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Team Injury Projections

The Team Injury Projections are here, driven by our brand new injury forecasting system, the Comprehensive Health Index [of] Pitchers [and] Players [with] Evaluative Results—or, more succinctly, CHIPPER. Thanks to work by Colin Wyers and Dan Turkenkopf and a database loaded with injuries dating back to the 2002 season—that's nearly 4,600 players and well over 400,000 days lost to injury—we now have a system that produces injury-risk assessments to three different degrees. CHIPPER projects ratings for players based on their injury history—these ratings measure the probability of a player missing one or more games, 15 or more games, or 30 or more games. CHIPPER will have additional features added to it throughout the spring and early season that will enhance the accuracy of our injury coverage.

These ratings are also available in the Player Forecast Manager (pfm.baseballprospectus.com), where they'll be sortable by league or position—you won’t have to wait for us to finish writing this series in order to see the health ratings for all of the players.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Team Audit | Depth Chart
 

Dashboard


2010 Recap
 

2010
 

2009
 

2008
 

2007
Finish here
36 entries
18 DL trips
               

1216
TDL

34
DMPI
 

1216
TDL
26th
 

34
DMPI
30th
 

934
TDL
13th
 

23
DMPI
18th
 

749
TDL
9th
 

14
DMPI
5th
 

1142
TDL
17th
 

23
DMPI
9th

Hitters in approximate Depth Charts order at time of publication

 

Days Lost to Injury

2011 Injury Risk

Player

Age

2008

2009

2010

1-day

15-days

30-days
Maicer Izturis

30

88

2

94

Red

Red

Red
Howie Kendrick

27

77

0

0

Yellow

Green

Green
Bobby Abreu

37

1

5

1

Yellow

Green

Green
Torii Hunter

35

5

42

2

Yellow

Yellow

Yellow
Kendrys Morales

28

0

0

127

Red

Red

Red
Vernon Wells

32

59

5

2

Yellow

Yellow

Green
Erick Aybar

27

48

4

21

Yellow

Yellow

Green
Jeff Mathis

28

3

5

58

Red

Red

Yellow
Peter Bourjos

24

0

0

0

Green

Green

Green
Brandon Wood

26

0

0

21

Yellow

Green

Green
Alberto Callaspo

28

56

2

9

Yellow

Green

Green
Mark Trumbo

25

0

0

0

Green

Green

Green
Bobby Wilson

28

0

0

24

Red

Red

Yellow
Hank Conger

23

0

0

0

Green

Green

Green

Pitchers in approximate Depth Charts order at time of publication

 

Days Lost to Injury

2011 Injury Risk

Player

Age

2008

2009

2010

1-day

15-days

30-days
Jered Weaver

28

11

0

0

Green

Green

Green
Dan Haren

30

4

0

0

Yellow

Green

Green
Ervin Santana

28

0

69

0

Yellow

Green

Green
Scott Kazmir

27

43

36

42

Yellow

Green

Green
Joel Pineiro

32

43

8

58

Red

Yellow

Yellow
Matt Palmer

32

0

0

118

Red

Red

Red
Fernando Rodney

34

78

0

0

Yellow

Yellow

Green
Scott Downs

35

26

61

0

Red

Yellow

Yellow
Kevin Jepsen

26

0

20

0

Green

Green

Green
Hisanori Takahashi

36

0

0

0

Yellow

Yellow

Green
Rich Thompson

26

0

0

23

Yellow

Green

Green
Jordan Walden

23

0

0

0

Green

Green

Green
Jason Bulger

32

0

7

81

Red

Yellow

Yellow
Michael Kohn

25

0

0

0

Green

Green

Green