Biographical

Portrait of Alec Mills

Alec Mills PRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 24)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
0.7 3.55 1.26 1 0 0 0 0.0
Birth Date11-30-1991
Height6' 4"
Weight190 lbs
Age24 years, 9 months, 29 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.02016
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP
2016 KCA MLB 3 0 3.3 0 0 0 3 5 4 0 .228 102 8.1 13.5 0.0 10.8 44% .333 .326 2.40 6.11 13.50 104 4.70 0.0
CareerMLB303.30003540.2281028.113.50.010.844%.333.3262.406.1113.501044.700.0

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA
2012 IDA Rk 17 7 50.7 1 4 3 58 17 50 7 .279 113 10.3 3.0 1.2 8.9 49% .331 .281 1.48 5.56 4.62 95 3.88
2013 LEX A 18 3 45.3 2 3 6 28 9 47 1 .271 83 5.6 1.8 0.2 9.3 62% .233 .197 0.82 2.42 1.59 78 2.48
2014 LEX A 7 7 38.0 2 1 0 25 10 33 0 .257 101 5.9 2.4 0.0 7.8 58% .263 .182 0.92 2.72 1.18 80 2.58
2014 IDA Rk 7 6 19.3 2 2 0 20 4 14 0 .000 9.3 1.9 0.0 6.5 0% .328 .000 1.24 3.51 4.66 0 0.00
2015 WIL A+ 21 21 113.3 7 7 0 122 14 111 3 .257 98 9.7 1.1 0.2 8.8 52% .350 .243 1.20 2.09 3.02 68 1.67
2016 KCA MLB 3 0 3.3 0 0 0 3 5 4 0 .228 102 8.1 13.5 0.0 10.8 44% .333 .326 2.40 6.11 13.50 104 4.70
2016 NWA AA 12 12 67.7 1 2 0 57 12 68 2 .267 97 7.6 1.6 0.3 9.0 44% .314 .202 1.02 2.13 2.39 67 1.06
2016 OMA AAA 12 11 58.0 4 3 0 62 19 54 8 .276 99 9.6 2.9 1.2 8.4 47% .323 .263 1.40 4.74 4.19 86 2.91

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2016 86 0.3256 0.4767 0.8293 0.7500 0.3448 0.9048 0.7500 0.1707
Career860.32560.47670.82930.750.34480.90480.750.1707

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-04-05 2014-07-21 Minors 107 0 - Not Disclosed - -
2013-06-13 2013-09-06 Minors 85 0 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 KCA $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 d1 year/$0.5075M (2016)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.5075M (2016). Contract selected by Kansas City 11/20/15. Re-signed by Kansas City 2/28/16.
  • Drafted by Kansas City 2012 (22-673) (Tennessee-Martin).

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 1.4 0.6 0 25 0 44.2 34 10 36 2 .252 0.98 2.35 2.56 6.5 0.7
80o 1.4 0.6 0 25 0 37.7 31 9 31 2 .268 1.07 2.70 2.93 5.4 0.6
70o 1.3 0.6 0 25 0 33.2 29 8 27 2 .279 1.13 2.95 3.21 4.6 0.5
60o 1.3 0.6 0 25 0 29.5 27 8 24 2 .289 1.19 3.17 3.45 3.9 0.4
50o 1.3 0.6 0 25 0 26.1 25 7 21 2 .298 1.24 3.38 3.68 3.2 0.4
40o 1.3 0.5 0 25 0 22.8 23 7 18 2 .307 1.30 3.59 3.91 2.6 0.3
30o 1.3 0.5 0 25 0 19.3 20 6 16 1 .317 1.36 3.82 4.16 1.8 0.2
20o 1.2 0.5 0 25 0 15.4 17 5 12 1 .329 1.43 4.10 4.45 1.0 0.1
10o 1.2 0.5 0 25 0 10.1 12 4 8 1 .344 1.54 4.49 4.88 -0.2 -0.0
Weighted Mean1.30.6025025.2247202.2961.233.353.653.30.4

