Biographical

Portrait of Ryan McMahon

Ryan McMahon 3BRockies

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2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 19)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .202 6 21 25 1 .198 -0.9
Birth Date12-14-1994
Height6' 2"
Weight185 lbs
Age19 years, 10 months, 11 days
BatsL
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.92014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2013 GJR Rk 59 251 .323 .270 .341 .407 .268 .396 108 18 7.6 0.6 2.5 -0.9 22.1 2.4 22.1 2.4
2014 ASH A 126 552 .284 .265 .331 .389 .264 .360 117 14.3 15.7 1.4 8.1 -0.3 30.9 4.0 30.9 4.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2013 GJR Rk 251 42 70 18 3 11 52 28 59 4 6 .321 .402 .583 .261 .323 22.1 2.5 2.4
2014 ASH A 552 93 136 46 3 18 102 54 143 8 5 .282 .358 .502 .220 .284 30.9 8.1 4.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 534 59 127 23 2 15 60 42 152 3 3 .261 .316 .409 .251 6.5 3B 3 1.0
80o 505 52 110 20 1 13 54 36 149 3 2 .240 .293 .376 .233 -2.8 3B 3 0.0
70o 485 47 100 18 1 12 49 33 146 3 2 .226 .276 .353 .219 -8.9 3B 2 -0.7
60o 467 43 92 17 1 11 45 30 144 3 2 .213 .261 .333 .208 -13.7 3B 2 -1.2
50o 450 40 83 15 1 10 42 27 141 2 2 .201 .248 .315 .197 -17.8 3B 2 -1.7
40o 433 36 76 14 1 9 38 25 138 2 2 .190 .234 .296 .186 -21.5 3B 2 -2.1
30o 415 33 69 13 1 8 35 22 135 2 2 .178 .220 .277 .175 -25.2 3B 2 -2.5
20o 395 29 60 11 1 7 31 20 131 2 1 .163 .203 .255 .162 -29.0 3B 2 -2.9
10o 366 24 50 9 1 6 27 16 125 1 1 .144 .180 .224 .143 -33.3 3B 2 -3.4
Weighted Mean460428816110442914322.209.256.326.204-15.33B 2-1.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
20152025028528172818712.231.289.371.2410.42.8-0.6-0.214.9-11.31.1
20162125028488172620762.215.283.348.232-0.2-2.9-0.7-0.314.9-16.81.1
20172237142721411141281092.216.277.367.234-0.0-1.7-0.9-0.614.9-15.21.6
201823600681242311867441694.230.288.374.2410.40.9-1.6-1.114.9-11.32.7
201924614681212121866441714.218.276.358.232-0.2-4.7-1.6-1.314.9-16.72.7
202025630711272221868491644.222.284.360.2360.1-2.3-1.6-1.514.9-14.22.8
202126627721312421971481584.231.291.381.2440.52.2-1.5-1.714.9-9.62.8
202227603711262421767561484.234.304.379.2490.84.8-1.7-1.814.9-6.72.7
202328323356511173226872.224.285.344.231-0.3-4.2-0.8-1.014.9-17.41.4

