Biographical

Portrait of Alex Reyes

Alex Reyes PCardinals

Cardinals Player Cards | Cardinals Team Audit | Cardinals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 19)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
39.7 6.12 1.77 23 2 4 0 -0.7
Birth Date8-29-1994
Height6' 3"
Weight185 lbs
Age20 years, 1 months, 22 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.72014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2013 JCY Rk 12 12 58.3 4.25 122 .243 .248 .320 .366 .254 .349 111 11.1 1.1 11.1 1.1
2014 PEO A 21 21 109.3 3.84 109 .250 .251 .319 .364 .260 .295 93 16.4 1.7 16.4 1.7

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2013 JCY Rk 6 4 0 12 12 58.3 54 28 68 1 45% .349 8.3 4.3 0.2 10.5 1.41 3.39 11.1 1.1
2014 PEO A 7 7 0 21 21 109.3 82 61 137 6 40% .295 6.8 5.0 0.5 11.3 1.31 3.62 16.4 1.7

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 3.4 4.5 0 13 13 62.1 54 30 36 6 .269 1.36 4.48 4.87 0.6 0.1
80o 2.8 4.2 0 11 11 54.0 52 28 31 6 .287 1.48 5.00 5.44 -2.8 -0.3
70o 2.4 4 0 10 10 48.5 49 27 28 5 .301 1.58 5.39 5.86 -4.6 -0.5
60o 2 3.8 0 9 9 43.9 47 26 25 5 .313 1.67 5.74 6.23 -5.8 -0.6
50o 1.8 3.6 0 8 8 39.7 45 25 23 5 .324 1.75 6.06 6.59 -6.6 -0.7
40o 1.5 3.4 0 7 7 35.7 42 23 21 5 .336 1.84 6.40 6.96 -7.1 -0.7
30o 1.2 3.1 0 6 6 31.5 39 22 18 4 .348 1.94 6.77 7.36 -7.4 -0.8
20o 0.9 2.8 0 6 6 26.8 36 20 16 4 .362 2.06 7.22 7.85 -7.4 -0.8
10o 0.6 2.3 0 4 4 20.6 30 16 12 3 .383 2.24 7.87 8.55 -6.8 -0.7
Weighted Mean1.73.408838.64324225.3211.736.006.52-6.2-0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152081002929182181951281943.3081.524.895.329.04.76.30.9-1.1
2016217802525147138711081543.2981.424.434.818.44.36.60.90.0
2017228902828171167781271843.3091.444.514.908.84.16.70.9-0.2
2018237802525149139641231643.3071.374.174.538.43.97.41.00.5
2019246702222132128591021443.3091.424.444.838.74.07.01.0-0.0
202025670212112612253941343.3071.394.344.728.73.86.70.90.1
2021266702222130122501021343.3051.324.034.388.43.57.10.90.7
2022277702323133124491071343.3031.303.904.248.43.37.20.90.9
2023287702323135124491121443.3021.283.784.118.23.37.40.91.1

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseball0.7out of baseball0.5out of baseball1.2

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 92)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 98 Jhondaniel Medina 2012 0.00 DNP
2 97 Tyrell Jenkins 2012 0.00 DNP
3 97 Eduardo Rodriguez 2012 0.00 DNP
4 97 Ranfi Casimiro 2012 0.00 DNP
5 97 Jenrry Mejia 2009 0.00 DNP
6 96 Jonathan Pettibone 2010 0.00 DNP
7 96 Jairo Labourt 2013 0.00 DNP
8 96 Adys Portillo 2011 0.00 DNP
9 95 Jayson Aquino 2012 0.00 DNP
10 95 Edwin Escobar 2011 0.00 DNP
11 95 Keivi Rojas 2012 0.00 DNP
12 95 Victor Araujo 2012 0.00 DNP
13 95 Carlos Diaz 2013 0.00 DNP
14 95 Aliangel Lopez 2013 0.00 DNP
15 95 Domingo German 2012 0.00 DNP
16 95 Jesse Biddle 2011 0.00 DNP
17 95 Clayton Cook 2010 0.00 DNP
18 95 Adalberto Mejia 2012 0.00 DNP
19 94 Miguel Sulbaran 2013 0.00 DNP
20 94 Brad Hand 2009 0.00 DNP
21 94 Carlos Estevez 2012 0.00 DNP
22 94 Abel De Los Santos 2012 0.00 DNP
23 94 Adrian Houser 2012 0.00 DNP
24 93 Carlos Pimentel 2009 0.00 DNP
25 93 Mike Foltynewicz 2011 0.00 DNP
26 93 Julio Teheran 2010 0.00 DNP
27 93 John Barbato 2012 0.00 DNP
28 93 Alberto Cabrera 2008 0.00 DNP
29 93 Clayton Blackburn 2012 0.00 DNP
30 93 J.C. Ramirez 2008 0.00 DNP
31 93 Stolmy Pimentel 2009 0.00 DNP
32 93 Andrew Faulkner 2012 0.00 DNP
33 92 Jonathan Martinez 2013 0.00 DNP
34 92 Will Smith 2009 0.00 DNP
35 92 Michael Flores 2012 0.00 DNP
36 92 Raul Alcantara 2012 0.00 DNP
37 92 John Lamb 2010 0.00 DNP
38 91 Mauricio Cabrera 2013 0.00 DNP
39 91 Akeel Morris 2012 0.00 DNP
40 91 Aaron Sanchez 2012 0.00 DNP
41 91 Blake Snell 2012 0.00 DNP
42 91 Luis Lugo 2013 0.00 DNP
43 91 Garrett Gould 2011 0.00 DNP
44 91 Michael Feliz 2012 0.00 DNP
45 91 Felix Jorge 2013 0.00 DNP
46 91 Josh Warner 2012 0.00 DNP
47 91 Hector Silvestre 2012 0.00 DNP
48 91 Kelvin De La Cruz 2008 0.00 DNP
49 91 Robinson Lopez 2010 0.00 DNP
50 91 Francis Ramirez 2011 0.00 DNP
51 90 Sergio Gomez 2013 0.00 DNP
52 90 Jarlin Garcia 2012 0.00 DNP
53 90 Roman Mendez 2010 0.00 DNP
54 90 Andrew Bellatti 2011 0.00 DNP
55 90 Randall Delgado 2009 0.00 DNP
56 90 Jefferson Olacio 2013 0.00 DNP
57 90 Wilfredo Boscan 2009 0.00 DNP
58 90 Andry Ubiera 2012 0.00 DNP
59 90 Nick Barnese 2008 0.00 DNP
60 90 Jeurys Familia 2009 0.00 DNP
61 90 Victor Payano 2012 0.00 DNP
62 90 Fabian Williamson 2008 0.00 DNP
63 90 Jorge Bucardo 2009 0.00 DNP
64 90 Carlos Melo 2010 0.00 DNP
65 90 Tyler Chatwood 2009 0.00 DNP
66 90 Jose Flores 2012 0.00 DNP
67 90 Nicholas Bucci 2010 0.00 DNP
68 90 David Holmberg 2011 0.00 DNP
69 90 Liam Hendriks 2008 0.00 DNP
70 90 Richard Alvarez 2012 0.00 DNP
71 89 Kyle Ryan 2011 0.00 DNP
72 89 Rigoberto Garcia 2013 0.00 DNP
73 89 Lino Martinez 2012 0.00 DNP
74 89 Kendry Flores 2011 0.00 DNP
75 89 Martire Garcia 2009 0.00 DNP
76 89 Johendi Jiminian 2012 0.00 DNP
77 89 Alex Sanabia 2008 0.00 DNP
78 89 Noah Syndergaard 2012 0.00 DNP
79 89 Carlos Perez 2011 0.00 DNP
80 89 Tyler Vail 2011 0.00 DNP
81 88 Kasey Kiker 2007 0.00 DNP
82 88 Eduardo Aldama 2009 0.00 DNP
83 88 Benjamin Wells 2012 0.00 DNP
84 88 Clemente Mendoza 2010 0.00 DNP
85 88 Jason Garcia 2012 0.00 DNP
86 87 Enrique Burgos 2010 0.00 DNP
87 87 Juan Urbina 2012 0.00 DNP
88 87 Yorman Landa 2013 0.00 DNP
89 87 Greg Billo 2010 0.00 DNP
90 87 Arodys Vizcaino 2010 0.00 DNP
91 87 Juri Perez 2010 0.00 DNP
92 87 Steve Johnson 2007 0.00 DNP
93 87 Yimmi Brasoban 2013 0.00 DNP
94 87 Baudilio Lopez 2010 0.00 DNP
95 86 Jairo Heredia 2009 0.00 DNP
96 86 Mike Montgomery 2009 0.00 DNP
97 86 Doug Salinas 2008 0.00 DNP
98 86 Euclides Leyer 2012 0.00 DNP
99 86 Daniel Tuttle 2010 0.00 DNP
100 86 Adrian Salcedo 2010 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

No BP Book Comments have been found for this player.

BP Articles

Alex Reyes is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, August 18Jeff Moore2014-08-19
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: August 18, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-08-18
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 12Jeff Moore2014-08-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, July 23Jeff Moore2014-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, July 16Jeff Moore2014-07-17
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, July 2Jeff Moore2014-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, June 26Jeff Moore2014-06-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, June 11Jeff Moore2014-06-12
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, June 5Jeff Moore2014-06-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Profiling Alex ReyesCraig Goldstein2014-06-04
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 27, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: NL Central U25 ListsCraig Goldstein2014-04-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: NL Central U25 ListsBen Carsley2014-04-15
BP Top 101 Prospects: Opening Day AssignmentsRon Shah2014-04-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 101 Fantasy Prospects of 2014: Part Two: 51-101Bret Sayre2014-03-04
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2014-02-27
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2014 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: St. Louis Cardinals Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-02-07
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-01-27
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsJason Parks2014-01-27
The Top 101 Prospects of 2014: Sliced and DicedMauricio Rubio2014-01-27
The Top 101 Prospects of 2014: Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2014-01-27


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-10-09 15:00:00 (link to chat)If Alex Reyes can become consistent in his mechanics and improve his control, is there a top of the rotation potential with him?
(Isaac from last one)
Yes, but it's a long way off. What's weird is that I don't think Reyes ends up 'in the middle'. I think he's either a TOTR guy or a pen arm. I just have that kind of feeling with him. The mechs improved throughout the year, and the stuff is very, very lively. But, he struggles to hit the glove, and probably needs to lose 15 pounds. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-09-10 12:00:00 (link to chat)Rank this dominican arms Domingo German michael feliz Alex reyes and Reynaldo lopez.
(Jeffrey from New York)
1. Reynaldo Lopez
2. Alex Reyes
3. Domingo German
4. Michael Feliz (Tucker Blair)
2014-09-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Alex Reyes improved his control during the second half. Where do you think he ranks among prospect pitchers going into the offseason?
(Andrew from St. Augustine)
Question for the BP scout team! My two cents is, he only turned 20 last week and pitched in the Midwest League this year, so there's still a lot of road to travel before he reaches the Majors. But with his stuff he has to be viewed as a legit prospect... just not for 2015, in all likelihood. (Cory Schwartz)
2014-07-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)Not sure if you've witnessed or seen video of Alex Reyes, but can his massive walk rate be traced to mechanics, pitches that he doesn't yet have command of, or a combination?
(Alex from Wis)
I have not seen Reyes yet, so I will lean toward the BP prospect team for an evaluation. As a teaser, here's what JP and the crew said about Reyes' weaknesses in the Cards Top 10 List:

"Weaknesses: Needs general refinement; still transitioning from thrower to pitcher; needs to sharpen up command; work on sequencing; PFP refinement; holding runners; changeup is third offering; can overthrow the pitch; more deliberate in release."

On the jukebox: Sepultura, "Ratamahatta" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-07-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)What's Alex Reyes' ceiling? Striking out tons of guys in the midwest league
(Dick Grande from St Louis)
I will point to the aforementioned article from the prospect crew ( http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=22759 ).

Another teaser, his listed strengths: "Prototypical size; room for physical projection; electric arm speed; easy action and smooth release; fastball already works plus; projects to be plus-plus; 92-98 mph with late action; curveball could be second well above-average offering; hard breaker with tight rotation and heavy vertical bite; feel for changeup; could end up playing above average; delivery conducive for command projection" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)Have you seen Alex Reyes yet and what are your thoughts on him? (sorry if I missed a report on him). I saw him once and even though he walked 7 he looked absolutely insane out there, 95-96 with really nice CB and an unfair CH
(Tommy from Chicago)
I have seen Reyes. The mechanical profile is really rough. A lot of spine tilt, no consistency or rhythm, struggles to repeat. But man, the stuff is downright filthy. Was 93-96 T 97 in my viewing, and the CB flashed no-nonsense 6+ (even though it'll probably end up around a 6). CH is starting to come along, and he's developing feel.

I really liked the arm, but it's going to be a slow burn. Going to need to refine the mechanical profile, and probably needs to lose 10-15 pounds. Sir (who knighted him) Mix a lot would be jealous of what he's got going on back there.

He's in a great org for a project, and the Cardinals may make an impact starter out of him. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)Who threw the best breaking ball you've seen all year?
(Fart Garfunkel from Poopsylvania)
I was sitting on the side for the futures game, but this guy Lucas Giolito has a pretty good one. Hunter Harvey's had big time depth.

Full game observance: Jake Thompson's SL is really nasty. Alex Reyes' flashed 6+. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)From the Peoria rotation, would you rather have Rob Kaminsky or Alex Reyes?
(justarobert from Santa Clara)
It's funny you ask. These two guys were probably the most overrated pitchers I've seen this season. I was going in expecting two impact arms, but didn't see it. Reyes has command issues, and there's certainly a chance he ends up in the pen.

Kaminsky, I actually saw earlier this week. He was mostly high 80's. Could reach back for a bit more when he needed it and could certainly pitch, but the FB was flatter than I thought. The CB was good, not great. Didn't get many swings and misses. I was shocked to see his numbers, because the stuff doesn't fit the results. He's a #4 type.

I'd rather have Kaminsky because there's a better chance he's a big league starter, but they're in fairly close proximity. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-03 19:00:00 (link to chat)Who is the Cardinals next great pitcher: Rob Kaminsky, Alex Reyes or someone else?
(scott from az)
I saw Alex Reyes so I'm biased that way. He's got a lot of refining to do still but at 19 he has a big fastball and a hammer with a developing change. I might be in love with him. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-06-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)I know that Parks was aggressive in arguing Alex Reyes into the BP 101 and touted him as a potential big riser in season. Has the opinion on him changed at all with his continued control issues or just typical development of a young arm? Seems to still be missing bats consistently and generating weak contact. Thanks.
(JoJo from SD)
I don't know that any opinions have changed on Reyes so much as this is just the sort of thing that happens with young prospects all the time. Many are poised to make a jump. Some make it, others don't. It doesn't mean he won't The talent is still there. Sometimes it's tough to harness it. (Jeff Moore)
2014-05-29 19:30:00 (link to chat)Hey Ben, what would your order be of these prospects you would want in a Dynasty League? Alexander Reyes, Hunter Harvey,Francisco Mejia, Franchy Cordero, Ryan McMahon?
(kiper90 from Rochester, NY)
Hmm, let's go Harvey, McMahon, Reyes, Cordero, Mejia. Is this Craig? These are all guys who Craig loves. (Ben Carsley)
2014-05-15 20:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Bret, what would your order be of these prospects you would want in a Dynasty League? Alexander Reyes, Hunter Harvey,Francisco Mejia, Franchy Cordero, Ryan McMahon?
(kiper90 from Rochester, NY)
I'd go Harvey, McMahon, Reyes, Cordero, Mejia. (Bret Sayre)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Professor Parks, what would your order be of these prospects if you had them in your farm? Alexander Reyes, Hunter Harvey,Francisco Mejia, Franchy Cordero, Ryan McMahon?
(kiper90 from Rochester, NY)
Harvey, Reyes, Mejia, McMahon, Cordero (Jason Parks)
2014-04-03 19:30:00 (link to chat)who has the highest ceiling between Alexander Reyes and Sean Manaea?
(gdabdullah from milwaukee)
I'd say they're fairly comparable as potential #2 guys. Maybe Reyes has a little more ceiling because he's further away and it's more likely something crazy happens and gives him an extra bump, but by the same token he carries more risk. If I'm picking one today, I'm going with Manaea (Craig Goldstein)
2014-03-19 20:00:00 (link to chat)in a deep dynasty any pitching prospects with high ceilings and arent close to the majors? need some names for late
(tno1986 from nyc)
Lewis Thorpe, Alexander Reyes, Jose Martinez, Alberto Tirado. (Bret Sayre)
2014-03-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Got on the Alexander Reyes train while it's still time to get him on the cheap.I know this can be tricky but what would be a good major league or minor league comp.Past or present.
(Spirou from Montreal)
That's tough. I'd really wanna see more before that, but it's impossible not to be giddy about his potential especially with the organization he's in (Paul Sporer)
2014-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Raimel Tapia and Alexander Reyes came out of nowhere with a lot of hype this year. Who has the best chances of being their equivalent next year?
(Silverback38 from VA)
In today's scouting notes, I wrote up Marlins pitching prospect Jorgan Cavanerio. It's not too often that I see a guy I've never heard of and am wowed by his performance, but that's what happened with Cavanerio. He's already quite good and if he takes another step when he gets off the complex leagues, everyone will know about him. (Jeff Moore)
2014-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Saw the post of Alexander Reyes earlier; how good can he be?
(Rich from Maryland)
"Reyes has the highest ceiling of any arm on the Cardinals farm." That's a direct quote from our Cardinals top-10 from Parks about Reyes. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)I was intrigued by Alexander Reyes at No. 98 on the BP top 101 list since I can't remember seeing much analysis of him on the site. What prompted his inclusion?
(benjamingh from IA)
He's a badass with a loose arm, great body, highly projectable arsenal that could include two 70 grade pitches and a 60 CH. (Jason Parks on the Top 101 Prospects)
2014-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you approve of what Alexander Reyes did to get more money?
(Bubba from St. Louis)
Sure, why not? As long as he wasn't being put in any danger. The market has loopholes that not every player is willing to exploit. Good for those who are willing to take chances. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)The STL system gets a lot of hype but a couple SP I haven't heard much about - Tim Cooney and Alexander Reyes - had good years. Thoughts on these two in a deep dynasty league? Thanks.
(Tuco from STL)
I'm a bigger fan of Reyes and actually own him in a deep NL-Only league. Both are worth rostering depending on the depth of your league/minor league system. (Craig Goldstein)
2013-12-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Give us 1 pitching prospect and 1 hitting prospect we may not all know now, who will be household names at this time next year
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
RHP Alexander Reyes (Cardinals); Francisco Mejia (Indians) (Jason Parks)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.