Biographical

Portrait of Brad Mills

Brad Mills PBlue Jays

Blue Jays Player Cards | Blue Jays Team Audit | Blue Jays Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 29)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
85.7 4.53 1.39 66 6 5 0 0.2
Birth Date3-5-1985
Height6' 0"
Weight185 lbs
Age29 years, 7 months, 20 days
BatsR
ThrowsL
0.22010
-0.22011
0.32012
2013
-0.52014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2009 TOR 24 2 2 7.7 7.7 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 0 42 14 12 12 4 28 6 6 0 9 14.09 9.93 10.75 -3.6 -0.4
2010 TOR 25 7 3 22.3 15.3 7.0 1 0 0 0 1 0 98 20 14 14 2 33 13 12 1 18 5.64 4.48 4.97 2.3 0.2
2011 TOR 26 5 4 18.3 18.3 0.0 1 2 0 0 1 0 91 23 20 20 4 42 12 11 2 18 9.82 6.23 6.86 -2.2 -0.2
2012 ANA 27 1 1 5.0 5.0 0.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 18 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 6 0.00 0.65 1.04 2.4 0.3
2014 OAK 29 3 3 16.3 16.3 0.0 1 1 0 0 2 0 73 19 9 8 2 26 7 7 1 14 4.41 4.51 5.44 -1.9 -0.2
2014 TOR 29 2 0 4.3 0.0 4.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 28 10 13 13 3 24 4 4 1 5 27.00 13.31 13.58 -4.1 -0.5
Career201374.062.711.34400403508968671515742405708.155.746.52-7.1-0.8

