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2013 Projections (seasonal age 26) - Rest of Season Projections
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| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | TB | BB | SO | HBP | SF | SH | RBI | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | TAv | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | PIT | 22 | 108 | 493 | 433 | 74 | 124 | 26 | 9 | 12 | 204 | 54 | 83 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 54 | 22 | 5 | .286 | .365 | .471 | .287 | 29.5 | -10.8 | 1.8 |
| 2010 | PIT | 23 | 154 | 653 | 570 | 94 | 163 | 35 | 5 | 16 | 256 | 70 | 89 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 56 | 33 | 10 | .286 | .365 | .449 | .291 | 41.3 | -11.7 | 3.0 |
| 2011 | PIT | 24 | 158 | 678 | 572 | 87 | 148 | 34 | 5 | 23 | 261 | 89 | 126 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 89 | 23 | 10 | .259 | .364 | .456 | .297 | 38.1 | 9.4 | 5.1 |
| 2012 | PIT | 25 | 157 | 673 | 593 | 107 | 194 | 29 | 6 | 31 | 328 | 70 | 132 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 96 | 20 | 12 | .327 | .400 | .553 | .328 | 60.7 | -9.6 | 5.4 |
| 2013 | PIT | 26 | 43 | 182 | 164 | 31 | 45 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 75 | 16 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 9 | 1 | .274 | .341 | .457 | .302 | 12.7 | -3.1 | 1.0 |
| Career | 620 | 2679 | 2332 | 393 | 674 | 136 | 25 | 88 | 1124 | 299 | 449 | 22 | 23 | 3 | 318 | 107 | 38 | .289 | .372 | .482 | .302 | 182.3 | -25.7 | 16.4 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | PA | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | BPF | BRAA | repLVL | POS_ADJ | FRAA | BRR | BVORP | BWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | WPT | A- | 13 | 62 | .320 | .265 | .333 | .369 | .000 | .383 | 90 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 | -0.5 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | HIC | A | 114 | 503 | .274 | .255 | .328 | .377 | .000 | .339 | 103 | 5.8 | 10.8 | 1 | -1.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | ALT | AA | 20 | 87 | .269 | .252 | .322 | .380 | .000 | .382 | 109 | 1.1 | 3.0 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | ALT | AA | 118 | 498 | .246 | .268 | .340 | .407 | .000 | .296 | 104 | -7.6 | 14.1 | 1.3 | 11.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | IND | AAA | 17 | 72 | .255 | .264 | .321 | .410 | .000 | .364 | 100 | -0.4 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | IND | AAA | 135 | 590 | .277 | .269 | .333 | .419 | .000 | .326 | 97 | 11.4 | 16.2 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | PIT | MLB | 108 | 493 | .287 | .258 | .320 | .407 | .000 | .327 | 103 | 14.4 | 13.6 | 1.3 | -10.8 | 4.0 | 29.5 | 1.8 | 29.5 | 1.8 |
| 2009 | IND | AAA | 49 | 219 | .299 | .267 | .332 | .410 | .000 | .329 | 98 | 9.2 | 6.2 | 0.5 | -3.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | PIT | MLB | 154 | 653 | .291 | .255 | .316 | .399 | .000 | .311 | 102 | 20.6 | 18.3 | 1.6 | -11.7 | 4.1 | 41.3 | 3.0 | 41.3 | 3.0 |
| 2011 | PIT | MLB | 158 | 678 | .297 | .257 | .315 | .402 | .000 | .291 | 101 | 24.7 | 11.6 | 1.5 | 9.4 | -2.8 | 38.1 | 5.1 | 38.1 | 5.1 |
| 2012 | PIT | MLB | 157 | 673 | .328 | .257 | .313 | .408 | .000 | .375 | 101 | 45.3 | 11.5 | 1.6 | -9.6 | -0.7 | 60.7 | 5.4 | 60.7 | 5.4 |
| 2013 | PIT | MLB | 43 | 182 | .302 | .252 | .312 | .400 | .256 | .279 | 96 | 7.6 | 5.0 | 0.5 | -3.1 | 0.0 | 12.7 | 1.0 | 12.7 | 1.0 |
