Biographical

Portrait of Samir Duenez

Samir Duenez LFRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 20)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .217 2 17 20 2 .194 -1.6
Birth Date6-11-1996
Height6' 1"
Weight195 lbs
Age20 years, 1 months, 19 days
BatsL
ThrowsR
2012
2013
2014
2015
-1.62016
+proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2013 ROY Rk 47 199 .287 .251 .326 .353 .000 .344 97 6 6.1 -3.5 0.7 -2.7 5.9 0.7 5.9 0.7
2014 LEX A 41 149 .212 .258 .328 .380 .000 .268 108 -7.5 4.2 -2.7 -0.0 -0.1 -6.1 -0.6 -6.1 -0.6
2014 IDA Rk 39 149 .278 .281 .350 .436 .000 .345 111 3 5.6 -3.5 0.0 -1.1 4.5 0.6 4.5 0.6
2015 LEX A 101 396 .239 .255 .320 .366 .000 .289 103 -8.5 10.9 -5 -9.5 2.2 -0.4 -1.0 -0.4 -1.0
2016 LEX A 68 285 .257 .248 .316 .366 .262 .297 104 -1 7.5 -4.8 1.2 1.5 3.2 0.5 3.2 0.5
2016 WIL A+ 35 146 .331 .260 .329 .382 .265 .330 98 10.3 3.9 -2.5 -1.0 2.4 14.2 1.4 14.2 1.4

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2013 ROY Rk 199 26 55 12 2 0 19 12 27 6 4 .294 .337 .380 .086 .287 5.9 0.7 0.7
2014 LEX A 149 12 33 9 2 0 9 7 19 2 1 .232 .268 .324 .092 .212 -6.1 -0.0 -0.6
2014 IDA Rk 149 16 41 7 1 1 27 10 20 4 2 .304 .347 .393 .089 .278 4.5 0.0 0.6
2015 LEX A 396 47 96 13 4 1 37 24 33 11 5 .266 .314 .332 .066 .239 -0.4 -9.5 -1.0
2016 WIL A+ 146 21 40 7 2 6 28 14 21 8 1 .308 .379 .531 .223 .331 14.2 -1.0 1.4
2016 LEX A 285 30 72 15 3 6 49 15 40 14 2 .272 .312 .419 .147 .257 3.2 1.2 0.5

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT CSAA_CHANCES CSAA_RT

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 321 28 82 16 3 3 28 12 56 3 2 .270 .297 .370 .241 -0.6 LF -4, 1B -1 -0.6
80o 297 25 70 14 2 2 25 11 53 3 1 .252 .278 .345 .225 -5.1 LF -3, 1B -1 -1.0
70o 279 22 63 13 2 2 22 9 51 2 1 .239 .264 .327 .214 -7.9 LF -3, 1B -1 -1.3
60o 264 20 57 11 2 2 20 9 49 2 1 .228 .252 .311 .204 -9.9 LF -3, 1B -1 -1.5
50o 250 18 52 10 2 2 19 8 47 2 1 .217 .241 .297 .195 -11.6 LF -3, 1B -1 -1.7
40o 236 17 46 9 2 1 17 7 45 2 1 .207 .230 .282 .186 -13.0 LF -3, 1B -1 -1.8
30o 221 15 40 8 1 1 15 6 43 1 1 .196 .218 .267 .177 -14.2 LF -3, 1B -1 -1.9
20o 203 13 35 7 1 1 13 5 40 1 1 .183 .204 .249 .165 -15.3 LF -2, 1B -1 -2.0
10o 179 10 29 6 1 1 11 4 36 1 1 .165 .185 .225 .150 -16.2 LF -2, 1B -1 -2.1
Weighted Mean257195511221984821.223.247.304.200-10.7LF -3, 1B -1-1.6

