Biographical

Portrait of Nick Hundley

Nick Hundley C Orioles

Orioles Player Cards | Orioles Team Audit | Orioles Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 30)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
2 .236 0 0 0 0 .247 0.0
Birth Date9-8-1983
Height6' 1"
Weight200 lbs
Age31 years, 1 months, 16 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
1.52010
3.32011
-0.52012
0.92013
0.42014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2008 SDN 24 60 216 198 21 47 7 1 5 71 11 52 2 5 0 24 0 0 .237 .278 .359 .240 6.8 -0.1 0.7
2009 SDN 25 78 289 256 23 61 15 2 8 104 28 76 1 3 1 30 5 1 .238 .312 .406 .265 10.6 0.8 1.2
2010 SDN 26 85 307 273 33 68 18 2 8 114 25 66 1 6 2 43 0 5 .249 .308 .418 .284 15.5 -1.0 1.5
2011 SDN 27 82 308 281 34 81 16 5 9 134 22 74 4 1 0 29 1 1 .288 .347 .477 .310 31.5 -0.1 3.3
2012 SDN 28 58 225 204 14 32 7 1 3 50 15 56 2 3 1 22 0 3 .157 .219 .245 .173 -6.1 1.8 -0.5
2013 SDN 29 114 408 373 35 87 19 0 13 145 26 98 5 3 1 44 1 0 .233 .290 .389 .251 8.1 0.5 0.9
2014 BAL 30 50 174 159 17 37 4 0 5 56 10 50 0 3 2 19 1 0 .233 .273 .352 .244 2.9 0.7 0.4
2014 SDN 30 33 59 59 1 16 3 0 1 22 0 13 0 0 0 3 0 0 .271 .271 .373 .240 -0.2 0.2 0.0
Career5601986180317842989115269613748515247214810.238.294.386.25669.12.97.6

