Biographical

Portrait of Seth Smith

Seth Smith RFPadres

Padres Player Cards | Padres Team Audit | Padres Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 31)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
3 .251 0 0 0 0 .278 0.0
Birth Date9-30-1982
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lbs
Age32 years, 0 months, 22 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
1.72010
1.82011
2.02012
1.22013
3.82014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2007 COL 24 7 8 8 4 5 0 1 0 7 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .625 .625 .875 .503 2.5 -0.0 0.2
2008 COL 25 67 123 108 13 28 7 0 4 47 15 23 0 0 0 15 1 0 .259 .350 .435 .279 3.1 0.6 0.4
2009 COL 26 133 387 335 61 98 20 4 15 171 46 67 2 3 1 55 4 1 .293 .378 .510 .291 23.2 6.0 3.0
2010 COL 27 133 398 358 55 88 19 5 17 168 35 67 2 3 0 52 2 1 .246 .314 .469 .272 10.4 5.4 1.7
2011 COL 28 147 533 476 67 135 32 9 15 230 46 93 4 7 0 59 10 2 .284 .347 .483 .281 16.7 -0.2 1.8
2012 OAK 29 125 441 383 55 92 23 2 14 161 50 98 5 3 0 52 2 2 .240 .333 .420 .281 17.6 1.4 2.0
2013 OAK 30 117 410 368 49 93 27 0 8 144 39 94 3 0 0 40 0 0 .253 .329 .391 .265 9.0 1.8 1.2
2014 SDN 31 136 521 443 55 118 31 5 12 195 69 87 4 4 0 48 1 1 .266 .367 .440 .312 33.6 0.5 3.8
Career865282124793596571592685112330053020201321207.265.347.453.285116.115.513.9

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2004 TRI A- 9 29 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .227 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 CAS Rk 56 260 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .435 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 MOD A+ 129 585 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .366 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 TUL AA 130 582 .294 .279 .354 .445 .275 .317 106 16.5 13.1 -4.7 -5.6 2.8 24.1 2.0 24.1 2.0
2007 COL MLB 7 8 .503 .275 .365 .421 .282 .714 103 2.2 0.2 0 -0.0 0.1 2.5 0.2 2.5 0.2
2007 CSP AAA 129 505 .280 .283 .348 .444 .265 .348 117 11.2 15.0 -4.2 -0.5 1.4 20.5 1.9 20.5 1.9
2008 COL MLB 67 123 .279 .255 .325 .395 .257 .296 103 2.5 3.6 -0.5 0.6 -0.5 3.1 0.4 3.1 0.4
2008 CSP AAA 68 303 .301 .282 .355 .451 .263 .365 118 14 9.3 -2.8 0.5 2.9 25.1 2.5 25.1 2.5
2009 COL MLB 133 387 .291 .260 .329 .416 .264 .324 102 12.8 11.1 -2.5 6.0 3.6 23.2 3.0 23.2 3.0
2010 COL MLB 133 398 .272 .255 .321 .398 .265 .256 103 4.7 11.0 -2.7 5.4 -0.5 10.4 1.7 10.4 1.7
2011 COL MLB 147 533 .281 .248 .314 .382 .257 .320 109 10.9 14.4 -4.8 -0.2 2.0 16.7 1.8 16.7 1.8
2012 OAK MLB 125 441 .281 .254 .315 .406 .260 .285 95 9.1 12.1 -4.9 1.4 1.6 17.6 2.0 17.6 2.0
2012 SAC AAA 1 4 .560 .248 .286 .310 .211 .667 83 1.4 0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 1.4 0.1 1.4 0.1
2013 OAK MLB 117 410 .265 .255 .320 .401 .267 .320 94 1.8 10.8 -4.6 1.8 1.1 9.0 1.2 9.0 1.2
2014 SDN MLB 136 521 .312 .254 .312 .394 .262 .305 93 25.3 13.4 -3.6 0.5 -1.6 33.6 3.8 33.6 3.8

