The Realities of Surprise Factor Timothy Jackson January 13, 2026 Share: > Image credit: © Joe Camporeale-Imagn Images Subscribe to Baseball ProspectusDigging into what makes different pitchers surprising, and how different pitchers surprise differently. Full access to this article is for Premium Baseball Prospectus subscribers. Sign up today to get access to insightful analysis for the discerning baseball fan. Super-Premium - $99.95 / yearPremium - $74.95 / yearPremium Monthly - $19.95 / month Subscribe to Baseball Prospectus In This Article 0 Arsenal MetricsBrass TacksLogan EvansSurprise FactorZac Gallen Related Articles TA: Gallen Done with the Gallows $ by Ginny Searle 2/18 1 Inside Major League Baseball, Side B $ by Timothy Jackson 2/17 1 PECOTA 2026: Free Agent Pitchers $ by Patrick Dubuque 2/12 4 Inside Major League Baseball, Then as Now $ by Timothy Jackson 1/27 5 Best of BP 2025: To Know Your Genesis by Timothy Jackson 12/30 0 Latest Articles Saves + Holds Targets for 2026 $ by Ryan Boyer 2/18 1 Fantasy Positional Tiers 2026: Relief Pitchers $ by Nathan Grimm 2/18 1 2026 Season Preview: Pittsburgh Pirates $ by Daniel R. Epstein 2/18 2 A Season for Hope $ by Patrick Dubuque 2/18 0 TA: Gallen Done with the Gallows $ by Ginny Searle 2/18 1 more chevron_rightchevron_right Timothy Jackson More about: Arsenal MetricsBrass TacksLogan EvansSurprise FactorZac Gallen Latest Articles Saves + Holds Targets for 2026 $ by Ryan Boyer 2/18 1 Fantasy Positional Tiers 2026: Relief Pitchers $ by Nathan Grimm 2/18 1 2026 Season Preview: Pittsburgh Pirates $ by Daniel R. Epstein 2/18 2 Related Articles TA: Gallen Done with the Gallows $ by Ginny Searle 2/18 1 Inside Major League Baseball, Side B $ by Timothy Jackson 2/17 1 PECOTA 2026: Free Agent Pitchers $ by Patrick Dubuque 2/12 4 You need to be logged in to comment. Login or Subscribe