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2005 FTW A 10 42 .226 .273 .343 .400 .254 .296 100 -1.6 1.3 0.5 -0.1 0.3 1.0 0.1 1.0 0.1
2005 EUG A- 43 184 .294 .259 .334 .374 .256 .283 103 6.5 5.1 2.9 1.4 -0.5 14.2 1.6 14.2 1.6
2006 FTW A 57 248 .262 .244 .316 .350 .245 .315 116 0.4 4.7 2.9 2.3 -0.2 10.7 1.4 10.7 1.4
2006 LEL A+ 47 200 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .354 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 SAN AA 101 422 .289 .262 .337 .402 .259 .256 95 14.3 13.3 7.2 -0.7 -0.5 32.1 3.2 32.1 3.2
2008 SDN MLB 60 216 .240 .270 .334 .424 .266 .288 90 -4.5 6.2 3.8 -0.1 0.5 6.8 0.7 6.8 0.7
2008 POR AAA 58 243 .238 .278 .348 .449 .259 .237 104 -6.2 7.5 4.4 -0.4 -0.3 6.1 0.6 6.1 0.6
2009 SDN MLB 78 289 .265 .255 .321 .406 .256 .303 87 1.4 8.3 5 0.8 -0.7 10.6 1.2 10.6 1.2
2009 POR AAA 5 18 .285 .277 .341 .442 .276 .273 102 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 0.1 1.2 0.1
2010 SDN MLB 85 307 .284 .255 .319 .404 .265 .293 86 7.4 8.5 5 -1.0 -5.6 15.5 1.5 15.5 1.5
2011 SDN MLB 82 308 .310 .255 .314 .396 .261 .362 90 15.1 8.3 4.9 -0.1 -0.1 31.5 3.3 31.5 3.3
2011 SAN AA 7 29 .239 .266 .330 .399 .251 .308 107 -0.7 0.9 0.2 -0.0 -0.2 -0.6 -0.1 -0.6 -0.1
2011 TUC AAA 4 13 .340 .307 .376 .489 .291 .250 110 1.2 0.4 0.1 -0.0 0.2 1.8 0.2 1.8 0.2
2012 SDN MLB 58 225 .173 .259 .316 .411 .262 .196 94 -19.4 6.2 3.7 1.8 0.4 -6.1 -0.5 -6.1 -0.5
2012 TUC AAA 13 47 .178 .277 .335 .433 .260 .235 115 -4.3 1.4 0.8 -0.1 -0.3 -1.6 -0.2 -1.6 -0.2
2013 SDN MLB 114 408 .251 .254 .315 .393 .257 .279 99 -3.7 10.7 6.4 0.5 -1.9 8.1 0.9 8.1 0.9
2014 BAL MLB 50 174 .244 .247 .303 .388 .257 .299 99 -2.6 4.5 2.7 0.7 -0.4 2.9 0.4 2.9 0.4
2014 SDN MLB 33 59 .240 .250 .309 .386 .257 .333 94 -1.1 1.5 0.6 0.2 -0.6 -0.2 0.0 -0.2 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2005 EUG A- 184 30 37 7 1 7 22 33 35 1 0 .250 .393 .453 .203 .294 14.2 1.4 1.6
2005 FTW A 42 2 8 2 0 0 5 4 9 0 0 .222 .317 .278 .056 .226 1.0 -0.1 0.1
2006 LEL A+ 200 18 49 13 0 3 23 20 44 1 1 .278 .357 .403 .125 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 FTW A 248 29 59 19 0 8 44 25 45 1 1 .274 .361 .474 .200 .262 10.7 2.3 1.4
2007 SAN AA 422 55 92 23 1 20 72 42 74 0 2 .247 .325 .475 .228 .289 32.1 -0.7 3.2
2008 POR AAA 243 33 52 13 0 12 39 17 44 0 0 .232 .285 .451 .219 .238 6.1 -0.4 0.6
2008 SDN MLB 216 21 47 7 1 5 24 11 52 0 0 .237 .278 .359 .121 .240 6.8 -0.1 0.7
2009 POR AAA 18 2 4 1 0 1 2 2 4 0 0 .250 .333 .500 .250 .285 1.2 0.1 0.1
2009 SDN MLB 289 23 61 15 2 8 30 28 76 5 1 .238 .312 .406 .168 .265 10.6 0.8 1.2
2010 SDN MLB 307 33 68 18 2 8 43 25 66 0 5 .249 .308 .418 .168 .284 15.5 -1.0 1.5
2011 TUC AAA 13 3 3 2 0 1 5 2 2 0 0 .273 .385 .727 .455 .340 1.8 -0.0 0.2
2011 SAN AA 29 1 4 0 0 0 1 6 10 0 0 .174 .345 .174 .000 .239 -0.6 -0.0 -0.1
2011 SDN MLB 308 34 81 16 5 9 29 22 74 1 1 .288 .347 .477 .189 .310 31.5 -0.1 3.3
2012 SDN MLB 225 14 32 7 1 3 22 15 56 0 3 .157 .219 .245 .088 .173 -6.1 1.8 -0.5
2012 TUC AAA 47 4 8 1 1 0 7 4 9 0 1 .191 .255 .262 .071 .178 -1.6 -0.1 -0.2
2013 SDN MLB 408 35 87 19 0 13 44 26 98 1 0 .233 .290 .389 .155 .251 8.1 0.5 0.9
2014 BAL MLB 174 17 37 4 0 5 19 10 50 1 0 .233 .273 .352 .119 .244 2.9 0.7 0.4
2014 SDN MLB 59 1 16 3 0 1 3 0 13 0 0 .271 .271 .373 .102 .240 -0.2 0.2 0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 756 0.5463 0.4735 0.7821 0.6344 0.2799 0.8779 0.5208 0.2179
2009 1134 0.5362 0.4466 0.7589 0.6118 0.2548 0.8683 0.4552 0.2391
2010 1149 0.5109 0.4878 0.7875 0.6848 0.2811 0.8781 0.5570 0.2107
2011 1215 0.5317 0.4794 0.7955 0.6440 0.2917 0.8966 0.5422 0.2045
2012 822 0.5097 0.5255 0.7593 0.7470 0.2953 0.8658 0.4790 0.2407
2013 1510 0.5132 0.5348 0.7531 0.7445 0.3116 0.8440 0.5240 0.2469
2014 848 0.5200 0.5218 0.7421 0.7075 0.3194 0.8494 0.4846 0.2579
Career74340.52310.49630.76860.68350.29080.8680.51180.2308

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-03-20 2013-03-22 Camp 2 0 - General Medical Illness - -
2012-08-16 2012-10-04 60-DL 49 43 Right Knee Surgery Meniscus 2012-08-29 -
2011-07-06 2011-08-12 15-DL 37 32 Right Elbow Surgery Loose Bodies and Bone Spur 2011-07-08 -
2011-05-05 2011-06-08 15-DL 34 31 Right Abdomen Strain Oblique -
2011-03-06 2011-03-13 Camp 7 0 Groin Strain -
2010-06-30 2010-07-01 DTD 1 1 Head Concussion Foul Ball -
2009-11-04 2009-11-04 Off 0 0 Surgery Sports Hernia 2009-11-04
2009-06-18 2009-08-12 15-DL 55 50 Left Wrist Fracture Ulna -
2009-06-10 2009-06-16 DTD 6 4 Left Wrist Contusion HBP -
2008-08-17 2008-08-19 DTD 2 1 Left Ankle Sprain -
2006-05-29 2006-06-06 Minors 8 0 - Not Disclosed - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2015 SDN $
2014 SDN $4,000,000
2013 SDN $3,000,000
2012 SDN $2,000,000
2011 SDN $439,900
2010 SDN $415,700
2009 SDN $404,400
YearsDescriptionSalary
5 yrPrevious$6,260,000
2011Current$4,000,000
6 yrPvs + Cur$10,260,000
6 yrTotal$10,260,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
5 y 59 dAthletes First3 years/$9M (2012-14), 2015 option

Details
  • 3 years/$9M (2012-14), plus 2015 club option. Signed extension with San Diego 3/20/12, replacing 1 year/$2M deal signed 1/17/12, avoiding arbitration. 12:$2M, 13:$3M, 14:$4M, 15:$5M club option, no buyout. Acquired by Baltimore in trade from San Diego 5/24/14, with Padres paying Orioles $1.5M in the deal.
  • 1 year/$0.4399M (2011). Re-signed by San Diego 2/27/11.
  • 1 year/$0.4157M (2010). Re-signed 3/3/10.
  • 1 year/$0.4044M (2009). Re-signed 2/27/09.
  • 1 year (2008). Contract purchased 7/4/08.
  • Drafted 2005 (2-76) (Arizona). Signed 6/05, $0.465M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 304 35 72 15 2 9 36 26 69 1 2 .264 .331 .436 .283 15.0 C 1 1.7
80o 285 31 65 14 2 8 33 23 66 1 2 .252 .317 .416 .271 10.8 C 1 1.2
70o 272 29 60 13 1 8 31 22 64 1 1 .243 .307 .401 .262 8.1 C 0 0.9
60o 261 27 56 12 1 7 29 20 62 1 1 .236 .299 .389 .255 5.9 C 0 0.7
50o 250 25 52 11 1 7 27 19 60 1 1 .229 .291 .377 .248 4.1 C 0 0.5
40o 239 24 48 10 1 6 25 17 59 1 1 .222 .283 .366 .241 2.3 C 0 0.3
30o 228 22 45 9 1 6 23 16 56 1 1 .215 .274 .354 .234 0.6 C 0 0.1
20o 215 20 41 9 1 5 21 15 54 1 1 .207 .264 .339 .225 -1.2 C 0 -0.1
10o 196 17 34 7 1 4 19 13 50 1 1 .195 .250 .320 .214 -3.3 C 0 -0.3
Weighted Mean2532653111727196111.231.293.380.2504.6C 00.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 39% 6% 16% 94%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201531266285312162620641.216.279.345.2310.10.1-0.51.44.5-5.30.5
2016323924279162104029991.218.279.350.2320.20.8-0.71.94.2-4.60.7
201733257264810152320650.206.270.318.219-0.4-4.4-0.41.28.2-13.40.4
201834352356513173224910.203.262.313.214-1.2-11.3-0.31.514.9-27.40.6
2019355265098212946361370.202.259.309.213-1.1-11.1-0.42.114.9-27.80.9
202036347356714273226880.208.270.324.221-0.7-7.3-0.21.314.9-23.40.6
202137627621192431157461610.209.270.319.219-0.7-7.5-0.42.214.9-24.21.1
202238311326213263022790.218.279.340.2280.10.6-0.21.00.6-0.80.5
202339616721232631565651560.227.314.368.2521.411.5-0.41.814.9-4.81.1