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2004 TRI A- 29 6 7 1 1 2 5 1 3 0 0 .259 .286 .593 .333 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 CAS Rk 260 46 86 21 3 9 61 25 47 9 1 .369 .430 .601 .232 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 MOD A+ 585 87 160 45 6 9 72 44 115 5 3 .300 .352 .458 .158 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 TUL AA 582 79 154 46 4 15 71 51 74 4 4 .294 .359 .483 .189 .294 24.1 -5.6 2.0
2007 COL MLB 8 4 5 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .625 .625 .875 .250 .503 2.5 -0.0 0.2
2007 CSP AAA 505 68 143 32 6 17 82 39 73 7 3 .317 .383 .528 .211 .280 20.5 -0.5 1.9
2008 COL MLB 123 13 28 7 0 4 15 15 23 1 0 .259 .350 .435 .176 .279 3.1 0.6 0.4
2008 CSP AAA 303 55 80 16 2 10 53 46 46 11 0 .323 .434 .524 .202 .301 25.1 0.5 2.5
2009 COL MLB 387 61 98 20 4 15 55 46 67 4 1 .293 .378 .510 .218 .291 23.2 6.0 3.0
2010 COL MLB 398 55 88 19 5 17 52 35 67 2 1 .246 .314 .469 .223 .272 10.4 5.4 1.7
2011 COL MLB 533 67 135 32 9 15 59 46 93 10 2 .284 .347 .483 .200 .281 16.7 -0.2 1.8
2012 OAK MLB 441 55 92 23 2 14 52 50 98 2 2 .240 .333 .420 .180 .281 17.6 1.4 2.0
2012 SAC AAA 4 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .667 .750 .667 .000 .560 1.4 0.0 0.1
2013 OAK MLB 410 49 93 27 0 8 40 39 94 0 0 .253 .329 .391 .139 .265 9.0 1.8 1.2
2014 SDN MLB 521 55 118 31 5 12 48 69 87 1 1 .266 .367 .440 .174 .312 33.6 0.5 3.8

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 481 0.5156 0.4509 0.7963 0.6210 0.2661 0.8831 0.5806 0.2037
2009 1524 0.5059 0.4068 0.8000 0.5525 0.2576 0.8685 0.6495 0.2000
2010 1550 0.4884 0.4381 0.7982 0.5892 0.2938 0.8700 0.6609 0.2018
2011 2079 0.4709 0.4841 0.7783 0.6721 0.3164 0.8587 0.6264 0.2217
2012 1780 0.4854 0.4345 0.7684 0.6134 0.2653 0.8377 0.6173 0.2303
2013 1728 0.5017 0.4404 0.7635 0.6286 0.2509 0.8312 0.5926 0.2365
2014 2106 0.4786 0.4008 0.8116 0.5784 0.2377 0.8868 0.6437 0.1884
Career112480.48840.43570.78710.60880.27030.86030.62890.2126

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-09-16 2014-09-16 DTD 0 0 Right Thigh Strain Hamstring -
2014-04-25 2014-04-30 DTD 5 5 Right Thigh Strain Groin - -
2014-03-14 2014-03-18 Camp 4 0 - General Medical Illness - -
2013-08-18 2013-08-23 DTD 5 4 - Astigmatism - -
2012-08-03 2012-08-21 15-DL 18 16 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring - -
2011-05-27 2011-05-30 DTD 3 3 Groin Strain -
2011-04-18 2011-04-19 DTD 1 1 Groin Strain -
2011-04-03 2011-04-06 DTD 3 1 Low Back Soreness Crashed Into Wall -
2010-05-27 2010-05-28 DTD 1 1 General Medical Illness -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2017 SDN $250,000
2016 SDN $6,750,000
2015 SDN $6,000,000
2014 SDN $4,500,000
2013 OAK $3,675,000
2012 OAK $2,415,000
2011 COL $429,000
2010 COL $407,000
2009 COL $403,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
5 yrPrevious$7,329,000
2011Current$4,500,000
6 yrPvs + Cur$11,829,000
3 yrFuture$13,000,000
9 yrTotal$24,829,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
5 y 119 dAegis Sports1 year/$4.5M (2014)

