Biographical

Portrait of Jake Thompson

Jake Thompson P  

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Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 22)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
114.7 4.37 1.32 95 6 8 0 0.5
Birth Date1-31-1994
Height6' 4"
Weight235 lbs
Age22 years, 2 months, 29 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.52016
proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA. (For previous card version with FAIR_RA, click here.)
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2012 TGR Rk 7 7 28.3 14 10 31 1 .233 94 4.4 3.2 0.3 9.8 56% .206 .157 0.85 2.87 1.91
2013 WMI A 17 16 83.3 79 32 91 4 .257 101 8.5 3.5 0.4 9.8 45% .325 .260 1.33 3.33 3.13
2014 LAK A+ 16 16 83.0 75 25 79 3 .256 99 8.1 2.7 0.3 8.6 44% .316 .226 1.20 3.11 3.14
2014 ERI AA 2 2 11.0 10 4 7 0 .253 105 8.2 3.3 0.0 5.7 40% .286 .247 1.27 3.45 2.45
2014 FRI AA 7 6 35.7 28 18 44 3 .266 99 7.1 4.5 0.8 11.1 46% .305 .231 1.29 3.34 3.28
2015 FRI AA 17 17 87.7 94 30 78 7 .262 111 9.7 3.1 0.7 8.0 46% .330 .261 1.41 3.82 4.72
2015 REA AA 7 7 45.0 33 12 34 3 .244 100 6.6 2.4 0.6 6.8 52% .256 .201 1.00 3.42 1.80
2016 LEH AAA 4 4 19.0 22 8 18 2 .253 99 10.4 3.8 0.9 8.5 37% .351 .283 1.58 4.20 6.16

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 dFrontline Sports2014

Details
  • Acquired by Texas in trade from Detroit 7/22/14 (Soria deal).
  • Drafted by Detroit 2012 (2-91) (Rockwall-Heath HS, Heath, Texas). $0.5318M signing bonus (slot amount).

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 4/28/2016 07:49 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 7 8.2 0 25 25 126.4 110 38 102 15 .263 1.17 3.65 3.74 17.3 1.9
80o 6.4 8.2 0 23 23 119.5 111 38 97 15 .276 1.25 4.01 4.12 11.4 1.2
70o 6 8.2 0 22 22 114.7 112 38 93 15 .286 1.31 4.27 4.4 7.4 0.8
60o 5.6 8.2 0 22 22 110.6 112 39 89 15 .294 1.37 4.50 4.65 4.1 0.4
50o 5.3 8.1 0 21 21 106.8 113 39 86 15 .301 1.42 4.72 4.88 1.3 0.1
40o 5 8.1 0 20 20 103.1 113 39 83 15 .309 1.47 4.94 5.11 -1.4 -0.1
30o 4.6 8.1 0 19 19 99.2 113 39 80 15 .317 1.53 5.17 5.37 -4.1 -0.5
20o 4.2 8 0 18 18 94.8 113 39 77 15 .327 1.60 5.45 5.67 -7.1 -0.8
10o 3.8 7.9 0 17 17 88.7 112 38 72 15 .340 1.70 5.85 6.09 -10.7 -1.2
Weighted Mean5.38.102121106.6112388615.3001.414.694.851.60.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
8% 14% 11% 18% 33%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2017236802222130124531151743.3101.374.555.078.63.78.01.20.3
2018246701919112108451011443.3151.364.444.958.73.68.11.10.4
2019255501515918934811243.3171.354.474.988.83.48.01.20.3
2020265501616918835821243.3131.354.464.978.73.48.11.20.3
2021275501515898531801143.3171.314.214.698.63.18.11.10.5
2022285501616938933841243.3141.324.294.788.63.28.21.20.5
2023294501515868431781143.3171.334.284.778.83.28.11.10.5
2024304501515868430781143.3151.324.304.798.83.18.11.10.4
2025314501414827928731143.3151.304.294.788.73.18.01.20.4

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
out of baseball124.80.75.61.325.8

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
2015out of baseball124.80.75.61.325.8

