Biographical

Portrait of A.J. Burnett

A.J. Burnett PPhillies

Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 37)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date1-3-1977
Height6' 4"
Weight225 lbs
Age37 years, 6 months, 27 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
1.42010
-0.22011
2.82012
2.12013
0.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
1999 FLO 22 7 7 41.3 41.3 0.0 4 2 0 0 2 1 182 37 23 16 3 57 25 23 0 33 3.48 4.23 4.62 6.1 0.5
2000 FLO 23 13 13 82.7 82.7 0.0 3 7 0 0 7 1 364 80 46 44 8 131 44 41 2 57 4.79 4.60 5.16 11.8 1.0
2001 FLO 24 27 27 173.3 173.3 0.0 11 12 0 0 17 2 733 145 82 78 20 236 83 80 7 128 4.05 4.59 5.17 3.6 0.5
2002 FLO 25 31 29 204.3 201.7 2.7 12 9 0 1 17 1 844 153 84 75 12 226 90 85 9 203 3.30 3.11 4.03 31.5 3.1
2003 FLO 26 4 4 23.0 23.0 0.0 0 2 0 0 1 0 106 18 13 12 2 31 18 16 2 21 4.70 4.89 5.51 0.4 0.1
2004 FLO 27 20 19 120.0 118.0 2.0 7 6 0 0 13 0 490 102 50 49 9 152 38 38 4 113 3.67 3.10 3.72 18.8 1.9
2005 FLO 28 32 32 209.0 209.0 0.0 12 12 0 0 23 3 873 184 97 80 12 259 79 78 7 198 3.44 3.08 4.06 28.7 2.6
2006 TOR 29 21 21 135.7 135.7 0.0 10 8 0 0 12 3 577 138 67 60 14 216 39 36 8 118 3.98 3.83 4.32 26.7 2.6
2007 TOR 30 25 25 165.7 165.7 0.0 10 8 0 0 17 1 691 131 74 69 23 221 66 64 12 176 3.75 4.40 4.93 6.5 0.6
2008 TOR 31 35 34 221.3 220.3 1.0 18 10 0 0 19 1 957 211 109 100 19 329 86 84 9 231 4.07 3.48 3.77 43.0 4.3
2009 NYA 32 33 33 207.0 207.0 0.0 13 9 0 0 21 1 896 193 99 93 25 307 97 97 10 195 4.04 4.38 4.98 29.3 2.9
2010 NYA 33 33 33 186.7 186.7 0.0 10 15 0 0 14 1 829 204 118 109 25 327 78 76 19 145 5.26 4.79 5.26 17.2 1.4
2011 NYA 34 33 32 190.3 190.0 0.3 11 11 0 0 10 2 837 190 115 109 31 339 83 81 9 173 5.15 4.81 5.50 -0.4 -0.2
2012 PIT 35 31 31 202.3 202.3 0.0 16 10 0 0 20 1 851 189 86 79 18 277 62 61 9 180 3.51 3.57 3.70 25.4 2.8
2013 PIT 36 30 30 191.0 191.0 0.0 10 11 0 0 18 2 801 165 79 70 11 239 67 64 9 209 3.30 2.77 3.54 21.8 2.1
2014 PHI 37 23 23 149.7 149.7 0.0 6 10 0 0 13 1 647 140 77 69 12 220 64 63 9 123 4.15 3.97 4.63 -0.6 -0.1
Career3983932503.32497.36.01531420122421106782280121911122443567101998712523034.003.874.46269.825.9