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseball2.20.11.30.72.26.6

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 81)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 97 Robel Garcia 2012 .000 DNP
2 96 Billy Rowell 2008 .000 DNP
3 96 Gabriel Quintana 2012 .000 DNP
4 95 Duanel Jones 2012 .000 DNP
5 94 Jharmidy De Jesus 2009 .000 DNP
6 93 Aderlin Rodriguez 2011 .000 DNP
7 92 Jarek Cunningham 2009 .000 DNP
8 92 Matthew Sweeney 2007 .000 DNP
9 91 Renato Nunez 2013 .000 DNP
10 91 Alex Liddi 2008 .000 DNP
11 88 Levi Carolus 2007 .000 DNP
12 88 Jeimer Candelario 2013 .000 DNP
13 87 Jefry Marte 2010 .000 DNP
14 86 Steven Souza 2008 .000 DNP
15 86 Cheslor Cuthbert 2012 .000 DNP
16 85 Dante Bichette 2012 .000 DNP
17 84 Edinson Rincon 2010 .000 DNP
18 84 Miguel Sano 2012 .000 DNP
19 84 Maikel Franco 2012 .000 DNP
20 84 Kevin Ahrens 2008 .000 DNP
21 84 Brandon Drury 2012 .000 DNP
22 84 John Tolisano 2008 .000 DNP
23 83 Josh Vitters 2009 .000 DNP
24 83 Matt Dominguez 2009 .000 DNP
25 83 Michael Almanzar 2010 .000 DNP
26 82 Dilson Herrera 2013 .000 DNP
27 82 Matt Davidson 2010 .000 DNP
28 82 Chris Parmelee 2007 .000 DNP
29 82 Luis Tejada 2012 .000 DNP
30 81 Angelo Gumbs 2012 .000 DNP
31 81 Edgar Lara 2008 .000 DNP
32 81 Guillermo Pimentel 2012 .000 DNP
33 81 Charles Jones 2012 .000 DNP
34 81 Nino Leyja 2010 .000 DNP
35 80 Travis Snider 2007 .000 DNP
36 80 Gioskar Amaya 2012 .000 DNP
37 80 Jaime Ortiz 2008 .000 DNP
38 80 Teoscar Hernandez 2012 .000 DNP
39 80 Jiovanni Mier 2010 .000 DNP
40 80 Roberto De La Cruz 2011 .000 DNP
41 80 Jose Martinez 2008 .000 DNP
42 80 Angel Castillo 2008 .000 DNP
43 80 Giovanny Urshela 2011 .000 DNP
44 79 Rashun Dixon 2010 .000 DNP
45 79 Jose Gualdron 2007 .000 DNP
46 79 Jorge Alfaro 2012 .000 DNP
47 79 Oscar Figueroa 2007 .000 DNP
48 79 Willy Garcia 2012 .000 DNP
49 79 Yorman Rodriguez 2012 .000 DNP
50 79 Marcell Ozuna 2010 .000 DNP
51 79 Jason Taylor 2007 .000 DNP
52 79 Derrik Gibson 2009 .000 DNP
53 79 Rymer Liriano 2010 .000 DNP
54 79 Michael Burgess 2008 .000 DNP
55 79 Michael Wing 2008 .000 DNP
56 79 Francisco Martinez 2010 .000 DNP
57 79 Travis Mattair 2008 .000 DNP
58 78 Jonathan Galvez 2010 .000 DNP
59 78 Jorge Bonifacio 2012 .000 DNP
60 78 Heiker Meneses 2011 .000 DNP
61 78 Dalton Pompey 2012 .000 DNP
62 78 Anthony Garcia 2011 .000 DNP
63 78 Matthew Sulentic 2007 .000 DNP
64 78 Austin Gallagher 2008 .000 DNP
65 77 Johermyn Chavez 2008 .000 DNP
66 77 Aaron Hicks 2009 .000 DNP
67 77 Luigi Rodriguez 2012 .000 DNP
68 77 Angel Morales 2009 .000 DNP
69 77 Trevor Story 2012 .000 DNP
70 77 Gustavo Pierre 2011 .000 DNP
71 77 Edward Salcedo 2011 .000 DNP
72 77 Jonathan Garcia 2011 .000 DNP
73 77 Cody Johnson 2008 .000 DNP
74 77 Jose Osuna 2012 .000 DNP
75 77 Joe Benson 2007 .000 DNP
76 77 Sebastian Valle 2010 .000 DNP
77 77 Delino DeShields 2012 .000 DNP
78 77 Alfredo Morales 2012 .000 DNP
79 77 Jesus Lopez 2007 .000 DNP
80 77 Joseph Paciorek 2008 .000 DNP
81 77 Richard Lucas 2008 .000 DNP
82 77 Garabez Rosa 2009 .000 DNP
83 76 Luis Sierra 2007 .000 DNP
84 76 Christopher Hawkins 2011 .000 DNP
85 76 Jorge Martinez 2012 .000 DNP
86 76 Thomas Hickman 2007 .000 DNP
87 76 Oscar Taveras 2011 .000 DNP
88 76 Eddie Rosario 2011 .000 DNP
89 76 Geraldo Rodriguez 2007 .000 DNP
90 76 Cito Culver 2012 .000 DNP
91 76 Dwight Britton 2007 .000 DNP
92 76 Gabriel Guerrero 2013 .000 DNP
93 76 Arismendy Alcantara 2011 .000 DNP
94 76 Hernan Perez 2010 .000 DNP
95 76 Michael Ortiz 2008 .000 DNP
96 76 Oswaldo Arcia 2010 .000 DNP
97 76 Cesar Puello 2010 .000 DNP
98 76 Yowill Espinal 2010 .000 DNP
99 76 Tommy Joseph 2011 .000 DNP
100 76 Adrian Cardenas 2007 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).

BP Articles

Ryan McMahon is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, September 8Jeff Moore2014-09-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: More Top 50 TalkBen Carsley2014-08-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: More Top 50 TalkCraig Goldstein2014-08-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 14Jeff Moore2014-08-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, July 31Jeff Moore2014-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessThe BP Top 50: The Best Midseason ProspectsJason Parks2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessThe BP Top 50: The Best Midseason ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, July 1Jeff Moore2014-07-02
The 2013 Redraft: How Much Has Changed?Ron Shah2014-06-10
The 2013 Redraft: How Much Has Changed?Baseball Prospectus2014-06-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Scoresheet Player Trend Watch: May Supplemental DraftBen Murphy2014-05-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Scoresheet Player Trend Watch: May Supplemental DraftIan Lefkowitz2014-05-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Scoresheet Player Trend Watch: May Supplemental DraftJared Weiss2014-05-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneCraig Goldstein2014-05-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneBen Carsley2014-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 12, 2014Jason Parks2014-05-12
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 12, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-05-12
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, May 8Jeff Moore2014-05-09
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 25-27Jeff Moore2014-04-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: A Mock Supplemental DraftIan Lefkowitz2014-04-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: A Mock Supplemental DraftJared Weiss2014-04-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: A Mock Supplemental DraftBen Murphy2014-04-18
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, April 17Jeff Moore2014-04-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat Scouts Are Saying: April 17, 2014Baseball Prospectus2014-04-17
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, April 16Jeff Moore2014-04-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: NL West Under-25 RankingsCraig Goldstein2014-04-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: NL West Under-25 RankingsBen Carsley2014-04-01
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Backfield Scouting Notes, 3/24BP Prospect Staff2014-03-24
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Backfield Scouting Notes, 3/24Jason Parks2014-03-24
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2014 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 50 Third BasemenBret Sayre2014-02-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Third BasemenIan Lefkowitz2014-02-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Third BasemenJared Weiss2014-02-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Third BasemenBen Murphy2014-02-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Third Base ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-02-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessState of the Position: Third BasemenBen Carsley2014-02-10
BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft: Rounds 8-10Bret Sayre2014-02-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The Top 50 2013 Signees for Dynasty DraftsBret Sayre2014-01-09
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Colorado Rockies Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-01-08


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-09-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat. Any under the radar Sally prospects who had breakout seasons to keep any eye on next year?
(Jeff from Charlotte)
Manuel Margot obviously stands out here, though he's probably not under the radar any more. I only saw about 11 innings total due to him getting injured during my look at Greenville, but it was enough for me to buy into the total package. Ryan McMahon is a definite dude. He'll have to clean up some of the swing and miss in his game, but the raw power is legit, as is his defense at third base. I liked him a lot and put an above-average regular grade on him. Chance Sisco certainly jumped on some radars, but Delmarva was a blind spot for me this season. I already mentioned Eduardo De Oleo as my "under the radar" guy in the Sally League, though his season was anything but a breakout statistically. I'm trying to run through my notes and find guys, so if I'm missing someone, ask me about them specifically. (Ethan Purser)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Craig, what's your thoughts on Ryan McMahon & Nomar Mazara this season and going forward? You think they will land somewhere in your Top-100 maybe 50 for 2015?
(kiper90 from Rochester, NY)
They're two of "my guys." I think Mazara getting pushed to Double-A really helps him, as it pushes his timetable up if he can even hold his own while there. I do think both are back of the top 100 talents for fantasy, though I'd hesitate to say either are top 50 guys just yet. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Ryan McMahon? He opened the season on a tear yet was left off most mid-season top prospect lists. I've heard a lot of good things about him but wondering what you think his ceiling is?
(Brian from Mass.)
I think his ceiling is a first division third baseman. He's left off of lists because he's in Low-A and in a hitters park, so the numbers probably overstate things a bit. He's still a good prospect though, and while he hasn't been as hot as his start was, he's been doing just fine. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat)I recently traded Wilin Rosario and Starlin Castro for Christian Yelich and a future draft pick. Good move? And in how many years does Ryan McMahon take over the catching duties in Colorado? P.S. Thank you for the chat.
(Drew from Rockford, IL)
I'm the president of the Starlin Castro fan club, but objectively I don't like this deal too much. I think Castro has more value than Yelich short and long term. Don't think McMahon catches in Colorado, really like his profile however. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Mauricio, what would your order be of these prospects you would want in a Dynasty League? Ryan McMahon, Touki Toussaint, Alexander Reyes, Rafael Devers?
(kiper90 from Rochester, NY)
McMahon, Reyes, Devers, Touki

That's a lot of raw right there. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-07-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on Ryan McMahon? Future stud?
(Brad from Glendale)
I admit, McMahon surprised me a bit this year. I had plenty of amateur guys that liked him in conversations prior to his draft, but I never had the impression he would have this much success, this fast. He's put on quite the show so far and while I have yet to see him this year, I'm not hearing a lot of glaring weaknesses coming out of multiple reports on him throughout the first half. It's an impressive profile that gives the Rockies three (along with Tapia and Dahl) really talented position players on the way. (Mark Anderson)
2014-07-09 15:00:00 (link to chat)while watching Dahl and Tapia did you see much of Ryan McMahon? what did you think of him? he had a torrid start power-wise, but then cooled off immensely.
(Joe Random from San Jose)
I saw a ton of him.

Much better athlete than I expected and very solid in the field. I like the physical tools but the swing never wowed me. Lots of movement with his hands post foot strike. Could be a guy, I would for sure keep my eye on him. (Ryan Parker)
2014-05-29 19:30:00 (link to chat)Hey Ben, what would your order be of these prospects you would want in a Dynasty League? Alexander Reyes, Hunter Harvey,Francisco Mejia, Franchy Cordero, Ryan McMahon?
(kiper90 from Rochester, NY)
Hmm, let's go Harvey, McMahon, Reyes, Cordero, Mejia. Is this Craig? These are all guys who Craig loves. (Ben Carsley)
2014-05-15 20:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Bret, what would your order be of these prospects you would want in a Dynasty League? Alexander Reyes, Hunter Harvey,Francisco Mejia, Franchy Cordero, Ryan McMahon?
(kiper90 from Rochester, NY)
I'd go Harvey, McMahon, Reyes, Cordero, Mejia. (Bret Sayre)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Professor Parks, what would your order be of these prospects if you had them in your farm? Alexander Reyes, Hunter Harvey,Francisco Mejia, Franchy Cordero, Ryan McMahon?
(kiper90 from Rochester, NY)
Harvey, Reyes, Mejia, McMahon, Cordero (Jason Parks)
2014-04-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Ryan McMahon is off to a great start in the minors so far. Do you see this kid rising a ton as a prospect going into next year? Do you think he could be a top 20 prospect going into the 2015 season?
(Randy from North Dakota)
He definitely has rise potential. Our prospect team had him 5th in the Rockies system but with a potential season as a first division guy so the talent is there and obviously we're seeing it bloom early. He's one to watch. (Paul Sporer)
2014-04-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Have you had a chance to see Ryan McMahon yet?
(Mark from St. Paul, MN)
I've not seen him in person yet. I couldn't squeeze the Rockies into my Arizona spring training trip, but there's a chance I fit some SAL coverage into my schedule this year and I'm hopeful to see him before the year is out. Everything I heard has been impressive, so I'm eager to get my eyes on him. (Mark Anderson)
2014-04-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can Ryan McMahon become better than Dahl or Tapia or no chance due to your love of Tapia?
(Mike from Utica, NY)
Better? I didn't see that type of upside. I liked it, but he doesn't have the same level of feel and I wasn't sold on his abilities at 3B. Good approach at the plate and I liked his swing, but I don't think he belongs in the same conversation with Dahl or Tapia. (Jason Parks)
2014-04-03 19:30:00 (link to chat)What do you think of Ryan McMahon?
(Mike from Utica, NY)
I'm a huge fan. I know he's not exactly a natural right now as a two-sport guy in high school but I think the game will come to him eventually and I love his hitting environments all the way up. He might be someone you trade at season's end for profit because he should be able to mash wherever he is. (Craig Goldstein)
2013-11-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Other than the top talents from the most recent draft class, who has jumped up prospect boards after their first season of pro ball? Phil Ervin? Ryan McMahon? Billy McKinney?
(Fred from Detroit)
Those are nice choices, but don't forget guys like Hunter Harvey, Shipley, Kaminsky. (Jason Parks)
2013-11-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Ryan McMahon do you think his numbers in the pioneer league were a mirage or is he a very good prospect?
(Mike from Utica, NY)
I won't go so far as to say he is a "very good" prospect yet, but he's an intriguing player with the physicality and offensive profile fit at the hot corner if it comes together. He's raw and relatively inexperienced, so there's a long developmental path ahead of him. (Mark Anderson)
2013-11-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Any of these prospects jump off the board for you? Rosell Herrera, Nick Williams, Ryan McMahon, Arismendy Alcantara, and Jesse Winker. What are your thoughts? Thanks Ben!
(Ryan from Cincy)
Last pinch hitting appearance from Mark Anderson: "The two that jump out the most to me are Williams and Alcantara. Williams is a gifted natural hitter and he could be an impact bat at the highest level. Alcantara can contribute in all phases of the game and he has some thump in his bat as well. I really like what Alcantara brings to the table. I've always been partial to Herrera and think he may have finally turned a corner in 2013, but I'm still a little skeptical of him."

Mark will be chatting at BP at 1 PM ET next Thursday, so show up then to get prospect questions answered without an intermediary. (Ben Lindbergh)


BP Roundtables

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