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2013 Projections (seasonal age 31) - Rest of Season Projections
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| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | GS | IP | IP-SP | IP-RP | W | L | SV | BS | QS | BQS | PA | H | R | ER | HR | TB | BB | UBB | HBP | SO | ERA | FIP | FRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | TBA | 24 | 21 | 21 | 124.7 | 124.7 | 0.0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 540 | 141 | 69 | 67 | 18 | 228 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 104 | 4.84 | 4.43 | 4.48 | 20.9 | 2.0 |
| 2007 | TBA | 25 | 31 | 31 | 215.0 | 215.0 | 0.0 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 874 | 202 | 98 | 92 | 28 | 337 | 36 | 36 | 10 | 184 | 3.85 | 3.93 | 4.51 | 31.2 | 3.1 |
| 2008 | TBA | 26 | 33 | 33 | 215.0 | 215.0 | 0.0 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 877 | 208 | 94 | 85 | 24 | 335 | 40 | 40 | 12 | 160 | 3.56 | 3.85 | 4.73 | 19.1 | 1.7 |
| 2009 | TBA | 27 | 33 | 33 | 219.7 | 219.7 | 0.0 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 930 | 239 | 113 | 101 | 29 | 392 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 167 | 4.14 | 4.06 | 4.43 | 27.3 | 2.8 |
| 2010 | TBA | 28 | 34 | 33 | 203.3 | 202.3 | 1.0 | 13 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 899 | 246 | 128 | 117 | 34 | 410 | 51 | 49 | 5 | 187 | 5.18 | 4.21 | 4.43 | 23.0 | 2.0 |
| 2011 | TBA | 29 | 33 | 33 | 249.3 | 249.3 | 0.0 | 16 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 975 | 195 | 83 | 78 | 26 | 314 | 65 | 64 | 5 | 225 | 2.82 | 3.45 | 3.96 | 24.9 | 2.4 |
| 2012 | TBA | 30 | 33 | 33 | 227.7 | 227.7 | 0.0 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 944 | 208 | 103 | 89 | 25 | 333 | 58 | 56 | 11 | 223 | 3.52 | 3.42 | 4.43 | 12.0 | 1.0 |
| 2013 | KCA | 31 | 10 | 10 | 73.0 | 73.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 281 | 55 | 21 | 20 | 7 | 84 | 15 | 15 | 2 | 69 | 2.47 | 3.20 | 3.92 | 10.0 | 0.9 |
| Career | 228 | 227 | 1527.7 | 1526.7 | 1.0 | 89 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 15 | 6320 | 1494 | 709 | 649 | 191 | 2433 | 355 | 344 | 51 | 1319 | 3.82 | 3.83 | 4.39 | 168.5 | 15.9 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | FRA | FRA+ | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | PPF | PVORP | PWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | CSC | A | 10 | 10 | 71.3 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | -.727 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2001 | HUD | A- | 5 | 5 | 27.3 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | -.839 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2003 | BAK | A+ | 26 | 24 | 143.7 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .320 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2004 | BAK | A+ | 20 | 20 | 117.0 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .307 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2004 | MNT | AA | 4 | 4 | 18.3 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .345 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2005 | MNT | AA | 17 | 16 | 109.3 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | -.605 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2005 | DUR | AAA | 1 | 1 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | -1.000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2005 | phx | Wnt | 6 | 6 | 31.0 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | -.588 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2006 | TBA | MLB | 21 | 21 | 124.7 | 4.48 | 109 | .272 | .285 | .351 | .453 | .275 | .328 | 100 | 19.4 | 1.9 | 20.9 | 2.0 |
| 2006 | DUR | AAA | 10 | 10 | 61.1 | 2.99 | 135 | .216 | .268 | .335 | .401 | .259 | .343 | 103 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | TBA | MLB | 31 | 31 | 215.0 | 4.51 | 111 | .232 | .279 | .349 | .442 | .272 | .282 | 104 | 32.1 | 3.2 | 31.2 | 3.1 |
| 2008 | TBA | MLB | 33 | 33 | 215.0 | 4.73 | 100 | .245 | .276 | .344 | .435 | .273 | .287 | 100 | 16.8 | 1.7 | 19.1 | 1.7 |
| 2009 | TBA | MLB | 33 | 33 | 219.7 | 4.43 | 107 | .261 | .274 | .342 | .442 | .273 | .308 | 99 | 26.7 | 2.7 | 27.3 | 2.8 |
| 2010 | TBA | MLB | 34 | 33 | 203.3 | 4.43 | 99 | .293 | .268 | .337 | .423 | .272 | .341 | 98 | 23.9 | 2.5 | 23.0 | 2.0 |
| 2011 | TBA | MLB | 33 | 33 | 249.3 | 3.96 | 105 | .232 | .269 | .335 | .431 | .274 | .258 | 94 | 25.3 | 2.7 | 24.9 | 2.4 |
| 2012 | TBA | MLB | 33 | 33 | 227.7 | 4.43 | 93 | .253 | .266 | .330 | .435 | .273 | .292 | 94 | 11.9 | 1.3 | 12.0 | 1.0 |
| 2013 | KCA | MLB | 10 | 10 | 73.0 | 3.92 | 115 | .211 | .260 | .325 | .419 | .268 | .255 | 102 | 10.0 | 1.1 | 10.0 | 0.9 |
