WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2012 NAT Rk 1 1 2.0 4.27 102 .252 .251 .337 .376 .270 .333 85 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
2013 AUB A- 3 3 14.0 3.56 119 .200 .247 .310 .329 .261 .250 107 2.3 0.3 2.3 0.3
2013 NAT Rk 8 8 22.7 3.89 122 .235 .242 .325 .343 .250 .322 102 4.5 0.4 4.5 0.4
2014 HAG A 20 20 98.0 4.13 112 .206 .262 .325 .375 .258 .263 102 17.1 1.8 17.1 1.8

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2012 NAT Rk 0 0 0 1 1 2.0 2 0 1 0 83% .333 9.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 1.00 4.50 0.1 0.0
2013 AUB A- 1 0 0 3 3 14.0 9 4 14 1 67% .250 5.8 2.6 0.6 9.0 0.93 0.64 2.3 0.3
2013 NAT Rk 1 1 0 8 8 22.7 19 10 25 0 53% .322 7.5 4.0 0.0 9.9 1.28 2.78 4.5 0.4
2014 HAG A 10 2 0 20 20 98.0 70 28 110 7 51% .263 6.4 2.6 0.6 10.1 1.00 2.20 17.1 1.8

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-02-15 2013-04-01 Camp 45 0 Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2012-08-31 -
2012-08-15 2012-09-05 Minors 21 10 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2012-08-31 -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Lucas Giolito is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Padres Wish Upton a StarEthan Purser2014-12-20
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Padres Wish Upton a StarR.J. Anderson2014-12-20
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Padres Wish Upton a StarBret Sayre2014-12-20
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Padres Wish Upton a StarJeff Moore2014-12-20
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Padres Wish Upton a StarWilson Karaman2014-12-20
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Padres Wish Upton a StarJordan Gorosh2014-12-20
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Washington Nationals Top 10 ProspectsChris Mellen2014-11-12
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Washington Nationals Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-11-12
This article requires BP Premium accessProspect Mechanics: NL EastDoug Thorburn2014-11-11
This article requires BP Premium accessProspect Mechanics: NL EastRyan Parker2014-11-11
This article requires BP Premium accessPitching Backward: Buxton or Beane?Jeff Long2014-09-25
Eyewitness Accounts: September 17, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-09-17
Prospectus Feature: Roast A ParksBP Staff2014-08-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Weak LinksMike Gianella2014-08-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Our Top 50 Dynasty League ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-08-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Our Top 50 Dynasty League ProspectsBen Carsley2014-08-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep Impact: Week 19Ben Carsley2014-08-12
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, August 12Jeff Moore2014-08-12
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: The Road to RecoveryDoug Thorburn2014-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 5Jeff Moore2014-08-06
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, July 31Jeff Moore2014-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of July 25-27Jeff Moore2014-07-28
Eyewitness Accounts: July 24, 2014Tucker Blair2014-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of July 18-20Jeff Moore2014-07-21
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, July 15Jeff Moore2014-07-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTop 50 Dynasty League Prospects: Midseason UpdateBret Sayre2014-07-14
Notes from the Field: Not Jose Fernandez (But the Best Since)Jeff Moore2014-07-11
This article requires BP Premium access2014 Futures Game Preview: Scouting the U.S. TeamRon Shah2014-07-11
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, July 7Jeff Moore2014-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessThe BP Top 50: The Best Midseason ProspectsJason Parks2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessThe BP Top 50: The Best Midseason ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-07-07
BP Top 50: Byron Buxton vs. Carlos CorreaJason Parks2014-07-03
BP Top 50: Byron Buxton vs. Carlos CorreaNick J. Faleris2014-07-03
BP Top 50: Byron Buxton vs. Carlos CorreaRon Shah2014-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, July 2Jeff Moore2014-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessBP Top 50: Taijuan Walker vs. Lucas GiolitoNick J. Faleris2014-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessBP Top 50: Taijuan Walker vs. Lucas GiolitoJeff Moore2014-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessBP Top 50: Taijuan Walker vs. Lucas GiolitoMark Anderson2014-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, June 26Jeff Moore2014-06-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Futures Team Meet and Greet: USACraig Goldstein2014-06-25
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: June 23, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-06-23
This article requires BP Premium accessBehind the Curtain: Lucas GiolitoCJ Wittmann2014-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessBehind the Curtain: Lucas GiolitoTucker Blair2014-06-20
Eyewitness Accounts: June 19, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-06-19
The 2012 Redraft: Whom Would We Pick Now?Baseball Prospectus2014-06-17
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: June 16, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-06-16
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, June 9Jeff Moore2014-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, June 3Jeff Moore2014-06-04
Raising Aces: Under the Hood of the 2014 Draft, Part OneDoug Thorburn2014-05-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part ThreeCraig Goldstein2014-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part ThreeBen Carsley2014-05-27
Behind the Curtain: Hunter HarveyCJ Wittmann2014-05-21
Behind the Curtain: Hunter HarveyJason Parks2014-05-21
Behind the Curtain: Hunter HarveyRyan Parker2014-05-21
Overthinking It: Have Tommy John Surgery, Sign Long-Term Contract?Ben Lindbergh2014-05-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 9-11Jeff Moore2014-05-12
Eyewitness Accounts: Eyewitness Accounts: May 8, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-05-08
Eyewitness Accounts: Eyewitness Accounts: May 8, 2014Jason Parks2014-05-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: NL East U25 ListsCraig Goldstein2014-04-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: NL East U25 ListsBen Carsley2014-04-29
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, April 22Jeff Moore2014-04-23
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: A-Ball NotesCJ Wittmann2014-04-18
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: A-Ball NotesTucker Blair2014-04-18
PECOTA Takes on Prospects: Introduction: I Now Pronounce You Scout and StatAndrew Koo2014-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, April 10Jeff Moore2014-04-11
BP Top 101 Prospects: Opening Day AssignmentsRon Shah2014-04-03
Prospectus Preview: NL East 2014 Preseason PreviewSam Miller2014-03-24
Prospectus Preview: NL East 2014 Preseason PreviewWill Woods2014-03-24
This article requires BP Premium accessTop Tools: Best Fastball/CurveballMark Anderson2014-03-04
This article requires BP Premium accessTop Tools: Best Fastball/CurveballBP Prospect Staff2014-03-04
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
The Top 101 Fantasy Prospects of 2014: Part One: 1-50Bret Sayre2014-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersJared Weiss2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2014-02-27
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2014 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL EastDavid Rawnsley2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL EastTodd Gold2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL EastPatrick Ebert2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessState of the Position: Starting PitchersMike Gianella2014-02-24
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Washington Nationals Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-02-21
BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft: Rounds 8-10Bret Sayre2014-02-05
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: The Evolution of Pitching MechanicsDoug Thorburn2014-01-31
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-01-27
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsJason Parks2014-01-27
The Top 101 Prospects of 2014: Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2014-01-27
The Top 101 Prospects of 2014: Sliced and DicedMauricio Rubio2014-01-27
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL WestTodd Gold2014-01-23
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL WestPatrick Ebert2014-01-23
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL West 2014-01-23
BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft: Rounds 1-2Bret Sayre2014-01-22
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: AL CentralTodd Gold2013-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: AL CentralPatrick Ebert2013-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: AL Central 2013-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Third Baseman for SaleDaniel Rathman2013-11-22
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 11, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat Scouts Are Saying: September 5, 2013Baseball Prospectus2013-09-05
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 15, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-15
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Rating RizzoR.J. Anderson2013-08-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Mailbag: The Trade Market Heats UpBP Fantasy Staff2013-07-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 50 Fantasy Prospects: Midseason UpdateBret Sayre2013-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-04
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 3, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Minors: First Half RecapJason Parks2013-06-20
Fantasy Mailbag: Getting the Big FishBP Fantasy Staff2013-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 2, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-02
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Washington Nationals Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-03-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTop 100 Dynasty League Prospects: Part Two: 51-100Bret Sayre2013-03-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTop 100 Dynasty League Prospects: Part Two: 51-100Josh Shepardson2013-03-11
BP Unfiltered: Top 101 Prospects of 2013, Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2013-02-26
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsJason Parks2013-02-25
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Wednesday, January 16Daniel Rathman2013-01-16


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-12-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Chris, Let's give Lucas Giolito a grade of 100 as a pitching prospect. Does anyone rate higher or if not, how closely would the next few prospects rate compared to Giolito?