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
6742.843.423.512.419.3189

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 81)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 87 Gary Carter 1984 .318
2 87 Dave Nilsson 2000 .000 DNP
3 86 Javy Lopez 2001 .265
4 86 Ryan Doumit 2011 .296
5 86 Joe Torre 1971 .355
6 86 Carlton Fisk 1978 .290
7 86 Gus Triandos 1961 .265
8 85 John Buck 2011 .251
9 85 Johnny Romano 1965 .294
10 85 Thurman Munson 1977 .292
11 84 Johnny Bench 1978 .304
12 84 Mike Macfarlane 1994 .276
13 83 Joe Collins 1953 .295
14 83 Jorge Posada 2002 .286
15 83 Bill White 1964 .302
16 82 Ronny Paulino 2011 .238
17 82 Ken Harrelson 1972 .000 DNP
18 82 Yorvit Torrealba 2009 .262
19 82 Ron Blomberg 1979 .000 DNP
20 82 Don Pavletich 1969 .271
21 81 Lance Parrish 1986 .301
22 81 Jim Pagliaroni 1968 .294
23 81 Joe Ferguson 1977 .299
24 81 Jim Leyritz 1994 .298
25 81 Gene Oliver 1965 .294
26 81 Benny Ayala 1981 .315
27 81 Harold Baines 1989 .314
28 81 Olmedo Saenz 2001 .247
29 81 Ivan Rodriguez 2002 .283
30 80 Ozzie Virgil 1987 .260
31 80 Mark Teahen 2012 .000 DNP
32 80 Geronimo Berroa 1995 .281
33 80 John Baker 2011 .173
34 80 Geovany Soto 2013 .289
35 80 Duke Sims 1971 .283
36 80 Bob Nieman 1957 .299
37 80 Stan Lopata 1956 .306
38 80 Ryan Klesko 2001 .313
39 80 Del Ennis 1955 .304
40 80 Norm Siebern 1964 .298
41 80 Don Baylor 1979 .322
42 80 Cleon Jones 1973 .267
43 80 Hoot Evers 1951 .266
44 80 Chris Snyder 2011 .295
45 80 Brandon Inge 2007 .239
46 80 George Hendrick 1980 .292
47 80 Del Crandall 1960 .289
48 80 Eric Munson 2008 .000 DNP
49 79 Mike Lieberthal 2002 .283
50 79 Tony Clark 2002 .208
51 79 Gary Matthews 1981 .313
52 79 Miguel Olivo 2009 .256
53 79 Leon Roberts 1981 .291
54 79 Sean Berry 1996 .276
55 79 Greg Vaughn 1996 .304
56 79 Kevin McReynolds 1990 .302
57 79 Ty Wigginton 2008 .290
58 79 Johnny Briggs 1974 .283
59 79 Jimmie Hall 1968 .222
60 79 Bernard Gilkey 1997 .274
61 79 Chad Tracy 2010 .229
62 79 Rick Wilkins 1997 .218
63 79 Michael Barrett 2007 .226
64 79 Leon Wagner 1964 .275
65 79 Mike Ivie 1983 .206
66 79 Johnny Callison 1969 .279
67 79 Rico Petrocelli 1973 .261
68 79 Bobby Thomson 1954 .252
69 79 Dave Hollins 1996 .272
70 79 Cliff Floyd 2003 .307
71 78 Rondell White 2002 .246
72 78 Gerald Laird 2010 .196
73 78 Bob Watson 1976 .329
74 78 Aaron Rowand 2008 .266
75 78 Hank Bauer 1953 .319
76 78 Franklin Gutierrez 2013 .289
77 78 Chris Hoiles 1995 .286
78 78 Ron Coomer 1997 .262
79 78 Lamar Johnson 1981 .239
80 78 Craig Monroe 2007 .217
81 78 Chili Davis 1990 .278
82 78 Gordy Coleman 1965 .294
83 78 Brad Fullmer 2005 .000 DNP
84 78 Earl Averill 1962 .266
85 78 Ben Broussard 2007 .259
86 78 Tino Martinez 1998 .292
87 78 Moises Alou 1997 .299
88 78 Ollie Brown 1974 .235
89 78 Willie Crawford 1977 .233
90 78 Ken Boyer 1961 .315
91 78 Phil Bradley 1989 .289
92 78 Gabe Gross 2010 .227
93 78 Charles Johnson 2002 .225
94 78 Hank Blalock 2011 .000 DNP
95 78 Carmelo Martinez 1991 .261
96 78 Ellis Burks 1995 .260
97 78 Bobby Higginson 2001 .281
98 78 Larry Sheets 1990 .255
99 78 Larry Hisle 1977 .313
100 78 Miguel Ojeda 2005 .189

