.68.61.11.8
2021329902727162148441532139.2841.183.774.178.22.48.51.21.6
2022336601919113105341071539.2861.233.914.328.32.78.51.20.9
2023347702222131116371241739.2771.173.784.188.02.58.51.21.3
202435660181810899281011439.2851.183.744.138.22.38.41.21.1
20253666018181089927971539.2771.163.874.288.22.28.11.21.0

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
52.734.410.320.19.912.3127.3

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
201552.734.410.320.19.912.3127.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 83)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 91 Daniel Cabrera 2008 5.45
2 90 Chad Gaudin 2010 6.20
3 90 Matt Garza 2011 4.09
4 89 Dustin McGowan 2009 0.00 DNP
5 89 Sean Marshall 2010 3.01
6 89 Gio Gonzalez 2013 3.63
7 88 Ricky Romero 2012 6.07
8 88 Anibal Sanchez 2011 3.90
9 88 Homer Bailey 2013 3.66
10 88 Jeremy Hellickson 2014 4.95
11 87 Erik Bedard 2006 4.22
12 86 Alex Cobb 2015 0.00 DNP
13 86 Dallas Braden 2011 3.50
14 86 Chris Tillman 2015 5.05
15 86 Jordan Zimmermann 2013 3.42
16 86 Paul Maholm 2009 4.72
17 85 John Lackey 2006 4.05
18 85 Edinson Volquez 2011 5.96
19 85 Aaron Sele 1997 5.79
20 85 Jeremy Affeldt 2006 6.93
21 85 Travis Wood 2014 5.70
22 85 Wade Davis 2013 5.92
23 85 Chad Billingsley 2012 3.97
24 85 Brandon McCarthy 2011 3.85
25 85 Adam Wainwright 2009 2.90
26 85 Noah Lowry 2008 0.00 DNP
27 84 Ivan Nova 2014 8.27
28 84 Brett Cecil 2014 2.70
29 84 Johnny Cueto 2013 2.97
30 84 Tom Gorzelanny 2010 4.62
31 84 Andrew Cashner 2014 3.06
32 84 Joel Pineiro 2006 6.68
33 84 Andy Messersmith 1973 3.24
34 84 Jason Jennings 2006 3.99
35 84 Matt Harrison 2013 9.28
36 84 Bob Gibson 1963 3.89
37 83 Lance Lynn 2014 3.18
38 83 Jake Arrieta 2013 4.90
39 83 Gavin Floyd 2010 4.42
40 83 Trevor Cahill 2015 5.61
41 83 Hector Santiago 2015 3.99
42 83 Mike Pelfrey 2011 5.11
43 83 Steve Rogers 1977 3.64
44 83 Juan Cruz 2006 4.28
45 83 Mat Latos 2015 5.18
46 83 Edwin Jackson 2011 4.15
47 83 Brandon Beachy 2014 0.00 DNP
48 83 Justin Masterson 2012 5.32
49 83 John Danks 2012 5.87
50 82 Mike Witt 1988 4.69
51 82 Jesse Litsch 2012 0.00 DNP
52 82 Yovani Gallardo 2013 4.58
53 82 Ian Kennedy 2012 4.36
54 82 Vida Blue 1977 4.41
55 82 Ubaldo Jimenez 2011 5.30
56 82 Jhoulys Chacin 2015 3.71
57 82 Manny Parra 2010 5.53
58 81 Vinegar Bend Mizell 1958 3.84
59 81 Luke Hochevar 2011 5.00
60 81 John Smoltz 1994 4.61
61 81 Buzz Capra 1975 4.71 DNP
62 81 Bartolo Colon 2000 4.02
63 81 Tim Hudson 2003 3.15
64 81 Johnny Antonelli 1957 4.16
65 81 Fernando Valenzuela 1988 4.49
66 81 Frank Lary 1957 4.20
67 81 Bob Rush 1953 5.32
68 81 Don Wilson 1972 3.09
69 81 Britt Burns 1986 0.00 DNP
70 81 Mark Gubicza 1990 4.60
71 81 Billy Pierce 1954 4.10
72 81 Micah Owings 2010 5.40
73 81 Carlos Villanueva 2011 4.12
74 81 Matt Cain 2012 3.00
75 81 Jon Matlack 1977 4.58
76 81 Clay Buchholz 2012 4.94
77 81 Dillon Gee 2013 3.80
78 81 Jeff Francis 2008 5.26
79 81 Tom Phoebus 1969 3.97
80 81 Ryan Rowland-Smith 2010 7.74
81 80 Cisco Carlos 1968 4.63
82 80 Tommy Hanson 2014 0.00 DNP
83 80 Tom Glavine 1993 3.42
84 80 Joe Horlen 1965 3.63
85 80 Tyson Ross 2014 3.45
86 80 John Maine 2008 4.50
87 80 Jerry Koosman 1970 3.69
88 80 Bob Grim 1957 2.75
89 80 Kelly Downs 1988 3.59
90 80 Jim Maloney 1967 3.48
91 80 Wilson Alvarez 1997 4.08
92 80 Matt Albers 2010 5.00
93 80 Burt Hooton 1977 2.98
94 80 Dontrelle Willis 2009 7.49
95 80 Max Scherzer 2012 3.93
96 80 Marc Rzepczynski 2013 3.82
97 80 Johnny Podres 1960 3.48
98 80 Jason Davis 2007 6.57
99 80 Mark Mulder 2005 3.95
100 80 Bobby Witt 1991 6.70