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 7/30/2016 10:44 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 523 54 136 27 5 11 56 23 93 5 3 .278 .311 .421 .265 11.6 1B -4 0.8
80o 498 49 121 24 4 10 51 21 91 4 2 .260 .292 .395 .249 3.3 1B -4 -0.1
70o 480 45 112 22 4 9 47 19 90 4 2 .248 .278 .375 .237 -2.2 1B -4 -0.6
60o 464 42 104 21 4 8 44 18 88 4 2 .237 .267 .359 .228 -6.6 1B -4 -1.1
50o 450 39 97 19 4 8 41 16 87 3 2 .227 .256 .344 .218 -10.5 1B -3 -1.5
40o 436 37 89 18 3 7 39 15 85 3 2 .217 .245 .328 .209 -14.1 1B -3 -1.9
30o 420 34 82 16 3 7 36 14 84 3 2 .206 .234 .312 .199 -17.6 1B -3 -2.3
20o 402 31 75 15 3 6 33 13 82 3 1 .194 .220 .293 .188 -21.4 1B -3 -2.7
10o 377 27 64 13 2 5 29 11 78 2 1 .177 .201 .267 .172 -26.0 1B -3 -3.1
Weighted Mean45841101204843178842.232.262.352.223-8.41B -3-1.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201721470409919453815864.221.249.312.202-2.7-18.2-0.1-3.111.6-26.6-7.1
201822445399719443715803.230.258.322.208-2.3-14.7-0.1-3.011.0-22.5-6.7
201923433399318353715773.229.259.328.211-2.2-13.3-0.1-3.110.7-20.8-6.5
202024412378918343514723.230.260.327.211-2.1-12.7-0.1-3.010.2-19.7-6.2
202125413389018353615733.232.264.332.214-1.9-11.7-0.1-3.210.2-18.6-6.2
202226415389118353716733.235.267.338.217-1.9-10.8-0.2-3.310.3-17.6-6.3
202327401378918353515703.235.267.338.217-1.8-10.5-0.2-3.39.9-17.0-6.0
202428400378818353615702.235.268.340.218-1.8-10.3-0.3-3.49.9-16.5-6.0
202529399378818353616702.235.268.340.218-1.8-10.4-0.4-3.59.9-16.4-6.0

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
20172125021521022208462.222.250.311.202-1.9-15.7-0.1-1.910.6-24.4-2.2
201822327287214332710593.231.258.322.208-1.9-14.3-0.1-2.511.2-22.8-2.8
2019234704410320374315864.232.260.340.215-1.8-12.9-0.2-3.811.7-20.7-4.1
2020244794510521374318844.233.266.339.218-1.8-12.1-0.2-4.011.8-19.6-4.2
2021255125011220474725934.237.277.343.223-1.6-10.3-0.1-4.412.8-18.6-4.4
202226569571332851057261144.249.285.378.236-1.0-4.5-0.2-5.013.0-12.3-4.9
2023274924710620384522974.229.267.339.220-1.8-12.1-0.3-4.512.5-19.8-4.3

Upside By Year

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseball1.58.23.82.417.9

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
20150.51.4out of baseball1.372.617.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 84)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 94 Eduard Pinto 2015 .000 DNP
2 91 Enrique Hernandez 2012 .000 DNP
3 90 Jordan Scott 2012 .000 DNP
4 90 Alfredo Marte 2009 .000 DNP
5 90 Dorssys Paulino 2015 .000 DNP
6 89 Danry Vasquez 2014 .000 DNP
7 89 Rafael Rodriguez 2013 .000 DNP
8 88 Noel Cuevas 2012 .000 DNP
9 88 J.P. Ramirez 2010 .000 DNP
10 87 Matthew Sulentic 2008 .000 DNP
11 87 Mesac Laguna 2012 .000 DNP
12 87 Beau Riportella 2009 .000 DNP
13 86 Aaron Siliga 2013 .000 DNP
14 86 Joseph Hage 2009 .000 DNP
15 86 Quincy Latimore 2009 .000 DNP
16 86 Alexis Rivera 2014 .000 DNP
17 86 Henry Charles 2014 .000 DNP
18 86 Arthur Bonevacia 2008 .000 DNP
19 85 Ender Inciarte 2011 .000 DNP
20 85 Teodoro Martinez 2012 .000 DNP
21 85 Josh Sale 2012 .000 DNP
22 85 Luis Durango 2006 .000 DNP
23 85 Victor Reyes 2015 .000 DNP
24 85 Bryan Hudson 2015 .000 DNP
25 85 Joc Pederson 2012 .000 DNP
26 85 Christopher Hawkins 2012 .000 DNP
27 85 Yangervis Solarte 2008 .000 DNP
28 84 Diego Cedeno 2012 .000 DNP
29 84 Donovan Solano 2008 .000 DNP
30 84 Oswald Caraballo 2013 .000 DNP
31 84 Rashad Brown 2014 .000 DNP
32 84 Carlos Fernandez-Oliva 2007 .000 DNP
33 84 Edgard Munoz 2012 .000 DNP
34 84 Alfred Joseph 2007 .000 DNP
35 83 Mitch Dening 2009 .000 DNP
36 83 Maiko Loyola 2006 .000 DNP
37 83 Brandon Short 2009 .000 DNP
38 83 Rangel Ravelo 2012 .000 DNP
39 83 Timothy Lopes 2014 .000 DNP
40 83 Kyeong Kang 2008 .000 DNP
41 83 Theo Bowe 2011 .000 DNP
42 83 Concepcion Rodriguez 2007 .000 DNP
43 83 Luis Domoromo 2012 .000 DNP
44 83 Freddy Galvis 2010 .000 DNP
45 83 Zach Larson 2014 .000 DNP
46 83 Reese McGuire 2015 .000 DNP
47 83 Ben Revere 2008 .000 DNP
48 83 Jeremy Barfield 2009 .000 DNP
49 83 Hector Guevara 2012 .000 DNP
50 83 Neder Severino 2008 .000 DNP
51 83 Scott Robinson 2009 .000 DNP
52 83 Didi Gregorius 2010 .000 DNP
53 83 Wilfredo Tovar 2012 .000 DNP
54 83 Carlos Triunfel 2010 .000 DNP
55 83 Luis Sardinas 2013 .000 DNP
56 83 Raimel Tapia 2014 .000 DNP
57 83 Julio Concepcion 2010 .000 DNP
58 83 Wilson Soriano 2012 .000 DNP
59 83 Chuck Taylor 2014 .000 DNP
60 82 Jonathan Reynoso 2013 .000 DNP
61 82 Pin-Chieh Chen 2012 .000 DNP
62 82 Estarlyn Morales 2013 .000 DNP
63 82 Francisco Castillo 2013 .000 DNP
64 82 David Mailman 2009 .000 DNP
65 82 Orvin Tovar 2014 .000 DNP
66 82 Noah Perio 2012 .000 DNP
67 82 Pablo Sandoval 2007 .000 DNP
68 82 Engel Beltre 2010 .000 DNP
69 82 L.J. Hoes 2010 .000 DNP
70 82 Eury Perez 2010 .000 DNP
71 82 Dwight Britton 2008 .000 DNP
72 82 Mason Williams 2012 .000 DNP
73 82 Dwight Smith 2013 .000 DNP
74 82 Javier Betancourt 2015 .000 DNP
75 82 Santiago Chirino 2011 .000 DNP
76 82 Daniel Pertusati 2010 .000 DNP
77 82 Jack Lopez 2013 .000 DNP
78 82 Christian Marrero 2007 .000 DNP
79 82 Pedro Severino 2014 .000 DNP
80 82 Aaron Altherr 2011 .000 DNP
81 82 Jordan Cowan 2015 .000 DNP
82 82 Willians Astudillo 2012 .000 DNP
83 82 Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 .000 DNP
84 82 Francisco Rivera 2009 .000 DNP
85 82 Shane Opitz 2012 .000 DNP
86 82 Marwin Gonzalez 2009 .000 DNP
87 82 Giovanny Urshela 2012 .000 DNP
88 82 Mario Mercedes 2007 .000 DNP
89 82 Tyler Pastornicky 2010 .000 DNP
90 82 Austin Dean 2014 .000 DNP
91 82 Jose Castro 2007 .000 DNP
92 82 Joel Mejia 2013 .000 DNP
93 82 Gustavo Martinez 2014 .000 DNP
94 82 Jesus Loya 2012 .000 DNP
95 81 Estarlin Martinez 2012 .000 DNP
96 81 Yermin Mercedes 2013 .000 DNP
97 81 D'Andre Toney 2012 .000 DNP
98 81 Alan Sharkey 2014 .000 DNP
99 81 Juan Diaz 2009 .000 DNP
100 81 Rafael Ortega 2011 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

No BP Book Comments have been found for this player.

BP Articles

Samir Duenez is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: 10 Prospects Who Turned Heads in Spring TrainingJason Parks2014-03-31
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Backfield Scouting Notes, 3/19Jason Parks2014-03-19
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Backfield Scouting Notes, 3/19Mark Anderson2014-03-19


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-09-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Did you get to see any Elier Hernandez and Samir Duenez this year in Lexington? Thoughts on them? Also: Dominique Taylor is fire.
(Daniel from Calgary)
I did. I wrote up Hernandez here.

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=23362

Hernandez has the tools to be an above-average corner outfielder but the hit tool underwhelmed in my viewing. Arm-side pitching gives him trouble, especially arms who can spin a decent breaking ball. If I could revise the above report, I'd probably turn him in as a AAA guy realistically. I was a bit optimistic on the realistic role and would adjust downward at this point, though the ceiling remains unchanged.

Duenez was underwhelming. He played an excellent first base, but the swing was slightly long and he struggled to barrel balls up in my viewing. He's very young, however, so I'll likely see him again next season in Low-A after he performed decently in the Pioneer League after being demoted. (Ethan Purser)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

Advanced Catching Metrics

Year Lg Framing Chances CSAA Framing Runs Blocking Chances EPAA Blocking Runs SB Attempts SRAA TRAA Throwing Runs FRAA Adj. FRAA
2013 rok 0 .000 0.0 0 .000 0.0 0 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2014 afx 0 .000 0.0 0 .000 0.0 0 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2014 rok 0 .000 0.0 0 .000 0.0 0 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2015 afx 0 .000 0.0 0 .000 0.0 0 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2016 afa 0 .000 0.0 0 .000 0.0 0 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2016 afx 0 .000 0.0 0 .000 0.0 0 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC