Biographical

Portrait of Jake Arrieta

Jake Arrieta PCubs

Cubs Player Cards | Cubs Team Audit | Cubs Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 28)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date3-6-1986
Height6' 4"
Weight225 lbs
Age28 years, 6 months, 17 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
0.92010
-0.42011
1.12012
-0.12013
4.42014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2010 BAL 24 18 18 100.3 100.3 0.0 6 6 0 0 10 0 449 106 57 52 9 161 48 45 4 52 4.66 4.73 5.09 9.0 0.9
2011 BAL 25 22 22 119.3 119.3 0.0 10 8 0 0 12 0 523 115 70 67 21 204 59 57 4 93 5.05 5.37 6.27 -5.1 -0.4
2012 BAL 26 24 18 114.7 101.3 13.3 3 9 0 0 6 1 496 122 82 79 16 195 35 32 5 109 6.20 4.01 4.79 9.0 1.1
2013 BAL 27 5 5 23.7 23.7 0.0 1 2 0 0 0 0 111 25 19 19 2 41 17 16 2 23 7.23 4.64 4.87 0.8 0.1
2013 CHN 27 9 9 51.7 51.7 0.0 4 2 0 0 5 0 213 34 22 21 7 66 24 24 3 37 3.66 4.92 5.88 -3.5 -0.2
2014 CHN 28 24 24 149.7 149.7 0.0 9 5 0 0 17 0 588 112 45 44 5 152 40 38 2 157 2.65 2.28 2.88 32.1 3.6
Career10296559.3546.013.3333200501238051429528260819223212204714.544.084.7542.35.0

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2007 PDD Wnt 14 0 16.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .222 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 FRD A+ 20 20 113.0 4.29 113 .222 .262 .338 .408 .268 .262 105 19.4 1.9 19.4 1.9
2009 BOW AA 11 11 59.0 3.28 122 .235 .257 .335 .403 .270 .287 95 11.7 1.2 11.7 1.2
2009 NOR AAA 17 17 91.7 3.97 114 .256 .263 .334 .397 .250 .324 103 14.6 1.4 14.6 1.4
2010 BAL MLB 18 18 100.3 5.09 98 .267 .261 .329 .413 .260 .289 112 9.5 1.0 9.0 0.9
2010 NOR AAA 12 11 73.0 4.84 97 .200 .259 .330 .401 .250 .237 99 4.8 0.5 4.8 0.5
2011 BAL MLB 22 22 119.3 6.27 67 .277 .258 .325 .412 .264 .272 106 -5.9 -0.6 -5.1 -0.4
2012 BAL MLB 24 18 114.7 4.79 96 .266 .259 .323 .424 .268 .320 104 9.6 1.0 9.0 1.1
2012 NOR AAA 10 10 56.0 4.76 92 .240 .265 .330 .402 .255 .287 94 1.0 0.1 1.0 0.1
2013 BAL MLB 5 5 23.7 4.87 88 .310 .265 .331 .412 .274 .343 101 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.1
2013 CHN MLB 9 9 51.7 5.88 61 .236 .248 .308 .392 .255 .190 105 -3.6 -0.4 -3.5 -0.2
2013 IOW AAA 7 7 30.3 4.24 101 .278 .246 .320 .375 .255 .390 90 4.9 0.5 6.0 0.7
2013 NOR AAA 9 8 49.0 4.80 91 .230 .252 .323 .389 .254 .285 97 1.7 0.2 1.7 0.2
2014 CHN MLB 24 24 149.7 2.88 128 .203 .247 .304 .380 .255 .276 99 29.9 3.3 32.1 3.6
2014 DAY A+ 1 1 5.7 10.75 -34 .318 .225 .279 .332 .224 .167 99 -2.4 -0.2 -2.4 -0.2
2014 TEN AA 4 4 14.3 3.92 107 .183 .233 .300 .343 .245 .200 96 2.0 0.2 1.5 0.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2007 PDD Wnt 1 0 0 14 0 16.0 8 7 16 0 0% .222 4.5 3.9 0.0 9.0 0.94 0.00 0.0 0.0
2008 FRD A+ 6 5 0 20 20 113.0 80 51 120 7 50% .262 6.4 4.1 0.6 9.6 1.16 2.87 19.4 1.9
2009 NOR AAA 5 8 0 17 17 91.7 97 33 78 9 43% .324 9.5 3.2 0.9 7.7 1.42 3.93 14.6 1.4
2009 BOW AA 6 3 0 11 11 59.0 45 23 70 4 38% .287 6.9 3.5 0.6 10.7 1.15 2.59 11.7 1.2
2010 BAL MLB 6 6 0 18 18 100.3 106 48 52 9 44% .289 9.5 4.3 0.8 4.7 1.53 4.66 9.0 0.9
2010 NOR AAA 6 2 0 12 11 73.0 48 34 64 3 52% .237 5.9 4.2 0.4 7.9 1.12 1.85 4.8 0.5
2011 BAL MLB 10 8 0 22 22 119.3 115 59 93 21 48% .272 8.7 4.4 1.6 7.0 1.46 5.05 -5.1 -0.4
2012 NOR AAA 5 4 0 10 10 56.0 46 28 54 3 48% .287 7.4 4.5 0.5 8.7 1.32 4.02 1.0 0.1
2012 BAL MLB 3 9 0 24 18 114.7 122 35 109 16 46% .320 9.6 2.7 1.3 8.6 1.37 6.20 9.0 1.1
2013 IOW AAA 2 2 0 7 7 30.3 32 16 39 2 51% .390 9.5 4.7 0.6 11.6 1.58 3.56 6.0 0.7
2013 NOR AAA 5 3 0 9 8 49.0 45 14 38 4 52% .285 8.3 2.6 0.7 7.0 1.20 4.41 1.7 0.2
2013 CHN MLB 4 2 0 9 9 51.7 34 24 37 7 46% .190 5.9 4.2 1.2 6.4 1.12 3.66 -3.5 -0.2
2013 BAL MLB 1 2 0 5 5 23.7 25 17 23 2 33% .343 9.5 6.5 0.8 8.7 1.77 7.23 0.8 0.1
2014 CHN MLB 9 5 0 24 24 149.7 112 40 157 5 50% .276 6.7 2.4 0.3 9.4 1.02 2.65 32.1 3.6
2014 TEN AA 1 1 0 4 4 14.3 8 5 11 0 62% .200 5.0 3.1 0.0 6.9 0.91 1.26 1.5 0.3
2014 DAY A+ 0 0 0 1 1 5.7 5 2 7 3 60% .167 7.9 3.2 4.8 11.1 1.24 4.76 -2.4 -0.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2010 1705 0.4927 0.4364 0.8602 0.6071 0.2705 0.9137 0.7436 0.1358
2011 2087 0.4811 0.4274 0.8206 0.5966 0.2705 0.8898 0.6792 0.1783
2012 1948 0.5175 0.4199 0.8068 0.5774 0.2511 0.8797 0.6271 0.1919
2013 1261 0.5115 0.4425 0.8423 0.5814 0.2971 0.8933 0.7377 0.1559
2014 2312 0.4970 0.4589 0.7719 0.5962 0.3233 0.8642 0.6037 0.2253
Career93130.49890.43730.81580.59230.28320.88620.66930.182