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .176 .252 .276 .212
11 vs R (Multi) .247 .299 .414 .257
18 Split (Multi) .072 .047 .138 .045
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.013 -.023 -.037 -.020
30 vs L (2013) .183 .274 .280 .230
31 vs R (2013) .250 .296 .425 .256
38 Split (2013) .067 .022 .145 .027
39 LgAvg (2013) -.011 -.021 -.036 -.019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Coming off a breakout 2011, Hundley signed a three-year extension in March. He then spent the season battling right-knee problems that destroyed his game and eventually required season-ending surgery in August to repair a torn meniscus. When healthy, Hundley generates power from the right side and isn't intimidated by Petco Park (two-thirds of his 33 career homers have come there). He has improved his defense and works well with pitchers. Making contact and getting on base are not part of his skill set, but the rest of his game is strong enough that he should start somewhere for a few years, assuming his knee is okay. With Grandal's suspension, Hundley's shot at redemption could come sooner rather than later.
2012 Hundley quietly enjoyed a breakout season. He carried a strong Cactus League showing into April, then got hurt (oblique) and came back too soon. After hitting just .159/.247/.147 from May through July, Hundley finally returned to the lineup healthy and abused pitchers at a .367/.404/.656 clip over the season's final two months. On defense, he improved his footwork and throwing, nailing a career high 36 percent of would-be basestealers. Hundley isn't intimidated by Petco Park, hitting .271/.340/.478 at home for his career, with 21 of his 30 home runs coming there. PECOTA envisions a career-worst performance from Hundley in 2012, but his strong finish last year gives cause for optimism. If he stays healthy, he could enjoy a nice run in the big leagues, even if 2011 was over his head.
2011 The Padres' 2010 bench coach and former backstop Ted Simmons has said that 1,500 at-bats or 500 games caught are needed before you know whether someone is an everyday catcher or a backup. Hundley remains short of both measures, but he was able to reproduce his above-average production at the plate while improving his work behind it. His throwing action—something Simmons and the 26-year-old receiver worked on all season—looked quicker and smoother, which resulted in his retiring 29 percent of would-be base thieves. With Torrealba having declined his option, Hundley will see additional time in 2011. Better production against right-handers (692 OPS in 2010, 708 career) would net him even more innings behind the plate.
2010 Hundley had a frustrating first full season in the major leagues, as he missed two months with a badly bruised left wrist suffered via HBP on June 8. He also played with a sports hernia from early May on before having it surgically repaired in November. Hundley is a decent enough hitter for a catcher, but the expectations were higher after he'd put up good power numbers in college at the University of Arizona. His most reliable value lies in his above-average defense, as the Padres are happy with what they've seen of him to look forward to a less dinged-up 2010.
2009 Nick Hundley looked like a solid catching prospect early in his career thanks to his power, his patience, and his solid defensive skills, but the questions about his ability to hit for average were being answered in an increasingly unsatisfactory manner as he made his weary way toward the upper levels, and his sisyphean struggles in the big leagues were, alas, predictable. His is a backup's skill set to be sure, but he's also very much all that the Padres have, so he'll likely be their starter in 2009.
2008 No relation to the other catching Hundleys, Nick is making steady progress towards being a low-average, high-power backup catcher in the make of Mark Parent, Tim Laudner, and Sal Fasano. His good throwing arm-he nailed 36 percent of thieves last season-and solid catcher's body complete the package.
2007 The organization`s Catcher of the Future, because dealing George Kottaras erased the only other aspirant. Hundley is a big, strapping guy with power, a long swing, and a good arm. He`s not perfect--his throws need to be sped up, and, as a former college player at the University of Arizona, hitting in the Cal League in his full-season debut should be a matter of course, not an achievement. If he makes the jump to Double-A in 2007, the Padres have got something.