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
1996 KNG Rk 12 12 58.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 PTS A- 9 9 44.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .250 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 KNC A 20 20 119.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 FLO MLB 7 7 41.3 4.62 103 .257 .267 .332 .430 .258 .281 95 5.4 0.5 6.1 0.5
1999 PME AA 26 23 120.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 FLO MLB 13 13 82.7 5.16 92 .266 .266 .335 .429 .258 .285 94 7.3 0.7 11.8 1.0
2000 BRV A+ 2 2 7.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 CLG AAA 1 1 5.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 FLO MLB 27 27 173.3 5.17 84 .252 .258 .323 .409 .255 .253 94 4.8 0.5 3.6 0.5
2001 BRV A+ 2 2 9.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 FLO MLB 31 29 204.3 4.03 110 .218 .258 .325 .413 .258 .266 100 28.9 2.9 31.5 3.1
2003 FLO MLB 4 4 23.0 5.51 74 .278 .260 .330 .417 .259 .254 94 -0.4 -0.0 0.4 0.1
2004 FLO MLB 20 19 120.0 3.72 112 .224 .261 .329 .424 .259 .285 91 18.6 1.8 18.8 1.9
2004 JUP A+ 1 1 4.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .200 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 ABQ AAA 1 1 3.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .600 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 FLO MLB 32 32 209.0 4.06 105 .237 .259 .323 .412 .257 .298 94 24.8 2.5 28.7 2.6
2006 TOR MLB 21 21 135.7 4.32 118 .243 .275 .343 .440 .264 .312 106 26.5 2.6 26.7 2.6
2006 DUN A+ 2 2 8.1 4.06 120 .215 .254 .328 .371 .263 .360 107 1.5 0.2 1.5 0.2
2006 NHP AA 1 1 6.1 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .111 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 SYR AAA 1 1 5.2 2.31 155 .071 .250 .331 .415 .262 .000 118 1.8 0.2 1.8 0.2
2007 TOR MLB 25 25 165.7 4.93 92 .235 .270 .339 .421 .264 .261 94 6.9 0.7 6.5 0.6
2007 SYR AAA 1 1 5.0 3.03 126 .177 .269 .329 .373 .257 .273 89 1.1 0.1 1.1 0.1
2008 TOR MLB 35 34 221.3 3.77 119 .257 .269 .338 .427 .264 .314 98 43.3 4.4 43.0 4.3
2009 NYA MLB 33 33 207.0 4.98 106 .247 .267 .336 .431 .263 .296 110 29.8 3.0 29.3 2.9
2010 NYA MLB 33 33 186.7 5.26 97 .274 .260 .326 .410 .257 .319 115 16.7 1.8 17.2 1.4
2011 NYA MLB 33 32 190.3 5.50 83 .285 .260 .322 .407 .261 .294 106 1.1 0.1 -0.4 -0.2
2012 PIT MLB 31 31 202.3 3.70 110 .252 .250 .312 .394 .255 .294 95 26.7 2.8 25.4 2.8
2012 BRD A+ 2 2 6.3 3.05 140 .270 .258 .331 .391 .256 .389 107 2.3 0.2 2.3 0.2
2012 IND AAA 1 1 4.0 13.41 -96 .441 .260 .347 .401 .262 .333 97 -2.4 -0.2 -2.4 -0.2
2013 PIT MLB 30 30 191.0 3.54 111 .236 .251 .311 .388 .254 .305 98 25.0 2.7 21.8 2.1
2014 PHI MLB 23 23 149.7 4.63 78 .274 .251 .312 .385 .264 .292 95 -1.7 -0.2 -0.6 -0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
1996 KNG Rk 4 0 0 12 12 58.0 31 54 68 0 0% .000 4.8 8.4 0.0 10.6 1.47 3.88 0.0 0.0
1997 PTS A- 3 1 0 9 9 44.0 28 35 48 3 0% .250 5.7 7.2 0.6 9.8 1.43 4.70 0.0 0.0
1998 KNC A 10 4 0 20 20 119.0 74 45 186 3 0% .000 5.6 3.4 0.2 14.1 1.00 1.97 0.0 0.0
1999 FLO MLB 4 2 0 7 7 41.3 37 25 33 3 55% .281 8.1 5.4 0.7 7.2 1.50 3.48 6.1 0.5
1999 PME AA 6 12 0 26 23 120.7 132 71 121 15 0% .000 9.8 5.3 1.1 9.0 1.68 5.52 0.0 0.0
2000 FLO MLB 3 7 0 13 13 82.7 80 44 57 8 48% .285 8.7 4.8 0.9 6.2 1.50 4.79 11.8 1.0
2000 CLG AAA 0 0 0 1 1 5.0 0 3 6 0 0% .000 0.0 5.4 0.0 10.8 0.60 0.00 0.0 0.0
2000 BRV A+ 0 0 0 2 2 7.3 4 6 6 0 0% .000 4.9 7.4 0.0 7.4 1.37 3.70 0.0 0.0
2001 FLO MLB 11 12 0 27 27 173.3 145 83 128 20 50% .253 7.5 4.3 1.0 6.6 1.32 4.05 3.6 0.5
2001 BRV A+ 0 0 0 2 2 9.3 4 4 10 0 0% .000 3.9 3.9 0.0 9.7 0.86 1.94 0.0 0.0
2002 FLO MLB 12 9 0 31 29 204.3 153 90 203 12 49% .266 6.7 4.0 0.5 8.9 1.19 3.30 31.5 3.1
2003 FLO MLB 0 2 0 4 4 23.0 18 18 21 2 54% .254 7.0 7.0 0.8 8.2 1.57 4.70 0.4 0.1
2004 ABQ AAA 0 0 0 1 1 3.3 7 2 6 1 0% .600 19.1 5.5 2.7 16.4 2.73 10.91 0.0 0.0
2004 JUP A+ 0 0 0 1 1 4.0 2 2 4 0 0% .200 4.5 4.5 0.0 9.0 1.00 0.00 0.0 0.0
2004 FLO MLB 7 6 0 20 19 120.0 102 38 113 9 52% .285 7.7 2.9 0.7 8.5 1.17 3.67 18.8 1.9
2005 FLO MLB 12 12 0 32 32 209.0 184 79 198 12 60% .298 7.9 3.4 0.5 8.5 1.26 3.44 28.7 2.6
2006 DUN A+ 0 0 0 2 2 8.1 9 2 6 0 56% .360 10.0 2.2 0.0 6.7 1.36 3.33 1.5 0.2
2006 SYR AAA 1 0 0 1 1 5.2 0 1 7 0 75% .000 0.0 1.7 0.0 12.1 0.19 0.00 1.8 0.2
2006 NHP AA 1 0 0 1 1 6.1 2 3 9 1 0% .111 3.0 4.4 1.5 13.3 0.82 1.48 0.0 0.0
2006 TOR MLB 10 8 0 21 21 135.7 138 39 118 14 53% .312 9.2 2.6 0.9 7.8 1.30 3.98 26.7 2.6
2007 TOR MLB 10 8 0 25 25 165.7 131 66 176 23 56% .261 7.1 3.6 1.2 9.6 1.19 3.75 6.5 0.6
2007 SYR AAA 0 0 0 1 1 5.0 3 1 7 0 64% .273 5.4 1.8 0.0 12.6 0.80 1.80 1.1 0.1
2008 TOR MLB 18 10 0 35 34 221.3 211 86 231 19 50% .314 8.6 3.5 0.8 9.4 1.34 4.07 43.0 4.3
2009 NYA MLB 13 9 0 33 33 207.0 193 97 195 25 44% .296 8.4 4.2 1.1 8.5 1.40 4.04 29.3 2.9
2010 NYA MLB 10 15 0 33 33 186.7 204 78 145 25 46% .319 9.8 3.8 1.2 7.0 1.51 5.26 17.2 1.4
2011 NYA MLB 11 11 0 33 32 190.3 190 83 173 31 51% .294 9.0 3.9 1.5 8.2 1.43 5.15 -0.4 -0.2
2012 IND AAA 0 1 0 1 1 4.0 7 4 0 2 41% .333 15.8 9.0 4.5 0.0 2.75 11.25 -2.4 -0.2
2012 PIT MLB 16 10 0 31 31 202.3 189 62 180 18 58% .294 8.4 2.8 0.8 8.0 1.24 3.51 25.4 2.8
2012 BRD A+ 0 2 0 2 2 6.3 7 2 9 0 44% .389 9.9 2.8 0.0 12.8 1.42 8.53 2.3 0.2
2013 PIT MLB 10 11 0 30 30 191.0 165 67 209 11 59% .305 7.8 3.2 0.5 9.8 1.21 3.30 21.8 2.1
2014 PHI MLB 6 10 0 23 23 149.7 140 64 123 12 51% .292 8.4 3.8 0.7 7.4 1.36 4.15 -0.6 -0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 3535 0.4897 0.4391 0.7645 0.5933 0.2899 0.8861 0.5258 0.2355
2009 3375 0.4945 0.4207 0.8073 0.5848 0.2585 0.9078 0.5850 0.1927
2010 2905 0.4991 0.4424 0.8136 0.6103 0.2729 0.8994 0.6222 0.1856
2011 3184 0.4595 0.4437 0.7654 0.6008 0.3091 0.9044 0.5357 0.2325
2012 3034 0.5175 0.4542 0.7850 0.6000 0.2971 0.9268 0.4782 0.2106
2013 3011 0.4952 0.4515 0.7570 0.5869 0.3178 0.8903 0.5155 0.2393
2014 2380 0.4899 0.4261 0.8018 0.5952 0.2636 0.9135 0.5594 0.1923
Career214240.4920.43980.7840.59560.28750.90340.54520.2138