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-03-21 2014-05-03 15-DL 43 27 Right Shoulder Recovery From Previous Injury Inflammation - -
2014-02-13 2014-03-21 Camp 36 0 Right Shoulder Inflammation - -
2013-04-01 2013-04-05 DTD 4 3 Right Fingers Blister Middle Finger - -
2011-08-01 2011-09-29 60-DL 59 57 Right Elbow Surgery Bone Spurs and Fibrous Mass 2011-08-12 -
2011-07-26 2011-07-26 DTD 0 0 Right Foot Contusion Batted Ball - -
2010-09-15 2010-10-04 DTD 19 17 Right Elbow Bone Spur -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 CHN $544,500
2013 BAL $516,500
2012 BAL $488,500
2011 BAL $419,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
3 yrPrevious$1,424,000
2011Current$544,500
4 yrPvs + Cur$1,968,500
4 yrTotal$1,968,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
2 y 145 d1 year/$0.5445M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.5445M (2014). Re-signed by Chicago Cubs 3/3/14.
  • 1 year/$0.5165M (2013). Re-signed by Baltimore 3/8/13. Acquired by Chicago Cubs in trade from Baltimore 7/2/13.
  • 1 year/$0.4885M (2012). Re-signed by Baltimore 3/10/12.
  • 1 year/$0.419M (2011). Re-signed by Baltimore 2/11.
  • Drafted by Baltimore 2007 (5-159) (TCU). $1.1M signing bonus.

