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NOT DAVID’S BOTE.

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Michael McKay
8/13
The Red Sox fan in me just wonders -- at what point does the playoff odds model (forecasting a .580 winning %) have to reconcile with the .708 120 games to date? Binomial distribution model suggests that is 1.2/1000 likely to happen -- which, is "possible" but ?? when does "reality" need to adjust to "modeled expectations"?