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-04-12 2014-04-17 DTD 5 4 Right Groin Hernia - -
2013-06-09 2013-07-07 15-DL 28 24 Right Lower Leg Strain Calf - -
2012-03-26 2012-04-21 15-DL 26 13 Right Face Recovery From Surgery Orbital Fracture From Bunting 2012-03-02 -
2012-02-29 2012-03-26 Camp 26 0 Right Face Surgery Orbital Fracture From Bunting 2012-03-02 -
2011-03-19 2011-03-31 Camp 12 0 General Medical Illness Virus -
2010-08-03 2010-08-10 DTD 7 6 Low Back Soreness -
2010-07-17 2010-07-17 DTD 0 0 Left Hand Laceration Punching Object -
2010-06-17 2010-06-21 DTD 4 4 Foot Soreness -
2008-07-10 2008-07-10 DTD 0 0 Face Surgery Root Canal 2008-07-10
2008-03-02 2008-03-02 Camp 0 0 Right Fingers Laceration Index Finger Nail -
2007-06-29 2007-08-12 15-DL 44 37 Right Shoulder Strain -
2007-06-13 2007-06-28 15-DL 15 13 Right Shoulder Strain -
2006-04-22 2006-06-22 60-DL 61 56 Right Elbow Soreness Scar Tissue -
2006-03-31 2006-04-15 15-DL 15 10 Right Elbow Recovery From Inflammation Scar Tissue -
2006-03-19 2006-03-31 Camp 12 0 Right Elbow Inflammation Scar Tissue -
2005-05-22 2005-05-31 DTD 9 9 Right Elbow Inflammation -
2004-09-13 2004-10-03 DTD 20 22 Right Elbow Inflammation -
2004-03-26 2004-06-03 60-DL 69 53 Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2003-04-29
2003-04-26 2003-10-26 60-DL 183 138 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2003-04-29
2003-03-21 2003-04-09 15-DL 19 8 Right Elbow Inflammation Synovitis -
2002-08-19 2002-09-14 15-DL 26 24 Right Elbow Contusion Batted Ball -
2001-03-31 2001-05-07 15-DL 37 29 Right Foot Fracture -
2000-03-26 2000-07-20 60-DL 116 93 Right Thumb Surgery UCL Ligament 2000-03-21 -
1998-04-05 1998-05-15 Minors 40 0 Right Hand Surgery Fracture - -
1997-06-17 1997-07-01 Minors 14 0 Left Foot Fracture -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2015 PHI $11,250,000
2014 PHI $11,250,000
2013 NYA $8,500,000
2013 PIT $8,000,000
2012 PIT $5,000,000
2012 NYA $11,500,000
2011 NYA $16,500,000
2010 NYA $16,500,000
2009 NYA $16,500,000
2008 TOR $13,200,000
2007 TOR $13,200,000
2006 TOR $2,200,000
2005 FLO $3,650,000
2004 FLO $2,500,000
2003 FLO $2,500,000
2002 FLO $367,500
2001 FLO $250,000
2000 FLO $204,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
14 yrPrevious$120,571,500
2011Current$11,250,000
15 yrPvs + Cur$131,821,500
1 yrFuture$11,250,000
16 yrTotal$143,071,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
14 y 38 dDarek Braunecker2 years/$22.5M (2014-15)

Details
  • 2 years/$22.5M (2014-15). Signed by Philadelphia as a free agent 2/16/14. $7.5M signing bonus ($1M paid on 12/15/14, $2.75M on 1/15/15, $3.75M on 6/30/15). 14:$7.5M, 15:$15M mutual option ($1M buyout) or $7.5M player option. Buyout paid if Burnett has fewer than 30 starts in 2014 & one side declines. 2015 player option increases to $8.5M with 24 GS in 2014, $10M with 27 GS, $11.75M with 30 GS, $12.75M with 32 GS. Annual performance bonuses: $0.5M each for 24, 27 GS. $0.75M for 30 GS. Limited no-trade protection (may block trades to 20 clubs, including all clubs except Baltimore, Boston, Cincinnati, Kansas City, NY Mets, NY Yankees, Pittsburgh, St. Louis, Washington).
  • 5 years/$82.5M (2009-13). Signed by NY Yankees as a free agent 12/12/08. 09-13:$16.5M/year. Limited no-trade protection (may block trades to 10 clubs each year). Acquired by Pittsburgh in trade from NY Yankees 2/17/12. Pirates pay $5M of 2012 salary, $8M of 2013 salary.
  • 5 years/$55M (2006-10). Signed by Toronto as a free agent 12/05. $6M signing bonus. 06:$2M, 07-10:$12M/year. May opt out of contract after 2008 (exercised 11/13/08).
  • 1 year/$3.65M (2005). Re-signed by Florida 1/05 (avoided arbitration). Performance bonuses: $50,000 each for 190, 200, 210 innings pitched).
  • 1 year/$2.5M (2004). Re-signed by Florida 12/03 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$2.5M (2003). Lost arbitration with Florida 2/03 ($3.075M-$2.5M).
  • 1 year/$0.3675M (2002)
  • Drafted by Florida 1995 (8-217) (Central Arkansas Christian HS, North Little Rock, Ark.).