Details
  • 2 years/$13M (2015-16), plus 2017 club option. Signed extension with San Diego 7/2/14. 15:$6M, 16:$6.75M, 17:$7M club option ($0.25M buyout).
  • 1 year/$4.5M (2014). Signed by San Diego 1/14/14 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$3.675M (2013). Re-signed by Oakland 1/17/13 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by San Diego in trade from Oakland 12/3/13.
  • 1 year/$2.415M (2012). Re-signed by Colorado 1/15/12 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by Oakland in trade from Colorado 1/16/12.
  • 1 year/$0.429M (2011). Re-signed by Colorado 3/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Re-signed by Colorado 3/5/10.
  • 1 year/$0.403M (2009). Re-signed by Colorado 3/4/09 ($149,514 in minors).
  • 1 year (2008). Re-signed by Colorado 2/08.
  • 1 year (2007). Contract purchased by Colorado 9/16/07.
  • Drafted by Colorado 2004 (2-50) (Mississippi). Signed 6/04, $0.69M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 414 50 101 22 3 13 54 45 81 3 1 .279 .362 .467 .303 26.5 RF -2 2.7
80o 397 46 94 21 3 12 50 42 79 3 1 .268 .348 .447 .292 21.1 RF -2 2.1
70o 384 44 87 19 3 11 48 39 78 3 1 .259 .339 .433 .284 17.4 RF -2 1.7
60o 373 41 84 18 3 11 45 37 76 3 1 .252 .330 .421 .277 14.4 RF -2 1.4
50o 363 39 80 18 3 10 43 35 75 3 1 .246 .323 .410 .270 11.8 RF -2 1.1
40o 353 37 76 17 2 10 41 33 74 2 1 .239 .315 .399 .264 9.2 RF -2 0.8
30o 342 35 71 16 2 9 39 32 73 2 1 .232 .307 .387 .257 6.7 RF -2 0.6
20o 329 33 66 15 2 8 37 29 71 2 1 .224 .297 .373 .249 3.8 RF -1 0.3
10o 312 30 60 13 2 8 33 27 68 2 1 .213 .283 .355 .238 0.3 RF -1 -0.1
Weighted Mean36540811831044367531.247.325.413.27212.4RF -21.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 42% 6% 8% 90%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201532250294911172726541.221.307.371.2510.44.80.5-1.58.8-3.0-1.1
201633250285113152626551.234.316.373.2540.44.40.5-1.57.1-1.6-1.1
201734250295012162726570.230.313.376.2550.45.20.5-1.68.0-1.7-1.1
201835250295111152626550.233.317.369.2540.55.60.5-1.78.9-2.1-1.1
201936287326014262928630.233.313.369.2510.88.20.6-2.014.9-5.4-1.3
202037250274911142425560.227.309.350.244-0.10.50.5-1.85.1-3.3-1.1
202138250274911142325580.223.304.343.241-0.10.10.5-1.86.4-4.9-1.1
202239250274811142325570.220.300.340.238-0.10.30.5-1.914.9-13.2-1.1
202340250264710142223590.215.292.325.230-0.4-2.10.5-2.03.3-4.0-1.1

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
41.218.832.421.36.115.9119.8

