keyboard_arrow_uptop

If you frequent our Playoff Odds Report, you may have noticed that we have added graphs that show each team's daily playoff odds.

By default, the graphs will show you each team's Adjusted Playoff Odds, which demonstrate the team's chance of making it to the LDS round. Below each graph, there are buttons that will let you view graphs of

  • Playoff Pct: the probability of the team either winning their division or making it to the Wild Card Game
  • Division Win Pct: the probability of the team winning their division
  • Wild Card Pct: the probability of the team reaching the Wild Card Game
  • Playoff Pct 1 Day Change: the team's change in Playoff Pct (unadjusted) over the previous day
  • Playoff Pct 7 Day Change: the team's change in Playoff Pct (unadjusted) over the previous week
  • Expected Win Pct: the team's rest-of-season expected win rate, independent of strength of schedule
  • Avg Win Total: the team's average number of total regular season wins in all simulations from that date

Click on the button of your choice and the graph will update accordingly.


You can use the "display grouped by" option at the top of the page to view charts by Division, League, or view all MLB teams at once.


You can show and hide teams by clicking on their entry in the chart legend. To show or hide all teams on a chart, click the "Toggle All" button. The quickest way to view the chart of one specific team is to click "Toggle All" to hide all teams, then click on the team you'd like to view.


If you'd like to take a look at a subset of the season, click and drag your cursor over the period you'd like to view. Click "Reset Zoom" to return to the full year view.


To learn more about our Playoff Odds, you can view the Feature Focus from last year.

Thank you for reading

This is a free article. If you enjoyed it, consider subscribing to Baseball Prospectus. Subscriptions support ongoing public baseball research and analysis in an increasingly proprietary environment.

Subscribe now
You need to be logged in to comment. Login or Subscribe
morro089
7/29
I haven't seen all these bells and whistles (or at least figured out how to use them in the past few days), but my only criticism is wishing there was a way to know when "Expected Winning %" changes. You see +18% over the last 7 days and you're not sure if it's because of the win/loss changes or because someone decided to re-run Pecota projections on a team and now the Pirates got a .020 bump (and I doubt the Ramirez trade did all that). Otherwise, I love the new additions, it's something I've wanted on that page since first stumbling upon it (and telling nobody) and I scan it at least every other day. And thank god you color coded the team lines correctly, absolutely convenient.
morro089
7/29
While I'm here, could you not make it "untoggle" when switching between different "display group by" options? I'm looking at the Cubs, Pirates and Giants and when I switch from Playoff% to AdjPlayoff% it now shows every team in the conference instead of just those three teams. The ability to "untoggle" is still there if I would like it.
morro089
7/29
Oh! And I just found where I can view the changing ExpWin% too. Carry on.
GBSimons
7/29
Conference?