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Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .257 .345 .387 .269
11 vs R (Multi) .229 .283 .351 .228
18 Split (Multi) .028 .063 .036 .041
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .263 .363 .372 .272
31 vs R (2013) .203 .246 .301 .197
38 Split (2013) .060 .117 .070 .075
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

A.J. Burnett is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 28, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-07-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 18Wilson Karaman2014-07-25
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 24, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 24, 2014Chris Mosch2014-07-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The MLB Trade Landscape, BuyersMike Gianella2014-07-21
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 7/7Daniel Rathman2014-07-07
The Week in Quotes: June 30-July 6Nick Bacarella2014-07-07
The Week in Quotes: June 30-July 6Chris Mosch2014-07-07
The Week in Quotes: June 30-July 6Morris Greenberg2014-07-07
The Week in Quotes: June 30-July 6Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-07-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadline Edition, SellersMike Gianella2014-07-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 14Wilson Karaman2014-06-27
Eyewitness Accounts: June 26, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-06-26
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: The Players PECOTA Has MissedBen Lindbergh2014-06-19
BP Unfiltered: This Week in Bunting to Beat the Shift, 6/13Chris Mosch2014-06-13
BP Unfiltered: This Week in Bunting to Beat the Shift, 6/13Ben Lindbergh2014-06-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 11Wilson Karaman2014-06-06
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Rays Sink to the BottomChris Mosch2014-06-05
Painting the Black: How to Slow Down Dee GordonR.J. Anderson2014-06-04
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/2Daniel Rathman2014-06-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week EightWilson Karaman2014-05-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Growing the PieJeff Quinton2014-05-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Expert League Assessment: First QuarterMike Gianella2014-05-12
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Blue Jays BlastsDaniel Rathman2014-05-09
The Knuckle Curveball: How it Behaves, And Why it's Becoming So PopularDan Rozenson2014-05-07
Daily League Strategy: May 2-4Paul Sporer2014-05-02
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Jose Abreu's Amazing MonthDaniel Rathman2014-04-28
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Escape From New York, Starring Ike DavisBret Sayre2014-04-21
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Meltdown in MinnesotaDaniel Rathman2014-04-18
BP Unfiltered: This Week's New Pitching Lines, 4/11Sam Miller2014-04-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: A Play at the PlateDaniel Rathman2014-04-11
What Scouts Are Saying: April 10, 2014Baseball Prospectus2014-04-10
The BP Wayback Machine: Another Opening DayKevin Goldstein2014-04-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Now is the Season of My DiscontentMike Gianella2014-04-02
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessMy Model Portfolio: Stars and ScrubsMike Gianella2014-03-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Darkhorses: StrikeoutsBP Fantasy Staff2014-03-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessMy Model Portfolio: High Risk, High RewardMauricio Rubio2014-03-26
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: NL Central 2014 Preseason PreviewKen Funck2014-03-25
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Overthinking It: The Big Questions from the 2014 SABR Analytics ConferenceBen Lindbergh2014-03-18
The Lineup Card: 11 of Our Least-Favorite Offseason MovesBaseball Prospectus2014-03-05
The Week in Quotes: February 24-March 3Morris Greenberg2014-03-04
The Week in Quotes: February 24-March 3Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-03-04
The Week in Quotes: February 24-March 3Nick Bacarella2014-03-04
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersJared Weiss2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2014-02-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Three-Year Projections: Starting PitchersPaul Sporer2014-02-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tier Rankings: Starting PitchersPaul Sporer2014-02-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessMock Auction Analysis: AL- and NL-Only Mike Gianella2014-02-20
The Lineup Card: Eight Players We Expect to Decline in 2014Baseball Prospectus2014-02-19
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The Week in Quotes: February 10-16Chris Mosch2014-02-17
The Week in Quotes: February 10-16Morris Greenberg2014-02-17
The Week in Quotes: February 10-16Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-02-17
The Week in Quotes: February 10-16Nick Bacarella2014-02-17
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The BP Wayback Machine: Ryan Dempster and Jake Westbrook: Two Careers in Player CommentsBaseball Prospectus2014-02-17
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-02-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Philadelphia PhilliesMike Gianella2014-02-14
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Phillies Sign Burnett, Pirates Learn LessonMauricio Rubio2014-02-13
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Phillies Sign Burnett, Pirates Learn LessonBen Lindbergh2014-02-13
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Where the Remaining Free Agents Would Matter the MostBen Lindbergh2014-02-12
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Skewed Left: The Company They Tweet, The SequelZachary Levine2013-12-19
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The BP Wayback Machine: Winter Meetings ReviewJoe Sheehan2013-12-10
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Transaction Analysis: Yankees Add Ellsbury, Overpay Only By Other Teams' StandardsBen Lindbergh2013-12-04
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The BP Wayback Machine: Today's Oxymoron is Free AgentsJames Click2013-11-07
Pebble Hunting: The Stupidest Part of BaseballSam Miller2013-11-06
Painting the Black: The 50 Best Free Agents of 2013-2014R.J. Anderson2013-11-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Sifting Through Second-Half FIPsBret Sayre2013-10-29
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 29, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-29
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: A Bronx GoodbyeDaniel Rathman2013-09-27
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This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: The Pirates' Untold TalesR.J. Anderson2013-09-09
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Painting the Black: The Holding CompanyR.J. Anderson2013-08-05
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Baseball ProGUESTus: Trade WARP: Evaluating MLB General ManagersTim Malone2013-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 31, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The First-Place PiratesDaniel Rathman2013-07-31
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Price Wrong for the Red SoxAndrew Koo2013-07-25
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 21, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-21
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 50 Fantasy Prospects: Midseason UpdateBret Sayre2013-07-08
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Fantasy Mailbag: Getting the Big FishBP Fantasy Staff2013-06-14
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Overthinking It: Bill James, Base Umpires, and the Sabermetric Significance of Checked SwingsBen Lindbergh2013-05-30
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Fantasy Mailbag: Wheeling and DealingBP Fantasy Staff2013-05-24
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Fantasy Mailbag: The Stanton Waiting GameBP Fantasy Staff2013-05-10
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Fantasy Mailbag: Buy Low on StrasburgBP Fantasy Staff2013-04-26
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Terrible Twin BillDaniel Rathman2013-04-17
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Home-Style AuctioningMike Gianella2013-04-09
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 2, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-02
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 2, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-04-02
The Week in Quotes: March 25-31Hudson Belinsky2013-04-01
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Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week OnePaul Sporer2013-03-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tier Rankings: National League Starting PitchersPaul Sporer2013-03-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessRaising Aces: Pulling the PinDoug Thorburn2013-03-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTop 100 Dynasty League Prospects: Part Two: 51-100Bret Sayre2013-03-11
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Auction Values: Fourth Edition, March 11Mike Gianella2013-03-11
Top 100 Dynasty League Prospects: Part One: 1-50Josh Shepardson2013-03-07
Top 100 Dynasty League Prospects: Part One: 1-50Bret Sayre2013-03-07
This article requires BP Premium accessContractual Matters: The Sinking and the SunkJeff Euston2013-03-06
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This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: How Can the Pirates Make the Most of McCutchen?Zachary Levine2013-02-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Outfield and Rotation RumblesDerek Carty2013-01-24
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This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Transaction Jackson Settles InR.J. Anderson2012-12-21
Rumor Roundup: Thursday, December 20Daniel Rathman2012-12-20