(Cal Guy from Cal)
Giolito definitely has the highest upside of any pitcher in the minors. He can round into a true force to be reckoned with. A power pitcher with both the stuff and mentality to make the elusive "no. 1" tag a reality. I wouldn't have anyone higher, but arms like Syndergaard, Urias, Bundy, Gray, etc. aren't too far behind when factoring everything in. (Top 10s Chat With Chris Mellen)
2014-11-04 18:00:00 (link to chat)Is next year the year Lucas Giolito take off?
(Mike from Utica)
I would argue Giolito has already taken off and the 2015 season will represent something more than that where Giolito announces to the world that he may be the best prospect in baseball. (Mark Anderson)
2014-10-09 15:00:00 (link to chat)Predict the MLB debuts of (1) Lucas Giolito; (2) Carlos Correa; and (3) Carlos Rodon. Also, comment on whose 2015 MLB debut excites you most.
(RatedRookie from Atlanta)
Giolito- late 2016/early 2017. Correa- up in the air due to injury, but potential Sept 2015 or early 2016. Rodon- May/June of 2015. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-09-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)My league is cutting our farm system down from 5 to 2 (don't ask...) Addison Russell is 1 keeper for sure, would you keep Lucas Giolito or Archie Bradley in the other spot?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
I'd find a new league. Who has TWO spots. That seems cruel. Honestly I'm generally in favor of taking the closer to the majors prospects but the recent reports on Bradley haven't been overwhelmingly positive. I don't always worry about negative reactions (see: Syndergaard this year) but I am a bit concerned about Bradley. I think it's him by a hair, right now, but by mid-season next year I probably have a different answer. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-08-29 12:00:00 (link to chat)The Nats shut Lucas Giolito down after 98IP this season (similar to their handling of Strasburg et al.) How many innings and at what level will he conclude his 2015 season?
(RatedRookie from Atlanta)
I know some teams like to use the 10 percent rule. I don't know offhand if the Nats are one of those teams, but ~110 innings between Potomac/Harrisburg? (R.J. Anderson)
2014-08-06 16:30:00 (link to chat)Lucas Giolito - Buy or Sell?
(Chris from Washington DC)
Neither. Human slavery is a black mark on world history, but yes, Lucas Giolito is really really really really good. (Cespedes Family BBQ)
2014-08-06 16:30:00 (link to chat)What brand of adult diaper do you recommend geared more toward comfort than functionality when viewing Lucas Giolito for the first time in person?
(Tomsegal from NYC)
We haven't been adults long enough to know anything about adult diapers. This is probably a better question for Jason Parks. (Cespedes Family BBQ)
2014-08-19 14:00:00 (link to chat)At this time next year is the Lucas Giolito hype train (rightfully) out of control?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
I will be driving this off of the rails. Giolito is the best arm in the minors. (CJ Wittmann)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)I'm in a 12 team keeper league. each team gets to keep 7 players for next season. who do you think i should keep from this list: George Springer, Bryce Harper, Chris Sale, Justin Upton, Byron Buxton, Addison Russell, Taijuan Walker, Lucas Giolito, Francisco Lindor, Dylan Bundy, Kevin Gausmann, Carlos Correa, Miguel Sano, Zach Wheeler. Thanks.
(childgrambino from Richmond, VA)
Harper, Sale, Upton, Walker, Gausman, Wheeler and Springer. 12 team leagues, you keep guys who are contributing. Having this many prospects in this shallow a league is bananas. Drop a bunch. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)One waiver transaction left in a keep-forever, 16-keeper league and looking to acquire one more SP/SP prospect: Lucas Giolito, Archie Bradley, Dylan Bundy, or deGrom.
(RatedRookie from Atlanta)
Giolito (Craig Goldstein)
2014-07-31 19:30:00 (link to chat)Please rank these pitchers in terms of best fantasy career prospects: Taijuan Walker, C.J. Edwards, Lucas Giolito, Hunter Harvey, James Paxton, Kohl Stewart, Carlos Rodon. Thanks.
(graham from Richmond, VA)
Hmm. Letís go Walker, Rodon, Giolito, Harvey, Stewart, Paxton, Edwards (Ben Carsley)
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat)Does Lucas Giolito already having gone through TJS scare you a bit? Can he still be a top of the rotation guy in say, 6-7 years, or does the surgery limit his MLB potential?
(Ron from Texarkana)
Oh he's scary as hell. The lofty heights his stock has reached stand atop a precipitous pedestal that can be toppled at any time. There's a lot of questions he has to answer in the coming years and he is very, very far away. I think 6-7 years is a responsible time frame, and I think the surgery doesn't quite limit his potential, but there's risk. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)Who threw the best breaking ball you've seen all year?