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 83)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 94 Rafael Palmeiro 1996 .307
2 91 Paul Konerko 2007 .280
3 91 Bob Watson 1977 .314
4 91 Kent Hrbek 1991 .288
5 90 Benny Ayala 1982 .300
6 90 Ryan Klesko 2002 .311
7 89 Will Clark 1995 .308
8 89 Orlando Cepeda 1969 .277
9 89 Ted Kluszewski 1956 .300
10 89 Garrett Atkins 2011 .000 DNP
11 89 Matt Stairs 1999 .297
12 88 Lyle Overbay 2008 .270
13 88 Glenn Davis 1992 .285
14 88 Don Mincher 1969 .294
15 88 Aubrey Huff 2008 .302
16 87 Keith Hernandez 1985 .292
17 87 Hal McRae 1977 .299
18 87 Ben Broussard 2008 .178
19 86 Jack Clark 1987 .367
20 86 Mike Sweeney 2005 .290
21 86 Tino Martinez 1999 .265
22 86 Corey Hart 2013 .000 DNP
23 85 Boog Powell 1973 .301
24 85 Milton Bradley 2009 .271
25 85 Edgar Martinez 1994 .295
26 85 Kevin Youkilis 2010 .329
27 85 Bob Horner 1989 .000 DNP
28 84 Billy Williams 1969 .292
29 84 Eddie Williams 1996 .200
30 84 John Kruk 1992 .325
31 84 Eddie Murray 1987 .285
32 84 Erubiel Durazo 2005 .235
33 84 Norm Cash 1966 .303
34 84 Carl Yastrzemski 1971 .280
35 83 Rico Carty 1971 .000 DNP
36 83 David Murphy 2013 .234
37 83 Rod Carew 1977 .349
38 83 Michael Cuddyer 2010 .254
39 83 Cliff Floyd 2004 .286
40 83 Don Baylor 1980 .238
41 82 Justin Morneau 2012 .269
42 82 Randy Milligan 1993 .313
43 82 Derrek Lee 2007 .303
44 82 Cesar Cedeno 1982 .273
45 82 Eric Chavez 2009 .102
46 82 Brad Wilkerson 2008 .231
47 82 Jason Giambi 2002 .351
48 82 Norm Siebern 1965 .295
49 82 Rocky Colavito 1965 .325
50 82 Jason Thompson 1986 .259
51 82 Adam LaRoche 2011 .210
52 82 Ty Wigginton 2009 .234
53 82 Shawn Green 2004 .281
54 81 Alvin Davis 1992 .255
55 81 Bobby Bonilla 1994 .291
56 81 David Justice 1997 .336
57 81 Magglio Ordonez 2005 .282
58 81 Andy Pafko 1952 .299
59 81 Reggie Smith 1976 .292
60 81 Austin Kearns 2011 .222
61 81 Jeff Baker 2012 .236
62 81 Cody Ross 2012 .289
63 81 Kevin McReynolds 1991 .273
64 81 Wes Helms 2007 .232
65 81 Carlos Lee 2007 .283
66 81 Larry Walker 1998 .326
67 80 Ron Santo 1971 .281
68 80 John Milner 1981 .271
69 80 Bill White 1965 .309
70 80 Dave Bergman 1984 .289
71 80 Bobby Abreu 2005 .313
72 80 Harold Baines 1990 .290
73 80 Sal Bando 1975 .265
74 80 Xavier Nady 2010 .237
75 80 Gary Roenicke 1986 .278
76 80 Kelly Johnson 2013 .268
77 80 Vic Wertz 1956 .304
78 80 Brian Giles 2002 .350
79 80 Bernie Williams 2000 .309
80 80 Joe Collins 1954 .290
81 80 Ron Cey 1979 .313
82 80 John Wockenfuss 1980 .300
83 80 Mike Epstein 1974 .271
84 80 Tony Oliva 1970 .311
85 80 Fred Lynn 1983 .296
86 80 Josh Willingham 2010 .315
87 79 Gary Carter 1985 .303
88 79 Eddie Robinson 1952 .325
89 79 Bobby Murcer 1977 .278
90 79 Joe Torre 1972 .298
91 79 Ron Northey 1951 .000 DNP
92 79 Adrian Beltre 2010 .298
93 79 Eric Hinske 2009 .272
94 79 Cliff Johnson 1979 .303
95 79 Ben Francisco 2013 .180
96 79 Carlos Guillen 2007 .286
97 79 Roger Maris 1966 .269
98 79 Dave Winfield 1983 .298
99 79 Jason Kubel 2013 .225
100 79 Torii Hunter 2007 .284

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .210 .273 .312 .211
11 vs R (Multi) .266 .349 .449 .287
18 Split (Multi) .056 .076 .137 .076
19 LgAvg (Multi) .027 .038 .071 .034
30 vs L (2013) .235 .287 .333 .217
31 vs R (2013) .258 .341 .408 .276
38 Split (2013) .023 .053 .074 .059
39 LgAvg (2013) .026 .037 .071 .034