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .207 .271 .264 .197
11 vs R (Multi) .257 .338 .411 .273
18 Split (Multi) -.050 -.067 -.147 -.075
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.020 -.022 -.058 -.023
30 vs L (2015) .239 .291 .303 .211
31 vs R (2015) .271 .353 .433 .281
38 Split (2015) -.033 -.062 -.130 -.069
39 LgAvg (2015) -.016 -.018 -.053 -.020

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 You should have known better than to tell your brother-in-law you weren't surprised by Duffy's struggles last year because he had outpitched his peripherals in 2014. Of course he was going to shoot you that propeller-head look and spray you with the hose, something you could have avoided by instead saying he gives up a lot of flyballs that were due to start turning into more home runs, or that he walks too many and strikes out too few to be an ace. So at this year's family picnic remember to tell him that Duffy will be just fine at the end of the rotation, and he'll be more valuable there than in long relief. Just don't say “third pitch” or “leverage” or “BABIP” or “home runs per flyball,” or you'll get the hose again.
2015 Oh yeah! After watching him lose almost two seasons to elbow woes, Royals Nation was totally ready to Get Duffed last summer, and the young lefty delivered. Duffy entered the rotation in May and pitched well, posting a triumphant sub-three ERA. His peripherals paint a different picture, however, as his pedestrian walk and strikeout rates could drive a stat-head to drink. An extreme fly-ball pitcher who benefits greatly from Kansas City's collection of outfield speedsters, Duffy works his rising low-90s fastball up in the zone and generates plenty of pop-ups and managed to keep most batters in the yard last year. That won't last: Duffy is as sure a bet as there is in baseball for gopher-ball regression this season. He also missed time last September with an inflamed rotator cuff and worked out of the 'pen in the playoffs due to a stress reaction in his ribcage. If he can stay healthy, Duffy can be a solid fourth starter, but he isn't an ace-in-waiting.
2014 Almost 14 months after undergoing Tommy John surgery, Duffy made his return to the big-league mound. Like many who take their first steps following elbow ligament replacement, his velocity was there but his command was notalthough his history of inflated walk rates makes it difficult to tell if thats a hangover from his injury or just Duffy being Duffy. He still has a frustrating tendency to jump ahead of hitters and then get too fine and lose the battle. With a mid-90s fastball and a curve with bite, the stuff can be electric, but his inability to locate his off-speed pitches and put hitters away can be frustrating. Theres still upside here.
2013 Many observers thought Duffy was injured when he struggled with command in a short outing the start after throwing 113 pitches at the end of April. Adding fuel to the fire were Moore's comments that the club knew its left-hander would eventually need Tommy John surgery. But Duffy had been throwing with a partial tear in his UCL for several years and the team did follow accepted medical protocol when diagnosing the injury. Whatever the cause, the result is that he is another of the parade of Royals pitchers who landed in the operating room for the procedure. His rehab program has begun and he appears on target to return late in the 2013 season. The best-case scenario would have him contributing in 2014.
2012 The first of what the Royals hope will be a wave of starting pitching prospects, Duffy arrived in Kansas City with much fanfare in mid-May when the club ran thin on viable starters. He certainly earned the call-up after punching out 48 hitters in 42 innings in Omaha. Once in the majors, Duffy at times exhibited brilliance, but far too often he nibbled and lost the ability to put hitters away once he jumped ahead in the count. He also developed an alarming habit of putting the ball right down the middle of the plate when he fell behind. Still, Duffy has good feel for his fastball that sits in the low- to mid-90s and favors a slow, sweeping curve as his top secondary pitch. He was shut down in September after approaching 150 innings between the majors and minors. Think of 2011 as his first step in the major league learning process. With his stuff, he is still more than capable of developing into a quality, front-line starter.
2011 Beginning in spring training, when he retired to "reassess his priorities," Duffy had a strange year. When he returned to the game in June after determining that baseball was still ranked somewhere on his to-do list, he showed off the best stuff of his young career, pitching well as high as Double-A. With a fastball that gets into the mid-90s to go with a good changeup, and a good-enough breaking ball, Duffy has the ability to be a big-league starter. Now he has to prove that his stuff can hold up over the course of a full workload; in his three full years as a pro, he's logged just over 270 innings. We have plenty to learn about both his stuff and his commitment, but the pieces of an excellent player are there.
2010 Along with Montgomery and Melville, this 2007 third-rounder gives the Royals three pitchers who have both the projection and performance to warrant genuine excitement. Duffy is a step below Montgomery and Melville on a stuff level, with his best pitch a curve to go with an average-to-tick-above heater; while the M&M boys have a chance to be second or third starters, Duffy projects as more of an eventual fourth man. Of course, when we say "number four" we're talking about major-league teamson the Royals, anyone else's number four is actually a number two, anyone else's number two is actually a number one, and Zack Greinke exists in a class by himself.
2009 The Royals might have found something when they selected this high school lefty in the third round two years ago. Duffy possesses a remarkably advanced feel for mixing pitches and setting batters up, and was pretty much untouchable in his first full pro season, with Midwest League batters managing just a .193 average against his solid fastball, big-breaking slow curve, and well-controlled change. He's a bit like a left-handed version of Cortes, featuring a similar repertoire and batted-ball split (a 0.55 G/F ratio last year). Southpaws who can fan 11 batters per nine innings at any level are rare gems, and Duffy will get the chance to add more luster at High-A Wilmington.
2008 Daniel Duffy was drafted in the third round last year out of an obscure California high school, then opened eyes with 63 strikeouts in 37 innings in Rookie ball. He's a lefty who throws in the low 90s with a very good curve. If he stays healthy, he'll get a much longer comment next year.