(Fart Garfunkel from Poopsylvania)
I was sitting on the side for the futures game, but this guy Lucas Giolito has a pretty good one. Hunter Harvey's had big time depth.

Full game observance: Jake Thompson's SL is really nasty. Alex Reyes' flashed 6+. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-07 11:00:00 (link to chat)Is there a good reason to keep Lucas Giolito in Low A any longer?
(newsense from DC)
I would keep him there all season. Training wheels off next year. (Jason Parks on the Top 50)
2014-06-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)harvey hunter vs lucas giolito < who has higher upside and why? thanks
(joe from baltimore)
Lucas Giolito because he's a damn beast. I'm unsure if I can use stronger language than that on BP, so I'll stray away from it. But he's a bad mf-er. When scouts say you have the potential to be a legitimate ace, that's massive. He could develop into a top-5 starter in the bigs if everything goes well. I can't say the same about Harvey. (J.P. Breen)
2014-06-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Everything I read about Lucas Giolito makes him seem like the next Nolan Ryan. I know the risk is high with TJ on the resume, but if it all clicks, how high is this ceiling really? Are there any current comps or is his ceiling higher than what we're seeing in the big leagues right now?
(Steve from Los Angeles)
I've had a scout tell me that Giolito's floor is out of baseball in five years due to arm problems, and his ceiling is Cooperstown. Do with that what you will. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Lucas Giolito. Barring setbacks (read: injuries), it's looking like he's living up to his no-shit 1:1 caliber ceiling, no?
(AJ from Phoenix)
It's possible. That's a lofty ceiling, but he has all the ingredients to make it happen if he can refine and execute. (Jason Parks)
2014-04-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Are you concerned at all about Lucas Giolito's mechanics (mainly momentum) keeping him from reaching his ace ceiling?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
That is exactly my trepidation. His mechanics are pretty solid outside of the ridiculously slow pace to the plate, and his torque is insane. Therein lies the concern, as he is heavily relying on his upper-half and brute arm strength to create power, and the slow delivery opens up a wide window for timing errors - he will also need a very different pace and timing pattern from the stretch, will throws a wrinkle in his development. He might have the functional strength and flexibility to endure despite the risk factors, and his stuff is so sick that I think that he will be successful regardless, but I think that he will need to make some adjustments in order to hit his theoretical ceiling. Keep in mind that said ceiling is in the stratosphere. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-03-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)If Lucas Giolito blows hitters away in Low/High A (which seems likely), couldn't he hit AA before an innings limit this year, and then be up in the MLB at the end of 2015?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
I think its best if he stays in Low-A for the full-season. This is a winning lottery ticket, so just let him ease into the innings at the full-season level and work on his fastball command. In 2015, take off the training wheels and let him destroy the world at his own pace. (Jason Parks on the Completed Prospect Rankings)
2014-02-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Who are some minor league arms with fastballs too good to ignore...like Robert Stephenson?
(Chris from Baltimore)
Jonathan Gray, Yordano Ventura, Lucas Giolito, Noah Syndergaard, Alex Meyer ... I am big on Kyle Zimmer's fastball, which only loses deception when he ratchets down the momentum in his delivery, resulting in lesser depth at release point and poor command. It's an 8 when he lines up the gears. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-02-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)What's a reasonable ETA for Lucas Giolito assuming he has no setbacks?
(guest from chicago)
Prof Parks and crew put 2016 on his ETA, so that's as good a bet as any. But there are so many variables here that really anything can happen, and we just don't have enough information from in-game performance to understand where he is and what he needs to do in order to ascend to the highest level. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-02-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)If you were to guess who the top position player prospect and top pitching prospect are a year from now, who would you pick?
(nubber from tx)
Byron Buxton and Lucas Giolito. The dream is real. (Ronit Shah)
2014-02-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Lucas Giolito have a chance to make a start in the majors in 2015?
(StrayMWBL from Detroit)
yea, I'd say so. But not even a 50/50 chance--that outlook could get rosier once he finishes a full season of pro ball (Harry Pavlidis)
2014-02-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will Lucas Giolito reach Washington sometime in 2015 ?