BP Articles

Nick Hundley is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
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The Week in Quotes: July 1-7Satchel Price2013-07-08
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BP Unfiltered: Productive and Unproductive Outs, TAv EditionColin Wyers2013-05-27
Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 5/25Ben Lindbergh2013-05-25
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Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 5/18Ben Lindbergh2013-05-18
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Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 5/3Ben Lindbergh2013-05-03
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 11, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-11
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This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Future of Contract ExtensionsSam Miller2013-04-03
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Collateral Damage: NL West Year-End Injury SummaryStephani Bee2012-11-01
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Western Front: Chase Headley is AwesomeGeoff Young2012-09-18
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The Lineup Card: 11 Bench Players Who Could Have a Big ImpactBaseball Prospectus2012-04-04
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This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: The Season in Injuries: NL WestBen Lindbergh2011-11-07
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Collateral Damage: Knee-Death ExperienceBen Lindbergh2011-07-11
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Collateral Damage: No-Hit Hangover?Marc Normandin2011-05-09
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-06-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Miguel Montero. What's the deal? His triple slash line is way down from career norms, but Nick Hundley is my only alternative in my 10-team NL Scoresheet league. Should I look to trade Montero or hang onto him?
(Matt from Fresno, CA)
Sit tight. I believe. I'd actually be buying in NL-onlys and deep mixers. (Paul Sporer)
2013-03-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)It's easy to imagine what can go wrong for the Padres this year. What has to go right for them to be a *good* competitive team -- let's say 80-85 wins?
(Shamu35 from the twitter)
Good question, Shamu. The easy answer is "a lot." More specifically, they need Nick Hundley and Cameron Maybin to step up their games, Jedd Gyorko to establish himself at second base, and most importantly get a surprise or two out of the rotation. That last one is going to be tough, though, as there just isn't anyone who inspires confidence. (Geoff Young)
2012-12-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Geoff, what's your prediction for the Padres this year and is Nick Hundley coming up on Comeback Player of the Year?
(LaMarBrown from San Diego)
Hey LaMar, how's it going? The Padres look to me like a .500 team. I like the offensive core, especially once Yasmani Grandal returns from his suspension, but the pitching concerns me. I'm intrigued to see how the new outfield dimensions affect guys at the back end of the rotation. As for Hundley, he wasn't healthy last year and the numbers reflect that. He won't hit like he did in 2011, but he should return to 2009-2010 levels, which could make him an enticing trade target later in the season. (Geoff Young)
2012-10-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will Nick Hundley get non-tendered? Seems to me that the organization has soured on him greatly over the last year.
(jlarsen from chicago)
Hi jlarsen, thanks for the question. The Padres signed Hundley to a 3-year, $9 million deal last March so he'll be in the mix. I don't know that the Padres have soured on him since then so much as they've witnessed the emergence of Yasmani Grandal, who appears to the be club's catcher of the present and future (at least until Austin Hedges is ready, which creates a nice "problem"). Assuming his right knee is healthy, Hundley gives the Padres an insurance policy for Grandal and could have trade value to another team. (Geoff Young)
2012-10-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hello, old friend! James Shields, Jeff Niemann, Alex Torres, Cesar Ramos, Alex Cobb, Wade Davis or Chris Archer all likely not going to remain with the team past Winter Meetings, let alone Spring Training. How do the Rays better their roster, knowing there's a huge logjam of pitching and there's room for improvement offensively. James Shields kicked it up a notch after the deadline, but can the Rays withstand another horrible 1st half from him again?
(jlarsen from chicago)
I don’t think Archer is going anywhere. Part of his problem was philosophical—he pitched off his slider more than he should. He seemed to solve those after getting a taste in the big leagues and realizing his fastball plays against the big boys. Otherwise, he doesn’t fit the profile of someone they’d part with at this juncture in his career.

I do see Tampa Bay trading pitching. If you want a name I’d say Nick Hundley. San Diego has enough catching, in the majors and in the minors, to move him for value. He’d fit nicely on Tampa Bay’s roster. I don’t have a good feel for what the market at first base or DH will be like (if they don’t bring back Luke Scott). Logan Morrison’s name might pop up if Miami is tired of him. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-02-23 11:00:00 (link to chat)How many things have to go right for the Padres to win NL West? Other than Diamondbacks, every team has big holes. Also, wouldn't the Angels now becomes the natural rivalry for the Padres by virtue of Pujols signing (he who took out 2 starters in the same game)? No disrespect to the Mariners, it's hard to root against them.
(Max L from Diego)
More than I can count. Nick Hundley and the entire rotation have to stay healthy, Chase Headley has to prove that last year's gains were legit, Cameron Maybin has to build on his breakout 2011... a lot has to go right. But yeah, the one saving grace is that there are no dominant teams in the division. As the Diamondbacks proved last year (and as the Padres did in 2010), anything can happen in the NL West. As for the Mariners, how can you not root against them? The Vedder Cup will be ours! (Geoff Young)
2011-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Did the Rangers really screw up by not trading one of Salty, Ramirez and Teagarden when their values were all high?
(rwinter from Boston)
In the sense that they didn’t trade prospects who flopped, sure. You could say that about every team and every prospect who flopped. Did the Angels err in not trading Brandon Wood when he was a top-10 prospect? In retrospect, of course, but there was no way of knowing that.