| Career | MLB | 2679 | .303 | .256 | .316 | .404 | .256 | .322 | 101 | 116 | 68.5 | 6.6 | -27.5 | 4.8 | 186.9 | 16.8 | 186.9 | 16.8 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | PA | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | ISO | TAv | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | WPT | A- | 62 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .346 | .435 | .442 | .096 | .320 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | HIC | A | 503 | 77 | 132 | 20 | 4 | 14 | 62 | 42 | 91 | 22 | 7 | .291 | .358 | .446 | .155 | .274 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | ALT | AA | 87 | 12 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 20 | 1 | 1 | .308 | .379 | .474 | .167 | .269 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | ALT | AA | 498 | 70 | 115 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 44 | 83 | 17 | 1 | .258 | .327 | .383 | .126 | .246 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | IND | AAA | 72 | 7 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 3 | .313 | .352 | .418 | .104 | .255 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | IND | AAA | 590 | 75 | 145 | 26 | 3 | 9 | 50 | 68 | 87 | 34 | 19 | .283 | .373 | .398 | .115 | .277 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | IND | AAA | 219 | 41 | 61 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 24 | 10 | 2 | .303 | .361 | .493 | .189 | .299 | 0.0 | -3.4 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | PIT | MLB | 493 | 74 | 124 | 26 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 54 | 83 | 22 | 5 | .286 | .365 | .471 | .185 | .287 | 29.5 | -10.8 | 1.8 |
| 2010 | PIT | MLB | 653 | 94 | 163 | 35 | 5 | 16 | 56 | 70 | 89 | 33 | 10 | .286 | .365 | .449 | .163 | .291 | 41.3 | -11.7 | 3.0 |
| 2011 | PIT | MLB | 678 | 87 | 148 | 34 | 5 | 23 | 89 | 89 | 126 | 23 | 10 | .259 | .364 | .456 | .198 | .297 | 38.1 | 9.4 | 5.1 |
| 2012 | PIT | MLB | 673 | 107 | 194 | 29 | 6 | 31 | 96 | 70 | 132 | 20 | 12 | .327 | .400 | .553 | .226 | .328 | 60.7 | -9.6 | 5.4 |
| 2013 | PIT | MLB | 182 | 31 | 45 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 16 | 19 | 9 | 1 | .274 | .341 | .457 | .183 | .302 | 12.7 | -3.1 | 1.0 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-05-19 | 2013-05-21 | DTD | 2 | 3 | Right | Knee | Soreness | - | - | |
| 2013-03-22 | 2013-03-24 | Camp | 2 | 0 | - | General Medical | Illness | - | - | |
| 2012-09-27 | 2012-09-27 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Left | Knee | Soreness | - | - | |
| 2012-08-28 | 2012-08-28 | DTD | 0 | 0 | - | Ankle | Sprain | Mild | - | - |
| 2012-07-01 | 2012-07-02 | DTD | 1 | 0 | Left | Wrist | Sprain | - | - | |
| 2012-05-03 | 2012-05-05 | DTD | 2 | 0 | - | General Medical | Illness | Gastrointestinal | - | - |
| 2011-09-02 | 2011-09-02 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Left | Hand | Contusion | HBP | - | - |
| 2011-04-03 | 2011-04-04 | DTD | 1 | 1 | Neck | Soreness | - | |||
| 2011-03-13 | 2011-03-14 | Camp | 1 | 0 | Left | Wrist | Soreness | - | ||
| 2010-09-17 | 2010-09-17 | DTD | 0 | 0 | General Medical | Gastrointestinal | Stomach | - | ||
| 2010-08-03 | 2010-08-03 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Neck | Contusion | HBP | - | ||
| 2010-07-29 | 2010-07-30 | DTD | 1 | 1 | Right | Shoulder | Soreness | - | ||
| 2010-07-19 | 2010-07-25 | DTD | 6 | 6 | Shoulder | Separation | AC Joint | - | ||
| 2010-06-15 | 2010-06-15 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Left | Lower Leg | Cramps | Calf | - | |
| 2010-05-03 | 2010-05-05 | DTD | 2 | 1 | Right | Ankle | Sprain | - |
Compensation
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BP Articles
Andrew McCutchen is referenced in the following articles.