(StrayMWBL from Detroit)
I think that's too aggressive. 2017 is what Parks threw on him way back in 2013, I can see that maybe moving up a year but 2015 is hard to see, I think. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-02-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Lucas Giolito being talked about enough? This is a guy who could have two elite pitches. How many pitchers in the the majors can even boast that?
(Shawn from CT)
He is in the (hypothetical) BP hallways. We love him here. If there wasn't the injury history, he'd be a no-doubter, but frankly, TJ doesn't scare me the way it once did, once the player is back healthy and throwing. (Jeff Moore)
2014-02-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who would you rather own in a Dynasty League, Lucas Giolito or Clint Frazier? Who do you think reaches the bigs first?
(Guest from my cubicle)
I could see Giolito moving fast once he hits full-season ball, but both are still too far away to put that exact of a timetable on them. I'd take Giolito though for the upside. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-21 18:00:00 (link to chat)At the 1-3 pick in my dynasty draft, Buxton and one of A. Bradley and Tanaka are off he board. I'm looking at Baez, Giolito, Bryant, Correa, and J. Gray. Who do you take? Why? How would you rank them? (Reference: I pick 1-3, and 1-6 due to trades; one of the picks in between mine would be Abreu and one of Baez/Correa (in that order)). Thanks!
(AJ from Phoenix)
Hi AJ.

The order might be different from a pure prospect perspective, but I'd go Javier Baez, Carlos Correa, Kris Bryant, Jonathan Gray, and Lucas Giolito. While Correa could wind up being a better baseball player than Baez, Baez's power tool is ridiculous and from a purely offensive standpoint (read fantasy) he has the higher ceiling. Correa's pretty damn good too, though, and I anticipate a power spike this year in the minors. His raw numbers don't look great, but he was an 18-year-old at Quad Cities. I'm impressed. Bryant's great too, but you're asking me to rank him against two amazing prospects. Gray and Giolito go behind the hitters just because I have a bias toward hitters when it comes to prospects in fantasy. I'll go Gray because Giolito had the TJ. He should be fine, and it's entirely possible that I'll flip these two if someone on BP's great scouting team comes back with a positive review on him in spring training. (Mike Gianella)
2014-01-17 10:00:00 (link to chat)Are you as high on Lucas Giolito as others?
(Sagar from Chicago)
I'm not sure. (Jason Parks)
2014-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jonathan Gray or Lucas Giolito - who has the better career?
(Sagar from Chicago)
Giolito. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)I have 3 top picks in the 1st round of my upcoming draft. In a vaccum, which 3 would you take for a 18 keeper league and in which order? Tanaka, Lucas Giolito, Clint Frazier, Jonathan Gray, Jose Abreu, Rougund Odor, Rymer Lirano, or Mark Appel?
(vegetto712 from Florida)
From a prospect perspective, your top three there are Giolito, Gray and Appel. (Mark Anderson)
2014-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)With my first round pick in our prospect draft, I'm eying a pitcher. Archie Bradley, Masahiro Tanaka, Jonathan Gray, Mark Appel, Noah Syndergaard, Lucas Giolito, and Robert Stephenson are all still on the board. Which 2 or 3 are on your shortlist, and who do you pick & why? Thanks for the chat!
(Sara from Tacoma)
Oh man that's fun agonizing at the same time. Bradley/Giolito are my top two. Tanaka is probably my third because he'll pitch in the majors so soon. It depends on your team's timetable. If you're contending sooner, Bradley. If you can wait (because of depth or because you're bad) go with Giolito. (Craig Goldstein)
2013-12-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)What are your views on Lucas Giolito? Can he be better than Stephen Strasburg?
(Mlbeastmode from St. Louis)
The hype on Giolito is skyrocketing right now, but I am not yet on board, and he has a long way to go before gaining Strasburg comps. Don't get me wrong, I dig the stuff, but he has an extremely slow delivery into foot strike, after which he just explodes with unheard-of ferocity. I don't think that he uses his lower half well enough to maintain efficiency and high workloads at the highest level, and the short-ish stride is also working against him.

On the jukebox: Lagwagon, "Bury the Hatchet" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-11-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Ignoring injury risk and proximity to minors,does Lucas Giolito have the highest ceiling of any pitcher in the minors?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
Yes. No doubt. (Jason Parks)
2013-11-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are Archie Bradley and Lucas Giolito two of the top minor league pitchers from a potential standpoint?