BP Articles

Danny Duffy is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: What the Hell Is Happening: AL EditionBen Carsley2016-08-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Recent Top Performers: Pitchers and OutfieldersJ.P. Breen2016-08-17
What You Need to Know: Green Light, Now BeginDaniel Rathman2016-08-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 19Greg Wellemeyer2016-08-12
What You Need to Know: Soft-Tossin' SalazarDaniel Rathman2016-08-02
Raising Aces: In Awe of SouthpawsDoug Thorburn2016-07-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 17Greg Wellemeyer2016-07-29
What You Need to Know: Ambition Can Lead Only To FailureNicolas Stellini2016-07-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: First Half in ReviewGreg Wellemeyer2016-07-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 13Greg Wellemeyer2016-06-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 12George Bissell2016-06-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 12J.J. Jansons2016-06-17
What You Need to Know: The Improbable Frequently Fails To HappenEmma Baccellieri2016-06-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 11th Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-06-16
What You Need to Know: Nothing Left to Do But WinAshley Varela2016-06-13
What You Need to Know: James Paxton's 101sDaniel Rathman2016-06-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 10Greg Wellemeyer2016-06-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week NineGreg Wellemeyer2016-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTDGX Transactions: Hello NewmanGeorge Bissell2016-05-25
Expert FAAB Review: Week EightMike Gianella2016-05-24
What You Need to Know: Papi EndingsAshley Varela2016-05-16
Expert FAAB Review: Week TwoMike Gianella2016-04-12
Rumor Roundup: The Two Most Exciting Fifth Starters NamedDaniel Rathman2016-03-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessPlaying Time Battles: American League CentralJ.J. Jansons2016-03-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Recapping the 2015 Model PortfoliosGreg Wellemeyer2016-03-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 75 Relief PitchersBret Sayre2016-03-10
Expert League Auction Recap: American League LABRMike Gianella2016-03-08
Outta Left Field: The PECOTA Comp RompDustin Palmateer2016-02-17
This article requires BP Premium accessPitching Backward: A Refresher on ChangeupsJeff Long2016-01-22
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Innings, Innings, InningsWilson Karaman2016-01-18
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Innings, Innings, InningsJ.P. Breen2016-01-18
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Feature: Repeat After Me: HDDGeorge Bissell2015-11-05
Playoff Prospectus: On All Hallows' Eve, Series Turns on 12-Year AxisRian Watt2015-11-01
Playoff Prospectus: Ned Wins: Assessing The Managers In Game 4Matthew Trueblood2015-11-01
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Playoff Prospectus: Assessing the Managers' Moves in Game OneMatthew Trueblood2015-10-28
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: World Series Preview: Mets vs RoyalsJeffrey Paternostro2015-10-27
Playoff Prospectus: ALCS Preview: Royals vs. Blue JaysR.J. Anderson2015-10-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: A Look Back: Endgame Targets for 2015Bret Sayre2015-10-14
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: The Story of Two Pitchers Left In: ALDS Game 3Matthew Trueblood2015-10-12
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Transaction Analysis: How the AL Division Champs Got HereBP Staff2015-10-08
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 26Wilson Karaman2015-09-25
Expert FAAB Review: Week 25Mike Gianella2015-09-22
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 17, 2015Chris Mosch2015-09-17
What You Need to Know: September 16, 2015Daniel Rathman2015-09-16
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Fantasy Rounders: Say Uncle, PhilDoug Thorburn2015-08-04
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 24th, 2015Daniel Rathman2015-07-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 14th Edition, 2015J.J. Jansons2015-07-23
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Fantasy Rounders: Make It RainDoug Thorburn2015-07-10
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The BP Wayback Machine: The Futures Game Viewing Guide, 2009 EditionKevin Goldstein2015-07-01
Expert FAAB Review: Week 13Mike Gianella2015-06-30
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Fantasy Rounders: To Defy the Laws of RegressionDoug Thorburn2015-05-13
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Sold!Chris Mosch2015-05-01
The Week in Quotes: April 13-19, 2015Nick Wheatley-Schaller2015-04-20
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Fantasy Rounders: Home is Where the Heart isDoug Thorburn2015-04-13
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Fantasy Rounders: Hello AgainDoug Thorburn2015-04-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessMy Model Portfolio: Find a Way to Get TroutBret Sayre2015-04-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Endgame Targets for 2015Bret Sayre2015-04-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Auction Values: Third Edition, 2015Mike Gianella2015-03-26
Tout Wars X: RecapBret Sayre2015-03-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Draft Rankings: The Top 300Mike Gianella2015-03-20
BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft: Rounds 8-10Bret Sayre2015-03-12
Expert League Auction Recap: LABR American LeagueMike Gianella2015-03-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2015-02-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Three-Year Projections: Starting PItchers, Part TwoDoug Thorburn2015-02-25
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This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: The Dodgers + Yoan Moncada Is So ObviousDaniel Rathman2015-01-27
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2015-01-26
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Stop Looking for Sleepers, Start Looking for ValueMike Gianella2015-01-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Is Yordano Ventura Overrated Now?Nick Shlain2014-12-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Kansas City RoyalsBen Carsley2014-11-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessRetrospective Player Valuation: American League PitchersMike Gianella2014-11-13
