My American League All-Star picks were easier than my NL ones, which reflects
the lack of talent in the AL right now, at least relative to the NL. There are
four or five AL teams who don’t have any player remotely deserving of All-Star
First Base: Carlos
Delgado. This was the toughest call. Jason
Giambi has established himself as the better player, but Delgado has
never been that far behind him. Delgado has been the best hitter in the AL
this year, while Giambi has struggled. I can see the argument for either
player; both fit the definition of “All-Star,” and this pick is
admittedly inconsistent with my thought process in filling out the ballot.
Second Base: Alfonso
Soriano. Soriano beats out Bret
Boone in a race with exactly two contestants. It’s not easy to
separate the two, who have both been among the top ten players in the AL this
year. Soriano was a bit better last year, while Boone is the superior
defender. While I didn’t have this information in front of me at the time,
both Keith Woolner’s and Clay Davenport’s metrics say that Soriano has been a
little better this year. As at first base, I can’t argue with either player.
Rodriguez. Without comment.
Third Base: Eric
Chavez. As usual, this was a tough call between Chavez and Troy
Glaus. Glaus is having the better 2003 season, closing the gap that
had developed between the two players in 2001 and 2002. As is my preference, I
stayed with the player who had established himself as superior, weighing the
last seven weeks less than the previous two seasons. Hank
Blalock‘s case is just this year’s performance, which isn’t enough in
Posada. Posada is the best player in an extraordinarily weak field.
Most AL catchers are within shouting distance of replacement level, with only
Hernandez and Jason
Varitek doing well in regular time.
Williams and Magglio
Ordonez. When in doubt, just vote for the guys you voted for last
year. Lots of AL outfielders are having better seasons than these three, and
of those, Garret
Cameron and Juan
Gonzalez have All-Star cases. I wouldn’t move Ramirez, but with more
time and data, I might have selected Cameron instead of Williams and
Anderson-who may have established a new level of performance-over Ordonez.
Designated Hitter: Edgar
Martinez. Best one ever, best one this season. Do you have any idea
how hard it is to hit .333/.447/.620 while playing half your games at Safeco
Many, many, many people wrote in to protest my exclusion of Marcus
Giles from the discussion of NL second basemen yesterday, and most of
them included a chart akin to this one:
Player PA AVG OBP SLG EqA RARP VORP ------------------------------------------------------------ Jose Vidro 181 .331 .414 .526 .320 15.2 17.6 Jeff Kent 185 .309 .368 .533 .294 10.7 12.5 Marcus Giles 178 .336 .416 .572 .332 17.9 21.9
Yes, Giles has been about as good a player as the other two so far this
season, seven weeks or so. That would make him an All-Star in a world that was
born, oh, seven weeks or so ago.
Player AB AVG OBP SLG --------------------------------------- Jose Vidro 2564 .305 .360 .473 Jeff Kent 5559 .289 .353 .503 Marcus Giles 457 .247 .327 .416
That’s the career numbers of the three players coming into this season. Just
Player PA AVG OBP SLG EqA RARP VORP ------------------------------------------------------------ Jose Vidro 670 .315 .378 .490 .294 45.4 54.2 Jeff Kent 682 .313 .368 .565 .319 68.6 83.8 Marcus Giles 241 .230 .315 .399 .252 4.7 6.0
The only definition by which Marcus Giles is an All-Star is “guy having
the best season,” and even that is really “guy having the best
quarter of a season.” As I’ve written over and over, that’s an incredibly
stupid definition of All-Star. We know that seven weeks doesn’t tell us much
about a ballplayer, and even if it did, by that definition nothing anyone ever
did after June 30 would be part of making a player an All-Star.
Here’s the way I look at it: If calling a player an All-Star would have looked
silly on March 30, then it doesn’t look any less silly on June 30. You don’t
get there based on a couple months of good play. (Well, actually you do, but
that’s a flaw in the selection of bench players, one I see no reason to ape in
If I’m wrong, then go all the way with it and make the All-Star Game the
“best first halves” game, and apply that standard across the board.
At the least, move the game to November so that guys can be rewarded for
performing well after Independence Day.
I know this is a rant, and I know taking my frustration with this line of
thought out on the fans of Marcus Giles-a player I like and whose success
makes me happy-is unfair. But it’s wrong-headed to think that because a player
has the best seven weeks of his life, that suddenly makes him more worthy of
honor than guys who have been doing it for years and are still doing it today.
Glaus over Chavez? Fine. Giambi over Delgado? Hey, the game is for stars.
Anderson over Williams? I may be slow in adjusting my thought process to
account for a change in the established order.