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Prospectus Hit List for August 5



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for August 1 Hit List for August 8
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

What the Hawk?

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

66

41

71.5

75.2

73.7

.669

.665

99.0%

0.9%

100.0%

0.1%

0.8%

By WARP, Ryan Kalish has been more valuable to the Cubs this season than Jason Heyward.
2

64

44

68.8

71.0

70.4

.635

.630

95.8%

3.5%

99.4%

0.2%

2.3%

Free-agent-to-be Wilson Ramos is second on the Nationals in BWARP, though he figures lead the team in BGONE after the year.
3

62

47

63.5

65.3

65.4

.588

.593

50.1%

37.1%

87.2%

4.0%

13.3%

Mark Shapiro said definitively Aaron Sanchez won’t throw 220 innings this season. Asked if he might throw 221 Shapiro pointed to “a goat on fire” behind us and when we turned back around Shapiro was gone.
4

59

48

61.4

64.8

65.0

.585

.589

31.5%

42.3%

73.8%

8.6%

6.6%

I’ve Been Intending to write a comment about the Red Sox' new rookie call-up but I can’t think of a joke.
5

60

48

60.9

67.3

67.7

.592

.587

61.5%

29.8%

91.4%

3.4%

2.2%

The Dodgers just traded for Rich Hill, a currently injured 36-year-old who has thrown 258 innings over the last nine seasons but the state of pitching in baseball is just fine.
6

61

45

61.7

61.0

59.7

.574

.579

84.0%

9.7%

93.6%

2.0%

-1.8%

Since the deadline the Indians have, in order, won by eight, lost by seven, lost by four, lost by eight, and won by seven. Maybe they didn’t need a relief ace after all?
7

57

51

62.2

64.8

63.9

.574

.569

0.9%

47.1%

48.0%

-7.4%

-7.4%

Matt Carpenter will be back in the lineup today, which, through the Law of Cardinal DLs, means someone else must pay the price. I’m calling a Jedd Gyorko vowel sprain.
8

62

46

59.3

60.1

59.4

.557

.552

37.8%

43.5%

81.3%

4.2%

9.4%

Denard’s homer spanned over the outfield wall and the Giants what it’s late sue me.
9

61

46

56.6

54.7

54.7

.530

.535

17.9%

39.3%

57.2%

-4.7%

-0.8%

The Orioles have a terrible starting rotation. Then they got Wade Miley and his five-plus ERA. Guess how that worked out!
10

58

49

55.6

56.7

56.1

.529

.534

15.2%

35.1%

50.3%

-5.2%

20.7%

The Tigers won eight in a row, then lost, showing once again how hard it is to win 75 in a row.
11

56

52

57.6

56.8

55.5

.523

.528

11.0%

13.5%

24.5%

-5.9%

-34.9%

Recent call-up Alex Bregman is hitting .031/.088/.031. which is pretty good if you move around a few zeros.
12

54

52

56.4

55.0

55.1

.520

.525

11.2%

11.6%

22.9%

-3.6%

-3.0%

Wednesday the Mariners had four hits, one single and three homers. If they played that ratio out to date they’d have 697 homers and 233 singles.
13

56

52

55.6

57.9

58.6

.528

.523

2.4%

36.8%

39.2%

5.3%

-1.2%

Is Yoenis Cespedes’s golfing becoming a problem? Put it this way: if he comes to the plate with a three wood, we can talk.
14

57

51

55.7

56.8

57.4

.525

.520

1.8%

28.8%

30.6%

-1.6%

0.3%

The Marlins want nothing more than for Ichiro to get his 3,000th hit. That way they can stop paying for all the extra sodas required by the increase in reporters.
15

63

46

55.1

52.4

52.4

.511

.516

77.7%

7.4%

85.1%

5.1%

13.1%

The Rangers rate as the best baserunning team in baseball, which makes me think perhaps more people should take Ron Washington’s “Which base is it?” quiz.
16

54

54

55.9

56.1

55.3

.512

.507

0.6%

4.4%

5.0%

-2.2%

3.1%

Trevor Story may miss the entire remainder of the season, something which would make for a sad ending to the… uh… the… um… dammit.
17

54

54

50.0

50.9

51.2

.477

.482

0.5%

2.3%

2.7%

-0.9%

-8.4%

The Yankees don’t have any plans to release Alex Rodriguez. No plans, which, since it perfectly fits the way the team does business, means he’s a goner.
18

53

53

52.2

48.4

49.0

.478

.473

0.1%

5.1%

5.1%

-2.1%

-9.5%

The Pirates benched star outfielder Andrew McCutchen for the week, making it possible that there will be someone else on the cover of McCutchen Monthly Magazine (this month’s cover story: How to bake Soufflé and run a marathon at the same time!)
19

44

63

49.2

52.6

53.6

.466

.471

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Brad Miller wants to remain at shortstop when Matt Duffy returns from the DL, but checking the baseball name value chart, “Matt Duffy” out-scores “Brad Miller” by 274 name points so it’s back to a utility role.
20

52

56

50.0

49.3

49.9

.466

.471

0.8%

1.4%

2.2%

0.9%

-3.0%

According to Hawk Harrelson, “the schedule-makers stuck it up our behind.” No more information was available nor requested at press time.
21

49

59

54.2

48.9

48.9

.465

.470

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.0%

-0.0%

All players are human and need rest, but when the Angels play without Mike Trout can we all agree, as a decent society, as a human people, to do something else?
22

43

65

47.5

48.9

48.6

.435

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Did the Twins give up four homers yesterday or did the Indians take them? Either way, if you’re a Twins fan, I’m guessing you’re only familiar with, say, the first two.
23

51

57

46.5

44.7

45.5

.435

.440

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

-0.2%

-1.5%

Yesterday’s Royals starting lineup by OPS: < 599: 3; 600-699: 2; All OPS’s above 800: [this comment looks incomplete but really it isn’t]
24

47

61

49.7

44.7

45.1

.432

.427

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Matt Kemp thinks playing for the Braves is going to be lots of fun, which kinda puts playing in San Diego in perspective.
25

48

58

45.6

44.5

44.2

.430

.425

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

0.0%

In Lewis Brinson’s first game in Triple-A Colorado Springs he went 4-for-4 with three runs and a steal. So, discounting for the altitude, at least we know he can steal a base!
26

48

60

45.4

44.0

43.9

.420

.424

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.1%

The A’s don’t seem to have a plan to play Danny Valencia, the team’s best hitter, regularly. Um, guys, if you don’t want your best hitter, can 29 other teams have him?
27

50

60

44.0

42.6

42.7

.408

.403

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Aaron Nola is on the DL and may be shut down for the year with a right elbow sprain. Having watched pitchers for several decades, I think the best possible thing for the Phillies to do at this point is take him out back and shoot him.
28

43

65

42.8

43.6

45.0

.404

.399

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In three starts for Reno in Triple-A, Shelby Miller has a 5.60 ERA. Maybe it’s time he took up professional curling.
29

39

69

39.4

43.5

43.8

.383

.379

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Oddly, the team with the best difference between their winning percentage and pythagorean winning percentage is the… well, you know.
30

44

63

41.1

35.7

36.6

.368

.363

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Great start for Brandon Finnegan, giving up just two hits over six innings. Now the Reds just have to figure out a way to time his Tommy John surgery so that he’s healthy when they’re relevant.