The Lineup Card: Nine Teams Whose 2015 Odds Are Too Short or LongBaseball Prospectus2014-11-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Curb Your Pitching EnthusiasmNick Shlain2014-11-05
The Week in Quotes: October 27th-November 2nd, 2014Chris Mosch2014-11-03
The Week in Quotes: October 27th-November 2nd, 2014Nick Bacarella2014-11-03
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Fantasy Team Preview: Texas RangersCraig Goldstein2014-10-27
Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game 3 PreviewsR.J. Anderson2014-10-24
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Playoff Prospectus: World Series Preview: Giants vs. RoyalsSam Miller2014-10-21
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Every Choice Ned Yost Must Make: ALCS Game 3Sam Miller2014-10-15
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 555: Doug Thorburn on Postseason Pitchers with ProblemsBen Lindbergh2014-10-14
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 555: Doug Thorburn on Postseason Pitchers with ProblemsSam Miller2014-10-14
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: ALCS Series Preview: Royals vs. OriolesSam Miller2014-10-10
This article requires BP Premium accessThe View from the Loge Level: Danny Duffy on Danny DuffyDaron Sutton2014-10-03
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This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Baseball Nirvana Game PreviewsMike Gianella2014-10-03
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This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: All Games Are Equal Except For TheseZachary Levine2014-09-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 29, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Prospect Rankings ReviewCraig Goldstein2014-09-26
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 23, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-23
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 22, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-22
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The Week in Quotes: September 2-8, 2014Nick Bacarella2014-09-09
The Week in Quotes: September 2-8, 2014Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-09-09
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Sept. 8, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Danny DuffyCraig Goldstein2014-09-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 22Wilson Karaman2014-08-22
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 21, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-21
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 20, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-20
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Danny Duffy's BestieR.J. Anderson2014-08-15
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 11, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 11, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 6, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-06
Daily League Strategy: Everyone's Favorite Candy!Paul Sporer2014-08-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 19Wilson Karaman2014-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 25, 2014Chris Mosch2014-07-25
The Lineup Card: Eight Second-Half Decline CandidatesBaseball Prospectus2014-07-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Looking at Values, Part 2: PitchersMike Gianella2014-06-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 14Wilson Karaman2014-06-27
Daily League Strategy: Going Cheap on the MoundPaul Sporer2014-06-24
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Odrisamer Despaigne's DebutDaniel Rathman2014-06-24
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This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: The Players PECOTA Has MissedBen Lindbergh2014-06-19
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The 16 Hottest Teams in BaseballSam Miller2014-06-16
The Week in Quotes: June 9-15Nick Bacarella2014-06-16
The Week in Quotes: June 9-15Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-06-16
The Week in Quotes: June 9-15Morris Greenberg2014-06-16
BP Unfiltered: This Week's New Pitching Lines, 5/30Sam Miller2014-05-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 10Wilson Karaman2014-05-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week NineMike Gianella2014-05-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week NineBret Sayre2014-05-30
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Kazmir's 'A' GameChris Mosch2014-05-29
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The Week in Quotes: May 13-19Chris Mosch2014-05-19
The Week in Quotes: May 13-19Nick Bacarella2014-05-19
The Week in Quotes: May 13-19Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-05-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneCraig Goldstein2014-05-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneBen Carsley2014-05-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Expert League Assessment: First QuarterMike Gianella2014-05-12
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Mariners Making MovesDaniel Rathman2014-05-08
The Week in Quotes: April 28 - May 4Chris Mosch2014-05-05
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Jose Abreu's Amazing MonthDaniel Rathman2014-04-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: AL Central U25 ListsBen Carsley2014-04-22
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This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Spring Training Games of March 21-23Jeff Moore2014-03-24
The Lineup Card: 11 Spring Training Performances We Sort of Believe InBaseball Prospectus2014-03-19
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Drew to Detroit?Daniel Rathman2014-03-17
The Week in Quotes: March 10-16Nick Bacarella2014-03-17
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The Week in Quotes: March 10-16Morris Greenberg2014-03-17
The Week in Quotes: March 10-16Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-03-17
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Sounding the Depths of Each Team's RotationSam Miller2014-03-14
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
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Royal Revolution: The Bullpen Youth MovementMike Petriello2011-05-18
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Future Shock: BP's 2011 Top 101 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2011-02-28