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 90)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 95 Kasey Kiker 2010 0.00 DNP
2 94 Nick Kingham 2014 0.00 DNP
3 94 Anthony Swarzak 2008 0.00 DNP
4 94 Giovanni Soto 2013 0.00 DNP
5 94 Jon Moscot 2014 0.00 DNP
6 93 Scott Barnes 2010 0.00 DNP
7 93 Matt Magill 2012 0.00 DNP
8 93 Jordan Walden 2010 2.35
9 93 Jake McGee 2009 0.00 DNP
10 93 Jameson Taillon 2014 0.00 DNP
11 93 Brandon Erbe 2010 0.00 DNP
12 93 Dan Cortes 2009 0.00 DNP
13 93 Manny Banuelos 2013 0.00 DNP
14 92 Aaron Poreda 2009 2.70
15 92 Carlos Carrasco 2009 9.27
16 92 Omar Poveda 2010 0.00 DNP
17 92 Zach McAllister 2010 0.00 DNP
18 92 Alex White 2011 7.36
19 92 Eduardo Rodriguez 2015 4.07
20 92 Daniel Corcino 2013 0.00 DNP
21 92 Steve Garrison 2009 0.00 DNP
22 92 Jeurys Familia 2012 5.84
23 91 Keyvius Sampson 2013 0.00 DNP
24 91 Jarred Cosart 2012 0.00 DNP
25 91 Jimmy Barthmaier 2006 0.00 DNP
26 91 Wade Davis 2008 0.00 DNP
27 91 Gio Gonzalez 2008 9.00
28 91 Allen Webster 2012 0.00 DNP
29 91 Randall Delgado 2012 4.66
30 91 Jason Adam 2014 0.00 DNP
31 91 Kyle Smith 2015 0.00 DNP
32 90 Trey McNutt 2012 0.00 DNP
33 90 David Holmberg 2014 4.80
34 90 Ian Krol 2013 3.95
35 90 C.J. Riefenhauser 2012 0.00 DNP
36 90 Adam Miller 2007 0.00 DNP
37 90 Cesar Carrillo 2006 0.00 DNP
38 90 Chuck Lofgren 2008 0.00 DNP
39 90 Derek Holland 2009 6.38
40 89 Mauricio Robles 2011 0.00 DNP
41 89 Jesse Biddle 2014 0.00 DNP
42 89 Robbie Ray 2014 8.16
43 89 Jon Niese 2009 4.21
44 89 Collin Balester 2008 5.96
45 89 Luis Marte 2009 0.00 DNP
46 89 Brett Oberholtzer 2012 0.00 DNP
47 89 Rafael Montero 2013 0.00 DNP
48 89 Zach Davies 2015 3.71
49 89 Patrick Corbin 2012 4.71
50 89 Greg Reynolds 2008 8.42
51 89 Chris Balcom-Miller 2011 0.00 DNP
52 89 Alex Cobb 2010 0.00 DNP
53 89 Jay Jackson 2010 0.00 DNP
54 89 Fautino De Los Santos 2008 0.00 DNP
55 89 Nick Tropeano 2013 0.00 DNP
56 89 Justin Nicolino 2014 0.00 DNP
57 89 Gerrit Cole 2013 3.30
58 89 Jordan Swagerty 2012 0.00 DNP
59 89 Brandon Maurer 2013 6.60
60 89 Tommy Hanson 2009 2.96
61 89 Stephen Landazuri 2014 0.00 DNP
62 88 Jeanmar Gomez 2010 5.62
63 88 Henry Owens 2015 5.00
64 88 Arodys Vizcaino 2013 0.00 DNP
65 88 Chris Tillman 2010 6.20
66 88 Alec Asher 2014 0.00 DNP
67 88 Troy Patton 2008 0.00 DNP
68 88 Eric Hurley 2008 5.47
69 88 Johnny Cueto 2008 5.22
70 88 Clayton Blackburn 2015 0.00 DNP
71 88 Casey Kelly 2012 7.14
72 88 Will Inman 2009 0.00 DNP
73 88 Jaime Garcia 2009 0.00 DNP
74 88 Will Smith 2012 5.42
75 88 Tim Alderson 2011 0.00 DNP
76 88 Manuel Rivera 2012 0.00 DNP
77 88 Kelvin Herrera 2012 2.56
78 87 Mike Montgomery 2012 0.00 DNP
79 87 Severino Gonzalez 2015 7.92
80 87 Julio Rodriguez 2013 0.00 DNP
81 87 A.J. Cole 2014 0.00 DNP
82 87 Rudy Owens 2010 0.00 DNP
83 87 Brett Cecil 2009 5.69
84 87 Boone Whiting 2012 0.00 DNP
85 87 Nicholas Struck 2012 0.00 DNP
86 87 Jhoulys Chacin 2010 4.19
87 87 Danny Duffy 2011 5.64
88 87 Anthony Ranaudo 2012 0.00 DNP
89 87 Tyler Herron 2009 0.00 DNP
90 87 Sean Watson 2008 0.00 DNP
91 87 Garrett Gould 2014 0.00 DNP
92 87 Kyle Zimmer 2014 0.00 DNP
93 86 Carlos Martinez 2014 4.13
94 86 Martin Perez 2013 3.98
95 86 Jonathan Pettibone 2013 4.49
96 86 Sean O'Sullivan 2010 5.70
97 86 John Stilson 2013 0.00 DNP
98 86 Robert Stephenson 2015 0.00 DNP
99 86 Hector Rondon 2010 0.00 DNP
100 86 Juan Oramas 2012 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 One of the best descriptors the baseball lexicon has is “wipeout” as it pertains to the quality of a slider. No other pitch gets the label, and Thompson, lucky son of a gun that he is, has a slider worthy of the title. It is his out pitch and bread-and-butter offering, a curveball that evolved from his early days in Little League into a sharper breaking pitch with less downward plane. Thompson will still feature a hook, but it doesn't pack nearly the punch. A near-consensus top-100 prospect entering the season, a lack of added fastball velocity could be perceived as the biggest disappointment attached to his season, but even then, Thompson's growth didn't stall and there's likely more to come. He shouldn't be considered anything less than a summer 2016 rotation candidate, and can be expected to produce mid-rotation-level results in short order.
2015 The big-bodied Texan arrived back home via a July trade that sent Joakim Soria from the Rangers to Detroit. With a body built for black ink in the innings column, Thompson took a step forward over the course of the season, both in terms of results and stuff. While he features two fastballs, two breaking balls and a developing changeup, Thompson won't be confused for Yu Darvish, but he could find himself in the Rangers' rotation in the second half of 2015, sooner if the pitching hex on the franchise still hasn't been lifted.
2014 Not one word of Thompson's story changed with his introduction to full-season ball: future quality mid-rotation starter in, future quality mid-rotation starter out. The 20-year-old's slider is his best pitch, and makes it easy for him to rack up strikeouts despite work needed on his fastball command, changeup and nascent curveball. Thompson projects as more of a groundball machine, eventually. Early returns on the 2012 second-rounder are appealing, and while the upside doesn't wow, he's headed for a future as, well, a quality major-league starter.
2013 This second-round high schooler out of Texas was actually the first pick in 2012 for the Tigers because their first-round pick was lost in the Fielder signing. The big right-hander brings a solid three-pitch arsenal with him, highlighted by a low-90s fastball with great sink. The curveball and changeup need still need work, but at age 19 that is hardly a knock on him. The curve has more potential of the two, though neither projects to a plus pitch at this point. Thompson has a mid-rotation ceiling, which doesnt require a ton of projection, given that the size and fastball are already in place.

BP Articles

Jake Thompson is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Fourth Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-04-28
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Stash List: Third Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessYouth Movement: The Baseball PROSPECT-us MailbagMark Anderson2016-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessWho to Watch: International LeagueChristopher Crawford2016-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, April 14thMark Anderson2016-04-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Second Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-04-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: First Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-04-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Rebuilding in TDGXBen Carsley2016-04-06
2016 Prospects: The Top 175 Players 25-and-UnderChristopher Crawford2016-04-04
2016 Prospects: The Top 175 Players 25-and-UnderBP Prospect Staff2016-04-04
2016 Prospects: The Top 175 Players 25-and-UnderBrendan Gawlowski2016-04-04
2016 Prospects: The Top 175 Players 25-and-UnderMark Anderson2016-04-04
Prospectus Feature: The Top 101 Prospects of 2016, With Write-UpsBP Prospect Staff2016-04-01
Dynasty Dynamics: A Different Dynasty Top 101Ben Carsley2016-03-23
Winter Is Leaving: Philadelphia PhilliesMichael Baumann2016-03-14
Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: Mychael Givens vs. Corey KnebelJ.J. Jansons2016-03-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2016-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Three-Year Projections: Starting Pitchers, Part Two: 51-125J.J. Jansons2016-03-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher Prospects for 2016Ben Carsley2016-02-26
Fifth Column: PECOTA Picks Philies to Win NL EastMichael Baumann2016-02-23
Fantasy Prospect Rankings: The Top 101 Dynasty League Prospects for 2016Bret Sayre2016-02-15
The NRI Watch: National LeagueBryan Grosnick2016-02-10
2016 Prospects: The Top 101 Prospects, Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2016-01-29
2016 Prospects: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2016-01-05
2016 Prospects: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsJeffrey Paternostro2016-01-05
Transaction Analysis: How the AL Division Champs Got HereBP Staff2015-10-08
This article requires BP Premium accessSome Projection Left: Ask The Industry: Starting PitchersChristopher Crawford2015-09-08
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of September 4-7, 2015Jeff Moore2015-09-08
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, August 31stJeff Moore2015-09-01
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, August 26thJeff Moore2015-08-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 4thJeff Moore2015-08-05
Raw Projection: Ep. 13: Probably for the BestCJ Wittmann2015-08-03
Raw Projection: Ep. 13: Probably for the BestTucker Blair2015-08-03
Raw Projection: Ep. 13: Probably for the BestMauricio Rubio2015-08-03
BP Unfiltered: The 2015 Trade Deadline Transaction Analysis ThreadBaseball Prospectus2015-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Rangers Go HAMelsJeff Moore2015-07-30
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Rangers Go HAMelsColin Young2015-07-30
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Rangers Go HAMelsMatthew Trueblood2015-07-30
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Rangers Go HAMelsKate Morrison2015-07-30
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Rangers Go HAMelsMike Gianella2015-07-30
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, July 27thJeff Moore2015-07-28
This article requires BP Premium accessBP Top 50: The Best Midseason ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2015-07-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 50 Fantasy Prospects: Midseason UpdateBret Sayre2015-07-06
This article requires BP Premium accessRubbing Mud: The Cole Hamels DecisionMatthew Trueblood2015-07-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: 2015 U25 Rankings: American League WestCraig Goldstein2015-06-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: 2015 U25 Rankings: American League WestBen Carsley2015-06-24
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 18, 2015Jeff Moore2015-06-19
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: June 8, 2015BP Prospect Staff2015-06-08
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 29-31, 2015Brendan Gawlowski2015-06-01
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, May 26, 2015Brendan Gawlowski2015-05-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, May 20, 2015Jeff Moore2015-05-21
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 8-10, 2015Jeff Moore2015-05-11
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, May 4, 2015Jeff Moore2015-05-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 17-19, 2015Jeff Moore2015-04-20
Notes from the Field: Texas' Extraordinary Organizational DepthCraig Goldstein2015-04-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: A Different Dynasty Top 101 ListBen Carsley2015-03-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2015-02-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 101 Dynasty League Prospects for 2015: Part 2: 1-50 (plus one)Bret Sayre2015-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher Prospects for 2016Craig Goldstein2015-02-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher Prospects for 2016Ben Carsley2015-02-24
The Top 101 Prospects of 2015: Sliced and DicedMauricio Rubio2015-02-16
The Top 101 Prospects of 2015: Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2015-02-16
2015 Prospects: Top 101 Prospects of 2015Nick J. Faleris2015-02-09
2015 Prospects: Top 101 Prospects of 2015BP Prospect Staff2015-02-09
2015 Prospects: Top 101 Prospects of 2015Chris Mellen2015-02-09
BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft: Rounds 5-7Bret Sayre2015-02-05
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Texas Rangers Top 10 ProspectsNick J. Faleris2015-01-28
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Texas Rangers Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2015-01-28
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Detroit Tigers Top 10 ProspectsChris Mellen2015-01-21
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Detroit Tigers Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2015-01-21
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Rangers Get DurableMark Anderson2015-01-20
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Rangers Get DurableR.J. Anderson2015-01-20
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Rangers Get DurableJ.P. Breen2015-01-20
Fantasy Team Preview: Texas RangersCraig Goldstein2014-10-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: More Top 50 TalkCraig Goldstein2014-08-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: More Top 50 TalkBen Carsley2014-08-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessCloser Report: Week 20Mauricio Rubio2014-08-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Post-Deadline Prospect ValueBen Carsley2014-08-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Post-Deadline Prospect ValueCraig Goldstein2014-08-06
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 1, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-01
BP Unfiltered: The 2014 Trade Deadline Transaction Analysis Thread BP Staff2014-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, July 23Jeff Moore2014-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Tigers Bullpen Gets Less SorryJordan Gorosh2014-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Tigers Bullpen Gets Less SorryR.J. Anderson2014-07-24
This article requires BP Premium access2014 Futures Game Preview: Scouting the U.S. TeamRon Shah2014-07-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Futures Team Meet and Greet: USACraig Goldstein2014-06-25
Eyewitness Accounts: May 7, 2014Jason Parks2014-05-07
Eyewitness Accounts: May 7, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-05-07
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Backfield Scouting Notes, 3/28Jordan Gorosh2014-03-28
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Backfield Scouting Notes, 3/28Jason Parks2014-03-28
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: AL CentralPatrick Ebert2013-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: AL CentralGeorge Bissell2013-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: AL CentralTodd Gold2013-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Detroit Tigers Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-12-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 15Zach Mortimer2013-08-16
The Great Trade Game: Hunter PencePaul Sporer2013-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 21-23Zach Mortimer2013-06-24
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: June 10, 2013BP Prospect Staff2013-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, April 8Zach Mortimer2013-04-09
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2013 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2013-03-29
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Detroit Tigers Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-02-05