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2007 AUB A- 6 2 18.0 4.11 110 .160 .240 .318 .349 .251 .214 100 3.6 0.4 3.6 0.4
2008 LNS A 15 15 81.3 3.95 105 .243 .246 .321 .357 .259 .319 96 8.6 0.9 8.6 0.9
2008 DUN A+ 6 6 33.3 4.29 114 .226 .256 .328 .371 .253 .284 109 4.8 0.5 4.8 0.5
2008 NHP AA 6 6 32.7 4.62 106 .213 .264 .337 .397 .255 .262 105 5.1 0.5 5.1 0.5
2009 TOR MLB 2 2 7.7 10.75 -21 .424 .252 .326 .440 .267 .435 101 -3.4 -0.3 -3.6 -0.4
2009 LVG AAA 14 14 84.3 5.37 84 .253 .275 .346 .417 .274 .316 99 3.7 0.4 3.7 0.4
2010 TOR MLB 7 3 22.3 4.97 104 .248 .255 .329 .417 .258 .281 116 2.3 0.2 2.3 0.2
2010 LVG AAA 20 20 112.3 5.61 93 .263 .281 .354 .435 .272 .310 105 11.2 1.1 11.2 1.1
2011 TOR MLB 5 4 18.3 6.86 54 .337 .250 .306 .390 .254 .345 106 -2.2 -0.2 -2.2 -0.2
2011 LVG AAA 24 24 157.3 4.71 121 .233 .285 .355 .455 .266 .309 113 39.1 3.7 39.1 3.7
2012 ANA MLB 1 1 5.0 1.04 174 .139 .239 .299 .395 .239 .250 91 2.4 0.3 2.4 0.3
2012 SLC AAA 21 19 109.0 6.02 82 .288 .281 .348 .434 .273 .331 103 4.1 0.4 4.1 0.4
2013 ROU AAA 18 17 97.7 4.55 95 .253 .267 .340 .410 .270 .280 91 8.2 0.8 8.2 0.8
2014 OAK MLB 3 3 16.3 5.44 68 .295 .255 .316 .387 .262 .347 99 -1.2 -0.1 -1.9 -0.2
2014 TOR MLB 2 0 4.3 13.58 -135 .551 .254 .312 .377 .261 .467 98 -4.1 -0.5 -4.1 -0.5
2014 BUF AAA 6 6 32.3 3.96 115 .198 .258 .327 .393 .250 .270 99 4.4 0.4 4.4 0.4
2014 NAS AAA 14 12 75.0 3.92 111 .205 .264 .326 .407 .258 .242 89 11.6 1.2 10.7 1.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2007 AUB A- 2 0 0 6 2 18.0 9 6 21 0 52% .214 4.5 3.0 0.0 10.5 0.83 2.00 3.6 0.4
2008 NHP AA 3 2 0 6 6 32.7 24 12 32 2 33% .262 6.6 3.3 0.6 8.8 1.10 1.10 5.1 0.5
2008 LNS A 6 3 0 15 15 81.3 71 28 92 3 53% .319 7.9 3.1 0.3 10.2 1.22 2.55 8.6 0.9
2008 DUN A+ 4 0 0 6 6 33.3 25 12 35 2 38% .284 6.8 3.2 0.5 9.5 1.11 1.35 4.8 0.5
2009 LVG AAA 2 8 0 14 14 84.3 83 35 72 6 46% .316 8.9 3.7 0.6 7.7 1.40 4.06 3.7 0.4
2009 TOR MLB 0 1 0 2 2 7.7 14 6 9 4 15% .435 16.4 7.0 4.7 10.6 2.61 14.09 -3.6 -0.4
2010 LVG AAA 8 6 0 20 20 112.3 118 43 100 15 43% .310 9.5 3.4 1.2 8.0 1.43 4.97 11.2 1.1
2010 TOR MLB 1 0 0 7 3 22.3 20 13 18 2 41% .281 8.1 5.2 0.8 7.3 1.48 5.64 2.3 0.2
2011 TOR MLB 1 2 0 5 4 18.3 23 12 18 4 34% .345 11.3 5.9 2.0 8.8 1.91 9.82 -2.2 -0.2
2011 LVG AAA 11 9 0 24 24 157.3 161 39 136 20 43% .309 9.2 2.2 1.1 7.8 1.27 4.00 39.1 3.7
2012 ANA MLB 1 0 0 1 1 5.0 3 0 6 0 33% .250 5.4 0.0 0.0 10.8 0.60 0.00 2.4 0.3
2012 SLC AAA 5 10 0 21 19 109.0 133 40 67 13 45% .331 11.0 3.3 1.1 5.5 1.59 5.86 4.1 0.4
2013 ROU AAA 7 5 0 18 17 97.7 92 29 73 9 45% .280 8.5 2.7 0.8 6.7 1.24 3.87 8.2 0.8
2014 BUF AAA 2 1 0 6 6 32.3 26 5 26 2 38% .270 7.2 1.4 0.6 7.2 0.96 3.06 4.4 0.4
2014 OAK MLB 1 1 0 3 3 16.3 19 7 14 2 45% .347 10.5 3.9 1.1 7.7 1.59 4.41 -1.9 -0.2
2014 TOR MLB 0 0 0 2 0 4.3 10 4 5 3 28% .467 20.8 8.3 6.2 10.4 3.23 27.00 -4.1 -0.5
2014 NAS AAA 4 2 0 14 12 75.0 51 18 77 5 57% .242 6.1 2.2 0.6 9.2 0.92 1.56 10.7 1.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2009 189 0.5556 0.3704 0.7143 0.4952 0.2143 0.7692 0.5556 0.2857
2010 406 0.5320 0.3867 0.8217 0.5509 0.2000 0.8403 0.7632 0.1783
2011 372 0.5188 0.4301 0.8000 0.6218 0.2235 0.8333 0.7000 0.2000
2012 88 0.5341 0.4773 0.7619 0.6383 0.2927 0.8667 0.5000 0.2381
2014 413 0.4673 0.4262 0.8068 0.6114 0.2636 0.8814 0.6552 0.1932
Career14680.51360.41210.79460.5840.23120.84250.67430.2054