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)I traded Bauer for Danny Duffy, full keeper league. Should I have a blindfold, a cigarette, and await the sound of gunfire?
(darthack2661 from New Jersey)
I don't answer many questions about Fantasy, if only because I'm not the guy you want to take advice from in that arena. Never played Fantasy baseball.

That said, I think just in real life terms, you could make the argument that's somewhat of a lateral move. So not that bad. I don't think you're going to get the cig blown out of your mouth by gruesome firing squad, for instance.

I'd probably say that taking the Duffy side is the 'riskier' half of that deal, but the left-handedness and my thoughts in years past about this guy just shortening up and fully focusing on the bullpen (think Mike Montgomery's trajectory...and Duffy has been a better starter than Montgomery was) give it some upside. (Adam McInturff)
2016-06-13 23:00:00 (link to chat)Danny Duffy looks great now that he's pitching exclusively from the stretch. Most of that success has come vs the White Sox though. How you feel about him moving forward? Can he be a 2/3 or is it too soon to think that? Thanks for the chat.
(Choppy from around)
Seems to be pitch mix-related just as much, as he's moved drastically away from the 4-seam in favor of more sinkers, and both secondaries are really playing up well off of it. To early to tell if that holds, and 2/3 seems aggressive even in a best-case scenario, though the lack of walks against offenses that take free passes at decent clips is a good sign. (Wilson Karaman)
2015-09-17 14:00:00 (link to chat)I had great such great judgement that I went into this year with a fantasy SP staff including Latos, Tillman, and Danny Duffy ... Can any of these guys be ... Average starters next year?
(Michael from chicago)
Any one of the three could be average to above, but this season has caused a lot of turmoil with their values. Latos has the best pedigree, Duffy has youth on his side, and Tillman has always been vulnerable to contact, this year it just all went south. So there's reason for optimism with each, but neither should be counted on by an MLB club as more than a number-four starter (a three if desperate) next year. (Doug Thorburn)
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)How likely that Tillman and Danny Duffy turn it around (pitch like, league average)? Debating whether to drop them in a deep dynasty league ...
(Pete from NY)
Tillman has already shown some signs of turning it around and could definitely pitch to a league averae level. He is throwing with a little more bite and better location in his last few outings. Duffy could be good, but given the time he has missed so far and some of the other issues he has I'm not as confident. In a deep dynasty, you probably want to keep both, but if you're also competing this year, your focus should be on Tillman for 2015. (Mike Gianella)
2015-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Making a playoff push in a H2H dynasty where all I need are SP bodies to go for Wins, K's, and QS's ... Would I be crazy to drop Danny Duffy for John Lamb?
(Mike from TX)
Not at all. You ostensibly take a hit in Win potential, but that's never something to plan transactions around. Never been a big fan of Duffy's, as he's a big WHIP liability and now he's not striking guys out either. Wrote up Lamb when he was called up, interesting post-hype guy: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=27219 (Wilson Karaman)
2015-02-04 19:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you like best for the long haul? Michael Pineda, Danny Duffy or Shelby Miller.
(Gmurphsiu02 from St Paul)
I can't, in good conscience, put Pineda over either of these guys. He keeps teasing and showing flashes, but then pulls the rug out from under. It's frustrating.

I'll very hesitantly take Miller>Duffy. I think the Braves can refine his mechs a bit, and get his CB back to a strike out pitch. Duffy has yet to do it for a full season yet, but I do think he has slightly higher upside, lower floor. (Jordan Gorosh)
2015-02-16 11:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see Danny Duffy taking another step forward for the Royals this year? More specifically, will his strikeout rate bounce back to his career averages without much regression to the peripheral stats he put up last season?
(Robert Kincaid from Madison County)
I think Duffy can improve his strikeout rate, but I'm reluctant to project a return to his older levels.

When you look at Duffy's 2014, there a few observable give-and-take relationships. For instance: he allowed more contact and got earlier outs, leading to a lower P/PA, K/9, and BB/9. At the same time, that pound-the-zone mentality led to fewer two-strike counts, but more 0-2 counts. So his total strikeout chances decreased, but the quality of those opportunities increased. I'd have to do some research on what matters moremy guess is it might vary depending on the pitcherbut it's an interesting question to ponder. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-10-23 14:00:00 (link to chat)How worried should I be about Yordano Ventura's workload? I am all for chasing the ring, but the lack of Danny Duffy sightings makes me concerned about their rotation next year.
(Jeff from Lawrence)
There is some concern, especially for a pitcher who relies so much on power at the expense of stability in his delivery. That said, it is critical to look at each pitcher on a case-by-case basis, and the Royals have the most knowledge of these pitchers' risk profiles. I think that a lot of pitchers break down for a lot of reasons, and though workload is certainly a factor to consider, I believe that the ends justify the means in this scenario. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-10-17 12:00:00 (link to chat)Is Ned Yost just inconsistent or is he getting better?
(William from Spokane)
He's getting better. A crucial thing happened in September. The Aaron Crow Game (the cousin of The Jonny Gomes Game) showed the limits of Yost's rigid bullpen management. After that game, pitching coach Dave Eiland implored him to be more aggressive in using Kelvin Herrera and Wade Davis.

One point to Yost's credit: He listened. The next night, Herrera pitched in the sixth. Davis pitched in the seventh.

Another point to Yost's credit: He did not waver. Because the Royals lost that next night, and Yost could have easily backslid into the routine. He didn't.

During the ALCS, multiple Orioles officials lamented to me their frustration that Yost had optimized his bullpen deployment. It was almost unfair, they said. And this was when the team wasn't even using Danny Duffy, who was their best pitcher for much of the summer.

So, in short, Yost has gotten better. He still does goofy things, like letting his No. 3 hitter bunt in the first inning. But they've found a horseshoe. At this point, it's Ned's world, and we're all just living in it. Hope you are all enjoying the #Yostseason. (Andy McCullough)
2014-10-17 12:00:00 (link to chat)In your approximation how many Lions are on the Royals roster? Any, besides Shields of course, with future astronaut lion potential?
(Chill Cosby from Space)
Danny Duffy could become an Astronaut Grizzly.

https://twitter.com/McCulloughStar/status/522540919019798528/photo/1

http://idealog.co.nz/media/images/blog/2013/07/sloth_t.jpg (Andy McCullough)
2014-10-17 12:00:00 (link to chat)If you had the choice, what would the WS starting rotation for the Royals look like?
(clscholes from Independence)
Danny Duffy would be pitching.

But I would say the Royals approach has been effective so far. (Andy McCullough)
2014-10-17 12:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think the rotation will be opening day next year for the Royals?
(Alex from Madison, WI)
Jason Vargas, Danny Duffy, Yordano Ventura, Jeremy Guthrie and Johnny Free Agent. (Andy McCullough)
2014-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are you a Danny Duffy believer?
(Royal diehard from KC)
Yes. Bret Sayre and I own him in mixed LABR and I like Duffy a lot. Maybe he's not a future ace, but I could see a solid #2. (Mike Gianella)
2014-09-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Fantasy Question: Regardless of cost, who would you rather have for the next 3 years: Danny Duffy, Jake Arrieta, or Rusney Castillo? What kind of player will Castillo be?
(Quiet Time from D.C.)
Castillo is a total wild card. The scouting reports I've read pegged him somewhere between Rajai Davis and Shane Victorino, but then it was said that he bulked up and showed unexpected power during his workouts last month. Even if he "ony" ends up as the next Shane Victorino, I'd take that over either SP. I'd take most solid everyday players over most unproven SP's. (Cory Schwartz)
2014-09-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who will have the better career Danny Duffy or Brandon Finnegan?
(Kevin G from Jacksonville)
As of today you'd have to go with Duffy because he's got a regular rotation spot and is pitching very well. Remember that he too was a big-time prospect before injuries slowed him, but he's still very young and has upside to grow. Finnegan has much to prove before he becomes the next... Danny Duffy? :-) (Cory Schwartz)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)I have Segura, Wilin Rosario and Shelby Miller in a keeper league where they'll be cheap next year. Should I have any confidence that one or more of them will rebound? And would you hold on to any of them over Danny Duffy or Drew Pomeranz for the same price?
(Sjcolmus from Baltimore)
I like Duffy going forward. Would drop Rosario for him, and while I'm not optimistic on Segura, I'm hopeful he can rebound a bit. Pomeranz isn't very good. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-07-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is Danny Duffy for real? Can he keep this up the rest of the year and beyond?
(Levine Perry from CT)
Lefty's that throw that hard have a huge advantage, and the curve has been unhittable this year. We'll see if he can continue to bury the curve and keep batters on their toes with the heat, as they could make adjustments now that the book is out on him. He has a solid delivery that lacks southpaw-related quirks, so that's another point in his favor. I don't see a 2.50 ERA ROS, but I could see him settle into the 3.25-3.50 range and be very effective down the stretch. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-07-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)Love all the coverage of Arrieta taking his next step forward. In similar fashion, is Danny Duffy's great start to the year something he can keep up the rest of the year and beyond?
(Nils from CT)
Please see previous response on Duffy. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-07-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are you sold on the development of Danny Duffy??
(Kevin from KC)