The Lineup Card: 11 Potential TradesBaseball Prospectus2012-12-13
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Dodgers Go Big for GreinkeSam Miller2012-12-10
The BP Wayback Machine: Grand Ole OpryJohn Perrotto2012-12-07
Transaction Analysis: Dollar Sign on the RussellSam Miller2012-11-30
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: 2012 Year-End Injury Summary: NL CentralStephani Bee2012-11-09
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Pebble Hunting: 17 Teams That Would Have Won the World Series if Not for Jason BaySam Miller2012-11-09
Overthinking It: Why Nobody Gets Caught StealingBen Lindbergh2012-11-08
Pebble Hunting: Are GMs Smart or Not Smart?Sam Miller2012-11-07
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Hot Stove StoriesJohn Perrotto2012-11-01
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What You Need to Know: Wednesday, October 3Daniel Rathman2012-10-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitching ReviewPaul Sporer2012-10-02
BP Unfiltered: Tim Lincecum and the Worst Regular Seasons By Playoff StartersBen Lindbergh2012-09-28
The BP Wayback Machine: Backing into the PlayoffsJay Jaffe2012-09-21
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: The Surprisingly Hard-to-Hit Pitches of 2012Ben Lindbergh2012-09-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 25Paul Sporer2012-09-14
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The Lineup Card: 11 Candidates for Best Comeback PlayerBaseball Prospectus2012-09-12
What You Need to Know: Monday, August 27Daniel Rathman2012-08-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 22Derek Carty2012-08-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Improving Your Team, or Butting In?Derek Carty2012-08-09
What You Need to Know: Thursday, August 9Daniel Rathman2012-08-09
The Lineup Card: 7 Questions for the Stretch DriveBaseball Prospectus2012-08-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 19Paul Sporer2012-08-03
What You Need to Know: Wednesday, August 1Daniel Rathman2012-08-01
Transaction Analysis: Not All Who Wandy Are LostR.J. Anderson2012-07-25
Transaction Analysis: Not All Who Wandy Are LostKevin Goldstein2012-07-25
This article requires BP Premium accessAntidote to an Off-Day: Picking the Best Games of the First HalfPaul Sporer2012-07-12
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What You Need to Know: Tuesday, July 3Daniel Rathman2012-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat the Contenders Need: NL CentralR.J. Anderson2012-06-29
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 14Paul Sporer2012-06-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Henderson Alvarez's Nightmare SeasonJason Collette2012-06-27
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Beckett and HydeJay Jaffe2012-05-16
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What You Need to Know: Wednesday, May 2Daniel Rathman2012-05-02
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The BP Wayback Machine: Another Opening DayKevin Goldstein2012-04-05
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The BP Wayback Machine: Defending JeffreyNate Silver2012-03-30
Collateral Damage: Spring SorenessCorey Dawkins2012-03-23
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Extra Innings Excerpt: What is the Effect of the Increase in Strikeouts?Christina Kahrl2012-03-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Tier Rankings: NL Starting PitchersDerek Carty2012-03-13
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: NL Rotation RumbleJay Jaffe2012-03-12
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Inspecting the Spectrum, Part IV: The Designated Hitter QuestionJay Jaffe2012-03-07
Out of Left Field: The Art of Enjoying Spring TrainingMatthew Kory2012-03-05
Prospectus Preview: NL Central 2012 Preseason Preview, Part IILarry Granillo2012-03-02
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This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Socket to HimRebecca Glass2012-03-02
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Socket to HimCorey Dawkins2012-03-02
Prospectus Preview: NL Central 2012 Preseason Preview, Part IStephani Bee2012-03-01
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This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Of Abreu and IchiroR.J. Anderson2012-02-29
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The BP Wayback Machine: Trading PlacesDerek Zumsteg2012-02-17
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Beware of Falling PayrollsJay Jaffe2012-02-06
The BP Broadside: My Seven Days of Nervous Baseball and Other StoriesSteven Goldman2012-02-01
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This article requires BP Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Bronx BombshellsDerek Carty2012-01-16
Overthinking It: GMs Say the Darndest ThingsBen Lindbergh2011-12-29
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Everything is Now Super--The Press ConferenceSam Miller2011-12-19
BP Unfiltered: Winter Meetings Dispatch: GiophysicsJay Jaffe2011-12-07
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This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Storm Before the StormR.J. Anderson2011-11-28
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: A Weighty MatterJay Jaffe2011-10-31
Wezen-Ball: Getting in the Halloween SpiritLarry Granillo2011-10-28
The Lineup Card: 13 Bad Players Who Are (or Were) Still Fun to Watch and Root ForBaseball Prospectus2011-10-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hellickson's BABIP: Lucky or Sustainable?Jason Collette2011-10-10
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: A Night for the 25th ManJay Jaffe2011-10-08
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One-Hoppers: ALDS G1: Yankees-Tigers SuspendedJay Jaffe2011-09-30
One-Hoppers: The Team Entropy All-StarsJay Jaffe2011-09-29
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: A Night in the Life of Team EntropyJay Jaffe2011-09-28
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Transaction Analysis: Jered Weaver's $85 Million Welcome MatBen Lindbergh2011-08-23
Spinning Yarn: Why are Batters Hit by Pitches?Mike Fast2011-08-17
Prospectus Hit and Run: WWWMW (What's Wrong With Mariano Week)Jay Jaffe2011-08-12
BP Podcast: Episode 61: My Dad Is The Lemonade KingKevin Goldstein2011-08-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: The Offensive GambleDerek Carty2011-08-04
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The BP Broadside: David Cone, All Is ForgivenSteven Goldman2011-07-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #15Craig Brown2011-07-15
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Resetting the Races, American LeagueBen Lindbergh2011-07-14
One-Hoppers: DJ3K: "I Don't Think You Can Script It Any Better"Jay Jaffe2011-07-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Tout Wars AL 1st Half RecapJason Collette2011-07-08
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Collateral Damage: Albert Already?Corey Dawkins2011-07-06
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #14Craig Brown2011-07-01
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: AL: Sox Hanging OnTommy Bennett2011-06-20
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The Week in Quotes: June 6-12Alex Carnevale2011-06-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #11Craig Brown2011-06-10
Prospectus Hit List: AL: The Cream RisesTommy Bennett2011-05-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #7Craig Brown2011-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, AL East: Homeward BoundBen Kabak2011-05-04
Prospectus Hit List: It's 1998 All Over AgainTommy Bennett2011-05-02
What You Missed: 4/18-4/22Stephani Bee2011-04-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #4Craig Brown2011-04-22
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This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: The Heart of the RockiesJohn Perrotto2011-04-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #2Craig Brown2011-04-08
BP Unfiltered: The Paper Trail 4/3John Perrotto2011-04-03
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This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: No ExcusesJohn Perrotto2011-03-30
Prospectus Hit List: AL Pre-Season Hit ListTommy Bennett2011-03-28
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Rotation Rumble in the ALJay Jaffe2011-03-04
Spitballing: Fourth Time's the HarmJeremy Greenhouse2011-03-03
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Fantasy Focus: AL Starting Pitcher RankingsMarc Normandin2011-02-25
Prospectus Hit and Run: Check, Call, Reyes, Fold?Jay Jaffe2011-02-16
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: Winning the Winter, AL EditionJay Jaffe2011-02-14
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The BP Broadside: In Which Mr. Brown Does Not Make a ComebackSteven Goldman2011-02-03
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: A Bird of a New FeatherJohn Perrotto2010-12-31
Prospectus Hit and Run: Class of 2011: No Shortage of Quality ShortstopsJay Jaffe2010-12-29
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The Week in Quotes: November 15-21Alex Carnevale2010-11-22
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)what do you think Of an A.J. Burnett trade for Corey Dickerson in deep NL only, partial keeper league? Enoying the chat, thanks Paul!
(Dragonbreath from Gurnee, IL)
I'd prefer Dickerson side, but it's a fair trade. I think Burnett should be better than his low-4.00s ERA thus far. (Paul Sporer)
2014-04-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)A.J. Burnett has had control problems this year since the start of spring training. How concerned should we be?
(Kingpin from Grinnell, IA)
Not too concerned yet - it's early, and timing/command are often the last things to come around as a pitcher gets back into game shape. Keep in mind that Burnett has never been a control artist, was basically a 10% walk guy until he hit Pittsburgh, and it is not out of the question for him to regress back to that level this year.