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-01-26 13:00:00 | Rumors are abounding regarding a trade of Andrew McCutchen to Texas for a prospect laden package. If this happened, would Pirates fans have the right to put Neal Huntington's head on a stick? And if so, what sort of package would you imagine the Rangers sending to Pittsburgh? (jhardman from Apex, NC) | I'm not supposed to talk about the Rangers because it will cause some to go poo-poo in their di-di.
I have no idea about the package, but it would take a guy like Profar, one would assume. It would also take a bunch of other top tier prospects. (Jason Parks) |
| 2012-01-30 13:00:00 | Do you buy into Andrew McCutchen's power surge? Or is he more a 15-20 HR player moving forward? (kimi from brooklyn) | I didn't see enough of him over the previous seasons to really mark the improvement from a physical/mechanical standpoint, but he's certainly at an age where he's still rising up to his peak and could make substantial, non-illusory improvements. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2011-08-24 13:00:00 | Thanks for answering my LoMo question! To continue my (natural) obsession with the South Florida teams....I realize it's SSS but Desmond Jennings looks like he's prepared to execute a pretty nice impression of Andrew McCutchen if not Carl Crawford. Thoughts? (Rob from Alaska) | Thanks for asking your LoMo question! Lets hope he doesn't execute a nice impression of Carl Crawford v.2011 -- but I'm not convinced he's a future superstar, which is what Carl Crawford v.2010 was and Andrew McCutchen v.2012 will be. Jennings is only a few weeks younger than McCutchen, after all, and McCutchen is already a 4-5 win player. Maybe the pertinent question is, will Jennings have a better career than Bossman Junior? (Ken Funck) |
| 2011-04-13 13:00:00 | How would you rank the following players based on future value as hitters (taking into account their position): Carlos Santana, Andrew McCutchen, Mike Stanton? (Dennis from LA) | Santana, Stanton, McCutchen (Jason Parks) |
| 2011-04-12 13:00:00 | How would you rank the following players in terms of their future value as hitters: Carlos Santana, Mike Stanton, and Andrew McCutchen? (Dennis from LA) | For pure offensive value, I'll say Stanton, Santana, McCutchen. If positional adjustments come into play, Santana jumps to the front of the line. (Ben Lindbergh) |
| 2010-12-20 13:00:00 | Better fantasy season in '11: Andrew McCutchen or Colby Rasmus? I'm concerned about the Cards re-working Colby's swing so he "hits more singles." WTF? (Sanders from CT) | McCutchen in 2009: .286/.365/.471, 22 SB. McCutchen in 2010: .286/.365/.449, 33 SB. Both years are very valuable and I actually think his true level of power is in between both of those slugs. He could even step forward this year and be a 20-20 guy. With Rasmus you have a player with a higher ceiling -- I don't see McCutchen being more than a .290/.365/.465 hitter, while Rasmus could be very similar to Jim Edmonds. For next season, however, it really depends on your desire to withstand risk. McCutchen is more of a sure thing, but Rasmus has the higher ceiling. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-09-21 13:00:00 | Better keeper next year: Andrew McCutchen or Choo?
Are you anticipating any other fighting games more than Marvel vs. Capcom 3? (Guancous from Silver Spring, MD) | Depends on the price (or if there is a price at all). Going to guess McCutchen costs less in an auction format, so I would give him the nod based on that, but in a straight keeper league I like Choo a whole lot (especially if he can get out from under his military requirements!).
That's tops on my list at present, but only because Tatsunoko vs. Capcom is already out (and amazing). I bought an arcade stick for Tatsunoko vs. Capcom, which if you know anything about how I feel about fighting games, is a huge surprise. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-08-26 13:00:00 | What type of player will Andrew McCutchen become - is he more Grady Sizemore, Carl Crawford, or something else? (adfeit from NYC) | Crawford with fewer steals would be my quick comp, though I'm not sure how comfortable I am with that. I like McCutchen a whole lot though. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-06-28 14:00:00 | They shoot pirates, don't they? Anything to look forward to with the 2010 Bucs so I don't do the same? (frank from vegas) | Well, Pedro Alvarez is up, and while he's off to just a 4-for-35 start, he should be good enough to stick in the majors once he gets his bearings. Neil Walker is taking to the majors as well, and that's worth something, too. I'm less optimistic about Jose Tabata and Brad Lincoln, but they're not hopeless. Andrew McCutchen is a damn fine ballplayer and Lastings Milledge is coming around. It's going to get better. Not immediately, but they're on the right track. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2010-05-24 14:00:00 | Hey Christina ... thanks for the chat.
