We've made a lot of changes to Baseball Prospectus 2016, and I want to tell you about a few of them here. But as to not bury the lede, our publisher is making the Philadelphia Phillies chapter of Baseball Prospectus 2016 freely available as a PDF! Go get your copy now by clicking here.
Now that Baseball Prospectus 2016 is making its way to readers across the nation, we wanted to cover some of the changes we'd made to this year's edition.
This year's book is enormous. We heard from several readers who wanted the thicker, whiter stock that we use in our other publications in their annual, and we've always liked the better paper as well. So at the risk of making the book even less portable, we worked with our publisher to source high-quality 60# white paper for Baseball Prospectus 2016.
Top: Baseball Prospectus 2015.
Bottom: Baseball Prospectus 2016.
Baseball Prospectus 2016 weighs over twice as much as Baseball Prospectus 2015, and the better paper is the main reason for the increase. Part of that size increase is the page count. Baseball Prospectus 2015 was 476 pages, and Baseball Prospectus 2016 is 594 pages. Baseball Prospectus 2015's word count was actually very similar to other volumes in the series–both the 2015 and 2016 books are in the overall series margin for error–but we used a smaller font in layout last year and we heard from a lot of readers that it was hard to read. We bumped up the base font size and the leading a bit for Baseball Prospectus 2016.
Top: 180000 pixels of Baseball Prospectus 2015.
Bottom: 180000 pixels of Baseball Prospectus 2016.
We also moved the page numbers back to the corners so you can more easily flip through by page number, and applied a color bar on the outside edge of each team chapter front page so it is easy for you to see where each team chapter begins.
Team Chapter Features
We've added a few features to the team chapters this year.
We were very happy to arrange with the talented Lou Spirito of THIRTY81PROJECT to bring you his updated ballpark outlines, dimensions, and outfield wall profiles for every ballpark in the majors. A ballpark is so much more than just a set of dimensions, and we've wanted something like this in the series since jump street. You'll find these in each team chapter.
Fenway Park from Baseball Prospectus 2016.
You'll find a series of graphs on the second page of every team chapter. We wanted to bring you a graphical depiction of some important information to help put the team's performance in context and add some shape to the numbers. The 2015 Hit List Ranking shows you how the team's Prospectus Hit List ranking changed as the season progressed. Jay Jaffe designed the process in 2005 and it has been running our version of the power rankings ever since. A fast start and a playoff push will scan very differently in these graphs.
Astros Hit List Ranking graph from Baseball Prospectus 2016.
The Committed Payroll graph gives you an idea of how this team's ability to pay players compares to their environment and their recent history. A change in organizational philosophy on roster compensation really stands out on these graphs. You'll see some of the intense effects things like the Dodgers payroll have on average compensation across the division, and get a pretty reasonable basis for estimating the team's general behaviors going forward.
Astros Committed Payroll graph from Baseball Prospectus 2016.
Baseball Prospectus has had full minor league coverage ever since we brought Kevin Goldstein on in 2006, and that lets us define some context for a team's minor league organizational strength over time. This is another graph where a shift in direction for an organization produces some dramatic changes in the graph. For the Farm System Ranking graph, we plot a team's ranking from our first organizational rankings in 2007 through to 2015.
Astros Farm System Ranking graph from Baseball Prospectus 2016.
Between the player writeups and Lineouts, we cover most of the players you'll want to know about for a team, and we've got coverage for each Manager in the book as well. We wanted to use the Personnel section to list some of the names you'll read or hear about when you're following the team in the media throughout the year. We've listed Presidents, General Managers, AGMs, Managers, and occasional others. The Baseball Prospectus Alumni section is my favorite part of the book.
Astros Personnel listing from Baseball Prospectus 2016.
Errata [updated 6/3/2016]
We hate it when errors make it into the book, and we're continually working on the process to improve our ability to find them before it is too late. But with the size and schedule of the project, we haven't found a way to squash them all yet. What we can do is track the errors in the book and point you in the direction of any corrections or fixes, so we'd like to try to do that here this year. If you see anything we don't have, please leave it in the comments, and we will update this list as things are reported.
In all instances where we included incorrect player information or omitted a player comment, you can click on the player name to get to his PECOTA player card. Ordinarily you must be a Baseball Prospectus Premium subscriber to see the expanded PECOTA projections output but we have made all of these cards free for all readers. We have also included their player comment from Baseball Prospectus 2016 in the player comments section, so you can see the player's complete stats, projections, and comments on their card. Full PECOTA projections for all of these players will be available next week.
- Park factors on the team pages are incorrect. The correct park factors are available here.
- p 38: Matt Wisler has xxxxx for comps, percentages
- p 52: Miguel Gonzalez' biographical information is incorrect
- p 78: Cubs have White Sox Hit List Ranking and Farm System Ranking graphs
- p 82: Ian Happ has Dexter Fowler's stat block
- p 83: Austin Jackson has Billy McKinney's age and birthdate
- p 90: Jon Lester has Pierce Johnson's vital statistics
- p 96: White Sox have Cubs Hit List Ranking and Farm System Ranking graphs
- p 120: Yorman Rodriguez's biographical information is incorrect
- p 123: Jumbo Diaz's biographical information is incorrect
- p 125: Michael Lorenzen's biographical information is incorrect
- p 150: Adam Plutko's name is misspelled in the text part of the Lineout
- p 166: Jason Motte and Mike Nikorak have no stats or projections
- p 228: Taylor Featherston is 6'1", not 6'11"
- p 244: Carl Crawford has no projection
- p 271: Carter Capps has Kyle Barraclough's stat block
- p 291: Adrian Houser statistical table doesn't have the headers
- p 320: New York Mets chapter author Mike Pesca's bio is "XXXXX"; should have been Mike Pesca is the host of the Slate podcast "The Gist," a panelist on the Slate podcast "Hang Up and Listen" and a regular contributor to National Public Radio. He does a plus-plus Jim J. Bullock impersonation.
- p 323: Wilmer Flores' biographical information is incorrect
- p 389: Lineout notes for hitters are repeated for pitchers in Phillies team chapter. Download a free PDF of the fixed Phillies chapter here
- p 399: Aramis Ramirez has Harold Ramirez' percentages and comps
- p 503: Lewis Brinson and Robinson Chirinos have repeated comps, percentages
- p 505: Josh Hamilton missing
- p 506: Rougned Odor has Mitch Moreland's projections
- p 520: Anthony Alford and Jose Bautista's WARP projections are incorrect
- p 521: Josh Donaldson has Chris Colabello's comps, percentages
- p 522: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has empty stat box
- p 581: WARP for Relievers leaderboard is incorrect
An online Index of Player Names from Baseball Prospectus 2016 is available at https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/sortable/extras/book_index_playerlist.php.
Thank you for reading
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