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2010-06-12 2010-07-06 Minors 24 0 Not Disclosed -
2009-07-03 2009-09-08 Minors 67 0 Right Trunk Strain Rib Cage -
2007-08-25 2007-09-05 Minors 11 0 Not Disclosed -
2007-07-03 2007-08-02 Minors 30 0 Not Disclosed -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 MIL $
2013 ANA $
2012 ANA $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 95 d1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Signed by Milwaukee as a free agent 1/9/14 (minor-league contract). Acquired by Oakland in trade from Milwaukee 6/17/14. Contract selected by Oakland 6/20/14. Claimed by Toronto off waivers 7/17/14 after being DFA by Oakland 7/7/14. DFA by Toronto 7/22/14. Sent outright to Triple-A 7/24/14. Contract selected by Toronto 8/11/14. DFA by Toronto 8/12/14. Sent outright to Triple-A 8/14/14. Refused assignment by Toronto 10/4/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Re-signed by LA Angels 3/2/13. Claimed by Texas off waivers from LA Angels 3/24/13. Sent outright to Triple-A by LA Angels 3/28/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Re-signed by LA Angels 3/3/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Re-signed by Toronto 3/11. Acquired by LA Angels in trade from Toronto 12/1/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Re-signed by Toronto 2/10.
  • 1 year (2009). Contract purchased by Toronto 6/17/09.
  • Drafted 2007 (4-145) (Arizona). $0.14M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 7 5.7 0 19 19 110.3 88 31 87 12 .264 1.08 3.17 3.44 21.2 2.2
80o 6.4 5.7 0 18 18 103.7 89 31 82 12 .277 1.16 3.53 3.84 14.7 1.5
70o 5.9 5.7 0 17 17 99.0 89 31 78 12 .287 1.21 3.80 4.13 10.6 1.1
60o 5.6 5.7 0 16 16 95.1 88 31 75 12 .295 1.26 4.03 4.38 7.4 0.8
50o 5.3 5.7 0 16 16 91.5 88 31 72 12 .303 1.31 4.25 4.62 4.6 0.5
40o 4.9 5.6 0 15 15 87.9 88 31 69 12 .310 1.35 4.47 4.86 2.0 0.2
30o 4.6 5.6 0 15 15 84.2 87 31 66 12 .319 1.40 4.71 5.12 -0.4 -0.0
20o 4.2 5.5 0 14 14 79.9 87 31 63 12 .328 1.47 5.00 5.43 -3.0 -0.3
10o 3.7 5.5 0 13 13 74.1 85 30 59 11 .342 1.55 5.40 5.87 -6.1 -0.6
Weighted Mean5.25.60161691.087317212.3011.304.234.594.80.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
8% 11% 6% 14% 27%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2015309902626155150491252043.3051.284.174.538.72.87.31.20.9
2016318802222132126421071743.3021.274.074.428.62.97.31.21.0
201732770212112211638981643.3031.274.054.408.62.87.21.20.9
201833770191911410935921543.3031.264.044.398.62.87.21.20.9
201934660181810710433851443.3051.284.144.508.72.87.11.20.7
20203566017171009830781343.3061.284.154.518.82.77.01.20.6
2021365601616959228751243.3061.274.124.478.72.77.11.10.6
2022375501515908827711243.3071.284.124.488.82.77.11.20.6
2023385501515888727691143.3071.294.134.498.92.87.01.10.6

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
0.90.3out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball1.2