Are we seeing a decline in the era of star multi-dimensional CFers (decline of Beltran, concerns over Sizemore, seemingly with similar injuries?)
(dianagramr from NYC) | Hi Diane, thanks for popping by. I don't really think that's the case, but maybe it's just my lasting faith in Adam Jones and Andrew McCutchen. It might be too soon to put Desmond Jennings in the conversation, but he's worth keeping in mind as well. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2010-05-11 16:30:00 | Andrew McCutchen is quietly having a good start of the season. Is he the Pirates all star this year how much power upside you see in his bat? (Mike from Utica,NY) | Seems like McCutchen would have to be the Pirates all-star. He's by far outperforming the rest of the team. Tough to say about how much power upside he has because I'm not a scout or anything, but he's 23 so there's some time. Regardless, he's already a great player. This is the kind of guy already that begins the steps to make the Pirates relevant again. (Matt Swartz) |
| 2010-04-29 13:00:00 | Who are your favorite and least favorite current Pirates? Why? (Neal from Pitt) | Andrew McCutchen and Daniel McCutchen. I'll let you figure out why. (Shawn Hoffman) |
| 2010-03-25 14:00:00 | Joe
Although I have bought in to the Pirates rebuild approach, it is not making it any easier with their state of play to-date. Am I better off hitting the snooze button until 2011/12, or are there positives in 2010 that I need to focus on. Pls help! (Frank from Vegas) | Andrew McCutchen is an awfully watchable player. There are a lot of guys pretty much at make-or-break points in their careers...Clement, LaRoche, Cedeno, Milledge...those will be interesting to watch. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2010-03-24 11:00:00 | Long term, which player would you rather have patrolling centerfield, Andrew McCutchen or Desmond Jennings? (tommybones from brooklyn) | We're playing center field pick 'em, huh? Okay with me. I'll go McCutchen again, and again on track record. Jennings doesn't quite have the power profile that McCutchen does either. (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2010-02-11 13:00:00 | Andrew McCutchen. 2010's great CF, or 2010's greatest CF in the history of the world since Mays. Or somewhere in between? (strupp from Madison) | The greatest player to ever play for the 2009 Pirates. (Shawn Hoffman) |
| 2010-02-05 13:00:00 | When will the fans get off my back? (Bob Nutting from Pittsburgh) | When you send me an Andrew McCutchen t-shirt. I wear a medium or a small, thanks. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-01-21 13:00:00 | The rookie or 2nd year player that you'll be sure to draft in all your leagues is ______________. (Three cheers for more chat from Boo productivity at work) | Theme of the day: Andrew McCutchen! Is there anyone who covers the game nationally who likes The Cutch more than I do? I'm going to have to find a way to like him more if that's the case. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2009-11-02 15:00:00 | I have money to spend but give me 3 reasons on why I should spend money for Pirates games next season. (Pittsburgh Sports Fan from Pittsburgh) | It's a beautiful ballpark, the front office is doing things that deserve your support even if the short term will suck, and Andrew McCutchen is a legitimate building block. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-09-07 13:00:00 | What has happend to Matt Wieters, is he an Alex Gordon redux? Also out of all the rookies this year, whom do you think will have the best career? (Mike from Utica,NY) | We can answer that in a couple of ways. Is he like Alex Gordon, in that he's something less than the hype? Yes. Is he like Alex Gordon, in that it's way too soon to give up on him? Also very much yes.
As far as the rookies and the best careers, between Andrew McCutchen, Fowler, Hanson, and Beckham, that's a really hard question to answer. Hanson's the one who makes me really wonder, even with the understanding that pitchers are the least predictable commodities. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2009-08-04 14:00:00 | They still have to pick an All Star representative from the Pirates next year, right? (mhixpgh from Pittsburgh) | Oh, come now, it won't be *that* hard. Beyond the token pitcher-y possibilities, if Doumit stayed healthy, he'd be worthy of consideration. I'd also expect that Andrew McCutchen will make it to the ASG on his own merits someday. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2009-07-13 14:00:00 | Am I the best GM in baseball? (Jack Z from Seattle) | As with All-Stars, I think you need a body of work to gain this title. You are to GMs what Andrew McCutchen is to outfielders: a nice start to what should be a good career. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-06-15 13:00:00 | Do you have a good player comp for Andrew McCutchen? Maybe a Crawford/Milledge combo. (Neal from Pittsburgh) | If I showed you a career line like this, would you like it or be disappointed?
