Biographical

Portrait of Derek Lowe

Derek Lowe PRangers

Rangers Player Cards | Rangers Team Audit | Rangers Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 41)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
33.3 5.22 1.59 18 2 2 0 -0.2
Birth Date6-1-1973
Height6' 6"
Weight230 lbs
Age41 years, 4 months, 20 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
0.42010
1.72011
0.52012
-0.52013
-0.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
1997 BOS 24 8 0 16.0 0.0 16.0 0 2 0 2 0 0 64 15 6 6 0 17 3 2 2 13 3.38 2.46 3.61 2.9 0.3
1997 SEA 24 12 9 53.0 43.3 9.7 2 4 0 0 2 1 234 59 43 41 11 106 20 18 2 39 6.96 5.62 6.38 0.0 -0.0
1998 BOS 25 63 10 123.0 48.0 75.0 3 9 4 6 4 0 527 126 65 55 5 166 42 37 4 77 4.02 3.62 3.85 28.9 2.9
1999 BOS 26 74 0 109.3 0.0 109.3 6 3 15 6 0 0 436 84 35 32 7 126 25 24 4 80 2.63 3.37 4.70 11.6 1.1
2000 BOS 27 74 0 91.3 0.0 91.3 4 4 42 5 0 0 379 90 27 26 6 133 22 17 2 79 2.56 3.14 3.96 16.2 1.5
2001 BOS 28 67 3 91.7 16.0 75.7 5 10 24 6 1 0 404 103 39 36 7 142 29 20 5 82 3.53 3.41 4.12 14.9 1.6
2002 BOS 29 32 32 219.7 219.7 0.0 21 8 0 0 24 2 854 166 65 63 12 238 48 48 12 127 2.58 3.43 4.98 14.2 1.2
2003 BOS 30 33 33 203.3 203.3 0.0 17 7 0 0 17 3 886 216 113 101 17 316 72 68 11 110 4.47 4.32 6.13 0.0 0.3
2004 BOS 31 33 33 182.7 182.7 0.0 14 12 0 0 12 2 839 224 138 110 15 318 71 69 8 105 5.42 4.37 6.29 5.9 0.8
2005 LAN 32 35 35 222.0 222.0 0.0 12 15 0 0 23 1 934 223 113 89 28 350 55 54 5 146 3.61 4.13 5.39 -0.8 0.4
2006 LAN 33 35 34 218.0 215.0 3.0 16 8 0 0 20 1 913 221 97 88 14 304 55 53 5 123 3.63 3.64 5.36 5.6 1.0
2007 LAN 34 33 32 199.3 198.3 1.0 12 14 0 0 19 3 831 194 100 86 20 293 59 57 1 147 3.88 3.91 5.57 3.5 0.0
2008 LAN 35 34 34 211.0 211.0 0.0 14 11 0 0 20 1 851 194 84 76 14 278 45 38 1 147 3.24 3.23 4.68 12.8 1.6
2009 ATL 36 34 34 194.7 194.7 0.0 15 10 0 0 21 0 855 232 109 101 16 342 63 56 4 111 4.67 4.02 5.22 4.9 0.2
2010 ATL 37 33 33 193.7 193.7 0.0 16 12 0 0 15 0 824 204 88 86 18 297 61 51 4 136 4.00 3.92 5.01 4.4 0.4
2011 ATL 38 34 34 187.0 187.0 0.0 9 17 0 0 14 1 830 212 110 105 14 302 70 66 3 137 5.05 3.67 4.25 15.5 1.7
2012 CLE 39 21 21 119.0 119.0 0.0 8 10 0 0 13 0 542 156 79 73 8 214 45 42 3 41 5.52 4.44 5.05 5.0 0.2
2012 NYA 39 17 0 23.7 0.0 23.7 1 1 1 0 0 0 98 24 9 8 2 34 6 4 0 14 3.04 3.72 4.31 2.4 0.3
2013 TEX 40 9 0 13.0 0.0 13.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 57 16 13 13 3 28 3 3 2 8 9.00 6.00 9.36 -5.1 -0.5
Career6813772671.32253.7417.71761578625205151135827591333119521740047947277817224.033.855.11143.015.0

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
1992 BLN A- 14 13 85.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1993 RIV A+ 27 26 154.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1994 JAX AA 26 26 151.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1995 PCY AA 10 10 53.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1996 PCY AA 10 10 65.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1996 TAC AAA 17 16 105.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 BOS MLB 8 0 16.0 3.61 126 .210 .272 .340 .421 .267 .326 99 3.2 0.3 2.9 0.3
1997 SEA MLB 12 9 53.0 6.38 73 .282 .266 .338 .414 .259 .296 101 0.3 0.0 0.0 -0.0
1997 PAW AAA 6 5 30.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .235 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 TAC AAA 10 9 57.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .298 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 BOS MLB 63 10 123.0 3.85 125 .239 .268 .334 .424 .264 .303 101 28.0 2.7 28.9 2.9
1999 BOS MLB 74 0 109.3 4.70 109 .203 .275 .346 .443 .265 .241 97 11.6 1.1 11.6 1.1
2000 BOS MLB 74 0 91.3 3.96 119 .224 .277 .349 .445 .266 .311 92 15.8 1.5 16.2 1.5
2001 BOS MLB 67 3 91.7 4.12 113 .257 .264 .329 .414 .259 .342 96 14.0 1.4 14.9 1.6
2002 BOS MLB 32 32 219.7 4.98 95 .199 .263 .331 .423 .264 .235 98 13.2 1.3 14.2 1.2
2003 BOS MLB 33 33 203.3 6.13 82 .251 .270 .336 .433 .267 .294 105 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.3
2004 BOS MLB 33 33 182.7 6.29 87 .268 .271 .338 .437 .262 .327 110 6.5 0.6 5.9 0.8
2005 LAN MLB 35 35 222.0 5.39 77 .256 .259 .322 .406 .255 .279 96 -4.3 -0.4 -0.8 0.4
2006 LAN MLB 35 34 218.0 5.36 86 .234 .264 .326 .424 .260 .289 97 4.3 0.4 5.6 1.0
2007 LAN MLB 33 32 199.3 5.57 84 .241 .262 .328 .419 .257 .288 100 3.2 0.3 3.5 0.0
2008 LAN MLB 34 34 211.0 4.68 92 .226 .261 .326 .417 .260 .280 93 9.7 1.0 12.8 1.6
2009 ATL MLB 34 34 194.7 5.22 80 .274 .260 .327 .414 .261 .327 96 -0.6 -0.1 4.9 0.2
2010 ATL MLB 33 33 193.7 5.01 79 .264 .251 .315 .396 .261 .307 94 0.5 0.1 4.4 0.4
2011 ATL MLB 34 34 187.0 4.25 93 .277 .249 .312 .385 .258 .327 96 10.9 1.2 15.5 1.7
2012 CLE MLB 21 21 119.0 5.05 87 .292 .257 .318 .408 .260 .333 101 4.1 0.4 5.0 0.2
2012 NYA MLB 17 0 23.7 4.31 108 .227 .248 .309 .408 .255 .289 106 2.4 0.3 2.4 0.3
2013 TEX MLB 9 0 13.0 9.36 -11 .305 .243 .304 .386 .256 .317 103 -5.1 -0.5 -5.1 -0.5

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
1992 BLN A- 7 3 0 14 13 85.7 69 22 66 2 0% .000 7.2 2.3 0.2 6.9 1.06 2.42 0.0 0.0
1993 RIV A+ 12 9 0 27 26 154.0 189 60 80 9 0% .000 11.0 3.5 0.5 4.7 1.62 5.26 0.0 0.0
1994 JAX AA 7 10 0 26 26 151.3 177 50 75 7 0% .000 10.5 3.0 0.4 4.5 1.50 4.94 0.0 0.0
1995 PCY AA 1 6 0 10 10 53.3 70 22 30 8 0% .000 11.8 3.7 1.4 5.1 1.73 6.08 0.0 0.0
1996 TAC AAA 6 9 0 17 16 105.0 118 37 54 7 0% .000 10.1 3.2 0.6 4.6 1.48 4.54 0.0 0.0
1996 PCY AA 5 3 0 10 10 65.0 56 17 33 7 0% .000 7.8 2.4 1.0 4.6 1.12 3.05 0.0 0.0
1997 BOS MLB 0 2 0 8 0 16.0 15 3 13 0 67% .326 8.4 1.7 0.0 7.3 1.12 3.38 2.9 0.3
1997 SEA MLB 2 4 0 12 9 53.0 59 20 39 11 47% .296 10.0 3.4 1.9 6.6 1.49 6.96 0.0 -0.0
1997 PAW AAA 4 0 0 6 5 30.3 23 11 21 3 0% .235 6.8 3.3 0.9 6.2 1.12 2.38 0.0 0.0
1997 TAC AAA 3 4 0 10 9 57.3 53 20 49 3 0% .298 8.3 3.1 0.5 7.7 1.27 3.46 0.0 0.0
1998 BOS MLB 3 9 4 63 10 123.0 126 42 77 5 65% .303 9.2 3.1 0.4 5.6 1.37 4.02 28.9 2.9
1999 BOS MLB 6 3 15 74 0 109.3 84 25 80 7 64% .241 6.9 2.1 0.6 6.6 1.00 2.63 11.6 1.1
2000 BOS MLB 4 4 42 74 0 91.3 90 22 79 6 70% .311 8.9 2.2 0.6 7.8 1.23 2.56 16.2 1.5
2001 BOS MLB 5 10 24 67 3 91.7 103 29 82 7 73% .342 10.1 2.8 0.7 8.1 1.44 3.53 14.9 1.6
2002 BOS MLB 21 8 0 32 32 219.7 166 48 127 12 75% .235 6.8 2.0 0.5 5.2 0.97 2.58 14.2 1.2
2003 BOS MLB 17 7 0 33 33 203.3 216 72 110 17 68% .294 9.6 3.2 0.8 4.9 1.42 4.47 0.0 0.3
2004 BOS MLB 14 12 0 33 33 182.7 224 71 105 15 63% .327 11.0 3.5 0.7 5.2 1.61 5.42 5.9 0.8
2005 LAN MLB 12 15 0 35 35 222.0 223 55 146 28 64% .279 9.0 2.2 1.1 5.9 1.25 3.61 -0.8 0.4
2006 LAN MLB 16 8 0 35 34 218.0 221 55 123 14 68% .289 9.1 2.3 0.6 5.1 1.27 3.63 5.6 1.0
2007 LAN MLB 12 14 0 33 32 199.3 194 59 147 20 66% .288 8.8 2.7 0.9 6.6 1.27 3.88 3.5 0.0
2008 LAN MLB 14 11 0 34 34 211.0 194 45 147 14 61% .280 8.3 1.9 0.6 6.3 1.13 3.24 12.8 1.6
2009 ATL MLB 15 10 0 34 34 194.7 232 63 111 16 57% .327 10.7 2.9 0.7 5.1 1.52 4.67 4.9 0.2
2010 ATL MLB 16 12 0 33 33 193.7 204 61 136 18 59% .307 9.5 2.8 0.8 6.3 1.37 4.00 4.4 0.4
2011 ATL MLB 9 17 0 34 34 187.0 212 70 137 14 60% .327 10.2 3.4 0.7 6.6 1.51 5.05 15.5 1.7
2012 CLE MLB 8 10 0 21 21 119.0 156 45 41 8 60% .333 11.8 3.4 0.6 3.1 1.69 5.52 5.0 0.2
2012 NYA MLB 1 1 1 17 0 23.7 24 6 14 2 55% .289 9.1 2.3 0.8 5.3 1.27 3.04 2.4 0.3
2013 TEX MLB 1 0 0 9 0 13.0 16 3 8 3 59% .317 11.1 2.1 2.1 5.5 1.46 9.00 -5.1 -0.5

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 2966 0.4305 0.4300 0.7928 0.6014 0.2996 0.8932 0.6403 0.2049
2009 3192 0.4364 0.4296 0.8584 0.6145 0.2857 0.9241 0.7490 0.1380
2010 2913 0.3835 0.4436 0.7967 0.6231 0.3302 0.8865 0.6914 0.1994
2011 3207 0.3944 0.4161 0.7939 0.5731 0.3136 0.9090 0.6568 0.1994
2012 2320 0.4642 0.4401 0.8550 0.6202 0.2840 0.9341 0.7054 0.1420
2013 199 0.4573 0.4472 0.8427 0.6484 0.2778 0.8983 0.7333 0.1573
Career147970.42030.43140.81840.60590.30290.90850.68880.1777