(Chopper from Indy)
Both have tremendous ceilings. Giolito is a ways off and Bradley did well for a 20 year old in AA but needs to take a step forward to stay on the fast track. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-11-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)Ignoring risk and proximity to majors, does Lucas Giolito have the highest ceiling of any minor league pitcher? If not him, who would it be?
(The Dude from Cubicle)
Yes. No one else can touch his upside. (Bret Sayre)
2013-11-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Mark, in you opinion, what level of contribution will Lucas Giolito, Mark Appel, Kyle Zimmer be making in 2015? Never too early to plan. Thanks.
(nictaclacta from Glendale)
Appel should be in the Astros rotation from day one. Zimmer has a good chance to spend half of that season in the big leagues. Giolito may not be there yet. (Mark Anderson)
2013-11-22 14:00:00 (link to chat)Lucas Giolito... just how high up is his ceiling?
(Sara from Tacoma)
I am lower on Giolito than most, but his raw stuff certainly raises his ceiling. His delivery is painfully slow, which limits release distance and opens up the window of timing for the rotational elements to fall out of sequence. His balance/posture are better than they were in high school, which is a big plus in general, but his curveball trajectory may have suffered as a result - it's another double-edged sword of pitching mechanics.

On the jukebox: Megadeth, "Hanger 18" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-10-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hoping you can answer my question. I know that when looking at these pitchers right now they are incomparable, however it looks like Lucas Giolito, Lance McCullers, Tyler Kolek, Kohl Stewart are top RH pitchers in next few years. Who has the higher ceiling, floor? Thanks!
(Jonathan Mayo from Pittsburgh)
Giolito has the highest ceiling; actually, you can argue that he might have one of the highest ceilings in the minors. After Giolito, give me Stewart. You can make a case that Stewart has the highest floor because of his body type and current polish. But McCullers' floor is a high-end bullpen arm, so don't sleep on him. People are mixed about McCullers' long-term role, with some projecting a #2 starter and others seeing a late-innings arm. Either way, there is impact there. (Jason Parks)
2013-09-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Would you think I am crazy to say that Lucas Giolito is the 3rd best starting pitching prospect behind Bradley and Walker. I've saw Syndergaard, Taillon, and Giolito in person and he had the best present and future arsenal of the three.
(Mike from Utica, NY)
He has electric stuff; no doubt. But unless we are just ranking players based on pure ceiling, I don't see the case at this point to rank Giolito ahead of guys like Taillon or Syndergaard. He could (and should) get there, but let's take it easy and respect some of the developmental progress and production from the older cars before we start losing our virginity in the backseat of the new model. (Jason Parks)
2013-09-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Lucas Giolito a top 5 pitching prospect this time next year?
(Liam from Dallas)
Very possible. Delivery isn't the cleanest thing on the planet, but the raw stuff is sex (Jason Parks)
2013-09-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Lucas Giolito: Any concerns about his elbow now or is he right back on track to being a #1 starter?
(Chad from OKC)
Well, I wouldn't say any guy with Giolito's lack of experience is "on track to being a #1 starter" yet. He's a long way from reaching Verlander/Kershaw status. But on track to being an elite prospect? Sure. Reports were great and the velocity is already reaching elite levels. Even had a couple triple-digit velo whispers from scouts here and there (touching, not sitting). No-doubt candidate to bust out big in 2014. (Jason Cole)
2013-08-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Lucas Giolito one of the top 3 pitching prospects in baseball a year from now?
(Liam from Dallas)
I'll say that no, he's not. Has that kind of potential, but coming off the injury and in his first full season ball, we may not see a total breakout until 2015. (Jason Cole)
2013-08-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who is your favorite starting pitcher prospect out of the group? (Most likely to stick at SP taken into account) Mike Foltynewicz, Tyler Glasnow, Eddie Butler, Aaron Sanchez, and Lucas Giolito?
(Fish72292 from New Hampshire)
That's a tough list, especially since we're comparing upper-level pitchers (Folty and Butler) with complex-league pitchers (Giolito). I like all of those guys. I'd probably go Butler though, because we're talking ceiling + probability of big leagues with the Double-A guy. Highest ceiling of the group? Probably Giolito. Which makes it a tough one to answer. (Jason Cole)
2013-08-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Have you seen/heard any on Lucas Giolito? Surface stats would appear to show that stuff is there but the command (usually last to come back (along with velo)) has yet to return? Still the vaulted ceiling?
(AJ from Phoenix)
Answer to the last question: yes, but it's not easy to accurately judge when a guy is just coming back like he is. I haven't heard anything too in-depth, but I did get an early report that said that he was already showing the serious velocity, and that's really all I needed to know at that point. His walk rate is down in the last few starts. Also keep in mind that this is basically Giolito's first actual pro experience, so there's also likely to be some growing pains there. But from everything I've heard, it has been positive and encouraging. (Jason Cole)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Please rank in order of ceiling: Carlos Martinez, Kevin Gausman, Jameson Taillon, Robert Stephenson, Noah Syndergaard, Lucas Giolito.
(AJ from Phoenix)
On ceiling alone: Gausman, Giolito, Taillon, Syndergaard, Martinez, Stephenson. (Zach Mortimer)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are any of these arm prospects going to make an impact in 2 years for fantasy owners?: Roberto Osuna, Lucas Giolito, Heath Hembree, Matt Wisler, or Blake Snell?
(Hector from Santa Ana)
I'd bet on Wisler of that group. Hembree should be a major leaguer, but we'll see if he's doing anything of fantasy import. (Paul Sporer)
2013-05-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)When all is said and done, will Max Fried end up the better pitcher than Lucas Giolito?
(Asking For a Friend from Chicago)
Probably not. Giolito could be a dangerous individual. (Jason Parks)
2013-03-20 11:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think of Josh Willingham this year? Will he continue his success from last year or drop off severely? Is he worth giving up Lucas Giolito for in a long-term dynasty league?
(bdonenfeld from Laguna Beach, CA)
Career-highs almost across the board last year at the age of 33, with no meaningful changes in his metrics, in a great pitchers' park? Not a good bet to repeat. I'm not opposed to dealing Giolito if you think you can improve your chances of winning now by doing so, especially given the gap between what Giolito is now and what he may someday become, but try to aim higher than Willingham, at least to start out. (Cory Schwartz)
2013-03-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Paul, In a dynasty league who would you target 1st between Lucas Giolito, David Dahl or Javier Baez ? Thanks
(Joey from Madison, WI)
Baez for me. Giolito intrigues me, but let's wait and see on him, so I'd even go Dahl over him for now. (Paul Sporer)
2013-03-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Enjoying SP Guide--great material. 5x5 ten team dynasty: 15 keeper and 10 minors. Spent couple years prospecting: who are the gold nuggets and who are the fool's gold? Jose Fernandez, Jameson Taillon, Dylan Bundy, Kevin Gausman, Kyle Zimmer, Max Fried, Lucas Giolito. Thank you
(nictaclacta from phoenix)
You've got lots of potential gold. If I **knew** who was fool's gold out of that, I'd have a much different job. I can tell you who I love from that group and it's Fernandez. I've always been a Taillon guy. Very excited to see full seasons out of Gausman and Zimmer. Btw, no mention of Bundy isn't because of any dislike, but rather bc he speaks for himself. He looks like a future star. (Paul Sporer)
2013-02-25 11:00:00 (link to chat)Does Lucas Giolito have Ace potential? If so, how scary of 1-2 punch would Strasburg & Giolito be?
(The Dude from DC)
He might. He has crazy upside. (Jason Parks on the Top 101 Prospects)
2013-02-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)In your opinion, looking way down the road, which of the BP 101 prospect hitters and pitchers end up having the best careers?
(cal guy from cal)
I'll go with Oscar Taveras and, taking a gamble on his recovery from elbow surgery, Lucas Giolito. (Daniel Rathman)
2013-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)How do you value someone like Lucas Giolito, who will have basically taken a year off when he comes back and was so raw? Do you dock him for time missed, or just delay his time to the majors?
(ttt from Manhattan)
This is a question each organization figures out using a different formula, and even then it varies player to player depending on body type, injury specifics, muscular/skeletal structure, track record and health history. For Giolito, he was a big body with big stuff (including two potential plus to plus-plus pitches) and even a little physical projection remaining. Considering where the Nats were drafting, it was a very big score landing such a high upside talent. From a pure ranking standpoint outside of the draft, if your any org other than Washington, you simply wait and see what he looks like before determining his value as a potential trade target. (Nick Faleris)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Lucas Giolito has thrown 13 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system in 2014, including pitches thrown in . In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (96mph) and Change (84mph), also mixing in a Curve (82mph).