| Career | MLB | 227 | 1527.7 | 4.38 | 105 | .253 | .273 | .340 | .436 | .273 | .296 | 84 | 154.3 | 15.7 | 156.5 | 14.9 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | GB% | BABIP | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | WHIP | ERA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | CSC | A | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 71.3 | 63 | 10 | 60 | 7 | 0% | -.727 | 8.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7.6 | 1.02 | 2.65 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2001 | HUD | A- | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 27.3 | 27 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 0% | -.839 | 8.9 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 8.2 | 1.17 | 2.31 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2003 | BAK | A+ | 10 | 10 | 1 | 26 | 24 | 143.7 | 161 | 38 | 119 | 19 | 0% | .320 | 10.1 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 7.5 | 1.38 | 4.45 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2004 | MNT | AA | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 18.3 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 0% | .345 | 11.8 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 6.9 | 1.75 | 7.87 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2004 | BAK | A+ | 8 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 117.0 | 120 | 33 | 92 | 13 | 0% | .307 | 9.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 1.31 | 4.23 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | DUR | AAA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6.0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0% | -1.000 | 13.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | MNT | AA | 7 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 16 | 109.3 | 95 | 31 | 104 | 6 | 0% | -.605 | 7.8 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 8.6 | 1.15 | 2.80 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | phx | Wnt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 31.0 | 23 | 2 | 29 | 3 | 0% | -.588 | 6.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 8.4 | 0.81 | 1.74 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | DUR | AAA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 61.1 | 60 | 6 | 64 | 3 | 53% | .343 | 8.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 9.4 | 1.08 | 2.65 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | TBA | MLB | 6 | 8 | 0 | 21 | 21 | 124.7 | 141 | 38 | 104 | 18 | 44% | .328 | 10.2 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 7.5 | 1.44 | 4.84 | 20.9 | 2.0 |
| 2007 | TBA | MLB | 12 | 8 | 0 | 31 | 31 | 215.0 | 202 | 36 | 184 | 28 | 45% | .282 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 7.7 | 1.11 | 3.85 | 31.2 | 3.1 |
| 2008 | TBA | MLB | 14 | 8 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 215.0 | 208 | 40 | 160 | 24 | 47% | .287 | 8.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 1.15 | 3.56 | 19.1 | 1.7 |
| 2009 | TBA | MLB | 11 | 12 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 219.7 | 239 | 52 | 167 | 29 | 43% | .308 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6.8 | 1.32 | 4.14 | 27.3 | 2.8 |
| 2010 | TBA | MLB | 13 | 15 | 0 | 34 | 33 | 203.3 | 246 | 51 | 187 | 34 | 42% | .341 | 10.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 8.3 | 1.46 | 5.18 | 23.0 | 2.0 |
| 2011 | TBA | MLB | 16 | 12 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 249.3 | 195 | 65 | 225 | 26 | 47% | .258 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 8.1 | 1.04 | 2.82 | 24.9 | 2.4 |
| 2012 | TBA | MLB | 15 | 10 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 227.7 | 208 | 58 | 223 | 25 | 53% | .292 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 8.8 | 1.17 | 3.52 | 12.0 | 1.0 |
| 2013 | KCA | MLB | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 73.0 | 55 | 15 | 69 | 7 | 46% | .255 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 8.5 | 0.96 | 2.47 | 10.0 | 0.9 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007-08-19 | 2007-08-19 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Right | Lower Leg | Contusion | Batted Ball | - | |
| 2007-08-13 | 2007-08-13 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Trunk | Contusion | Batted Ball | - | ||
| 2006-09-15 | 2006-09-22 | DTD | 7 | 6 | Right | Thigh | Cramps | Hamstring | - | |
| 2002-04-05 | 2002-09-05 | Minors | 153 | 0 | Right | Shoulder | Surgery | - | - |
Compensation
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BP Articles
James Shields is referenced in the following articles.