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Smith was employed in a manner that emphasized his strengths, with Melvin using the Moss approach: 82 percent of Smith's plate appearances came against right-handed pitchers. The strategy helped mask Smith's overall decline in his first season away from the thin air of Denver, and though his home-run rate was minimally impacted by the move, he sorely missed the expansive outfield that had gifted him with so many doubles and triples. The incentive to walk is diminished when playing at altitude, and Smith made the necessary adjustments to appease Oakland management by posting his highest walk rate in three years.
2012 Smith is similar in some ways to his predecessor in right field, Brad Hawpe. Both are left-handed, listed at 6'3", 210 pounds, and attended colleges in the Southeastern Conference. Smith lacks Hawpe's home run power, but a .210 career ISO is more than respectable. Smith makes better contact and is a superior defender in right, which is praise and an insult all in one. Smith doesn't hit lefties (.217/.272/.304 in 2011 and .202/.269/.319 for his career), but as long as his managers continue to deploy him the way Earl Weaver deployed John Lowenstein back in the day, Smith should be useful enough.
2011 Smith was hitting .287/.344/.543 on July 30 of last year when his bat went cold. An 0-for-21 slump touched off a .153/.248/.306 finish that seemed to be as much bad luck as anything else. Smith hit just .182 on balls in play over those final 111 at-bats, which was reflected in his .256 season mark, but there were no meaningful changes in his batted-ball types on the season. Thus, it seems safe to assume that Smith’s .290/.364/.524 line over the 10 months of regular-season play from April 2009 to July 2010 represents his true performance level, provided you keep him away from left-handed pitching, which the Rockies have been careful to do.
2010 The Rockies' player development staff has shown a recent knack for not just building outfielders, but shipping them to Coors fully assembled. Smith is the latest model to come off the line, built on the Brad Hawpe chassis but with an upgraded glove and a less pronounced platoon split. The decision to play Smith in left most days played a large role the in the Rockies’ mid-season turnaround, and while he’s not exactly young he is exactly cheap—meaning it’s time to starting editing those “We’ll Miss You, Brad” video compilations. Smith’s not a star, but should be a valuable contributor for a few years before being replaced by a younger, cheaper version of himself.
2009 Smith is a high draft pick who was slow to develop, but in his defense, he's hit everywhere, carrying a career minor league line of .313/.379/.524. Even bigger numbers last year at Triple-A finally forced the Rockies' hand, and they installed him as a bench outfielder, where he performed admirably while substituting in at all three outfield positions. Even with more exciting young players like Fowler and the recently acquired Carlos Gonzalez in the mix, there is some thought within Colorado at giving Smith a shot at an everyday job, or at least a semi-everyday job, as he just can't hit left-handers.
2008 The Forrest Gump of Rocktober, Smith tripled over the head of Padres center fielder Brady Clark in the sixth inning of Game 163 and subsequently scored a tie-breaking run. He then blooped a double down the left-field line to give the Rockies a lead they wouldn't relinquish in the decisive Game Four of the NLCS. When not being a hero, he's a decent lefty-hitting platoon corner/fourth outfielder on a team with no need for that skill set.
2007 Seth Smith was born in Beverly Hills, California but wound up going to high school in Jackson, Mississippi. The former backup quarterback at Ole Miss had LASIK surgery before last season, and it appears to have paid dividends. He improved as the season went along, cutting his strikeouts by more than a third while ratcheting up his home runs, all while moving up a level. Smith is probably still a little short of the power and patience needed to be an everyday player at an outfield corner, but he could have a nifty career as a reserve.
2006 A 2nd-round pick out of Mississippi in 2004, Smith had an insane debut but reverted back into a doubles machine in the California League last year. Another college football player whom the Rockies expect to develop as he learns the game, Smith has a healthy XBH rate, but he`ll need to control the strike zone better as he moves up the ladder. He had LASIK surgery in the off-season, and the Rockies expect it to help his middling outfield defense, and perhaps also some of that missing plate discipline.