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 81)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 95 Chris Seddon 2013 0.00 DNP
2 91 Robert Ray 2013 0.00 DNP
3 88 Billy Buckner 2013 4.67
4 87 Everett Teaford 2013 0.00
5 87 Mike Parisi 2012 0.00 DNP
6 87 Tom Cochran 2012 0.00 DNP
7 86 Ramon A. Ramirez 2012 0.00 DNP
8 85 J.D. Durbin 2011 0.00 DNP
9 85 Chad Reineke 2011 8.10
10 85 Jim Paduch 2012 0.00 DNP
11 84 Carlos Torres 2012 5.26
12 84 Jorge Campillo 2008 4.20
13 84 Jason Hirsh 2011 0.00 DNP
14 84 Eric Stults 2009 4.86
15 84 Jeff Fulchino 2009 3.62
16 84 Eric Hacker 2012 5.59
17 83 Ronald Bay 2013 0.00 DNP
18 83 Andrew Kown 2012 0.00 DNP
19 83 Guillermo Moscoso 2013 5.10
20 83 Zach Jackson 2012 0.00 DNP
21 83 Erik Arnesen 2013 0.00 DNP
22 83 Dan Meyer 2011 0.00 DNP
23 82 Steve Watkins 2008 0.00 DNP
24 82 Esmailin Caridad 2013 0.00 DNP
25 82 Garrett Mock 2012 0.00 DNP
26 82 Colby Lewis 2009 0.00 DNP
27 82 Anthony Lerew 2012 0.00 DNP
28 82 J.D. Martin 2012 0.00 DNP
29 82 Chris Waters 2010 0.00 DNP
30 82 Brian Slocum 2010 0.00 DNP
31 82 Ryan Edell 2013 0.00 DNP
32 82 Philip Humber 2012 6.53
33 82 Matt Wright 2011 0.00 DNP
34 81 Heath Phillips 2011 0.00 DNP
35 81 Matt DeSalvo 2010 0.00 DNP
36 81 Josh Muecke 2011 0.00 DNP
37 81 Sam LeCure 2013 2.66
38 81 Chris Narveson 2011 4.56
39 81 Scott Richmond 2009 5.84
40 81 Tim Stauffer 2011 3.93
41 81 Andy Van Hekken 2009 0.00 DNP
42 80 Yoslan Herrera 2010 0.00 DNP
43 80 Omar Beltre 2011 0.00 DNP
44 80 David Purcey 2011 5.61
45 80 Jeremy Guthrie 2008 3.87
46 80 Josh Hancock 2007 4.26
47 80 Pat Misch 2011 10.29
48 80 Mark McLemore 2010 0.00 DNP
49 80 Jack Cassel 2010 0.00 DNP
50 80 Romulo Sanchez 2013 0.00 DNP
51 80 David Pauley 2012 7.02
52 80 Eddie Bonine 2010 4.90
53 80 Cristhian Martinez 2011 3.48
54 80 Daniel Davidson 2010 0.00 DNP
55 79 Justin Hampson 2009 0.00 DNP
56 79 Chase Wright 2012 0.00 DNP
57 79 Nic Ungs 2009 0.00 DNP
58 79 Charlie Haeger 2013 0.00 DNP
59 79 Chris George 2009 0.00 DNP
60 79 Josh Banks 2012 0.00 DNP
61 79 Brian Stokes 2009 4.22
62 79 John Koronka 2010 0.00 DNP
63 79 Brian Baker 2012 0.00 DNP
64 79 Dave Williams 2008 0.00 DNP
65 79 Greg Smith 2013 0.00 DNP
66 78 Dave Gassner 2008 0.00 DNP
67 78 Dustin Moseley 2011 4.42
68 78 Garrett Olson 2013 0.00 DNP
69 78 Brad Knox 2011 0.00 DNP
70 78 Steve Bray 2010 0.00 DNP
71 78 Jeremy Johnson 2012 0.00 DNP
72 78 Bob Keppel 2011 0.00 DNP
73 78 Daniel McCutchen 2012 0.00 DNP
74 78 Kyle Denney 2007 0.00 DNP
75 78 Matt Buschmann 2013 0.00 DNP
76 78 Matt Smith 2008 0.00 DNP
77 78 Marco Estrada 2013 3.94
78 78 Wilton Chavez 2007 0.00 DNP
79 78 Billy Traber 2009 14.73
80 78 Mike Smith 2007 0.00 DNP
81 77 Miguel Gonzalez 2013 4.20
82 77 Doug Mathis 2012 0.00 DNP
83 77 Dustin Nippert 2010 4.45
84 77 Zack Segovia 2012 0.00 DNP
85 77 Kei Igawa 2009 0.00 DNP
86 77 Craig Stammen 2013 3.31
87 77 Francisley Bueno 2010 0.00 DNP
88 77 Rowdy Hardy 2012 0.00 DNP
89 77 Mike Ballard 2013 0.00 DNP
90 77 Ryan Ketchner 2011 0.00 DNP
91 77 Brian Burres 2010 5.45
92 77 Mike Hinckley 2012 0.00 DNP
93 77 Buddy Carlyle 2007 5.64
94 77 Matt Torra 2013 0.00 DNP
95 77 Bill Murphy 2010 0.00 DNP
96 77 John Ennis 2009 0.00 DNP
97 77 John Webb 2008 0.00 DNP
98 77 Steven Shell 2012 0.00 DNP
99 77 Andrew Sisco 2012 0.00 DNP
100 77 Chris Smith 2010 5.40

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2013 “Sorry, the phone is cutting out. Did you say you’ll give us bad pills for Jeff Mathis? Because, yeah, okay, we’ll definitely take it, no take-backs!” The Angels actually got back an undersized lefty who throws strikes, keeps his fastball high and his changeup low, and simply doesn’t throw hard enough to earn a permanent spot on a big-league staff. Mills did get one start in July when injuries nipped the Angels rotation, and he was great—just not great enough to prevent a demotion after the game, back to Salt Lake, where he had a 7.23 ERA at home.
2012 Mills had a quietly good season at Triple-A that was an improvement over his 2010. That his brief major-league trial went disastrously doesn’t mean Mills is further now from helping the club. His walk rate in Triple-A was the best of his minor league career, and that makes the 12 free passes he issued in 18 major-league innings all the more puzzling. He is left handed, durable, and throws a pretty good changeup, three qualities that the Angels probably weren't demanding in return for Jeff Mathis but which they will gladly accept.
2011 Finesse pitchers are fun to watch because they seem to defy gravity, if not with their pitches, at least with their career arcs. As each step along the development chain erodes their strikeout rate without doing anything flattering to their walk rates, fans can simply hope that they’ve socked away enough craftiness to survive the upper levels. Mills is flying close to the sun, to be sure, and Las Vegas is not a forgiving place for a pitcher who gets cute with the strike zone. Nevertheless, he’s a lefty and has three pitches he can throw for strikes. His success, as high as it may go, depends entirely on his ability to aggressively command the strike zone by keeping hitters off balance.
2010 A slim lefty with average stuff who relies heavily on his command, this University of Arizona product tore through the lower levels in his first two pro seasons, but began to look a bit ordinary in Triple-A last year. He looked even worse when he was given two major league starts in late June and, after one more turn in Triple-A, had his season ended by injury. He’s nonetheless in the mix for the back of the rotation this spring.
2009 A slim lefty starter taken out of the University of Arizona in the 22nd round of the 2007 draft following his senior year, Mills moved quickly in his first full season last year, excelling in the Midwest League, then making six strong starts in both High-A and Double-A. Since turning pro, he’s gone 15-5 with a 1.96 ERA, and struck out 180 in 165 1/3 innings with just seven home runs allowed. He won’t keep that up at the upper levels, but he has a decent assortment of pitches, a good approach, and projects as a solid back-end starter; with the Jays' vacuum in the rotation, he could be rushed.

BP Articles

Brad Mills is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Red Sox Place Their BettsR.J. Anderson2014-08-20
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Boston Gives 'Em A Little Thumpin' Thumpin'Daniel Rathman2014-07-22
Daily League Strategy: Two Servings of FlandePaul Sporer2014-07-22
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Cahilling TimeR.J. Anderson2014-07-18
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Billy Beane Buys What the Cubs Are SellingRon Shah2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Billy Beane Buys What the Cubs Are SellingBret Sayre2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Billy Beane Buys What the Cubs Are SellingR.J. Anderson2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Billy Beane Buys What the Cubs Are SellingJason Parks2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Billy Beane Buys What the Cubs Are SellingMauricio Rubio2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The A's Get Rick-RolledChris Mosch2014-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/30Daniel Rathman2014-06-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 14Wilson Karaman2014-06-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep Impact: Week 12Ben Carsley2014-06-26
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/23Daniel Rathman2014-06-23
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Exception to the RaulR.J. Anderson2014-06-23
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Wheeler Hooks the FishDaniel Rathman2014-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Wheeler Hooks the FishChris Mosch2014-06-20
Daily League Strategy: Latent LatosPaul Sporer2014-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Dombrowski Gone WildR.J. Anderson2014-03-26
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: What it Means to Have the Best Farm System in Baseball, Part TwoSam Miller2014-01-17
Pebble Hunting: The Most Pablo Sandoval Plate AppearancesSam Miller2013-04-24
This article requires BP Premium accessBaseball Therapy: Of Dogs, Men, and Stolen BasesRussell A. Carleton2013-03-04


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Brad Mills has thrown 1,521 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2009 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (88mph) and Change (80mph), also mixing in a Curve (74mph) and Cutter (82mph).