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-02-02 15:00:00 | For Fantasy baseball 5x5 Roto: I have had a horrible time with WHIP/ERA. I am thinking I would rank starters this year by 3 year average 150+ K's and eliminate ERA's above 4. Is this a good plan? (karysingh from Key Largo) | When it comes to SP's I'm always more concerned about protecting ERA/WHIP than anything else, but having a great bullpen helps offset that somewhat. But, don't eliminate pitchers at any ERA level without looking at the underlying indicators, because as discussed earlier WRT Morrow and Nolasco, a high ERA can sometimes mask better skills than the raw numbers would indicate. Don't forget James Shields and Trevor Cahill in 2010... (Cory Schwartz) |
| 2012-01-24 13:00:00 | SP keepers! The stats are the usual stats (ERA, K, WHIP, wins, etc.) The guys are: James Shields, Josh Beckett, CJ Wilson, Ervin Santana. Do I have them in the right order? (Might keep 2, but probably only 1 while hoarding young 2Bs like Jemile Weeks & Dustin Ackley.) Thanks! (David R. from Somewhere, USA) | Yes, you do have them in the right order, though I think there's a drop-off from Beckett to Wilson and that Beckett is a bit underrated this year. (Derek Carty) |
| 2011-10-31 13:00:00 | Just to clarify, my "Maloney - is that big?" comment was meant in jest. As a Reds fan, I like Maloney and his chances to stick at the back of the rotation in a park that doesn't punish fly balls. But to the follow-up comment, do you see the Reds acquiring a true front of the rotation type this offseason? James Shields seems the most likely candidate. (RMR from Chicago) | I knew it was ironic. So was the first part of my reply--couldn't you see me wiggling my eyebrows? I like Maloney's command, if nothing else... I would hate to see the Rays part with Shields over arbitration, just because it would tear the heart out of that franchise, to the extent it has a heart. I also wonder about the workload on Shields the last couple of years. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2011-08-16 17:00:00 | If there was such a thing as a Movie Fantasy League, do you believe there is any upside left in Olvia Wilde?
Tron, Cowboy & Aliens, and The Change Up all under-performed despite all the press about how pretty Olivia Wilde is. (Bill from Boston) | Olivia Wilde is like James Shields today, beautiful but gets no support from her teammates. Stick with her, she'll bust out. (Jason Collette) |
| 2011-07-21 16:00:00 | James Shields for Mesoraco/Alonso. Make sense for both sides? (Todd from Austin) | It fits the Rays' needs quite well. Throw in Heisey and I would sign off on it. (Jason Collette) |
| 2010-12-20 13:00:00 | James Shields greatly upped his K rate last year but gave up a boatload of HRs. Can he get his ERA down around 4.00 or less? (dantroy from Davis) | Oh yeah. Big Game is a good pitcher. He struggled with some control last year and left way too many phat pitches over the plate, but his true talent is definitely better than a 4.80+ ERA. I don't know if he is a concrete #1 pitcher, but I see no reason why he can't cut back on dingers even if it comes at the expense of punchouts. I think a 4.00 ERA is pretty realistic. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-10-01 13:00:00 | How feasible would a James Shields for Lucas Duda and Kirk Nuewenhuis trade be for the Mets and Rays? With Johan out, the Mets could use a guy like Shields and there's plenty of reason to believe Duda can be most of what Carlos Pena is/was. (Matt from Whippleville, NY) | I have no idea. (Colin Wyers) |
| 2010-06-18 14:00:00 | Exactly what do you think of James Shields and Wade Davis? Both started off well enough, the past month has been rough. (OTSgamer from Dallas, TX) | Was never really high on Davis but I still think Shields is one of the most valuable SPs in the game, especially with that contract. I don't see him as a true #1 pitcher in the traditional sense of like a 2.80 ERA or anything, but as more of a 3.50-3.70 guy with 220 IP and a good K/BB ratio. Let's give Davis some more time though. It's really tough to gauge a player after only a month or two. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-03-30 13:00:00 | Rays best starter in 2011 is named... (Pat from Jersey) | James Shields, until further notice. (Shawn Hoffman) |
| 2010-02-05 13:00:00 | Marc, what do you expect from James Shields this year? A return to his 2008 form or numbers more like he put up in 2009? (Matt from DC) | There wasn't that much of a difference between the two seasons--his ERA was a bit lucky in 2008, and unlucky in 2009. Something in between wouldn't surprise me in 2010. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-02-05 13:00:00 | Given your fandom, do you find you end up with more or less Red Sox on your fantasy teams each year? (Hammer from Pumps & A Bump) | I don't think I draft very many Red Sox players at all. Padres, either. I feel like I'm double-rooting for them, and that's just too much pressure.