BP Articles

Seth Smith is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Yu Better Watch OutDaniel Rathman2013-06-18
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BP Unfiltered: Gonzalez Germen and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad InningBen Lindbergh2013-06-14
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Lineup MoversPaul Singman2013-05-03
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: My American League PortfolioPaul Sporer2013-04-10
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 6Larry Granillo2013-04-07
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 6, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-04-06
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This article requires BP Premium accessIn A Pickle: More Unknown Facts About More Unknown PlayersJason Wojciechowski2013-03-28
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The Lineup Card: 13 Offseason NeedsBaseball Prospectus2012-11-07
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for September 21Larry Granillo2012-09-22
BP Unfiltered: Chris Carpenter's Comeback and the Unlikeliest Post-Season PlayerBen Lindbergh2012-09-20
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This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The A's Acquire Stephen Drew *UPDATED*Kevin Goldstein2012-08-21
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BP Unfiltered: Livan of Many SkillsBradley Ankrom2012-07-03
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BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 8: Very Good, One StarJason Collette2012-06-15
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Tater Trot Tracker: The Weekend's Trot TimesLarry Granillo2012-06-11
The Platoon Advantage: Oakland is Just Terrible (No Offense)Jason Wojciechowski2012-06-06
Transaction Analysis: Roy Oswalt Finds His ContenderR.J. Anderson2012-06-01
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 25Larry Granillo2012-05-26
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: 10 Bold Fantasy PredictionsDerek Carty2012-04-06
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The BP First Take: Wednesday, January 18Daniel Rathman2012-01-18
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This article requires BP Premium accessFantasy Beat: Platoon Problems Cost Playing TimeJason Collette2011-12-23
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Transaction Analysis: Wrapping Up the Winter Meetings UPDATED TWICER.J. Anderson2011-12-09
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 12Larry Granillo2011-08-13
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 1Larry Granillo2011-08-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Tout Wars Mixed 1st Half RecapJason Collette2011-07-13
This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, NL West: Home is Where the Wins Are (Not)Geoff Young2011-06-28
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 21Larry Granillo2011-06-22
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 12Larry Granillo2011-06-13
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Value Picks in the OutfieldMike Petriello2011-05-11
You Can Blog It Up: Troy Tulowitzki... Outfielder???Steven Goldman2011-05-09
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Wezen-Ball: Happy Pi (π) Day!Larry Granillo2011-03-14
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Fantasy Focus: Right Fielder RankingsMarc Normandin2011-02-24
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Changing Speeds: The Next Jose BautistaKen Funck2011-02-08
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Purpose Pitches: The Sorry State of PlatooningChristina Kahrl2011-02-03
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Between The Numbers: Glove checksColin Wyers2010-11-09
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-07-31 19:30:00 (link to chat)Redraft keeper league, 12 teams, h2h 5x5, auction. Competing team that is well balanced. Trade Beltre ($38) for Machado (13) and Taveras (8)? Currently starting Jennings and Seth Smith in OF.
(Baub from Fenix)
Wow. If you can take the hit this year, yes, adding Machado and Taveras is an outstanding long-term play if inflation isn't out of control. (Ben Carsley)
2014-06-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do the Padres end up doing when both Liriano and Renfroe and ready to play RF at Petco?
(padremurph from Los Angeles)
Celebrating the fact that they've actually developed two hitting prospects and worry about where to play them later. These things work themselves out. They always do. They'll both play somewhere. I doubt Seth Smith will still be blocking one of them in left. (Jeff Moore)
2014-05-29 19:30:00 (link to chat)Rest of Season: Seth Smith or Charlie Blackmon?
(50 Cent from 40 yards south of home plate)
Blackmon based on park and playing time alone. He'll slow down, but he's a legit MLB starter. Nice throw btw. (Ben Carsley)
2014-05-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of trade market do you see for Chase Headley, Seth Smith, Quentin and/or Huston Street? Once the Padres realize Cashner need TJ they will probably be in build for the future mode.
(fahlstrome from San Diego)
Not future-changing on any of those guys. I understand why they held onto Headley when he was at the peak of his value, but I'm guessing they'll look back on it with - if not regret then at least wishes that they could undo it with hindsight. (Zachary Levine)
2014-04-03 19:30:00 (link to chat)Have a 5X5 (.BA, HR, Steals, RBI, Runs) Need a bat and probably a CI/1B position due to lack of depth: best available are A. Lind, J. Smoak, C. Asche. Other hitters available: L. Cain, M. Ozuna, Seth Smith. Gotta pick one Who do ya like?
(Mark Melancon from The Shark Tank)
Probably run with Smoak right now, but I think Asche is a viable option as well. If we're seriously including the OFers I like Smith the most. (Craig Goldstein)
2013-10-11 14:00:00 (link to chat)If you were Oakland, who stays and goes for 2014? Some choices are obvious -- Chris Young and Kurt Suzuki are gone. Grant Balfour and Bartolo Colon are probably not affordable. Brett Anderson, Seth Smith, and Josh Reddick are all non-tender candidates, though Smith and Reddick could be back because it doesn't look like Michael Choice is ready. How do they fix the middle of the infield? Jed Lowrie isn't going to put up this type of offense to make up for that poor of a glove and Eric Sogard and Albert Callaspo -- just, no. The Coliseum hides the total mediocre state of the A's rotation.
(Dave from Chicago)
Great question. Agree on Young and Suzuki. Balfour will probably price himself out of Oakland, a team that has no problem with a revolving door of closers. I think that Reddick sticks around, unless his homer counts exorbitantly drive up the price in his first year of arbitration. It will be interesting to see what Colon wants contractually, and the A's could easily bow out if he wants a multi-year deal. There is no way that the A's pay $8 million for Anderson next year, so his option will be declined, but it will be interesting to see if he re-signs on a one-year deal to re-establish his value. Coco Crisp will probably be taken up on his $7.5 million option, given his somewhat unique blend of speed and power in CF (as well as his clubhouse appeal). The A's like the power that Lowrie offers in the middle of the diamond, and their backup options are less than inspiring (Nakajima has turned out to be a waste of $6.5 million).

