keyboard_arrow_uptop

Ben and Sam discuss events from Wednesday's games, the new transfer rule, and the injuries that could cost teams playoff spots.

Download Here (34 MB; 36:37)
RSS Feed
iTunes Feed (Please rate and review us!)
Facebook Group
Email Us podcast@baseballprospectus.com
Sponsor Us

Thank you for reading

This is a free article. If you enjoyed it, consider subscribing to Baseball Prospectus. Subscriptions support ongoing public baseball research and analysis in an increasingly proprietary environment.

Subscribe now
You need to be logged in to comment. Login or Subscribe
Dutchleaguer
4/10
Sam: "I'm not a huge fan of Parker."

Ben: "I'm not necessarily a huge fan of Moore at the moment..."

You guys make these kinds of statements a lot. Forgive maybe a dumb question but what you mean by 'being a fan' of a player? It is just about his numbers, or is also about, say, his hunger to play well, or whether he can meet the expectations placed on him given the other moving parts of the roster, etc.

Or is it more that hard-to-pin-down quality, the way non-sabermetrically minded fans just like this or that player?
bornyank1
4/10
In my case, it just meant that I have some reservations about his performance in the short term, mostly because of his control issues. I wouldn't yet pick him as a buy-low or breakout candidate, basically (even if he were healthy). It's probably something I'm more inclined to say about someone for whom expectations are high (as they are in Moore's case, thanks to his no. 1 overall prospect ranking and low ERA/All-Star appearance/ninth-place AL Cy Young finish last season).
Dutchleaguer
4/10
OK that makes sense, thanks!
lyricalkiller
4/10
Yeah, mostly what Ben said. It's admittedly a vague thing that we toss off more casually and evidencelessly in speech than we would in writing, but usually falls into one or more of three categories:
1. I expect him to get worse before I expect him to get better.
2. I don't see the breakout potential that other people do.
3. He was a top prospect but the excitement is gone.

Probably most commonly due to the player's general statistical profile, or a specific part of his statistical profile, but can be based on anything/everything we know about a guy.
onearmedecon
4/10
Not a Mets fan, but when you introduced the topic of whose loss was most devastating I immediately thought of Matt Harvey. While it's true that his 3-4 wins wouldn't have made them contenders by itself, it really affected the entire Mets off-season strategy. They might have been more willing to pay for (and lose the draft pick) for Stephen Drew, which figures to have been a 1-2 win upgrade over Tejada.

And when you look at the Mets rotation, there's a lot of 0-1 WAR starters (although definitely take the over on Wheeler). So if they had sacrificed the pick for Drew, maybe they would have gone after Santana (which would have taken him off the table from the Braves). And if they are playing above .500 mid-season, maybe they promote Syndergaard earlier than they will this season (e.g., willing to concede Super Two status).

Obviously these second- and third-order affects are highly, highly speculative. And maybe I'm overestimating their financial resources (although even after the Colon, Granderson, and Young signings, their 2014 payroll is ~$10M lower than 2013). But I think it's far to say that Harvey's injury really had an impact on the Mets 2014 that extends well-beyond his 2014 individual projection.
andrewmorris92
4/11
What is the title of the song sampled in the beginning?
Thanks
bornyank1
4/11
It's "I'm Hurtin'" by the excellent Roy Orbison. You can listen to the whole thing here.