I find it easier to root for James Shields to throw eight scoreless against Boston and have Tampa Bay's bullpen blow it in the ninth than it is to count on Dustin Pedroia to win it for two teams. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2008-08-27 13:00:00 | James Shields recently said he was a little tired. In his last 4 starts his era is 4.4. Should the Rays be worried about their pitchers "hitting the wall" down the stretch? (Tommy from OPS,FL) | Concerned? Yes. Worried? No. I had this thought yesterday about how to bring David Price up. Why not give him one start as a bit of a chest-thumper and to quietly and easily buy everyone in the rotation an extra day's rest? Maybe we can bring this up on Friday. (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-07-21 15:00:00 | Do you like James Shields mechanics? (Jonny from Tampa, FL) | Yes. See you next month, Jonny! (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-05-20 13:00:00 | Now that the Rays train has slowed down a bit and there's some "regressioning to the mean," do you think that the Rays have some staying power in their climb towards .500-dom and beyond? (jlarsen from DRays Bay) | At 45 games into the year, it's still early. To some extent I think we have to take the Rays seriously, though the players who should be driving the offense really haven't produced much thus far (Pena, Crawford and Longoria are all below .265 EqAs). The pitching is showing some real improvement; high walk rate and all, Edwin Jackson is putting it together and has been very tough to hit, James Shields has been nasty, and both Scott Kazmir and Matt Garza are coming around. They can thank a much improved defense; the team is 2nd int he league in Defensive Efficiency at .716. I'm a bit skeptical it can stay that high, but it's nowhere near the nightmare that it was last year. So I expect them to stick around at .500 or above. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2008-04-29 14:00:00 | Troy Tulowitzki. Is he going to turn it around? If I can get him for James Shields, should I? My current SS is Khalil Greene and it's a 16 team league. (ted from cannot reveal my location) | No! James Shields is the man. Seriously. Isn't Ryan Theriot available? That's who I picked up to stop the Khalil pain. I like Tulo plenty, but he didn't hit on the road last year, and if he doesn't this year then you have someone useful for 81 games, some of which he's already tanked in. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2008-04-29 14:00:00 | Follow up on James Shields: I also drafted Kazmir, and I picked up Garza after he was dropped around the time he went on the DL. Should I pick up Sonnanstine? To rephrase the question --- could I have a winning team with 4/5 of the Rays' rotation? (ted from still in the bunker) | Three is my limit, especially if it's head-to-head, where an extended slump can force you to lose consecutive weeks. You already have the three best ones. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2008-02-06 14:00:00 | What did you think of the Rays signing Shields to a long term deal this early in his major league life? (Jules from TheStatpack) | What's not to like? Four years of James Shields for the price of one year of Carlos Silva?
In this market, even if Shields is hit by a bus, run over by a train, becomes a contestant on "I Love New York", and finishes the day in a car accident with Julio Machado, it's still better than going all Russ Ortiz on Silva. (Gary Huckabay) |
| 2008-02-04 13:00:00 | Thanks for your great work. Your interview with Brian Bannister was one of the best things I read all year last year. Just wanted to ask you your opinion on two players: James Shields and Nick Swisher. What do you see in their futures and who do you think is the more valuable player? (Dennis from LA) | Thanks, Dennis. Bannister makes any interviewer look good.
I recently had someone opine to me concern about Shields' mechanics, specifically that they haven't been consistent over the course of his career. Granted, that's not my opinion -- I'm only passing along what I heard -- but if true it poses a question. Swisher can hit. Given a choice of the two, I'd take Swisher. (David Laurila) |
| 2008-01-22 19:00:00 | When did Jamie Shields become James Shields? Do you think that he's going to be known as Jim or Jimmy Shields anytime soon? (jlarsen from Chicagoland, IL) | I think he should use a different variant of James every season for the rest of his career:
2007: Jamie 2008: James 2009: Jimi 2010: Jaime 2011: Shamus 2012: Jimbo 2013: Xaume 2014: Hemi (That's Maori) 2015: Jim 2016: Jimmie (Jim Baker) |
BP Roundtables
| Date | Roundtable Name | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-10-06 10:00:00 | 2010 Playoffs Day One | Can anyone tell me where James Shields got his nickname "Big Game"? He got it before the Rays were good, when no game was big. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-10-06 10:00:00 | 2010 Playoffs Day One | James Shields is Big Game James, doncha know. But, to his credit, he is a very good interview. (John Perrotto) |
| 2010-10-06 10:00:00 | 2010 Playoffs Day One | My thinking is that it's better to have James Shields in Tampa Bay than in Arlington, given the issues he has had with the long ball. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2008-10-10 13:30:00 | Friday LCS | James Shields is a guy who if they showed a mirror image of, as a lefty, he'd make more sense. (Wow, tortured sentence ...) I was looking for a comparable and thought Mike Mussina, but Mussina had a sick run from 23-26. Anyone? (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-10-02 11:00:00 | Thursday Playoff Games | I kind of like the White Sox today, largely because I think Javier Vazquez is pretty underrated, and James Shields can give up the homers that drive the Sox offense. Charlie Manuel is really growing on me. It's like listening to Bobby Bowden. (Joe Sheehan) |
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