EpisodeAugust 23rd, 2018
Harry and Kendall talk about the Women’s Baseball World Cup, then look at how the number of 🔥high velocity🔥pitchers has increased over the last 10 years. They wrap up with a discussion of how bullpen usage affects lineups and how it might affect your daily fantasy league.
Stolen Bases book (https://amzn.to/2wmOnJw) by Jennifer Ring, Ph.D. (https://www.unr.edu/political-science/people/jennifer-ring)
Women’s Baseball World Cup website (https://wbwc.wbsc.org/)
Women’s Baseball World Cup YouTube Channel (https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC-UXjExO348UiOCxazH69hA)
Kalamazoo Yankees vs Colorado Silver Bullets (https://vimeo.com/162749016)
Bullpen (Mis)management Tool (https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/pitchfx/bpm/index.php?org=CHN&grint=27&startgame=1&endgame=162&year_id=2018&Submit=Submit&utm_source=podcast&utm_campaign=stolen_signs_28)
We visit with Jason Benetti, television play by play announcer for the Chicago White Sox. We talk with him about his start in the business, taking over for a broadcasting legend, how he integrates Steve Stone’s first hand knowledge, with the plethora of statistical data he has access to.
We also touch on the All Star Game and how catchers are evaluated for the Hall of Fame.
EpisodeJune 14th, 2018
Talking about the materials that make up a baseball with Dr. Meredith Wills (https://twitter.com/Bbl_Astrophyscs). We also revisit two-way players, dig into defensive metrics and why they’re difficult, and are reminded that everything old is new again.
How one tiny change to the baseball may have led to both the home run surge and the rise in pitcher blisters (https://theathletic.com/381544/2018/06/06/how-one-tiny-change-to-the-baseball-may-have-led-to-both-the-home-run-surge-and-the-rise-in-pitcher-blisters/)
Angels Live: What to make of ‘Seam Study’ (https://www.foxsports.com/west/video/1252393539925)
R.J. Anderson of CBS Sports came on to talk with us about the Rays recent usage of Sergio Romo as a starting pitcher. We talk about whether this concept will continue and if there may be other teams willing to try it out. We also talk with Anthony Rescan about his Baseball Prospectus Intern project for calculating surplus draft value. We threw in a handful of things we’ve learned over the last few weeks including tidbits about Kendrys Morales, Jordan Hicks, and the predictive value of xStats.
EpisodeMay 24th, 2018
We discuss the Report of the Committee Studying Home Run Rates in Major League Baseball released on May 24, 2018. We talk with committee chair Dr. Alan Nathan, and committee member Dr. Dan Brooks as well as radar and target tracking research engineer, Dr. Sean O’Rourke. We examine what the report is saying and what it means going forward.
Sam Miller joined us to talk about his recent article about evaluating Statcast’s new Pop Time metric. Surprising exactly no one, we also talk about Shohei Ohtani, again. And take a look at Robinson Cańo’s Hall of Fame candidacy.
- ‘Pop’ science: Your guide to learning a new MLB stat by Sam Miller
- Usain Bolt playing baseball by Sam Miller
- A big step forward in measuring command by Eno Sarris
- CMD from Baseball Prospectus
- What Makes a Good Change Up? Part 1, Part 2, Part 3 by Harry Pavlidis
Below is a table showing the comparative ratings of some of the pitchers with the best command scores.
Josh Tomlin *
Data pulled a few days apart, 151 total pitchers in COMMAND+ rankings and 130 in CMD
* Tomlin ranked sixth in CMD in 2017
Shohei Ohtani is flexible
- 2:32 Revisiting PECOTA team projections
- 10:44 Announce winners of The Shift by Russell A. Carleton giveaway
- 14:40 Spin Rates and Pitch Design with Jeff Long
- 1:08:45 Home Runs Have Surged in MLB — Baseball Experts Explain Why NBC Left Field (h/t Rob Arthur)
When we talk about park adjusted stats, and park factors, what does all of that mean? How do we arrive at those numbers and how do we account for changes over time? We also talk about “pitch design” and how that combines analytical data and player development.
We talk with Jonathan Judge (https://twitter.com/bachlaw) and Rob McQuown (https://twitter.com/Robmcquown), who oversee Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA projections (https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/) to get some more insight into how the projections are made, what’s new this year, and of course hip hop.
Sam Miller (https://twitter.com/SamMillerBB) asks how much we’d be willing to endure to play Major League Baseball (http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/22381495/put-coach-how-much-embarrassment-willing-endure-play-major-league-baseball)
We talk to Jeff Long (https://twitter.com/JeffLongBP), Sean O’Rourke (https://twitter.com/dj_mosfett), Wayne Boyle (https://twitter.com/PitchGrader), and Russell Carleton (https://twitter.com/pizzacutter4) about their recent Pitching Week (https://www.baseballprospectus.com/tag/pitching-week/) article about the Robot Strikezone and Robot Umpires (https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/37347/robo-strike-zone-not-simple-think/).
New Power, Command, Stamina pitching metrics (http://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/sortable/index.php?cid=2507171) from Baseball Prospectus
Updating Pitch Tunnels (https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/37436/prospectus-feature-updating-pitch-tunnels/) – by Jeff Long, Harry Pavlidis, and Martin Alonso (https://twitter.com/martnar)
Jeff Long, Jonathan Judge (https://twitter.com/bachlaw) and Harry are nominated for a SABR Analytics Conference Research Award (http://sabr.org/about/sabr-analytics-conference-research-awards)
The Hazards of Going on Auto-Pilot (https://www.newyorker.com/science/maria-konnikova/hazards-automation) – by Maria Konnikova
Stolen Signs is back. Harry and Kendall talk about the slow offseason, collusion and ideas on how to change the economics of baseball. After a short break (14:05) they discuss new research by Duke University that looks into neurological and motor skills and how they translate to baseball production, a new smart baseball that can provide some pitch tracking and tease some new work by the stats team at Baseball Prospectus. To wrap up (32:00), a look into the state of pitching and try to talk about what an inning(s) eater is and also what an ace is.
Neuroscience Can Project Batting Lines Now (https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/neuroscience-can-project-batting-lines-now/) by Eno Sarris (https://twitter.com/enosarris)
Anthony DiComo’s tweet of Sandy Alderson quote (https://twitter.com/AnthonyDiComo/status/953740175024193536)
Here’s why baseball’s economic system might be broken (https://sports.yahoo.com/heres-baseballs-economic-system-might-broken-224638354.html) by Jeff Passan (https://twitter.com/jeffpassan)
We touch on many issues of the day as we wrap up 2017 in style.
3:10 – Marlins firesale fallout – Dan LeBatard show (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tDT-a7fh5fc)
17:05 – Bob Bowman forced out at MLBAM (https://www.wsj.com/articles/baseballs-rainmaker-forced-out-after-alleged-misconduct-1513882805)
23:38 – Shohei Ohtani ZIPS, Steamer and PECOTA projections
35:20 – The Case for Long-Form Movement (https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/36603/pitching-backward-case-long-form-movement/) by Jeff Long (https://twitter.com/JeffLongBP)
51:00 – Major League Baseball’s Statcast Can Break Sabermetrics (https://deadspin.com/major-league-baseballs-statcast-can-break-sabermetrics-1820987737) by Emma Baccellieri (https://twitter.com/emmabaccellieri)
1:19:20 – Hall of Fame discussion – HOF Tracker (https://onedrive.live.com/view.aspx?resid=F2E5D8FC5199DFAF!8063&ithint=file,xlsx&app=Excel&authkey=!AAAsz3uDsmqy_Vw) c/o @NotMrTibbs (https://twitter.com/NotMrTibbs)
With that we bid you farewell for the year. Happy holidays to all, and we look forward to 2018.
EpisodeDecember 7th, 2017
We talk with Ben Lindbergh and Kaz Yamazaki about the NPB posting system, differences between the mounds, balls, culture of MLB and NPB and dig a little deeper into some of the myths about Japanese pitchers coming over to MLB. We also look into the current state of the sabermetric community in Japan.
Effectively Wild Episode 1145: The Reigning-MVP Podcast (https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/effectively-wild-episode-1145-the-reigning-mvp-podcast/) Effectively Wild episode where Ben and Jeff Sullivan talk with Dennis Sarfate
Shohei Otani and MLB’s Japanese Fragility Myth (https://www.theringer.com/mlb/2017/12/5/16737454/shohei-ohtani-history-of-japanese-pitchers-in-mlb) from The Ringer
Shohei Otani’s life goals (http://m.mlb.com/cutfour/2017/12/06/262926572/check-out-shohei-ohtanis-life-goals-that-he-wrote-out-in-high-school)
Delta Graphs (http://1point02.jp/op/index.aspx)
Episode 13: Wins Above Replacement discussion with Sean Forman (bWAR), David Cameron (fWAR), Greg Matthews (openWAR), Rob McQuown and Jonathan Judge (WARP)November 29th, 2017
With all the recent discussion about Wins Above Replacement statistics, we wanted to get people who create and maintain the statistics together to talk about how their respective stats are created and calculated. We talk about what replacement level is, positional adjustments, how to accurately portray confidence in the precision of the statistic.