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-03-14 14:30:00 (link to chat)Dillion Tate, Jeff Hoffman, Sean Newcomb, Jake Thompson. Who's an SP1 in 3-4 years?
(Negan from Washington DC)
Probably none of them. Thompson the safest choice. (Brendan Gawlowski)
2015-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)It seems like first-half-of-2014 Jake Thompson showed up this year instead of second-half Thompson, and his fastball velocity is back to early 2014 levels. This leads to a general question, although Thompson seems like a timely example considering the Phillies actively wanted him: are there clues that scouts look for when trying to evaluate whether pitchers that "find" and then "lose" new velocity are likely to regain their embiggened stuff?
(Jonathan from Syracuse, NY)
This is one of the reasons seeing a guy multiple times, ideally at different developmental moments, is the best way to evaluate players. Having reference points for mechanics, physical development, etc. can help scouts answer a lot of those questions. Arm action and drive are two of the biggies that I look at first if I note inconsistencies like this. (Wilson Karaman)
2015-06-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)How would you rank Reynaldo Lopez, Jake Thompson, and Grant Holmes in dynasty?
(Grizz from Chi)
Jake Thompson > Grant Holmes > Reynaldo Lopez, imo. (Ben Carsley)
2015-02-26 20:00:00 (link to chat)What pitching prospects ranked 20 and lower will make their big league clubs in 2015? Chi Chi Gonzalez, Jake Thompson, Steven Matz, Aaron Blair, others?
(Karl from San Angelo)
Those first three are good names. Blair has an outside shot. I'd throw Norris, Wisler, and Appel on there as well. (Bret Sayre)
2015-02-04 19:00:00 (link to chat)Jake Thompson has been ranked well by almost every prospect publication, but still seems to fly under the radar with fans. He was labelled as a potential #3 starter in the BP Rangers top 10, but after reading the write ups on him here and other places, he actually seems like one of the few players in the upper minors who could potentially be a TOR starter in the near future. Whats the best case scenario for him?
(username49 from Ohio)
I actually filed a report on Thompson. You can read it here: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_pit.php?reportid=68

In fact, I'm probably half a tick low on his slider. (Jordan Gorosh)
2015-02-04 19:00:00 (link to chat)Which of these Rangers minor league pitchers ends up having the best career? Jake Thompson , Chi Chi Gonzalez , Luis Ortiz or Luke Jackson?Can jackson be a starter or is he ultimately bound for the bullpen?
(Chad from OKC)
Chi Chi slightly ahead of Thompson, gap, Jackson, Ortiz. It's going to come down to command for Jackson, but he's definitely got the stuff to be a starter. It'd be great in short bursts, but they'll give him every chance to start. (Jordan Gorosh)
2015-02-13 19:00:00 (link to chat)Do you prefer Miguel Almonte or Jake Thompson ?
(Mark from Topeka, KS)
Close for me, but I'd take Almonte, in part because Texas is a rough ride for rookie pitchers. (Mike Gianella)
2015-02-12 19:00:00 (link to chat)How good is Jake Thompson?
(dantroy from davis)
Very good. The slider is hard to describe in words that are safe-for-work, the fastball is there, and the other two pitches are coming along. He could get major league outs as a two-pitch reliever right now. I've been impressed with his willingness to mix pitches as a starter, and not just fall back on the fantastic slider to get outs. (Kate Morrison)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)Who threw the best breaking ball you've seen all year?
(Fart Garfunkel from Poopsylvania)
I was sitting on the side for the futures game, but this guy Lucas Giolito has a pretty good one. Hunter Harvey's had big time depth.

Full game observance: Jake Thompson's SL is really nasty. Alex Reyes' flashed 6+. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)In five years, who is the best player: Willy Adames, Derek Hill, Jake Thompson, Robbie Ray, Nick Castellanos?
(Tigersfan from MI)
Hill has the highest ceiling, but I'll go Castellanos. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-06-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)I read the splits you showed on Jake Thompson the other day. Dominant against righties with the FB/SL and you say he needs to work on tne change to become effective vs lefties. How would you rate all of his pitches? Whats his ceiling? ETA?
(Zack from Windsor)
He's absolutely destroying RHB, and that's not a surprise, the SL is too good for low minors hitters, and the CB is nothing to sneeze at as well. I actually posted an eye witness scouting report on Thompson here: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=23504

As you can see, I like him quite a bit. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-05-27 11:30:00 (link to chat)Who are some guys that you are higher on than other guys on the BP team? Lower? Also, what region do you do most scouting in?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
Higher: Jake Thompson. He's going to burst onto the scene as a potential back end of top 100 prospect this year, if I have anything to say about it. Rougned Odor as well, I think he's one of the top 20 prospects in the game.

Lower: Maikel Franco. I see him as a 1B long term, and his feel for the barrel is only okay. The power potential is nice, but I absolutely detest 1B prospects. Gary Sanchez and Jorge Soler are each guys I'm low on, althoug I think the BP team is, too.

I'm located in Chicago, so I see a lot of MWL games. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-05-27 11:30:00 (link to chat)When do you see Jake Thompson arriving in Detroit? Do you think they keep him in Lakeland all year while monitoring innings or will they move him up post all star break? What is his upside as Ive read some reports of him potentially being able to throw 4 major league average or better offerings.
(Zack from Windsor)
Probably some time in 2016. I published an eye witness scouting report on Thompson, right here in fact: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_pit.php?reportid=68 (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Jake Thompson in highA for DET. Is he someone rising in your eyes? What is the report? I think he's a Texan also.
(Bert from Ticuma)
Here is the (free) scouting report on Jake Thompson: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_pit.php?reportid=68 (Jason Parks)
2013-11-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)It's a Mark Anderson chat, so I just have to ask another Jake Thompson question. I've been reading various reports on the player and two divergent views seem to be out there. One claims the slider is a plus or potentially plus pitch; the other claims it lacks bite, and while he relied on it to get Low-A hitters out he won't be able to use it effectively against major league hitters. Do you have an opinion on which of these is more likely?
(jadelman from Syracuse, NY)
To be quite honest, both are reasonably evaluations. I have seen Thompson's slider in game action as a true plus pitch, and I have also seen it in game action without the same snap. He's very young and very early in his developmental path. Consistency with the slider is one of the big things he has to work on. The raw ingredients are there for him to spin a legitimate plus slider down the line, but it's not there every time he throws it right now. I lean toward him having an above-average slider at his peak and I think you'll see that begin to manifest more frequently in 2014 and 2015. (Mark Anderson)
2013-09-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jake Thompson had a pretty nice year in 2013 as a 19-year-old in full season ball, but I remember his selection in the amateur draft being considered an overdraft by some. Has the stuff improved at all since he turned pro, or was this more a case of an unusually polished teenager with adequate stuff?
(jdadelman from New York)
There hasn't been a significant change in the raw stuff since signing, but he has tightened the body a bit and improved his stamina. The Tigers put him on a good conditioning program prior to sending him to West Michigan this year and it certainly paid off. The fastball still sits 89-92 throughout his starts, and he will touch 94 at times. The slider was very good this year and was frequently too much for MWL hitters. I didn't hear of much progress with the changeup or command, but I do believe they will come with time. He still looks like a future #3 or #4 starter. (Mark Anderson)
2013-09-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Jake Thompson can be #3 in the future?
(DETfan from Michigan)
I touched on Thompson earlier in the chat, but if he can make progress with the changeup and refine his command, he could max out as a #3. (Mark Anderson)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Jake Thompson has thrown 91 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2014 and 2016, including pitches thrown in . In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (90mph) and Fourseam Fastball (91mph), also mixing in a Slider (81mph), Change (83mph) and Curve (77mph).