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 9/27/2016 12:00 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 0 0 0 1 0 17.1 13 4 14 1 .250 1.00 2.59 2.93 0.1 0.0
80o 0 0 0 1 0 11.2 9 3 9 1 .266 1.09 2.91 3.3 0.1 0.0
70o 0 0 0 1 0 7.2 6 2 6 1 .278 1.15 3.15 3.57 0.1 0.0
60o 0 0 0 1 0 3.8 3 1 3 0 .287 1.21 3.35 3.8 0.0 0.0
50o 0 0 0 1 0 0.7 1 0 1 0 .296 1.26 3.55 4.03 0.0 0.0
Weighted Mean?????0.0????.0000.000.00?0.00.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
12% 20% 6% 22% 32%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20172521234037341130348.2911.233.483.948.32.77.40.70.3
20182621242045421236448.2901.213.493.958.52.47.30.80.4
20192721243046421237448.2841.183.523.998.32.47.30.80.4
20202821238040371232348.2881.233.483.948.32.77.20.70.4
20212921237040371132348.2871.213.463.928.42.57.30.70.4
20223021235037351030348.2861.223.463.928.52.47.30.70.3
20233121233035331028348.2901.233.463.928.52.67.20.80.3
2024322113103331927348.2901.203.453.918.42.47.30.80.3
2025332113003230926348.2901.223.443.908.42.57.30.80.3

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20172521147050491742648.3011.333.954.478.93.17.61.10.1
20182631151054541745748.3001.313.964.499.02.87.51.20.1
20192721146049471541648.2941.274.024.568.72.87.61.10.1
20202821134036351231548.2981.324.084.628.83.07.81.30.0
20212921141044411538548.2901.273.964.498.43.17.81.00.1
20223021141043401236648.2781.204.004.538.32.57.51.20.1
20233121147050461541648.2791.213.844.358.22.77.31.10.2

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
0.30.30.530.6out of baseball4.6

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
20150.30.30.530.6out of baseball4.6

