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Prospectus Hit List for September 12



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for September 9 Hit List for September 16
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It's like looking in a mirror, only not.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

91

51

95.1

99.9

99.0

.678

.673

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

You know that one guy at work that does nothing, so everyone else has to pick up the slack and the company meets all its quotas? By this logic, Jason Heyward might be the NL MVP.
2

80

62

86.6

90.4

91.0

.613

.618

70.8%

23.9%

94.8%

3.8%

5.3%

Since he's the first 20-game winner, Rick Porcello Since he's the first 20-game winner, Rick Porcello is a shop in to win a Cy Young from the 1980s.
3

85

58

87.1

90.8

89.2

.615

.611

99.9%

0.1%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Maybe the experts believed that the 2015 Nationals were going to win the 2016 World Series. That would have made a bit more sense.
4

83

59

82.2

83.0

81.6

.581

.586

97.8%

1.7%

99.6%

0.2%

0.3%

The Indians began the season 5-8 against the Twins, then rallied to win five of the final six games against them. So if you're looking for an early World Series pick, try Indians in 19.
5

80

62

79.1

85.7

85.6

.582

.577

83.3%

16.0%

99.3%

-0.2%

0.5%

When Rich Hill was taken out of the game before finishing seven innings of baseball without allowing a baserunner, he reportedly told his teammates' [the editor has pulled me before finishing this perfect joke]
6

78

64

79.7

80.9

81.7

.564

.569

15.2%

54.4%

69.6%

-7.5%

-22.9%

It takes some bad juju to hit three home runs, including a grand slam, and have your opponent go through eight relievers over six innings -- and still lose by three.
7

75

67

78.8

82.6

80.8

.559

.554

0.0%

42.3%

42.3%

-14.4%

-16.0%

If it feels like a slightly odd season for the Cardinals, 75 percent of that feeling is because Matt Adams (who's having a good year!) has a lower slugging percentage than both Jeremy Hazelbaker and Adam Wainwright.
8

77

65

78.2

79.8

79.9

.554

.550

16.7%

68.4%

85.1%

5.7%

4.1%

The Giants had Cory Gearrin enter the 12th inning as a pitcher, then move to left field for a batter, then back to the mound for the save. Tony La Russa is suing Bruce Bochy for copyright infringement.
9

78

64

74.6

73.3

74.5

.529

.534

11.9%

43.5%

55.3%

14.2%

22.8%

An intersting fact about Michael Bourn on the Orioles is that Michael Bourn is in fact playing in the majors this year, and it's with the Orioles.
10

76

66

72.1

75.7

74.9

.526

.531

2.0%

31.7%

33.7%

-8.5%

-26.3%

Jordan Zimmermann, April: 5 starts, 0.55 ERA
Jordan Zimmermann, since: 12 starts, 7.16 ERA
11

85

59

74.1

71.5

71.3

.524

.529

99.9%

0.1%

100.0%

-0.0%

0.0%

Adrian Beltre stole his first base of the season yesterday, and has had exactly one steal in each year since 2011.
12

75

68

75.5

74.1

73.5

.521

.526

0.0%

14.5%

14.5%

-4.2%

-2.8%

Career home run leaderboard update (5'6" and under):
1. Hack Wilson 244
2. Jose Altuve 59
13

75

68

75.5

73.1

72.8

.518

.523

0.1%

12.4%

12.5%

4.7%

10.1%

As one of seven teams fighting for two Wild Card spots, the Mariners have distinguished themselves as the team whose games you are most likely to fall asleep during.
14

76

67

74.7

75.2

75.3

.527

.522

0.1%

71.2%

71.4%

8.9%

21.1%

Yoenis Cespedes hit another grand slam yesterday, making three of his four slams coming with the Mets. Which statistically makes sense, given New York traffic.
15

76

66

70.2

71.3

73.0

.511

.516

2.1%

12.8%

14.9%

-5.3%

11.1%

It's a shame the waiver trade deadline has passed, because after selling in July the Yankees are in the Wild Card hunt and might need to unload a couple more good players to really cement their division chances.
16

69

74

73.1

73.8

73.3

.506

.501

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

0.1%

-0.6%

A lost season gives a team a chance to see what young players might contribute to next year's team, and the decision is clear: time to find out if Nolan Arenado has any younger brothers.
17

71

72

71.3

71.7

71.1

.498

.493

0.0%

1.5%

1.5%

0.4%

-3.6%

Jose Urena, he of a 5.54 ERA entering yesterday, was one batter away from shutting out the Dodgers. I guess, at least for a little while, there is no reason to mock Urena.
18

74

68

70.3

65.1

65.5

.484

.489

0.2%

5.1%

5.3%

2.6%

2.5%

Ian Kennedy is second in the rotation in ERA. Lesson learned, kids: always give large contracts to all pitchers.
19

60

82

67.4

70.6

72.7

.477

.482

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Rays are second in the league in triples thanks to the stingray tank being ruled as in play, and one-hopping it into the tank counts as a ground rule triple.
20

68

74

67.3

65.8

66.3

.471

.476

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Chris Sale went eight innings, struck out 12 and took the loss because he got two hits of support. Face it, his teammates really liked those throwbacks.
21

69

72

68.4

64.9

65.2

.474

.469

0.0%

0.3%

0.3%

-0.5%

-5.6%

Jeff Locke has an ERA well north of five, and is leading the team in innings. I wonder why they're struggling.
22

63

79

68.8

61.3

62.2

.450

.454

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Jered Weaver likes to get ahead on batters 0-2 so that announcers are compelled to say that he quickly did something.
23

64

79

64.7

63.1

62.7

.445

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Brewers' Hit List ranking is basically like college townies: they're perpetually, hopelessly stuck in their early 20s.
24

60

82

57.1

57.3

58.1

.409

.414

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The A's releasing Billy Butler with eight figures left on his contract means that Oakland is the last franchise to find out that eating a large contract is more of an acquired taste.
25

53

90

57.8

60.0

60.4

.404

.409

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

There's always next year, Twins fans. And if not, there are some lovely boating lakes.
26

59

84

63.2

56.0

56.1

.410

.405

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

On the year, Ryan Schimpf has 18 home runs, 15 doubles, and 13 singles. The last person to play this much and have more doubles and home runs than singles ' so far, has never happened. And there's your hook to watch Padres Baseball'.
27

55

88

55.3

60.6

60.3

.404

.399

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

You call them losers, but keep in mind the Braves were the only sports team in Georgia to not play a football game over the weekend.
28

58

84

56.0

57.0

58.2

.404

.399

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Five teams have hit 17 triples or fewer on the season. The Diamondbacks have had 17 different batters triple.
29

60

82

59.2

52.5

53.1

.396

.391

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If this team was given a memo to lose enough games to secure a No. 1 draft pick, they must have given the handwritten memo to Jay Bruce minutes before he was traded.
30

63

80

54.7

52.6

53.0

.390

.386

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Just five months until Phillies spring training -- and 17 months until a good spring training.