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Prospectus Hit List for April 11



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for April 8 Hit List for April 15
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Gotta write a hit. I think this is it. It's a hit (list).

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

5

1

5.3

5.7

5.6

.737

.733

71.0%

15.6%

86.6%

1.7%

0.0%

Jake Arrieta has now hit more home runs as a Chicago Cub than he has given up as a pitcher, but so has David Ross and you don't see him chest-thumping about that.
2

5

0

4.0

3.7

3.6

.641

.645

6.9%

9.5%

16.4%

3.2%

0.0%

You can imagine this would be a Pedro Alvarez joke had the Orioles not been the last undefeated team.
3

4

3

5.0

5.6

5.4

.648

.643

65.9%

17.8%

83.7%

-1.5%

0.0%

Ross Stripling was five outs from throwing a no-hitter before Dave Roberts made the controversial decision to use a Dodgers relief pitcher.
4

5

2

5.2

4.5

4.6

.608

.604

26.5%

29.8%

56.3%

3.9%

0.0%

Maybe instead of a Belt extension, the Giants should try losing some weight.
5

3

1

2.4

2.7

2.5

.602

.598

44.4%

23.9%

68.3%

0.6%

0.0%

Bryce Harper's slugging percentage is 1.000, which is more impressive with those decimals. Hear that Bryce Harper is slugging 1 and you're wondering what's wrong, but it's just that zeroes are deceptive.
6

3

2

3.4

3.4

3.4

.592

.597

19.4%

18.7%

38.1%

1.1%

0.0%

Thoughts and prayers are with ESPN for not being able to show a New York Yankees Sunday Night game.
7

3

2

3.0

3.3

3.2

.580

.585

28.8%

22.0%

50.8%

-5.7%

0.0%

Big Papi's retirement tour continues in Boston's Opening Day today. Meanwhile, one more year until Big Poppy retires in the breakfast pastry industry and blueberry muffins will return to their correct amount of market share.
8

4

2

3.5

4.1

4.2

.586

.581

13.4%

25.6%

39.1%

-2.0%

0.0%

I won't make a joke about John Jaso's hair, nor will I lampoon his religion, which happens to be 25-Man Rosterfarian.
9

4

2

3.5

3.7

3.6

.569

.574

23.7%

23.5%

47.2%

0.7%

0.0%

It's hard to believe that Mat Latos is younger than Jose Abreu, but it's also hard to believe that Mat really just uses the one 't' in his name like a weirdo.
10

3

1

2.5

2.3

2.3

.560

.565

10.7%

13.4%

24.1%

-0.3%

0.0%

Can't blame the cold weather and rainouts on the bullpen? Then you're not trying hard enough.
11

4

1

3.6

2.7

2.6

.556

.561

5.7%

8.2%

14.0%

1.4%

0.0%

It's early, but nope last year's Royals championship is still insanely weird and probably not true.
12

5

1

4.4

3.2

3.3

.563

.558

3.5%

10.3%

13.8%

2.2%

0.0%

The first week in Cincinnati has been great, but everyone's first week in Cincinnati is great. That's how they get you.
13

2

4

3.5

4.1

3.8

.540

.545

28.1%

11.5%

39.6%

-4.6%

0.0%

Felix Hernandez takes forever to order at restaurants, because when the waiter shows up at the table, Felix just says "once again, it's a no-decision for me."
14

3

3

3.9

3.5

3.5

.541

.536

9.1%

20.4%

29.5%

1.8%

0.0%

Trevor Rosenthal, Kevin Siegrist, Jonathan Broxton and Seung-hwan Oh have a cumulative 18.24 K/9 and have allowed twice as many walks as hits so I guess don’t bother bringing a bat up when facing the Cardinals bullpen.
15

2

3

2.8

2.4

2.3

.518

.513

50.4%

20.6%

71.0%

-3.3%

0.0%

A fun game to play with this year's terrific rotation is to pick a pitcher and make up an injury that could put them out anywhere between one day and six months. Example: Noah Syndergaard questionable for his next start with "secondary wallet displacement."
16

4

3

3.6

3.5

3.8

.503

.508

10.8%

5.8%

16.6%

2.3%

0.0%

So far the Athletics are 3-0 when playing away from home HINT HINT HINT.
17

2

2

1.9

1.4

1.5

.495

.500

57.2%

17.1%

74.3%

0.4%

0.0%

For a young lineup on the rise, giving at bats to Juan Uribe, Rajai Davis, Marlon Byrd and Mike Napoli sure took care of that.
18

3

4

3.4

2.9

2.9

.484

.489

19.5%

20.4%

39.9%

6.5%

0.0%

It's going to take some creativity finding Darwin Barney some at-bats,
19

2

4

2.1

2.6

2.8

.472

.477

25.5%

22.7%

48.2%

-3.5%

0.0%

There may be a specific Romero for the job, but when it comes to the Rays bullpen, Enny Romero will do.
20

2

4

2.0

2.3

2.3

.449

.454

41.4%

11.5%

52.9%

-1.4%

0.0%

Hearing the Astros lost a game on "The Chase Utley Rule" means, I am assuming, they lost because he was booed by the opposing fans for reasons they cannot remember.
21

3

4

2.7

2.4

2.4

.434

.439

14.1%

7.4%

21.5%

-0.3%

0.0%

I'm no general manager, but why every team doesn't replace an injured All-Star outfielder with Nomar Mazara I'll never know.
22

3

3

2.1

2.3

2.4

.442

.437

3.0%

9.7%

12.7%

0.6%

0.0%

Ryan "Scooter" Gennett leads the Brewers in home runs in this early season, so until we sort all this out he's going to be Ryan Gennett and we'll have "Scooter" Braun.
23

2

4

1.9

3.1

3.2

.421

.416

0.6%

1.2%

1.8%

0.1%

0.0%

Hey, the Phillies aren't half bad! By all estimates, perhaps 60 percent bad at best.
24

3

3

1.8

2.2

2.0

.418

.413

2.2%

5.5%

7.8%

0.9%

0.0%

Trevor Story hitting all these home runs in the first half of April means that Colorado can finally say they have had fun before and after 4/20.
25

1

3

1.5

1.4

1.4

.403

.398

3.9%

7.0%

10.9%

-1.1%

0.0%

One week down and Ichiro has one at bat. One! If the Marlins don't know how to market a middling team with a Hall-of-Famer trying to reach 3,000 hits, they might as well try to reach the playoffs or something.
26

2

4

2.3

1.8

1.4

.393

.389

2.9%

6.1%

9.0%

-1.8%

0.0%

Padres run totals by game: 0, 0, 0, 13, 16, 3. That’s the same combination on my locker!
27

2

5

2.3

2.0

2.4

.393

.388

2.5%

5.6%

8.1%

-1.7%

0.0%

So far Zack Greinke has been roughed up in his first two starts, first by Trevor Story and then by the Cubs. If you think that's a rough start, wait until he gets his first Phoenix water bill.
28

0

6

1.3

1.9

2.1

.352

.356

2.8%

5.2%

8.0%

-0.4%

0.0%

According to Statcast, the exit velocity on any Minnesota Twins divisional championship picks is well over 200 mph.
29

2

4

1.0

0.9

0.9

.336

.340

5.5%

3.1%

8.6%

0.6%

0.0%

How is Jered Weaver winning games by throwing this slow? Simple: by the time the ball gets to home plate, the batter has already lost interested and wandered off to watch some television.
30

0

5

0.8

1.0

1.0

.284

.280

0.7%

0.8%

1.5%

-0.1%

0.0%

Atlanta is still searching for its first win, and didn't really bother to look in their coat pocket because they already stored them for the summer.