I think we've seen some, but not commensurate with his ERA. I actually think there's more growth to come, though probably more in 2015. I'd bet on a mid to high-3.00s ERA the rest of the way. (Paul Sporer)
2014-04-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)You think Danny Duffy will take over Bruce Chen's spot in the rotation soon? If so is he an immediate add?
(Mike from Boston)
I think he can, yes. And then he'd be an add in a lot of formats, but not necessarily a must-add in 10 or 12-team mixers (Paul Sporer)
2014-01-21 18:00:00 (link to chat)Your overall thoughts on Danny Duffy going into 2014?
(nevadamartin from Las Vegas, NV)
Duffy followed the typical injury recovery from TJ surgery at the tail end of 2013. His velocity was there but his command was not. My concern is that Duffy's command has never really been great at the Major League level so there are no guarantees he is going to find it this year either. I think Duffy is a solid back end guy in fantasy, but I wouldn't chase him and the only format where I'd really pursue him is in dynasty. There is a lot of reward but also a lot of risk here. (Mike Gianella)
2013-11-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Danny Duffy, ready to break out and live up to K rate and stuff, or too inconsistent to be a rotation anchor?
(Samsonite DuSable from Springfield)
those are two separate things--I think he's close to having a good season as a starter (health allowing) but I don't see him as a rotation anchor. He's going to find age taking a bit off his stuff quite soon so it's get going or get gone time for Duffy to shine. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-10-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Danny Duffy continued to struggle with some injury issues after his return. Do you see any red flags in his mechanics? Is he a potential #2 guy?
(Kevin from Tennessee)
He's got that potential. But the only red flag I need to see is his injury history. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-09-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see Danny Duffy developing into a relaible mid of the rotation arm?
(Shawn from CT)
He has the raw velocity and the pitch mix for the rotation, but his secondary stuff has not been crisp enough to hold down a mid-rotation spot yet. His command has been very spotty, and he has some mechanical obstacle to overcome before he can iron out those issues - he has an overly-closed stride that does not appear to work well with his signature, and he struggles with balance from foot strike through release point. So it all depends on his development path, but if he can't make the necessary adjustments then he may be destined for a role in the bullpen. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)What type of ceiling do you see for Danny Duffy? Seems to have huge K potential
(Shawn from My Cubicle)
I saw Duffy a lot as a prospect, the stuff is real and he has the chance to be a very solid mid rotation starter. (Zach Mortimer)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Obviously not this year, but does Danny Duffy have the ceiling of a #2? Pre-TJ I think he had one of the fastest avg fastballs in MLB.
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
Yes, though the ceiling is faint. I'd bet more on a #3 (Paul Sporer)
2013-05-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on Daniel Hudson, Danny Duffy, and Felipe Paulino? Will any have value this year? Who's best long-term?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
No idea this year, wouldn't really waste much time. Hudson long-term. (Paul Sporer)
2013-03-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat Doug! I'm a big fan and look forward to the SP guide with your input. I would like to know if you look for specific mechanic flaws for pitchers post TJ or other surgery. i.e. John Lamb or Danny Duffy.
(jimcal from Seattle)
When looking at post-surgery pitchers, what I pay attention to differs based on the conditions of their injury. If the guy had solid mechanics before getting hurt - but fell due to workloads, structural integrity, or other conditions - then I just look to see how far away he is from regaining his previous delivery. But if there was an underlying mechanical flaw, then I look to see if any adjustments have been made to correct the problem.