The fact that all three of those players flopped in their own ways supports the decision to keep all of them, though, instead of treating them as depth. Catchers have a brutal attrition rate. Baseball America’s top 100 in 2000 included six catchers: Eric Munson, Ben Petrick, Matt LeCroy, Jayson Werth (Orioles), Steve Lomasney, Ryan Christianson. In 2001: Joe Lawrence, Dane Sardinha, Brandon Inge, J.R. House. In 2002: Mauer, Josh Phelps, House, John Buck, Werth (Blue Jays), Victor Martinez. In 2003: Mauer, Martinez, Jeff Mathis, Justin Huber, Buck.

In 2007, when the Rangers had to make this decision, Kevin Goldstein ranked the catchers in the minors. He named 17 players. These are the 17:

Jeff Clement
Bryan Anderson
J.R. Towles
Teagarden
Hank Conger
John Jaso
Ramirez
Nick Hundley
Tony Recker
Jesus Montero
Brett Hayes
Francisco Hernandez
Lou Palmisano
Landon Powell
Shawn Riggans
Jamie Skelton
Brian Jeroloman

Out of those 17, there are basically one and a half every day catchers, maaaaaaybe another one in Hank Conger, and a DH. We thought the Rangers had three catchers, plus Gerald Laird. In fact, they had Gerald Laird.

Also:
2007 Baseball Prospectus Annual: “When Teagarden is behind the dish, he’s one of the top defensive catchers around. If he can stay there, he’s Mickey Tettleton with defensive chops.”
2008 Baseball Prospectus Annual: “If you want to get really dreamy and optimistic, think Mickey Tettleton with Gold Glove-level skills, and you get the picture.”

This is why comps are the best/worst. (Sam Miller)
2011-04-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who is serenading you while you chat with us? Also, what early season surprise do you think will last the year?
(Marc from Inside Your Internets)
Right now I'm listening to the Posies' "Solar Sister." After that, I'll either leave the musical selections up to the whims of my media player, or put on the second "Under the Covers" album from Matthew Sweet and Susannah Hoffs.

Marc is probably hoping that I'll say "Nick Hundley," but I'll stick with Britton as a surprise with staying power. I'm also on the Kyle McClellan bandwagon, and I think this could be the year that Nelson Cruz stays healthy and leads the world in homers. (Ben Lindbergh)
2010-05-11 16:30:00 (link to chat)Question about Nick Hundley. Dude posted a park-adjusted (per BP annual) .266/.333/.449 line last season while playing through and around various power-sapping injuries (wrist, hernia). Do you think he can maintain at that level over the next 3-4 seasons?
(Not Quite Todd, But... from SoCal)
Catchers age pretty rapidly. Lots of wear and tear goes into playing the position. So I don't think you can pencil him in for that level of production, especially since he might have been a little over his head last year. He's still off to a pretty decent start this year at holding up some value, but I'm just careful about assuming catchers hold value very long. (Matt Swartz)


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Advanced Catching Metrics

Year Framing Chances Extra Strikes Framing Runs Framing Runs per 7000 Blocking Chances PB/WP Saved Blocking Runs Blocking Runs per 7000 Total Receiving Runs Total Receiving Runs per 7000
2008 4424 -21 -15.6 -24.7 2528 0.3 0.1 0.3 -15.5 -24.4
2009 5996 -36 -4.4 -5.1 3393 -2.0 -0.6 -1.2 -4.9 -6.2
2010 6134 -40 -4.6 -5.2 3272 -1.6 -0.4 -0.8 -5.0 -6.1
2011 5924 -107 -14.5 -17.1 3125 2.4 0.7 1.7 -13.8 -15.5
2012 4577 -80 -8.2 -12.5 2503 4.8 1.3 3.8 -6.9 -8.8
2013 8387 -151 -19.7 -16.4 4711 7.6 1.8 2.7 -17.9 -13.7
2014 4152 7 0.5 0.8 2254 0.7 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.4
total 39594 -425 -65.6 -11.6 21786 10.9 2.9 0.9 -62.7 -10.7

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC

 

PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC