Biographical

Portrait of Nick Pivetta

Nick Pivetta P  

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Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 23)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
112.7 5.01 1.48 74 6 9 0 -0.4
Birth Date2-14-1993
Height6' 5"
Weight220 lbs
Age23 years, 6 months, 12 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2012
2013
2014
2015
-0.42016
+proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2013 AUB A- 5 5 21.3 0 1 0 19 11 17 1 .256 107 8.0 4.6 0.4 7.2 39% .271 .275 1.41 3.80 3.38
2013 NAT Rk 4 3 12.7 1 0 0 11 2 8 0 .249 106 7.8 1.4 0.0 5.7 58% .289 .222 1.03 2.67 2.13
2014 HAG A 26 25 132.3 13 8 0 142 39 98 15 .258 105 9.7 2.7 1.0 6.7 44% .309 .275 1.37 4.60 4.22
2015 POT A+ 15 14 86.3 7 4 0 70 29 72 4 .258 98 7.3 3.0 0.4 7.5 47% .274 .243 1.15 3.26 2.29
2015 HAR AA 3 3 15.0 0 2 0 19 9 6 4 .263 93 11.4 5.4 2.4 3.6 35% .294 .356 1.87 7.74 7.20
2015 REA AA 7 7 28.3 2 2 0 32 19 25 4 .254 109 10.2 6.0 1.3 7.9 41% .341 .307 1.80 5.67 7.31
2016 REA AA 22 22 124.0 11 6 0 108 41 111 10 .258 106 7.8 3.0 0.7 8.1 45% .283 .241 1.20 3.75 3.41
2016 LEH AAA 3 3 15.0 0 1 0 10 5 20 1 .246 95 6.0 3.0 0.6 12.0 47% .273 .220 1.00 2.54 2.40

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-05-21 2014-06-03 Minors 13 0 - Not Disclosed - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 7.5 9 0 27 27 134.5 116 47 88 15 .267 1.22 3.98 4.33 15.9 1.7
80o 6.8 9.1 0 25 25 126.8 117 48 83 15 .281 1.30 4.39 4.77 9.1 1.0
70o 6.2 9.1 0 24 24 121.4 118 48 79 15 .291 1.37 4.69 5.1 4.6 0.5
60o 5.8 9.1 0 23 23 116.8 118 48 76 15 .300 1.42 4.95 5.38 1.2 0.1
50o 5.4 9 0 22 22 112.7 118 48 74 15 .308 1.48 5.20 5.65 -1.8 -0.2
40o 5 9 0 21 21 108.5 118 48 71 15 .317 1.53 5.45 5.93 -4.5 -0.5
30o 4.6 9 0 21 21 104.2 118 48 68 15 .325 1.60 5.73 6.22 -7.1 -0.8
20o 4.2 8.9 0 20 20 99.3 118 48 65 15 .336 1.67 6.05 6.58 -9.9 -1.1
10o 3.6 8.8 0 18 18 92.6 117 48 61 15 .350 1.78 6.52 7.08 -13.2 -1.4
Weighted Mean5.4902222112.4117487415.3061.475.175.62-1.4-0.2

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 8/25/2016 11:14 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 6.7 8.8 0 25 25 125.6 115 47 78 15 .260 1.30 4.15 4.31 9.2 1.0
80o 6 8.7 0 23 23 118.2 117 48 74 15 .274 1.39 4.53 4.73 3.2 0.3
70o 5.6 8.7 0 22 22 112.9 117 48 70 15 .284 1.47 4.82 5.03 -0.7 -0.1
60o 5.2 8.7 0 21 21 108.6 118 48 68 15 .293 1.53 5.07 5.3 -3.8 -0.4
50o 4.8 8.6 0 21 21 104.5 118 48 65 15 .301 1.59 5.31 5.55 -6.6 -0.7
40o 4.5 8.6 0 20 20 100.6 118 48 63 15 .309 1.66 5.55 5.81 -9.2 -1.0
30o 4.2 8.5 0 19 19 96.5 118 48 60 15 .318 1.73 5.81 6.09 -11.8 -1.3
20o 3.8 8.4 0 18 18 91.7 118 48 57 15 .328 1.81 6.12 6.42 -14.5 -1.6
10o 3.2 8.3 0 17 17 85.3 117 48 53 15 .343 1.94 6.57 6.9 -18.0 -2.0
Weighted Mean4.98.602121104.4117486515.2991.585.285.52-6.2-0.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
6% 14% 1% 8% 15%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201724470171710110849711338.3211.565.255.829.74.46.31.2-0.6
2018254601515909639581238.3121.515.195.759.63.95.81.2-0.4
2019264601414849137561238.3151.525.205.769.73.96.01.3-0.4
2020274601414848936551238.3111.495.185.749.63.95.91.3-0.4
2021284501414808734531138.3191.525.115.669.83.86.01.2-0.3
2022294601515879237591238.3151.495.055.599.63.86.11.2-0.3
2023304501414838633571138.3111.444.905.439.43.66.21.2-0.1
2024314501313778332521038.3181.504.965.509.73.86.11.2-0.2
202532340111163672643838.3161.484.955.489.63.76.11.1-0.1

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseball1.1out of baseballout of baseballout of baseball1.1

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
2015out of baseballout of baseball1.1out of baseballout of baseballout of baseball1.1

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 92)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 97 Daniel Corcino 2014 4.34
2 97 Tyler Wagner 2014 0.00 DNP
3 96 Taylor Rogers 2014 0.00 DNP
4 95 Hoby Milner 2014 0.00 DNP
5 94 Mason Melotakis 2014 0.00 DNP
6 94 Elliot Morris 2015 0.00 DNP
7 94 Fernando Nieve 2006 4.30
8 94 Garrett Gould 2015 0.00 DNP
9 93 Josh Butler 2008 0.00 DNP
10 93 Trevor Miller 2014 0.00 DNP
11 93 Tom Windle 2015 0.00 DNP
12 93 Sergio Perez 2008 0.00 DNP
13 93 Mike Hinckley 2006 0.00 DNP
14 93 Chris Beck 2014 0.00 DNP
15 92 Daniel Stumpf 2014 0.00 DNP
16 92 Ricky Nolasco 2006 5.46
17 92 Hansel Robles 2014 0.00 DNP
18 92 Silfredo Garcia 2015 0.00 DNP
19 92 Daniel Haigwood 2007 0.00 DNP
20 92 Ronald Bay 2007 0.00 DNP
21 92 Ruben Alaniz 2014 0.00 DNP
22 92 Luis Diaz 2015 0.00 DNP
23 92 Duke von Schamann 2014 0.00 DNP
24 92 Kris Johnson 2008 0.00 DNP
25 92 J.A. Happ 2006 0.00 DNP
26 92 Ty Taubenheim 2006 5.66
27 92 Navery Moore 2014 0.00 DNP
28 92 Hung-Wen Chen 2009 0.00 DNP
29 92 Andrew Carpenter 2008 0.00
30 91 Mayckol Guaipe 2014 0.00 DNP
31 91 Buddy Borden 2015 0.00 DNP
32 91 Javier Avendano 2014 0.00 DNP
33 91 Hector Hernandez 2014 0.00 DNP
34 91 Branden Kline 2015 0.00 DNP
35 91 Ricky Romero 2008 0.00 DNP
36 91 Chi Chi Gonzalez 2015 4.43
37 91 Justin Orenduff 2006 0.00 DNP
38 91 Jae Kuk Ryu 2006 8.40
39 91 Jeff Ames 2014 0.00 DNP
40 91 Juan Gutierrez 2007 5.91
41 91 Glen Perkins 2006 1.59
42 91 Kent Emanuel 2015 0.00 DNP
43 91 Ryan Mattheus 2007 0.00 DNP
44 91 Kyle Heckathorn 2011 0.00 DNP
45 91 Sebastian Vader 2015 0.00 DNP
46 91 Michael Lorenzen 2015 5.56
47 91 Miguel Pena 2014 0.00 DNP
48 91 Sung-Wei Tseng 2008 0.00 DNP
49 91 Mark Appel 2015 0.00 DNP
50 91 Steve Johnson 2011 0.00 DNP
51 91 Kyle Weiland 2010 0.00 DNP
52 91 Dallas Buck 2008 0.00 DNP
53 91 Ray Liotta 2006 0.00 DNP
54 91 Ryan Tepera 2011 0.00 DNP
55 91 Justin Marks 2011 0.00 DNP
56 91 Matt Lollis 2014 0.00 DNP
57 91 Gustavo Gomez 2014 0.00 DNP
58 91 Josh Collmenter 2009 0.00 DNP
59 91 Sam LeCure 2007 0.00 DNP
60 91 Michael Goodnight 2012 0.00 DNP
61 91 Andrew Cashner 2010 5.13
62 90 Jose De Paula 2011 0.00 DNP
63 90 Jesus Sanchez 2011 0.00 DNP
64 90 Cesar Valdez 2008 0.00 DNP
65 90 Jeff Ferrell 2014 0.00 DNP
66 90 Blake Johnson 2008 0.00 DNP
67 90 Michael Devaney 2006 0.00 DNP
68 90 Michael Kirkman 2010 1.65
69 90 Colton Cain 2014 0.00 DNP
70 90 Brett Brach 2011 0.00 DNP
71 90 Wynn Pelzer 2009 0.00 DNP
72 90 Pedro Encarnacion 2014 0.00 DNP
73 90 Patrick Scoggin 2014 0.00 DNP
74 90 Jerry Sullivan 2011 0.00 DNP
75 90 Daniel Rosenbaum 2011 0.00 DNP
76 90 Joe Gardner 2011 0.00 DNP
77 90 Konner Wade 2015 0.00 DNP
78 90 Jason Adam 2015 0.00 DNP
79 90 Josh Hodges 2014 0.00 DNP
80 90 Drew Miller 2009 0.00 DNP
81 90 Matt Fairel 2011 0.00 DNP
82 90 Carlos Rosa 2008 2.70
83 90 Jake Cose 2014 0.00 DNP
84 90 Seth Streich 2014 0.00 DNP
85 90 Mike McClendon 2008 0.00 DNP
86 90 Ronnie Martinez 2007 0.00 DNP
87 90 Joshua Slaats 2012 0.00 DNP
88 90 Jered Weaver 2006 2.63
89 90 Max Russell 2012 0.00 DNP
90 90 Robert Gilliam 2011 0.00 DNP
91 90 Zachary Neal 2012 0.00 DNP
92 90 Matt Anderson 2015 0.00 DNP
93 90 Ricky Orta 2008 0.00 DNP
94 90 Roberto Gomez 2013 0.00 DNP
95 90 James Gillheeney 2011 0.00 DNP
96 90 Scott Shaw 2010 0.00 DNP
97 90 Rob Rasmussen 2012 0.00 DNP
98 90 Jason Hammel 2006 7.77
99 90 Sean West 2009 5.23
100 90 Jerad Eickhoff 2014 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 Velocity: Everybody's got to have it. The Mets made the World Series on the back of an endless supply of starters who threw everything hard; the Royals had a similar story, but with relievers. Successful major-league pitching seasons in this era of baseball are often built on high-velocity arms, and the finer the control on a particular version of 97 mph gas, the better. Pivetta, acquired from the Nationals in the Jonathan Papelbon Trojan Horse, has the big arm and big fastball numbers to one day hack it in the bigs, but command questions temper any expectations beyond that. He throws two fastballs and two breaking balls, plus a changeup, but currently the only plus thing about any of those is the heater velocity. If three of those five can somehow find their way to becoming even average overall pitches, Pivetta's chances of sticking as a starter increase dramatically. Failing that, the bullpen seems the spot. It's still too early to call, and that volatility makes Pivetta equal parts intriguing and worrisome.

BP Articles

Nick Pivetta is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 2ndWilson Karaman2016-08-03
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Eastern League ASG, Eastern DivisionGrant Jones2016-07-20
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Eastern League ASG, Eastern DivisionAdam McInturff2016-07-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 17-19Christopher Crawford2016-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessThe 2015 Arizona Fall League: Desert Thrillin'Wilson Karaman2015-09-02
This article requires BP Premium accessThe 2015 Arizona Fall League: Desert Thrillin'Mark Anderson2015-09-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 13thJeff Moore2015-08-14
Raw Projection: Ep. 13: Probably for the BestTucker Blair2015-08-03
Raw Projection: Ep. 13: Probably for the BestMauricio Rubio2015-08-03
Raw Projection: Ep. 13: Probably for the BestCJ Wittmann2015-08-03
BP Unfiltered: The 2015 Trade Deadline Transaction Analysis ThreadBaseball Prospectus2015-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Papel-GoneTucker Blair2015-07-29
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Papel-GoneR.J. Anderson2015-07-29
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Papel-GoneBret Sayre2015-07-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWeekly Wrap: July 10, 2015Craig Goldstein2015-07-10
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: July 1, 2015BP Prospect Staff2015-07-01
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, April 20, 2015Jeff Moore2015-04-21
Spring Training Notebook: Grapefruit League: March 26, 2015Jeff Moore2015-03-26
Spring Training Notebook: Grapefruit League: March 26, 2015Chris King2015-03-26


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2015-04-22 14:00:00 (link to chat)CJ, great job on the reports lately, you and the BP team (besides Craig) have been crushing it. Few questions- 1) Are you going to make a cameo at the BP Milwaukee event? 2) Can you talk Nick Pivetta and Wilmer Difo? I think you saw them both in action this week. Thanks. #MortBlood
(NatsGM from THE NatsGM Studios)
I think this is a good question to open with. Craig will be out at games shortly and the Milwaukee event? I doubt it unless I can get a flight in. I will have reports in on Pivetta and Difo tonight so I think you will see that soon. Short version, Nick Pivetta: backend starter and Wilmer Difo: role 6 SS at peak. (CJ Wittmann)
2014-09-10 12:00:00 (link to chat)Are the Nationals one of the more underrated farm systems? Besides having the best pitcher in the minors, they seem to have a lot of toolsy, high-upside type of guys. And they have Reynaldo Lopez.
(Shawn from Cubicle)
I think they are, partially because I was able to watch Hagerstown all season.

3 impact arms in Gioltio, Lopez, Cole
Nick Pivetta and Jake Johansen have ability
Rafael Bautista, Wilmer Difo, Drew Ward

It's a nice group, and that was basically only Hagerstown. Pedro Severino is a solid defense-first C for Potomac, and they still have a few guys like Brian Goodwin, Matt Skole, etc that could potentially provide impact. (Tucker Blair)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.