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Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .245 .338 .441 .277
11 vs R (Multi) .246 .325 .391 .257
18 Split (Multi) -.001 .013 .050 .020
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .187 .311 .353 .240
31 vs R (2013) .246 .342 .433 .274
38 Split (2013) -.059 -.031 -.080 -.034
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Jake Arrieta is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Circling Back to The Holy TrinityJ.P. Breen2014-09-22
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 17, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-17
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Pitchers Live For the Applause-plauseSam Miller2014-09-11
The Lineup Card: Nine Comeback of the Year Candidates for 2015Baseball Prospectus2014-09-10
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 9, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-09
The Lineup Card: Nine Comeback Player of the Year CandidatesBaseball Prospectus2014-09-04
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 29, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Buyer's Guide: Carlos CarrascoJ.P. Breen2014-08-25
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 25, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-25
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Cubs Page TurnerR.J. Anderson2014-08-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 20Wilson Karaman2014-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 6, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Buyer's Guide: Lucas DudaJ.P. Breen2014-08-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Buyer's Guide: Francisco LirianoJ.P. Breen2014-07-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Buyer's Guide: Jason KipnisJ.P. Breen2014-07-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Buyer's Guide: Howie KendrickJ.P. Breen2014-07-14
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Alcantara Can StayDaniel Rathman2014-07-11
Pitcher Profile: Jake ArrietaHarry Pavlidis2014-07-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Buyer's Guide: Michael BrantleyJ.P. Breen2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Billy Beane Buys What the Cubs Are SellingJason Parks2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Billy Beane Buys What the Cubs Are SellingMauricio Rubio2014-07-07
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Davis Downs the A'sDaniel Rathman2014-07-01
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Looking at Values, Part 2: PitchersMike Gianella2014-06-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 14Wilson Karaman2014-06-27
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Fantasy Focus: AL Starting Pitcher RankingsMarc Normandin2011-02-25
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jake Arrieta a top 20 pitcher going into 2015? Who would you rather have in a Dynasty League, Oscar Tavares or Joey Gallo?
(Kyle from Florida)
Maybe not top 20 in a mixed but he's close. I think the improvements are legit and we are looking at a 1b or a 2a in fantasy. If someone puts him in their top 20 I won't be shocked. I definitely want the all around player in Taveras. I see a superstar in the making with him and a $20-25 player if I'm wrong. With Gallo I see a one-trick pony who is going to hurt the average or - at best - be BA neutral. (Mike Gianella)
2014-09-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Fantasy Question: Regardless of cost, who would you rather have for the next 3 years: Danny Duffy, Jake Arrieta, or Rusney Castillo? What kind of player will Castillo be?
(Quiet Time from D.C.)
Castillo is a total wild card. The scouting reports I've read pegged him somewhere between Rajai Davis and Shane Victorino, but then it was said that he bulked up and showed unexpected power during his workouts last month. Even if he "ony" ends up as the next Shane Victorino, I'd take that over either SP. I'd take most solid everyday players over most unproven SP's. (Cory Schwartz)
2014-08-19 14:00:00 (link to chat)Does Baltimore have an issue with developing good starting pitching? Brian Matusz, Zach Britton, and Tommy Hunter are all now in the bullpen. Jake Arrieta is excelling in Chicago. Should Kevin Gausman be hoping for a trade?
(Shawn from Cubicle)
Kevin Gausman will be just fine. I don't think their player development is the greatest but that also has to do with the players' makeup and willing to make adjustments and work. (CJ Wittmann)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can Jacob Turner pitch? https://twitter.com/keithlaw/status/497798233549467648
(CubsTwitter from Wrigleyville)
He can throw a baseball towards a plate, so by the basic definition yes. I think it's a great pickup in the sense it costs them nothing and has reasonable upside, but I wouldn't bank on Turner turning into Jake Arrieta or something. With his GB tendencies, I think he can be a fine 5th starter. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-07-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)Tell me anything you'd like about Jake Arrieta. I'm a huge Cubs fan and desperately want him to become a pillar for us. How good can he end up being? P.S. Put some Kyuss on the jukebox and start the weekend ROCKING!!
(MKPJ from chicago)
I am impressed by the adjustments that Arrieta has made, with a smoother transition through the lift phase of his delivery and more consistent timing. The guy has big stuff and the 95-mph FB is a true weapon if he can command the pitch well. JP Breen wrote about it here, and I dropped my thoughts on Arrieta's mechanics: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=24037

On the jukebox: Kyuss, "Hurricane" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-07-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)hey Doug..Love your work here at BP. I know Jake Arrieta has been a popular topic this year and i'm coming at you from a fantasy perspective. I'm contemplating making a trade that would bring me back Arrieta. With the work Bosio has done with him would you feel comfortable calling him a solid no. 2 (fringe ace) level pitcher for the Cubs moving forward? has he shown you enough to warrant that label?
(eamuscatuli15 from Nebraska)
He is definitely a high-3, but I would have to see it for a longer stretch to give him the level-2 label. Timing can be fickle, and sometimes pitchers lose it in a hurry (or as quickly as Arrieta gained it). (Doug Thorburn)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)True or False: Over the next few years Jake Arrieta is a #1 or #2 SP in the big leagues. Thanks
(MKPJ from chicago)
There really aren't that many of those. Sure, Arietta has absolutely nasty stuff-- however, it's been 85 innings. He's never even thrown 120 innings in a season at the big league level before. #1 or #2 starters take the ball every 5th day, and most of them throw 200 innings year in and year out. It's one thing to 'project' someone to do that, but they actually have to go out and do it at the big league level before that distinction can be given.

Short answer, I think he's probably a #3 starter enjoying a very good run. It was a great find by the Cubs. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-07 11:00:00 (link to chat)Did you ever scout Jake Arrieta? Is this just a hot streak or a case of a guy reaching his full potential?
(Matt from Seattle)
I never really scouted him, although I did get to see him coming up. His breakout is real.

Sorry to do this but I need to step away for a few minutes to take a call. My brother is in the Navy and is about to deploy. I need to hear his voice for a few. Be right back. (Jason Parks on the Top 50)
2014-07-03 19:00:00 (link to chat)No Jake Arrieta questions? Will he win the Cy Young 2015-18 or no?
(tomshipley75 from Neptune)
And the MVP, you forgot about that.

Everyone wrote their "Jake Arrieta" is awesome piece. I want to see what happens when he has a bad inning. Is he still going to believe in his stuff enough to survive giving up some runs early in a game or will he deteriorate? Game is mental for him, things are going really well right now. What happens when he's bad?

Stuff was never a question. I believe in him because Bosio does, but I want to see him under duress and how he handles it. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Jake Arrieta can sustain anything close to this level of production? Control was always his issue: do you see anything in his mechanics this season that makes you believe he may be getting past that?
(Kevin from Chicago)
See previous question about Arrieta. I think that he is making legit gains, and his focus is well-honed with respect to ironing out his mechanics. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Doug, recently got my mother a subscription to BP and told her the can't miss read is "Raising Aces". We're huge Cubs fans and have enjoyed the breakout of Jake Arrieta. I've read a lot about his upping the use of the slider/cutter. What have you seen from Arrieta and do you think he's turned the corner and set to be a lower top of rotation type/mid rotation type for the Cubs?
(eamuscatuli15 from nebraska)
Thanks for the hat-tip! Arrieta has serious velo, and I agree that his refinement of the slider is a big component of his success. He has also been working on having a more fluid timing pattern to his momentum, including less rock-n-roll and improved balance as he transitions through max leg lift. Harry Pavlidis has some great stuff coming out in the near future on Arrieta, so keep an eye out!

On the jukebox: Guns N' Roses, "Mr. Brownstone" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-12-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)At best Jake Arrieta seems like s 5th starter. Seems destined to be in the bullpen even on a lousy team. Agree/Disagree?
(Will from Baltimore)
I do think he winds up in the bullpen. At the same time, I wonder if there's a physical or mental reason why the Orioles didn't move him there. Maybe he can't warm up quick enough, or can't handle the daily preparation or something. They did it with Matusz, after all. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Many talk about the Mariners lack of ability to develop their hitting prospects but couldn't you say the same about the Orioles on the pitching side? Jake Arrieta, Brian Matusz, Zach Britton along with the struggles of Kevin Gausman (SSS I know) and the injury to Dylan Bundy. Should the O's be mentioned in the same breath in regards to their lack of development skills on the mound?
(Roger Dorn from San Mateo)
I don't know if I'm ready to say that the O's do not know how to develop pitching just yet. However, I will admit a lot of their pitching prospects have had different prospect paths than I would have predicted. . (Zach Mortimer)
2013-07-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on the Feldman/Arrieta trade?
(Guancous from Silver Spring, MD)
First thought: I spelled Jake Arrieta wrong in my last answer about the deal. Still want hitting for Baltimore. Like it for the Cubs going younger and less predictable. With where they are as a team now and where their high-volatility assets lie, it's the right move to make. They have much more to do, but I really like what Chicago is building. They will have a very good end of the decade in Rosemont. (Zachary Levine)
2012-05-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keeper League...looking to move LaHair for some SP. Who would be some of your favorite mid-level starters to target right now? Points league with emphasis on ERA/quality starts. Always looking for upside but need current yr production as well.
(David from San Diego)
Maybe try Brandon Morrow, Anibal Sanchez, Jordan Zimmermann, Jake Arrieta, and Chris Sale. (Derek Carty)
2010-07-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jake Arrieta or Edinson Volquez for the rest of 2010?
(sharkey from MPLS)
Arrieta's K/BB ratio isn't inspiring much confidence, and he has to face the rest of the AL East.

Unrelated, Arrieta is 22 days older than I am, apparently. (Marc Normandin)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2009-06-09 14:30:002009 Draft CoverageKiley, I think it's weirder to see Sanchez, because he has a lot less upside. But the weirdest, to me, is that the Orioles are so worried about signability: with the successes of picks like Wieters and Jake Arrieta, you'd think the Orioles would understand more than everyone else how to benefit from other teams tight wallets. (Bryan Smith)
 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Jake Arrieta has thrown 9,358 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2008 and 2014, all of them occuring in the MLB Regular Season. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Slider (90mph) and Sinker (94mph), also mixing in a Fourseam Fastball (95mph), Curve (80mph) and Change (88mph).