On the jukebox: Soundgarden, "Rusty Cage" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-03-14 09:00:00 (link to chat)Can you survive a poor rotation to win a roto league? See Estrada and Burnett holding your #2 and #3 spots. Will great hitting, good streaming and good relievers providing the ratios be enough to win?
(flashtheleather from glove side)
It's possible, though easier in 4x4 when strikeouts aren't a factor. If you're going to go this route, I do like the idea of holding onto a guy like A.J. Burnett who provides a lot of strikeouts.

Last year in Tout Wars (NL), I stumbled into a $37 pitching staff. Latos was my ace, but the back end were a lot of risks. Cashner and Wood worked out but a lot of other guys didn't work out. You need to be really aggressive with your streamers. The more liberal the reserve rules are the better off you'll be. So to answer your question I think it's possible but you need a lot of luck. Don't try this unless your freeze list stinks and you have little if anything to lose. (Mike Gianella)
2014-02-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Drastic falloff in store for A.J. Burnett? Leave Pittsburgh where you're content and pitching supurbly with a dynamic young team that plays great defence behind you for basically, the opposite in Philly. Yeah, I get that.
(mmcd from ottawa)
Pride can be an ugly thing. I'm not sure if he'll have a drastic falloff, but his raw numbers will probably take a few steps back. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-11-22 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Doug, How do you view this year's free agent class for pitchers? Who are the top talents and who are the top values?
(JasonPennini from Denver)
It is a very weak class, even by today's revamped standards of free agency. I think the top talents are Hiroki Kuroda, Josh Johnson (already signed), and A.J. Burnett. Burnett will almost definitely be a great value given his desire to pitch only for the Pirates, and I think that Arroyo could be a good sign for a team with a big ballpark. I also liked the Huddy signing for the Giants. I am not big on guys like Garza (dislike his delivery), Ubaldo (worst. delivery. ever.), and Ervin Santana - players whose name value / 2013 performances could push up their prices.

On the jukebox: Drist, "Pollute the Sound" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-04-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)If G. Cole doesn't harness much better fastball command is he at worst a 3/4 or a total bust? I'm getting worried...
(Jim from PA)
It's way too early to worry about that. Even if Cole never develops the way he has the potential to, he can still be an A.J. Burnett type. (Bret Sayre)
2013-04-10 20:00:00 (link to chat)Should I give Kipnis/Burnett for Gyorko/Hosmer?? Thanks! Great Stuff!
(tB from Auburn)
Hi tB.

If you can afford to trade the speed and have a pitcher in reserve to fill in for A.J. Burnett, make the trade. Eric Hosmer is better than Jason Kipnis as a pure talent and while A.J. Burnett might be better than Jedd Gyorko this year, you're getting a much younger player for a player at or near the end of the line. (Mike Gianella)
2013-04-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Daniel, We now have the good (AJ Burnett), the bad (JMac), and the ugly (JSanchez). Is this SSS for all, or is there any hope that the bad and ugly get a little better and prettier, and AJ stays good?
(Sweet Lou from Pittsburgh)
Hey, Sweet Lou.

Having watched Jonathan Sanchez vacillate between solid and terrible during his time with the Giants, I'm afraid the ugly might stay ugly. I do think there's hope with James McDonald, though, perhaps once he learns how to better utilize his new approach (which R.J. Anderson detailed earlier this week: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=20251).

And I do believe that A.J. Burnett will be as effective this year as he was last. Considering he was a 3.3 WARP pitcher in 2012, there's plenty to like about that. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-07-09 14:00:00 (link to chat)Daniel, You're doing terrific work with BP, and it's great to get the chance to chat with you. As for our local 9 here in Boston, is there a point at which you simply acknowledge that some guys you've paid a lot of money to are dragging the team down, and deal them to get a fresh start? Theo's trade of Nomar back in 2004 actually breathed fresh air into that team. I'm not forecasting a series appearance, but would the Sox be wise to contemplate unloading Beckett and continuing to pursue more of a TEAM culture?
(Peter Olrich from Boston)
Thanks for the kind words, Peter.

Lots of questions about what the Red Sox should do at the deadline and in the near future, so I'll try to pack it all into one answer. A couple of things to keep in mind for those saying the Sox should buy: 1) They have a bit of a 40-man roster crunch; 2) They don't have much money to work with, especially in relation to the luxury tax.

Now, regarding this question, I don't know if Ben Cherington can sell a "fresh start" to a fan base so used to being in contention, but I do think the team needs one. The trouble with those bad contracts is that you'd need someone to re-hire Tony Reagins for Cherington to be able to dump them. That said, if the Sox can do something with John Lackey similar to what the Yankees did with A.J. Burnett this past offseason, I don't think Cherington will mind admitting that the deal was a mistake. And if there's a mutually beneficial deal with Beckett -- something that actually helps the team in 2013 -- I think he'd consider that, too. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-03-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Players like Manny Ramirez and Johnny Damon will/may miss chunks of the season but for different reasons. Which older players with either reduced roles or other circumstances limiting games played are worth gambling on this season?
(Tony035 from Toronto, ON)
Juan Pierre is interesting in Philadelphia, at least for the first couple months of the year for cheap steals. Tim Hudson might miss a month of the year, but he'll be good when he's healthy, and he came pretty cheap in LABR this weekend ($7). A.J. Burnett same deal ($3), but I like him in the NL and PNC Park. (Derek Carty)
2012-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Should I be concerned about Pineda showing overweight? I'm worried the yanks just traded the new Edgar, albeit with an earlier start to his career. Who disappoints more this season? Pineda or Ivan (Aldo) Nova?
(Nick Stone from On vacation in western MA)
Hey, Nick! 6-foot-7 guys can gain or lose 10 pounds between brunch and lunch, so I wouldn't sweat this - it's when your beat reporter files a column saying that the player in question showed up with a third buttock that you've really got to worry.

Now, why so glum? You're really in a pessimistic mood if you're banking on both of them disappointing just two days after pitchers and catchers report, and a day after the A.J. Burnett trade became official. I think it may take Pineda a bit of adjustment in the new ballpark, but his upside is considerably higher than that of Nova. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-09-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Considering how Colon has fared in recent starts, wouldn't it make sense to skip him once? I can't help but think he's gassed after pitching only intermittently the past few years. Any ideas about Sweaty Freddy Garcia? He seems to have lost his touch since the knife incident.
(Nick Stone from New York, NY)
It might make sense to skip Colon, though it's worth noting that his two unsettling starts this month have come against the Blue Jays, who have absolutely pasted him this year (26 runs, 21 earned, in 23.2 innings). Take those away and his RA/9 drops from 4.56 to 3.40. Fortunately for him, Toronto won't be making the playoffs. Both of his starts would come against the Rays; the first one is the nightcap of tomorrow's doubleheader, but I'd consider resting him for the second one, or restricting him to a short appearance.

I'd be more concerned about Garcia, who has suddenly gone gopher happy in his last few turns. As I wrote today at Pinstriped Bible (http://www.pinstripedbible.com/2011/09/20/upside-downer), the bottom line is that the Yankees have their hands full figuring out their postseason rotation, determining if Phil Hughes' late mini-surge is enough to justify giving him a start ahead of one of those Scrap Heapers (I think the vote is in on A.J. Burnett). (Jay Jaffe)
2010-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)What chance do you give A.J. Burnett to return to form next season?
(Jess from NYC)
70%. He isn't as bad as he looked last year. (Eric Seidman)
2010-10-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Rangers and Yankees, ALCS...who ya got?
(Adam J. Morris from lonestarball.com)
Thanks for stopping by, Adam. Rangers in five, they will drop game four when Tommy Hunter starts and A.J. Burnett plays the role of Good A.J. long enough to redeem his second half, but otherwise, it's all Rangers. (Marc Normandin)
2010-10-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are the chances the Red Sox end up with fair value on the John Lackey contract? Lackey looked like a better pitcher in the second half, but he looked cooked in the first so maybe I'm just straw grasping here...
(mattymatty2000 from Portland, OR)
He'll be better, and he'll deliver more value than A.J. Burnett, the man whose contract his own resembles. In terms of value, in a market where the price of top available free agent hurlers seems to be set by the Sox and Yankees, that's fair performance on fair market value. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-09-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Roster construction. I know teams used to go 15 hitters/10 pitchers like it was nothing. In considering it for the Phillies or Yankees playoffs (last year) though, I'm unsure. On the one hand, you have 3 starters who will make most of the starts, so only a 7 man bullpen is necessary, but you're also unlikely to pinch hit for these starters or your hitters, so are the bench players (Bocock, Dobbs) just as useless as the relievers (Baez, Bastardo)
(Jay from Philly)
The leverage of the situations in which you would use the last hitters, though, is going to be higher than the leverage of the situations in which you'll use the extra pitchers. It's also easier to get advantages offensively than it is defensively because of the game's rules. I am completely and utterly convinced that postseason roster construction is a massive fail for the industry as a whole.

As an example, the Giants will roster Barry Zito, who has no value in a short series, because he's a veteran with a contract. If the Yankees don't start A.J. Burnett, he should be left off; he won't. There's too much of this, and that's before you get into the decisions made for nominally tactical reasons.

