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Lynched

When the other shoe dropped in Chicago, it wasn’t a Sammy Sosa deal.
General Manager Ed Lynch was awarded the famed Pink Slip and one month’s
salary and benefits as this year’s Snuggly Cubbie Scapegoat. Team President
Andy MacPhail will assume the duties of the general manager until a new
warm body is found, and he’s made it known that his first order of business
is making Sosa happy.

The lesson here: if the team you’re running has a fluke season, keep your
resume current. Heightened expectations can torch the career of any
executive, and the Cubs set their leadership up for a thinning following
their 90-73 wild-card campaign of 1998. Manager Jim Riggleman, third-place
finisher in 1998 NL Manager of the Year voting, was first to go, as he and
his staff were sacked after 1999’s 67-95 return to reality.

In the end, this is a Cubs team decaying from within. Manager Don Baylor’s
overt insinuations about how much Sosa and fellow outfielder Henry
Rodriguez
are giving for the team haven’t produced any tangible result
except to irritate one of the team’s better players and its only true
superstar. And if anything interests Baylor more than impugning his
outfield, it is championing minor-league outfielder/Baseball
Prospectus
Top 40 Prospect Corey Patterson‘s case for the
majors. This while Patterson is batting .257/.333/.477 with mediocre plate
discipline for the team’s Double-A affiliate.

The Lynch/MacPhail reign has not been a happy one for Cubs fans, and the
preparations for this year merely underscored the reason: a reliance on
overpaid, underperforming veterans. During the offseason, the Cubs traded
for pitcher Ismael Valdes and second baseman Eric Young.
We’ve thought Valdes has been underrated for some time now, and Young had a
fairly good season in Los Angeles in 1999. But at the same time, the Cubs
plugged holes in center field and at catcher with Damon Buford and
Joe Girardi. Adding Buford and "All-Star" Girardi did a
number on the team’s already poor offense. The rest, as they say, is history.

MacPhail and Lynch made some good moves–Pirates fans are still smarting
from the Brant Brown-for-Jon Lieber deal–and, in the end,
they’ve gotten their share of bad luck, with Valdes’s terrible 2000 a
shining example. But many things have broken right for the
Cubs–Sosa making his four-year, $42.5-million contract a bargain being
chief among them–and the team has nothing to show for it but a quick
playoff exit in 1998. MacPhail is running out of scapegoats, and even with
the sleepy corporate ownership and nearly inelastic ticketed fan base,
change is coming for the Cubs.

Notes

  • In a bizarre couple of days, Reds shortstop and lifer Barry
    Larkin
    goes from traded to the Mets to signed in Cincinnati through
    2003. The team ended up meeting his demand for a three-year, $27-million
    extension despite GM Jim Bowden’s concrete assurances to the media that
    such a thing would not be happening.

    Larkin gave the Reds a nice hometown discount following his 1995 MVP
    season, and it seems right that the Reds compensate him for that now. In
    fact, Larkin is still playing at an All-Star level, and will probably earn
    his money over the course of the deal. But the most interesting part of the
    whole process, to me, was Ken Griffey Jr.‘s public willingness to
    help pay for part of Larkin’s deal.

    In this day and age, it’s become old hat to hear the top dog on a team
    bitch and complain about how management doesn’t give him enough help, and
    Griffey is no stranger to that. But it isn’t often that you hear a player
    offer to help sign the guys he wants with his own money, and now Griffey
    has done it twice–with Jay Buhner in Seattle and with Larkin in
    Cincinnati.

    Throw in the fact that Griffey took way below market value to come to
    Cincinnati in the first place, and his priorities look pretty refreshing
    compared to your standard-issue major leaguer.

  • While it may be tempting to point to Mark McGwire‘s absence as
    the reason for the Cardinals’ 5-9 stretch, the fact is the team’s offense
    hasn’t suffered much in his absence. The Cards have scored more than six
    runs per game since McGwire’s last appearance, above their season average.
    Ray Lankford was rounding into form before leaving the team to mourn
    his brother and the return of Fernando Tatis has been a big boost.

    The pitching has been the problem–the Cardinals have given up 86 runs
    during McGwire’s DL stay, 6.1 per game and exactly as many as they’ve
    scored. The Cards haven’t been home since the All-Star break, either; their
    home game Tuesday against the Diamondbacks will be their first in 16 days.

    While their lead over the Reds has dwindled to five games, there’s no real
    reason to believe a collapse is imminent. Lankford is back and McGwire’s
    return sometime this week will have the Cardinals at full strength for the
    first time since April.

Dave Pease can be reached at dpease@baseballprospectus.com.