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 90)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 96 Hector Noesi 2011 4.63
2 94 George Kontos 2009 0.00 DNP
3 94 Gus Schlosser 2013 0.00 DNP
4 94 Josh Smith 2012 0.00 DNP
5 93 Jeremy Hefner 2010 0.00 DNP
6 93 Aaron West 2014 0.00 DNP
7 93 Marty Popham 2012 0.00 DNP
8 93 Dan Meyer 2006 0.00 DNP
9 93 Tommy Milone 2011 3.81
10 93 J.J. Hoover 2012 2.05
11 93 Bruce Billings 2010 0.00 DNP
12 92 Cory Mazzoni 2014 0.00 DNP
13 92 Matt Boyd 2015 7.69
14 92 Jeremy McBryde 2011 0.00 DNP
15 92 Nestor Molina 2013 0.00 DNP
16 91 Vidal Nuno 2012 0.00 DNP
17 91 Josh Lindblom 2011 2.73
18 91 Josh Tomlin 2009 0.00 DNP
19 91 A.J. Griffin 2012 3.17
20 91 James Simmons 2011 0.00 DNP
21 91 Kyle Gibson 2012 0.00 DNP
22 91 Chase Anderson 2012 0.00 DNP
23 91 Steven Matz 2015 2.27
24 91 Juan Nicasio 2011 4.40
25 91 Darin Gorski 2012 0.00 DNP
26 91 Ross Stripling 2014 0.00 DNP
27 91 Edgar Osuna 2012 0.00 DNP
28 91 Daniel Taylor 2012 0.00 DNP
29 91 Kendal Volz 2012 0.00 DNP
30 90 Noe Ramirez 2014 0.00 DNP
31 90 Garett Claypool 2013 0.00 DNP
32 90 Sean Murphy 2013 0.00 DNP
33 90 Yohan Pino 2008 0.00 DNP
34 90 Jeff Manship 2009 5.97
35 90 Drew Granier 2013 0.00 DNP
36 90 Heath Rollins 2009 0.00 DNP
37 90 Joel Carreno 2011 1.15
38 90 John Ely 2010 5.67
39 90 Brayan Villarreal 2011 6.75
40 90 Bud Norris 2009 4.69
41 90 Steven Wright 2009 0.00 DNP
42 90 Brandon Workman 2013 4.97
43 90 Andrew Carraway 2011 0.00 DNP
44 90 Edwar Cabrera 2012 14.29
45 89 Zach Petrick 2014 0.00 DNP
46 89 Chad Bettis 2013 6.85
47 89 Anthony DeSclafani 2014 6.27
48 89 Chris Cody 2008 0.00 DNP
49 89 Sean Nolin 2014 9.00
50 89 Barry Enright 2010 3.91
51 89 Alex Meyer 2014 0.00 DNP
52 89 Matt Buschmann 2008 0.00 DNP
53 89 Ben Hornbeck 2012 0.00 DNP
54 89 Cory Riordan 2010 0.00 DNP
55 89 Jhonny Nunez 2010 0.00 DNP
56 89 Ethan Hollingsworth 2011 0.00 DNP
57 89 Jake McGee 2011 4.50
58 88 Seth Rosin 2013 0.00 DNP
59 88 Erik Goeddel 2013 0.00 DNP
60 88 Mike Wright 2014 0.00 DNP
61 88 Chris Schwinden 2011 5.57
62 88 David Phelps 2011 0.00 DNP
63 88 Christian Friedrich 2012 6.48
64 88 Paolo Espino 2011 0.00 DNP
65 88 Shaun Marcum 2006 5.06
66 88 David Hernandez 2009 5.42
67 88 Andre Rienzo 2013 5.46
68 88 Bryan Price 2011 0.00 DNP
69 88 Buddy Baumann 2012 0.00 DNP
70 88 Charles Brewer 2012 0.00 DNP
71 88 Philip Humber 2007 7.71
72 88 Brad Mills 2009 14.09
73 88 Todd Redmond 2009 0.00 DNP
74 88 Preston Guilmet 2012 0.00 DNP
75 88 Adam Conley 2014 0.00 DNP
76 88 Paolo Espino 2011 0.00 DNP
77 88 Jesse Hahn 2014 3.19
78 87 Cesar Valdez 2009 0.00 DNP
79 87 Justin Marks 2012 0.00 DNP
80 87 Erik Davis 2011 0.00 DNP
81 87 Ryan Edell 2008 0.00 DNP
82 87 Matthew Montgomery 2012 0.00 DNP
83 87 Bobby Bramhall 2010 0.00 DNP
84 87 Glen Perkins 2007 3.14
85 87 Adam Miller 2009 0.00 DNP
86 87 Kyle Kaminska 2013 0.00 DNP
87 87 Jorge Reyes 2012 0.00 DNP
88 87 Kyle McPherson 2012 2.73
89 87 Greg Smith 2008 4.35
90 87 Lisalverto Bonilla 2014 3.48
91 87 Lindsey Caughel 2015 0.00 DNP
92 87 Jason Windsor 2007 0.00 DNP
93 87 A.J. Achter 2013 0.00 DNP
94 87 Ryan Mullins 2008 0.00 DNP
95 87 Matthew Bowman 2015 0.00 DNP
96 87 Jose Perez 2012 0.00 DNP
97 87 Matt Loosen 2013 0.00 DNP
98 87 Chuck James 2006 4.08
99 87 Phil Irwin 2011 0.00 DNP
100 87 Graham Taylor 2008 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 Armed with a low-90s fastball and an excellent changeup, Alec Mills put up solid numbers at High-A Wilmington and would rather chew glass than hand out a free pass; he'll get his first crack at passing the Double-A exam this summer.

BP Articles

Alec Mills is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, June 13thChristopher Crawford2016-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessWho to Watch: Texas LeagueKit House2016-04-14
2016 Prospects: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2016-01-26
2016 Prospects: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsChristopher Crawford2016-01-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFive to Watch: Your High-A All StarsGreg Wellemeyer2015-06-25


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-07-13 15:00:00 (link to chat)Alec Mills is flying under the radar. Do you think he can be a 50+ role player as a starter for my Royals or am I being too much of a homer? Thanks for the chat man.
(Jubbs from Smacktown)
You know, I just missed him, he was still in NW Arkansas when Omaha came north. My understanding is that he's a little light of that. Good changeup, not sure he'll miss enough same-side bats. (Brendan Gawlowski)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Alec Mills has thrown 140 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system in 2016, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (93mph) and Sinker (93mph), also mixing in a Change (80mph), Curve (76mph) and Slider (80mph).