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Prospectus Hit List for May 1



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for April 27 Hit List for May 4
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Washington lost a center fielder, but gained a no. 1 ranking.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

17

8

16.5

17.2

17.0

.609

.604

72.9%

13.4%

86.3%

6.5%

6.7%

In tearing his ACL on Saturday, Adam Eaton proved once and again that you should never trade away pitching prospects. Wait ...
2

15

8

15.7

17.0

16.6

.593

.598

25.4%

19.3%

44.7%

-6.1%

9.0%

Jacoby Ellsbury hit his 100th career homerun on Saturday, a milestone that Aaron Judge is poised to reach by mid-June.
3

16

9

15.1

14.6

14.5

.586

.591

74.5%

14.1%

88.6%

1.3%

1.0%

Two years after winning the AL Cy Young and one year after posting a 4.55 ERA, Dallas Keuchel is dominating once more. He is the yin to the San Francisco Giants yang.
4

14

12

15.3

15.9

16.2

.594

.589

74.2%

16.3%

90.5%

1.2%

4.0%

In hitting back-to-back-to-back homers to walk off against the Phillies on Saturday, the Dodgers had what we’ll all look back on as their best win of the season after their annual NLCS loss.
5

14

10

13.7

14.8

14.8

.584

.589

79.6%

9.7%

89.2%

1.7%

3.4%

Edwin Encarnacion was billed as the Tribe’s big addition this offseason, but don’t sleep on Michael Brantley, who’s hitting .308/.365/.551 and who probably doesn’t like being slept on.
6

13

11

13.8

14.3

14.3

.577

.572

76.1%

10.3%

86.4%

-1.8%

-1.9%

*Extremely ESPN Voice* What if I told you ... that Kris Bryant’s dad ... liked Fenway Park.
7

13

11

12.0

12.0

11.9

.527

.532

44.5%

20.2%

64.7%

3.6%

-1.7%

By taking criticism after stating that the Red Sox lineup misses David Ortiz, Xander Bogaerts proved definitively that players should never, ever bother speaking to the Boston media.
8

16

11

16.4

15.2

14.6

.536

.531

11.4%

29.1%

40.5%

5.5%

3.6%

I wonder if every time Donald Trump talks about the NAFTA deal he thinks he’s talking about the Shelby Miller trade?
9

12

14

13.2

14.3

15.0

.519

.524

16.2%

17.7%

33.9%

-0.6%

-4.4%

Chris Archer has to know better than to throw in the same zip code as Jose Bautista. Those types of shenanigans really bother the sensible, well-tempered slugger.
10

16

10

12.4

13.5

13.7

.510

.506

9.8%

28.6%

38.4%

-2.1%

-1.5%

Mark Reynolds hit a broken bat homerun on Saturday, lending further credence to the theory that your other senses strengthen when you go blind.
11

12

11

11.9

11.7

11.3

.498

.503

7.5%

16.4%

23.9%

1.9%

7.4%

“[Miguel] Sano keeps feasting against Royals pitching,” reads the Twins.com headline that’s three words too long.
12

13

10

13.2

11.4

11.8

.496

.501

4.4%

10.8%

15.1%

-2.3%

7.1%

By finishing April a surprising 13-10, the White Sox proved that they’re serious about raising the expectations of their casual fans before tearing it all down come July.
13

11

14

13.3

11.1

10.7

.496

.501

11.2%

20.6%

31.9%

-3.1%

-7.7%

Let’s see what the Jurickson Profar Excuse Generator says this time ... ah! Lack of everyday playing time. Yes, that’s surely it.
14

11

15

12.7

12.4

12.6

.493

.498

8.4%

19.3%

27.7%

-4.1%

-2.6%

Seattle has the second-worst bullpen ERA in the majors at 5.80, which is why so many people are concerned about Mariner Le Pen.
15

15

8

11.6

10.1

10.5

.486

.491

11.7%

13.4%

25.2%

5.5%

2.8%

Buck Showalter was ejected yesterday for arguing against a balk call late in his team’s win over the Yankees. Somehow, some way, he’ll find a way to blame the Red Sox.
16

12

12

11.2

11.3

11.8

.486

.481

8.8%

13.6%

22.4%

0.4%

6.8%

The Cardinals have the best starter’s ERA and the fourth-worst reliever’s ERA in the majors, which clearly means Yadier Molina is getting tired.
17

14

13

12.2

12.1

11.7

.471

.476

4.2%

11.0%

15.2%

2.9%

7.1%

C.J. Cron hit the DL after fouling a ball off of his foot. There’s no break, but there is a contusion, or as it’s known in the medical field, the C.J. Cron of boo-boos.
18

11

12

11.6

11.0

10.6

.480

.475

5.4%

9.9%

15.3%

1.6%

-8.6%

Justin Bour has a career-best six RBI yesterday, making it the best day for Bour’s WAR since May 31, 1902.
19

13

13

13.7

11.9

11.9

.480

.475

4.8%

9.7%

14.5%

1.4%

1.1%

The Brewers have scored the third-most and allowed the fifth-most runs in the majors. Sometimes, you can predict baseball.
20

12

12

10.6

10.1

10.0

.469

.474

8.3%

17.0%

25.3%

1.6%

-8.1%

“[Francisco] Rodriguez emerging as mentor in Detroit ‘pen,” reads the Tigers.com headline. His 6.23 ERA certainly does carry on a proud Tigers reliever tradition.
21

10

13

11.2

12.0

11.6

.476

.472

2.4%

6.6%

9.0%

-0.8%

4.0%

Freddie Freeman entered Sunday hitting .383/.485/.778 with eight homers and four steals. He is truly who Eric Hosmer was supposed to be.
22

11

14

9.7

13.2

12.7

.465

.470

1.6%

5.3%

6.9%

-0.8%

-5.3%

The A’s are contractually prohibited from having five healthy starters at the same time. That’s why Sean Manaea hit the DL this week to make room for Sonny Gray’s return on Thursday.
23

11

13

11.7

12.4

12.2

.474

.469

1.8%

4.2%

6.1%

1.1%

-3.5%

Want to feel old? The Colts signed Ken Griffey Jr.’s kid to a contract this weekend. Also you’ve never been closer to death than you are now. Eat at Arby’s.
24

11

13

9.8

10.6

11.5

.472

.467

8.4%

14.2%

22.6%

-1.8%

0.8%

Ivan Nova now has a half-season’s worth of starts as a Pirate and has spotted a 2.51 ERA in that time. Did the Pirates steal the Cardinals’ devil magic?
25

11

12

12.1

11.3

11.6

.471

.466

1.5%

4.1%

5.7%

-1.1%

-1.3%

Some Phillies teammates pranked Tommy Joseph by placing an unpopped bubble of gum on his head on Saturday in what Salon.com called a vicious and predictable perpetuation of hazing in the patriarchal monopoly that is MLB.
26

10

14

9.5

8.6

8.9

.467

.462

17.7%

23.4%

41.1%

-5.8%

-5.2%

There are no more healthy Mets, so there will be no more Mets comments this year. Please check back in 2018.
27

9

17

9.3

9.4

9.8

.448

.443

4.4%

15.1%

19.5%

-4.7%

-4.8%

Michael Morse is back with the Giants and driving in runs. Rust Cohle was right; time is truly a flat circle.
28

8

17

10.1

9.1

9.0

.426

.431

2.2%

4.2%

6.4%

-1.0%

-5.2%

Aaron Sanchez lasted just one inning in his return from the DL from a split nail in what Rich Hill called an inspiring display of durability.
29

11

16

10.2

10.6

10.5

.412

.407

0.2%

1.5%

1.7%

0.4%

-0.2%

Poor infrastructure, overreliance on an attractive location and talent bailing left and right? Classic Friar Festival.
30

7

16

7.1

7.8

8.1

.386

.391

0.2%

1.0%

1.2%

-0.5%

-2.8%

The Royals have lost nine straight. That’s it. That’s the joke.