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/dt/stewash01.php (Will Carroll) |
| 2009-05-14 13:00:00 | How much longer do Buc's fans have to suffer through the wilting Moss with "The Franchise" Andrew McCutchen ready to rise? (Ethan from Berkshire County) | If McCutchen is the franchise, there's problems. He's good, yes, but if you put a slider in a police lineup, he probably couldn't recognize it. I think PECOTA has him right with Shannon Stewart. (Will Carroll) |
| 2009-05-04 14:00:00 | If Gamel gets called up by June 1ish, what type of impact do you anticipate him having? Who else left in the minors should we be excited about seeing this year (not named Price, Weiters). (corey from boston) | Tommy Hanson, Andrew McCutchen, Neftali Feliz. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-04-20 13:00:00 | How long do the Buc's keep Andrew McCutchen and Pedro Alvarez in the minors? (Ethan from Berkshire County) | McCutchen should be up by Flag Day. We won't see Alvarez until 2010. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-02-11 14:00:00 | Now that his arbitration hearing is approaching, how do you feel the Pirates have handled contract talks with McLouth? Do you expect a settlement? A long-term deal? (Breakables from Chicago) | I think the Pirates will only agree to a long-term contract with McLouth on their terms because of the presence of Andrew McCutchen in the organization. As I mentioned earlier, they just might be willing to sell high on McLouth in July if McCutcheon has a good second year at Indianapolis. (John Perrotto) |
| 2008-12-11 14:00:00 | Do you see Nate Mclouth putting up comparable numbers this year to last year? I think he is an above average player, but his value will never be higher coming off an all star and gold glove season. Would now be a good time to test the trade market for him? (Matt from Pittsburgh) | I love McLouth as a person and his attitude but I'd consider selling high on him, as well. It's pretty clear he'll have to move to a corner once Andrew McCutchen is ready to play center (sometime during the 2009 season) and McLouth's value will be lower in left or right. (John Perrotto) |
| 2008-06-20 13:30:00 | Lastings Milledge has not exactly set the world on fire. Anything to be worried about, or just typical young player's struggles? (jromero from Seattle) | I never saw the power in Milledge others did (and I can say the same about Andrew McCutchen). However, his complete inability to control the strike zone (48/20 K/BB) is that of a power hitter, so you have a mix that barely belongs on the field. I don't think he's a leadoff hitter, either; more a #2 or #5 guy with doubles, but he has to make more contact and become better about counts. This is where "makeup" becomes less an abstract word and more a concrete question: can the player change? (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2008-01-29 16:00:00 | What's your take on Colby Rasmus and when do you expect him in the majors. (Mike from St.Louis) | In our celebrity Scoresheet League we ran last season, I drafted Rasmus late in the draft, and then when I needed to trade for a thumper late in the year, I traded Andrew McCutchen for Jim Thome rather than give up Rasmus. So I think he's a stud. If Jay Bruce is Larry Walker, Rasmus is Larry Walker Lite. Just temper your expectations for 2008. (Rany Jazayerli) |
| 2008-01-23 13:00:00 | Jay Bruce and Andrew McCutchen, how close are they? (Manoog from Odessa) | We probably shouldn't be bundling those two together any more. Bruce is like the $300 hotel you stay at, and McCutchen is like the free USA Today that's waiting outside your doorstep. (Nate Silver) |
| 2008-01-09 13:00:00 | Kevin-thanks for the chat. I recall you saying that you were high on Andrew McCutchen. Can you tell me if you see him as a future 25-30 hr hitter? Does he have 30-30 in him once he reaches the majors? (raygu1 from NJ) | I see more 20/40 possibilities than 30/30. He's got juice in his bat, but not THAT much juice.
What is up with the Moneyball fanboys? I have like 12 200-word diatribe's on it in the que. Stop it. You're grasping onto old technology. (Kevin Goldstein) |
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