The A's pitching succeeds in many ways that are tough to see. Yes, the Coliseum and its immense foul territory certainly help, but the A's have an excellent system in place for pitcher development. They emphasize balance, posture, and pitch repetition - and they eschew the slide step! So they earn the benefit of the doubt when it comes to developing pitchers from within and identifying which arms to bring into the system.


On the jukebox: Aerosmith, "Ragdoll" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-02-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)well, the trade of Chris Carter to Houston probably makes Moss the full-time 1B in Oakland. Don't see any platoon mate for him on that roster.
(Chris from LA)
There's still Barton (he of the internal organs I mentioned earlier), Lowrie, Rosales, Seth Smith...even Michael Taylor and Shane Peterson have been taking grounders there recently, according to MLB.com's Jane Lee. It seems like Oakland is still hoping to avoid having Moss face too many lefties. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-05-31 14:00:00 (link to chat)Are you still a Billy Beane fan? I'm not anymore; the guy can't make good trades that don't involve Dan Haren. If not, do you see any way he doesn't outlive all of us as GM-for-life?
(oira79 from San Francisco)
I wish he'd quit shilling for ownership's desires to move to San Jose (the crying about how the A's can't compete in Oakland isn't really becoming of a man of his stature), but I'm not going to be calling for his head any time soon. Taking shots at contention hasn't worked out when he's gone for it, but I'd dispute this "good trades" point -- three years of Seth Smith for Josh Outman and Guillermo Moscoso is a steal, for instance. (Jason Wojciechowski)
2012-05-31 14:00:00 (link to chat)I grant you that Moscoso and the best-named pitcher ever have fallen apart in Colorado, but three years of Seth Smith doesn't seem worth having since the guy has a 98 OPS+ and if he ain't hitting, he ain't nothing. Tell me what else Billy Beane has done for you lately.
(oira79 from San Francisco)
Alternatively, Smith has a .289 TAv, well above-average. I don't know if the difference between OPS+ and TAv in this case comes down entirely to a proper weighting of OBP vs. SLG (Smith is, admittedly, not hitting for any power so far) or if there are also disagreements about park factor and league between our numbers and Baseball-Reference. But I'd run with TAv.

I mean, even if Smith has been barely adequate this year, Beane still got a barely adequate player for two bad players. That's an upgrade.

Also: Josh Reddick for an injured closer. I'll take it. (Jason Wojciechowski)
2010-05-11 16:30:00 (link to chat)3 NL only guys - Matt Diaz, Seth Smith, Mark DeRosa. Should I cut bait on them?
(Carl from Boston)
I don't play fantasy baseball, so I'm not really sure that I have a good sense of what replacement level is in NL only leagues. Matt Diaz seems like he is in a BABIP funk. His other numbers seem pretty much okay, and he's usually the type to have a very high BABIP, so I'd expect him to be the most likely to bounce back. DeRosa hasn't really shown any power this year, so I'm inclined to think that could be a problem. His BABIP should rebound a bit, but I'd be concerned. Seth Smith isn't walking this year, which I'm guessing is his main problem. His BABIP is low too. All three of these guys seem to be partly unlucky and all have low BABIPs which are drawing your attention. I think DeRosa is the one to be most concerned about if I had to guess. (Matt Swartz)
2010-03-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Free Seth Smith?
(don from lansing)
My rankings hope so. Dude can hit. (Marc Normandin)
2010-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)In a 20 team keeper league that starts 4 outfielders I'm going into the draft with an outfield of Kemp/Snider/Fowler/Rasmus and Seth Smith after trading away too-pricey Granderson and Hamilton in the offseason. Assuming I get a decent OF in the draft (Think JD Drew), how screwed am I, assuming I'm well above average everywhere else?
(Brendan from Chicago)
That's definitely serviceable with Drew, as long as you're above-average everywhere else as you said. It's kind of a zero-sum game, so you'll most likely be lacking somewhere, unless your draft goes perfectly or everyone you play with is bad at this. (Marc Normandin)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2009-10-12 15:00:00Phillies/Rockies Playoffs RoundtableRyan (Denver): Seth Smith starting tonight? Could it be that Jim Tracy has learned his lesson?

I think I have... (Steven Goldman)
 

PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC