The second of the deluge of new podcasts here at Baseball Prospectus Fantasy, There is No Off-Season is quite different than its sister podcast, Flags Fly Forever. In this space, we will discuss all things dynasty and long-term keeper related, and nothing but. We will focus on both the major and minor league sides of things, but all within the spectrum of long-term value. You'll learn a lot, at least when we're not spouting off inside jokes and berating Craig–and even maybe then too. Oh, and remember to rate and review us on iTunes.

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Hello! (0:00-2:10)
Listener E-mails! Prospects, Pitchers And Lefties: (2:11-32:53)
Starting Pitchers, Rankings list sans Bret (32:54-1:02:49)
Injuries make the heart grow colder (1:02:50-1:11:26)
There Is No Ending! (1:11:27-1:14:25)

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Craig mentioned that Sabathia's rates last year were the same as they were in 2010. That's not entirely true if you look at K%, which is a better statistic than K/9 (per batter metric > per inning metric). His K% last year was the worst of his career by a decent margin. He also outperformed his FIP and his xFIP by a significant margin in 2010, which isn't something he's done consistently over his career, so I'm not sure you can count on it happening again.

I'd expect ~ a 3.90 ERA, but that velocity drop is fairly alarming, and I'd prefer to let someone else take the plunge if I can help it.
Yes, K% is better, but I thought it was an interesting discussion point using those stats, which is why I brought it up. I wanted to get the response that I did from Mau and Ben, which is "even though the stats say that, it doesn't tell the whole story". I'm not expecting anything big from Sabathia either, but I think I said something in the 3.75 range while you're saying the 3.90 range, which really isn't all that different.

Agreed that K% is more useful though.
I think Roy Halladay offers a cautionary tale on CC. The same warning signs starting to crop up (extremely high usage for years coupled with age and steep velocity loss/K% drop).