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2012-03-29 2012-03-29 Camp 0 0 Right Trunk Soreness Side - -
2011-05-06 2011-05-06 DTD 0 0 Foot Blister -
2010-08-30 2010-09-08 DTD 9 9 Right Elbow Bone Chips -
2010-03-10 2010-03-10 Camp 0 0 Right Blister Big Toe -
2009-09-22 2009-09-22 DTD 0 0 Right Thumb Laceration Thumb -
2009-09-16 2009-09-16 DTD 0 0 Right Fingers Blister Ring Finger -
2009-08-18 2009-08-18 DTD 0 0 Left Hand Contusion Batted Ball -
2008-09-10 2008-09-10 DTD 0 0 Right Knee Contusion Batted Ball -
2008-04-23 2008-04-23 DTD 0 0 Right Elbow Tightness -
2007-09-07 2007-09-15 DTD 8 7 Right Hand Contusion -
2007-08-09 2007-08-11 DTD 2 2 Left Hip Inflammation -
2007-07-26 2007-08-04 DTD 9 7 Left Hip Inflammation -
2006-08-27 2006-08-29 DTD 2 2 Left Hand Contusion Batted Ball -
2006-04-06 2006-04-06 DTD 0 0 General Medical Psychosocial Attention Deficit Disorder -
2005-07-25 2005-07-25 DTD 0 0 Right Thumb Blister Thumb -
2005-04-10 2005-04-10 DTD 0 0 Right Forearm Contusion Batted Ball -
2004-08-11 2004-08-11 DTD 0 0 Right Thumb Blister Thumb -
2004-07-20 2004-07-20 DTD 0 0 Right Thumb Blister Thumb -
2004-05-31 2004-05-31 DTD 0 0 Right Thumb Blister Thumb -
2003-08-19 2003-08-19 DTD 0 0 Right Thumb Blister Thumb -
2003-06-08 2003-06-08 DTD 0 0 Right Thumb Blister Thumb -
2003-03-16 2003-03-16 Camp 0 0 Hip Contusion Buttocks From Batted Ball -
2003-02-16 2003-02-16 Off 0 0 Face Surgery Removal of Cancerous Tissue 2003-02-18

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2013 TEX $1,250,000
2012 CLE $5,000,000
2012 ATL $10,000,000
2011 ATL $15,000,000
2010 ATL $15,000,000
2009 ATL $15,000,000
2008 LAN $10,000,000
2007 LAN $9,500,000
2006 LAN $9,000,000
2005 LAN $7,500,000
2004 BOS $5,000,000
2003 BOS $3,500,000
2002 BOS $3,000,000
2001 BOS $2,125,000
2000 BOS $625,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
14 yrPrevious$111,500,000
14 yrTotal$111,500,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
15 y 154 dScott Boras1 year/$1.25M (2013)

Details
  • 1 year/$1.25M (2013). Signed by Texas as a free agent 3/5/13 (minor-league contract). Salary of $1.25M in majors. May earn additional $1.7M in performance bonuses. Contract purchased by Texas 3/13. DFA by Texas 5/20/13.
  • 4 years/$60M (2009-12). Signed by Atlanta as a free agent 1/15/09. 09-12: $15M/year. Contract does not include no-trade protection. Acquired by Cleveland in trade from Atlanta 10/31/11, with Indians paying $5M of Lowe's 2012 salary. DFA by Cleveland 8/2/12. Released 8/10/12. Signed by NY Yankees as a free agent 8/13/12.
  • 4 years/$36M (2005-08). Signed by LA Dodgers as a free agent 1/05. 05:$7.5M, 06:$9M, 07:$9.5M, 08:$10M.
  • 4 years/$12M (2000-03), plus 2004 club option. $0.5M signing bonus. 00:$0.5M, 01:$2M, 02:$3M, 03:$3.5M, 04:$5M club option, $0.5M buyout. Award bonuses. Boston exercised 2004 option 11/03.
  • 1 year/$0.245M (1999).
  • Acquired by Boston in trade from Seattle 7/31/97.
  • Drafted by Seattle 1991 (8-215) (Edsel Ford HS, Dearborn, Mich.).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 3.1 2.6 0 9 9 48.1 48 15 26 4 .282 1.31 4.03 4.38 4.5 0.5
80o 2.7 2.5 0 8 8 42.9 46 14 23 4 .296 1.40 4.42 4.81 1.9 0.2
70o 2.4 2.4 0 7 7 39.2 44 13 21 4 .306 1.47 4.71 5.12 0.4 0.0
60o 2.1 2.3 0 6 6 36.1 42 13 20 4 .314 1.53 4.96 5.39 -0.7 -0.1
50o 1.9 2.2 0 6 6 33.3 41 12 18 3 .322 1.58 5.20 5.65 -1.5 -0.2
40o 1.7 2.1 0 5 5 30.6 39 12 17 3 .330 1.64 5.44 5.91 -2.2 -0.2
30o 1.5 2 0 5 5 27.8 36 11 15 3 .338 1.71 5.70 6.2 -2.7 -0.3
20o 1.3 1.8 0 4 4 24.5 34 10 13 3 .348 1.78 6.02 6.54 -3.2 -0.3
10o 1 1.6 0 4 4 20.1 29 9 11 2 .362 1.90 6.46 7.02 -3.5 -0.4
Weighted Mean1.92.206632.84012183.3201.575.175.62-1.4-0.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
7% 43% 12% 7% 69%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2015426120242414420065641659.3431.846.436.9912.54.14.01.0-2.5
2016435100212112616849601659.3341.736.236.7712.03.54.31.1-2.0
2017446100212112516651611559.3341.736.066.5911.93.74.41.1-1.8
201845590202011715648561459.3361.746.056.5712.03.74.31.1-1.6
20194648016169312940421359.3381.826.517.0712.53.94.11.3-1.7
20204746014148211033351259.3291.746.216.7512.03.63.81.3-1.3
202148360121268942829959.3381.806.547.1112.53.73.91.2-1.3
202249250101062872627959.3421.836.737.3112.73.83.91.3-1.2
2023502408850702120759.3391.836.707.2912.73.83.61.3-1.0

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
10.1101.52.27.5out of baseball31.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 69)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Jamie Moyer 2004 5.66
2 91 Jack Morris 1996 0.00 DNP
3 90 Rick Reuschel 1990 4.14
4 88 Warren Spahn 1962 3.24 DNP
5 88 Dennis Martinez 1995 3.37
6 87 Tom Seaver 1986 4.19
7 85 Orel Hershiser 2000 12.77
8 84 Tommy John 1984 4.86
9 84 Joe Niekro 1986 6.02
10 84 Tim Wakefield 2008 4.43
11 82 Woody Williams 2008 0.00 DNP
12 82 Tom Glavine 2007 4.58
13 82 Phil Niekro 1980 3.89
14 81 Greg Maddux 2007 4.14
15 81 Jose Contreras 2013 9.00
16 81 Al Leiter 2007 0.00 DNP
17 80 Virgil Trucks 1958 4.52
18 80 Charlie Hough 1989 4.80
19 80 Miguel Batista 2012 5.13
20 78 Andy Pettitte 2013 4.13
21 77 Sal Maglie 1958 5.07
22 77 Early Wynn 1961 3.51
23 76 Don Sutton 1986 4.04
24 76 Chuck Finley 2004 0.00 DNP
25 76 David Wells 2004 3.91
26 75 Mike Mussina 2010 0.00 DNP
27 75 Murry Dickson 1958 4.49
28 75 Hoyt Wilhelm 1964 2.40
29 74 John Smoltz 2008 2.57
30 74 Gaylord Perry 1980 4.68
31 73 Mike Cuellar 1978 0.00 DNP
32 73 Jim Perry 1977 0.00 DNP
33 73 Al Brazle 1955 0.00 DNP
34 72 Steve Carlton 1986 6.12
35 72 Ellis Kinder 1956 3.42
36 72 Connie Marrero 1952 3.27
37 72 Jerry Koosman 1984 3.78
38 71 Frank Tanana 1995 0.00 DNP
39 70 Gerry Staley 1962 0.00 DNP
40 70 Jim Kaat 1980 4.41
41 70 Bob Gibson 1977 0.00 DNP
42 70 Woodie Fryman 1981 3.35
43 69 Ron Reed 1984 3.70
44 69 Mike Stanton 2008 0.00 DNP
45 69 Roger Clemens 2004 3.19
46 69 Mike Flanagan 1993 0.00 DNP
47 69 Gene Garber 1989 0.00 DNP
48 68 Tom Candiotti 1999 8.07
49 68 Nolan Ryan 1988 4.01
50 68 Mike Timlin 2007 3.74
51 68 Danny Darwin 1997 4.86
52 68 Brian Shouse 2010 0.00 DNP
53 67 Chris Hammond 2007 0.00 DNP
54 67 John Franco 2002 0.00 DNP
55 67 Marv Grissom 1959 22.50
56 67 Dave Stieb 1999 0.00 DNP
57 66 Orlando Hernandez 2007 3.78
58 66 Tom Burgmeier 1985 0.00 DNP
59 66 Alan Embree 2011 0.00 DNP
60 66 Bert Blyleven 1992 5.14
61 66 Rick Honeycutt 1995 3.15
62 65 Jose Mesa 2007 8.53
63 65 Keiichi Yabu 2010 0.00 DNP
64 65 Matt Herges 2011 0.00 DNP
65 65 Don McMahon 1971 4.39
66 64 Doug Brocail 2008 3.93
67 64 Al Worthington 1970 0.00 DNP
68 63 Kent Tekulve 1988 3.83
69 63 Ron Mahay 2012 0.00 DNP
70 63 Curt Schilling 2008 0.00 DNP
71 63 Art Fowler 1964 10.29
72 63 Doug Jones 1998 4.64
73 63 Orlando Pena 1975 2.13 DNP
74 62 Jesse Orosco 1998 3.18
75 62 Mike Morgan 2001 4.74
76 62 Trevor Hoffman 2009 1.83
77 62 Bob Forsch 1991 0.00 DNP
78 62 Todd Jones 2009 0.00 DNP
79 61 Tom Gordon 2009 21.60
80 61 Rich Gossage 1993 4.53
81 61 Russ Springer 2010 5.40
82 61 Mike Remlinger 2007 0.00 DNP
83 61 Larry Andersen 1994 5.79
84 60 Ron Villone 2011 0.00 DNP
85 59 Lew Burdette 1968 0.00 DNP
86 59 Tony Fossas 1999 36.00
87 58 Dick Hall 1972 0.00 DNP
88 58 Darren Oliver 2012 2.06
89 56 Robin Roberts 1968 0.00 DNP
90 56 Jerry Reuss 1990 3.52
91 56 Luis Tiant 1982 6.07
92 55 Terry Mulholland 2004 5.55
93 55 Bob McClure 1993 7.11
94 55 Roy Face 1969 4.40
95 54 Randy Johnson 2005 4.07
96 53 Arthur Rhodes 2011 4.64
97 52 Hal Brown 1966 0.00 DNP
98 52 Doug Bair 1991 0.00 DNP
99 51 Fergie Jenkins 1984 0.00 DNP
100 48 Alan Mills 2008 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .313 .378 .469 .298
11 vs R (Multi) .279 .330 .386 .252
18 Split (Multi) .034 .048 .083 .046
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .368 .455 .789 .403
31 vs R (2013) .273 .314 .394 .245
38 Split (2013) .096 .140 .396 .159
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2013 For the first six weeks of the season, Lowe made it look like spamming sinkers and leading the league in groundball rate was a viable strategy for surviving a strikeout rate straight out of the Deadball Era. An 8.80 ERA in his next 12 starts suggested otherwise. Released by the Indians in August, Lowe fled back to the warm embrace of the bullpen, this time in the Bronx, where he was adequate as a middle-inning arm. His stated desire to return to the rotation this season seems career-suicidal. Lowe’s sinker still does what it’s designed to do—as he put it last March, “Without it, I’m working at McDonald’s supersizing your value meal." But even with it, he’s less likely to succeed as a starter than to ask you if you want fries with that. (After all, he's already made $110 million over the course of his career.)
2012 A reemerging slider led to some optimism about Lowe exiting 2010. The hype train kept chugging along in the new season after he yielded five runs in his first 24 2/3 innings pitched. Lowe then hit a bump by allowing five runs in his next start, and the train went into a tunnel and never came out down the stretch. Over Lowe’s final 11 starts—stretching from August onward—he recorded just four quality starts when the Braves needed his experience and composure the most. Dealt for peanuts to the Indians this winter, Lowe will join Cleveland's vast collection of groundballing starters, but the league change figures to be quite unfriendly, and Lowe might just be hoping to avoid the indignity of an ERA higher than his strikeout per nine innings pitched rate.
2011 The first year of Lowe's four-year, $60 million deal was a disaster, and 2010 looked to be more of the same before a change in direction led to his becoming Atlanta's best pitcher down the stretch and into the playoffs. This wasn't just a fluke, as Lowe brought back his slider, and by the time the playoffs rolled around, it was a true out pitch. There's plenty of reason to believe that 2011 will be Lowe's best yet as a Brave, as he still gets plenty of ground balls (his ratio of ground outs to air outs was the second-highest in the majors behind Hudson), though he may end up filing suit against the Braves for creating a hostile work environment now that Dan Uggla is the team's second baseman.
2010 Lowe was seen as one of the safer bets coming into the year. He's consistently good to very good, never great, and his four-year, $60 million contract seemed like a reasonable investment given his historical record of performance and durability. Then the so-called lesser league hit .301 against him. The bigger concern here is that on a scouting level, this doesn't look like a fluke, as he's experienced a small dip in velocity in each of the last two years, and never being a blow-hitters-away type in the first place, his margin for error is getting smaller and smaller. Turning 37 in June, it's hard to see him suddenly getting his stuff back, and the last couple of years of that deal could end up being an albatross.
2009 Paul DePodesta’s most enduring legacy as Dodger GM may have been the four-year, $36 million deal to which he signed Lowe on the heels of the pitcher’s ugly 5.42 ERA season in Boston. Lowe took to the easier league and ballpark like a duck to water, giving the Dodgers four very good campaigns notable for their consistency and his durability. Over that span, he ranked 11th in the majors in SNLVAR, 10th in innings, and 12th in ERA+. His final year was his best; he closed the season on a 10-start roll featuring a microscopic 1.27 ERA. The Dodgers would have paid handsomely to keep him around, but Lowe's preference was to return to the East Coast. Unsigned at press time, Lowe's new employer should be aware that he had a 3.47 RA at Dodger Stadium, but 4.89 on the road, and if they're wise they already have a good inner defense with which to support this ground-ball artist.
2008 Lowe's first missed start in five and a half years marked a turning point in the Dodger season. Ten games above .500 and atop the NL West prior to Lowe's missed turn, the team had fallen to third place by the next time Lowe took the ball. Having tweaked his groin in a one-inning relief stint, eventually leading to the missed start, Lowe clearly wasn't the same pitcher over the final six weks, yielding a 4.76 ERA and 12 of the 20 homers he allowed on the year (a pace of 1.7 HR/9IP). Still, the Dodgers are playing with house money on the once-ridiculed four-year, $36 million deal he was given by Paul DePodesta after Lowe's unimpressive 2004; according to MORP, his performance as a Dodger thus far has been worth more than $44.8 million.
2007 When the Fourth Estate mob who helped drive Paul DePodesta out of town reckon with Google Boy`s contributions to the Dodgers, they`ll be forced to admit that his choice of Lowe among the 2004 free agent starters was one of his best moves. Within that class, Lowe ranks first in innings, second to Pedro Martinez in SNLVAR and ERA, third behind Martinez and Kevin Millwood in VORP, and miles beyond the Matt Clement/Eric Milton/Carl Pavano/Jaret Wright/Russ Ortiz dreck that`s done little but stink up the joint since then. Brad Penny may have gotten the All-Star Game start, but this worm-killing machine (he led the majors in ground-ball percentage) was the Dodgers` most reliable and durable starter, routinely lasting into the seventh inning. He was especially effective after the trading deadline (75 1/3 IP, 2.76 ERA, 41/13 K/BB), apparently benefiting from the opportunity to pick Greg Maddux`s brain on the art of efficiency (13.8 pitches per inning during that stretch, compared to 15.8 before). A dominant, strikeout-oriented ace in front of him in the rotation would be nice, but, as it is, Lowe has become a solid staff leader who`s lived up to his end of the deal.
2006 Using his 2004 October heroics to offset a horrific regular season and generally downward trends, Lowe netted a four-year, $36 million contract that had even DePo`s most ardent supporters scratching their heads. Removed from Fenway and shoddy Red Sox infield defense, he seemed likely to improve, but it was hardly necessary to hand out a four-year deal to a League-Average Innings-Muncher (LAIM). Considering the 24 unearned runs Lowe allowed, he was actually worse than average before we even account for Dodger Stadium. And for a groundballer, he gave up a lot of big flies. The most unsettling thing about Lowe`s season was the fact that he posted a better ERA after the news of his extramarital affair with a Fox TV reporter broke (2.86 ERA/3.6 RA after, as compared to 3.99/5.1 before) in early August. One man`s humiliation is another man`s catharsis.
2005 Mmmm...over-rated post-season performances. Lowe has become the poster boy for overvaluing brief performances based on context. Though he has been subject to wild fluctuations in his H/BIP—most likely a result of his extreme groundball tendencies—this was the second year in a row that his control was absent; his performance looked better than it was because of a huge number of unearned runs. With the best arms all gone, the Dodgers de-Ishiified their rotation by overpaying Lowe to the tune of four years, $36 million.
2003 Coming into this season, analysts were uncertain how Lowe would fare in the starting rotation. Not only did he maintain the level of performance that he had established in the bullpen, he improved substantially in holding baserunners—formerly a weakness.
2002 Lowe pitched most of 2001 like a man with elbow pain. His curve wasn’t sharp, his sinker didn’t sink, and everything was up in the zone. The Sox moved him to the rotation, and he fared extremely well in three starts...against the Devil Rays, Orioles, and Tigers, three of the AL’s four worst offenses. If Lowe is healthy, he’ll make a fine starter, but his starting stint in 2001 shouldn’t give anyone false hope.
2001 The second-best pitcher on the Boston staff had another excellent year in the bullpen, but could he have done more? From April through August, the Sox had a bullpen overflowing with good arms and a rotation from the Island of Misfit Toys. Derek Lowe, a former starter, never got the call to join the rotation. If he ever gets the chance, he’ll be their best mortal starter. Danger sign: Lowe has pitched more than 90 relief innings in three straight years, and he went on the annual exhibition tour of Japan that some blamed for Billy Wagner’s injury.
2000 The key man in the bullpen, Lowe was nearly as good as Pedro in half as many innings. Recently, four relievers have put up as dominant a season in middle relief as Lowe did, after which their paths diverged. Some stayed in middle relief, others moved to closer, while others started. Their performances:

   WLGSVIPHHRBBSOERA
Xavier Hernandez1992HOU9177711181542962.11
Duane Ward1992TOR747912101 1/3765391031.95
Pedro J. Martinez1993LA105652107765571192.61
Mariano Rivera1996NY83615107 2/3731341302.09
Derek Lowe1999BOS637415109 1/384725802.63


The contrasts are striking. Duane Ward's 1992 was his fifth straight 100-inning season. He managed to pitch 71 innings and log 45 saves in 1993 before his arm fell off, ending his career. Xavier Hernandez carried a heavy load again in 1993 and put up an excellent campaign. He developed arm problems in 1994, and while he never got close to that level again, he had a few decent years as a middle reliever. Mariano Rivera became a closer, his workload dropped by a third and he went on to be a World Series MVP. Pedro Martinez was moved into the rotation in 1994 and, well, we all know the story there.

The bad sign for Lowe is that the two pitchers who were worked hard in multiple years were the ones ho broke down. Lowe threw 126 innings in 63 games in 1998. He's too good a pitcher to jeopardize by asking him for another 100 innings in relief. He ought to move into the rotation or have his relief workload reduced slightly (while being restricted to high-leverage situations). Whether Lowe becomes Mariano Rivera or Pedro Martinez remains to be seen; his interest in starting may tip the scales.
1999 Stolen from Seattle along with Jason Varitek in return for Heathcliff Slocumb. The improvement first seen in 1997 seems to be for real. Lowe had a Jeckyll and Hyde season -- Jeckyll in relief (2.88 ERA in 53 games), and Hyde starting (5.81 ERA in 10 starts). Still, a return to the starting role may be in his future. Lowe is drawing trade interest from other teams, and may not be in Boston on Opening Day.
1998 He should be welcomed in Boston if only because his arrival brought with it the end of the Heathcliff Slocumb Era. Lowe had failed to distinguish himself before this season, but he pitched well in all four stops this year, including a drastic increase in his strikeout rate. He may struggle for a starting job in Boston given his lack of velocity, but he could help someone at the back of the rotation. Should start 1998 in Pawtucket. His control was voted the best in the Pacific Coast League last year, which is a neat trick considering how little of his season was spent there.
1997 A former first-round pick who peaked in AA. Like most high school pitchers who don’t live up to expectations, injuries have played a role. His draft position may give him a few extra opportunities, but it’s unlikely he’ll do anything with them.

BP Articles

Derek Lowe is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
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Internet Baseball Awards: The Results Are InGreg Spira2006-11-02
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From The Mailbag: JAWS, Revenue Sharing, and Sandwich PicksBaseball Prospectus2005-12-22
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This article requires BP Premium accessWorld Series Prospectus: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Boston Red SoxDayn Perry2004-10-23
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Series PreviewJoe Sheehan2004-10-23
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Under The Knife: The World's Most Famous AnkleWill Carroll2004-10-14
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Where Have You Gone, Sparky Lyle?Joe Sheehan2004-10-14
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesDerek Zumsteg2004-10-12
Prospectus Today: Looking Both WaysJoe Sheehan2004-10-12
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Playoff Prospectus: Boston Red Sox vs. Anaheim AngelsJoe Sheehan2004-10-05
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Playoff PreviewsJoe Sheehan2004-10-05
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Missing the PointJoe Sheehan2004-09-29
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This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: The Luxury of TimeWill Carroll2004-09-20
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: A Lesson LearnedJoe Sheehan2004-09-09
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This article requires BP Premium accessCan Of Corn: Three Steps to Fix the Red SoxDayn Perry2004-07-09
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Prospectus Triple Play: Boston Red Sox, Cincinnati Reds, San Diego PadresBaseball Prospectus2004-07-08
Teams: A Critical Guide: American League Only EditionSteven Goldman2004-06-04
This article requires BP Premium accessLies, Damned Lies: Groundballs in the MixNate Silver2004-05-19
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Stroll Through the Stats: AL EditionJoe Sheehan2004-05-05
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Q&A: Carlos GomezJay Jaffe2004-04-08
Teams: A Critical Guide: Preseason EditionSteven Goldman2004-03-30
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This article requires BP Premium accessCan Of Corn: Best Projected Rotations, 2004Dayn Perry2004-02-23
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Q&A: Theo Epstein, Part IINathan Fox2004-02-10
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Live from the (Mock) Winter Meetings: Team-by-Team BreakdownsJames Click2003-12-15
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Prospectus Today: BlindsidedJoe Sheehan2003-10-15
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This article requires BP Premium accessBreaking Balls: Yer Outta Here!Derek Zumsteg2003-10-14
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This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesNate Silver2003-10-08
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Seven Days of BlissJoe Sheehan2003-10-07
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Prospectus Today: It's a Beautiful Game Because It Surprises YouJoe Sheehan2003-10-05
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This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Beer and AdrenalineWill Carroll2003-10-02
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Breaking Balls: Confessions of a Random BallplayerDerek Zumsteg2003-09-02
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Hi, LeroyWill Carroll2003-08-21
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This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: SpeechlessWill Carroll2003-05-07
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This article requires BP Premium accessLies, Damned Lies: Strikeout Rate, RedefinedNate Silver2003-04-16
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This article requires BP Premium accessAim For The Head: Opening Day StartersKeith Woolner2003-03-25
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This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Slides and RisksWill Carroll2003-03-06
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The Week in Quotes: February 4-16Ryan Wilkins2003-02-17
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Transaction Analysis: The EastsChristina Kahrl2003-01-25
Prospectus Feature: Breaking OutNate Silver2003-01-23
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This article requires BP Premium accessThe Daily Prospectus: Thome and FoulkeDerek Zumsteg2002-12-03
From The Mailbag: Barry Bonds, the AFL, and Bob Klapisch RespondsBaseball Prospectus2002-11-15
Internet Baseball Awards: AL Player of the YearGreg Spira2002-10-23
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Analyze This: Best Hitter Outside CooperstownBaseball Prospectus2002-09-11
The Week in Quotes: July 29-August 4Derek Zumsteg2002-08-05
Transaction Analysis: July 30-31, 2002Christina Kahrl2002-08-02
Transaction Analysis: June 25-July 14, 2002Christina Kahrl2002-07-19
The Midseason Awards: Our Picks at the BreakGreg Spira2002-07-09
The Daily Prospectus: At the HalfJoe Sheehan2002-07-05
Avoiding Dissonance: Avoiding DissonanceJonah Keri2002-04-25
6-4-3: Noises from the Feedbag, Part TwoGary Huckabay2002-04-12
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Daily Prospectus: The Daily Prospectus: Showdown...Sort OfJoe Sheehan2002-04-12
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My IBA Ballot: Our Staff Makes the CallKeith Woolner2000-10-24
My IBA Ballot: Our Staff Makes the CallMichael Wolverton2000-10-23
1999 Internet Baseball Awards Results: Your ballots have been counted, and the results are inGreg Spira1999-11-20


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2012-08-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)best shot to be a closer by this time next year. Doolittle, Villareal, Stroman?
(Bernie Fine from Syracuse NY)
I know this isn't a good answer but I have no idea. They all could be closers or none could. Then they could all reverse themselves. Look at the guys who were supposed to be closers this year. even the great Mariano Rivera got hurt and the Yankees have used a number of different closers this season. Heck, even Derek Lowe got a save for the Yankees last night. Predicting closers is pretty tough. (Matthew Kory)
2012-06-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Derek Lowe has given up a boatload of infield ground ball singles today. Are the wheels falling off?
(Mr. Bungle from Your Dreams)
Because of the infield singles? Nah. I don’t think he’s likely to keep this up, however. Last winter, I made the joke that Lowe might suffer the indignation of having a higher ERA than SO/9. Little did I know that he’d actually do it, and (probably) make the All-Star team in the process. (R.J. Anderson)
2011-10-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)First trade of the offseason: Derek Lowe to the Indians for a minor league pitcher (Braves cover $10 million of Lowe's contract).
(Cult of Basebaal from Los Angeles Anaheim of Pasadena)
We're writing that up for Transaction Analysis right now. Seems to me that the Braves get a chance to move one of a few promising arms into the rotation, that $10 million is still less than $15 million, and maybe the fellah they picked up turns into a back-o'-bullpen arm. Lowe is about to be 39 and has been fairly mediocre the last few years. FIP suggests the Braves defense didn't do him any favors, but I'm not sure the Indians have a lot more to offer. I like the move for the Braves. (Steven Goldman)
2010-10-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)In 2004, Derek Lowe went into Yankee Stadium, in Game 7, and allowed one hit and no runs in six innings -- on two day's rest. Why is this rarely lauded as one of the greatest clutch-pitching performances in baseball history?
(Ice Water from Cox's Rotation)
I think because the indelible moment of that game is Johnny Damon's grand slam, that seminal moment when it became the clear that the impossible comeback was going to become reality. (John Perrotto)
2010-04-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Somewhat off of the Lester question, is Derek Lowe finished?
(Mark Smith from Lexington, KY)
I haven't seen him pitch this year, not even on TV, so I don't know how he looks beyond the numbers. I do know that it's still April and that he's gone through some bumpy stretches over the course of his career, only to come back around, so that may be the case here. Kind of a lame answer, but that's all I can offer. (David Laurila)
2010-03-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Derek Lowe claims to have completely revamped his delivery this winter, on his own. Have you seen it, and can this possibly end well?
(dave from chicago)
I have not but very curious. This is one of those interesting experiments where MLB.tv and PitchFX are going to be awesome. (Will Carroll)
2010-02-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)How would you rate in order the following pitchers by overall (short and long term) value? Johan Santana, Josh Beckett, Jon Lester, Randy Wells, Derek Lowe and Josh Johnson.
(caseyj15 from Medford, OR)
Short term: Santana, Johnson, Beckett, Lester, Lowe, Wells

Long term: Santana, Johnson, Lester, Beckett, Wells, Lowe (Shawn Hoffman)
2009-08-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)As a Met fan, I would have gladly overpaid Derek Lowe by $2m a year to avoid overpaying Perez by $10M a year. You could just watch Boras box the Mets in on Perez during the offseason, and it was painful. He knew the Mets would give Perez a deal because they "had" to at that point.
(dantroy from davis)
The rest of the Mets front office should have staged an elaborate ruse to trick Minaya into thinking he signed Perez when he had not, just to have him quit the negotiations. Just have one of your other employees walk into the office with a fake mustasche (Boras doesn't have one, but this will distract Minaya long enough for the deed to be done) and claim to be Scott Boras with an offer Minaya can't refuse.

That or call Minaya's house in the middle of the night claiming to be Boras, and then say that Oliver Perez now hates you and won't sign for anything less than 30% of team ownership, 50% of net beer sales and a pony. The downside is that there's a small chance Minaya would still go for it. (Marc Normandin)
2009-04-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)I've heard rumblings that Kevin Millwood has developed a new pitch or that he has just greatly improved one. Are the first two starts of the season just Millwood being fresh and/or lucky, or is this a sign of things to come? Is this the potential that he was supposed to reach with the Braves? Also, what about Kyle Lohse? Is this an example of batters not catching up to pitchers yet too?
(Clay from Sarasota, FL)
Haven't heard anything about a new pitch. For his sake I hope it's a sinker to rival Derek Lowe's, because he needs all the help he can get pitching in that ballpark. (Jay Jaffe)
2009-04-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Joe, I know you were right with me when I started screaming at the TV circa Bobby Cox's decision to prematurely remove Derek Lowe from the game in the 8th inning with a low pitch count and a string of righties coming up. That decision almost cost him the game. Thankfully for this Braves fan, Mssrs Howard and Ibanez bailed him out with their free-swinging ways.
(Connor from Chicago, IL)
Yeah, I was a little surprised by that. It's not like Lowe appeared to be tiring or had to work hard in the eighth. This is one of those situations where any criticism gets met with, "Well, we were there and you weren't," but I don't really understand the decision, and I don't understand starting the inning with Gonzalez against three righties with a four-run lead. It's one thing to manage workloads; it's another to appear to be actively avoiding letting starters finish games.

We've gone too far in the direction of managing workloads. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-04-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Why did the Mets sign Perez instead of Lowe?
(James from BK)
Upside, youth, the devil you know. Shorter contract, cheaper.

Derek Lowe was the best FA signing of the winter. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-04-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)How concerned should the Braves be that Chipper Jones is on pace to strike out 324 times?
(Adrian Veidt from Karnak)
It's balanced by Derek Lowe being on pace to throw 256 innings with a 0.00 ERA. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-04-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)If this Derek Lowe signing turns out to be a good one does that make him the best free agent ever from a good signing perspective?
(Josh Sklar from Sunny Portland Oregon)
No. That's either Bonds '92 or Maddux '92. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-12-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Will- Once again, Congrats. Why would the Mets go after Ollie Perez over Derek Lowe if the annual money is the same? OP has been, at best, inconsistent and Lowe is the model of consistent. It has been reported that it would take $12-$15mil annually to get either. Still, I understand Omar "stole" OP, but if you hit the inside straight on a 2-3 and crack someone's aces it doesn't mean you should play a 2-3 in every instance. Your thoughts?
(JKiersky from Memphis)
Hey Jon - owe you an email.

Perez still has upside and has a stuff advantage over Lowe, but that's only a possibility. Lowe is consistent and I didn't see any sign of decline with him. Last year's PECOTA says you could give him a five year contract and reasonably see the same performance until Lowe is 40. Unless you know something about Perez and felt he was going to take it up a notch, I'd take Lowe. Unless my infield defense sucked. (Will Carroll)
2008-12-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)With CC reportedly getting 22.8 M / 7 Does it make Derek Lowe a 15 M / 4? Burnett 16 M / 5? Sheets 16 M / 2? If so is there a bargain among the rest of the free agent starter class? Hows about one of these teams converting a closer ala Wood into a starter?
(jzzskins from Brooklyn, NY)
I think Lowe is something of a bargain, relative to Sabathia, if that's his number. After that, it will be hard to find bargains. Not sure about relievers making the move...Heilman's often talked about, I guess. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-12-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)Why is Derek Lowe seen as a good FA pickup? Yeah, he had some good years - in Chavez Ravine...in the National League...in a lousy division...with some reasonable defense behind him. This guy got torched in his last AL season. Your thoughts?
(Phil from NJ)
That was five years ago, and it seems clear that he's a better version of what he was as a Red Sock. Throw in the durability, and he's safer than most of the guys being signed. He doesn't have the same upside, of course, but he's also 3/100 cheaper than Sabathia. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-12-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)With Wang slotted in the rotation and Lowe possible on the way, is is time the Yankees seriously considered moving Jeter to first and acquiring a SS like Wilson or Furcal?
(Jordan from Salem)
If Derek Jeter didn't move off of shortstop when the reigning Gold Glove winner and one of the ten best players ever arrived in town, he won't do it because Derek Lowe is signed. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-10-24 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see the Jays having any chance at signing Derek Lowe? They seem like a really good fit with their strong infield defense. Personally, I think they'd be much better signing him then they would be if they got AJ Burnett back given their respective histories. Am I making sense are is my dislike of AJ getting in the way?
(blaseta from Calgary)
Lowe has been among the most durable pitchers in the majors; he's second to Maddux in games started over the last four years while Burnett is... not. He's a horse and there aren't too many teams who COULDN'T use a pitcher like that. Which means the Jays would have to outbid the Dodgers, Yankees, Mets and anyone else who throws their hat in the ring.

As for Burnett, he's got a MUCH higher upside, but with the high reward comes a very inflated risk, not to mention his reputation as a jackass, which as you acknowledge can distort the perception of his value. If he opts out, I think the Jays are better off looking in another direction rather than paying him, though I'm sure somebody will. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-10-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Steven. Which free agents should the Yankees target this off-season, if any?
(Joe from Washington, DC)
Teixeira has to be job #1. He's the closest thing to a no-brainer there is out there in terms of maintaining/improving the offense and shoring up a problematic defense. After that, I'd love to see a right fielder who can hit with Bobby Abreu but isn't afraid that the wall is going to bite him, but that doesn't seem to be in the cards just now... I don't share their enthusiasm for signing every free agent pitcher on the market. Sabathia's size and workload are kind of scary, Burnett is somewhat overrated and tends to break down. Sheets is great but is an injury concern. They don't have the defense to support Derek Lowe. I guess of those four CC is the best bet. (Steven Goldman)
2008-10-09 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Jay. In picking the Dodgers in six, which of these five factors do you believe weighs most heavily in LA's favor: Pitching, Offense, Fielding, Matchups or Momentum?
(BrownDog from Cape Cod, MA)
Pitching. The more I look at the matchups, the more I like the fact that the Dodgers have a groundball-heavy staff that doesn't give up a lot of homers, the fact that in Kuo they've got a potentially dominant late-inning lefty in the bullpen along with another pretty good one in Beimel, and the way their rotation aligns with regards to the possiblity that Derek Lowe pitches 1-4-7. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-10-09 14:00:00 (link to chat)Does this mean Ned Colletti knows what he's doing? If I'm a Dodgers fan, do I care? Even if we win the World Series by mistake... we still win the World Series!!!
(Wendy from Madrid)
Blind chickens, kernals of corn, etc. If Colletti knows what he's doing, how come he'll be left with about $25 million/year in bad outfielders to contend with if he wants to keep the current Manny-Kemp-Ethier lineup out there every day?

That the Dodgers are where they are has more to do with their player development resources (the kids in their lineup and the ones traded to acquire Ramirez, Blake, et al) than anything else. Throw in some smart decisions during the Paul DePodesta regime (the Derek Lowe contract, the decision to convert Broxton to a closer) and it's clear that this isn't just Colletti's team to take credit for.

The bottom line, however, is that the Dodgers haven't been in this position in 20 years. However it came about and whatever happens from here on out, enjoy it for all that it's worth. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-09-23 13:30:00 (link to chat)Derek Lowe is having an incredible season and he's never even sniffed the DL. What kind of contract does he garner in the off-season?
(Mike from LA)
There's something of a perception that he should stay in the NL. I could see him as the safest pick in the market, someone who might see his ERA climb into the mid-4.00s over the life of a deal, but who will keep cranking out 200 innings a year through it. The better your middle infield, the more valuable Lowe is to your team. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-07-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)I saw a rumor that had Robinson Cano heading to LA for Derek Lowe and Matt Kemp. This reeks of a set up to acquire Washburn and Vidro from Seattle. Tell me that the Yanks don't plan on making Vidro their 2B?
(Scott from NJ)
I'd consider that a genuine bit of Apple-flavored nonsense (Big or equine, not Mac), not simply because the Dodgers can't really afford to part with any starting pitching, but because they also have some guy named Kent. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)Wouldn't a contender be wise to get 3 months of Derek Lowe and a compensatory draft pick for one top prospect and one mid-to-top prospect? Will Lowe cost more than that?
(The King from Grinnell, IA)
Sure, it might make sense, but let's face it, that would mean the bitter-end win-now crowd would have to submit to the will of the "let's be great" development crowd in the Dodgers' front office, and that means letting initiative move up instead of down on management's decision tree. I don't see it happening. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-06-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)What would it take for the Rays to acquire Derek Lowe? I personally would love a groundball pitcher like Lowe replacing Jackson in the rotation. We seem to be on very decent terms with Colletti.
(jlarsen from DRays Bay)
Well, I don't think the Dodgers are ready to be sellers at this point as they aren't that far off the lead in the West. (John Perrotto)
2008-05-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)In a perfect storm scenario, if the Rays were to acquire Derek Lowe in a midseason trade...would that throw the Rays into serious for the playoffs?
(jlarsen from DRays Bay)
With or without Lowe, they appear to be there already. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-01-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey KG, what particular stats do you focus on when considering a pitching prospect? Does some stat that takes into account ability to induce ground balls come into play? And, finally, what pitchers have a chance to develop into the next Derek Lowe / Jake Westbrook? Thanks.
(Mario66 from Toronto)
IP, H, K are the first three I like out, but everything is taken into account. Next Derek Lowe just might be Justin Masterson. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2008-10-13 17:00:00NLCS Game FourBTW, Kershaw's body type really worries me. I hope he's one of those guys with a good work ethic because he looks like he could end up built like Derek Lowe 2006. (Will Carroll)
2008-10-13 17:00:00NLCS Game Four"Smokey (Knoxville): Which is more embarrassing - Jack Buck saying that Derek Lowe sweats more than any pitcher in baseball or the fact that BJ stands for "Bossman Junior"?"

It'd be more embarrassing if it didn't.
(Joe Sheehan)
2008-10-13 17:00:00NLCS Game FourHere's how much I love baseball -- I will watch Derek Lowe and Joe Blanton rather than Bad Future Claire tonight. (Will Carroll)
 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, Derek Lowe threw 17,426 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2013, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Spring Training. In 2013, he relied primarily on his Sinker (89mph), also mixing in a Slider (81mph), Cutter (87mph) and Change (84mph). He also rarely threw a Fourseam Fastball (89mph).