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Prospectus Hit List for May 9



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for May 6 Hit List for May 13
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Yeaaah, one new Hit List kneels before you, that's what I said now. Hit List, Hit List who adores you, just go ahead now.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

24

6

24.6

25.3

25.1

.703

.699

95.0%

4.0%

99.0%

0.4%

3.5%

There is no truth to the rumor that the Chicago Cubs are trying to trade for Mike Trout. Absolutely no truth, so stop thinking about it. Specifically, Mike Trout on the Cubs for, say, Jason Heyward. Probably not happening.
2

19

11

20.1

20.1

18.2

.607

.602

56.4%

31.1%

87.5%

1.2%

-2.2%

Bartolo Colon's home run is a rock solid argument for the designated hitter, because now that he did it, there are no further reasons to watch future pitchers hit.
3

19

12

20.3

20.4

20.1

.596

.591

38.9%

41.8%

80.7%

-0.5%

-3.9%

Bryce Harper had six walks in seven plate apperances, so teams figured out that if you just walk him every time, this team will never win a championship. (Hey, it worked for Barry Bonds' teams.)
4

22

10

20.1

20.6

20.0

.585

.590

51.0%

27.8%

78.8%

1.3%

3.0%

Chris Sale joins a short list of White Sox pitchers to start 7-0, but in fairness the record books only go back to 1977 when the record books were lost during Bill Veeck's infamous "Bring Your Own Matches Night" promotion.
5

16

15

17.1

19.4

18.6

.576

.571

67.0%

10.1%

77.1%

1.6%

2.1%

You think you like Clayton Kershaw now? Just wait until he's a pudgy pitcher in his 40s hitting home runs too.
6

18

13

17.8

18.6

18.3

.565

.570

45.3%

22.2%

67.5%

4.4%

1.9%

Perhaps David Ortiz's on-base percentage is so high because when he homers, he gets credited with a walk as well.
7

15

13

16.0

15.7

16.1

.563

.568

42.2%

30.6%

72.8%

0.0%

8.7%

And the first Indians pitcher to five wins, with a perfect 5-0 record is ... Josh Tomlin! You know, Josh Tomlin. Right-hander, about yay high, wears a baseball cap to work. [gestures wildly] Josh ... Tomlin!
8

18

13

18.5

19.1

18.1

.561

.566

60.0%

9.7%

69.7%

-2.5%

11.3%

"It's about the journey, not the destination" -- inspirational Nori Aoki outfield defense quote
9

15

14

14.1

16.8

17.2

.547

.552

28.1%

26.6%

54.7%

2.9%

9.8%

If anyone knows of any legitimate sportsbooks that can give me good odds on Blake Snell being an Opening Day starter for the Montreal Rays, let me know.
10

16

16

19.9

20.7

20.2

.554

.549

2.0%

25.7%

27.7%

-3.4%

3.0%

The Cardinals haven’t been more than one game over or below .500 since April. This is a dead on Diamondbacks impression, St. Louis, but we know who you really are.
11

18

12

17.2

17.6

17.2

.529

.534

9.4%

13.9%

23.3%

2.4%

2.6%

When there was an opening at shortstop, honestly we're all a little surprised they didn't just throw Mark Trumbo there instead of Manny Machado (although it absolutely would have worked).
12

16

17

17.8

16.7

17.6

.522

.527

13.8%

19.7%

33.5%

-5.1%

-0.1%

The military comparison for a Drew Storen appearance is a grenade duct-taped to a boomerang.
13

17

16

16.6

17.4

17.5

.521

.516

20.8%

17.6%

38.4%

-5.7%

-2.2%

The Giants are a disappointing 0-1 when they give up a 13-run inning to the opponent. This data should clearly show what to avoid in the future.
14

17

14

16.3

16.6

16.3

.521

.516

2.9%

32.6%

35.5%

4.4%

-6.6%

Jung Ho Kang returned from injury with a bang, as he hit two home run balls (pitches that hang) for the Pirates gang as the fans cheerfully sang. Dang.
15

18

14

17.6

15.2

15.2

.497

.502

18.2%

10.3%

28.5%

4.3%

4.9%

Rangers catchers went 6-for-12, with a walk, triple, home run against the Tigers, and both Rangers catchers were acquired from the Tigers this year.
16

16

14

14.7

16.5

16.5

.502

.497

3.7%

14.8%

18.5%

-3.0%

5.7%

Martin Prado is a high-character guy hitting an NL-best .396. The Miami Marlins will no doubt correct this soon.
17

12

20

14.0

14.4

13.8

.484

.489

14.7%

10.9%

25.6%

2.5%

2.0%

Somehow the Astros lead the majors in stolen bases, and yet this season can't go fast enough for them.
18

15

16

15.6

16.8

17.2

.493

.488

5.3%

5.6%

11.0%

2.0%

0.7%

With Trevor Story still on pace for 57 home runs and 240 strikeouts, the Rookie of the Year award this year may be a lifesize statue of Ron Kittle.
19

14

16

14.0

13.9

13.5

.476

.481

3.8%

10.9%

14.7%

-1.7%

-16.9%

The Tigers tried acquiring decent relievers, adequate relievers, replacement level relievers and mediocre relievers, and still they cannot prevent runs at the end of games. Clearly they've tried everything.
20

15

18

14.5

15.2

16.5

.473

.468

5.5%

4.5%

9.9%

1.4%

-0.3%

"Really, you're going out in public dressed like that?" -- the Diamondbacks' mother, prior to the game
21

15

15

13.4

12.9

12.9

.459

.464

2.8%

6.8%

9.5%

-1.3%

-4.1%

The Royals may answer the question that may cause every baseball old-timer to throw their canes at the Victrola: can a team reach the playoffs without throwing a single complete game?
22

11

18

11.6

11.4

12.0

.454

.459

3.4%

5.2%

8.6%

-3.5%

-3.8%

If they can deviate from the normal jersey with pink logos, then maybe for next Mother's Day the Yankees can put names on the back -- but here's the twist -- of each player's mom.
23

14

18

13.3

12.4

12.6

.441

.445

4.8%

3.3%

8.2%

-2.4%

-9.6%

There is likely nothing in their new lease with the Coliseum saying either party can opt out if the A's bat someone with a .140 on-base percentage second in the lineup, so Mark Canha can breathe a sigh of relief.
24

13

18

13.5

11.7

11.7

.433

.438

2.3%

1.5%

3.8%

-1.0%

-7.2%

There isn't a ReAl gooD chancE this teaM Is maKing thE posTseason, so peRhaps the frOnt office will focUs on sTrengthening the farm system.
25

18

14

12.8

12.7

13.2

.433

.429

1.0%

6.0%

7.0%

2.3%

-0.2%

That's "MLB save leader Jeanmar Gomez" to you. "Mr. MLB save leader Jeanmar Gomez" is his father.
26

13

19

13.0

11.1

11.5

.424

.419

1.4%

2.2%

3.6%

-0.0%

1.2%

James Shields has only given up one home run to a pitcher (Bartolo Colon) but in over 20 plate appearances each he has never allowed a home run to Mark Teixeira, Paul Konerko, Travis Hafner, Jason Giambi, or Prince Fielder.
27

13

18

11.8

9.9

9.4

.413

.408

0.1%

2.9%

3.0%

-0.4%

0.3%

It was a rather enjoyable Brewers weekend as Chris Capuano won the game Sunday and Aaron Hill had a three-homer game Saturday. Yes, just another fun weekend in Milwaukee in May of the current year, which is 2007.
28

8

23

9.9

10.8

10.7

.401

.406

0.2%

0.5%

0.7%

-0.3%

-2.4%

Mothers Day for mothers of actual twins > Mothers day for mothers of well you get the rest of the joke.
29

13

19

11.0

8.5

9.6

.387

.382

0.1%

1.0%

1.1%

-0.2%

-1.0%

Cincinnati pitchers in the top of the 10th inning on Saturday gave up the following: single, single, single, home run, double, bunt single, strikeout, intentional walk, double, and then the box score just kind of fades out with various blood spatters.
30

7

23

8.3

7.9

9.5

.344

.339

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.1%

Pink is not just a Mother's Day color for Braves fans, as many of them chug Pepto Bismol after every game.