Everyone needs to play Strat. It really does teach you this stuff. (Joe Sheehan)
2010-03-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Fantasy Starter most likely to get you 200 K's and have you question whether the rest of the baggage was worth it?
(Aaron from YYZ)
A.J. Burnett. His PECOTA forecast makes him look like a three-star guy but I'm popping him in with the fours as of right now. (Marc Normandin)
2009-11-02 15:00:00 (link to chat)What has been the biggest difference between how you saw the WS playing out (Phils in 7) and how it's actually played out?
(jamin67038 from Wichita, KS)
A.J. Burnett pitched fantastamatically, and Cliff Lee turned into Joe Blanton last night. I've actually gotten every single game wrong, based on my pre-Series pick. Don't try this at home! (Joe Sheehan)
2009-11-02 15:00:00 (link to chat)The yankees have to just win one out of three games. Why not start Gaudin tonight against Cliff Lee, and have Burnett on full rest +1 for game 6 in the Bronx?
(Mike from Chicago)
Because A.J. Burnett/3 and Andy Pettitte/3 are better than Chad Gaudin/32 and A.J. Burnett/5. And because you don't get cute in the World Series. Well, unless you're up one run in the eighth inning. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-09-24 14:00:00 (link to chat)Shouldn't a clear-eyed Yankee fan be concerned about starting pitching in the playoffs?
(ekanenh from Capitol City)
Absolutely. Andy Pettitte's quality start Monday certainly makes everyone breathe easier, but A.J. Burnett is a dice roll, and they have apparently screwed up Joba Chamberlain something fierce. (The lesson here is that very-low-pitch-count starts are apparently not the way to manage workloads for young starter.) Only CC Sabathia is someone you can expect to be healthy and effective throughout October...and he's the guy who'll be facing Verlander and Lester. The rotation is the Yankees' biggest concern, and at that, they're the postseason favorite. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-05-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Drop a comp on Tommy Hanson. Ben Sheets? Chad Billingsley (stuff-wise), A.J. Burnett?
(Nate from CT)
Someone who saw him last year in Arizona threw a John Smoltz on him. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-05-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)You think Philip Hughes is going to stick this time?
(casey from santa cruz)
Yeah, I do. I think he'll pitch well and stick, and either Wang will be used out of the bullpen or the team will do something stupid with Chamberlain. So if you're a Yankee fan, you're now reduced to *hoping* A.J. Burnett gets hurt to keep that from happening. Baseball's weird. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-11-03 13:30:00 (link to chat)Assuming the Orioles would match the high bidders (a big assumption, I know), do you think the geographical connections would lead either or Both of A.J. Burnett and Mark Teixeira to sign with the O's? Or is their status as an also-ran to much to overcome?
(Playwright22 from Baltimore)
I guess I look at any sentient adult's chances of signing with the Orioles, and I'd ask what they were smoking, or if they just needed the money. The latter is an entirely justifiable motive, but if you were a premium free agent who could punch your ticket to any destination in the majors, why would you pick the AL East's definitive also-ran? (Christina Kahrl)
2008-09-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are the Jays contenders if they would have started the season with Gaston and giving Lind more playing time or is this just a nice looking winning streak that has happened late in the season?
(Ted from at the pool)
Lind's presence over the dessicated remains of Shannon Stewart or Kevin Mench/Brad Wilkerson certainly would have improved matters, but there's a lot of other factors that would have had to go right - better health (and fortune) from Dustin McGowan, Shaun Marcum, B.J. Ryan, Vernon Wells, Scott Rolen... wow, that's a lot right there. A.J. Burnett avoiding his mid-season cold streak, too. Given some better luck in breaks like those, they coulda been contenders, but as it is, it's just a nice-looking winning streak. Their potential as spoilers (7 games vs. Boston as Joe from Tewksbury mentioned above) probably shouldn't be underestimated. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-07-30 12:30:00 (link to chat)How about A.J. Burnett? He had a great start the other night and since the trade talks got started he seems to have responded well.
(Tim from Sonoma, CA)
J.P. Ricciardi says he is staying and there doesn't seem to be much talk about Burnett floating out there. (John Perrotto)
2008-06-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)Does the Blue Jays offense have it in them to turn it around and save JP's job? (making Cito the hero of millions once again in the process) Or should they start looking at things like AJ Burnett to the Brewers for a shiny prospect? (Gamel?)
(Aaron from YYZ)
It shouldn't be a good offense based on its rather limited talent, and it isn't. And that division makes their situation very difficult. I absolutely think that the Blue Jays need to start thinking about whether they could get someone like Matt LaPorta for someone like A.J. Burnett. (Nate Silver)
2008-06-20 13:30:00 (link to chat)Let's go worst-case scenario and say Big Z is out for the year. Should the Cubs trade for A.J. Burnett (or whoever) or give Hill and/or Marshall another shot?
(Stephen from Louisville)
Rich Hill is something like the 25th-best starter in the National League. I have no idea what he did to Lou Piniella, but he can take Zambrano's place with minimal loss in value. (Joe Sheehan)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2010-10-06 10:00:002010 Playoffs Day OneAs I wrote over at the Pinstriped Bible, putting Moseley and Mitre on the Yankees roster was an act of supreme pessimism, especially when they also threw A.J. Burnett into the pen. Just how much long relief do they expect to need and still win the series? (Steven Goldman)
2009-11-02 17:00:002009 WS Game FiveA.J. Burnett didn't get hammered tonight because he was starting on three days' rest. He got hammered because he's A.J. Burnett, and sometimes he does this. And, yeah, the Phillies' lineup is really freaking good.

The game isn't even over yet and I'm sick of this story. Call for moratorium on "days rest". (Joe Sheehan)
2009-10-28 17:00:002009 WS Game OneNot to oversell it, but this series seems, to me, to change a LOT with a Phillies win. They now get the roulette wheel that is A.J. Burnett, followed by Cole Hamels at home. A lot can happen in those games, of course, but suddenly Phillies in seven seems...long.
(Joe Sheehan)
 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


A.J. Burnett has thrown 23,729 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and the MLB Postseason. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (92mph) and Curve (82mph), also mixing in a Fourseam Fastball (92mph) and Change (87mph).