Stephen Strasburg is a good example. I loved his mechanics before the injury, though he did have the trifecta of inverted-W + heavy scapular load + delayed trunk rotation that leads to elbow drag (particularly when fatigued). I am a big fan of his delivery now, but in my opinion he is still just 90-95% of the way back to his pre-injury levels. But the Nats were smart to shut him down last season, given the risk factors inherent in his motion plus the additional risk when he gets fatigued.

On the jukebox: Audioslave, "Like a Stone" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-02-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)M.Pineda - worth a stash in fantasy? Any hope he comes on to pitch mid-year 2013?
(Al from Boston)
In a redraft league, I'd consider Pineda as a late-round flier that you could stash on your DL and hope for the best. We recently heard that he's ahead of schedule and actually threw a 25-pitch (all-fastball) session the other day, so there is upside here. On the other hand, recovery from a labrum tear is difficult to project, so if you're inclined to gamble on a pitcher coming back from injury, someone like Danny Duffy or Cory Luebke (both Tommy John surgery victims) might be a better bet. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-03-15 12:00:00 (link to chat)What's your take on the 2012 Royals?
(Ryan Glass from The District)
It comes down to their pitching. I can see their young position players taking steps forward, but that rotation needs to carry its weight, too. If Luke Hochevar and Danny Duffy can improve and Felipe Paulino continues to pitch like he did with KC last season then that team looks a lot better than it does now. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any "sophomores" you like to break out this season
(moehk21 from NYC)
I like Ben Revere, Eric Thames, Lucas Duda, Cory Luebke, Danny Duffy, Henderson Alvarez all to various degrees. (Derek Carty)
2011-05-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Danny Duffy here to stay? (assuming no more retirements)
(seth from OP,KS)
I think he is. He's got the stuff to play in the majors. I'm sure he'll have rookie struggles, but I see no reason why the Royals would want to keep rolling out the current cast of clowns every five days. There has to be a continuing spot for Duffy in there, I would think. (Mike Fast)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Danny Duffy has thrown 10,491 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2009 and 2016, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason, Spring Training and Fall/Winter Ball. In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (96mph), Sinker (95mph) and Slider (84mph), also mixing in a Change (86mph). He also rarely throws a Curve (80mph).